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Business takeover code re-written Cluster ammunition treaty comes into force
The Takeover Regulations Advisory Committee under the A landmark UN-sponsored treaty banning cluster munitions came into force from August 1, 2010, but all major powers,
chairmanship of C. Achuthan, in its 139-page report to the the US, China, Russia, Israel and India have shunned it. The new instrument is expected to be a major advance for global
Securities and Exchange Board of India (SEBI), has proposed disarmament and humanitarian agenda.
sweeping changes on critical issues, including the open offer
trigger, offer size, indirect acquisitions, exemptions from open The convention has been signed by 107 States and entered into force six months after 37 countries ratified the treaty,
offer obligations, calculating the offer price and competing which was concluded in 2008.
offers. This comes nearly 16 years after the guidelines were
formally notified for the first time and after 23 amendments to Cluster bombs are both air dropped and used by artillery guns, and the shells open before impact and scatter hundreds of
the last major review in 1997. shrapnel, causing widespread casualties over a wide area. Many of such ammunition fail to explode and lie dormant for
years killing or maiming hundreds of civilians, long after the conflicts have ended.
The takeover panel, formed by SEBI in September 2009, has
recommended an increase in the open offer trigger from 15 per From Asia only five countries—Afghanistan, Indonesia, Japan, Laos and Philippines—are the signatories.
cent to 25 per cent. Further, the open offer has to be made for
all the shares of the target company, instead of the current Global community commits to peace initiative in Afghanistan
practice of an offer for acquiring an additional 20 per cent. An international conference on Afghanistan was held on July 20, 2010 in Kabul, Afghanistan. The international
Analysts said the proposed rules would raise the financing community reiterated its commitment to continue to support peace and reintegration and said it looked forward to the
required for taking over a firm, but would encourage investors local peace jirgas that included men and women at district and provincial level to discuss elements of an enduring peace.
taking strategic stakes in companies.
The government of Afghanistan is to engage with the UN Security Council and the international community for de-
The panel, which also had Tata Steel Ltd Chief Financial listing Taliban elements from the sanctions list in accordance with agreed procedures and common Afghan and
Officer (CFO) Koushik Chatterjee and Larsen & Toubro Ltd international responsibility.
CFO Y M. Deosthalee as members, concluded that since a
holding level of 25 per cent permits the exercise of de facto The international community expressed its support for Karzai’s objective that the Afghan national security forces should
control over a company, this could be fixed as the appropriate lead and conduct military operations in all the provinces by the end of 2014.
open offer trigger threshold in the Indian context.
On the issue of security, the meeting recognised that civilian casualty and protection of civilians are of great concern and
The committee has also noted that the 100 per cent open offer noted that most civilian casualties are caused by insurgent attacks. They also reiterated that the international military
requirement could result in an acquirer ending in holding forces remain committed to the objective of a steady reduction in the rate of civilian casualties.
beyond the maximum permissible non-public shareholding,
which may require the acquirer to either de-list or bring down Kyrgyzstan vote for parliamentary democracy
his holding to meet the continuous listing requirements. The In a development that could have far reaching political impact in the region, Kyrgyzstan is all set to become Central
panel has recommended that the acquirer may state upfront his Asia’s first parliamentary democracy, with an overwhelming 90.55 per cent voters backing a new constitution which
intention to de-list if his holding in the target company were to strips the President’s wide ranging powers.
cross the de-listing threshold, pursuant to the open offer.
After publishing the official results of the June 27 referendum, the Kyrgyz Central Election Commission (CEC), on July
In the absence of any such disclosure or when the response to 1, 2010, declared Roza Otunbayeva as the transitional President till December 31, 2011.
the open offer is below the de-listing threshold, the acquirer
would be required to either proportionately reduce both his It also formally dissolved the Presidential parliament, which was in jeopardy in the wake of violent ouster of President
acquisitions under the agreement that triggered the open offer Kurmanbek Bakiyev’s regime in April 2010.
and the acquisitions under the open offer or to bring down his
holding to comply with continuous listing requirements. In line with the new constitution, the 120-strong Kyrgyz Parliament, after October 2010 elections, will appoint the Prime
Minister and the government.
The committee has also recommended that a short public
announcement should be made by the acquirer on the date of The referendum, the first step towards legitimacy of the present regime, took place in the midst of inter-ethnic violence
entering in to an agreement followed by a detailed public in the southern regions of Osh and Jalalabad and exodus of hundreds of thousand refugees to neighbouring Uzbekistan.
statement within five business days thereafter. The overall
time-line for an open offer has been brought down from 97 Fresh US sanctions on North Korea
days to 57 business days. US Secretary of State Hillary Clinton announced on july 21, 2010 that Washington would impose new sanctions on
communist North Korea in a bid to stem the regime's illicit atomic ambitions.
The committee, in its attempt to enable transparent
consolidation by persons already holding in excess of 25 per The UN Security Council has imposed stiff sanctions on North Korea in recent years to punish the regime for defying the
cent, has recommended voluntary offers of a minimum size of world body by testing nuclear weapons and long-range missiles, and illegally selling arms and weapons.
at least 10 per cent and a maximum size of such number of
shares that would not result in any kind of breach of the With few allies and diminishing sources of aid, the impoverished North Korea is believed to be turning to illicit ventures
maximum non-public shareholding permitted under the listing to raise the much-needed cash. Pyongyang also walked away in 2009 from a disarmament-for-aid pact with five other
agreement. Under the existing regulations, an offer for a nations that had provided the country with fuel oil and other concessions.
percentage lesser than minimum prescribed percentage can
only be by shareholders holding more than 55 per cent. Pakistan, China ink six pacts
Pakistan and China reiterated their resolve to further strengthen strategic relationship between the two countries, increase
The panel has also recommended that creeping acquisition be the level of economic cooperation and take concrete measures to further bring their people closer, during the visit of
permitted only for acquirers who hold more than 25 per cent of Pakistan’s President Asif Ali Zardari to China in July 2010. The two countries pledged to make joint efforts to fight
the voting capital, subject to aggregate post-acquisition terrorism, and signed six deals of cooperation in the areas of agriculture, healthcare, justice, media, economy and
shareholding not exceeding the maximum permissible non- technology.
public shareholding. It has, however, left the annual creeping
acquisition limit unchanged at five per cent. US slaps toughest sanctions on Iran
On July 1, 2010, even as he signed into law the toughest sanctions against ever passed by the US Congress at the White
In another recommendation that is expected to enhance the House, US President Barack Obama said the doors of diplomacy are still open for the regime in Tehran.
corporate governance norms, the committee has made it
mandatory for the independent directors of the target company The Iran Sanctions Act affects the gasoline, financial, insurance and shipping sectors, among others, as it seeks to impose
to give their recommendation on the open offer. Also, no a heavy economic cost on Iran for continuing with its nuclear programme.
appointment of representatives of the acquirer to the board of
directors of the target company would be permitted unless the The sanctions bar foreign countries from exporting refined petroleum to Iran, as well as restrict access to US financial
acquirer places 100 per cent of the consideration under the open institutions for any entities that help Iran’s Revolutionary Guard Corps.
offer in cash in an escrow account.
Also, it prevents investment, transfer of technology and development of Iran’s energy sector, and makes it easier for
Major changes have also been proposed in the manner States and localities to divest from companies that do business with Iran.
minimum price payable is calculated. According to the
committee, the offer price would be the highest of (i) market
price to be based on 12 weeks volume weighted average of
market prices as against higher of weekly averages of market
prices for 26 weeks or 2 weeks; (ii) a qualitative improvement
and expansion in the look back provision; (iii) in the case of
indirect acquisitions, ascription of value to the target company
under certain circumstances.
The Centre has also told the States that the Member-Secretary
of the Planning Commission will work to modify existing
norms and guidelines to ensure rapid development in the
targeted 34 districts: Rs 800 crore will be spent on
strengthening police stations and another Rs 950 crore on road
connectivity in these districts. The government will fund the
establishment and strengthening of 400 police stations in
affected districts at the rate of Rs 2 crore a police station on
80:20 basis over a period of two years.
The 89-year-old Warren Anderson, the then Chairman of Union Mr Madhav Kumar had taken over the post in May 2009 after
Carbide Corporation of USA, who lives in the United States, the previous government led by the Maoists resigned
appeares to have gone scot free for the present as he is still an following differences with the President over the firing of the
absconder and did not subject himself to trial. There was no army chief. He had the support of 22 political parties in
word about him in the judgement. Parliament and more than half of the 601 members in the
Assembly. However, the Maoists, who have the largest
The US based company reacted to the judgement saying neither number of seats in the Assembly, refused to support his
it nor its officials were subject to the jurisdiction of the Indian government and instead staged protests to demand disbanding
court since they were not involved in the operation of the plant, the government.
which was owned and operated by Union Carbide India
Limited. In May 2010, the Maoists had shut down the nation for more
than a week, imposing a general strike. The protests also
In his 93-page verdict, Tiwari said the accused were not delayed the writing of a new constitution, which was supposed
sentenced under section 304 IPC (culpable homicide not to be complete by May 2010. The deadline has now been
amounting to murder that provides a maximum of life extended by one year.
imprisonment) since they were old age and were suffering from
serious ailments including heart disease. Landmark US Financial Reform Bill
On July 1, 2010, the US House of Representatives approved a
All the convicts applied for bail immediately after the landmark overhaul of financial regulations. The Bill would
sentencing and were granted relief on a surety of Rs 25,000 impose tighter regulations on financial firms and reduce their
each. profits. It would boost consumer protections, force banks to
reduce risky trading and investing activities and set up a new
Law Minister M. Veerappa Moily described the verdict as an government process for liquidating troubled financial firms.
example of “justice buried” and said there was need for fast-
tracking such cases and ensuring proper investigation. However, the Republicans say the Bill would hurt the
economy by burdening businesses with a thicket of new
The BJP termed the order as “painful” and said the prosecution regulations. They also point out that it ducks the question of
should appeal against the lower punishment. It also utilised the how to handle troubled mortgage finance giants Fannie Mae
opportunity to reconsider the provisions of the nuclear liability and Freddie Mac, which Democrats plan to tackle in 2011.
Bill.
Ethic Riots in Kyrgyzstan
ONGC, OIL get freedom to price natural gas Russia sent hundreds of paratroopers to Kyrgyzstan on June
In a significant development, the Union government has given 13, 2010 to protect its military facilities as ethnic clashes
national oil companies, Oil and Natural Gas Corp (ONGC) and spread in the Central Asian State, bringing the death toll from
Oil India Ltd (OIL), freedom to price any additional natural gas days of fighting to 97. Ethnic Uzbeks in a besieged
produced from blocks given to them on nomination basis at neighbourhood of Kyrgyzstan’s second city Osh said gangs,
market rates. So far, all gas—current and future—produced aided by the military, were carrying out genocide, burning
from blocks given to ONGC and OIL was priced at residents out of their homes and shooting them as they fled.
government-controlled rates, called administered price Witnesses saw bodies lying on the streets.
mechanism (APM).
The interim government in Kyrgyzstan, which took power in
Even the price of APM gas from June 1 has been more than April 2010, after a popular revolt toppled President
doubled to $4.2 per million British thermal units, on a par with Kurmanbek Bakiyev, appealed for Russian help to quell the
the rate at which Reliance Industries sells gas from its eastern riots in the south.
offshore KG-D6 fields.
Led by Roza Otunbayeva, the interim government sent a
The government has also made a significant departure from the volunteer force to the south and granted shoot-to-kill powers
previous practice of pricing natural gas in rupees and has now to its security forces in response to the deadly riots, which
decided to price it in US dollars. began in Osh, before spreading to Jalalabad.
State-run ONGC and OIL produce 54.32 million cubic metres Renewed turmoil in Kyrgyzstan has fuelled concern in Russia,
of gas per day — about 40 per cent of the total amount the United States and neighbour China. Washington uses an
originating from the country — through fields given to them on air base at Manas in the north of the country, about 300 km
a nomination basis. from Osh, to supply its forces in Afghanistan.
Petrol, Diesel prices freed from government control G-20 Summit meeting
On June 25, 2010, the Union government announced that prices A Summit meeting of Leaders from the Group of 20 economic
of petrol and diesel would become market-driven, in line with powers was held in Toronto, Canada on June 28, 2010. The
the recommendations of a panel headed by former Planning leaders have agreed to halve deficits by 2013 and stabilise or
Commission member Kirit Parikh. reduce the government debt-to-GDP ratio by 2016. At the
same time, the bloc left it to individual countries to decide on
An empowered group of ministers led by Finance Minister levying taxes on banks or adopting other means to fund future
Pranab Mukherjee agreed to raise diesel prices by Rs 2 a litre bailouts.
for now. The fuel will eventually be freed from State control.
Petrol has been freed fully. Along the way, the G-20 leaders who completed their fourth
meeting since the global financial crisis of 2008, also diluted
The panel also increased prices of liquefied petroleum gas their position on a number of problems they had decided to fix
(LPG) by Rs 35 a cylinder and of kerosene by Rs 3 a litre, earlier. For instance, while reinforcing their desire to move to
though both will remain under government control. a more stringent capital structure, the communiqué issued after
two days of discussions said countries would “aim” to put in
The decision will help to cut fuel subsidies and limit losses of place a new framework by the end of 2012, which was earlier
State-run refiners. the target date. Members will also get flexibility in phasing the
new rules.
The market-driven mechanism would mean users would have
to pay more whenever international crude oil prices rise and The good news is that once these rules are implemented banks
less when they fall. will have more capital to deal with crises as the ratio of core
Tier-I capital of a bank to its risk-weighted assets is expected
The move would bring down the government’s huge subsidy to double from the present level of 2 per cent.
bill and relieve State-owned oil marketing companies of some
of the burden they bear by selling fuels much below the market On trade, too, there was dilly dallying. The G-20 leaders, who
prices. This burden, also called under-recovery, is estimated at had earlier said that the Doha Round of trade liberalisation
Rs 215 crore every day. talks should be concluded in 2010, have not mentioned any
deadline now. All that has been said is that they will now
Jharkhand again under President’s rule deliberate on the ways to take forward the talks when they
On June 1, 2001, Jharkhand came under Central rule with meet in Seoul in November 2010.
President Pratibha Patil accepting a recommendation of the
Union Cabinet after the Congress and the BJP gave up efforts G-20 members have also decided against erecting any new
to form an alternative government following resignation of trade and investment barriers.
Chief Minister Shibu Soren. The decision to increase the quotas for developing countries in
the International Monetary Fund by the Seoul summit was
The State Assembly will be kept in suspended animation during touted as another gain.
the President’s rule, which has been imposed for a second time
in two years. While many elements in the 19-page statement were a
reiteration of the earlier pledges, these were at least two new
The Soren government was reduced to a minority on May 24 elements. One of them was a proposal to set up a working
when the BJP, with 18 MLAs and the JD(U) with two, group on development. The other was the desire to focus on
withdrew support to it. The JMM, with 18 MLAs and having issues related to corruption with members urging to ratify and
the support of seven other legislators, was short of the required implement the United Nations Convention against Corruption.
42 in the 82-member House. The BJP took the decision after
Soren voted against the cut motions sponsored by the However, the move by some developed countries to insert
opposition in Lok Sabha on April 27. another new element — a levy on bank transactions — did not
find a mention in the final text as the focus of the deliberations
Jharkhand has seen seven CMs since its creation on November remained on reducing fiscal deficit levels. A key demand of
15, 2000, came under President’s rule for the first time on European countries, was resisted by the US and developing
January 19, 2009. countries such as India and Brazil.
India, Canada sign civil nuclear pact Along with deficit reduction, G-20 leaders also agreed on
On June 28, 2001, India and Canada signed a civil nuclear ushering in structural reforms by emerging surplus economies,
cooperation agreement. The pact was signed during Prime such as China. These countries, which can tailor their reform
Minister Manmohan Singh’s visit to Canada. moves to strengthen social safety nets, should increase
infrastructure spending and enhance exchange rate flexibility
The deal, the ninth signed by New Delhi, significantly alters to reflect underlying economic fundamentals.
Canada’s stance towards India. The North American nation had
led the world in pushing for nuclear isolation after the 1974 G-20 meeting of Finance Ministers
tests in Pokhran. Finance Ministers and Central Bank Governors of G-20
countries met in Busan, South Korea on June 4, 2010.
The US, France, Russia, Mongolia, Kazakhstan, Argentina,
Namibia and Britain are the eight countries that have already At the top of the agenda was Europe’s debt crisis. The
signed similar pacts with India. Ministers also discussed medium-term growth framework and
how to solve economic imbalances which caused the global
Among other things, the India-Canada Agreement for financial crisis. Canada, the current G-20 President, hopes to
Cooperation in Peaceful Uses of Nuclear Energy provides for secure an agreement in Toronto on the broad suite of policies
tie-ups in design, construction, maintenance, supply of uranium needed to reduce these imbalances. Individual countries would
and waste management. The two countries can also promote then commit themselves to specific policies at the next G-20
cooperation in the development and use of applications related summit in Seoul.
to health, industry, environment and agriculture.
Building on progress to date, the leaders affirmed their
Visit of South African President commitment to intensify efforts and to accelerate financial
On his maiden visit to an Asian country as the President of repair and reform. They also agreed that further progress on
South Africa, Jacob Zuma was given a rousing reception by the financial repair is critical to global economic recovery and
Indian leadership on June 4, 2010, as the two countries signed requires greater transparency and further strengthening of
three key pacts, including one on air services, and agreed to banks’ balance sheets and better corporate governance of
support each other’s candidature for the non-permanent seat at financial firms.
the UN Security Council for the 2011-2012 term.
The leaders also committed to reach agreement expeditiously
A wide range of bilateral issues as well as global developments, on stronger capital and liquidity standards as the core of our
including reforms of the UN Security Council, closer reform agenda and in that regard fully supported the work of
cooperation between the two countries at various international the Basel Committee on Banking Supervision.
fora, particularly on climate change, and increasing the volume
of bilateral trade, came for discussions during the talks. The leaders also emphasized the need to reduce moral hazard
Apart from the pact on enhancing air connectivity, the two associated with systemically important financial institutions
countries signed an MoU on agriculture cooperation and and reinforced their commitment to develop effective
another for linkages between the Foreign Service Institute of resolution tools and frameworks for all financial institutions
India and the Diplomatic Academy of South Africa. on the basis of internationally agreed principles.
Both India and South Africa are keen to increase the two-way The G-20 was established in 1999, in the wake of the 1997
trade, which currently stands at $7.5 billion annually. Zuma Asian Financial Crisis, to bring together major advanced and
said he wanted that to grow to $10 billion by 2012. emerging economies to stabilize the global financial market.
Since its inception, the G-20 has held annual Finance
Visit of Sri Lankan President Ministers and Central Bank Governors’ Meetings and
Sri Lankan President Mahinda Rajapaksa visited New Delhi on discussed measures to promote the financial stability of the
June 9, 2010. During his talks with Prime Minister Manmohan world and to achieve a sustainable economic growth and
Singh, he sought to cool down tempers in India over the plight development.
of Tamils in his island nation by promising to quickly resettle
displaced Tamils and expedite a political solution to the ethnic China announces plans to make its currency more flexible
issue. Equity markets across the world made handsome gains on
June 21, 2010, after China announced plans to make its
The two countries also signed seven agreements, including a currency, the yuan, more flexible against the dollar. India’s
treaty on mutual legal assistance in criminal matters and an benchmark equity index, the Sensex, and the broad-based
MOU on sentenced prisoners, after wide-ranging talks. Nifty today touched their highest levels in more than two
months.
The two countries announced a major initiative to undertake a
programme of construction of 50,000 houses for internally Market analysts said China’s move would go a long way in
displaced persons (IDPs) in Northern and Eastern provinces of lifting the global economic sentiment that was under the
Sri Lanka with India’s assistance. India would also be taking up weather due to the Euro crisis. China’s decision would result
several projects for the reconstruction of the North and the in a higher growth rate, especially for countries that have a
East, including rebuilding of railway infrastructure, significant trade relation with the Asian behemoth, as currency
rehabilitation of Kankesanthurai harbour and Palaly Airport, appreciation would make imports comparatively cheaper in
construction of a cultural centre in Jaffna and several China.
vocational training centres, renovation of the Duraiappaj
stadium and rehabilitation of war widows. According to Barclays Commodities, there is a thinking that a
stronger yuan will “increase Chinese purchasing power”
The two countries also decided to resume the ferry services leading to an increase in its “purchases of base metals”. “This
between Colombo and Tuticoran and between Thalaimannar coincides with a strong set of Chinese trade data for May
and Rameswaram. India would also establish consulates 2010, which showed that the country turned a net importer of
general in Jaffna and Hambantota. India would also assist the aluminium and lead, while copper and zinc imports remained
island country in setting up a thermal power plant at strong”.
Trincomalee.
UNSC slaps sanctions on Iran
At their one-on-one meeting which was followed by On June 9, 2010, the UN Security Council slapped sanctions
delegation-level talks, the Indian PM and the Sri Lankan on Iran over its controversial nuclear programme, targeting the
President also discussed a wide range of bilateral issues, powerful Revolutionary Guard, ballistic missiles, and nuclear-
including the proposed comprehensive economic partnership related investments, despite opposition from Brazil and
agreement (CEPA), as well as international issues. Sri Lanka Turkey.
supported India’s case for inclusion in an expanded UN
Security Council, as well as its candidature for a non- In the 15-member Council, 12 countries, including the US and
permanent seat for the 2011-2012 term. Britain, voted in favour of the resolution, with Lebanon
abstaining and Brazil and Turkey voting against.
The five other agreements, signed after the talks between the
two sides, were: renewal of MoU on SDP schemes, MoU on The new resolution, which is fourth against Iran to be adopted
setting up of a women’s trade facilitation centre and by the UNSC, creates new categories of sanctions like banning
community learning centre, renewal of cultural exchange Iran's investment in nuclear activity abroad, banning all
programme, MoU on interconnection of electricity grids and ballistic missiles activities, blocking Iran's use of banks aboard
MoU on Talaimannar-Madhu railway line. and asset freezes for members of the Islamic Revolutionary
Guard Corps.
Indo-US strategic dialogue
The Strategic Dialogue between India and US is another The resolution blacklists entities that includes 15 enterprises
“milestone” in bilateral relationship with the Obama of the Islamic Revolutionary Guards Corps, three entities
Administration. External Affairs Minister S.M. Krishna and US owned by the Islamic Republic of Iran Shipping Lines and 23
Secretary of State Hillary Clinton co-chaired the first Cabinet- industrial companies. The international community accuses
level Indo-US Strategic Dialogue, which helped to set the pace Iran of seeking to develop an atomic weapon. But, Tehran has
for the long-term strategic relationship between the two been maintaining that its uranium enrichment program is for
countries. peaceful civilian purposes.
Even though India is ranked fifth in aggregate GHG emissions The coming months could bring far more problems as Prime
after US, China, the European Union and Russia in its Minister Jose Luis Rodriguez Zapatero reforms the country’s
contribution to global warming, emissions of US and China are labour market, risking national strikes and the loss of support
almost four times that of India. from trade unions, a core source of his centre-left party’s
strength.
China and the US are the world's top emitters of greenhouse
gases and disagreement between the two on slashing their Zapatero’s minority government is already running into
carbon dioxide output was a major cause of the failure of the serious trouble, although there appears to be no immediate
UN-sponsored climate change talks in 2009. At the threat of it falling.
Copenhagen Summit, India announced its intent to further
reduce the emission intensity of the GDP by 20-25 per cent A package of austerity measures was passed by only one vote
between 2005 and 2020 even as it pursues the path of inclusive in the Parliament’s lower chamber on May 27, 2010.
growth. Opposition parties have called for new elections.
No lie detector tests: SC The austerity package aims to cut spending by Euro 15 billion
In a verdict expected to weaken cases against terrorists, other ($18.4 billion) over two years by freezing pensions and cutting
dreaded criminals and high-profile offenders, the Supreme civil servants’ wages.
Court has cited “mental privacy” to rule that police and other
prosecuting agencies cannot forcibly conduct lie detector tests But investors and lenders such as the International Monetary
—narco-analysis, polygraph or brain electrical activation Fund are demanding that Spain reform its labour market,
profile (BEAP, popularly known as brain mapping)—on overhauling hiring and firing rules and moving to find jobs for
accused, suspects or witnesses. the long-term unemployed and the young.
“Compulsory administration of any of these techniques is an Europe’s top job creator only two years ago, Spain now has
unjustified intrusion into the mental privacy of an individual. It the highest unemployment rate—just over 20 per cent—of the
would also amount to cruel, inhuman or degrading treatment 16 nations that share the Euro currency.
with regard to the language of evolving international human
rights norms,” a Bench comprising Chief Justice K.G. The resulting austerity package, nicknamed the “scissors
Balakrishnan, R.V. Raveendran and J.M. Panchal held. action” by Spanish media, was welcomed by the European
Union and the IMF, which said Spain’s “ambitious fiscal
Further, placing reliance on the results gathered from these consolidation is under way to reach the three percent GDP
techniques would come into conflict with the right to fair trial. deficit target by 2013”.
“Invocations of a compelling public interest cannot justify the
dilution of constitutional rights such as the right against self- US asks Pak, China to follow NSG rule
incrimination” guaranteed under Article 20(3) of the The US administration has said that civil nuclear cooperation
Constitution, the Bench said in the 251-page verdict. between Pakistan and China must be in compliance with rules
of the Nuclear Suppliers Group (NSG) if China proceeds with
The apex court also observed that the scientific validity of the plans to set up two new nuclear reactors in Pakistan.
techniques “has been questioned and it is argued that their
results are not entirely reliable…empirical studies suggest that China’s decision to sell nuclear reactors to Pakistan, which has
the drug-induced revelations need not necessarily be true”. not signed the nuclear Non-Proliferation Treaty, is proving to
be a litmus test for President Barack Obama, who has
The Bench said that before arriving at the conclusion it also championed the cause of curbing the spread of nuclear
assessed the “tensions between the desirability of efficient technology.
investigation and the preservation of individual liberties” and
the reasoning that these techniques “are a softer alternative to China has helped Pakistan set up nuclear reactors since 1991
the regrettable and allegedly widespread use of third degree when China National Nuclear Corporation (CNNC) entered
methods by investigators”. into a contract with the Pakistan Atomic Energy Commission
(PAEC) to build Chashma-1, a 325 MW nuclear power
At the end, the apex court made it clear that the eight-point reactor. When it joined the NSG in 2004, China cited a Sino-
guidelines issued by the National Human Rights Commission Pakistan framework agreement that committed it to set up a
in 2000 for conducting narco-analysis tests should be strictly second reactor, Chashma-2, for Pakistan.
adhered to. Among the guidelines were: No lie detector tests
should be administered except on the basis of consent of the CNNC and PAEC have also worked out a deal to set up two
accused. If the accused volunteers for a lie detector test, he separate 650 MW reactors—Chashma-3 and Chashma-4.
should be given access to a lawyer and the physical, emotional
and legal implication of such a test should be explained to him Analysts say the Obama administration is reluctant to press
by the police and his lawyer. The consent should be recorded China on the matter in case Beijing responds by dropping its
before a judicial magistrate. tentative support for sanctions on Iran.
OECD warns inflation will remain high NSG rules prohibit the sale of sensitive nuclear technology
The Organisation for Economic Cooperation and Development and materials to nations that have not joined the Nuclear Non-
(OECD) has argued that the Reserve Bank of India’s (RBI’s) Proliferation Treaty (NPT) and do not allow international
process of raising policy interest rates is “still very low by monitoring of their nuclear activities.
historical standards”.
Daryl Kimball, executive director of the Arms Control
In a global economic outlook report, the Paris-based grouping Association, says the agreement between China and Pakistan
warned: “With inflation remaining elevated and the recovery is “deeply troubling because we have China engaging in civil
appearing to have taken root, there is a risk that price increases nuclear trade with a country that does not meet the
for inputs will flow through to second-round increases and that requirements of the NSG for such trade.” He said the Obama
inflationary expectations will become destabilised. To mitigate administration should insist at the NSG that the Chashma -3
this risk, sizeable further monetary tightening will be required and -4 projects be discussed and it be determined that they not
through 2010 and into 2011.” be permitted.
OECD projected the inflation rate to be 7.7 per cent in 2010 Iran ready for nuke fuel swap
and 6.1 per cent in 2011. It expected the consumer price index It’s being regarded as a major diplomatic coup that could spell
rise to be at 10.2 per cent in 2010 and still hovering at 6.3 per the beginning of the end of the isolation of Iran from world
cent in 2011. The trade deficit has been projected at $80 billion affairs. On the sidelines of the G-15 summit in May 2010, Iran
(imports of $405 billion) in 2010 and going up to $101 billion dramatically announced that it has arrived with Brazil and
(imports of $478 billion up 13.1 per cent from 2010) in 2011 Turkey a deal that could possibly break the nuclear stalemate,
and real GDP growth in 2010 at 8.3 per cent and at 8.5 per cent stave off sanctions being contemplated by the UN and the US
in 2011. against Iran and bring the contentious issue back to the
negotiating table.
OECD Chief Economist Pier Carlo Padoan said: “The outlook
for inflation remains the main downside risk, especially if Under the agreement Tehran will ship 1,200 kg of low-
monsoonal rainfall is again deficient. In that case, food enriched uranium (LEU) to Turkey in exchange for fuel for a
inflation would likely begin to risk anew. More generally, the research reactor. Turkey will keep Iran’s LEU and the IAEA
strong state of domestic demand could lead to persistently and Iran can monitor the fuel.
higher inflation and an upward drift in inflationary
expectations.” Iran is a signatory to the Nuclear Non-Proliferation Treaty
regime (NPT) which had enabled it to received nuclear
Adding the context of anticipated deficit reduction being technology for civilian use from other NPT signatories,
underpinned on “expected revenue growth, asset sales and including the US in return for committing that it would not be
some more modest tax measures”, Padoan added “the expected diverted or misused for military purposes. In 2002, Iran was
rebound in agricultural activity should help limit further discovered to have clandestinely set up a uranium enrichment
increase in food prices, which have been a major contributor to plant and a heavy water unit without informing the IAEA.
high inflation. However, underlying inflationary pressures are Since then major powers led by the US have got the UN to
likely to persist given the strong outlook for demand. Timely impose severe sanctions and refuses to lift them till Tehran's
policy action to limit the scope for second-round price comes clean and puts an end to all clandestine use.
increases is, therefore, required. Monetary policy normalisation
is also important in the light of relatively modest fiscal Apart from curbs on banking and trade, heavy sanctions had
consolidation”. been imposed on some key public sector enterprises of Iran
and the Iranian Revolutionary Guard Council, the striking arm
National Water Mission gets Cabinet nod of the current regime.
The Prime Minister's Council on Climate Change has approved
the National Water Mission, focusing on making water Currently Iran is estimated to have 1,500 kg of 3.5 per cent
conservation a peoples' movement in the country. (low) enriched uranium. For running research reactors like the
Tehran facility for medical purposes, the uranium needs to be
Prime Minister Manmohan Singh, who chaired the meeting of medium enriched to 20 per cent. According to a deal, Iran
the Council, highlighted the need to create a general would swap 1,200 kg of its stockpile of low-enriched uranium
consciousness of the need to use water in the most sustainable in exchange for 120 kg of medium-enriched uranium that is to
manner in view of its scarcity and assess the impact of climate be supplied by the Vienna Group.
change on water.
For making weapons grade material, uranium has to be
The Council felt that to make the Mission a peoples' movement enriched to at least 90 per cent. At least 300 kg of this highly
it was essential to make available all data on water in the public enriched uranium is needed to develop an atom bomb. By
domain, to be able to mobilise citizens, local bodies and State keeping Iran’s low enriched uranium stockpiles to around
governments for focused action on water conservation and 3,000 kg, the world hopes that it would prevent it from
augmentation. crossing the threshold of nuclear material needed to make a
bomb.
Members felt incentives should be provided for using water in a
sustainable manner and that the Research and Development Reacting to the Iran’s deal with Brazil and Turkey, the US
requirements of the mission should be focused upon. pointed out that Tehran’s decision to continue with some
enrichment of nuclear fuel is a direct violation of UN Security
Water Mission is one of the eight missions in the National Council and that the details of the agreement must be
Action Plan on Climate Change launched by the Prime Minister conveyed to the International Atomic Energy Agency before it
in 2009 to tackle the threats of global warming. can be considered by the international community.
The government has already launched Energy Efficient and UK responded by saying that Iran’s actions remain a serious
Solar Mission while a draft of Green Mission has been prepared cause for concern. “There is a need for a continued effort to
for public consultation. impose sanctions.”
Economic growth better than expected EU responded by saying that “this is a right direction but it
The Indian economy roared past estimates to post a whopping does not answer all the concerns raised over Iran’s nuclear
growth rate of 8.6% in the January-March quarter of 2010. The programme.
quarter's strong showing also helped India end the fiscal year
with 7.4% growth, beating the earlier estimate of 7.2%. Tension between Koreas escalates
Manufacturing led the way, with a whopping 16.3% growth in On May 24, 2010, South Korea announced steps to tighten the
the quarter and 10.8% overall, while even agriculture, which vice on the North’s already stumbling economy in punishment
was expected to decline, ended with marginal growth of 0.2% for sinking one of its navy ships, with both sides stepping up
year-on-year after growing 0.7% in Q4. their war-like rhetoric.
The GDP growth rate had slowed to 6.7% in 2008-09 following The United States, which backs Seoul, warned that the
the global economic crisis, after topping 9% in the previous situation was “highly precarious”. China, the North’s only
three years. major ally, urged calm. The mounting tension followed report
by international investigators accusing the North of torpedoing
The first quarter growth in the gross domestic product (GDP) is the Cheonan corvette in March 2010, killing 46 sailors in one
better than expected. In February, the Central Statistical of the deadliest clashes between the two since the 1950-53
Organisation (CSO) had estimated that the Indian economy Korean War.
would grow at 7.2% in 2009-10, with growth of 7.7% in the
fourth quarter. But the unexpectedly strong performance in the The United States, which has 28,000 troops on the peninsula,
fourth quarter helped boost the final figure to 7.4%. threw its full support behind South Korea and said it was
working hard to stop the situation from escalating.
The fourth-quarter showing is particularly commendable in the
light of a sudden dip in the third quarter to 6.5% from 8.6% in Few analysts believe either Korea would dare go to war. The
the second quarter due to the impact of a drought-like situation North’s military is no match for the technically superior South
in the country. Korean and US forces. And for the South, conflict would put
investors to flight.
China is the only large economy with a higher growth rate at
11.9% in the January-March quarter. The rest of the world is
witnessing a fragile recovery, which is now under threat due to
the brewing Euro-zone crisis. The sixteen developed countries
in the Euro-zone expanded by just 0.2% in the quarter. At the
same time, the Organisation for Economic Cooperation and
Development (OECD)—a grouping of mostly developed
countries including Europe that account for over 60% of the
global economy—grew at only 0.7% in the quarter, against
0.9% in the previous quarter. US and Japan grew at 0.8% and
1.2%, respectively.
Seventy per cent of the revenue for spectrum comes from only
six circles, while locations such as West Bengal, Himachal
Pradesh, Assam and Jammu and Kashmir saw licences being
awarded at virtually the base price. The surprise package was
Bihar where the bids closed at Rs 203.46 crore, seven times its
base price.
Ajmal Kasab convicted of 26/11 attacks
On May 3, 2010, a Mumbai court found 22-year-old Pakistani
national, Mohammad Ajmal Kasab, guilty of mass murder and
waging war against India, while acquitting two other accused,
Fahim Ansari and Sabahuddin Ahmed for want of evidence, in
the November 26, 2008 attacks on the city. Kasab is the lone
surviving gunman from the attacks that killed 166 people. He
has been given the death sentence.
“It was not a simple act of murder. It was war,” judge M.L.
Tahiliyani said in a summary of the 1,522 page judgement.
“This type of preparation is not made by ordinary criminals.
This type of preparation is made by those waging war.”
