Beruflich Dokumente
Kultur Dokumente
of a market?
Purpose of the
session
• Learn to evaluate the attractiveness of
the market from a product idea.
NO
NO GO NO NO GO
GO GO
Initial GO Preliminary G GO
Ideas
Evaluation Concept G Product
Generation Screening O
Evaluation O Development
• MARKETING CRITERIA
• FINANCIAL CRITERIA
• PRODUCTION CRITERIA
DESIRABLE CHARACTERISTICS OF A
MARKET
Potential:
Market size
% Growing level
Penetration:
Consumer maturity
Scale:
% Market-Share
Vulnerability of competitors
DESIRABLE CHARACTERISTICS OF A
MARKET
In-Puts required:
Investment in dollars and technology
Acts as entry barrier
Reward:
Benefits or profits
Risk:
Demand fluctuations (cyclicity, seasonality)
Regulations
Oligopolies
How to choose
the correct opportunity?
NATIONAL ENVIRONMENT
MACRO
INDUSTRIAL
ENVIRONMENT
ENTORNOMICRO
INDUSTRIAL
COMPANY
EXTERNAL FACTORS TO EVALUATE
INSTITUTIONS
INTERNATIONAL
ENVIRONMENT
RESOURCES
Natural
Human
MACRO ENVIRONMENT ANALYSIS
• OTHER
EXTERNAL ANALYSIS
FACTORS OF COUNTRY MACRO
ENVIRONMENT
ECONOMIC
FACTORS
INTERNATIONAL
ENVIRONMENT
MICRO
ENVIRONMENT
POLITICAL AND
SOCIAL AND CULTURAL
LEGAL
FACTORS COMPANY FACTORS
ECOLOGICAL TECHNOLOGICAL
FACTORS FACTORS
MACRO ENVIRONMENT ANALYSIS
ECONOMIC ENVIRONMENT
• Inflation rate
• Economic growth
• Devaluation rate
• Taxation
• Taxes tariffs
• Consistency of economic policies
• Others
MACRO ENVIRONMENT ANALYSIS
TECHNOLOGICAL ENVIRONMENT
Threat of new
competitors
Entry Barriers
Economic Factors Government Policy
NEW Economies of Scale and Network
Political Factors
ENTRANTS Capital Investment
Climatological Factors
Strategic Linkages
Rivalry of Competitors
INDUSTRY Exit Barriers
COMPETITORS Product differentiation
Bargaining power or Bargaining power
suppliers of clients
SUPPLIERS BUYERS
ENTRY BARRIERS
Are the drivers that prevent the new entrance:
• Sources of cost advantages:
• Effects experienced
• Economies of scale
• Capital requirements to compete
• Access to the technology
• Access to the distribution or a key supply
• Patents or processes
• Government policy, legal Norms and regulations
• Change resistance
• Strong restrictions to the transfer
• Brand weight and loyalty to it
• Products and services differentiation
MICRO ENVIRONMENT ANALYSIS
• Assets Specialization
• Emotional barriers
• Strategic Linkages
MICRO ENVIRONMENT ANALYSIS
CURRENT COMPETITORS
Competition between similar organizations with:
• Sustained growth
• Potential market
• Product differentiation and know how
• DEMOGRAPHIC CHARACTERISTICS
• MARKET NEEDS
• TRENDS
• % PENETRATION
• MARKETING CHANNELS
MARKET ATTRACTIVENESS ANALYSIS
AVAILABILITY OF SUBSTITUTES
PRODUCTS: LOW
MARKET ATTRACTIVENESS ANALYSIS
LOW 7.3
HIGH
ENTRY BARRIERS
7.8
EXIT BARRIERS HIGH LOW
• MANAGEMENT
• INNOVATION
• PRODUCTION
• COMMERCIAL
• LOGISTICS
• FINANCIAL
• TECHNOLOGICAL
COMPETITIVE ANALYSIS PROFILE
COMPETITORS PROFILE
Competitor A
Competitor B
Competitor C
Competitor D
INTERNAL ANALYSIS
RESOURCES
RESULTS COMPETENCES
SWOT ANALYSIS
SWOT ANALYSIS
INTERNAL
ANALYSIS
EXTERNAL
ANALYSIS
EFE MATRIX- EXTERNAL FACTORS EVALUATION
WEIGHTED
KEY SUCCESS FACTORS WEIGHT RATING SCORE
•OPPORTUNITIES
.08 3 .24
1.- FREE TRADE U.S. AND CANADA
.06 2 .12
2.- GOOD CAPITAL VALUES
.11 1 .11
3.- AVAILABLE INCOME GROWS 3% PER YEAR
.14 4 .56
4.- CUSTOMERS PAY + FOR BIO PRODUCTS
.09 4 .36
5.- NEW SOFTWARE REDUCES LIFECYCLE
• THREATS
.10 2 .20
1.- CLOSED JAPANESE MARKET
.12 4 .48
2.- NEW TAXES IN EUROPEAN UNION
.07 3 .21
3.- POLITICAL INSTABILITY IN RUSSIA
.13 2 .26
4.- LOW GOVERNMENT SUPPORT
.10 1 .10
5.- INCREASING UNEMPLOYMENT
1.00 2.64
ELABORATION PROCESS – EFE MATRIX
3. ASSIGN A RELATIVE WEIGHT TO EACH FACTOR FROM 0.0 (NOT IMPORTANT) TO 1.0 (VERY
IMPORTANT).