RBI hikes key rates to tame inflation Interim government formed by Opposition in Kyrgyzstan
On April 20, 2010, the Reserve Bank of India announced a 25 Opposition alliance headed by former Foreign Minister Ms
basis points increase in repo and reverse repo rates as part of Roza Otunbayeva formed an interim government in
monetary tightening measures to rein in inflation. The apex Kyrgyzstan on April 8, 2010, dissolving Parliament and asked
bank also announced a 25 basis points increase in the Cash the toppled President Kurmanbek Bakiyev to quit as they
Reserve Ratio (CRR) for banks. Following the hikes, the CRR shored up global diplomatic support for the new regime.
now stands at 6 per cent while the repo and reverse repo rates
stand at 5.25 per cent and 3.75 per cent, respectively. Announcing that they would run the turbulent Central Asian
nation for six months, Ms Otunbayeva said the new alliance
The RBI expected the hike in CRR to absorb Rs 12,500 crore proposed to hold new elections within this period.
from the banking system. The apex bank said it was tightening
liquidity in a bid to rein in inflation which was hovering in In her first action, Ms Otunbayeva, designated the head of the
double digits. The RBI, however, expected inflation to remain interim government, said that a US airbase outside the capital
at 5.5 per cent during FY 11 with the GDP growing at 8 per Bishkek, which is seen vital to the NATO campaign in nearby
cent. Afghanistan would remain open despite the shift in power.
The government took the decision to enhance public The amendment removes the head of State’s power to sack the
accountability towards proliferation of the anti-smoking regime Prime Minister and dissolve Parliament. It also removes many
in the country. The decision to ban FDI is the latest in the of the sweeping powers amassed by military dictators Pervez
government's long-standing drive against smoking. In 2008, the Musharraf and Zia-ul-Haq. The Bill also abolishes a clause
government had banned smoking at public places and put a barring the election of a Prime Minister for more than two
curb on tobacco advertisements. terms. This would allow the Nawaz Sharif, who was toppled
by Musharraf in 1999, to become Prime Minister again.
Earlier, 100 per cent FDI was permitted in cigarette
manufacturing, but an industrial licence was needed and the The amendment effectively makes the President of Pakistan a
proposals required to be approved by the Foreign Investment titular head of State who can only formally appoint heads of
Promotion Board (FIPB). the armed forces, dissolve the National Assembly and appoint
Provincial Governors on the advice of the Prime Minister. The
New foreign investment policy document law also takes away the President’s power to appoint and
The Union government has launched a new policy document dismiss the heads of the Election Commission and the Public
consolidating the plethora of rules and norms governing foreign Service Commission.
investment in the country under one comprehensive document.
The move is aimed at making available all information on FDI UPFA returns to power in Sri Lanka
policy in one place. President Mahinda Rajapaksa's UPFA impressively returned
to power on April 9, 2010, bagging 117 of 225 seats in the
It will lead to simplification of the policy; greater clarity of first post-LTTE era Parliamentary polls in Sri Lanka, with its
understanding of foreign investment rules among foreign closest rival UNF securing just 46 and detained ex-army chief
investors and sector regulators, as also predictability of policy Sarath Fonseka's DNA failing to touch even a double digit
direction. mark.
Having a single policy platform that would subsume the 178 In Sri Lanka, the general elections directly decide 196 seats
press notes would also ease the regulatory burden for while the remaining 29 members are chosen based on the
government; it will be updated every six months. This percentage of votes secured by each party.
consolidated press note will be superseded by a press note to be
issued on September 30, 2010 to ensure that the framework The UPFA, which campaigned to get a two-third majority in
document on FDI policy is kept updated. the House, fell short of just six members to get the magic
figure which is needed to bring about constitutional changes
Chinese hackers crack India’s top defence secrets that the President wants to put in place. These changes include
The computer systems of scores of Indian embassies, military the scaling down of the executive powers vested with the
establishments and corporate bodies, as well as the email President, as well as a change in the country’s proportional
account of the Dalai Lama, were hacked by a Chinese cyber representation (PR) system of elections.
spy ring between September 2009 and April 2010. The main opposition United National Party (UNP) saw much
of its voter base eroded in the poll, the first since the defeat of
Hundreds of documents, including classified files, were stolen, the Tamil Tigers, winning only 60 seats, down from the 82 it
says a Canadian cyber-security team that monitored the ring— had won in the 2004 general election.
the Shadow Network—for eight months.
A third party led by detained former Army Commander Sarath
The Shadow Network focussed on India, especially its military. Fonseka won seven seats, including one for the retired general,
The Canadians, in effect, hacked the hackers and saw many while the majority of the seats in the north and east were won
documents themselves. by the Tamil National Alliance.
The Chinese hackers stole foreign ministry reports on India’s Civil strife in Bangkok
policy in West Africa, Russia and West Asia. They got Thailand has been sliding to anarchy for the last few months
National Security Council secretariat assessments of security with the capital Bangkok turning out to be a virtual battlefield.
situations in Assam, Nagaland, Tripura and Manipur, as well as The current violence is the culmination of a political strife that
the Maoist problem. has been brewing ever since Prime Minister Thaksin
Shinawatra was overthrown in a military coup in September
The penetration of India’s defence establishments was 2006.
remarkable. Three air force bases, two military colleges and an
array of military institutes like the Army Institute of The protests looked like they had ended when Democrat Party
Technology, Pune, were broken into. leader Abhisit Vejjajiva became the Prime Minister in
December 2008. But in March, the pro-Thaksin group
The hackers seemed interested in any defence information they launched a new wave of protests to bring down the
could find: from sensitive issues like live fire exercises government.
and Project Shakti—the army’s artillery command system—to
more innocuous material like personnel files. The tension has escalated in recent months as the protesters
laid siege to the capital Bangkok. As security forces launched
“This is a very serious, broad spectrum assault,” said strategic a crackdown, violence escalated, leaving many dead.
technology expert Ajay Lele, whose own agency, the Institute
for Defence and Security Analysis (IDSA), was robbed of 180 Apart from the pro-Thaksin angle, the protests are also seen as
documents. an initiative to bring in more participation for the common
people—read rural mass—in government formation.
The ring is believed to be based in Chengdu, in China’s
Sichuan province. The cyber-sleuths, based at the University of In the December 2007 elections, held 18 months after the
Toronto’s Munk School of Global Affairs, avoided saying this coup, Thaksin's vote bank remained loyal, though he was in
was government-approved but did say it was “possible”. exile. His allies came to power but fell following sustained
protests by Yellow Shirts and unfavourable court rulings. In
The Indian security establishment has little doubt the Shadow March 2009, Thaksin's supporters in red shirts poured into the
Network is cast by Beijing. Says K. Santhanam, former IDSA streets of Bangkok, forming the United Front for Democracy
head: “These rings are normally consortia in which Chinese Against Dictatorship.
academia, intelligence and military work together.”
Though it was mostly made of the rural poor, students and
Education becomes a basic right pro-democracy activists joined them. Claiming that the
The Right of Children to Free and Compulsory Elementary judiciary was biased against Thaksin, they question the
Education Act came into force in the country from April 1, legitimacy and credibility of the current government. What
2010, amid an emotional appeal of collective effort by Prime began as innocuous sit-in protests outside government offices
Minister Manmohan Singh and loads of applauses for the quickly turned violent when they stormed the venue for
government from various parties, including those in the ASEAN summit, forcing its cancellation.
Opposition—the BJP and the Left.
The Yellow Shirts, called the Peoples' Alliance for
Prime Minister Manmohan Singh recalled the 100-year old Democracy, who are bitterly opposed to Thaksin, were behind
resolve of Gopal Krishna Gokhale, who urged the Imperial the street protests that led up to the military coup of September
Legislative Assembly to confer on the Indian people the Right 2006. They were also instrumental in forcing Thaksin's allies
to Education. out of power in 2008.
With the RTE Act coming into force, the fundamental right to If the Red Shirts are mostly rural poor, the Yellow Shirts
education as incorporated in the Constitution under Article 21 comprise royalists, businessmen and the urban middle-class.
A also became operative. They wear yellow because it is the Thai King's colour. Media-
baron Sondhi Limthongkul and General Chamlong Srimuang
Right to Education (RTE) Act has, however, come into force are seen as the leaders of this outfit. In 2006, as the Yellow
amid a whopping shortage of 5.3 lakh school teachers. Add to Shirts shut down the capital, the army ousted Thaksin.
this, an additional seven lakh teachers that would be required
for proper implementation of the Act that gives a three-year US, Russia ink pact to cut N-arsenal
window period to States to make education a fundamental right On April 8, 2010, the United States and Russia signed a
of children in 6-14 age group and mandates setting up of landmark strategic nuclear disarmament treaty. Presidents
neighbourhood schools with full infrastructure. Barack Obama and Dmitry Medvedev signed the pact at a
ceremony in the mediaeval Prague Castle after talks that
Uttar Pradesh tops the list, contributing 32 per cent of all covered nuclear security, Iran's atomic programme and an
existing teachers’ vacancies in the country. Next is the Left uprising in the Central Asian State of Kyrgyzstan, where both
Front-ruled West Bengal, where 53,000 posts were lying major powers have military bases.
vacant, as per MHRD records. Bihar has 51,000 vacancies, the
figure for Chattisgarh and Orissa, the other educationally The treaty will cut strategic nuclear arsenals deployed by the
backward States, is 37,000. former Cold War foes by 30 per cent within seven years, but
leave each with enough to destroy the other.
Single-teacher schools are another big challenge for the RTE
law. Currently, 9 per cent (about one lakh) of the total 12 lakh Obama said the agreement had “ended the drift” in relations
schools at primary level have only one teacher, whereas the between Moscow and Washington and sent a strong signal that
RTE Act specifies that any school with enrollment of up to 60 the two powers that together possess 90 per cent of all atomic
students must have at least two teachers. weapons were taking their disarmament obligations seriously.
Union Budget passed after Rs 400 crore tax relief Icelandic Volcano causes air travel mess in Europe
On April 29, 2010, Finance Minister Pranab Mukherjee Europe saw air traffic chaos in April 2010 as a plume of ash
announced changes in tax proposals that will benefit coffee from the Icelandic volcano that erupted under the
growers, new hospitals and construction sector while making it Eyjafjallajokull glacier, made northern Europe a no-fly zone.
clear that service tax on domestic travellers would be Rs 100 An estimated 63,000 flights were cancelled, effecting more
per domestic journey and a maximum of Rs 500 for than five million passengers who were trying to get in and out
international travel. of major cities of Europe. The eruption of the volcano caused
the greatest air travel chaos since the Second World War II.
Mukherjee announced these concessions that would cost the
exchequer Rs 300-400 crore a year but did not touch the Goldman Sachs, another US financial behemoth in trouble
demand for rolling back the hike in petroleum and fertiliser Goldman Sachs, the most profitable securities firm in Wall
prices on which the entire opposition walked out before Lok Street history, released more than 70 pages of email and other
Sabha passed the Finance Bill, 2010. documents on April 25, 2010, ahead of a US Senate sub-
committee hearing on the firm’s actions throughout the
Explaining the reasons for his inability to concede the mortgage meltdown. The firm disputes the US Securities and
opposition's demand, he said the financial position was such Exchange Commission’s (SEC’s) claim that Goldman Sachs
that oil marketing companies faced an under recovery of Rs misled investors in a 2007 collateralised debt obligation
85,000 crore in 2010, apart from heavy outgo on account of (CDO) about the role played by hedge fund Paulson & Co,
subsidies, interest and other payments. which bet the CDO would collapse.
Five years of National Rural Health Mission SEC has accused Goldman Sachs of “making materially
As India celebrated completion of five years of National Rural misleading statements and omissions” in connection with a
Health Mission on April 12, 2010, Assam won the best synthetic collateralised debt obligation (CDO)—Abacus—that
performing State award among the north-eastern State category the firm structured and marketed to investors.
for implementing the programme well.
Goldman Sachs is said to have created marketing material
Rajasthan was adjudged the best performing State among the about Abacus and invited its clients—investment managers of
high-focus areas, while Tamil Nadu claimed the award in the banks, insurance companies, pension funds, etc—to invest in
category of non-focus States. the CDO. It is said to have given an impression to the
investors that the residential mortgage-backed securities that
Claiming credit for arresting the infant mortality rate (down to made up the CDO were hand-picked by ACA Management—
53 in 2008 from 58 in 2005 when NRHM started) and maternal then seen as a reputable fund manager, looking after dozens of
mortality rate (down to 254 in 2004 as against 301 in 2003), CDOs. Goldman clients invested in the CDO, believing these
Health Minister Ghulam Nabi Azad said the government was in loans were of good quality.
the process of designing a comprehensive programme on
population stabilisation in consultation with the State SEC claims Goldman deliberately hid from its clients John
governments. Paulson’s involvement, which was a huge conflict of interest.
Since Paulson was looking to short the sub-prime market, he
For the record, India has missed the goal of reaching 2.1 total was most likely to have picked the worst possible bonds.
fertility rate by 2010, as envisaged in the National Population
Policy of 2000. Within a year, 99 per cent of the assets within Abacus were
downgraded. Paulson, who was by this time betting against
For the future, five challenges have been listed for NRHM— Abacus by buying $15 million worth of credit default swaps
transition from curative to preventive health care, human (CDS) on Abacus, earned around $1 billion from the trade.
resource management, setting of output and outcome targets,
convergence and inclusive growth and approaches to public Bonn climate talks
health that look at the different stages of health transition at Delegates to the first UN climate talks after Copenhagen met
State and district levels so that appropriate strategies can be in April 2010 in Bonn and agreed to intensify their
adopted. negotiations on curbing greenhouse gases before 2010’s
decisive ministerial conference in Cancun. As representatives
SC quashes expulsion of Amarinder Singh by Punjab of the 192 countries that are party to the UN Framework
Assembly Convention on Climate Change (UNFCCC), they had a messy
In what is being viewed as a major political victory for former task. In the end, the parties to the UNFCCC merely “noted”
Punjab Chief Minister and Congress leader Capt Amarinder the existence of the accord, as some were utterly opposed to it.
Singh, the Supreme Court has ruled that his expulsion from the
State Assembly on September 10, 2008 was “constitutionally The aim of the negotiators was to pick up the broken pieces of
invalid” and ordered restoration of his membership. the Danish meeting and see what could be salvaged and turned
into a proper global agreement at the next UNFCCC
If Amarinder had committed any irregularities in the allotment conference, in Cancun, Mexico in December 2010.
of land to a private builder when he was Chief Minister during
the tenure of the 12th House of the Vidhan Sabha, the proper The United States seems to be the only country that still sees
course of action for the State government should have been to the Copenhagen accord as having a life of its own. Almost all
move the criminal law machinery, a five-member Constitution the rest, including countries that have “associated” themselves
Bench headed by Chief Justice K.G. Balakrishnan held. with the accord have insisted that the UNFCCC remains the
only agreed decision-making forum. Hence the discussions in
Further, the alleged improper exemption of land from the Bonn revolved around which bits of the accord could be
Amritsar Improvement Scheme “was an executive act” in his brought into the UNFCCC and how.
capacity as Chief Minister which “did not distort, obstruct or
threaten the integrity of legislative proceedings in any manner”, The Bonn talks were mainly about procedures—for example,
the apex court ruled. which texts to start with, how many meetings to hold before
Cancun, whether to mandate the chair to prepare draft text,
Also, the exemption had taken place during the 12th term of the and so on—but there was also much informal stock-taking
Vidhan Sabha, whereas the constitution of the Special about which pieces could be put together by Cancun.
Committee to inquire into it took place during the 13th term. “It
was not proper for the Assembly to inquire into actions that While some countries continued to call for an all-or-nothing
took place during its previous term, especially when there was approach, most feel that it is more realistic to aim for a
no relatable business that had lapsed from the previous term.” number of less ambitious, partial agreements on several
elements. These include ways to transfer climate-friendly
The court clarified that its judgment would not act as a hurdle technologies and funds for adaptation to climate change from
against the investigation, if any, into the alleged role of rich to poorer countries, as well as a deal that would
Amarinder Singh in the Amritsar Improvement Scheme compensate countries for keeping their forests intact.
notified on January 13, 2006.
This would mean delaying the more difficult decisions on
Visit of Afghan President Karzai ambitious targets for countries to reduce their greenhouse gas
Afghan President Hamid Karzai, during his two-day trip to emissions, and an overall legally binding agreement to the
New Delhi on April 26, 2010, sought to allay India’s concerns conference in South Africa at the end of 2011 or beyond.
over the proposed re-entry of the Taliban in the Afghanistan
government. Over 110 nations back Copenhagen climate deal
More than 110 nations, including top greenhouse gas emitters
Karzai indicated that his government would enter into a power- led by China and the United States, back the non-binding
sharing arrangement with those elements of Taliban who had Copenhagen Accord for combating climate change, according
accepted the country’s constitution and were not part of the Al to a first formal UN list.
Qaida.
The list, of countries from Albania to Zambia, helped to end
His meeting with Prime Minister Manmohan Singh came in the weeks of uncertainty about support for the deal, agreed at an
backdrop of moves being initiated by the Afghan government acrimonious summit in the Danish capital in December 2009.
to enter into a power-sharing arrangement with the so-called The list was compiled by the UN Climate Change Secretariat.
“moderate” elements of the Taliban. New Delhi is worried that
such a development will lead to the increased influence of The accord, falling short of a binding treaty sought by many
Pakistan in Afghanistan. nations, sets a goal of limiting global warming to below 2
degrees Celsius. But, it does not spell out what each nation has
In a statement issued after the meeting, Karzai said they had to do.
discussed the upcoming Afghanistan peace consultative jirga
that, he explained, should “comprise people of Afghanistan, It also promises almost $10 billion a year in aid for poor
those from all walks of life to advise on how to move forward nations from 2010-12, rising to at least $100 billion from
for reintegration and reconciliation of those elements of Taliban 2020, to help them slow emissions growth and cope with
and others who have accepted the Constitution and are not part impacts such as floods, droughts and rising sea levels. Apart
of the Al Qaida or any terrorist network.” from China and the United States, the list also includes top
The Afghan President also requested Prime Minister Singh to emitters such as the European Union, Russia, India and Japan.
send representatives to the follow-up to the London conference
in Kabul so that “India can participate once again in The accord was merely “noted” by the 194-nation summit
Afghanistan’s reconstruction”. after objections by a handful of developing nations, including
Venezuela, Nicaragua, Cuba and Sudan. The United Nations
India was forced to backtrack on the Taliban issue after the US then asked all countries to say if they wanted it to be listed.
and other European countries encouraged Karzai to do business Many big emerging economies were initially reluctant to sign
with the Taliban at the London conference held in early 2010. up after the deal failed to gain universal support, even though
While the US and NATO countries are looking for an exit route the original text was worked out by President Barack Obama
from war-ravaged Afghanistan, India is worried that that this with leaders of China, India, Brazil and South Africa.
will have an adverse impact on the security and stability of the
region. Nations not on the list include many Organization of
Petroleum Exporting Countries nations such as Saudi Arabia,
Bangladesh lifts ban on Indian films which fear a loss of oil revenues if the world shifts to
On April 24, 2010, Bangladesh announced that it has lifted an renewable energies, and some small island States which fear
almost four-decade ban on Indian films in a bid to boost rising sea levels.
attendances at cinemas. The move, however, drew loud
complaints from local actors and directors. BASIC countries seek environment treaty by 2011
India, China, Brazil and South Africa, jointly called BASIC
Films produced by Bollywood were banned from cinemas in countries, have said that the legally binding climate treaty on
Bangladesh since the country’s independence in 1972 in a bid reduction of carbon emission should be finalised latest by
to protect the local movie industry. 2011 as the “world could not wait indefinitely”.
The lifting of the ban comes amid warming relations between The third meeting of BASIC ministers concluded in Cape
India and Bangladesh after ties worsened between the Town April 25, 2010.
neighbours when an Islamist-allied government was in power
in Dhaka from 2001 to 2006. The statement also said that the developing countries strongly
support international legally-binding agreements, as the lack
But not everyone supports the move. “Indian films will of such agreements hurts developing countries more than
completely destroy our film industry and our culture. At least developed nations.
25,000 people will be jobless,” said Masum Parvez Rubel, a
leading star and a co-coordinator of a front against Indian films. The ministers said that negotiations should follow a two-
pronged approach. One track is on long-term cooperative
India, China Prime Ministers to connect via hotline action to combat climate change. The other is for developed
On April 7, 2010, India and China signed an agreement to countries to commit to what extent they will reduce their
establish a hotline between Prime Ministers of the two greenhouse gas emissions after 2012, when the current
countries, as External Affairs Minister S.M. Krishna and his commitment period of the Kyoto Protocol runs out.
Chinese counterpart Yang Jiechi resolved to take the bilateral
relationship to new heights. The next BASIC ministerial meeting will be held at the end of
July 2010 in Brazil, followed by one hosted by China at the
The agreement, under which dedicated phone lines will be set end of October 2010.
up in the Prime Minister's office of the two countries, was
signed by Krishna and Yang after their talks in Beijing. This International Conference on Nuclear Disarmament
would enable Prime Minister Manmohan Singh and his Chinese Iran hosted an international conference on nuclear
counterpart Wen Jiabao to hold direct conversations whenever disarmament on April 17, 2010. Delegates from more than 60
they want. countries, including as many as 25 foreign ministers or deputy
foreign ministers, attended the conference, ignoring attempts
This is the first time in recent years that India has established a by the West to dissuade them from attending the meet.
dedicated hotline facility with any country. The two countries
also decided to strengthen their cooperation in regional forums The presence of so many countries came as a pleasant surprise
and on addressing issues like global financial crisis and climate to Iran itself. Iranian Foreign Minister Manouchehr Mottaki
change. said the response to the conference was overwhelming. He
said the conference would go a long way in achieving the goal
Summit meeting between India-Pak Prime Ministers of nuclear disarmament and presenting to the international
On April 29, 2010, Prime Minister Manmohan Singh and his community the true nature of his country’s nuclear
Pakistani counterpart Yousaf Raza Gilani held their first programme.
bilateral meeting in nine months to end the diplomatic
stalemate in ties between their two nations since the 26/11 Even as the US was making a strong pitch for further
Mumbai terror attacks. sanctions against Iran, China and Russia, two permanent
members of the UN Security Council, attended the meet.
At their hour-long meeting, described as an “exercise in soul India, another key global player, was also present at the
searching” by Indian officials, the two leaders decided to conference, though it was only represented by the Joint
upgrade the bilateral dialogue to the political level, something Secretary (Disarmament) in the External Affairs Ministry.
which Islamabad had been insisting upon for months.
Iran showcased the two-day event to demonstrate that its
After the Pakistani premier assured Manmohan Singh that his nuclear programme was aimed at meeting its growing energy
government would not allow the misuse of the Pakistani needs and that it has no military agenda.
territory for launching terror attacks in India, the two PMs
instructed their foreign ministers and foreign secretaries to meet Iran moots establishment of independent global group under
“as soon as possible” to work out the modalities to pave the the UN to plan nuclear disarmament and suspension of
way for a “substantive dialogue” on all issues of mutual membership of the US and others which from the board of
concern to restore trust and confidence in the relationship. governors.
Political analysts, however, pointed out that this was not the India opposes sanctions against Iran and feels that Tehran
first time that the Pakistani leadership has promised not to should enjoy all rights to develop N-energy for peaceful
allow the misuse of the country’s soil for anti-India activities. purposes.
This commitment has been given to India time and again by
Islamabad since January 2004 when Pervez Musharraf was at Plot to sell Uranium foiled by Georgia
the helm of affairs. Georgian security forces have foiled a criminal plot to sell
weapons-grade uranium in the black market, the country’s
The two PMs did agree that there was lack of mutual trust that President told a gathering of world leaders on April 13, 2010.
was impeding the normalisation process and it was time to
think afresh on the way to move forward. The revelation brought a sense of urgency to the Washington
summit on nuclear security, where Barack Obama called on
ISI mole in MEA held the rest of the world “not simply to talk, but to act” to destroy
Madhuri Gupta, a promotee officer of the Ministry of External vulnerable stockpiles of nuclear material, or to safeguard them
Affairs who was posted as Second Secretary at the Indian against theft by terrorists.
mission for the last three years, was arrested by Delhi police on
April 25, 2010, on the charge of passing sensitive information Georgian sources said the highly-enriched uranium HEU was
to her contacts in Pakistan’s ISI. intercepted in a sting operation carried out by the Tbilisi
authorities in March 2010. They said the uranium was more
“We have reasons to believe that an official at the High than 70 per cent enriched and appeared to have been pure
Commission of India in Islamabad had been passing enough to use in a crude nuclear weapon.
information to Pakistan intelligence agencies. The matter is
under investigation. The official is cooperating with our The amount seized was small, but Georgian officials said the
investigations and inquiries,’’ MEA spokesman Vishnu gang was offering the HEU as a sample of a bigger quantity
Prakash. available for purchase.
Fifty three-year-old Madhuri, who is a spinster, was summoned “The Georgian ministry of interior has foiled eight attempts of
to New Delhi on the pretext of discussions on the SAARC illicit trafficking of enriched uranium during the last 10 years,
Summit when she was taken into custody. including several cases of weapons-grade enrichment.
Criminals associated with these attempts have been detained,”
Medical Council Chief held for taking bribe the Georgian President said.
The Central Bureau of Investigation (CBI) has arrested Medical
Council of India (MCI) president Ketan Desai in Delhi on Visit of Chinese President to USA
charges of corruption. Chinese President Hu Jintao, during his visit to USA in April
2010, told US President Barack Obama that their two nations
Desai and an associate, J.P. Singh, were picked up for allegedly should defuse economic strains through negotiations, but
demanding Rs 2 crore for granting recognition to a private neither leader touched on the yuan dispute. Hu also covered
medical college in Punjab. It is the MCI’s responsibility to the Iran nuclear dispute and China’s demands over Tibet and
maintain standards in medical education and in the profession. Taiwan, two areas that recently flared as sore-spots in US-
China relations.
Desai is also accused of granting recognition to several colleges
that didn’t meet required criteria. In 2001, he had stepped down The potentially touchy issue of China’s currency, the yuan, did
as MCI president after the Delhi High Court indicted him on not appear in either country’s public account of the chat.
corruption charges. Domestic US political pressure has been building on the
Obama administration to label China a “currency
Meghalaya gets its 9th CM in 12 years manipulator”.
Meghalaya Chief Minister D.D. Lapang submitted his
resignation to Governor R.S. Mooshahary on April 19, 2010, The relationship between Beijing and Washington has been
paving the way for his deputy Mukul M. Sangma to take dragged down in recent months by disputes spanning China’s
charge. currency and internet controls, US arms sales to the self-ruled
island of Taiwan, and Obama’s meeting with exiled Tibetan
Sangma, elected as leader of the Congress Legislature Party spiritual leader the Dalai Lama.
(CLP), was sworn in as the 25th CM since Meghalaya acquired
Statehood in April 1970. Both leaders agreed to work hard to ensure positive results at a
second round of their Strategic and Economic Dialogue in
Political instability in Meghalaya has seen eight CMs coming May.
and going in the past 12 years. Only two CMs have completed
five-year terms since the State was formed. The United States welcomed Hu’s decision to attend the
nuclear security summit, saying it would allow them to
The Congress-led ruling alliance has a comfortable majority of address a “shared interest in stopping nuclear proliferation and
44 in the 60-member Assembly, though the Congress has 28 protecting against nuclear terrorism”.
MLAs of its own. Its partners are the United Democratic Party
with 10 MLAs and six others, including three Independents. SAARC Summit, 16th
The 16th SAARC summit began at Thimpu, Bhutan, on April
Sangma, known to be a Lapang loyalist, is a four-time MLA 28, 2010, with India’s Prime Minister Manmohan Singh and
from Ampatigiri Assembly constituency. More importantly, he leaders of seven other member nations pledging to combat
is believed to be the counter of Congress to Nationalist extremism and terrorism, launch joint initiatives to deal with
Congress Party veteran and former Lok Sabha Speaker Purno climate change and boost intra-regional trade.
A. Sangma in the Garo Hills half of Meghalaya. This Garo
tribe-inhabited half has a traditional ambivalent relationship The Summit ended on April 29, 2010, with leaders adopting
with the other half dominated by Khasi-Jaintia tribes. the ‘Thimphu statement’ on climate change, signing an
agreement on trade in services and expressing their firm
Trouble began for Lapang after some Congress MLAs wanted resolve to stamp out terrorism from the region. The next
him to drop three Independents and the lone regional party summit would be held in the Maldives in 2011.
(KHNAM) MLA from the Cabinet. Lapang declined, saying he
could not betray “friends” who helped him form the Congress- Facing criticism for the slow pace of development in the
led Meghalaya United Alliance (MUA) government. region, the SAARC leaders reiterated their commitment to
implement the South Asian Free Trade Agreement (SAFTA)
The Independents and some regional party MLAs had broken in letter and spirit to boost intra-regional economic
away from the NCP-backed Meghalaya Progressive Alliance to cooperation for the prosperity of their people. The closing
help Lapang cobble together the MUA government on March ceremony of the summit was attended by leaders from all the
19, 2008, after voters delivered a fractured verdict in the eight SAARC countries—India, Pakistan, Bangladesh, Nepal,
Assembly elections that year. Afghanistan, Bhutan, Sri Lanka and the Maldives.
Representatives of nine observer countries—Mauritius, South
Naxals kill 73 security personnel in the deadliest attack ever Korea, China, Japan, Iran, the US, the EU, Australia and
In the biggest Naxal strikes in the country, the Left-wing Myanmar—were also present.
extremists killed 76 jawans of the Central Reserve Police Force
(CRPF) and critically wounded eight others in the restive The seven-page ‘Thimphu Silver Jubilee Declaration-Towards
Dantewada district of Chhattisgarh on April 6, 2010. a Green and Happy South Asia’’ emphasised the importance
of reducing dependence on high-carbon technologies for
The rebels had meticulously planned the entire operation; economic growth and hoped promotion of climate resilience
inviting security personnel to walk into the trap laid on the will promote both development and poverty eradication in a
Chintalnaar-Tademetla road, about 100 km from the district sustainable manner.
headquarters and some 540 km south of the State capital.
In line with India’s position, the SAARC countries underlined
The Naxalites, who were reportedly 1,000 in number, had that global negotiations on climate change should be guided
planted landmines and created temporary bunkers on the by the principles of equity, and common but differentiated
hilltops to easily target the jawans. The kaccha road where the responsibilities and respective capabilities as enshrined in the
incident took place had been surrounded by hilly terrains and UN framework convention and conducted in an open,
dense forests. transparent and inclusive manner. They also underscored the
need to initiate the process to formulate a common SAARC
The CRPF jawans did not get much time to take position and position for the Mexico conference on climate change in
retaliate. The Naxalites opened indiscriminate fire from the December.
bunkers located at strategic points and detonated a series of
landmines. The SAARC leaders agreed to establish an inter-governmental
expert group to develop clear policy directions for regional
A key reason for the CRPF’s dismal response to the Naxal cooperation as envisaged in the SAARC Plan of Action on
attack has been their lack of training. As CPO units poured into Climate Change. The leaders directed the SAARC Secretary-
Chhattisgarh for Operation Green Hunt, 5 battalions of the General to commission a study aimed at accreditation of
Border Security Force (BSF), 5 battalions of the Indo-Tibet SAARC with the Kyoto Protocol’s Adaptation Fund as a
Border Police (ITBP) and 2 battalions of the Sashastra Seema regional entity for undertaking adaptation projects in South
Bal (SSB) were all put through jungle warfare orientation Asia.
courses at Chhattisgarh’s well-reputed Jungle Warfare College
in Kanker. The CRPF, inexplicably, refused to undergo this IBSA Summit
training. The 2nd India-Brazil-South Africa (IBSA) Summit was held
in Brasilia on April 15, 2010. Speaking at the Summit, Prime
Training at the Jungle Warfare College, as every organisation Minister Manmohan Singh said the grouping of leading
except the CRPF seems to have known, has underpinned anti- developing economies must speak against the protectionist
Naxal operations in Chhattisgarh since 2005, when the college policies, “which are only short-sighted and self-defeating in
was set up with the help of the Indian Army. Over the last five the long run”. IBSA can contribute to the shaping of the global
years, Chhattisgarh has trained 12,700 policemen (including agenda and highlighting the issues of concern to developing
3700 from other States) at this institution. The college’s credo: countries, he added.
Fight the guerrilla like a guerrilla.
Underlining that the world must ensure that “we do not repeat
Instead of providing adequate training to each battalion that is the mistakes of the past”, the Prime Minister said for the
sent into counter-insurgency operations, the CRPF has relied global economic recovery to be sustainable, it must be
heavily for success on “elite” units, like its feared “Naga anchored in the real economy.
Battalion” which was based in Bastar for several years before
being pulled out. In 2008, the Home Ministry authorised the He also underlined the need for the IBSA to coordinate its
CRPF to raise 10 COBRA (Commando Battalions for Resolute positions in the G-20 and continue to pursue the early
Action) units, for counter-Naxal operations. But the regular conclusion of the Doha round of trade negotiations “because a
battalions remain largely untrained, pushed at will from fair and rule-based multilateral trading system is in our
election duty, to counter-insurgency, to patrolling riot-affected interest”.
areas, to anti-Naxal operations. The Home Ministry’s approach
has always centred on getting the CRPF to the trouble-spot. Nuclear Security Summit
After that, it is left to the harried battalion or company World leaders, including Indian Prime Minister Dr Manmohan
commander to deliver the goods. Singh, attending the Nuclear Security Summit in Washington
D.C., on April 12, 2010, set a stiff four-year target to secure
The answer clearly lies in carefully training CPOs, especially all vulnerable nuclear material in the world to prevent
before they go into counter-insurgency operations. terrorists from laying their hands on any of them.
New strategy to counter Naxals In a communiqué issued at the end of the summit, the leaders
The Union government is tweaking its strategy to deal with emphatically stated: “Nuclear terrorism is one of the most
Naxals. The list of changes includes: segregation within the challenging threats to international security” and agreed that
CRPF to have specialist anti-insurgency units, which will be “strong nuclear security measures are the most effective
trained to “attack first”; introduction of unmanned aerial means to prevent terrorists, criminals or other unauthorised
vehicles (UAVs) for surveillance; more choppers; and re- actors from acquiring nuclear material.” Another summit
training of men on the pattern of Indian Army before would be held in 2012 in South Korea to review the progress.
induction.
At a press conference after the summit, US President Barack
“Operations will go on…rather they are still on,” said well- Obama, under whose initiative the summit was convened,
placed sources, adding that 10 such battalions had been trained acknowledged that the task was tough but had to be done.
specially for the “attack first” policy which is the dictum of the Obama said: “This is an ambitious goal, and we are under no
Army and the BSF in dealing with adversaries. illusions that it will be easy. But the urgency of the threat, and
the catastrophic consequences of even a single act of nuclear
The training will include ramping up of infrastructure with terrorism, demand an effort that is at once bold and pragmatic.
firing ranges and also the use of the existing training facilities And this is a goal that can be achieved.”
of the Army in Jungle warfare. The Army’s jungle warfare
expertise is such that even the Chinese Army conducted a joint Indian Prime Minister Dr Manmohan Singh said he was
exercise with India in 2009. satisfied with the outcome of the summit and that it had
endorsed what India had been pressing for at various
For effective use, the CRPF—comprising 2.30 lakh personnel international forms in the past several years.
—will be segregated into two parts. One will help the State
governments in maintaining law and order duties, while the The summit also recognised that even as nations fulfil their
other, comprising younger men, will deal with insurgents. national responsibilities these could not addressed by countries
working in isolation. What was needed was a sustained,
The CRPF has also made it clear that the State governments effective programme of international cooperation. The leaders
have to start raising special operations groups of its local agreed that at the international level the need was for
policemen, like in Andhra Pradesh and J&K. The local boys compliance with existing key conventions and initiatives.
know the population and glean out good information from
villagers which comes handy.
The central bank said the repo rate, or the rate at which banks borrow from RBI, is being increased 25 basis points
to 5 per cent. Similarly, the reverse repo rate, or the rate at which surplus cash is parked with the central bank, was
increased to 3.5 per cent, from 3.25 per cent earlier.
This was the second action since January 2010, when RBI announced a 75-basis point rise in the cash reserve ratio
(CRR) to 5.75 per cent.
But, unlike CRR, which is used to manage liquidity in the system, an increase in the repo and reserve repo rates is
aimed at signalling an increase in interest rates.
RBI joined central banks in Australia and Malaysia, which raised rates in March, while Norway and Israel did so at
the end of 2009. The US Federal Reserve and the European Central Bank are among those waiting for evidence of a
more concrete recovery before they unwind record low borrowing costs.
DEFENCE
Delhi High Court orders for Permanent Commission for Women Officers
On March 12, 2010, in a path-breaking judgement, the Delhi High Court has directed the Centre to offer within two
months Permanent Commission (PC) to Short Service Commissioned (SSC) women officers of the Air Force and
the Army at par with male SSC officers with all consequential benefits, including promotion.
At present, the Indian Army offers permanent commission to women after 10 years of SSC. This is applicable to
those who were recruited after March 2009 and that too only in two streams — the Judge Adjutant General (JAG)
branch and the Education corps. Women are also recruited in Signals, Engineers, Ordnance and Air Defence but are
not eligible for PC.
In the IAF, women are offered a permanent option in the Legal, Accounts and Education corps. Women chopper and
transport pilots, engineering corps, Logistics and Meteorological streams are not eligible for permanent commission.
At present, there are about 1,050 and 827 women officers in the Army and the IAF, respectively. Separately, the
Navy has 280 women.
The benefit would be extended to women officers recruited prior to change of policy (March 2009) and the PC shall
be offered to them after completion of five years. However, these benefits would be available only to women
officers in service or who approached the HC but retired when the case was pending in the court, the Bench
clarified.
The court made significant remark on having women in combat roles saying “the claim of absorption in areas of
operation not open for recruitment of women officers cannot be sustained being a policy decision.”
LAW POINT
Live-in not an offence: SC
The Supreme Court has opined that a man and woman living together without marriage cannot be construed as an
offence. “Living together is not an offence. It cannot be an offence,” a three judge bench of Chief Justice K.G.
Balakrishnan, Deepak Verma and B.S. Chauhan observed.
The court said even Lord Krishna and Radha lived together according to mythology. The apex court made the
observation while reserving its judgement on a special leave petition filed by noted south Indian actress Khusboo
seeking to quash 22 criminal cases filed against her after she allegedly endorsed pre-marital sex in interviews to
various magazines in 2005.
The judges grilled the counsel for some of the complainants in the case and repeatedly stressed that the perceived
immoral activities cannot be branded as offence.
The apex court further said the views expressed by Khusboo were personal. “How does it concern you. We are not
bothered. At the most it is a personal view. How is it an offence? Under which provision of the law ?” the bench
asked the counsel.
Khusboo had approached the apex court after the Madras High Court in 2008 dismissed her plea for quashing the
criminal cases filed against her throughout Tamil Nadu.
Promotion fundamental right: SC
The Supreme Court has ruled that governments at the Centre and States should “act as model employers” and that
all eligible employees virtually had a “fundamental right” to promotion as guaranteed under Article 16 of the
Constitution.
A Bench comprising Justices R.V. Raveendran and Asok Kumar Ganguly made the clarification while directing the
Centre and the Union Public Service Commission to grant promotion with retrospective effect to members of the
Uttar Pradesh State Civil Service (SSC) who had been affected by a delay of more than two years in the cadre
review following the creation of Uttaranchal (now Uttarakhand) in 2000.
The Centre and the UPSC contended that the statutory mandate of a cadre review exercise every five years “is
qualified by the expression ordinarily” and as such it was not necessary to undertake it every five years. The Bench,
however, did not buy this argument. “We hold that the statutory duty which is cast on the State government and the
Central government to undertake the cadre review exercise every five years is ordinarily mandatory subject to
exceptions which may be justified in the facts of a given case.
“Surely, lethargy, inaction, an absence of a sense of responsibility cannot fall within the category of just
exceptions,” the apex court ruled, obviously indicting the UP government for not responding to the Centre’s
reminders.
The court accepted the government’s arguments that Rule 4(2) did not have retrospective effect, but refused to
interfere with the Delhi HC order which had, by using its special power under Article 142 of the Constitution,
directed the Centre to “mitigate the hardship and denial of legitimate rights of the employees” in view of the “facts
and circumstances of the case.”
LEGISLATION
Foreign Education Bill
After several years of debate, the Union Cabinet, on March 15, 2010, unanimously approved a Bill that would allow
foreign education providers to set up campuses in India and offer degrees. A Bill to this effect was first introduced
in the Rajya Sabha in August 1995. The new one is expected to be introduced in Parliament and be voted into law
by the monsoon session of 2010.
This is a milestone which will enhance choices, increase competition and benchmark quality. A larger revolution
than even in the telecom sector awaits us,” said Kapil Sibal, Union Minister for Human Resource Development
(MHRD).
The Foreign Educational Institutions (Regulation of Entry and Operations, Maintenance of Quality and Prevention
of Commercialisation) Bill will allow foreign universities to invest at least 51 per cent of the total capital
expenditure needed to establish the institute in India. Such institutes will be granted deemed university status under
Section 3 of the Universities Grants Commission (UGC) Act, 1956.
The Bill aims to regulate the entry, operation and maintenance of quality assurance and prevention of
commercialisation by foreign educational institutions, besides protecting the interest of the student community from
sub-standard and ‘fly by night’ operators.
The Bill is aimed at not only bringing in investment in the education sector, but also draw in foreign students,
besides helping check the flight of Indians to study (then work and settle) abroad.
The report rings alarm bells for policy makers, warning them against status quo. A rainfall deficit in 1963-66 had
decreased India’s food production by 20 per cent, but a similar drought in 1987-88 had very small impact on food
production due to widespread prevalence of groundwater, which is now declining.
India is the largest groundwater user in the world, exploiting 230 cubic kilometres of groundwater every year—over
a quarter of the global total. Today, groundwater supports 60 per cent of irrigated agriculture and more than 80 per
cent of rural and urban water supplies.
Even though there is a major dependence of many sectors on groundwater and it is being overexploited, there is little
investment in its management. This inaction has arisen mainly because the solutions often proposed for groundwater
management are very controversial, including “command-and-control” regulation of wells and curbing the supply of
free or cheap power for groundwater irrigation.
FOREIGN RELATIONS
India to sign extradition treaties with Iran, Sri Lanka, Brazil, France & Israel
After signing extradition treaties with Saudi Arabia and South Korea, India has finalised draft agreements with five
more nations—Iran, Sri Lanka, Brazil, France and Israel. The government is now working out the dates on which
the treaties can formally be signed.
The treaty with Saudi Arabia was signed in February, during Prime Minister Manmohan Singh’s visit to Riyadh.
Another such treaty was signed with South Korea when its President, Lee Myung-Bak, visited New Delhi in January
2010.
With bilateral cooperation in security and counter-terrorism measures assuming significance, India has stepped up
efforts to formalise agreements with other nations so suspects can be brought back to the country to be tried under
Indian laws. Indian government is giving extradition treaties the utmost importance as intelligence inputs suggest
that some nations could be used as safe heavens by terrorists and the underworld.
India has extradition treaties with several countries, including Nepal, Belgium, Netherlands, Canada, UK,
Switzerland, Bhutan, USA, UAE and the Russian Federation.
Six projects will be covered under the loan, including Sikkim Biodiversity Conservation and Forest Management
Project, Kolkata East-West Metro Project (II) and Rengali Irrigation Project (III). With this, the cumulative
commitment of ODA from Japan has reached Rs 15,5840 crore.
Demonstrating the solidity of their strategic relationship to the world, India and Russia sealed multi-billion dollars
deals in key areas like defence, nuclear energy, diamond, petroleum and aviation as Russian Prime Minister
Vladimir Putin reaffirmed Moscow’s support to Delhi in its fight against terrorism.
The visit is noted for the success in taking this vital strategic partnership forward, giving the much needed economic
impetus. A host of steps aimed at scaling up the current $7.5 billion bilateral trade to $20 billion by 2015 were set in
motion.
Besides agreement on nuclear reactors, an MoU for cooperation in Russia’s satellite navigation system was also
agreed upon during the visit.
Russia announced its readiness to build 16 nuclear reactors for power stations in India. An important agreement was
the umbrella pact between the National Power Corporation of India Limited (NPCIL) and the Atom Stroy for
Kudankulam III and Kudankulam IV nuclear reactors as part of the nuclear cooperation accord between the two
sides. The agreement on peaceful uses of nuclear energy is expected to open more avenues of nuclear cooperation
between the two countries. The two sides also signed a pact on serial construction of Russian designed nuclear
reactors.
The most significant accords between the two sides were on the Admiral Gorshkov aircraft carrier that was
approved by the Union Cabinet for the purchase of the vessel at $ 2.33 billion and the supply of 29 MIG 29K—the
sea variant of the fighter used by the IAF—valued at $ 1.5 billion.
The talks were wrapped up well before the August deadline. The US statement noted that these arrangements will
enable Indian reprocessing of US-obligated nuclear material under IAEA safeguards. Completion of these
arrangements will facilitate participation by US firms in India’s rapidly expanding civil nuclear energy sector.
The reprocessing arrangements were negotiated pursuant to Article 6 (iii) of the US-India civil nuclear cooperation
agreement, also called the 123 Agreement. Under the 123 Agreement, India will construct new facilities dedicated
for reprocessing the safeguarded nuclear material under IAEA safeguards.
The advanced consent agreement is only the third of its kind ever undertaken by the US. The US has such
agreements with the European consortium EURATOM and Japan. China, Brazil, Indonesia, South Korea, which
have 123 Agreements with the US, do not have such agreements.
RESERVATIONS
SC okays quota for Andhra Muslims
On March 25, 2010, the Supreme Court okayed religion-based reservation in government jobs and educational
institutes in Andhra Pradesh but referred the matter to a constitution bench to decide on its constitutional validity.
In an interim order, a bench headed by Chief Justice K.G. Balakrishnan extended the benefit of four per cent
reservation in jobs and education to 14 other backward classes of Muslims in the State. In the process, it stayed the
February order of the State High Court that had quashed the Andhra Pradesh Reservation for Socially and
Educationally Backward Classes of Muslims Act, 2007.
But the apex court refused to grant quota benefit to a 15th category of Muslims mentioned in the Act as the social
groups were not specified. It also made it clear this was a temporary measure. The constitution bench is expected to
take up the case in August 2010.
According to Andhra government, the reason for giving four per cent quota to backward Muslims was because they
constitute 5-6 per cent of the State's population. The creamy layer—those who earn over Rs 4 lakh annually,
children of class-I officers working with the State/Central governments and those who hold constitutional posts—
are not entitled.
Of the 186 members present in the Rajya Sabha, 185 voted in favour of the Bill. Barring the parties from the Hindi-
belt—Samajwadi Party, Rashtriya Janata Dal and BSP—all other parties that included the constituents of Congress-
led UPA and BJP-led NDA supported the Bill that was to carry out the 108th amendment to the Constitution for
enabling reservation.
The Congress-led UPA, the BJP-led NDA and also the Left parties were on the same side as the Parliament authored
the “historic move”, which could upstage several well ensconced politicians but ensure proper representation of
women, which languishes at 11 per cent in Lok Sabha.
SP and RJD MPs walked out even before the discussion began. BSP’s leader in Upper House Satish Chandra Misra
walked out after expressing his party’s point of view: “We support the cause of reservation, however, oppose the
Bill in its present form.”
The proposed legislation to reserve 33.3 percent seats in Parliament and State Legislatures for women was drafted
first by the H D Deve Gowda-led United Front government. The Bill was introduced in the Lok Sabha on September
12, 1996. Though it has been introduced in Parliament several times since then, the Bill could not be passed because
of lack of political consensus.
A cabinet meeting headed by Prime Minister Manmohan Singh approved the amendments to be incorporated in the
existing Act, which at present only provides for life imprisonment and fine.
The anti-hijack policy that was revised and approved by the Cabinet Committee for Security in 2005 could not be
made a law primarily due to lack of consensus on the punishment for the hijacker, having intent of creating terror
strike and caught alive.
The policy also has provision for immobilisation of the plane and disallowing it to take off, if the hijack occurs on
the Indian soil. Notably, during the Kandahar hijack in December 1999, in which passengers and crew members
were exchanged for four dreaded terrorists, security forces had failed to immobilise the plane when it had landed at
the Amritsar airport. The CCS, in August 2005, had cleared the proposal to shoot down a commercial plane if it was
hijacked. It also strictly ruled out any negotiations with hijackers on meeting any of their demands.
According to the policy, if a rogue aircraft paid no heed to ATC warnings and deviated from its specified path or
headed towards any strategic spot, a decision on shooting it down would come into play. In case of an emergency
situation, the shoot down orders could be given by the Prime Minister, the Defence Minister or the Home Minister,
whoever could be contacted first.
USA
Law on healthcare passed
On March 23, 2010, US President Barack Obama signed into law the landmark Health Care Bill that introduces
sweeping reforms in the USA’s healthcare system, capping a historic legislative victory that had eluded several of
his predecessors. It will take four years to implement fully many of the reforms.
Obama said that henceforth insurance companies will no longer be able to drop people's coverage, when they get
sick or they won't be able to place lifetime limits or restrictive annual limits on the amount of care they can receive.
The President said once this reform is implemented, health insurance exchanges will be created, a competitive
marketplace, where uninsured people and small businesses will finally be able to purchase affordable quality
insurance.
Obama said this legislation will also lower costs for families and for businesses and for the federal government,
reducing deficit by over $1 trillion in the next two decades.
WORLD ECONOMY
IMF paints grim picture of fiscal tightening needs
Developed countries with big budget deficits must start now to prepare public opinion for the belt-tightening that
will be needed starting 2011, says John Lipsky, the International Monetary Fund’s first deputy managing director.
He added that the scale of the adjustment required was so vast that it would have to come through less-generous
health and pension benefits, spending cuts and increased tax revenues.
Policy-makers should already be making it clear to their citizens why a return to prudent policies is a necessary
condition for sustained economic health, Lipsky said.
The IMF estimates that, by raising real interest rates, maintaining public debt at its post-crisis levels could reduce
potential growth in advanced economies by as much as half a percentage point annually.
Second, fiscal institutions must be strengthened to withstand adjustment fatigue. Options include reinforcing fiscal
responsibility legislation and improving tax collection.
Third, entitlement reforms such as increases in the retirement age would have favourable long-term fiscal effects but
do little near-term damage to aggregate demand.
The pact is part of the international effort to support IMF’s lending capacity following the decision of the Group of
20 nations at its London Summit (held in April 2009) to treble IMF’s resources to $750 billion.
Generally, IMF will give a five-day notice to RBI about its intention to issues notes, including the amount. It will
restrict issuance to a principal amount not exceeding SDR 500 million in any calendar week.
At the beginning of each quarter, IMF will also provide estimates for the amount for which notes will be issued
during a three-month period.
Permanent increases in IMF’s resources are expected to take place through an increase in quotas and standing
borrowing arrangements currently under negotiation.
ENVIRONMENT
India and China Okay Copenhagen Pact
On March 9, 2010, India and China formally backed the Climate Change Accord hammered out in Copenhagen in
2009, calling for voluntary cut in greenhouse gas emissions. Both the countries submitted official letters to the UN
Climate Change Secretariat saying that they agreed to being listed in the preamble of the Accord, subject to certain
conditions.
India made it clear, however, that the accord is a political document and not a legally binding one.
INTERNATIONAL RELATIONS
Google leaves China
Late on March 23, 2010 night, the Internet giant Google shut its Chinese website and shifted its search engine
services to uncensored Hong Kong after two months of confrontation with Beijing over censorship and alleged
hacking attacks. But those re-routed to Hong Kong still couldn’t access sensitive websites as these were blocked by
Chinese filters.
Google’s bold censure of the business environment in the world’s number three economy—and the biggest online
market of 384 million netizens— had left the fate of its future China operations in doubt.
Soon after Google’s announcement, Beijing lashed out by calling the action “totally wrong” and saying it “violated
the written promise” it made four years ago, when it arrived, promising to self-censor online services as required by
Chinese law.
Chinese Foreign Ministry spokesman Qin Gang said the exit would not affect Sino-US relations unless someone
politicised the issue.
China believes its citizens need strict censorship. It blocked YouTube after the Tibet riots in March 2008, fearing the
spread of mass unrest through the Internet. Facebook and Twitter were blocked after the Xinjiang riots in July 2009.
Obama met Afghan President Karzai in the palace’s outdoor grounds and stood under a pavilion for a brief
welcoming ceremony. The President spent roughly six hours in the country.
During their meeting the Afghan leader was invited to the White House on May 12, 2010. Mr Obama also tackled
Mr Karzai on his failure to make any meaningful reforms since he narrowly won a second term in fraud-ridden polls
in 2009.
Mr Karzai made grandiose promises in his inauguration speech but so far he has failed to deliver. At the time, US
officials said he had six months to reform or risk losing American support.
Mr Obama also addressed 2,500 US troops at Bagram air force base, nine miles from Kabul. He praised them for
their courage, sacrifice and focus, and warned of tough days ahead.
After months of deadlock and delay, a breakthrough deal on a replacement for the Cold War-era START pact
marked Obama’s most significant foreign policy achievement since taking office and also bolsters his effort to
“reset” ties with Moscow.
Russia made clear, however, that it reserved the right to suspend any strategic arms cuts if it felt threatened by future
US deployment of a proposed Europe-based missile defence system that Moscow bitterly opposes.
The agreement replaces a 1991 pact that expired in December 2009. Each side would have seven years after the
treaty takes effect to reduce stockpiles of their most dangerous weapons—those already deployed—to 1,550, from
the 2,200 now allowed, and also cut their numbers of launchers to half.
INTERNATIONAL TERRORISM
Chechen insurgency re-surfaces in Russia
During the six years since the last suicide bomb attack on the Moscow subway, Muscovites came to think of
themselves as insulated from the guerrilla warfare. Terror, however, returned to the heart of Russia on March 30,
2010, with two deadly suicide bombings on the Moscow subway at rush hour, including an attack at the station
beneath the headquarters of the secret police. At least 40 people were killed and more than 60 wounded in the blasts.
Russian police had killed several Islamic militant leaders in the North Caucasus recently, which raised fears of
retaliatory strikes and escalating bloodshed by the militants. The bombings showed that the beleaguered rebels are
still strong enough to inflict harm on an increasingly assertive Russia, and they followed a warning in February 2010
from Chechen rebel leader Doku Umarov that “the war is coming to their cities.”
Prime Minister Vladimir Putin, who built much of his political capital by directing a fierce war against Chechen
separatists a decade ago, promised to track down and kill the organizers of what he called a “disgusting” crime.
Headley (49), who was arrested by FBI's joint terrorism task force on October 3, 2009, told US District Judge Harry
Leinenweber that he wanted to change his plea to guilty, in an apparent bid to get a lighter sentence than the
maximum death penalty.
Headley, son of a Pakistani diplomat and a Philadelphia socialite, admitted to using his friend Tahawwur Rana's
immigration company as a cover for surveillance activities in India and Denmark on behalf of Pakistan-based
terrorist groups, including LeT.
Headley admitted guilty in all six counts of conspiracy involving bombing public places in India, murdering and
maiming persons in India and providing material support to foreign terrorist plots and LeT; and six counts of aiding
and abetting the murder of US citizens in India.
CURRENT AFFAIRS: FEBRUARY 2010
AGRICULTURE
Scientists slam study behind Bt Brinjal ban
A vital study cited by Environment Minister Jairam Ramesh to justify his decision to
disallow the commercial cultivation of Bt brinjal in India is flawed, claim top European
scientists. Mr Ramesh had referred to the findings of France-based Caen University
professor Gilles-Eric Séralini and his team, which had branded Bt brinjal—India’s first
genetically modified (GM) food crop—“unsafe”.
Experts claim that Séralini was unduly influenced by the renowned international NGO
Greenpeace—with its aggressive green agenda—which sponsored the study, and never
carried out a peer-reviewed laboratory study on GM crops he called hazardous,
including Bt maize and Bt brinjal, its gene or seeds.
The European Food Safety Association, a risk assessment body, has trashed Séralini’s
findings on Monsanto’s MON 863, a variety of Bt maize.
Bt Brinjal is a genetically modified vegetable that is infused with Cry1Ac gene from a
bacterium, bacillus thuringiensis, to make the plant resistant to fruit and shoot borers
and certain pests.
The idea is to have for every student a level playing field for entry to professional
colleges. The government has also received the approval of all school boards—including
State boards—to work towards a single, national-level entrance exam for all engineering
and medical courses in India from 2013. Gradually, such an exam would be extended for
entry to colleges of other disciplines, such as law.
One test would mean the end of plenty like IIT-JEE, AIEEE and State exams for
engineering colleges and various State-level PMTs, beside national level PMT, which the
CBSE conducts. This, the Human Resource Development (HRD) Ministry believes, would
lessen the burden on students, who have to prepare for different exams, which bring
their own levels of stress.
ENVIRONMENT
India to launch mission to cut emissions
India will spare no efforts to contribute to the success of post-Copenhagen process,
Prime Minister Manmohan Singh declared on February 6, 2010, as he announced the
launch of a National Mission on Enhanced Energy Efficiency, aimed at cutting carbon
emissions by 99 million tonnes. Within the ambit of our National Action Plan on Climate
Change, India has already unveiled one of the world's most ambitious plans for
promoting solar energy, targeting an installed capacity of 20,000 MW by the year 2022.
The initiative is expected to lead to avoidance of capacity addition of nearly 20,000 MW
and reduce carbon dioxide emissions of almost 99 million tonnes.
LAW POINT
Courts do not need nod for CBI probe: SC
On February 17, 2010, the Supreme Court upheld the constitutional validity of courts’
powers to order CBI probe without the consent of State governments but with a rider:
the powers should be used cautiously and sparingly. The five-judge Constitution Bench,
headed by Chief Justice K.G. Balakrishnan, said that such powers have to be used
sparingly in exceptional and extraordinary circumstances in cases having national and
international ramifications. Otherwise, the CBI will be flooded with such directions in
routine cases. Such powers are vested with the apex court and High courts to ensure
protection of fundamental rights of citizens under Article 21 of the Constitution, it said.
LEGISLATION
Judicial Standards and Accountability Bill
The proposed Judicial Standards and Accountability Bill, which will replace the four
decade-old Judges Inquiry Act, has laid down 14 guidelines for judges. These guidelines
will be called judicial standards.
N-liabilities Bill
In an important step towards the implementation of the Indo-US civilian nuclear deal,
the Union government is to introduce a Bill to facilitate the entry of American
companies in the nuclear sector. The Civil Liability for Nuclear Damage Bill, 2009 is
commonly known as the nuclear liability Bill.
The Bill aims at limiting the liability of a nuclear plant operator to Rs 300 crore in the
eventuality of an accident and provides for appointing a claims commissioner with
powers of a civil court to arbitrate such cases. It also provides for the penalty to be
paid by the operator and not the supplier companies, which would mainly be American
in this case.
The operator would not be liable for any nuclear damages if the incident is caused by
“grave national disaster of exceptional character”, armed conflict or an act of
terrorism and is suffered by the person on account of his own negligence.
The Bill also provides for the establishment of the Nuclear Damage Claims Commission,
which will have one or more claims commissioners for a specified area. The claims
commissioner shall have all the powers of a civil court for the purpose of taking
evidence on oath, enforcing attendance of witnesses, compelling the discovery and
production of documents and other material objects.
Environment activists have described the attempt to cap the level of compensation for
victims of a nuclear accident as a violation of fundamental rights. Currently, the Atomic
Energy Act, 1962, allows the government-owned Nuclear Power Corporation of India to
operate nuclear power plants in the country.
Highlights:
54 new trains, including 10 Durantos, were announced. The Minister also promised to
construct over 1,000 km of new rail lines over next one year.
Only Rs 373.09 crore was provided for new projects. Many projects come with riders:
they’re either proposed in the public-private partnership (PPP) mode or are “subject to
sanction by the Finance Ministry and Planning Commission”.
Highlights:
The Commission has told governments at the Centre and States to set their fiscal house
in order, even as it raised the share of taxes that the States would be entitled to
receive over the next five years by 1.5 percentage points.
In addition, the Commission, a Constitutional body that is appointed every five years to
recommend a tax-sharing formula between the Centre and States, has suggested a
roadmap for the introduction of a single-rate goods and services tax (GST), the key
indirect tax reform to create a common market in India.
Its stringent new roadmap for fiscal responsibility suggests, among other things, that
the overall debt of the Centre and States be capped at 68 per cent of gross domestic
product (GDP) from the current 82 per cent, and 75 per cent recommended by the
Twelfth Finance Commission.
The Finance Commission has recommended that the Centre reduce debt to 45 per cent
of GDP by March 2015, against 54.2 per cent at present. For States the reduction in
debt is recommended at 2 percentage points to 25 per cent. The relatively less
stringent condition for States comes with the rider that the Fiscal Responsibility and
Budget Management Act allows the Centre to borrow on behalf of the States to help
them counter macro-economic shocks. During the financial crisis, the Centre had
relaxed the cap on the fiscal deficit.
The Finance Commission has said the Centre should transfer 32 per cent of the taxes it
collects to States, against 30.5 per cent at present. The overall ceiling— including
transfers to local bodies—on transfers from the Centre’s gross revenue has been raised
from 38 to 39.5 per cent.
Among proposals that provide a thrust to fiscal federalism, the commission has
recommended that local bodies receive up to 2.5 per cent of the divisible tax pool. Of
this, up to 1 per cent can be incentive-linked.
While there is more reason for the States to cheer since the commission proposes an
increase in grants, much of it is tied to specific spending programmes such as those for
elementary education and environment. There is, however, a performance incentive of
Rs 1,500 crore for Assam, Sikkim and Uttarakhand and a grant of Rs 51,800 crore to
meet the deficits of Jammu & Kashmir, Himachal Pradesh and the north-eastern States
(excluding Assam).
Like its predecessor, the Thirteenth Finance Commission has recommended a debt
relief scheme for the States. The first element is to cap the interest rate on a part of
the loans from the National Small Savings Fund at 9 per cent from up to 10.5 per cent.
This will translate into a benefit of Rs 28,360 crore to the States. In addition, there is a
Rs 4,506 crore benefit with the government accepting the suggestion to write off
central loans that are not administered by the finance ministry but were outstanding at
the end of 2009-10.
Including the higher grants-in-aid, Madhya Pradesh, Uttar Pradesh and Maharashtra
would be the biggest beneficiaries in terms of share of transfers. Himachal Pradesh,
Uttarakhand and Jammu and Kashmir would be the top losers.
The Finance Commission has projected that tax receipts would see a compounded
annual growth rate of over 17 per cent between March 2010 and March 2015, while
nominal GDP growth is estimated at 13.2 per cent.
Prescribing a zero revenue deficit as the golden rule, the Commission has recommended
that the endeavour for all States should be to reach that level by 2014-15.
The decision, to take effect from April 1, 2010, will help the government reduce its
fertiliser subsidy bill, estimated at Rs 50,000 crore for 2009-10. But, the move will hit
farmers, even as fertiliser companies will stand to gain. The latest decision does away
with the practice of government fixing a maximum retail price and aims at replacing
the current system of giving subsidy to the industry with direct assistance to farmers.
The switch to the nutrient-based fertiliser plan is significant as companies will now be
able to change retail prices of only nutrient-based fertilisers (nitrogen, phosphorus,
potash and sulphur), which will help the government cap the subsidy on these
fertilisers. The move is also expected to attract fresh investment in the fertiliser
industry.
POLITICAL
Justice Srikrishna committee to look into formation of Telangana
The Union government has set-up a five-member committee headed by Justice B.N.
Srikrishna to look into the modalities of forming the separate State of Telangana. The
committee has been given time till December 31, 2010 to consult all sections of the
society and submit report. The terms of reference of the committee are:
Examine the situation in Andhra Pradesh with reference to demand for separate
Telangana State, as well as the demand for maintaining the present status of a
united Andhra Pradesh.
Review developments in the State since its formation and their impact on the
progress and development of different regions of the State.
Examine the impact of recent developments in the State on different sections
of people such as women, children, students, minorities, OBCs, SC and STs.
Consult all sections of people, especially political parties and elicit their views
on a range of solutions that would resolve the present difficult situation.
Identify the key issues that must be addressed.
Consult organisations of other civil societies such as industries, trade unions,
farmer organisations, women students.
Make any other suggestion and recommendations that the committee may deem
appropriate.
The protagonists of separate State, however, rejected the terms of reference
of the Justice Srikrishna committee and vowed to intensify their agitation. The
Telangana Rashtra Samithi (TRS), which has been spearheading the statehood
agitation, struck a belligerent note and announced that its MPs, MLAs and MLCs
would resign in protest.
Rejecting the terms of reference and the ten-month time frame given for the
committee, the TRS chief said the Centre had once again cheated the people of
Telangana by backtracking on its December 9, 2009 statement announcing
initiation of the process for formation of separate State.
Taking serious objection to the inclusion of the demand for continuation of united
Andhra Pradesh among the terms of reference, he said: “what is the point in looking
into the demand for united Andhra Pradesh when it already exists now? There is only
one popular movement going on in the State and that is for separate Telangana State.”
However, the leaders from coastal Andhra and Rayalaseema regions found comfort in
the open-ended nature of the panel’s terms. “We welcome the terms of reference,
which are fairly balanced. It will give an opportunity for a thorough assessment of the
ground situation,” a ruling Congress MP from coastal Andhra region said.
FOREIGN RELATIONS
Asian group endorses seat to India in UN Council
India's candidacy for a non-permanent seat in the Security Council has been endorsed
by all 53 member States of the Asian group in the UN General Assembly. Nineteen
countries, including Nepal, Sri Lanka, Afghanistan and Bangladesh, spoke in favour of
giving India a slot on the Security Council table from January 2011.
In January 2010, India's path to a non-permanent seat got cleared after its sole
competitor from Asia, Kazakhstan, backed out of the race.
The Security Council is made up of 15 States—five permanent members who have the
veto power and 15 non-permanent members elected for a two-year term. To win, India
needs two-thirds of the General Assembly vote, which adds up to about 128 counties
saying yes to India's presence in the Council.
Running after more than a decade, India orchestrated a year-long campaign led by
India’s envoy to the UN Hardeep Singh Puri, who campaigned in New York and at
multilateral events at the United Nations.
The last time India had a seat at the Council was in 1992. In 1996, Japan won with India
trailing behind with approximately 40 votes.
India also offered to supply 50,000 tonne of wheat, 20,000 tonne of rice and 10,000
tonne of yellow peas to its neighbour. An additional 2,000 tonne of wheat would be
provided to Nepal, if required.
The four accords signed by the two countries are: new air services agreement, MOU on
development of railway infrastructure at five border points, MOU on development of
India-Nepal friendship polytechnic at Hetavda in Makwanpur district of Nepal; and MOU
on establishment of India-Nepal friendship convention centre at Birgunj in Nepal.
During the delegation-level talks, the Indian Prime Minister hoped that the peace
process and drafting of the constitution would be completed in Nepal as per the
schedule. Sixty-two-year-old India-educated Yadav expressed his gratitude to the Indian
leadership for assisting his country in its economic development.
The Presidential visit came on the eve of a new constitution the Nepal government has
pledged to promulgate in May 2010. Nepal's fragile peace process that began after a
decade of insurgency is expected to be consolidated by the new statute. However,
hiccups continue, with the Maoists now saying they will agree to the rehabilitation of
their guerrilla army, the People's Liberation Army (PLA), only after the new statute
came into effect.
At the first official dialogue between the two countries after a 14-month hiatus, on
February 25, 2010, India focused on terrorism emanating from the Pakistani territory,
while Pakistan raised the Kashmir, water and Baluchistan issues.
The Saudi minister said, “Pakistan is a friendly country. Therefore, any time one does
see dangerous trends in a friendly country, one is not only sorry but worried. And it is
indeed the duty of all political leaders in Pakistan to unite to see that extremism does
not find a way to achieve its aim in the country and this can only happen with united
political leadership in Pakistan. This, we hope, Pakistan will possibly achieve.”
India sees Saudi Arabia as a strategic partner for promoting peace, stability and
economic development. Such a partnership will bring benefits not only to the two
countries but to the region. After discussions between Mr Singh and King Abduallah, the
two sides signed the Riyadh declaration.
The Delhi Declaration, signed during the historic visit of King Abdullah to India in 2006
as the chief guest on India's Republic Day, had charted out a new path of cooperation
between India and Saudi Arabia across a range of fields including security, bilateral
trade and investment, culture, science and technology. According to the new
declaration, keeping in view the development of relations between the two countries,
and the potential for their further growth, the two leaders decided to raise their
cooperation to a strategic partnership covering security, economic, defence and
political areas.
Days after keeping New Delhi out of the Istanbul conference on Afghanistan at the
instance of Pakistan, Turkish President Abdullah Gul sought to placate India by strongly
endorsing its position on the issue of terrorism.
Turkey is the first Organisation of Islamic Conference (OIC) member to support India’s
call for early conclusion of a comprehensive convention on international terrorism,
which finds a mention in the joint declaration on terrorism. Turkey’s position is being
seen as a major departure from that of OIC, which is not willing to exclude armed
forces from the purview of the convention.
On Afghanistan, the Turkish President praised the role being played by India in the
reconstruction plan in the embattled nation.
India has already signed nuclear deals with France, the USA, Russia, Kazakhstan,
Namibia, Mongolia and Argentina. A nuclear agreement between India and Canada has
also been finalised. Germany and South Korea have also expressed their desire to
cooperate with India in the field of civil-nuclear energy.
RESERVATIONS
Andhra HC quashes quota for Muslims
In a major setback to the Andhra Pradesh government’s Muslim reservation policy, the
High Court, on February 8, 2010, struck down a legislation providing four per cent quota
for the minority community in jobs and educational institutions.
A seven-member constitutional bench headed by Chief Justice A.R. Dave found fault
with the way the survey was conducted by the Backward Classes Commission, whose
recommendations had formed the basis for quota policy.
The State Assembly had passed the legislation in July 2007 providing four per cent
reservation for socially and educationally backward Muslims by including them among
backward classes. The quota was made applicable to 15 Muslim groups identified by the
Andhra Pradesh Backward Classes Commission as socially and educationally backward.
These were categorised as BC-E Group for the purpose of providing reservation.
Acting on a bunch of writ petitions filed by several individuals and organisations
challenging the legislation, the court—in a majority verdict—termed the commission’s
survey as “irrational and unscientific” and held the legislation as “unsustainable”.
The Centre earmarked Rs 1,230 crore for 2009-10 for the scheme for modernisation of
the State police forces (MPF), which is meant primarily to equip State governments to
deal with emerging challenges to internal security like terrorism and naxal violence.
The poor performing States have outdated and obsolete weapons and even the
extremist-prone police stations are often not supplied with modern weapons, and even
when it is supplied police personnel are not trained to use them. Their police
communication network does not function efficiently, they do not have enough vehicles
and their forensic laboratories lack proper infrastructure.
DISASTER
Chile hit by 8.8 magnitude earthquake
On February 27, 2010, more than two million people were affected in some way and
more than 300 people were killed as an 8.8-magnitude earthquake hit coastal Chile.
Santiago, capital of Chile, is 200 325 km northeast of the epicentre.
The quake was 700 to 800 times stronger, but at a greater depth—35 km—compared to
the shallow 14 km depth of the Haiti quake, which contributed towards much of the
damage there.
Coastal Chile has a history of deadly earthquakes, with 13 quakes of magnitude 7.0 or
higher since 1973. As a result, experts said that newer buildings are constructed to help
withstand the shocks. Still, the damage from Chile's earthquake was widespread. A 15-
story high rise near the southern city of Concepción collapsed; the country's major
north-south highway was severed at multiple points; and the capital city's airport was
closed after its terminal sustained major damage.
The epicentre was just a few kilometres north of the largest earthquake recorded in
the world: a magnitude 9.5 quake in May 1960 that killed 1,655 and unleashed a
tsunami that crossed the Pacific.
WORLD ECONOMY
US Fed signals end to emergency liquidity
On February 20, 2010, the US Federal Reserve Board sent its most explicit signal yet
that the emergency supply of liquidity to financial markets is done and the most
aggressive monetary policy easing in its 96-year history will eventually reverse.