THE WEIGHT INDICATES THE RELATIVE IMPORTANCE THAT THE FACTOR HAVE FOR A
COMPANY TO REACH SUCCESS IN IT´S INDUSTRY. THE OPPORTUNITIES HAVE HIGHER
WEIGHTS THAN THREATS, BUT THESE CAN HAVE HIGH WEIGHTS IF THEY ARE
THREATENING.
FACTORS WEIGHTS CAN BE ESTABLISH BY COMPARING THE MOST SUCESSFUL
COMPETITORS AND THE UNSUCESSFUL ONES OR BY ANALYSIS OF THE GROUP FACTOR
AND THE CONSENSUS OF THE EVALUATORS. ALL WEIGHTS ASSIGNED MUST ADD 1.0.
ELABORATION PROCESS - EFE MATRIX
5. MULTIPLY THE WEIGHT OF EACH FACTOR WITH THE RATING TO GET THE WEIGHTED SCORE.
6. SUME WEIGHTED SCORE OF EACH VARIABLE TO GET THE TOTAL WEIGHTED SCORE OF
THE COMPANY. VALUES GREATER THAN 2.5. MEANS ABOVE THE AVERAGE STRATEGIES.
DEPTH UNDERSTANDING OF THE KEY FACTORS USED IN THE MATRIX ARE MORE
IMPORTANT THAN THE ALLOCATION OF WEIGHTS AND RATINGS.
IFE MATRIX – INTERNAL FACTORS EVALUATION
WEIGHTED
KEY SUCESS FACTORS WEIGHT RATING SCORE
• STRENGHTS
.06 4 .24
1.- PRESENT RATIO 2.52
.16 4 .64
2.- INCREASE GROSS EARNINGS IN 7%
.18 4 .72
3.- HIGH HUMAN RESOURCES SPIRIT
.08 3 .24
4.- NEW ERP INFORMATION SYSTEM
.12 3 .36
5.- MARKET SHARE GROWING UP TO 24%
• WEAKNESES
.05 2 .10
1.- UNSOLVE LEGAL SUIT
.15 2 .30
2.- DECREASE IN PLANT CAPACITY TO 74%
.06 1 .06
3.- LACK OF STRATEGIC MNGMT. SYSTEM
.08 1 .08
4.- INCREASE R&D EXPENSES IN 31%
.06 1 .08
5.- UNEFFECTIVE DISTRIBUTION INCENTIVES
1.00 2.80
PROCESO DE ELABORACIÓN - MATRIZ EFI
2.- SELECCIONE LOS FACTORES CLAVES, QUE SON LOS QUE TIENEN MAYOR GRADO DE
REPERCUSIÓN EN LA EMPRESA, ES MEJOR QUE NO SEAN MAS DE 10.
3.- ASIGNE UN PESO RELATIVO A CADA FACTOR, DESDE 0.0 (NO IMPORTANTE) A 1.0 (MUY
IMPORTANTE). EL PESO INDICA LA IMPORTANCIA RELATIVA QUE TIENE ESE FACTOR PARA
QUE UNA EMPRESA ALCANCE EL ÉXITO. INDEPENDIENTE DE QUE ELFACTOR REPRESENTE
UNA FUERZA O DEBILIDAD, AQUELLOS QUE IMPACTEN MÁS EN EL DESEMPEÑO DE LA
ORGANIZACIÓN DEBEN LLEVAR LOS PESOS MÁS ALTOS. TODOS LOS PESOS ASIGNADOS
DEBEN SUMAR 1.0.