Chairman Ben S Bernanke and his colleagues at the Board of Governors raised the rate
charged to banks for direct loans by a quarter-point to 0.75 per cent. It was the first
increase in the discount rate since June 2006.
The Fed portrayed the decision as a “normalization” of lending that would have no
impact on monetary policy. The assurances didn’t stop investors from increasing bets
that the Fed would tighten policy in the fourth quarter. The dollar rose and US stock
futures fell after the announcement.
US central bankers closed four emergency lending facilities in February 2010 and are
preparing to reverse or neutralize the more than $1 trillion in excess bank reserves they
have pumped into the banking system. The discount-rate increase will encourage banks
to borrow in private markets rather than from the Fed. In any case, financial
institutions have reduced their reliance on the Fed window. Banks had borrowed $14.1
billion as of February 17, 2010, representing less than 1 per cent of the central bank’s
$2.28 trillion in total assets. A year ago, borrowing stood at $65.1 billion.
However, it is the political crisis that is posing a question mark before the very future
of the EU. The result is a monetary union that features a common currency without a
matching fiscal or political union. Thus, although the European Central Bank sets
interest rates for the euro-zone, it does so in a vacuum, with constituent governments
retaining control over fiscal and economic policy.
The large disparities between euro-zone nations have been thrown into sharp relief by
the global economic crisis. On the one hand, you have the unflatteringly named PIGS
(Portugal, Ireland, Greece and Spain), all of whom are finding accruing debt
increasingly expensive, leading to the spectre of State bankruptcy. The worst of the lot
is Greece. Its economy shrank by 1.2 per cent in 2009. Having been found out to be
cooking its books for years, Greece’s public debt is expected to break 120 per cent of
output.
The poor economic condition of the PIGS, in particular Greece, has thrown up a
conundrum for the large, surplus economies of the euro-zone like France, Germany and
the Netherlands.
There are three options on the table, none of which are finding immediate takers. The
first is to issue a common euro-zone bond, which would be placed at Greece’s disposal.
But countries with good credit, like Germany, are opposed to the idea because of the
higher interest rates that would result.
An alternative is giving bilateral financial aid with economically healthy countries in the
euro-zone taking out loans on the financial market at good rates and passing these on
to Greece.
The final option is an old-style IMF bailout, perhaps the most sensible of the choices.
But, for the IMF to come to Greece’s rescue would be a slap in the face of EU, implying
that it cannot take care of its own house and requires an institution that has always
been sceptical of the euro to act as saviour.
The global NGO Social Watch’s index of 130 countries says 100 points defines well-being
of the citizens based on children getting education till primary level, child mortality
rate and percentage of births attended by skilled labourers. The BCI does not use
income as an indicator.
According to the index, South Asia, a region with worst BCI in 2004, has been making
fast progress, but the situation is still “extremely critical”. Since 2004, the report said,
one-third of the countries failed to raise their BCI value by more than one per cent and
only one out of six countries showed significant progress.
The index also tells about the increasing gap in living standards of rich and poor in the
world. The highest BCI is 97 of Iran and lowest is 44 of Chad in Africa, followed by
Afghanistan, Ethopia, Bangladesh and Nepal.
China, the fastest-growing large economy, clocked a growth of 10.7 per cent in the
December 2009 quarter, bringing it at a sniffing distance to surpass Japan as the second
largest economy in the world.
Japan’s economy, which is primarily exports-driven, rose 1.1 per cent in the fourth
quarter of 2009. On an annual basis, GDP expanded a much higher pace at 4.6 per cent.
For the whole of 2009, the Japanese economy shrank 5 per cent and is valued at 474.92
trillion yen (about $5.1 trillion). The better-than-expected Japanese growth in the
December 2009 quarter was mainly driven by better exports and effects of stimulus
measures. To bolster the recession-hit economy, Japan had unveiled stimulus measures
worth over $130 billion.
NUCLEAR PROLIFERATION
Iranian President declares Iran a nuclear State
Iranian President Mahmoud Ahmadinejad declared on February 11, 2010, that Iran had
produced its first batch of 20 per cent enriched uranium, amidst a growing view in the
West that Tehran is bluffing.
“Iran was now a nuclear State,” Ahmadinejad told a huge rally of supporters on the
31st anniversary of the Islamic Revolution. Experts say that once Iran can enrich
uranium to 20 per cent it should move relatively quickly toward 90 per cent
purification, weapons-grade fuel.
Former U.S. officials and independent nuclear experts say continued technical problems
could delay—though probably not halt—Iran’s march towards achieving nuclear-weapons
capability, giving the US and its allies more time to press for a diplomatic solution.
While Iran says its nuclear program is entirely peaceful, Western nations suspect that
the country is intent on developing an atomic bomb.
DEFENCE
Army doctrine being reviewed
The Army’s military doctrine is being reviewed and it will now include an added thrust
in five key areas that will propel the doctrine. This includes wars in faraway lands,
besides strategy on how to face future challenges posed by China and Pakistan.
The key areas include preparation for a two-pronged war with China and Pakistan. Both
countries will have to be looked at separately and also collectively. The nature of
conflict, if ever, with both countries will vary greatly in terms of terrain and use of
weapons and fire-power.
The Army, which is involved in fighting insurgency in J&K and the North-East, is also
looking to optimise capabilities to fight asymmetric war waged by both State and non-
State actors, such as terror attacks and proxy wars. This will include cyber and
electronic warfare.
The doctrine will look at ways to enhance the strategic reach of the Army and joint
operations with the Navy and the Air Force. Countries like the USA already have
airborne division while China has capability of rapid induction of troops. The reviewed
doctrine will also touch upon space-based capability and methods to achieve
technological edge over the enemy. The doctrine is reviewed every five years by the
Army’s Shimla-based Training Command.
The government had consigned the Fiscal Responsibility and Budget Management
(FRBM), the self-imposed fiscal prudence guidelines, to the back-burner in 2008 when it
stepped up official spending beyond its means in order to insulate the economy from
the global financial meltdown. The country’s fiscal deficit, a reflection of government
borrowings, is estimated to touch 6.8 per cent in 2009-10, up from 6.2 per cent in the
previous fiscal, mainly on account of the stimulus measures.
The recommendations of the 13th Finance Commission, Finance Minister Pranab
Mukherjee said “would get reflected in the 2010-11 Budget”.
The report, Kelkar said, dealt with the sharing of tax revenue between the Centre and
States, distribution of funds among States and support to local bodies. The Finance
Commission report assumes significance in view of the ongoing reforms in indirect and
direct taxes, which will have a bearing on the tax collections.
Currently, the States and Union Territories get Rs 1.64 lakh crore in a year, or around
30 per cent of the shareable taxes collected by the Centre. The 12th Finance
Commission had recommended that 30.5 per cent of the shareable Central taxes should
be shared among the States and Union Territories. The shareable central taxes include
corporation tax, income tax, wealth tax, customs, excise duty and service tax.
Among other things, the Commission has suggested steps to deal with the growing off-
budget expenditure, especially, oil bonds. The report is based on the 2008-09 tax
collections and does not talk on post-GST scenario. However, implementation of the
new indirect tax regime in 2010 would not be a concern as suggestions are based on
revenue neutral rates.
It will be some time before the new deposit will begin to yield iron ore, but the
discovery will definitely enable China to make long-term plans on steel production and
strengthen its hands in price negotiations. The discovery gives a new boost to China’s
ongoing efforts to reduce its dependence on major world suppliers and avoid getting
caught in price fluctuations of the spot market. Indian suppliers mostly deal in the spot
market and refuse to enter into long-term supply contracts.
EDUCATION
Scholarship scheme for minority students
The Union government has launched the Maulana Abul Kalam Azad National Fellowship
Scheme for minority students and another one to computerise State Wakf Boards.
Under the scheme, 756 fellowships (30 per cent to be reserved for women) will be
offered per year to minority students wishing to pursue higher studies. The objective is
to grant integrated five-year fellowships in form of financial assistance to students from
minority communities as notified by the Central government to pursue MPhil and PhD.
The scheme will cover all universities or institutions recognised by the UGC under
Section 2 (f) and Section 3 of the UGC Act and will be implemented by the Ministry of
Minority Affairs through UGC for students belonging to minorities.
The fellowships will be on the pattern of UGC fellowships awarded to research students
pursuing regular and full time MPhil and PhD courses. Holders of the new fellowship will
be called MoMA scholars.
ELECTIONS
Soren forms government in Jharkhand
Jharkhand Mukti Morcha chief Shibu Soren has been elected as the Chief Minister of
Jharkhand after successful conclusion of the
Assembly pools in December 2009. The JMM, which won 18 seats, garnered the support
of the BJP-JD(U), the All Jharkhand Students Union and Jharkhand Janadhikar Manch
led by Bandhu Tirkey, taking up the tally to 44 MLAs in a house of 80.
The BJP won 18 seats and the JD(U) 2 seats, All Jharkhand Students Union has 5 MLAs
and the Jharkhand Janadhikar Manch has one MLA.
The decision by JMM to enter into a coalition with the BJP-JD(U) combine brought to a
close the hectic lobbying that marked the three days since the Jharkhand elections
threw up a hung Assembly.
The Congress attacked the post-poll alliance between the BJP and the JMM as “the high
point of unprincipled and unethical politics”. “Till yesterday, Arun Jaitley and BJP were
crying hoarse about Shibu Soren’s criminal past but today they have no compunction
about aligning with a man who is being tried in three murder cases, including one which
is coming up for hearing as early as January 5, 2010,” party spokesman Manish Tewari
said.
This is the third time the Mr Soren has occupied the post of Jharkhand Chief Minister.
As per the ministry-sharing formula worked out among the alliance partners, JMM and
BJP will have five ministers each in the team while AJSU will have a quota of two. BJP,
which has also been allowed to have its own man as the Assembly Speaker, has decided
to part with one ministerial berth from its share for its alliance partner JD(U).
Mr Soren, who was a Lok Sabha member before taking over as the Chief Minister, will
have to become an MLA within six months. Wiser from the humiliation suffered in
January 2009, when he had to quit the post after losing the by-election to the Tamar
seat, the JMM chief is likely to enter the fray from his family backyard Dumka. His son
Hemant, had won the constituency in the Assembly polls, is likely to vacate the seat in
favour of his father, and retain the Rajya Sabha membership.
Jharkhand Assembly ‘Safe Haven’ For Criminals
The politician-criminal nexus in India is alive and kicking. Proof of this was provided by
the profile of the newly elected MLAs in Jharkhand. As many as 31 of the 45 legislators
backing the JMM-BJP-AJSU coalition government have criminal cases pending against
them.
Its not just the ruling coalition which is afflicted with this malaise. The Opposition
benches in the State too have several MLAs with criminal antecedents, making it clear
that the process of criminalisation of politics is proceeding unhindered. Chief Minister
Shibu Soren, who had to quit the Union Council of Ministers a few years ago after being
convicted in a murder case, leads the contingent. Besides him, 16 of the 18 JMM MLAs
have criminal cases against them. The only party MLA who starts with a clean slate is
Sita Soren, daughter-in-law of Mr Shibu Soren and widow of the late Durga Soren.
BJP and AJSU have eight and four MLAs, respectively, with criminal cases against them.
One JD(U) legislator and the lone JJM legislator Bandhu Tirkey also has criminal cases
against him. Mr Tirkey, a former minister, in fact, is presently languishing in jail as he’s
one of the key accused in the great Jharkhand loot undertaken by the Madhu Koda
government.
JMM’s Dumri MLA Jagannath Mahato has been booked in 14 criminal cases while Mr
Shibu Soren’s son Hemant has six cases against him.
BJP’s Jharkhand unit president Raghubar Das also has criminal cases against him while
C.P. Singh, the fourth-term MLA from Ranchi, has nine cases against him.
As many as 11 of the 14 Congress MLAs also have cases against them, while eight JVM
(P) and four RJD MLAs have cases lodged against them.
LEGISLATION
Authors can now claim royalty
Authors of musical, cinematographic and literary works may now be entitled to royalty
in case their works are used for commercial purposes, a benefit denied to them so far.
This can be possible because of certain amendments in the Copyright Act of 1957,
which has been approved by the Union Cabinet for introduction in Parliament.
Another amendment ensures that the authors of the works, particularly songs included
in the cinematography of films or sound recordings, receive royalty for commercial
exploitation of such work.
The News Broadcasters Association had been apprehensive about the amendments and
asked the government to ensure that nothing was done to hurt the “well-established
and understood rights of broadcasters to fair use of material, including broadcast
reproduction rights”.
POLITICAL
Advani steps down as Leader of Opposition
The curtain came down on L.K. Advani’s tenure as Leader of Opposition in Lok Sabha on
December 18, 2009. And while he made way for Sushma Swaraj, the 82-year-old
veteran BJP leader said he saw a new chapter opening in his political career.
After a meeting of BJP parliamentary party amended its constitution, Advani was
elected chairman, a post that has been created for him. The assembled party MPs then
elected Swaraj as leader of the party in LS, the first woman to hold the post in BJP.
The next act in the generational change was played out on December 19, when Rajnath
Singh stepped down as BJP President and Maharashtra unit chief Nitin Gadkari took
charge. The change of guard completed a process that had been in the works since the
party lost its bid for power in 2009 national elections.
Sushma Swaraj, at 57, clearly marks a generational change as does 52-year-old Gadkari.
Advani is expected to play a role as mentor and the amended constitution says he will
appoint the two leaders of Opposition.
Nitin Gadkari is the youngest BJP president. His elevation marks the culmination of the
exercise to effect a generational shift at the top in the party hierarchy—both in its
organisational and parliamentary wings.
Mr Gadkari assumes his new responsibility at a very crucial time. After tasting defeat in
a series of electoral battles, cadre morale is low. The party was also bogged down by a
debilitating infighting among the so-called second generation leaders. The BJP has also
failed to keep pace with the changing times, and lost the trust of the youth and the
burgeoning urban middle class in the process.
Mr Gadkari, who hails from Nagpur and over the years cultivated the image of an
honest, hard-working leader who has toiled his way to the top, thus has task cut out.
FOREIGN RELATIONS
India-Bangladesh pacts to tackle terrorism
On December 2, 2009, India expressed its gratitude to Bangladesh for taking speedy
action to foil a conspiracy by the LeT to attack the Indian mission in Dhaka recently as
the two countries finalised three key agreements to combat terrorism. The agreements
were signed during the visit of Bangladesh Prime Minister Sheikh Hasina to New Delhi.
The two sides arrived at an agreement on: Mutual legal assistance in criminal matters,
combating international terrorism, organised crime and illicit drug trafficking; and
agreement on transfer of sentenced persons. However, the two sides have not yet been
able to resolve differences over a bilateral extradition treaty.
The finalisation of the three accords marks a major confidence-building measure (CBM)
to address the issue of Indian insurgents taking shelter in Bangladesh, which had marred
ties between the two nations in recent years. New Delhi, however, is quite happy over
the manner in which the Sheikh Hasina government has been cooperating with it in
checking the activities of these insurgents.
Apart from the MoUs on the hydro-power projects, the two sides also signed eight other
agreements in areas ranging from agriculture to health to civil aviation. The two sides
also signed an agreement to set up the Bhutan Institute of Medical Sciences in Thimphu
and an agreement on an IT project, which plans to make nearly half of Bhutan’s
population e-literate.
The issues of nuclear disarmament and non-proliferation were discussed with both sides
agreeing to the need for an early start to the Fissile Material Cut-off Treaty
negotiations. But on the issue of the non-proliferation treaty both sides agreed that
there was a difference of perception. Mr Singh reiterated that India is “deeply
interested in working with Japan and other like-minded countries to promote the cause
of universal, verifiable and non-discriminatory disarmament”.
Even though Mr Singh highlighted India’s “impeccable record” in non-proliferation and
explained the country’s nuclear history, the Japanese Prime Minister remained non-
committal on civilian nuclear cooperation between India and Japan. Keeping the matter
pending, Mr Hatoyama said nuclear energy would be an item on the agenda for future
discussions.
In the absence of an agreement on nuclear cooperation, the Japanese Prime Minister,
however, indicated that Japan is willing to relax restrictions on hi-tech trade and said
there was a “positive conclusion” on the issue of hi-tech trade. During talks, Mr Singh
assured his Japanese counterpart that Indian companies would not divert hi-tech
imports from Japan for weapon’s purposes or to a third country and sought
liberalisation in this area.
The economic partnership, however, remained the “bedrock” of relationship, with both
sides discussing a range of economic issues, including Japanese investment and trade
agreement. The two Prime Ministers have decided to push their negotiators to expedite
negotiations into the comprehensive economic partnership agreement.
Mr Hatoyama pointed out that bilateral trade between India and Japan is far less than
that between Japan and China. Mr Singh, however, said he had conveyed to the
Japanese Prime Minister that India welcomes Japanese investments into the country
and pointed out that India’s growing economy offers huge opportunities for Japan.
The two sides also discussed the liberalisation of visa regime on both sides, with the
Japanese Prime Minister raising the issue saying that it was important as there were
several major projects being undertaken in India for the benefit of both countries.
The two leaders also vowed to push for an early conclusion of an economic partnership
agreement to scale up trade and investment and cooperate on a range of global issues,
including the UN reforms, climate change and nuclear disarmament
India, Japan sign agreements on Rs 360-kcr DMIC project: India and Japan signed two
agreements on December 28, 2009 for implementing the ambitious Rs 3,60,000-crore
Delhi-Mumbai Industrial Corridor (DMIC) project that seeks to create integrated
investment regions and industrial areas across six States. The agreements include
collaborating in the development of eco-cities, that is cities that are environmentally
and ecologically sustainable, along the corridor and setting up of a project
development fund to undertake activities like master planning and feasibility studies,
preparing project reports and obtaining approvals and bid process management for
projects.
With the meeting with Medvedev having set the mood, Manmohan Singh’s interaction
with Prime Minister Putin, still very much the “real” power centre in Moscow, saw a
detailed exchange of assessments.
The two sides signed a total of six agreements but the Russians were clearly pleased
with the civil nuclear cooperation pact. The reactors, which cost about $1.5 billion
each, will certainly be welcome for a Russian economy that is simply not doing too
well.
India and Russia signed a path-breaking broad-based agreement in civil nuclear field
that will ensure transfer of technology and uninterrupted uranium fuel supplies to its
nuclear reactors and inked three pacts in the defence sector.
The Indo-Russian pact on atomic cooperation is a significant document and goes much
further than the 123 agreement between India and the US. The pact also has provisions
for transfer of enrichment and nuclear technology, which is denied in the 123
agreement with the US.
The two countries also reviewed their cooperation in the United Nations and in
multilateral fora and their role towards successful conclusion of the Copenhagen
Summit on climate change.
RESERVATIONS
Ranganath Commission report on Religious and Linguistic Minorities
Two years after it was submitted to the government, report of the National Commission
on Religious and Linguistic Minorities is ready to be tabled in the Parliament.
Constituted to assess the status of minorities and suggest ways of improving their lot,
the Commission, headed by Justice Ranganath Misra, has recommended 15 per cent
reservation in non-minority educational institutions and Central and State government
jobs for all religious and linguistic minorities.
Out of the 15 per cent earmarked seats in education institutions, Muslims should be
given 10 per cent reservation (commensurate with their 73 per cent share in the total
minority population in India) and the remaining 5 per cent to other minorities, states
the report.
It adds that if Muslim candidates are not available to fill 10 per cent seats, the
remaining vacancies should go to other minorities and in “no case to the majority
community.”On employment front, the report argues that since the minorities,
especially Muslims, are much under-represented in government jobs, “we recommend
they should be regarded as backward in this respect within the meaning of that term as
used in Article 16 (4) of the Constitution.”
Accordingly, the recommendation is to reserve 15 per cent of posts in all cadres and
grades under the Central and State governments for the religious and linguistic
minorities. Of this, 10 per cent quota is recommended for Muslims and the rest for
other minorities.
The report, co-authored by Tahir Mahmood, also recommends the inclusion of Muslim
and Christian Dalits in SC list, something the National Commission for Minorities has also
been supporting.
The arrest which came close on the heels of November 5 arrest of another two top
leaders of the outfit, Sashadhar Choudhury and Chitrabon Hazarika, in Dhaka indicated
that the outfit’s sanctuary in Bangladesh was in serious danger.
With Rajkhowa’s arrest, only two major leaders of the outfit, self-styled commander-
in-chief Paresh Barua and deputy commander in chief Raju Baruah, are now at large.
Another top leader, general secretary Anup Chetia, alias Golap Barua, is lodged in a jail
in Bangladesh.
Arabinda Rajkhowa (53) whose real name is Rajib Rajkonwar, has been the chairman of
the ULFA since early 1980s and was one of the founder leaders of the ULFA. He studied
up to Class XII, and is the second of three sons of freedom fighter Umakanta Rajkonwar
who passed away three years ago at the age of 101 years. He hails from Lakwa in
Sivasagar district of Upper Assam.
Rajkhowa also has an Interpol red corner notice against him, issued on June 4, 1997 for
his involvement in several heinous crimes. Out of India since 1992, Rajkhowa is known
to keep travelling to Myanmar, Bhutan, Thailand, Bhutan, Pakistan and other countries
on fake identity and fake passports.
He was trained under Kachin Independence Army in Myanmar and National Socialist
Council of Nagaland (NSCN). He can handle all types of arms. He is also the vice-
president of the Indo-Burma Revolutionary Front (IBRF).
PAKISTAN
Law catches up with leadership
On December 16, 2009, the Supreme Court of Pakistan declared the National
Reconciliation Order (NRO) null and void. Lawyers termed the decision as a landmark
judgement and demanded that President Asif Ali Zardari step down from his post. The
Court ruled that the decree protecting Zardari and his allies against charges of
corruption was illegal and against the constitution.
The Supreme Court further ruled that all cases under investigation or pending enquiries
and which had either been withdrawn or where the investigations or enquiries had been
terminated on account of the NRO shall also stand revived and the relevant and
competent authorities shall proceed in the matter in accordance with law.
The NRO, issued by former President Pervez Musharraf, had scrapped all corruption
cases against politicians and bureaucrats filed between January 1986 and October 1999,
on the grounds that they may have been politically motivated. The ordinance had
allowed Benazir Bhutto and her husband Zardari to return to Pakistan.
In the first fallout of the Supreme Court ruling arrest warrants were issued against
Pakistan Interior Minister Rehman Malik and Defence Minister Chaudhry Ahmed Mukhtar
on December 18, 2009. Both were also barred from going abroad on an official visit.
The National Accountability Bureau, Pakistan’s main anti-corruption agency, also
banned 250 other officials from going abroad following the order.
INTERNATIONAL ECONOMY
Japan unveils new $81 billion stimulus plan
Japan’s government has unveiled $81 billion of new stimulus spending to keep the
world’s second-biggest economy from lurching back into recession.
Despite shrinking tax revenue, Prime Minister Yukio Hatoyama and his Cabinet agreed
to 7.2 trillion yen ($80.6 billion) in new spending after days of negotiations with
coalition partners.
The largesse underlines that the world’s biggest economies are still too fragile to get by
without government life support even as a recovery from the global recession takes
shape. In export-reliant Asia that’s partly because demand from Europe and the US is
improving only tepidly and efforts to reduce dependence on trade by boosting consumer
spending will take several years to fully bear fruit.
Japan also faces falling prices while brand-name exporters like Toyota Motor and Sony
are losing record amounts of money as a galloping yen adds to their woes.
ENVIRONMENT
A face-saver in Copenhagen
The Copenhagen Accord, the first global agreement of the 21st century to
comprehensively influence the flow and share of natural resources, was agreed upon by
26 most influential countries in the wee hours of December 19, 2009, in the capital of
Denmark. The US led the pack of architects with the BASIC four—China, India, Brazil
and South Africa (in that order)—working as sometimes reluctant and sometimes
willing, but always key partners in framing the agreement.
The accord demands that increase in global temperatures be kept below 2 degrees on
the basis of equity. It requires global emissions as well as all national emissions to peak
at a certain time but is mindful of concerns of economic development. It asks
industrialized countries, except the US, to take emission cuts in future, but not
necessarily under the Kyoto Protocol. It lays out up to $30 billion of quick-start finance
and $100 billion starting 2020, using all the routes of transfer possible. It requires
mitigation actions from developing countries for the first time to be listed in an
international agreement.
For India though, the Accord came out of hard bargaining lasting almost 20 hours among
Heads of governments of some of the most influential countries in the world. At the
end of the day, when the battle was over, India appeared to have ceded ground on
some issues but blocked intrusion on other red lines.
With stakes too high and the rich countries making abjectly clear that they were not
playing to the rules, but to change the rules altogether, the four emerging economies
decided to instead scratch up a low-ambition deal—a pact that would lower the
pressure on them by lowering the demands off the rich countries in parallel.
Finally the Copenhagen Accord take a morphed form of the US-backed schedules
approach of ‘pledge and review’. The Copenhagen Accord is not what the US or Europe
would have wanted it to be, but it still contains some elements India would have to, at
best, fight to defend again in coming years or those that could be titled a lost battle by
the end of the talks.
India, along with the other three emerging countries, fought hard and won the battle to
retain the reference principle of common but differentiated responsibility which
creates the firewall between the commitments of the rich countries and the actions of
rest. India was also able to wrest the creation of a green climate fund as well as fight
back the attempt to force emission cuts through the back-door.
Major Highlights
The final draft after the Copenhagen summit has agreed to cuts in emissions
and hold increase in global temp below 2°C.
A proposal attached to the accord calls for a legally binding treaty by the end-
2010.
Developed countries to provide adequate financial resources and technology to
support developing countries. A goal of mobilizing $100 billion a year by 2020 to
address the needs of developing countries has been set.
Details of mitigation plans are included in separate annexure, one for
developed countries and one for voluntary pledges from developing countries.
These are not binding, and describe the current status of pledges—ranging from
‘under consideration’ for the United States to ‘adopted by legislation’ for the
European Union.
Emerging economies have been asked to monitor their efforts and report the
results to the United Nations every two years, with some international checks
to meet transparency concerns of West but ‘ensure that national sovereignty is
respected’.
The accord agrees to provide positive incentives to fund afforestation with
financial resources from developed world
Carbon Markets are mentioned in the accord, but not in detail. The deal
promises to pursue various approaches, including opportunities to use markets
to enhance the cost-effectiveness and promote mitigations actions.
The EPA ruling applies to six gases scientists say contribute to global warming, including
the main one, carbon dioxide.
The UN climate summit finally passed the Copenhagen accord Saturday after two days
of intense negotiations and back-room manoeuvres. The accord, proposed by India and
four other countries, is now “operational”, a relieved UN chief, Ban Ki-Moon, said. The
accord that is meant to be a first step towards fighting the climate change that is
affecting millions worldwide was still held up for hours by four countries.
INTERNATIONAL RELATIONS
Siberia pipeline to reach APAC markets
Russian Prime Minister Vladimir Putin inaugurated the East-Siberia-Pacific Ocean oil
pipeline on December 28, 2009, which will enable Moscow to enter markets in Asia-
Pacific region and reduce dependency on European customers.
The project is designed to pump up to 1.6 million barrels (220,000 tonnes) of crude per
day from Siberia to Russia’s far east and then on to China and the Asia-Pacific region.
The project’s first leg envisages the construction of a 2,757-kilometre section with
annual capacity of 220.5 million barrels of crude. It will link Taishet, in East Siberia’s
Irkutsk Region, to Skovorodino, in the Amur Region, in Russia’s far east. The second
stretch will run 2,100 kilometres from Skovorodino to the Pacific Ocean.
Currently the crude beyond Skovorodino goes by rail to China and the Pacific coast.
The proposal being considered could unify the entire region and will lead to a seamless,
border-less trade.
At present, India operates one passenger train each to Pakistan and Bangladesh for the
benefit of the citizens on the either side of the border. While the train to Pakistan
operates between Delhi and Lahore, the other to Bangladesh operates between Kolkata
and Dhaka.
INTERNATIONAL TERRORISM
FBI indicts Headley for 26/11
David Coleman Headley aka Daood Gilani, has been formally charged for conspiracy in
the 26/11 terror attacks in Mumbai in 2008. After an intensive probe, the FBI has said
that Headley delivered, placed, discharged and detonated explosives and other lethal
devices in, into, and against places of public use in India.
The FBI has indicted Headley on six counts. Significantly, the FBI has also formally
charged a retired Major of the Pakistan army, Abdur Rehman Hashim Syed, for the plot
against a Danish newspaper that Headley wanted to attack for the publication of
cartoons of Prophet Mohammad. Indian officials said Rehman was closely linked to the
ISI. He has been arrested by Pakistan; if the charges are upheld during the trial, it
would be the first smoking gun that the ISI is involved in exporting terror.
The US Department of Justice said that Umar Farouk Abdulmutallab, 23, had boarded
the plane in Amsterdam, Netherlands, and tried near the end of the nine-hour-flight to
set off an explosion using PETN, also known as pentaerythritol, a high explosive.
Fellow passengers rushed to subdue the terror suspect after they heard popping sounds
and saw smoke and fire coming from Abdulmutallab's seat.
Even though the US authorities are yet to confirm the Yemen connection of the 23-
year-old Nigerian man's plot to blow up a Detroit-bound airliner on Christmas Day, they
see Umar Farouk Abdulmutallab's account that Al-Qaida had supplied explosive powder
to him in Yemen "highly plausible."
The suspect, reportedly, told US investigators that he had obtained explosive chemicals
and a syringe that were sewn into his underwear from a bomb expert in Yemen
associated with Al-Qaida, as part of a "mission to bring down a jet on US soil".
“It comes as no surprise to learn that the Nigerian accused of blowing up the US airliner
is said to have been living here. We have become the number one source of terrorism in
the Western world. We shelter foreign jihadis, and even grow our own… For years now,
Islamic extremists wanted on terror charges in their own country have taken sanctuary
in Britain… Our judges (not our politicians) say it would be cruel to send them back to
their own countries, in case they're tortured,” the 'News of the World' quoted the Editor
of Spectacle, Fraser Nelson, as saying.
Under the new system, all payments to merchants shall be effected within a maximum
of three days from the date of transaction. From now on, no payment other than the
commissions at the pre-determined rates/frequency shall be payable to the
intermediaries. The existing system has some pitfalls. Often, there is a delay in
transferring money to the merchant; at times it is more than seven days.
To encourage small and medium firms to come out with public issues, SEBI has also
allowed existing stock exchanges to set up a separate trading platform and relax the
criteria like track record on profitability for listings. On the issue of trading hours, the
board has left it on exchanges to decide between 9 am and 5 pm.
Giving more choices to listed companies in pricing shares via book-build route, SEBI
introduced an additional method, called Dutch auction, in which the companies making
public issues will fix only floor prices. Institutional bidders will have to submit bids
above the floor prices. The bidders will be allotted shares on the basis of their bid
prices. The highest bidder will be offered shares first, followed by the second-highest.
If the demand for the highest bidder is equal to the total issue size, second-highest
bidder will get nothing. However, if the issuer wants to put a cap on allotting shares to
a single bidder, it can do so.
Under the present system, known as French auction, companies fix a band of prices for
public offers. The maximum difference between floor and ceiling prices in the band is
10%. A bidder has to bid in the given band only. On the basis of demand at various price
points, the offer price is fixed and applied uniformly to all investors. The new
methodology of pricing is likely to be used by government while divesting its stake in
REC and NTPC.
COMMISSION
Liberhan inquiry commission
It took 17 years and 48 extensions for the Liberhan Commission, probing the 1992
demolition of the Babri Masjid in Ayodhya, to submit its report to Prime Minister
Manmohan Singh in June 2009. One of the country’s longest running inquiry
commissions, it has cost the government nearly Rs 7 crore.
During the entire tenure, the one-judge probe was dogged by procedural delays, non-
cooperation from key witnesses and even constant transfers during the early days of the
commission’s functioning. The commission’s lawyer, Anupam Gupta, dissociated himself
from the one-man panel after eight years because of differences with Justice Liberhan.
The commission recorded statements of scores of politicians from the Bharatiya Janata
Party (BJP), including senior leaders Advani, Murli Manohar Joshi, then Chief Minister of
Uttar Pradesh Kalyan Singh and now Bharatiya Jan Shakti party chief Uma Bharati.
Several members of the Congress and the Rashtriya Swayamsevak Sangh (RSS) were also
questioned.
Former Prime Minister Atal Behari Vajpayee, senior BJP leaders LK Advani, Murli
Manohar Joshi and ex-UP Chief Minister Kalyan Singh are among the 68 persons severely
indicted by Justice M.S. Liberhan Commission for their role in the Babri Masjid
demolition 17 years ago, which led the country to a “brink of communal discord.”
The commission, surprisingly, is soft on Congressman and the then Prime Minister P.V.
Narsimha Rao for his perceived ‘inaction’ in deploying Central forces or imposing
President’s Rule in then BJP-ruled Uttar Pradesh to protect the 16th century structure,
purported to have been built during the reign of Mughal emperor Babar. The
commission refers to it as the Ram Janam Bhoomi-Babri Masjid structure (RJBM) and has
clarified that its role was not to study if the structure was a mosque or a temple or
even its history.
In his 1,029-page report, Justice Liberhan, a former Chief Justice of Madras High Court,
indicts the perpetrators for having reduced “the oldest civilisation to stark intolerance
and barbarianism, all for petty political gains.”
Coming down heavily on the troika of Advani, Vajpayee and Joshi, Justice Liberhan calls
them “pseudo-moderates" and refers to them as “icons” of the movement. The
commission also indicts Uma Bharti, RSS ideologue K. Govindacharya and Shankar Singh
Vaghela, along with Kalyan Singh, who are no more connected with the BJP or the RSS.
Silent on punitive action against those indicted for the 1992 Babri Masjid demolition,
government’s Action Taken Report (ATR) on the much-delayed Liberhan Commission
findings agrees to enact the Prevention of Communal Violence Bill to punish those who
misuse religion for politics, and set up special tribunals to prosecute related offences.
In the name of action against perpetrators of the demolition, all the ATR promises is
expediting the hearing of cases registered 17 years ago. These include the case at
Lucknow special court against lakhs of unknown karsewaks; case against eight accused
(politicians also named by Liberhan) in Rae Bareli special court and 47 other cases in
the Lucknow special court.
ECONOMY
India climbs to tenth slot among top gold holders
India is the world’s largest private gold consumer, but the government’s holding of gold
as an asset is modest. Even so, the latest purchase of 200 metric tonne from IMF puts it
at number ten among the list of top 10 gold-holders in the world.
For India, the purchase, apart from signalling that its economy has come full circle, is a
way of spreading its assets which are said to be currently over-weighted with foreign
currency, mainly in the form of sovereign US Treasury bonds. In other words, it is a
hedge against a falling dollar.
Of India’s current foreign exchange reserves of nearly $285 billion, foreign currency
assets account for more than 90% ($268.3 billion), followed by gold ($10.3 billion),
IMF’s Special Drawing Rights ($5.2 billion) and a reserve position in the IMF of $1.59
billion.
While India’s current gold holdings are said to be historically low, buying 200 tons in
addition to the 358 tons it already holds is expected to bump up the gold reserves to
more than 6%.
India’s gold trauma occurred in the summer of 1991, when faced with dwindling foreign
exchange reserves and a possibility of a default on payments, the government
mortgaged 47 tons of gold to the Bank of England and 20 tons of gold to the Union Bank
of Switzerland to raise $ 600 million. The move helped tide over the balance of
payment crisis, and also kick-started the reforms process.
World Bank has been supporting India’s rural connectivity programme—Pradhan Mantri
Gram Sadak Yojana (PMGSY). It aids projects in several places like Himachal Pradesh,
Rajasthan, Jharkhand and Uttar Pradesh. Over the years, World Bank’s concessionary
lending arm International Development Association (IDA) has supported many rural
roads projects, both standalone and components of larger projects. The year-round
connectivity has narrowed gender gap with access to education for girls and raised job
opportunities, IDA said adding every Rs 10 lakh spent on rural roads has helped lift 163
people out of poverty.
The World Bank has said "a second project of $1 billion is under preparation". It would
aim to improve maintenance, weak capacity, governance and accountability, and would
introduce several efficiency measures. Meanwhile, for two-laning of 6,372-km of the
total of 19,702 km single lane highways in the country, the finance ministry has
requested the World Bank for a loan of $3 billion.
The growth in the first half of the year is now a respectable 7% as against 7.8% during
the same period a year ago. In the fiscal year ended March 2009, the economy grew by
6.7%, its weakest in six years and way below rates of 9% or more in the previous three
years.
The strong growth may put pressure on RBI to hike policy rates sooner than March 2010
as worries about inflation grow. Bond yields firmed up to 7.25%, six basis points up, as
traders see a 25-basis-point hike in key policy rates by January 2010.
There will also be pressure on the government to cut expenditure and roll back stimulus
measures such as the cut in indirect rates. The fiscal deficit between April and October
2009 was 61% of the target for the year, but slower-than-expected tax collections
suggest the government could overshoot the target of 6.8% of the GDP for the year.
ENVIRONMENT
Tougher air quality norms unveiled
India has revised its National Ambient Air Quality Standards (NAAQS), discontinuing the
old practice of different air quality standards for different land-use classes like
residential and industrial areas. The country will now have uniform health-based NAAQS
with uniform standards for all areas, whether residential or industrial.
Revised after a gap of 15 years, new air quality standards also provide legal framework
for controlling air pollution and protecting public health, meaning that any citizen can
now approach the court demanding better air quality. The revised standards include
initiatives that had been developed in consonance with globally best practices and in
keeping with latest advancements in technology and research.
The big question, however, is of enforcement, which could prove to be a difficult task.
The standards have brought two new deadly pollutants, PM 2.5 and ozone, within the
ambit of regulation. The standard for nitrogen oxide has been made more stringent,
from the existing 60 micro-gm per cubic metre, it has been tightened down to 40
micro-gm per cubic metre. Suspended particulate matter (SPM) as parameter has been
replaced by fine particulate matter (PM 2.5), which is more relevant for public health.
HEALTH
India's children stunted, undernourished, wasted: UN
India has the largest number of stunted children below the age of five in the world,
according to the latest United Nations Children's Fund report.
Approximately 200 million children, under the age of five, suffer from stunted growth
in the developing world. The report 'Tracking Progress on Child and Maternal Nutrition'
found that stunting is primarily caused due to childhood under-nutrition, which
contributes to more than a third of all deaths in children under five.
India also has one of the highest numbers of underweight children, below the age of
five, and one third of 'wasted children'—those facing a greater chance of death—in the
world.
Out of a total of 19 million new-borns per year in the developing world that are born
with low birth-weight, India has 7.4 million low birth-weight babies per year—the
highest in the world. The report finds that 80 per cent of the developing world's stunted
children live in 24 countries.
India, however, does not have the highest prevalence of stunted children as the high
numbers was due to its large population. In terms of prevalence, Afghanistan was first
while India was 12th. In 17 countries, underweight prevalence among children under 5
years old is greater than 30 per cent. The rates were highest in Bangladesh, India,
Timor-Leste and Yemen,` with more than 40 per cent of children being underweight.
The study also found that 13 per cent of children, under 5 years old, in the developing
world were wasted, and 5 per cent were severely wasted (an estimated 26 million
children).
A number of African and Asian countries have wasting rates that exceed 15 per cent,
including India (20 per cent) Bangladesh (17 per cent), and Sudan (16 per cent). The
country with the highest prevalence of wasting in the world is Timor-Leste, where 25
per cent of children under 5 years old are wasted.
In Asia, the prevalence of stunting dropped from approximately 44 per cent in 1990 to
an estimated 30 per cent in 2008, while in Africa it fell from approximately 38 per cent
in 1990 to an estimated 34 per cent in 2008. Unless attention is paid to addressing the
causes of child and maternal under-nutrition today, the costs will be considerably
higher tomorrow.
JUDICIARY
Finally, SC judges declare assets
In a move that will enhance the image of the judiciary, 21 out of the 22 Supreme Court
judges—including Chief Justice K.G. Balakrishnan—have declared their assets and of
their wives by posting the details on the court’s website—supremecourtofindia.nic.in.
The step is expected to end months of controversy over the apex court's refusal to
place in public domain such details, maintaining that it was not bound to part with
these under the Right to Information Act (RTI).
The details, provided under the heading “Assets of Judges,” however, did not have the
total assets of each judge and his wife. Also, the value of a number of properties owned
by them is not given. Most of the judges had provided such details to the CJI at the
time of their elevation to the apex court, but these were not placed in public domain.
FOREIGN RELATIONS
Visit of Australian PM to India
Australian Prime Minister Kevin Rudd visited India in November 2009 with a message to
India that Australia remained a safe destination for Indian students. Mr Rudd said his
government was committed to using the “full force” of law to protect Indian students.
During his visit, in an attempt to upgrade bilateral ties, both countries agreed to
elevate the relationship to a strategic partnership. Discussions between Mr Rudd and Mr
Singh covered all aspects of the bilateral relationship—from trade to climate change.
On climate change, Mr Rudd said: “Indian Prime Minister and I discussed the great
challenge of climate change. We must have a good ambition for Copenhagen.” The two
sides agreed that it is an issue of concern for both countries, with the Indian side
reiterating its position on climate change.
The two sides have also decided to expedite the feasibility study to look into the
impact of an FTA between the two countries. In fact, the Australian side has made no
secret of its interest in an FTA, with Mr Rudd saying that he expects the study to
recommend an FTA.
This was the first high-level contact between the two countries since the UPA
government returned to power in New Delhi and Mahmoud Ahmedinejad was re-elected
as the President of Iran in June 2009.
Mottaki renewed an invitation to Manmohan Singh to visit Iran. The invitation was
accepted and dates of the visit would be finalised in consultations through diplomatic
channels.
The two sides also agreed to convene an early meeting of the joint working group
(JWG) on energy cooperation between them to resolve issues connected with the
pipeline project. An Iranian team would be visiting India soon for the purpose. As Iran
and India share common interests in Afghanistan, they also discussed joint
infrastructure projects like the deep sea port of Chabahar and a rail link to provide
better connectivity for Afghanistan to Central Asia.
Washington went a step further by calling for the defeat of terrorist “safe havens” in
Pakistan and Afghanistan and agreed to enhance collaboration in this effort.
The joint statement was prefaced with a commitment by both leaders to expand and
deepen their relations. President Obama described India as a “rising and responsible
global power” to assure India that it was very much on the US radar and that any
impression to the contrary was incorrect.
President Barack Obama assured Prime Minister Manmohan Singh that the US-China
joint statement issued on his visit to Beijing earlier in November was not an
endorsement of Chinese mediation in the India-Pakistan dispute. Mr Singh said Obama
told him that the intention of that statement was not to support any “third-party
intervention in issues in South Asia.” He said he was “very satisfied” with Obama’s
assurance on an issue that caused much heart-burn in New Delhi. India opposes third-
party mediation in the dispute with Pakistan over Kashmir.
On Afghanistan, Prime Minister Singh said Obama told him that the US “highly values”
India's role in reconstruction and development of the war-ravaged country. Manmohan,
who met several Republican Democratic as well as Republican lawmakers while in
Washington, said there was bipartisan support for India’s role in Afghanistan. This role
is viewed with suspicion by Pakistan.
Canada has become the eighth country with which India has reached civil nuclear
agreement since the NSG lifted a 34-year-old ban on India to join global nuclear trade
in September last year. The other countries with which India has already signed the
civil nuclear deal are the US, France, Russia, Mongolia, Kazakhstan, Argentina and
Namibia.
Though the Chinese government has refrained from directly attacking India since the
meeting between Prime Minister Manmohan Singh and Chinese Premier Wen Jiabao, it is
significant that China’s state-run media ran a report attacking India over the visit of the
Dalai Lama.
“India may make use of the Dalai Lama to solve the decades-long territorial conflict by
encouraging his visit to southern Tibet (Arunachal Pradesh),” Hu Shisheng, a researcher
of southern Asian studies at the China Institutes of Contemporary International
Relations, was quoted as saying. China calls Arunachal Pradesh southern Tibet.
“The Dalai Lama went to southern Tibet at this critical moment probably because of
pressure from India... By doing so, he can please the country that has hosted him for
years,” Mr Hu said. He added: “India may have forgotten the lesson of 1962, when its
repeated provocation resulted in military clashes. India is on this wrong track
again...When the conflict gets sharper and sharper, the Chinese government will have
to face it and solve it in a way India has designed,” Mr Hu said.
China had protested against the visit of the Dalai Lama to Tawang monastery in
Arunachal Pradesh, but India had dismissed the protests by pointing out that the Dalai
Lama continues to be a guest in India.
Responding to that attack, the Dalai Lama dismissed China’s claim that his visit was
anti-China and had said that Arunachal was an integral part of India.
Genisis of the dispute: In 1913-14, China, Tibet and Britain tried to hammer out the
Shimla Accord—a deal defining borders between Inner and Outer Tibet, and between
Outer Tibet and British India. Henry McMahon, a British administrator, drew up 550
miles of the boundary demarcating British India and Outer Tibet. China walked out of
the talks, rejecting the line between Inner and Outer Tibet, but the Accord nonetheless
ceded Tawang and other Tibetan areas to the British Empire. Since then, China has
declared the line invalid, citing the absence of its signature on the Shimla Accord. After
the collapse of Chinese power in Tibet, the McMahon line was, de facto, accepted as
official, and Britain established administrations in the area. However, Tibet and later
the People’s Republic of China claimed Tawang district after India's independence.
With China all set to take over Tibet, India declared the McMahon line the official
boundary in 1950.
The North East Frontier Agency was created in 1954. The Tibetan uprising was
suppressed by China and its self-ruling government abolished in 1959. The Dalai Lama
fled to Dharamsala, and maps published by the Tibetan government-in-exile now show
McMahon Line as the southern border of Tibet.
During the 1962 war, China acquired large parts of NEFA but voluntarily withdrew to
the McMahon line. It was only in 1985 that China declared its ownership claims on the
eastern tract roughly corresponding to Arunachal Pradesh. Until then, it was prepared
to cede this land to India if it was given the cold western desert of Aksai Chin in
Ladakh, of strategic importance to China. India rejects China’s claims over both, and
post-1985 China has insisted that Arunachal Pradesh is theirs.
India, EU ink atomic energy pact
On November 6, 2009, India and the European Union (EU) signed a major accord for
cooperation in the civil atomic energy field and pledged to conclude an ambitious free
trade agreement (FTA) between them within a year. The atomic energy agreement is
aimed at facilitating India’s participation in the international thermonuclear
experimental reactor (ITER) project for fusion research.
Prime Minister Manmohan Singh led the Indian side at the 10th India-EU summit while
the EU was represented by Swedish Prime Minister Fredrik Reinfeldt, in his capacity as
chairman of the EU Council and EU President Jose Manuel Barroso.
The ITER project on fusion energy is said to be the costliest experiment of its kind that
will cost some 10 billion euros. The first fusion reactor is expected to be operational in
Cadarche in southern France by 2016.
India and the EU have been negotiating an FTA since 2007 but have not been able to
firm up the accord due to differences over EU’s attempts to link trade with climate and
other extraneous issues. Both sides are of the view that a political push was need for
the agreement to be wrapped up by 2010.
In a joint statement the two sides shared the understanding that the development of
nuclear energy for peaceful purposes should take place in conformity with the highest
standards of safety, security and non-proliferation. The joint statement further said
India and the EU welcomed the renewed momentum in global disarmament talks while
reaffirming their shared interest in working together for disarmament and for
countering the proliferation of weapons of mass destruction and their delivery systems.
In this context, they stressed the importance of strengthening national export control
laws.
On terrorism, the EU condemned the terrorist attacks in Mumbai in November 2008 and
reiterated the need for intensifying global cooperation in combating international
terrorism. Without any reference to Pakistan, the two sides emphasised the utmost
importance of bringing the perpetrators of the crime to justice.
On international financial crisis and global economy, the two sides reiterated their
commitment to continue to sustain a strong policy response until the recovery was
secured, to prepare internationally coordinated and cooperative exit strategies to be
implemented once the recovery has taken hold, to strengthen and reform financial
regulatory and supervisory systems to ensure global financial stability and prevent
further crises, and to ensure that the international financial institutions reflect
contemporary economic realities.
The French National Assembly adopted a law authorising the ratification of the
agreement signed between the two countries on September 30, 2008, during Prime
Minister Manmohan Singh’s visit to Paris. This is subsequent to the adoption of the same
law by the Senate on October 15, 2009.
It will enable the early entry into force of the agreement. It now paves the way for
strengthening relations between French and Indian partners and for more concrete
developments in the industrial field.
France was the first country to sign a civil nuclear cooperation agreement with New
Delhi days after India secured a waiver from the nuclear suppliers’ group (NSG) to
undertake nuclear commerce in 2008. Since then, India has signed nuclear deals with
the US, Russia, Namibia, Kazakhstan, Mongolia and Argentina.
French nuclear supplier Areva has been allocated the nuclear project site at Jaitapur in
Maharashtra to initially build two power plants.
The Indo-French nuclear agreement allows reprocessing of the spent nuclear fuel from
French nuclear reactors under safeguards, and gives an assurance of lifetime supply of
nuclear fuel for these reactors. It does not bar the transfer of enrichment and
reprocessing technologies. With the ratification of the agreement by the French
Parliament, France becomes the second country after Russia to give unconditional
rights to reprocess spent nuclear fuel to India.
The agreement makes it mandatory that reprocessing be done under the safeguards of
the International Atomic Energy Agency.
SCANDALS
CBI pegs Satyam fraud at Rs 14,000 cr
Seven months after its first charge sheet in the Satyam scam, CBI on November 24,
2009, filed a supplementary charge sheet against disgraced Satyam founder B.
Ramalinga Raju and nine others, pegging the Satyam fraud at Rs 14,000 crore instead of
the Rs 7800 crore that Raju had owned up to in January 2009.
The additional charge-sheet, however, fails to nail Raju and aides on siphoning of funds
from Satyam Computer, instead saying that the investigating agency was planning to
file a separate chargesheet on the allegations of funds diversion and income-tax frauds
within the next few days.
The 200-page charge-sheet filed in the CBI court charged the accused of forging board
resolutions and unauthorisedly obtaining loans worth Rs 1220 crore from banks as well
as inflating Satyam revenues to the tune of Rs 430 crore by creating fake customers and
generating fake invoices.
The charge-sheet also identifies 1065 properties with a documented value of Rs 350
crore that were acquired by the Rajus with the spoils of the fraud. These include 6,000
acres of land, 40,000 sq yd of housing plots and 90,000 sq ft of built-up property.
CBI has also slapped charges of criminal breach of trust and falsifying accounts by
inflating the acquisition price of Nipuna Services Ltd, the ITeS arm of Satyam. It also
slapped a criminal breach of trust on them in the declaration and disbursal of dividends
of Satyam Computers.
Meanwhile, the Rs 1,220 crore unauthorized loans detailed by CBI in the charge-sheet
are not reflected in the company's books and are over and above the Rs 1,230 crore
that Raju confessed to Satyam having received from various Raju family owned
companies including Maytas Infra and Maytas Properties.
Mr Koda is alleged to have laundered thousands of crores during his stint as the Chief
Minister between 2006 and 2008. ED’s probe into the money laundering operation,
which is spread from Singapore to Thailand and from Dubai to Liberia, is set to balloon
into one of the biggest bribery and corruption scandals in the country.
NAGALAND
Assembly hails rebel groups
The Nagaland State Legislative Assembly has extended ‘recognition’ to the Naga
undergrounds for having “selflessly worked, fought and sacrificed” for the aspirations
and rights of the Naga people. This ‘recognition’ as a resolution was adopted in the
State Assembly on November 29, 2009, even as talks between the government of India
and the NSCN(IM) have yet to reach a conclusive stage. The resolution was passed
unanimously with members cutting across party lines to support it.
The State Assembly also reiterated its earlier stand on integration of all Naga-inhabited
areas in the region, an issue that also figures prominently on the NSCN agenda.
The Nagaland Assembly has so far passed four resolutions in favour of integration of
Naga areas—first on December 12, 1964, followed by August 28, 1970, September 16,
1994 and December 18, 2003. The 60-member House in the resolution also appealed the
negotiating parties of the Naga political dialogue to expedite the political process and
bring about an early resolution through a negotiated settlement which was honourable
and acceptable to the Naga people.
The State Assembly, through its resolution, also appreciated the government of India,
particularly Prime Minister Manmohan Singh and Union Home Minister P. Chidambaram
for their “renewed sincerity” towards finding a permanent solution to the decades-old
“Indo-Naga” political problem.
The resolution also appreciated the civil society, churches, NGOs and the Forum for
Naga Reconciliation (FNR) for their all out efforts towards reconciliation, understanding
and oneness of all sections of Naga society. The resolution also hailed the sincerity of
the underground groups, especially their commitment towards peace and understanding
by signing the “Covenant of Reconciliation” earlier at Chiangmai in Thailand on
September 23, 2009.
The resolution further decided to constitute a Joint Parliamentary Committee on the
Naga political issue comprising members from all political parties. This committee
would carry the voice of the House to all concerned sections including the Centre and
the Naga rebel groups.
The tri-junctions, which have been identified for the offensive against the ‘Red
Rebels’, are: Andhra Pradesh-Maharashtra-Chhattisgarh; Orissa-Jharkhand-Chhattisgarh
and West Bengal-Jharkhand-Orissa.
Around 40,000 paramilitary personnel would assist the respective State police forces
during the operations. Almost 7,000 specially trained troops in jungle warfare are also
part of the total strength of the Central forces to be deployed for the task.
The anti-Naxal plan also includes Rs 7,300 crore package for unleashing developmental
works in areas cleared off the Left-wing extremists. Officials feel that the Naxal
menace, which has now spread to 40,000 sq km area across the country, can be wiped
out in a period of 12 to 30 months.
Around 25 lakh people live in areas where Maoists are now having a free run. The
Naxalites have killed more than 2,600 people, including civilians, in 5,800 incidents in
last three years.
AFGHANISTAN
Karzai elected President
On November 1, 2009, Afghanistan's Presidential challenger announced he would not
participate in the run-off election because his demands for measures to prevent fraud
were rejected. He stopped short of calling on his supporters to boycott the balloting.
Abdullah made no mention of agreeing to take part in any future unity government with
President Hamid Karzai, which the US and its international partners believe is the best
hope for curbing the Taliban insurgency.
In an emotional speech, Abdullah said he did not believe a free and fair election was
possible without changes in the leadership of the electoral commission, which ran the
fraud-marred first-round ballot on August 20, 2009. Abdullah said the Afghan people
should not accept results of a ballot run by the current group.
A run-off was ordered after the UN auditors threw out nearly a third of Karzai's votes in
the first round ballot, dropping him below the 50 per cent threshold for victory in the
36-candidate field.
Hamid Karzai was sworn in for a second term as Afghan President on November 19,
2009. The 51-year-old has pledged to fight corruption and take control of his country's
security before his five-year term ends.
His inauguration came against the backdrop of an ever more deadly Taliban insurgency,
doubts over his legitimacy after the tainted election, and demands from Western
donors that he address rampant corruption and mismanagement.
BANGLADESH
Hindu property confiscated during 1965 war to be returned
On November 2, 2009, the Bangladesh cabinet approved a proposed law to return Hindu
property, which were confiscated during the 1965 Indo-Pak war, when the country was
eastern wing of Pakistan, ending a major violation of the rights of minorities in the
country.
The proposed law is meant to redress the long-disputed law of the Pakistani era, which
was widely criticised as a major violation of the minority rights. During the Pakistan
period, the law was called as the Enemy Property Act.
The then Pakistani regime enacted the law to confiscate the property of the Hindu
families who fled the country when the India-Pakistan war broke out in 1965 while the
post-independent Bangladesh government renamed it as the Vested Property Act 1974.
Officials familiar with the process said under the amended proposal, the government
would publish lists of “returnable and non-returnable vested property” within a certain
period of times while the claimants could also seek review about “non-returnable”
property. Under the law, government committees at district and upzila or sub-district
levels would settle disputes regarding the disputed property.
The Awami League had enacted the law to return the minority property at the fag end
of its previous 1996-2001 tenure setting a two-year implementation deadline but the
subsequent Bangladesh Nationalist Party (BNP) sat on it exposing it to a natural death.
The 2001 law stipulated that land that was seized be returned to its original owners,
provided that the original owners or their heirs remained resident citizens.
A five-judge bench of the apex court delivered the judgement amid tight security on
the court premises and key establishments across the country, bringing to an end a long
court battle on an emotive issue.
Sheikh Mujib, officially referred to with the honorific Bangabandhu, who was then the
country's President, was killed in a coup on the morning of August 15, 1975, less than
four years after he led a movement that culminated in the emergence of Bangladesh
after its violent separation from Pakistan.
In its judgement, the apex court ruled that the incidents of August 15, 1975, were “a
simple murder and it was not a result of mutiny”. Also gunned down or bludgeoned in
three separate attacks were most of Mujib's family members, close relatives, political
associates, Mujib's security chief and personal staff.
Referred to as “killer majors”, since most of them were junior officers, the condemned
men had later openly claimed to have carried out the killings in what they described as
national interest.
Prime Minister Sheikh Hasina, Mujib's elder daughter and one of the two survivors,
revived the court trial after she returned to power in January 2009. Sheikh Rehana, the
other surviving daughter of Sheikh Mujibur Rahman, in her reaction, said it was
important that the verdict had been upheld by the Supreme Court.
EUROPEAN UNION
Belgian PM chosen first President
On November 19, 2009, European Union leaders have named Belgian Prime Minister
Herman Van Rompuy as the bloc’s first President and appointed Briton Catherine Ashton
as its foreign affairs chief.
A consensus was reached at a summit in Brussels after Britain dropped its insistence
that former British Prime Minister Tony Blair should become President, ending weeks of
deadlock and opening the way to agreement on Van Rompuy.
The appointments are intended to bolster the EU’s standing and help it match the rise
of emerging powers such as China following the global economic crisis.
Van Rompuy, 62, and Ashton, 53, are low-profile compromise candidates little known
outside the EU and at least initially will not have the clout in foreign capitals that an
established statesmen such as Blair would have had.
PAKISTAN
Zardari hands over ‘nuke button’ to Gilani
Pakistan's embattled President Asif Ali Zardari has transferred control of the country’s
nuclear arsenal to Premier Yousuf Raza Gilani and said he intended to strip the
Presidency of more powers soon.
The President gave up his control over the nuclear arsenal by re-promulgating the
National Command Authority Ordinance and amending it, a move described as a “giant
leap forward to empower the elected Parliament and the Prime Minister.”
Zardari also said in an interview with a TV news channel that the 17th Constitutional
amendment which gives President sweeping powers to dismiss the Premier and dissolve
Parliament will also be done away with soon.
Meanwhile, a controversial law which scrapped graft cases against Asif Ali Zardari and
his key allies expired on November 28, 2009, but the Pakistan President felt it will not
affect him as the Constitution provides “indemnity” to the person holding the top post
in the country.
PHILIPPINES
Emergency imposed after massacre
On November 24, 2009, Philippines President Gloria Macapagal Arroyo placed two
southern provinces and a city under emergency rule after 24 people were killed in the
worst-ever election related violence in the country.
The orders were issued as troops, using shovels and bare hands, dug up hastily covered
graves on a grassy hillside in Maguindanao to recover the victims of the massacre. Some
of the dead men had their hands tied behind their back and one of the women was
pregnant. Eight of those found dead were local journalists. They were part of a group
of 40 people abducted by gunmen when on their way to file a candidate's nomination to
contest the governorship in elections May 2010.
Elections in the Philippines are usually marred by violence, especially in the south,
where security forces are battling communist rebels, Islamic radicals and clan rivalries.
SWITZERLAND
Voters approve ban on minarets
Swiss voters approved a ban on construction of new minarets on November 29, 2009, a
surprise result that is certain to embarrass Switzerland’s neutral government and could
also damage its economic ties with Muslim States.
About 57.5% of voters and all but four of the 26 cantons approved the proposal in the
nationwide referendum, which was backed by the right-wing Swiss People’s Party (SVP).
The government said it would respect the people’s decision and declared construction
of new minarets would no longer be permitted. “Muslims in Switzerland are able to
practise their religion alone or in community with others and live according to their
beliefs just as before,” it said in a statement. Justice Minister Eveline Widmer-
Schlumpf said the outcome of the vote reflected a fear of Islamic fundamentalism, but
the ban was “not a feasible means of countering extremist tendencies”.
Both the government and Parliament had rejected the initiative as violating the Swiss
constitution, freedom of religion and the nation’s cherished tradition of tolerance. The
UN human rights watchdog had also voiced concerns.
The SVP, Switzerland’s biggest party, and Federal Democratic Union gathered enough
signatures to force the vote on the initiative opposing the “Islamisation of
Switzerland”. The move has stirred fears of violent reactions in Muslim countries and an
economically disastrous boycott by wealthy Muslims who bank and vacation in
Switzerland.
The right-wing campaign to outlaw minarets on mosques has received an unlikely boost
from radical feminists arguing that the tower-like structures are “male power symbols”
and reminders of Islam’s oppression of women. Julia Onken, a prominent feminist,
warned that failure to ban minarets would be “a signal of the State’s acceptance of the
oppression of women”.
WORLD ECONOMY
G-20 launches framework to boost global economy
The finance ministers of G-20 nations have agreed on a timetable for the new
framework for balanced and sustainable growth of the global economy, but made a
little progress on financing efforts to reduce global warming.
The world’s leading developed and emerging economies committed to have peer review
and “more specific policy recommendations” in place by November 2010. The Finance
Ministers, during the two-day meeting at St Andrews in Scotland, on November 8, 2009,
hoped that if all countries put political weight behind the negotiations over the next
year, the world can recover without developing the huge trade and financial
imbalances of the past decade.
But there was no agreement on a specific set of common objectives, nor a mechanism
to resolve disputes. On the climate change issue, the Finance Ministers agreed only to
keep working for an ambitious outcome at meeting in Copenhagen but could not agree
on the amount of money developed countries will offer to poorer countries to help
them reduce their carbon dioxide emissions.
The meeting was also overshadowed by a dispute about the possibility of a global tax on
financial transactions. Addressing the meeting, British Prime Minister Gordon Brown
floated the idea of such a tax would help banks to pay for the insurance they receive
from taxpayers. Within hours of the suggestion, the idea appeared still-born when US
Treasury Secretary Tim Geithner said: “A day-to-day financial transaction tax is not
something we are prepared to support.” But some of the other measures mentioned by
Brown—an insurance fee to reflect the risk of some banks, a pre-funded pool of money
to support orderly bank bankruptcies and contingent capital arrangements-have more
international support. The US is supportive of efforts to ensure banks cannot rely on
taxpayers to bail them out in future.
Eurozone pulls out of recession
Europe's deepest recession since the second world war has officially ended after the
world's biggest single trading bloc joined Japan and the United States in returning to
growth. Both the 16-nation eurozone, and the 27-nation European Union as a
whole, expanded their economies in the third quarter, with a 0.4 per cent increase in
the single currency area and a 0.2 per cent rise across the bloc as a whole.
But despite exiting five quarters running of economic retreat, analysts said that the
improvement is unlikely to be robust enough to allow governments to end State support
measures, particularly with unemployment continuing to rise.
The eurozone economy had shrunk by 0.2 per cent between April and June after a
record collapse of 2.5 per cent in the first three months of 2009. But growth of 0.7 per
cent in Germany, Europe's most powerful economy, and 0.3 per cent in France, in the
third quarter lay behind the improvement.
Britain, with a 0.4 per cent contraction and Spain, with a 0.3 per cent decline,
contributed to the lower figure for the EU as a whole.
The European figures compare with a 0.9 per cent improvement in third-quarter
economic output in the United States, with Japan having already exited from recession
in the second quarter with 0.6 per cent growth.
Hoarwd Archer, the chief economist at IHS Global Insight, poured some cold water on
the news when he said the the emergence into daylight came "at a trot rather than a
canter". Cautioning that "consumer spending likely saw little or no growth," Archer
warned that the recovery "could well lose momentum for a time in 2010 before growth
starts to gradually pick up again".
But he forecast overall eurozone growth of one per cent in 2010. Clemente De Lucia of
BNP-Paribas, a French bank, said the rebound was due mainly to the industrial sector
and warned that the recovery "might fade in 2010" once the impact of schemes, such as
help for boosting new car sales, was fully withdrawn. He also pointed to high
unemployment, running at more than 22 million at the last count across the EU, acting
as a brake on expansion for some time yet.
The economy of the group’s 30 member countries will expand 1.9% in 2010 and 2.5% in
2011, the Paris-based organisation said in a report. Output will contract 3.5% in 2009.
The OECD, which advises members on economic policy, forecast 2010 growth of 0.7% in
June.
But the recovery will be marred by high unemployment and huge government debt
across the industrialised countries, the OECD said. Central banks and governments in
major Western economies should prepare for a gradual upwards shift in ultra-low
interest rates and for fiscal consolidation once recovery is stronger, but they will only
need to move in late 2010 at the earliest given that inflation is so low.
Output in the OECD economies will only return to the level achieved in the first three
months of 2008 in the third quarter of 2011, underlining the damage done by the
banking crisis.
The OECD gave 2011 growth forecasts for the first time. The US will grow 2.8%, the
euro area 1.7% and Japan 2%. The Chinese economy will expand 9.3%, it said. The
global growth forecast includes emerging giants China, Brazil, India and Russia with the
mostly industrialized economies of its own 30-country membership and in all covers
some 80% of world output.
The OECD said it expected world trade to grow 6.0% in 2010 and 7.7% in 2011 after a
plunge of 12.5% in 2009. China and India are poised to accelerate due to strong stimulus
measures, the OECD projected.
The Paris-based group hiked its growth forecast for China to 9.3% in 2009 and 10.2% in
2010. In March, it projected China's growth at 6-7% in 2009. For India, the OECD
boosted its growth forecast to 6.1% in 2009 and 7.3% in 2010, rising to 7.6% the
following year. The OECD, in March, projected 4.3% expansion for India in 2009. India's
recovery appeared to be only “modestly hampered” by the driest monsoon in nearly
four decades and economic data suggested the growth “momentum is strengthening,”
the OECD said. But a resurgence of inflationary pressures pose a “key challenge” to
Indian policymakers in deciding when to withdraw stimulus in order to tackle the large
public deficit, it said.
Dubai, which borrowed $80 billion in a four-year construction boom to transform its
economy into a regional tourism and financial hub, suffered the world’s steepest
property slump in the global recession. Home prices fell 50 percent from their 2008
peak, according to Deutsche Bank AG. Banks around the world have written off more
than $1.7 trillion as the credit crisis trashed the value of their assets.
Dubai World’s lenders include Credit Suisse Group AG, HSBC Holdings, Barclays, Lloyds
Banking Group and Royal Bank of Scotland Group.
ENVIRONMENT
China announces ambitious emission caps
Green NGOs were elated after China announced ambitious cuts in the carbon intensity
of its economy by 2020 in a major boost to the global effort to tackle climate change.
China announced a 40-45 percent reduction in the carbon intensity from the business-
as-usual scenario by 2020. Carbon intensity measures the amount of carbon dioxide—the
main greenhouse gas that is causing global warming—emitted per unit of industrial
output. India's carbon intensity is one of the lowest among emerging economies.
International NGO Greenpeace also welcomed China's announcement but said it was not
enough. "Given the urgency and magnitude of the climate change crisis, China needs
stronger measures to tackle climate change," said Ailun Yang of Greenpeace China.
"This is a significant announcement at a very important point in time. But China could
do more."
Since 2007, China is the world's largest emitter of greenhouse gases, though almost all
the carbon dioxide in the atmosphere now has been put there by developed countries
since the start of the Industrial Age.
Yang noted that the announcement by China is yet another commitment for the climate
coming from a major developing country ahead of the UN Copenhagen Climate Summit.
"This is another challenge to the industrialised world, particularly the US, which has
just announced an inadequate emissions reduction target of only 4-5 percent by 2020."
For China, a low carbon path is a national priority and a sure way to keep up its
economic tempo. China can ill-afford to let ‘invisible’ carbon denominated process and
production methods (PPMs) standards shackle its export offensive.
More than India, it is China that should be worried about the current efforts to re-
interpret Article XX (e) of GATT to keep out ‘goods based on carbon intensive
processes’. In reality, China has been under greater pressure to stave off the ‘climate
related threat’ from the WTO window. By sending a ‘concrete’ signal of commitment to
emission intensity reduction, the People’s Republic is doing its best to keep the trade
dragon from getting into the FCCC fold.
The Chinese move came a day after the US administration, that held out for long,
announced that it would offer a target of reducing its greenhouse gas emissions "in the
range of" 17% by 2020 as compared to 2005 levels. When converted to benchmarks set
under Kyoto Protocol, this works out to 4% reduction below 1990 levels—almost seven
times less than what the EU has offered and less than 1/10th of what the UN IPCC
requires industrialised countries to do to check catastrophic climate change.
One senior official said: "China’s offer are not absolute reductions, please note, and
they are purely voluntary, China has not offered them as a commitment towards
international compact. This is along lines that China had informed us of. But they leave
a positive impression internationally." In fact, the Chinese are aiming to earn goodwill
without doing much. The industrialized countries are obliged under the existing UN
treaty to reduce their emissions by absolute levels below a fixed benchmarked year.
China, in comparison has offered a purely voluntary reduction in its carbon intensity.
The carbon intensity target also provides enough leverage for ‘creative accounting’ in
measuring success of targets.
NUCLEAR PROLIFERATION
Chinese N-shopping mall helped Pakistan
China supplied Pakistan with enough weapons-grade uranium for two atomic bombs in
1982 and continued to help Islamabad out with its nuclear programme, according to a
report in The Washington Post.
Outing China as a nuclear proliferator, the report, which sourced the narrative from
accounts written by disgraced Pakistani nuclear scientist A.Q. Khan, said that a
Pakistani military C-130 left the western Chinese city of Urumqi with the “highly
unusual cargo" in 1982.
That China supplied Pakistan with nuclear know-how has always been suspected, but
this is the first time that a detailed account of how it took place has come out and that
too straight from the accounts of A.Q. Khan. The uranium transfer was reportedly part
of a secret nuclear deal approved years earlier by Mao Zedong and Prime Minister
Zulfiqar Ali Bhutto in the 1976, four years after India tested its first nuclear weapon.
But it was realised only during the time of Zia ul-Haq, who after taking power and
hanging Bhutto was struggling under rumours of a pre-emptive strike by India. So Khan
and a Pakistani general were sent to Beijing "to borrow enough bomb-grade uranium for
a few weapons." Chinese leader Deng Xiaoping gave the approval and Khan and his team
flew aboard a Pakistani C-130 to Urumqi where Khan says they enjoyed barbecued lamb
while waiting for the Chinese military to pack the small uranium bricks into lead-lined
boxes to be flown to Islamabad.
“Upon my personal request, the Chinese Minister . . . had gifted us 50 kg [kilograms] of
weapon-grade enriched uranium, enough for two weapons,” Khan wrote in an 11-page
narrative of the Pakistani bomb programme that he prepared after his January 2004
detention. “The Chinese gave us drawings of the nuclear weapon, gave us 50 kg
enriched uranium,” he said in a separate account sent to his wife several months
earlier. China in effect supplied a "virtual do-it-yourself kit that significantly speeded
Pakistan’s bomb effort."
Even before that, China sent Pakistan 15 tons of uranium hexafluoride (UF6), a
feedstock for Pakistan’s centrifuges, whose designs Khan has stolen. But it was also a
give and take with Khan sharing Europe’s best centrifuge technology in the 1980s with
the Chinese in an effort to help China’s uranium-enrichment programme.
This was the third time that India has voted against Iran’s alleged clandestine nuclear
weapons programme at the IAEA, the last two occasions being in September 2005 and
February 2006. This decision had kicked off a massive political storm in the country.
The Left parties, which were offering critical outside support to the UPA government at
that time, had come down heavily on the ruling combine and accused it of being arm-
twisted by the US into voting against Iran.
The vote had also raised serious concerns within the ruling Congress, which feared that
this vote would erode its minority support base. Explaining New Delhi’s third vote on
the governing body resolution Vienna, External Affairs Ministry spokesperson said: “Our
support for the resolution was based on the key points contained in the Report of the
Director General.”
The IAEA has come to the conclusion that Iran was not transparent about its nuclear
programmes and concluded that it was pursuing clandestine nuclear weapons
programme. In September, Iran confirmed the doubts about its weapons programme
when it disclosed the existence of a second uranium enrichment plant in Fordo, not
very far from Tehran.
India, on its part, has been doing a tightrope walk on the sensitive issue. It has
consistently opposed Tehran on this issue in multi-lateral forums but continued to
engage with Tehran bilaterally. The reasons for this were explained by Prime Minister
Manmohan Singh when he pointed to the ancient civilization links between the two
countries, New Delhi’s dependence on Iran for energy and the presence of five million
Indians living in Iran.
Continuing with its balancing act, India was quick to strike a conciliatory note after its
censure of Iran at Vienna. It pointed out that this resolution should not be used to
renew punitive action or new sanctions against Iran.
The latest resolution was backed by all five permanent members of the UN Security
Council. The three countries that opposed the anti-Iran IAEA resolution were Cuba,
Venezuela and Malaysia, while Pakistan, Afghanistan, Egypt, Turkey, South Africa and
Brazil abstained from voting.
It may speed up discussions in the West about possible new sanctions on Iran over its
repeated refusal to halt uranium enrichment, which the US and its allies suspect is part
of a covert bid to develop nuclear bombs. Iran denies this.
The new enrichment facilities would be the same size as Iran's main enrichment
complex at Natanz.
INTERNATIONAL RELATIONS
Visit of US President to China
On November 17, 2009, in a delicate balancing act during his visit to China, US
President Barack Obama supported early resumption of talks between China and the
Dalai Lama’s representatives while describing Tibet as part of this country. Taking note
of the sensitivities of China and the exiled Tibetan leader, Obama, during his maiden
visit to China as President, said: “We did note that while we recognise that Tibet is part
of the People’s Republic of China, the US supports the early resumption of dialogue”
between the Dalai Lama’s representatives and Beijing.
Obama’s remarks came after his meeting with his Chinese counterpart Hu Jintao during
which the two sides discussed a host of issues including India-Pakistan relations, Iran’s
controversial nuclear programme, Afghanistan, terrorism and climate change.
The US and China agreed to work together to bring about stable and peaceful relations
in all of South Asia, Obama said during his joint briefing with Chinese president Hu
Jintao in Beijing. Hu, who spoke first, didn’t mention Pakistan or South Asia. This was a
rare occasion when a US president acknowledged that Beijing has a role to play in the
India-Pakistan relationship. The move, if serious, runs counter to predictions of US
foreign policy experts that the US would not acquiesce in a future Chinese hegemony in
the region.
While the joint statement was met with silence by New Delhi, it infuriated officials in
the foreign office because it brought back nasty memories of another US-China joint
statement by Bill Clinton and Jiang Zemin on June 29, 1998. Then too, it was Clinton
and Jiang, in what India considered “offensive” language, scolding India and Pakistan
for their nuclear tests. India had reacted sharply then, buffetted by general
international condemnation after the tests.
But latest statement cut at the heart of an Indian effort to build a relationship with the
US without China complicating the issue. The reality is perhaps that the joint statement
was drafted by Obama’s China officials who don’t read India’s sensitivities. But that it
was allowed to go through signals to many Indian strategists that Obama may be more
than pliant to China, giving it a role in a region where it’s bound to come into conflict
with a country Obama says is a strategic US partner, India.
SUMMITS
CHOGM
Commonwealth Heads of Government Meeting (CHOGM) was hosted in the city of Port
of Spain in the Republic of Trinidad and Tobago on November 27-29, 2009. The Opening
Ceremony of the Meeting included an address by Her Majesty Queen Elizabeth II, Head
of the Commonwealth.
The CHOGM is the supreme body of the Commonwealth. It is convened every two years
to review global, political and economic developments and to conduct a strategic
overview of the Commonwealth’s work in support of the interests of member countries.
The objective of this Summit was to engage leaders of the Commonwealth in discussing
global and Commonwealth issues and to agree upon collective policies and initiatives.
Climate change was a major topic of discussion at 2009 CHOGM, due to the proximity of
the meeting to the Copenhagen climate change summit, but also because many
Commonwealth States are particularly vulnerable to the effects of global warming.
Heads of government once again acknowledged the threats posed by weapons of mass
destruction, especially nuclear weapons, and reaffirmed their commitment towards
ridding the world of these weapons. Recognising that the ultimate objective is general
and complete disarmament under strict and effective international control, Heads
reaffirmed their commitment to the non-proliferation of weapons of mass destruction,
which should be achieved in accordance with the United Nations Charter. Heads
reaffirmed the rights of States to nuclear energy for peaceful uses in conformity with
their international obligations. They also noted the ongoing efforts towards the
negotiation of a comprehensive Arms Trade Treaty (ATT) in respect of conventional
weapons, and the proposed ATT conference to be held in 2012. They called for the
finalisation of a robust and comprehensive ATT based on consensus.
Continuing need for comprehensive efforts at all national and international levels to
counter terrorism, including efforts to build respect and understanding among peoples
was stressed. The Heads also emphasised the need to conclude negotiations on a
Comprehensive Convention on International Terrorism on a priority basis, preferably
during the Sixty-Fourth Session of the UN General Assembly and called upon all member
States to accede to the UN Counter-Terrorism Conventions and Protocols, and to
effectively implement these as well as the UN Global Counter-Terrorism Strategy and
relevant Security Council Resolutions, and to prevent the use of their territories for the
support, incitement or commission of terrorist acts in other States.
Recognising that corruption in its various forms undermines good governance, public
security, respect for human rights and economic development, CHOGM urged member
States which had not already done so to consider becoming parties to the UN
Convention against Corruption (UNCAC), and to implement its provisions, including
those addressing asset recovery, to help them combat systemic corruption at both
national and international levels.
Heads expressed their support for the commitment to avoid protectionism, and to
strengthen financial supervision and regulation. They emphasised the importance of
renewing the contract between financial institutions and the society they serve, and
the need to ensure the sector bears the full cost of the risk associated with their
activities. They encouraged the IMF to consider the full range of options in their review
and welcomed the steps taken by many countries to mitigate the impact of the
economic crisis, and the fragile signs of growth in the global economy. They expressed
concern, however, that the social and economic impact of the crisis would continue to
affect a vast majority of the developing countries, particularly the smallest and most
economically vulnerable members of the Commonwealth, including LDCs and SIDS.
Australia will host the 2011 CHOGM. Sri Lanka and Mauritius will host the 2013 and 2015
CHOGMs, respectively.
INTERNATIONAL TERRORISM
Italy arrests two for aiding 26/11 attacks on Mumbai
Tracing new links to the Mumbai carnage, a Pakistani father-son duo were arrested
from Italy for allegedly managing money transfer to finance phone communications of
the attackers following leads from Indian and US investigators.
The two men, who ran a money transfer agency, were arrested in an early morning raid
from the northern Italian city of Brescia, police said. The duo have been identified by
the police as Mohammad Yaqub Janjua, 60, and Aamer Yaqub Janjua, 31. They have
been accused of aiding and abetting international terrorism as well as illegal financial
activity.
On November 25, 2008, a day before the attacks, they transferred $ 229 to activate an
internet phone account that was used by the attackers and their accomplices, said
Stefano Fonzi, the head of anti-terror police in Brescia.
The funds that enabled the terrorists to be in touch with their handlers in Pakistan
were transferred under the identity of another Pakistani man who had never been to
Italy and was not involved in the attacks, reports from Italy said. The two managed a
money transfer agency where it is reported to be a common practice to transfer funds
using false identities. The Italian police arrested the two men in an early morning raid
in Brescia, the police said in a statement.
Italian police started their investigation the following month after being alerted by
Indian authorities and the FBI that funds had been transferred from Italy.
While India may still take part in negotiations, the treaty in its present form was not in
India’s interest. Certain binding clauses on social issues like violation of human rights
and restrictions on arms sale expanding into controls on export of advanced
technologies could work against India.
The US under George Bush in 2006 had opposed the treaty but it came round to
supporting it under Barack Obama. The fate of the UN sponsored treaty still hangs in
the balance as the list of 19 who abstained includes China and Russia, as also Pakistan.
The proposed treaty calls upon States involved in arms trade to not violate human
rights, promote democracy and refrain from getting into any armed conflict. It also
calls for ban on sale of arms to countries which promote terrorism.
The fact that India is still dependent on conventional weapons and imports a large
number of these is another major concern. The proposed treaty will seek to set up
export controls on transfers of advanced weapons, thereby extending the present
Western-inspired controls on export of advanced technologies. This could impinge on
the interests of India.
RBI Governor D. Subbarao noted that the Indian economy was awash with liquidity and
there was possibility of considerable strain in the future from inflationary pressures.
However, to keep growth on track, the apex bank left the Bank Rate untouched at 6 per
cent while the repo rate under the liquidity adjustment facility (LAF) stay at 4.75 per
cent. The reverse repo rate under the LAF, too, remains the same at 3.25 per cent. The
cash reserve ratio (CRR) of scheduled banks also has been retained at 5 per cent of
their net demand and time liabilities (NDTL).
Mr Subbarao pointed out that the global economy has shown signs of major
improvement since the last review in July 2009. However, concerns remained of the
recovery being fragile. "Even as output is reviving, unemployment is expected to
increase to over 10 per cent. Investment is also expected to remain weak due to
ruptured balance sheets, excess capacity and financing constraints. Bank collapses are
continuing. World trade still remains below its level a year ago. On balance, while
global economic prospects have improved, uncertainties remain about the pace and
sustainability of economic recovery," Subbarao said.
The RBI chief also noted that there were concerns of large government market
borrowings. "During 2009-10 so far, the Central Government has already completed over
80 per cent (Rs 3,19,911 crore) of its net market borrowing and State governments have
mobilised Rs 58,683 crore (net) through the market borrowing programme," he stated.
Highlights
In its July 2009 forecast, the RBI had forecast that India’s economy in 2009-10 would
grow by 6%, with an upward bias, and the Planning Commission had said in early
September that it sees GDP growth at 6.3%. India’s economy expanded by 6.7% in 2008-
09 after growing at over 9% for three years.
EDUCATION
IIMs can now set up campuses abroad
Directors of the prestigious Indian Institutes of Management (IIMs) and members of their
boards will eventually be appointed through an independent collegium of industrialists
and academics. Also, IIMs can set up campuses abroad, provided they come up with
“workable proposals and preferably function together instead of individually”.
"We want to globalise the IIM brand,” said HRD Minister Kapil Sibal. In another major
move, the government agreed that a collegium, as mooted for the appointment of vice-
chancellors of central universities, would also apply to IIMs, where majority
appointments so far are cleared by the HRD ministry, which advertises the positions
before short-listing and selecting candidates.
But that is set to change to advance the cause of transparency in appointments to top
institutes. IIM boards are also proposed to be restricted in size, with HRD ministry
describing them as “unwieldy and huge”. The membership will be limited to 13
(currently over 20 or so.
The boards are proposed to be reconstituted post January 2010, the deadline which the
government has given to IIM directors to present their views on the constitution of the
collegium, which will be empowered to recommend names of board members and
directors to the government for final selection.
For the institutes to beat competition, autonomy is the key, feel the directors. Sibal
agrees, but with a rider: “We are for IIM autonomy, for letting go, but let’s not forget
that the primary responsibility of all education systems is national.”
ELECTIONS
Congress wins in Haryana, Maharashtra and Arunachal
With a stunning result in the latest political super-bowl, the Congress has fortified its
"top dog" status, while pushing the main opposition party, BJP, into its gravest political
crisis in over two decades.
Congress survived a scare in Haryana and retained power in the State with the help of
independents as well as five Haryana Janhit Congress MLAs, who decided to join the
Congress. Congress sailed back in style in Maharashtra and Arunachal Pradesh. All three
CMs—Ashok Chavan in Maharashtra, B.S. Hooda in Haryana and Dorjee Khandu in
Arunachal—have been renominated by the party leadership.
If the Lok Sabha polls settled the Number One slot for Congress party, the altest verdict
confirmed that the gap between Sonia Gandhi’s outfit and BJP is growing. In fact, some
political pundits feel Congress could well be on the way to regaining its pre-1996 status
when, as the key player in most States, it could be fought only by a united opposition.
Some riders are, however, in order. The win in Maharashtra has been facilitated by Raj
Thackeray playing spoiler again—on a bigger scale. In Haryana, the party failed to get a
majority despite a three-way split of anti-Congress votes. The resurrection of Chautala
shows the resilience of old-fashioned politics and should be sobering for those who feel
traditional political tools—caste/community—have lost salience.
Haryana: In Haryana, the Congress vote share fell by a huge 7.4%, from 42.5% to 35.1%.
Normally such a big swing away results in the decimation of a party. But Hooda has
managed to keep his head above the water, thanks largely to a fractured opposition.
Chautala, too, lost his vote share, but by just 0.7%, while BJP’s share fell by 1.4%. The
new political outfit, Kuldip Singh Bishnoi’s HJC, accounted for 7.4% votes.
Maharashtra: In the the lead-up to the Maharashtra polls, many had wondered whether
Raj Thackeray would help Congress-NCP in as big a way as he did in the LS polls by
eating into the Sena votebank yet again. Indeed, Congress-NCP cruised back to power
as Shiv Sena citadels in Mumbai and Thane crumbled under Raj’s assault. In a result,
the loser’s story is almost as important as the winner’s. If the ruling combine beat the
incumbency blues, the 144-90 scoreline was the clap of doom for the Sena-BJP camp.
To add to Sena’s woes, BJP crept ahead with 46 seats to its 44.
The revenge drama saw Raj Thackeray’s Maharashtra Navnirman Sena demolish Sena’s
prospects by not only splitting the “Marathi” vote but emerging as the second largest
party in Mumbai with six seats and a staggering 23.35% of the city vote.
MNS polled 5.7% of the State’s vote, eating into Sena and possibly NCP bases. While
Sena was the worst hit, losing 3.7% of its support since May 2009, the Raj effect may
have dented others, particularly NCP, which lost 2.4% of its vote.
Congress may have raised its tally of seats in the 288-member Maharashtra Assembly
from 69 in 2004 to 82 this time round, but the party’s vote share has never been lower
in any Vidhan Sabha election in the State, except in 1978. Yet with 21% of votes,
Congress has a distinct edge over the other big parties, NCP having won just 16.4%, Shiv
Sena 16.3% and BJP 14%. That also means that the combined vote shares of the big four
is down by 5.9% from five years ago. This almost exactly matches the 5.7% won by MNS
in these elections.
Independents have won 15.5% votes. In other words, despite the existence of two long-
standing coalitions in the fray, roughly one in every three Maharashtra voters did not
vote for either of them. That is perhaps the clearest indication that this verdict is not
so much a positive one for UPA as one it has got by default because of the absence of
credible alternatives.
The Congress romped home with 42 of the 60 Assembly seats even as Apang (60) bit the
dust at the hands of Alo Libang, a political greenhorn from NCP.
Dorji Khandu had come to power in April 2007 after Congress dissidents revolted against
Apang. Like in the last two elections, Khandu has again won from Mukto in Tawang
unopposed.
With five seats each, NCP and Trinamool Congress emerged as the main Opposition,
followed by People’s Party of Arunachal (four) and BJP (three). In 2004, the BJP had
won nine seats against Congress’s 34.
Jharkhand has 1.8 crore voters and 23,944 polling stations. While photo electoral rolls
have been prepared in the case of 74.19% voters, 77.63% voters have electoral photo
identity cards.
Admitting that conducting election in Jharkhand could be a problem due to the Maoist
menace, Chief Election Commissioner Navin Chawla said home ministry has agreed to
provide sufficient central paramilitary forces.
Jharkhand, which has seen four Chief Ministers and six governments in the nine years of
its short existence, will be looking for political stability at the end of the Assembly
election.
The State was placed under President’s Rule in January 2009 but the then Governor,
Syed Sibte Razi, was shifted out following allegations of misuse and corruption. A hung
House following the last Assembly election—the State’s first—in 2005 had led to a string
of unholy alliances in which Independent MLAs and fringe political parties with one or
two members in the Assembly called the shots. The period had also seen an
Independent MLA, Madhu Koda, becoming the Chief Minister.
Since then, two former ministers of the State have been arrested and sent to jail in
disproportionate assets cases, while the Enforcement Directorate has instituted an
adverse preliminary report against Koda and two other former ministers in the State for
alleged violation of foreign exchange rules and hawala transactions.
As many as seven MLAs in the 81-member House were disqualified in August under the
Anti-Defection Act while three members chose to quit the House, which had been kept
under suspended animation.
The election will put the Bharatiya Janata Party to yet another severe test. BJP had
emerged as the single largest party in the House with 30 seats after the last Assembly
election, though the majority eluded it. It also bagged eight out of the 14 Lok Sabha
seats from the State in May 2009. But with most of the party stalwarts in the Lok Sabha
and the party riven by factionalism, it faces an uphill task to put its act together.
Congress is trying to revive its fortune in the State where it was virtually marginalised,
managing to secure just nine seats in the Assembly in 2005. Even in the general election
held in May 2009, the party had managed to win only one of the 14 Lok Sabha seats. A
weak organisation and absence of leaders with acceptability throughout the State are
handicaps which the party hopes to overcome through campaigning by Rahul Gandhi
and others.
The election is also crucial for the Jharkhand Mukti Morcha, which campaigned for
separate Statehood but which never managed to get anywhere close to securing the
majority in the State Assembly. The virtually one-man party is still a force to reckon
with in Santhal Pargana region and the party chief, Shibu Soren, is still a big draw
among Santhals. But the JMM, which has declared its intention to contest the election
alone, may find the going tough in other parts of the State without the support of its
old ally, the Congress.
ENVIRONMENT
Ganga clean-up
Twenty two years and Rs 960 crore later, the government plans to spend another Rs
15,000 crore over the next 10 years to make the Ganga river pollution free. This
decision was taken at the meeting of the first National Ganga River Basin Authority,
chaired by Prime Minister Manmohan Singh, on October 5, 2009.
It has been decided to take up the cleaning of the Ganga river on a mission mode.
Mission Clean Ganga will ensure that by 2020 no untreated municipal sewage and
industrial effluents flows into Ganga. At present, the sewage treatment capacity is
about 1,000 mld, against 3,000 mld sewage being generated in the towns along Ganga.
Nearly 75% of the pollution in the Ganga is on account of municipal waste.
The costs will be borne by both the Centre and the States. There were disagreements
over the sharing, with States asking for 100% central funding. An alternate funding
pattern of 70% by the Centre and 30% by the States has been suggested. A final decision
on the sharing ratio will be worked out by the Planning Commission, in consultation
with the States and Central government.
In the meantime, the World Bank has offered a loan of $1 billion for the mission.
JUDICIARY
Vision Statement to cut delays
The Union government has suggested a drastic dilution of the judiciary's role in the
appointment of Judges in the "Vision Statement" for cutting down delays and banishing
cases pending for more than three years.
"The Executive and the Legislature must take initiative in recommending the best
possible talent for selection to the judiciary," Law Minister V. Moily said in the 32-page
document presented to Chief Justice K.G. Balakrishnan. The "government should also
be given the power to suggest outstanding lawyers and jurists as Judges," the Minister
said in the statement, which was discussed threadbare at a conference aimed at
"strengthening the judiciary towards reducing pendency and delays."
Moily's proposals have come in the wake of the crisis-like situation that has arisen
following allegations of judicial misconduct against a number of Judges—Karnataka High
Court Chief Justice P.D. Dinakaran and Judges Soumitra Sen of Calcutta High Court and
Nirmal Yadav of Punjab and Haryana High Court. The custodial death of Ashutosh
Asthana, the prime accused in the Uttar Pradesh PF scam, which reportedly involves
several Judges, has cast a further shadow on the judiciary.
Both the Law Commission, headed by Justice A.R. Lakshmanan, and the Parliamentary
Standing Committee report have recommended reverting to the pre-1993 system which
involved appointment of High Court and Supreme Court Judges through consultation
between the Chief Justice of India and the government-primarily the Prime Minister and
the Law Minister.
In all, Moily has suggested five "improvements" in the present system of appointment.
The other three are: There should be lucid and comprehensive guidelines which the
Collegium should follow in the matter of selection of judges. The Collegium should be
given a timeline to clear the backlog in vacancies. The government and the Collegium
should work "hand in hand while appointing Judges."
NUCLEAR ENERGY
India notifies N-separation plan
India has notified its separation plan in the IAEA, which formally separates India’s
civilian and military nuclear establishments. The plan, which was announced in March
2006, has passed muster at IAEA and India’s safeguards agreement is now officially
operational.
This is likely to help in the negotiations for the reprocessing agreement that is currently
under way between India and US. But more than that, this will silence many non-
proliferation critics in the new Obama-led US administration who had been looking at
the delay in notifying the safeguards agreement as an example of Indian dithering.
FOREIGN RELATIONS
India slams OIC over J&K envoy
Pakistan has succeeded in its efforts to compel the Organisation of Islamic Conference
(OIC) to appoint a special envoy for Jammu and Kashmir. At its meeting in New York
earlier in first week of October 2009, the OIC also stated that it supported people of
Jammu and Kashmir in realisation of their legitimate right to self-determination in
accordance with relevant UN resolutions and aspirations of the Kashmiri people.
A fuming India reacted sharply to the OIC action, dubbing it as interference in the
internal affairs of this country. “Jammu and Kashmir is an integral part of India and it is
our firm position that the OIC has no locus standi in matters concerning India’s internal
affairs,” the External Affairs Ministry said in a statement.
Condemning the OIC move, New Delhi said inherent in its statements and actions on the
issue of Jammu and Kashmir was a complete inability to understand India’s position.
The appointment of a Saudi national, Abdullah Bin Adbul Rahman Al Bakr, by the OIC as
its envoy on Kashmir is being seen as a move initiated by Pakistan as part of its
attempts to internationalise the Kashmir issue.
India has time and again told the international community, including major world
powers, that Jammu and Kashmir is a bilateral issue between India and Pakistan and
there is no room for third party intervention.
Under pressure from Pakistan, the OIC has at all its meetings adopted resolutions on
Jammu and Kashmir, prompting New Delhi to condemn 57-member body’s action every
time. Privately, however, many of the Islamic nations have repeatedly assured India
that they are not in agreement with OIC resolutions on Kashmir but had to support
them for the sake of unanimity and to keep Pakistan in good humour.
Well aware that its action would draw a strong response from India, the OIC is now
trying to play down the appointment of the special envoy.
OIC Secretary General Ekmeleddin Ihsanoglu was quoted as saying that the appointment
would help bridge the gap between India and Pakistan and address the issue of
minorities in India.
The agreement for cooperation in the peaceful uses of nuclear energy was among the
10 accords signed by the two countries following wide-ranging talks between Prime
Minister Manmohan Singh and visiting Argentine President Cristina Fernandez de
Kichner, during which they desired to establish strategic partnership between their two
nations. The two leaders discussed a wide range of bilateral, regional and global issues
of mutual interest.
A joint statement issued by India and Argentina after the visiting dignitary concluded
her talks with Indian leaders said the two sides shared the view that civil nuclear
energy could play an important role as a safe, sustainable and non-polluting source of
energy in meeting rising global demands for energy.
The other nine accords signed between the two sides include: exchange of letters for
business visa providing for five years multiple entry gratis visa for a single stay of 90
days; programme of cooperation in science and technology for 2009-11; MOU between
ONGC Videsh Limited and ENARSA; MOU on sports cooperation; MoU on cooperation in
the field of trade promotion and technology transfer in international trade; and
agreement on outer space.
The two sides also agreed on the need to give a new impulse to multilateral
negotiations in the area of disarmament, especially weapons of mass destruction.
India-China talks
Without getting into the recent spat over Arunachal Pradesh, Prime Minister Manmohan
Singh and Chinese Premier Wen Jiabao talked peace and harmony on October 24, 2009,
in a meeting on the sidelines of the India-ASEAN summit in Thailand.
The visit of the Dalai Lama to Arunachal also did not figure in the discussions between
the two leaders who instead focused on the positives in the relationship and agreed
that "differences" should not impede cooperation between the two countries.
In an effort to ameliorate the recent strain on the bilateral relationship, Prime Minister
Manmohan Singh even proposed that the two countries observe the 60th anniversary of
the establishment of diplomatic ties in a "fitting manner". He also put stress on the
trade and economic relations, calling it a "vital pillar" in the bilateral relationship.
This exchange at the highest political level came after an escalation in the rhetoric
between the two sides over the border issue. China had objected to Mr Singh’s trip to
Arunachal Pradesh for the Assembly elections. This had elicited a strong reaction from
New Delhi which had reminded Beijing that Arunachal remained an integral part of the
country. New Delhi had further pointed out that in the democratic system leaders
visited States where elections are taking place. This was further followed by India
protesting against China’s involvement in projects in Pakistan Occupied Kashmir, which
New Delhi pointed out was also disputed territory. New Delhi had earlier also objected
to Beijing’s practice of issuing visas to people from Jammu and Kashmir on loose
sheets.
Chinese Prime Minister Wen recalled Mr Singh’s remark about both sides having enough
space to develop and cooperate and added that there are sufficient areas in the world
for India and China to enhance such cooperation. The Chinese premier further
suggested that the Joint Economic Group should hold early consultations and that China
would work with India to handle the matter of the growing trade deficit.
India also rejected China’s objections to Dalai Lama’s Arunachal visit in November
while making it clear that the Tibetan spiritual leader was not allowed to indulge in
political activities on the Indian soil. The issue figured when Prime Minister Manmohan
Singh and his Chinese counterpart Wen Jiabao were seated next to each other at a gala
dinner hosted by the Thailand Prime Minister for leaders attending the ASEAN and East
Asia summits.
India and China are in the same bloc as the Group of 77 countries in climate
negotiations.
The MOA acknowledges that climate change and its adverse effects are a common
concern of mankind and need to be addressed through international co-operation. It
emphasises that the UNFCC and its Kyoto Protocol were the most appropriate
framework for addressing climate change.
India could gain significantly from the offer as it would give it easier entry to the
European and African markets, since Egypt has preferential access to both.
The Suez development area, located on the north-west coast of the Gulf of Suez, has
lower bureaucratic barriers to business formation and provides tax incentives. The law
gives more incentives for priority areas, such as infrastructure, auto parts, software, oil
field services, tourism and manufacturing. The terms and conditions of investing in the
proposed India zones and the tax benefits to industry are to be worked out.
Indian companies have, till now, invested about $750 million in 40 projects in Egypt.
India has a significant presence in the IT and automobile sector with companies like
Wipro, Satyam, Mahindra and Tatas having invested in the country.
Mr Singh said India would put pressure on Pakistan to curb the activities of the
elements engaged in terrorism against India. "If they are non-State actors, it is the
solemn duty of the government of Pakistan to bring them to book, to destroy their
camps and to eliminate their infrastructure. The perpetrators of the acts of terror must
pay the heaviest penalty for their barbaric crimes against humanity," he said.
With Pakistan now being targeted by terrorism, Mr Singh said there could be no
compromise with the ideology of terror. "It is a misplaced idea that one can reach a
compromise with the ideology of the terrorists or that they can be used for one’s own
political purpose. Eventually, they turn against you and bring only death and
destruction. The real face of the terrorists is clear for the people of Pakistan to see
with their own eyes," he said.
He maintained that India was ready to discuss humanitarian issues whose “resolution
requires the cooperation of Pakistan”. "We are ready to discuss these and other issues
with Pakistan. I hope that, as a result, things will be made easier for our traders,
divided families, prisoners and travelers," he said.
This was the third State visit by an Indian President to the UK. The first was by
President S. Radhakrishnan in 1963 and the second by President R. Venkataraman in
1990. This was also the first State visit after the commencement of the strategic
partnership between India and the UK in 2009.
During her visit, President Patil interacted with Queen Elizabeth of England as also met
Prime Minister Gordon Brown, leader of the opposition David Cameron and leader of the
Liberal Democratic Party Nick Clegg.
She also addressed in London a business meeting organised by the UK India Business
Council.
Cyprus has always supported India on all crucial issues and expressed its understanding
on our nuclear tests in 1998 and supported Indian position during Kargil war, too.
India is planning a major headway in generating energy through solar sources. It has
approached Cyprus which has made considerable headway in that direction to develop
solar power plants ranging between one MW and 50 MW. An MoU was signed in the
presence of visiting Indian President Pratibha Patil for providing solar power to India.
The MoU states that NORASCO, UPTURN of DALCO company and CASE NEUBERG of the
CASE group of companies will supply solar photovoltaic systems, kits and technology for
solar energy projects in India. It also states that CASE will be Indian technology and
engineering partners for setting up turnkey solar energy plants in India and NORASCO
will provide project finance and investments of EURO 50 million in solar energy sector
in India between 2010 and 2015. The Photovoltaic Technology Group of University of
Cyprus (PVT Group) also signed an MoU with NORASCO whereby PVT Group will act as a
technology consulting partner for developing solar energy projects and solar energy
education in India.
RESERVATIONS
Cabinet OKs 50% quota for women in civic bodies
Women will soon occupy half the seats in urban local bodies with the Union cabinet on
Thursday clearing a proposal for raising reservation for them in municipalities from 33%
at present. This provision will apply to the total number of seats to be filled by direct
election, offices of chairpersons and seats and offices of chairpersons reserved for SCs
and STs.
SCANDALS
Former Jharkhand CM Koda booked for graft
Jharkhand presents an example where lack of political stability was allegedly exploited
by a group of legislators led by former Chief Minister Madhu Koda to fatten themselves.
The Enforcement Directorate, on October 9, 2009, slapped charges under Prevention of
Money Laundering Act (PMLA) on the former Jharkhand CM and three of his former
Cabinet colleagues for allegedly amassing assets running into several hundred crores—
between Rs 700 and 800 crore according to the preliminary estimate.
Koda, the first Independent to become Chief Minister and now a member of Lok Sabha
supporting UPA government, has been charged with having business interests of diverse
kinds—cement, steel, auto, power, agro and tourism. His alleged investments,
estimated at Rs 300-400 crore, are just as widely spread—from Singapore to Thailand to
Dubai to Liberia.
His former colleagues who have also been booked under PMLA include Bhanu Pratap
Shahi, Bandhu Tirkey and Kamlesh Singh. Though they did not prosper as much as Koda,
the trio, according to ED, made personal fortunes ranging from Rs 20 crore to Rs 50
crore.
Koda and his associates milked their success in 2005 Jharkhand polls. The election
threw up a hung House, enabling them to play kingmaker with remorseless agility. Shibu
Soren, who was sworn in as Chief Minister of Jharkhand when he lacked majority
support, had to resign when the group refused to rescue his aspirations. They helped
Arjun Munda of BJP become the Chief Minister and were rewarded with 'plum' portfolios
as part of deal. The arrangement, however, did not last long. The group ditched BJP
after UPA agreed to propel Koda to Chief Ministership. Others in the group, naturally,
held on to their portfolios.
Recognising that draining Maoist swamps would also require restoration of rule of law
and demonstrable development, the government has decided that the forces used in
anti-naxal operations will not pull out after an operation. Rather, reinforcements will
beef up security and set the stage for the civil bureaucracy to get to work. The
developmental aspect of the plan is crucial to denying Maoist ranks of fresh recruits and
addressing the argument that exploitation and abysmal conditions in tribal areas in far-
flung areas has led to "popular" support for the Red insurgency. Fixing things and
making them work was important in showing the state could deliver.
The view in government is that the offensive cannot be delayed much further. With
alarming signs of an emboldened Maoist leadership targetting urban areas beyond their
known forest hideouts—arrested politburo member Kobad Gandhy was incharge of
operations in cities like Delhi, Mumbai and Pune—the government is gearing for action
and bracing for casualties.
The strategy for acting on intelligence tip-offs and hitting at naxal bases deep in Red
"liberated" zones was put to trial in September 2009 in Chhattisgarh’s Dantewada. The
Maoists were routed but the hazardous forests and complete lack of infrastructure
underlined how difficult it would be for a force to operate "behind the lines". It is felt
that the surge in Central and State forces after the Assembly elections in Haryana,
Arunachal Pradesh and Maharashtra can be sustained if the local population is
convinced that Maoists can be defeated and that the forces will not leave in a hurry.
This would strengthen intelligence collection and provide the administration with
valuable allies as even fence sitters opt for the winning side.
The Centre plans to deploy 70,000 paramilitary personnel—drawn from CRPF, ITBP, BSF,
SSB, CoBRA and Nagaland Armed Police—in States like Jharkhand, Chhattisgarh, Orissa,
Bengal, Bihar, Maharashtra and Andhra.
EUROPEAN UNION
Ireland endorses Lisbon treaty
On October 3, 2009, Irish voters strongly endorsed the European Union's Lisbon Treaty-
16 months after their first vote rejecting it plunged EU reforms into deadlock.
About 67% voted "Yes". Irish Prime Minister Brian Cowen hailed a "clear and resounding"
endorsement. Political leaders across the EU have also welcomed the result. The
President of the European Commission, Jose Manuel Barroso, said it was a great day for
Europe. He urged the leaders of Poland and the Czech Republic-the only other countries
yet to ratify Lisbon Treaty-to sign the treaty as soon as possible.
Ireland was the only EU member State to hold a referendum on Lisbon Treaty, though
there have been calls for referendums in several countries.
Irish opinion is thought to have swung behind the "Yes" vote this time because of the
severity of the economic downturn, as well as the legal "guarantees" on Irish
sovereignty that the EU pledged after the first referendum.
The legally binding "guarantees" state that Lisbon Treaty will not affect key areas of
Irish sovereignty, such as taxation, military neutrality and family matters such as
abortion-significant issues in 2008's campaign in Ireland. But they have not yet been
attached to the treaty.
The treaty is intended to make EU institutions better suited to the enlarged bloc of 27.
But opponents see it as part of a federalist agenda that threatens national sovereignty.
PAKISTAN
Multi-terror attacks on cops, 40 dead
Teams of terrorists unleashed attacks on three law enforcement facilities in Lahore on
October 15, 2009, even as car bombs exploded in two cities near the Afghan border,
killing 39 persons in an escalating wave of anti-government violence in Pakistan.
The co-ordinated assaults underscored the power of armed radicals to strike in the
heart of Pakistan, and the weakness of poorly equipped security forces, despite
promises of a new offensive against the Taliban. Nuclear-armed Pakistan, a key ally in
the US-led fight against terrorism, is reeling from two years of Taliban-linked attacks
that have escalated such that over 160 people have been killed since October 5.
Pakistan's weak civilian government said the country faced a new war after the slew of
militant attacks away from the insurgent hotbed of the north-west tribal region.
WORLD ECONOMY
Human Development Index
While China figures among the only five countries across the world that improved their
Human Development Index (HDI) rankings, 2009, by three or more points, India
continues to cut a sorry figure, slipping six points (from the last compilation) in the
latest UNDP Human Development Index. Overall, however, India made progress on HDI,
improving its value from 0.556 in 2000 to 0.612 in 2007.
As against a standing of 128 in the 2008 UN Human Development Report, India has been
ranked 134th among the 182 nations surveyed. The slip represents poor progress on
some indicators of people’s well-being, including life expectancy, literacy, school
enrolment and GDP per capita.
In China (ranked 92), along with Colombia, France, Peru and Venezuela, which
improved their rankings by at least three points, the fillip has been attributed to
increase in incomes and life expectancy. China, Colombia and Venezuela’s progress has
also been driven by improvement in education. The report concludes that disparities in
life expectancy in the world can range up to 30 years. Despite progress in the last 25
years, disparities in people’s well-being in rich and poor countries continue to be
unacceptably wide.
2009 report represents the most extensive coverage ever of 182 countries. As for
rankings, the top three ranked countries in the HDI are: Norway, Australia and Iceland.
France rejoined the top 10 countries after dropping down for one year, while
Luxembourg fell from the top 10.
US exits recession
The world's largest economy, USA, has climbed out of recession as it grew by 3.5 per
cent in the third quarter ending September 30, 2009, the first quarterly expansion in a
year, thanks to higher consumer and government spending among others.
The economy, which was battered by the worst financial turmoil since the 1930s Great
Depression, expanded last in the second quarter of 2008, when GDP rose 1.5 per cent.
The advanced estimates from the US Bureau of Economic Analysis (BEA) showed that
American GDP expanded 3.5 per cent in the third quarter.
Consumer spending, which accounts for two-thirds of the GDP, grew 3.4 per cent in the
quarter under review, compared to 0.9 per cent fall in the previous quarter.
USA is the latest advanced economy to shrug off recession and joins the likes of
Germany, France, Japan and Singapore. However, the country would be officially out of
recession only after the National Bureau of Economic Research (NBER) declares so. A
country is said to be in recession if its economy contracts for two straight quarters.
The third quarter growth was primarily due to rising personal consumption expenditures
(PCE), higher federal government spending and exports.
One of the main factors for the upturn in economic activities in the third quarter is the
government's 'Cash for Clunkers' programme for the auto industry, which resulted in
increased car sales. The initiative which ended in August had offered rebate of about
$4,500 for consumers to purchase new cars and sell their old models.
ENVIRONMENT
UN climate talks end without any consensus
As the Bangkok round of talks on climate change in October 2009 came to an end, the
rift between the developed and developing countries appeared to have deepened and
widened. The developed countries would like to abandon the Kyoto Protocol, in favour
of a new agreement, while the developing countries would like an extension of the
Protocol. There has been virtually no progress on the issue of finance and mid-term
emission reduction targets for industrialised countries.
Developing countries have opposed scrapping the Kyoto Protocol as it clearly places an
obligation on developed world to deepen emission cuts and to provide finance to help
developing countries to adapt to and mitigate climate change. The United States and
Australia were among the 42 countries that sought to junk the Protocol. They argued
that the world had changed since the 1990s, and keeping in mind the ground realities a
new agreement needs to be crafted. This agreement would require all countries to take
on emission cuts. This move was resisted at Bangkok, with the developing countries
under the G-77 umbrella argued that such a proposal would violate the Kyoto Protocol
and the Bali Action Plan.
The bright spot in Bangkok was the unveiling of an aggressive emission reduction plan
by Norway. The Scandinavian country had previously committed unconditionally to
slashing emissions 30 per cent below 1990 levels by 2020. Its new pledge is to cut
greenhouse gas output by 40 per cent if an international agreement is reached in
Copenhagen in December 2009.
The lawmakers converged at the Danish capital at a GLOBE International and COM+
meeting held over two days from October 24-25, 2009 at the Folketing, the Danish
Parliament, in preparation to the UNFCCC meeting in December that is expected to find
an alternative to the Kyoto Protocol that is to conclude in 2012.
The legislators have signed key guiding principles set out by Chinese Congressman Wang
Guangtao, chairman of the steering committee on environment and resources
protection, National People’s Conference, China and US Congressman Edward Markey to
enable enacting of climate change laws in their respective countries.
The six developing nations, which also include Brazil, Congo, Morocco, Nepal and
Romania, have joined the group of five contributing countries-the US, Australia, Britain,
Denmark and Norway-under the governing body of the Forest Investment Programme
(FIP).
The FIP Trust Fund Sub-Committee met in Washington for the first time on October 29,
2009, to begin implementation of the Program, including consideration of criteria for
how to select pilot countries and regions.
The FIP governance structure is among the first in a new generation of partnerships
among developing and developed countries and other stakeholders which takes account
of the need for a level playing field in addressing climate action.
INTERNATIONAL RELATIONS
RIC meeting in New Delhi
Global terrorism with special focus on Afghanistan dominated the ninth trilateral
meeting of the foreign ministers of Russia, India and China (RIC) that concluded in
Bangalore on October 27, 2009.
The ministers emphasised the need for the three countries to assist Afghanistan in
fighting terrorism, ensuring security, restoring peace and stability and building a
democratic and pluralistic Afghanistan.
The meeting was held in the backdrop of two significant bilateral issues—meeting
between Prime Minister Manmohan Singh and China’s Premier Wen Jiabao at Hua Hin,
Thailand and trade, economy, scientific and climate meeting with Russia in Moscow on
October 21—and resolved to jointly fight terrorism and narcotic trafficking with
mention also being made on diplomatic settlement of Iran nuclear issue and
denuclearization of the Korean peninsula.
The demand for a greater role for India in the United Nation affairs has gained
momentum once again. Russia and China made a strong bid for India’s status in
international affairs be accorded importance. "There is a need for a comprehensive
reform of the United Nations with a view to make it more efficient so that it can deal
with the current global challenges more effectively. Russia and China attach
importance to the status of India in international affairs. We urge the world
communities to understand and support India’s aspirations to play a greater role in the
United Nations," Russian and China’s foreign ministers Sergei Lavrov and Yang Jie Chie,
jointly stated.
The United States Congress sought to allay Pakistani concerns. Lawmakers released an
explanatory statement assuring critics of the legislation that the Bill in no way impinges
on Pakistani sovereignty.
"This Act formalises that partnership, based on a shared commitment to improving the
living conditions of the people of Pakistan through sustainable economic development,
strengthening democracy and the rule of law, and combating the extremism that
threatens Pakistan and the United States," the White House statement said.
Sen John Kerry, a co-author of the legislation, said the statement was issued "to set the
record straight". He emphasised that the legislation in no way sought to “compromise
Pakistan's sovereignty, impinge on Pakistan's national security interests, or
micromanage any aspect of Pakistani military or civilian operations". House Foreign
Affairs Committee chairman Howard Berman, an author of the legislation, said the
statement was "a reflection of our desire to be long-term partners with the Pakistani
people".
Kim Jong-il is widely believed to have suffered a serious illness in 2008, and it is rare
for him to personally greet an arriving visitor. Even audiences are uncommon.
North Korea told Jiabao that it was open to bilateral and multilateral talks on its
nuclear programmes. The comments appeared to be the latest indication of
Pyongyang’s apparent willingness to return to six-nation disarmament talks that it
broke off in early 2009.
China termed Wen’s visit a "goodwill" trip to mark the 60th anniversary of diplomatic
relations, but nuclear issues figured to be high on the agenda.
During her maiden visit to Pakistan after assuming office, Clinton met President Asif Ali
Zardari, Prime Minister Yousuf Raza Gilani and Army Chief Gen Ashfaq Parvez Kayani.
She refused to be drawn into the debate on whether there are "good Taliban" and made
no reference to contentious issues like differences between the US and Pakistan on
conditions attached to economic aid.
SUMMITS
ASEAN Summit
The 15th ASEAN Summit and the related summits, including the 12th ASEAN-China
Summit, the 12th ASEAN-Japan Summit, the 12th ASEAN-Republic of Korea Summit, the
Seventh ASEAN-India Summit, the 12th ASEAN Plus Three Summit and the Fourth East
Asia Summit, were held on October 23-25, 2009 in Cha-am Hua Hin, Thailand. ASEAN
Leaders discussed among themselves and with relevant Dialogue Partners on how to
realise an ASEAN Community by 2015.
Highlights for the Summits include the inauguration of the ASEAN Intergovernmental
Commission on Human Rights, the adoption of a declaration on climate change to
reaffirm ASEAN position in the negotiation under the UN Frameworks Convention on
Climate Change (UNFCCC), as well as the adoption of a declaration on education
cooperation to achieve an ASEAN Community. Other issues affecting the well-being of
the peoples, including food and energy security, financial stability, pandemics as well
as disaster management, were also discussed.
During the Summits, ASEAN Leaders also met with representatives from the ASEAN
Inter-Parliamentary Assembly (AIPA), ASEAN Youth and ASEAN Civil Society
Organisations which reflected Thailand’s will to promote people’s participation in
ASEAN Community-building process.
The 15th ASEAN (Association of Southeast Asian Nations) Summit and the related
summits were concluded Sunday afternoon, with a series of documents being adopted
by the participating national leaders.
Key documents, such as the Cha-am Hua Hin Declaration on the Inauguration of the
ASEAN Intergovernmental Commission on Human Rights (AICHR), Cha-am Hua Hin
Declaration on Strengthening Cooperation on Education to Achieve an ASEAN Caring and
Sharing Community, Draft ASEAN Joint Statement on Climate Change, and ASEAN
Leaders' Statement on ASEAN Connectivity were adopted by ASEAN leaders and other
participating national leaders.
The next ASEAN summit and related summits will be held in Vietnam.
The Summit adopted two documents. The first was a statement on disaster
management. The second related to the re-establishment of Nalanda University by
India.
The East Asia Summit is a forum for dialogue on broad strategic, political and economic
issues of common interest and concern with the aim of promoting peace, stability and
economic prosperity in East Asia. It is an open, inclusive, transparent and outward-
looking forum, which strives to strengthen global norms and universally recognised
values with ASEAN as the driving force working in partnership with the other
participants of the East Asia Summit.
INTERNATIONAL TERRORISM
Pak’s Saeed farce continues
Hafiz Saeed, who has shown to be the mastermind behind the 26/11 terror assault on
Mumbai, has been allowed to go scot-free yet again. In a development which lays bare
Pakistan’s game of deceit in acting against perpetrators of the attack, the Lahore High
Court, in October 2009, dismissed two cases registered against him on the ground that
the Jamaat-ud-Dawa, the organisation headed by him, was not 'proscribed' in Pakistan.
JuD is the new avatar of the banned Lashkar-e-Taiba.
Describing the case against Saeed as arising out of a 'mala fide intention' by the Punjab
provincial government, the court quashed the cases, which were registered at police
stations in Faisalabad for allegedly inciting people to wage 'jihad' (holy war) against
'infidels'.
The first FIR was based on his preaching session at Royalton Hotel in Faisalabad’s Canal
Road on August 27, 2009, in which Saeed urged people to retaliate against those who’ve
suppressed their rights. He explained away the problems of the American economy as
God’s way of retaliation.
The second FIR was lodged over his speech at an Iftar dinner at Peoples Colony,
Jaranwala Road Faisalabad on August 26. In this tirade, Saeed accused India of stage-
managing the 26/11 attacks and conspiring against Pakistan—a clear attempt to invoke
anti-India sentiments.
Car Bomb Targets India’s Kabul Mission
In yet another reminder of the desperation of terror groups and their sponsors to get
India out of Afghanistan, Taliban terrorists executed a suicide car bomb attack on the
Indian embassy in Kabul on October 8, 2009, killing 12 people and injuring more than 80
others. The attack came 15 months after the deadly strike near the embassy in 2008,
which left more than 60 dead, including an IFS officer and the Indian defence attache.
The damage could have been much more but for the security arrangements put in place
after 2008’s attack that was traced to ISI-affiliate Sirajuddin Haqqani.
Taliban spokesman Zabiullah Mujahid took responsibility for the attack. In a statement
posted on a website, he claimed the attacker was an Afghan who blew up his SUV
stuffed with explosives outside the embassy. Indian security agencies, however, said
this could be a smokescreen to keep the ISI out of scrutiny.
Clearly suggesting a Pakistani link to the suicide bomb attack, India said the terrorist
act was the handiwork of forces which had their patrons residing across the border.
Undeterred by the suicide attack, India also reiterated its "unwavering commitment" to
the reconstruction of Afghanistan and its assistance to the Afghan people "in realising a
democratic, peaceful and prosperous" country.
The foreign ministry of Iran called in Pakistan’s charge d’affaires over the bombing,
which targeted one of the Islamic republic’s most prestigious institutions in a region
that has been a hotbed of Sunni insurgency against the Shi’ite Muslim regime.
Several tribal leaders in the majority ethnic Baloch Sistan-Baluchestan province also
died in the bombing which left many others wounded.
Headley, 49, along with a Canadian citizen of Pakistani origin, Tahawwur Hussain Rana,
have been arrested on charges of plotting a terror attack against the facilities and
employees of a Danish newspaper which had published cartoons of the Prophet
Mohammed in 2005.
Rana is the owner of several businesses, including First World Immigration Services,
which has offices on Devon Avenue in Chicago, as well as in New York and Toronto.
According to the FBI affidavit filed in a Chicago court, Headley was in close contact
with Ilyas Kashmiri and several unidentified leaders of LeT.
WORLD TRADE
SAARC Ministers promise to free services sector
Trade Ministers from SAARC countries have decided to fast-track negotiations on
liberalising the services market within the region, a move that will enable freer
movement of people within the region and give a boost to investments in areas like
tourism, financial services and telecom.
Services could be incorporated into the South Asia Free Trade Agreement (SAFTA)
soon.
SAARC Ministers, who met in Kathmandu in October 2009, also decided to work on
reducing the negative list of items that are not covered under SAFTA to make the free
trade agreement more "meaningful". SAFTA is an agreement for elimination of tariffs on
goods traded within the SAARC region, and was signed in January 2004.
Indian Commerce and Industry Minister Anand Sharma pointed out that India had
unilaterally reduced its negative list for LDCs in the SAARC region, from 744 items to
below 500 items. "We are also working towards reduction on negative list with
reference to non-LDCs of SAARC (which include Pakistan and Sri Lanka)," the Minister
said. The minister urged the non-LDC members to consider reviewing their respective
negative lists in respect of both LDCs and non-LDCs, so that intra-SAARC trade could be
further expanded.
Interestingly, Pakistan continues to trade with India based on a positive list of items it
allows from India. The SAFTA, however, requires all members to trade with each other
on the basis of a negative list, which means that all goods would be allowed to be
traded except the ones included in the negative list.
EDUCATION
Sakshar Bharat Mission
Jhajjar’s (Haryana) 49-year-old neo-literate Roshni Devi emerged as the most powerful
symbol of female literacy on September 8, 2009—a goal to which India re-dedicated
itself under the brand new Sakshar Bharat Mission, which was launched by Prime
Minister Manmohan Singh on the occasion of International Literacy Day.
The mission sets itself the goal of educating 70 million learners, 60 million of them
women, by 2012 through an investment of $1billion; it replaces the old adult literacy
mission that began in 1988. The final goal is to take national literacy levels from 64 per
cent currently to 80 per cent by 2017, and reduce the gender gap from 21 per cent at
present to 10 per cent, eventually.
The reconstituted mission will focus on women, who have 54 per cent literacy rate
against 75 per cent in males. Terming the mission as UPA’s first step towards fulfilment
of the promise (of female literacy) made in the President’s address in 2009, the Prime
Minister said resources would not be a constraint in the urge to “educate all”.
The mission, in fact, makes a welcome departure from the past by making PRIs the
fulcrum of literacy programmes. The mission seeks to put learners in touch with their
surroundings, hone their life skills, tell them of their arts, crafts and culture and impart
them continuing education, which was previously absent. The mammoth task would
require 10 million teachers (only matriculates and above to be recruited) three million
managers, 70 lakh literacy centres and 210 million books.
HEALTH
By 2020, India will have 10m dementia patients
This can come as a shocker for India, which is yet to put in place a health programme
for the country’s greying population. The global burden of dementia—disorders of the
brain that affect memory and language among the elderly—has been seriously under
estimated. The World Alzheimer’s Report 2009, prepared by King’s College, London
says that there would be 35 million people worldwide with dementia by 2010. That
number is set to almost double every 20 years to 65.7 million in 2030 and 115.4 million
in 2050.
What’s worse, almost 60% of people with dementia in 2010 will be from low and middle
income countries like India, rising to 70.5% by 2050. This is a 10% increase over the
earlier estimate made in 2005—meaning that the estimates made earlier for India will
also increase.
Worldwide, the economic cost of dementia has been estimated at $315 billion annually.
The total annual costs per person with dementia have been estimated as $1,521 in a
low income country, rising to $4,588 in middle income countries and $17,964 in high
income countries.
The report recommended that the WHO declare dementia a health priority, and that
countries, including India, develop a plan for dealing with the greater numbers of
dementia patients.
JUDICIARY
Gram Nyayalayas Act
The Central government has decided that the provisions of the Gram Nyayalayas Act
shall come into force in the areas to which this Act extends on October 2. The Gram
Nyayalayas Act, 2008 has been enacted to provide for the establishment of the Gram
Nyayalayas at the grass roots level for the purpose of providing access to justice to the
citizens at their door steps.
The salient features of the Gram Nyayalayas Act are as follows:
The Central Government has decided to meet the non-recurring expenditure on the
establishment of these Gram Nyayalayas subject to a ceiling of Rs. 18.00 lakhs, out of
which Rs. 10.00 lakhs is for construction of the court, Rs. 5.00 lakhs for vehicle and Rs.
3.00 lakhs for office equipment. Government has also estimated that the Gram
Nyayalayas upon establishment would incur a recurring expenditure of Rs. 6.4 lakhs per
annum on salaries etc. and proposes to share such recurring expenditure with the State
Government for the first three years within this ceiling.
More than 5000 Gram Nyayalayas are expected to be set up under the Act for which the
Central government would provide about Rs.1400 crores by way of assistance to the
concerned States/Union Territories.
LAW POINT
No new shrines on public land: SC
The Supreme Court has directed all the States and the Union Territories not to allow
construction of places of worship, be it gurdwaras, temples, churches or mosques, on
government land, particularly roads.
A Bench, comprising Justices Dalveer Bhandari and M.K. Sharma, passed the order, also
asking all the State and UT governments to review case-by-case such structures that
had already come up, encroaching upon public land.
Directing the registry to serve notices on all the States and UTs within three days of
passing of the judgement, in view of the gravity of the situation which had "far-
reaching consequences," the Bench said the heads of each district (collectors,
magistrates or deputy commissioners) to file status reports to their respective Chief
Secretaries. The Chief Secretaries, in turn, would directly appraise the apex court of
the steps taken for keeping government land free from such encroachments, the Bench
said.
LEGISLATION
President signs Education Bill into law
Following the Presidential assent (granted on August 26, 2009), the government has
issued a gazette notification of the law, which seeks to provide free and compulsory
education to all children aged from 6 to 14 years. The State governments will have
three years from the date of notification of the law to implement it. During this period,
they will have to put in place neighbourhood schools, minimum education infrastructure
with notified pupil-teacher ratio and school management societies to ensure proper
implementation of the law.
Cost, by far, remains the gravest challenge in the implementation of the law, which
would require Rs 2 lakh crore over the next five years for its enforcement. The HRD
Ministry has already admitted to an estimated shortfall of Rs 60,000 crore over the
period, with minister Kapil Sibal saying additional allocations would have to be made.
All States, meanwhile, have put their foot down on the issue of finances, saying they
will require maximum possible funding from the Centre to implement the law. At a
meeting of the Central Advisory Board of Education, all State education ministers drove
home this point, with hill States like Himachal seeking 90 per cent central share in the
funding.
There are also some apprehensions over the definition of the term “free education”.
The matter was raised vociferously by Archana Chitnis, Education Minister of Madhya
Pradesh, who wanted the HRD Minister to clarify the meaning of term “free”. “Free
education would have to be defined by States,” Sibal said, adding that it could mean
free books, uniform, school bus travel or anything.
The States, however, feel leaving the definition of “free education” open could lead to
confusion. The government feels the model rules under the Act, expected to be
formulated soon, would clarify most of the points. Also on the cards is a new Centre-
State finance sharing formula, for which National University for Education Planning and
Research is developing fresh cost estimates after factoring in the inflationary trend.
A decision has also been taken to release Interest Subvention to Public Sector Banks
(PSBs), Cooperative Banks (Short Term Cooperative Credit Structure-STCCS) and
Regional Rural Banks (RRBs) and to NABARD for refinance to RRBs and Cooperative
Banks. This has been done to operationalise the announcement made in the Union
Budget for ensuring that the farmer receives short term crop loan at seven per cent per
annum (six per cent for prompt payers) with an upper limit of Rs.three lakh on the
principal amount.
The interest subvention is available to Public Sector Banks, Regional Rural Banks (RRBs)
and Cooperative Credit Institutions (CCIs) on disbursements out of their own funds and
to NABARD for concessional refinance to RRBs and CCIs. For the year 2009-10, the
target for flow of credit to agriculture sector has been revised from Rs.2,80,000 crore
in 2008-09 to Rs.3,25,000 crore, of which the total short term crop loan disbursements
by all banks is likely to be around Rs.2,00,000 crore.
From the time a job seeker enrolls with a local panchayat office, to monitoring of
assigned work and final wage payment, the entire process is registered and tracked
online, using the software solution. The system allows the officials to sift through
entire data, including the number of job cards issued across 22 districts and identify
the loopholes.
The progress of the NREGS works could be monitored through an automated system and
the workers have been paid based on the amount of work they complete, independent
of the number of hours they put in.
In fact, Andhra Pradesh has been the first State to introduce social audit system to
effectively monitor implementation of the scheme. Social auditing involves a process
where teams visit the NREGS work sites in every gram panchayat and physically
crosscheck the work done with the records. Each team has been led by district resource
person and consists of four to five persons drawn from civil society organisations.
But, the good news is that if the immovable property or property is received from a
relative or received under a will as inheritance it will not be taxed. Such a gift received
on the occasion of marriage of the individual is also exempt from tax. Prior to this
change in the Income Tax Act, cash gifts exceeding Rs 25,000 were subject to tax. Then
the Act was amended with effect from April 1, 2006, to tax all cash gifts having
aggregate value exceeding Rs 50,000. However, cash gifts continue to enjoy exemptions
as is available for gifts-in-kind.
FOREIGN RELATIONS
Trade, Tipaimukh dam to top Indo-Bangla talks
The entire gamut of bilateral issues, including the Tipaimukh dam issue, sharing of river
waters, trade, border management and combating terrorism, were discussed in a
“congenial ambience” during Bangladesh Foreign Minister Dipu Moni's four-day visit to
India in September 2009. This was his first official trip to India since the installation of
Prime Minister Sheikh Hasina's Awami League to power following the December 29, 2008
general elections in Bangladesh.
The installation of the Awami League and the Congress party to power in the two
countries created a congenial ambience to settle the long-standing issues through
constructive negotiations because of the historic links between the two parties since
the 1971 Bangladesh war.
Trade deficit is one such major issue. Business analysts said Bangladesh looked for
stepping up its exports to the landlocked seven north-eastern States and close the trade
imbalance if the barriers were removed.
The two countries also share over 50 common rivers and there had not been any
progress in distribution of waters of the seven other rivers, including the Teesta.
The proposed Tipaimukh dam on the Barak river in Manipur dominated the centre-stage
of Bangladesh-India-relations during the past several months, though New Delhi assured
Dhaka nothing would be done under the project that could affect Bangladesh.
In a joint press interaction after the talks, Manmohan Singh said the two countries had
reviewed the entire gamut of bilateral relations and discussed issues of mutual concern.
He said the two countries had agreed on deeper cooperation in the field of mining and
agriculture. The two leaders also stressed on bilateral investment protection and
considering ways to avoid double taxation.
Great significance is being attached to the MoU between the two countries on
‘development of cooperation in the field of peaceful use of radioactive minerals and
nuclear energy’. Mongolia’s huge uranium reserves are expected to boost and energise
India’s starving civil nuclear fuel cycle.
India has already signed nuclear deals with France, Russia, the US and Kazakhstan after
it got an exemption from the nuclear suppliers’ group (NSG) in September 2008 to
undertake nuclear commerce.
Mongolia, which claims to have 6 per cent of the world’s uranium reserves, is not a
member of the NSG. However, it had supported India’s case for a clean waiver at the
International Atomic Energy Agency (IAEA) meeting prior to the NSG meet. Nuclear
experts believe that the supply of uranium is more crucial for India than access to
enrichment and reprocessing (ENR) technology.
Mongolia’s decision could be a big surprise for Australia, which has refused to supply
uranium to India as it was not a signatory to the nuclear non-proliferation treaty (NPT).
India hopes Australia would also give up its reservation sooner rather than later and
agree to supply uranium to India.
SCANDALS
Bofors buried as govt drops case
The Bofors case that led to Congress’s defeat in the 1989 Lok Sabha polls has been
given an official burial. With the government declaring its intention to drop proceedings
against the key accused, Ottavio Quattrocchi, and all other accused either dead or
acquitted, the case has reached a dead end. The decision not to pursue Quattrocchi, an
Italian businessman accused of taking bribes to facilitate the sale of Bofors howitzers to
India in 1986, was announced in the Supreme Court.
The decision to give a burial to the Bofors case, in which the FIR was filed during the
V.P. Singh regime in 1990 and the charge-sheet during NDA government’s reign in 1999,
was taken by the UPA government on the basis of a fresh opinion given by attorney-
general G.E. Vahanvati.
A closure of the case had looked imminent since UPA-I allowed Quattrocchi to take out
his money—allegedly his share of the Bofors kickbacks—from accounts with a bank in
London. It followed that up by not pressing hard for his extradition from Argentina and
by, subsequently, telling Interpol that he was no longer wanted in India.
The cadres are coming over ground under the leadership of a deputy commander in
chief senior leader of the outfit Daniel Dimasa, while commander in chief Niranjan
Hojai, who was believed to be in foreign soil, is still being expected to join the peace
process. Those who have handed over their weapons are now being kept under heavy
security at a Red Cross hospital at Jatinga in the hill district. They will be shifted to
designated camps once the government gives its nod for the peace process after
verifying the weapons surrendered by the outfit.
The chairman of the outfit Jewel Garlosa and another senior leader Partha Warisa had
been arrested by Assam Police from a Bangalore hideout on June 3, 2008, serving a
severe blow to the outfit which has been running amuck in North Cachar Hill district
and adjoining areas in Assam since 2004, perpetrating rampant killings and extortions.
Once their chairman fell into the hands of the police, the outfit declared unilateral
truce and appealed for peace negotiation with the government of India. However, the
Centre set the pre-condition that all cadres would have to surrender arms for a peace
process to happen.
Rampaging Black Widow militants jeopardised works on East West Corridor project of
National Highway Authority of India (NHAI), as well as a gauge conversion project of
Indian Railways, causing irreversible delay in implementation of these projects besides
causing huge cost escalation.
The Autonomous State Demand Committee (ASDC), the main tribal regional party in hill
areas has hailed the process of surrender of weapons by Black Widow cadres.
Indian and Pakistani dossiers on the Mumbai investigations offer a detailed picture of
the operations of a Lashkar network that spans Pakistan. It includes four houses and
two training camps here in Karachi. Among the organizers, the Pakistani document
says, was Hammad Amin Sadiq, a homeopathic pharmacist, who arranged bank accounts
and secured supplies.
Indeed, Lashkar’s broader network endures, and can be mobilized quickly for elaborate
attacks with relatively few resources, according to a dozen current and former Lashkar
militants and intelligence officials from the US, Europe, India and Pakistan. In
interviews with New York Times, they presented a troubling portrait of Lashkar’s
capabilities, its popularity in Pakistan and the support it received from former officials
of Pakistan’s military and intelligence establishment.
One highly placed Lashkar militant said the Mumbai attackers were part of groups
trained by former Pakistani military and intelligence officials. Others had direct
knowledge that retired army and ISI officials trained LeT recruits as late as 2008.
Conveners of the joint working group for Naga reconciliation, V.S. Atem of the NSCN (I-
M), Zhopra Vero of the NNC (FGN) and Wangtin Naga of NSCN-K (GPRN), in a joint
declaration, stated their opposition to the issues was in line with the “Declaration of
Commitment” signed by them during the recent reconciliation meet held at Chiangmai
in Thailand. The three leaders during the meet affirmed to “work together in the spirit
of love, non-violence, peace and respect to resolve outstanding issues.”
The Central government was contemplating to offer a conditional peace package to the
State if the Naga rebels factions gave up their struggle. The package, which was still
being worked, was to include financial largesse and greater devolution of powers to the
State. However, the Centre had made it clear that any solution to the protracted Naga
political issue would be within the Constitution of India. The NSCN (I-M) had earlier said
such packages were “unacceptable” to it.
The reconciliation process is currently being taken care of by the Forum for Naga
Reconciliation (FNR). The FNR has been holding meetings both within and outside the
State with the different Naga political groups and NGOs. However, the FNR has limited
its role only to the reconciliation process and has shown no apparent interest in
formation of a common platform to facilitate political dialogue with all the rebel
groups.
ARMS RACE
US scraps missile-defence shield plan
President Barack Obama, in a major policy shift, has scrapped a controversial missile-
defence shield favoured by his predecessor, removing a thorn in U.S.-Russia relations
but earning criticism from some who accuse him of abandoning US allies in Europe.
Obama announced that he would be abandoning plans to base US interceptor missiles in
Poland and radar in the Czech Republic to protect Europe from Iranian missiles.
Instead, Obama has proposed deploying a system aimed at intercepting short- and
medium-range missiles. The President justified his decision by citing new intelligence
that shows Iran's long-range missile programme to be far less developed than previously
thought. Russia, which had vehemently opposed former President George W. Bush's plan
to place US military hardware on its border, said Obama's decision would go a long way
in resetting the relationship between the two countries.
GERMANY
Tough task at hand for Merkel after sweeping win
Angela Merkel set to work on September 28, 2009 on a new centre-right coalition after
clinching a second term, but warned Germans of a hard road ahead to revive the sickly
economy and rescue vanishing jobs. The conservative Chancellor secured another four-
year mandate with enough votes to dump an awkward “grand coalition” with the Social
Democrats (SPD) for an alliance with the pro-business Free Democrats (FDP). Voters
rewarded the 55-year-old leader, dubbed most powerful woman on Earth by Forbes
magazine for four years running, for shepherding Europe’s biggest economy through its
worst post-war downturn. Merkel’s bloc and the FDP have a comfortable 332 seats in
the 622-member Parliament.
WORLD ECONOMY
Global recession ending, says OECD
The global recession is coming to an end faster than thought just a few months ago and
may already be over, according to forecasts published by the Organisation for Economic
Co-operation and Development. The recovery may even prove a little stronger than
previously predicted, OECD chief economist Jorgen Elmeskov said.
The OECD’s 30-member countries do not include rising powers such as China, but do
include the long-industrialised ones where the trouble began in 2007 as the credit and
housing boom in the United States turned to bust, triggering a crisis in banking and
financial markets that infected the real economy.
The OECD is still predicting GDP contractions for 2009 as a whole across the G-7 group,
primarily because of a particularly bad first half, despite the improvement now in the
pipeline. But it sees annualised GDP rises of 1.2 and 1.4% in the third and fourth
quarters for the G-7 as a whole, also signalling an exit from recession at that level.
World requires a new currency: UN report
The dollars role in international trade should be reduced by establishing a new currency
to protect emerging markets from the confidence game of financial speculation, the
United Nations said. UN countries should agree on the creation of a global reserve bank
to issue the currency and to monitor the national exchange rates of its members, UN
Conference on Trade and Development said in a report.
China, India, Brazil and Russia, in 2009, called for a replacement to the dollar as the
main reserve currency after the financial crisis sparked by the collapse of the US
mortgage market led to the worst global recession since World War II. China, the
world's largest holder of dollar reserves, said a supranational currency such as IMF's
special drawing rights, or SDRs, may add stability.
There's a much better chance of achieving a stable pattern of exchange rates in
multilaterally-agreed framework for exchange-rate management, Heiner Flassbeck, co-
author of the report said. An initiative equivalent to Bretton Woods or the European
Monetary System is needed.
ENVIRONMENT
EU summit targets India, China on G-20 climate financing
The European Union (EU) has challenged rising powers India and China to brake their
soaring greenhouse gas emissions in return for Western financial support. “We need to
make a credible financial commitment to the developing world. The equation is
straightforward: no money, no deal, but if there are no actions, no money,” European
Commission President Jose Manuel Barroso said.
According to estimates from the Commission, the EU’s executive, it will cost around
100 billion euros ($147 billion) per year by 2020 to fight climate change in developing
countries. But in a clear challenge to rising powers such as Brazil, China, India, Mexico
and South Africa, EU leaders stated that “this estimate pre-supposes appropriate
mitigating actions by developing countries, especially those that are economically more
advanced”.
The high-level EU and G-20 meetings came in the countdown to a critical United
Nations summit in Copenhagen, which is intended to seal a new global deal on fighting
climate change. EU leaders were at pains to point out the urgency of finding a deal in
December. “The climate is changing much faster than expected. ... This underlines the
urgent need to reach a global, ambitious and comprehensive agreement in
Copenhagen,” the joint statement said.
From the present emission stock of 209 giga-tonnes of carbon from the rich nations,
they would need to alter the lifestyles of their citizens to come down to 137 giga-
tonnes by 2050 and leave the rest of the space for poorer nations to develop
economically.
The authors of the report have recommended a global clean energy fund and a global
feed in tariff regime, besides a better carbon trading mechanism and forest-related
financing mechanism to ensure that needed funds are transferred from the rich to the
developing countries as part of the new deal.
NUCLEAR PROLIFERATION
A.Q. Khan nails Pak’s N-lies
An angry, humiliated, and wounded A.Q. Khan has finally made public what has long
been suspected: his nuclear proliferation activities, that included exchanging and
passing blueprints and equipment to China, Iran, North Korea, and Libya, were done at
the behest of the Pakistani government and military, and he was forced to take the rap
for it. “The bastards first used us and are now playing dirty games with us,” Khan
writes about the Pakistani leadership in a December 2003 letter to his wife Henny that
has been made public by an interlocutor. “Darling, if the government plays any
mischief with me, take a tough stand... They might try to get rid of me to cover up all
the things they got done by me.” Khan had also sent copies of the letter to his daughter
Dina in London, and to his niece Kausar Khan in Amsterdam through his brother, a
Pakistan Airlines executive. Pakistani intelligence agencies got wind of it and
threatened his family’s well-being, forcing him to recant and publicly take the blame
for the proliferation activities.
The resolution also calls for better security for nuclear weapons materials to prevent
terrorists from acquiring them, including through the convening of a Nuclear Security
Summit in 2010, locking down vulnerable nuclear weapons materials in four years,
minimizing the civil use of highly enriched uranium to the extent feasible, and
encouraging the sharing of best practices as a practical way to strengthen nuclear
security.
The Obama resolution was backed by Russia and China among other countries in what is
only the fifth meeting of the Security Council involving heads of government of its
member States, and the first time the US President has chaired such as meeting.
But, aside from presenting a time-table of agenda-packed conferences, the US
President did not present any specific numbers, metrics, or dates on the road to
eliminating nuclear weapons. He said the US will move forward with the ratification of
the Comprehensive Test Ban Treaty, and open the door to deeper cuts in its own
arsenal.
The pressure on India to sign the Nuclear Non Proliferation Treaty (NPT) is all set to
increase sharply with US President Barack Obama rsday leading the UN Security Council
to insist that all countries must sign the treaty that New Delhi has called
discriminatory. India made its resolve not to fall in line plain. The position was
conveyed by H.S. Puri, India’s permanent representative to the UN, to his US
counterpart as well as the Security Council. The US is the current UNSC head.
Stressing that India cannot accept obligations arising out of a treaty which it hasn’t
signed, the letter said nuclear weapons were vital for the country’s security. ‘‘This
position is consistent with the fundamental principles of international law and the Law
of Treaties. India cannot accept calls for universalisation of the NPT. As India’s Prime
Minister stated in Parliament on July 29, 2009, there is no question of India joining the
NPT as a non-nuclear weapon State. Nuclear weapons are an integral part of India’s
national security and will remain so, pending non-discriminatory and global nuclear
disarmament,’’ stated the letter.
INTERNATIONAL RELATIONS
US aid to Pak comes with ‘accountability’ rider
A new US Legislation triples US aid to Pakistan authorises military assistance to help the
country in its fight against Al-Qaida and other terrorists, but it also includes new and
painstakingly negotiated accountability measures to ensure that this aid is not misused.
India had expressed concern that Pakistan would divert US military aid toward
bolstering its defences against a perceived threat from India.
The so-called Friends of Democratic Pakistan got something to applaud when the US
Senate passed the compromise legislation in a voice vote. A statement from the sponsor
of an identical Bill in the House of Representatives said the legislation required that
military assistance be focused “principally on helping Pakistan with its critical counter-
insurgency and counter-terrorism efforts”. The bill addresses India's concerns, which
Congressional sources and South Asia analysts in Washington say are valid.
Congressional aides laboured hard to reach a compromise between the earlier Senate
and House versions of the Bill. The sticking points at the time had been language
governing oversight of funds to Pakistan's military. The House Bill had linked the release
of these funds to the President’s certification that the Pakistani government
“demonstrated a sustained commitment to and made progress towards combating
terrorist groups.”
The new version states that the President has to certify that Pakistan is “making
significant efforts towards combating terrorist groups ... including taking into account
the extent to which the government of Pakistan has made progress on matters” related
to counter-terrorism. The new version also doesn’t specify a dollar amount for military
aid, only saying “such sums as are necessary.”
Senator John Kerry, who along with Senator Richard Lugar co-sponsored the Bill in the
Senate, said: “The clear, tough-minded accountability standards and metrics contained
in the original Bill are carried through in this version.”
SUMMITS
G-20 Summit
The G-20 Summit was held at Pittsburgh, USA in September-end 2009. The G-20
leaders’ statement from Pittsburgh has a tough message for the finance community.
They have to raise far more capital, say bye-bye to bonuses that soar even if medium
term profits of the institutions they worked for do not, and face tough regulation,
starting with full compliance with the enhanced Basel II Capital Framework by 2011,
including a limit on borrowing. The leaders’ statement is unequivocal and tough:
“Where reckless behaviour and a lack of responsibility led to crisis, we will not allow a
return to banking as normal.”
With this bare-knuckled preface, the communiqué goes on to identify changes needed
in regulation, coordination among regulators across nations, increasing capital
adequacy, reforming compensation to remove incentives for risky short-term behaviour,
bringing compensation under the purview of regulators, fixing a ceiling on
remunerations as a proportion of net revenues, raising the capital requirement of banks
that fail to implement sound compensation policies and practices improving over the
counter (OTC) derivatives markets, tightening accounting norms and harmonising them
globally. The G-20 also wants commodity exchanges to become more transparent,
collect data on large trader positions on oil futures and derivatives markets and to
comply with the recommendations of the International Organisation of Securities
Commissions (IOSCO). There are timelines for achieving each one of these changes.
The G-20 has large ambitions on energy security and climate change and its Pittsburgh
communiqué binds members to phase out subsidies on fossil fuels over the medium
term. It also recognises that the poor might need subsidies to consume at least a
minimal amount of energy and calls for cash transfers to target beneficiaries, while
abandoning the policy of subsidising fuels in general. This would bring pressure on India
to abandon its present policy of subsidising kerosene and cooking gas and even diesel
and petrol when their prices rise above what the government thinks is above the level
of political tolerance.
Studies have shown that 40% of subsidised kerosene gets diverted for adulteration of
diesel. This not only foils the goal of offering subsidy on the fuel but also reduces
engine life across our transport fleets and adds to pollution and diesel consumption
through reduced fuel efficiency.
The Group of 20 (G-20), which includes developing nations like India, Brazil, and South
Africa, will replace the Group of 7 (G-7), the mostly-western club of rich industrial
nations, as a global forum for economic policy, it was announced during the Summit.
“Dramatic changes in the world economy have not always been reflected in the global
architecture for economic cooperation. This all started to change today,” the White
House said of the makeover, “The G-20 leaders reached a historic agreement to put the
G-20 at the centre of their efforts to work together to build a durable recovery while
avoiding the financial fragilities that led to the crisis.”
For India, this means a regular, perhaps annual or twice-yearly pow-wows beyond the
bi-laterals and clubby tri-laterals (IBSA—India, Brazil, South Africa) and quadri-laterals
(BRIC—Brazil, Russia, India, China) that it was fostering.
Collectively, the G-20 economies account for 85% of global gross national product, 80%
of world trade, and two-thirds of world population.
The new G20 will not have a permanent secretariat, and its chairmanship will be
rotated annually, with South Korea running the body next year and France in 2011 A
final agreement on a revamped representation structure will be completed in
negotiations at the International Monetary Fund (IMF), set to conclude by January 2011.
Under the proposal, the G-20 leaders will annually outline objectives for growth and
then ask the IMF to carry out a form of assessment or peer review to ensure member
states are following the plan’s objectives
Prime Minister Manmohan Singh returned from the G-20 Summit at Pittsburgh with some
major gains at hand that are making the rich nations now look at the developing world
in a new light. It was evident from the final communiqué issued by the G-20 leaders at
the end of the summit that it reflected a lot of what Manmohan Singh had been
pointing out prior to the summit.
In some of the other aspects of global financial structure, too, India’s stand was
reflected in equal measure—notably greater voting rights for developing countries in
the International Monetary Fund (IMF). In fact, the developing countries, mainly India,
China and Brazil, also managed to secure what was rather unthinkable even a decade
ago—a peer review of the economic policy framework of rich countries.
WORLD TRADE
Doha round impasse resolved
The informal meeting of the trade and commerce ministers of key World Trade
Organisation (WTO) member countries in Bew Delhi, in the month of September 2009,
agreed to resume negotiations in Geneva. A visibly pleased Commerce and Industry
Minister Anand Sharma at the conclusion of the two-day meet said, “The Delhi meeting
has managed to break the impasse of the Doha round.”
The global trade talks had been stalled since July 2008. This was an important step for
Anand Sharma, who as a new minister has been able to restart the stalled trade-talks
process. India has always been seen as a spoiler in the talks. However, this meeting re-
established India’s leadership role in the multilateral talks.
In July 2008, the talks had collapsed after India and other developing countries opposed
the agriculture subsidies offered by developed nations to their farmers. The developing
countries argued that the new subsidy would distort trade by making the produce of
their countries costly. India had insisted that developing countries should have the right
to impose steep tariffs to protect their farmers if there was an increase in import of
farm products under a new trading deal.
At the end of the two-day talks, it is very clear that there has been no change in the
position of these countries on the matter. The important issue that still remains is
about the position of the developed world—the US and EU—towards the developing
world like Africa, India, Brazil etc.
The talks could produce a deal that boosts the global economy by $300-700 billion a
year, according to one recent study, although other estimates of the benefits have
been lower.
DEFENCE
Revised Maritime Policy
Just six months after the Indian Navy was given charge of the country’s entire coastal
security, it announced a revised maritime policy on August 28, 2009. The Navy will now
have an even sharper focus on the neighbourhood of the country. This means securing
the trade routes in the Indian Ocean region; extending the reach of the Navy to project
India as a major force and also preventing Mumbai-style sea-borne invasions by
terrorists.
The 2009 edition of the Indian Maritime doctrine was released by the Chief of Naval
Staff, Admiral Suresh Mehta. The original doctrine was published in 2004 to provide a
common understanding of universally applicable maritime concepts, not only for the
forces but also for the public at large. This revision was needed on account of the
rapidly changing geo-strategic environment and transformational changes in the
maritime domain.
The earlier doctrine was more generic in nature; this one will provide a sharper focus.
The Indian Navy’s role in the Indian Ocean has changed in the past 12 months. It has
been sent out to patrol the pirate-infested Gulf of Aden area to ensure safety of
international sea trade routes. Indian sailors have successfully foiled at least five bids
by pirates to take over ships and brought down instances of pirates using choppers
stationed on the ships. After the Mumbai attacks in November 2008, the government
handed over the entire command and control of the coast to the Indian Navy that has
been installing high-tech sensors along the coast. In coordination with the coast guard,
it is also buying fast-attack crafts for shallow waters.
JUDICIARY
PM for war on judicial backlog
Promising the judicial system that his government would “match each step of the
judiciary with two of our own”, Prime Minister Manmohan Singh has asked the Supreme
Court to play a “vital role” in the “war on arrears” of cases and wiping “every tear of
every waiting litigant”.
Addressing the day-long Joint Conference of Chief Ministers and Chief Justices, he,
however, made it clear that increasing the court strength to improve the low judge-
population ratio would depend on High Courts filling all 3,000 existing vacancies in the
lower judiciary.
Describing the executive and the judiciary as “two vital wheels of the chariot of good
governance”, Mr Singh said India suffered from “the scourge of the world’s largest
backlog of cases and time-lines that generated surprise globally and concern at home.
The expeditious elimination of this scourge was the biggest challenge for such
conferences and should constitute the highest priority for all of us”. Over 30 million
cases are pending in various courts across the country.
The road map for judicial reforms, suggested by President Pratibha Patil in her address
to the joint session of Parliament in June 2009, was under preparation and national-
level consultation with jurists and stakeholders in that regard would be held very
shortly, Prime Minister said.
Further, there was need for comprehensive computerisation and ultimate linking of all
courts in the country into one “mega judicial information grid” for screening all
pending cases and disposal of “many old cases as moot or infructuous”.
In his address, Chief Justice of India KG Balakrishnan said there had been a “chronic
shortage” of judicial officers, especially at the subordinate level. There were also some
“structural obstacles that discouraged talented law graduates” from joining judicial
services. However, he did not elaborate on the issue. Citing a Law Commission report,
he said the judicial system had to be expanded at least five-fold in order to match the
judge- population ratio of developed countries.
The decision to make public personal assets and liabilities as well as those of their
spouses and dependants was taken by Chief Justice of India K.G. Balakrishnan and the
judges at a full court meeting, marking a major climb-down on the part of the higher
judiciary. The outcome of the meeting was influenced by the growing pressure from
within for disclosure of assets with Justice D. V. Shylendra Kumar of the Karnataka High
Court publicly taking issue with the CJI for his stand that judges should not be required
to disclose assets. The CJI even described Justice Kumar as ‘publicity crazy’.
The judges have been declaring these details to the CJI since 1997 under an internal
resolution. But these remained a closely guarded secret with neither the head of the
judiciary nor the apex court entertaining any query, even under the RTI Act, relating to
these details.
While India ranks among the top 10 countries for communicable disease, it is, today,
world leader of chronic diseases like diabetes, hypertension and coronary artery
disease.
One of the key findings of the commission was that by improving the health condition,
the economy of the country will improve. But it has been reverse in India. There is
growth in GDP but there has been no increase in healthcare spending. This inadequate
public health spending has forced the public to depend on private sector.
India’s health scenario currently presents a contrasting picture. While health tourism
and private healthcare are being promoted, a large section of Indian population still
reels under the risk of curable diseases that do not receive ample attention of policy-
makers.
The reform of the tax regime introduced in 1961 is based on the objective of having a
tax system that is simpler, fairer, and easy to administer. The specific objectives of the
measures are to improve the responsiveness of the tax system, that is, to enhance the
automaticity in the increase in tax revenues with increases in economic activity;
improve tax administration by simplifying the tax system; and, lastly, promote tax
compliance objective as to reduce the scope for disputes and minimize litigation.
The goal of the new tax code is to consolidate and amend all direct taxes and simplify
language to ensure that the law can be reflected in the return form. The aim is also to
reduce scope for litigation and provide flexibility in accommodating changes without
need for frequent amendments.
Key gains from the new tax code will be: (a)Deduction (the popular section 80C)
increased to Rs 3 lakh from present Rs 1 lakh. Thus, a person with taxable income of Rs
10,00,000 is likely to save approx Rs 1,20,000 annually. (b) Corporate tax rates,
including for foreign companies, reduced to 25% from 34%. (c) Net wealth tax
exemption limit increased to Rs 50 crores from Rs 30 lakhs. (d) Wealth tax rate cut to
0.25% from 1%. (e) Indefinite carry forward of tax losses. (f)Deduction for donation
towards scientific research @ 125%. (g) Agriculture income stays outside tax
net. (h) Deductions for Royalty income of authors who are individual residents up to Rs
three lakhs and deduction for Royalty income on patents for individual residents up to
Rs three lakhs. (i) STT to be abolished. (j) Cost inflation adjustment to be available for
transfers anytime after one year from end of year in which asset is acquired (earlier 3
yrs, except for shares). (k) Base date for capital gains tax shifted from April 1, 1981 to
April 1, 2000—capital appreciation up to 2000 not taxable. (l) Maximum penalty down to
two times tax amount (from three times tax)
Key pains will be: (a) Branch profit tax to be introduced @ 15%. (b) Reintroduction of
capital gains tax on listed shares & MF units. (c) Tax saving schemes like PPF and
retirement benefit schemes to be taxed on withdrawal time on “Exempt, Exempt, Tax”
(EET) methodology of taxation, for savings done after introduction of the new
code. (d) Deduction for rent paid restricted to Rs 2,000 per month. (e) Profit-linked
incentives dropped. (f) Period consumed in recovering all capital and revenue
expenditure same as tax holiday. (g) Area based exemptions given earlier to
continue. (h) Definition of income to include all accruals and receipts of revenue and
capital nature unless otherwise specified. (i)Receipt of LIC policy taxable except for
pure life insurance policy. (j) Distinction between short term and long term assets done
away with. (k)Cost of acquisition/improvement nil if not determinable. (l) Roll over
benefits for capital gains tax exemption trimmed to only one residential
house. (m) Profits on sale of business capital assets/undertaking no longer treated as
capital gains, but as business income. (n) Loss on sale of business capital assets not
allowable, to be only depreciable. (o) Presumptive rent to be calculated at 6% p.a. of
rateable value when higher than contractual rent to compute income from house
property. (p) For self occupied property, no deduction for interest and principal loan
repayment. (q) Income from letting of machinery, plant, furniture included if letting of
building is inseparable from the same. (r) Rent free accommodation to govt employees
made taxable. (s) MAT linked to gross assets rather than book profit @ 0.25% for
banking companies and 2% for others. (t) No carry forward credit for MAT in later
years. (u) In case of conflict between double tax treaty and code, the one that is later
in point of time shall prevail.
Some new concepts have also been added to the code. These are: (a) Tests for
residency changed.(b) Foreign companies, even if partly held/managed from India, will
become “resident”.(c) Concept of ‘resident but not ordinarily resident’
dropped. (d) Income from business to be computed separately for each
business. (e)Income-expense model based on US, Canada, Australia and most Asian
countries. (f) Three types of biz expenses allowed: Operating expenditure, permitted
financial charges and capital allowances. (g) Scope of weighted deduction of 150% to be
extended to all industries.(h) ‘Scientific research’ to be defined. (i)Presumptive
taxation for certain business to continue. (j) Separate income determination regimes
provided for hospitals, SEZ, infrastructure, etc. (k) MF, VCF, Pension Fund etc. To be
taxed as pass through entities. (l) New tax regime for trusts, institutions carrying on
charitable activities.
Extension of income tax holiday for export units for one more year and continuance of
duty refund scheme till December 2010 and enhanced assistance for the scheme for
development of markets are among the measures in the FTP. The aim of the policy,
which would be reviewed after two years, would be to "arrest and reverse declining
trend of exports”.
Exports have been on a decline for the past 10 months. Exports in FY'09 amounted to
$168 billion and the country hopes to maintain the same level in 2009-10.
The government would encourage exports through a “mix of measures including fiscal
incentives, institutional changes, procedural rationalisation and efforts for enhance
market access across the world and diversification of export markets”.
The policy would provide a special thrust to the employment-oriented sectors which
have witnessed job losses in the wake of recession, especially in the fields of textiles,
leather and handicrafts.
Highlights
POLITICAL
Government to scrap Darjeeling Gorkha Hill Council
The Centre, West Bengal government and the Gorkha Janmukti Morcha (GJM) have
agreed to scrap the Darjeeling Gorkha Hill Council (DGHC) and bring in its place an
alternative administrative framework for the hill district to be finalised through mutual
consultation and agreement. At a tripartite meeting of representatives of the Centre,
led by Union home secretary G.K. Pillai, of West Bengal government led by chief
secretary A.K. Chakrabarty and of GJM led by Anmole Prasad, it was decided that the
DGHC Act, 1988 would be repealed and the proposal for establishment of a hill council
under the Sixth Schedule of the Constitution be dropped.
The press statement, however, makes no reference to the GJM’s central demand for a
separate Gorkhaland: a pointer to such a drastic concession being almost ruled out. The
alternative administrative framework to be worked out by the yet-to-be-named
interlocutor for the Gorkha talks will have due constitutional status and will be
supported by a full-fledged Act. It is also likely to be given more powers than DGHC.
However, working out its terms is likely to be a long-drawn affair, and, in all
probability, the new framework may come well after installation of the new
government in West Bengal.
During the tripartite talks, the Centre extracted an assurance from the GJM that it
would help maintain a peaceful and conducive atmosphere during the negotiations. GJM
has agreed to work along with the other parties “in a spirit of constructive cooperation
to carry the talks forward”.
The Centre also decided to push administrative works in the hill district by sending a
team of its officials to Darjeeling to review development works. Both the Union and the
West Bengal government suggested that elections to thepanchayat samities, gram
panchayats and municipalities be held in the hill district “as an interim measure and to
restore the democratic process”. The GJM team offered to consult its brass on the
proposal and revert to the state government.
With nearly Rs 70 crore worth of special central assistance and even portions of the
Calamity Relief Fund lying un-utilised, it was agreed at the tripartite meeting that the
West Bengal government would send across a team to Darjeeling to discuss fund
utilisation.
FOREIGN RELATIONS
India, ASEAN ink free trade deal
In a major success in its ‘Look East' policy, India, on August 13, 2009, signed a Free
Trade Agreement (FTA) with the 10-member Association of South East Asian Nation
(ASEAN) bloc that would eventually eliminate duty on 80% of the goods traded at
present by 2016. The two sides have set an ambitious target of achieving an increase of
$10 billion worth of trade in the first year after the agreement comes into force from
January 2010. India's current bilateral trade with the ASEAN bloc is worth $40 billion.
The agreement was signed by Commerce and Industry Minister Anand Sharma and
Economic Ministers of ASEAN in Bangkok. Considered as a major breakthrough, the pact
comes after six years of intense negotiations. The FTA would bring down tariffs on
electronics, chemicals, machinery and textile goods.
However, talks on software and information technology services have been postponed
for December 2009. This is one area where Indian exporters of services could have
brought in good business and also offset setbacks received in the European and US
markets during the downturn. Of the total $936 billion worth of ASEANn imports,
services import account for $180 billion which is the primary focus of Indian industry.
ASEAN comprises Brunei, Cambodia, Indonesia, Laos, Malaysia, Myanmar, the
Philippines, Singapore, Thailand and Vietnam.
Lobbying from the domestic industry has led to India excluding 489 items from the list
of tariff concessions and 590 items from the list of tariff elimination to address
sensitivities in agriculture, textiles, auto, chemicals, crude and refined palm oil,
coffee, tea, pepper, etc.
Visit of Defence Minister A.K. Antony to Maldives
Defence Minister A.K. Antony went on a three-day official visit to Maldives from August
20, 2009. He led a high-level delegation comprising Defence Secretary Pradeep Kumar;
DG, Armed Forces Medical Services, Lt Gen N.K. Parmar; DG, Coast Guard, Vice Admiral
Anil Chopra and Deputy Chief of Navy Staff Vice Admiral D.K. Joshi.
During his visit, Mr Antony held bilateral discussions with his counterpart Ameen Faisal
on ways of expanding defence cooperation between the two countries. He also
attended the closing session of the India-Maldives Friendship function, besides paying a
visit to the Indira Gandhi Memorial Hospital, the most visible symbol of Indo-Maldives
cooperation and friendship.
In a move that will serve security interests of both India and Maldives, the two
countries in the Indian Ocean region agreed on a series of measures to step up defence
cooperation. At discussions with Maldives defence forces, the emerging security
challenges in the region and the need to strengthen joint and collective mechanisms to
mutually counter them were highlighted. The purpose of his visit, Mr Antony said, was
not to enter into any agreement, but to expand cooperation within the existing robust
framework.
Prime Minister Manmohan Singh extended India’s full support to the peace process in
Nepal and also discussed the broad contours of a proposed revised trade treaty between
the two countries. The two leaders had a one-on-one meeting lasting about an hour
during which they discussed the entire gamut of bilateral relations as well as
international issues.
Intensifying economic partnership between the two countries remained at the centre of
the discussions with the focus on investment in hydro power sector. The issue of the
misuse of Nepal's territory by anti-Indian forces also came up during the talks.
Nepalese Prime Minister also addressed captains of the Indian industry, inviting them to
invest liberally in the Himalayan Nation in various sectors. He assured them of
conducive atmosphere for industrial growth. The visiting dignitary identified hydro
power, roads, bridges, infrastructure construction, tourism, agro-processing and
financial services as potential areas of investment.
Political events in Nepal since May this year had shaken the confidence of Indian
entrepreneurs after attacks by militant trade unions on a few firms, including a well-
known fast moving consumer goods firm. With India-Nepal trade expected to touch Rs
15,000 crore ($3 billion) in 2009-10, the commerce ministers of the two countries
discussed the proposed revised treaty to widen the scope of bilateral trade.
Nepal Prime Minister Madhav Kumar Nepal assured Indian investors that his office would
coordinate to ensure that investments coming from India get priority. Regarding the
ongoing violence and unrest in the country, the Prime Minister said the general law and
order condition in the Himalayan Kingdom was returning to normalcy. He said his
government would shortly unveil its security plans in consultation with all Nepalese
political parties, which would offer security to investments and ensure manufacturing
without interruption. The new security plan will address the issue regarding strikes and
disruptions, so that industrial production is maintained at steady pace and investors’
interests are adequately protected.
In a bid to support Nepal’s beleaguered peace process and check China’s growing
influence, India has decided to pump in crores of rupees into the neighbouring nation’s
infrastructure. The Indian government has taken a decision to fund three large
infrastructure projects, which will increase border connectivity and increase trade
between the two countries. The government has quickly pushed through funding for the
projects to show that India is serious in its efforts to help Nepal through the transitional
period.
With the development mantra in mind, the government will put in around Rs 200 crore
to set up the first two state-of-the-art integrated Customs point along the border at
Raxaul-Birganj and Jogbani-Biratnagar. The idea is to set up the ICPs so that trade
between the two countries becomes smoother, cutting down on current procedural
delays at the border. After the first two sites are set up, the two countries will then
look at setting up ICPs at Sunauli-Bhairahawa and Nepalgunj-Nepalgunj points.
The Indian government will also fund the first phase of the Terai road project at a cost
of around Rs 700 crore and set up two rail links worth Rs 700 crore. The Terai road
project looks at upgrading around 1,500 km of roads in the Terai region, with the first
phase covering 657 km. Additionally, India will also fund a Nepal Police Academy worth
Rs 300 crore in what is a capacity-building exercise. These infrastructure projects were
at the conceptual stage for the last couple of years but have not gotten off the ground
for one reason or another. By funding road and rail projects, India hopes to start a new
era of cooperation and send a strong message of support to Nepal and its government,
which has been struggling to push forward the peace process in the face of Maoist
opposition.
India’s current push for Nepal’s infrastructure also comes in the backdrop of China’s
continuing efforts in Nepal. China is currently helping Nepal build a cross border road
linking Nepal to the Tibetan Autonomous Area to improve trade and tourism. China has
put in vast amounts of money into Nepal in various sectors including hydropower,
health and IT.
This is the second CEPA signed by India, the other being with Singapore. This is also
India’s first bilateral trade agreement with an OECD country.
As per the agreement, South Korea will eliminate duties on 93% of its industrial and
agricultural products and India will do the same on 85% of its goods. India has excluded
sensitive items such as farm products, textile items and built-up automobiles from
tariff elimination commitments. Duties will be phased out on most products in the next
eight years.
TERRORISM
Death sentence for 2003 Mumbai blasts
On August 7, 2009, a special POTA (Prevention of Terrorist Activities Act) court in
Mumbai awarded death sentence to the three accused held guilty last week for the
2003 blasts that killed over 50 people. Six years after two blasts at the iconic Gateway
of India and Zaveri Bazaar, three Lashkar-e-Toiba members—Mohammed Hanif Sayeed
(46), his wife Fahmida (43) and Ashrat Ansari (32)—were sentenced to death. This is for
the first time that a couple has been convicted by a POTA court for carrying out blasts.
The special court judge observed it had been proved beyond reasonable doubt that they
had committed heinous acts resulting in numerous deaths. The court agreed with
special public prosecutor that this was a rarest of the rare case where capital
punishment was justified.
The trio was held guilty of planting two bombs in taxis that exploded at the Gateway of
India and Zaveri Bazaar on August 25, 2003, claiming 52 lives and injuring 244. They had
also planted a bomb on July 28, 2003, in a municipal bus in suburban Ghatkopar which
killed two persons. The three were given death penalty under section 3(2) of POTA, and
IPC sections 302 (murder), 307 (attempt to murder) and 120(b) (conspiracy).
Fahmida had played a major role in these bomb blasts. She had planted a bomb in a bus
on July 28, 2003, along with her husband’s friend Ashrat and on August 25, 2003, she
and her husband Hanif planted bombs in taxis at the Gateway of India.
Along with the couple Hanif and Fahmida, their 16-year-old daughter was also arrested
for her alleged involvement in the blasts. However, she was discharged since the
prosecution chose not to investigate the charges against her as she was a minor. Two
other accused, Mohammed Ansari Ladoowala and Mohammed Hasan Batterywala, were
also discharged from the case by the POTA court after the Supreme Court upheld a
POTA review committee report that said there was no case against the duo.
AFGHANISTAN
Elections to elect President
Taliban threats kept voter turnout low in the Kabul and the militant south on August
20, 2009, as Afghans voted to choose the next President for their deeply troubled
country. Militants launched scattered rocket and bomb attacks but no major assaults.
Taliban militants had pledged to disrupt the vote and circulated threats that those who
cast ballots will be punished. However, voters throughout Afghanistan came out to cast
their ballot, even if not in large numbers.
President Hamid Karzai, who has held power since the Taliban was ousted in late 2001
by a US-led invasion, is favoured to finish first among 36 official candidates, although a
late surge by former Foreign Minister Abdullah Abdullah could force a run-off if no one
wins more than 50 per cent.
Since Hamid Karzai’s election in 2004, violence in Afghanistan has increased more than
seven times, and particularly in the provinces of Helmand, Nangarhar, Zabul and
Kandahar where he had got over 80% of the votes.
Karzai’s closest rival in the elections was Abdullah Abdullah, a confidant of Northern
Alliance leader Ahmad Shah Masood.
India played safe and distant in these elections. There is a clear recognition that
despite India’s huge stakes in Afghanistan, there are no gains to playing sides in these
elections. No matter who wins, India will have a substantive playing field, except of
course if the Taliban return.
Karzai has been close to India, and even when the US was trying to dislodge him, India
stood by him. Abdullah is an old India hand, having lived in India with his family during
the Taliban years, with full support of the then Indian government.
Nearly 7,000 polling centres across Afghanistan were set-up for a total electorate of 17
million people. Ballots were counted by hand at each polling centre as soon as voting
came to a close. Counting process, however, is expected to be completed in September
only. To win the election, a Presidential candidate must get over 50% of the votes
cast. If no one receives this, a runoff election will be held within 2 weeks of the
announcement of the results.
JAPAN
Landslide win for Democrats
Japanese voters swept the opposition to a historic victory in an election on August 30,
2009, ousting the ruling conservative party and handing the untested Democrats the job
of breathing life into a struggling economy.
The win by the Democratic Party of Japan (DPJ) ended a half-century of almost
unbroken rule by the Liberal Democratic Party (LDP) and breaks a deadlock in
Parliament, ushering in a government that has promised to focus spending on
consumers, cut wasteful budget outlays and reduce the power of bureaucrats.
Democratic Party leader Hatoyama, grandson of a former Prime Minister, will take over
as the new Prime Minister.
The ruling party loss ended a three-way partnership between the LDP, big business and
bureaucrats that turned Japan into an economic powerhouse after the country’s defeat
in World War II. That strategy foundered when Japan’s “bubble” economy burst in the
late 1980s and growth has stagnated since. The Democrats will have to move fast to
keep support among voters worried about a record jobless rate and a rapidly ageing
society that is inflating social security costs.
The Democrats have pledged to refocus spending on households with child allowances
and aid for farmers while taking control of policy from bureaucrats. The Democrats also
want to forge a diplomatic stance more independent of the United States, raising
concerns about possible friction in the alliance.
MYANMAR
Suu Kyi convicted as global outrage grows
Myanmar democracy icon Aung San Suu Kyi and her US co-defendant are to appeal
against their convictions as the ruling junta faced a global wave of anger over her
extended detention. US president Barack Obama led worldwide outrage at the military
regime’s decision on August 12, 2009, to give Suu Kyi another 18 months of house
arrest, a verdict that shuts the Nobel peace laureate out of elections in 2010.
A prison court sentenced her to three years of hard labour after finding her guilty of
breaching the terms of her incarceration, but junta strongman Than Shwe commuted
the punishment to a year and a half under house arrest.
In Washington, Obama called for Suu Kyi’s “immediate, unconditional release” and for
the freeing of more than 2,000 other political prisoners held in Myanmar. The US
president said the “unjust” sentence against Suu Kyi would never be able to stamp out
the people of Myanmar’s desire for freedom, accusing the regime of “continued
disregard” for UN Security Council statements.
NEPAL
Gurung is army chief
Lt Gen Chhatraman Singh Gurung, who received training at the Indian Military Academy,
Dehradun, was appointed to head the Nepal Army on August 9, 2009, after his
controversial predecessor General Rukmangad Katawal went on a month-long leave
ahead of his retirement in September. Gurung is the first from the rank of commoners
to head the army, which has been led by the country’s elite and the aristocracy. The
change of guard at the helm of 95,000-strong Nepal Army came amid a continued
blockade of Parliament by the Maoists demanding Katawal’s removal. The Maoists,
whose eight-month-old government fell in May 2009 after the reinstatement of
Katawal, had sought his dismissal and a debate in Parliament on the issue of “civilian
supremacy” in the country.
PAKISTAN
Politics allowed in Taliban land
On August 14, 2009, Pakistani President Asif Zardari lifted a ban on political activity in
the ethnic Pashtun tribal belt on the Afghan border, in an apparent move to loosen the
grip of militants on the lawless area. Pakistan’s seven tribal regions, known as the
Federally Administered Tribal Areas (FATA), are semi-autonomous and have never been
fully integrated into the country’s administrative and political system.
The FATA is a major sanctuary for al-Qaida and the Taliban plotting violence in
Pakistan, Afghanistan and beyond and analysts have long argued for it to be fully
integrated with the rest of Pakistan and brought under government writ. Zardari,
speaking at a ceremony to mark the anniversary of Pakistan’s independence from
Britain in 1947, said Pashtun tribesmen deserved to be treated the same as other
Pakistanis.
The FATA is governed under a system inherited from British colonialists with a
government-appointed political agent ruling through the tribes, which observe their
centuries-old codes, not Pakistani laws. Political parties have not been allowed to
operate in the FATA which analysts say helped to create a vacuum for hard-line Muslim
clerics to exploit.
ECONOMY
World financial crisis costs $11.9 tn
The world has earmarked a staggering $11.9 trillion to wriggle out of the financial
crisis, the sum which is enough to finance a $1,779 handout for every person living on
the planet, according to the International Monetary Fund.
Most of the cash has been handed over by developed countries, for whom the bill has
been $10.2 trillion, while developing countries have spent only $1.7 trillion the
majority of which is in central bank liquidity support for their stuttering financial
sectors.
The whopping total cost of crisis is equivalent to around a fifth of the entire globe's
annual economic output and includes capital injections pumped into banks in order to
prevent them from collapse, the cost of soaking up so-called toxic assets, guarantees
over debt and liquidity support from central banks.
Japan comes out of recession in Q2
Japan's economy climbed out of year-long recession in the second quarter, the
government said on August 16, 2009, expanding 3.7% at an annual pace and joining
Germany, France and other regions that appear to be emerging from the global
financial crisis. But economists and politicians sounded cautious, noting that the main
driver of growth was exports and that domestic consumer spending remained fragile
amid plunging incomes and rising unemployment.
The recovery in the April-June quarter was driven by robust demand for cars, video
recorders and other electronics goods, according to government data. Shipments to
China and other emerging markets were particularly strong, although exports to the US
and Europe also showed modest recoveries. Exports grew 6.3% from the previous
quarter, the highest rate in seven years.
Government stimulus measures have also helped, such as cash handouts and incentives
to buy ecological products. But economists said, the nascent recovery could quickly run
out of steam because domestic demand remains weak. Salaries are falling and the
unemployment rate has risen to a six-year high of 5.4% as companies such as Toyota
Motor Corp and Sony Corp have cut thousands of jobs.
The rebound in the world's second largest economy came after a steep, year-long
contraction in gross domestic product, including a worst-ever drop in the final quarter
of 2008, when the economy shrank at a 13.1% pace. The news from Japan comes amid
signs that the global economy may be recovering from its slump. Earlier, France and
Germany, Europe's two biggest economies, said they resumed growing in the second-
quarter, while Hong Kong also said it expanded after a year-long recession.
Economic recovery has begun: IMF
The global economic recovery has begun but sustaining it will require refocusing the
United States toward exports and Asia toward imports, according to the International
Monetary Fund’s chief economist, Olivier Blanchard.
"The turnaround will not be simple," Blanchard said. "The crisis has left deep scars,
which will affect both supply and demand for many years to come." He said US
consumption, which accounts for about 70 per cent of the US economy and a large
chunk of global demand, would not quickly return to pre-crisis strength as households
cope with trillions of dollars in losses from the falling housing and stock markets.
He said the financial crisis had made Americans more conscious of "tail risks"—events
that are unlikely to occur, but when they do have devastating consequences. That
means US consumers are unlikely to return to their free-spending ways, and both the
United States and its trading partners will have to adjust. Emerging Asian countries,
especially China, must play a big role.
ENVIRONMENT
India, China unite to take on West
India and China have agreed to jointly fight any attempt by Western nations to link
trade with climate change and impose trade-related penalties on developing countries
that fail to meet environmental standards.
India and China have agreed to coordinate their views on different aspects of climate
change before every major international meeting on the subject. These are expected to
be spelt out in form of an agreement. Both countries want to negotiate with West for
higher levels of financial assistance and technology transfer in return for promises to do
their best to tackle environmental problems. But they would not agree to any legal
binding on reducing emission norms because it would come in the way of their
development goals. India and China will also not agree to the creation of any trade
barriers on the excuse of climate change. India has also suggested China to consider
reducing carbon dioxide levels in power plants supplied by it to India. This would be
part of the mitigation activities that the two countries expect to carry out jointly.
INTERNATIONAL RELATIONS
Pak has modified Harpoon, India under threat: US
The US has accused Pakistan of illegally modifying the Harpoon anti-ship missile, sold to
it as a defensive tool by the Reagan Administration, to expand its capabilities to strike
land targets, a potential threat to India. The Obama Administration, reported 'The New
York Times' in a front page story, lodged its protest with Pakistan Prime Minister Yusuf
Raza Gilani in June, adding to the tension between the two countries.
Quoting unnamed officials from the Administration and the US Congress, the daily said
Washington has also accused Pakistan of modifying American-made P-3C aircraft for
land-attack missions, another violation of United States law.
The Obama Administration's accusation confirms New Delhi's assertion that the US
military aid is primarily used by Pakistan to strengthen and build up its army against
India.
The newspaper said Pakistan has refuted the charge that it modified the missiles and
claimed that it developed these itself. Between 1985 and 1988, the US had provided
165 Harpoon missiles to Pakistan.
Given the strong protest lodged by the Obama Administration, Pakistan has taken the
unusual step of agreeing to allow American officials to inspect the country’s Harpoon
inventory to prove that it had not violated the law. he latest round of dispute between
the US and Pakistan, however, reflects the “level of mistrust” between them.
TERRORISM
Pak Taliban chief Mehsud killed
Chief of Tehrike Taliban Pakistan (TTP) Baitullah Mehsud, who led a deadly campaign
of suicide bombs and assassinations in Pakistani cities, has been killed in a US drone
attack in first week of August 2009.
Intelligence officials said Mehsud was killed in a missile attack from an American drone
while he was having dialysis. Mehsud’s death means a spectacular development in the
campaign by Pakistan and the US against the Taliban and Al-Qaida fighters along the
border on Afghanistan. He was declared enemy No. 1 by Pakistani authorities for his
terrible suicide attacks that played havoc in Pakistan.
WORLD TRADE
China becomes Japan’s biggest trading partner
In a first, China has surpassed US to become Japan's largest trading partner. The move
is expected to have a softening effect on China-Japan disputes over an island and have
wide implications in Asian region including India. Japan's trade with the US accounted
for just 13.7% of its total world trade in the January-June period. Its trade with China
accounted for 20.4% of the total trade volume giving Beijing tremendous clout over its
neighbour's economy. South Korea, another neighbour, accounted for 6.1%.