PROCESO DE ELABORACIÓN - MATRIZ EFI (cont.)
4.- CALIFIQUE DE 1 A 4 A CADA UNO DE LOS FACTORES CLAVES DEL ÉXITO INDICANDO SI
REPRESENTA UNA DEBILIDAD O UNA FORTALEZA CON:
4 = MAYOR FORTALEZA
3 = MENOR FORTALEZA
2 = MENOR DEBILIDAD
1 = MAYOR DEBILIDAD
LAS CALIFICACIONES SE BASAN EN LA EMPRESA. MIENTRAS QUE LOS PESOS DEL PASO 3 SE
BASAN EN LA INDUSTRIA,
6.- SUME LAS CALIFICACIONES PONDERADAS DE CADA UNA DE LAS VARIABLES PARA
DETERMINAR EL TOTAL PONDERADO DE LAEMPRESA.
CALIFICAC PESO
FACTORES DETERMINANTES PESO IÓN PONDERAD
O
AMENAZAS De 1 a 4
Incremento del precio de los metales 0.15 2 0.30
Tase creciente de robos en los centros comerciales 0.10 2 0.30
Proveedores con alto poder de negociación 0.15 2 0.30
Preferencia de los clientes por marcas extranjeras de joyas 0.10 2 0.20
Tendencia creciente por el uso de la bijoutería 0.05 3 0.15
PESO
CALIFICAC PONDERAD
FACTORES DETERMINANTES PESO
IÓN O
DEBILIDADES De 1 a 2
Poca Inversión en seguridad 0.10 1 0.10
Proceso productivo tercerizado 0.05 2 0.10
Limitado control de calidad 0.15 1 0.15
Espacio limitado 0.05 2 0.10
Falta de experiencia en el rubro 0.10 1 0.10
1.00 2.75
ATRACTIVENESS OF A MARKET
vs.
COMPETITIVE POSITION
OF THE COMPANY
ATRACTIVENESS OF A MARKET VS. COMPETITIVE
POSITION OF A COMPANY
Jewelry example
4.00
Market Penetration
Product Development
• Desing a fine jewerly line.
MARKET ATRACTIVENESS VS. POSITION OF THE COMPANY
(I.E. MATRIX OR G.E. MATRIX O MC KINSEY MATRIX)
ESTRATEGIC
DECISION
MARKET ATRACTIVENESS
GO AHEAD
Invest,
1 4 7 Grow
WATCH OUT
Proyect
2 5 8 Keep
Mantein
3 6 9 STOP
Gather
STRONG MEDIUM WEAK STOP
Reduce
Disinvest
COMPETITIVE POSITION
OF THE COMPANY
Internal - External Matriz : IE Matrix
GROW INGAND
BUILDING
Market • Three main strategic
Penetration
Market scenarios
Development
Product
Development
Backward and
Foward KEEPIING AND
– Gather y disinvest: se
Integration MANTEINING
recomienda volver a evaluar la
Horizontal Market
Integration Penetration
Product
propuesta de valor
Concentric Development
Integration – Keep y mantein
– Grow and Build
GATHERING OR
DISINVESTING
STRATEGIC GUIDELINES UPON IE MATRIX CUADRANTS
• Invest in restructuration
• Protect Position
• Restructure strong • Selective restructuration
• Invest to grow
points • Buscar subsanar
• Concentrate efforts in
• Reinforce vulnerables deficiencias
keeping position
areas
• Invest in atrractive
• Limit expansion or
markets
• Concentration in Gathering
• Counteract
profitable segments • Take low risk growing
competency
with low risk • Minimize invesments
• Increase production
• Operational rationalization
capacity
Fast
I II
1.- MARKET DEVELOPMENT 1.- MARKET DEVELOPMENT
2.- MARKET PENETRATION 2.- MARKET PENETRATION
3.- PRODUCT DEVELOPMENT 3.- PRODUCT DEVELOPMENT
4.- BACK./FORWARD INTEGRATION 4- HORIZONTAL INTEGRATION
5.- HORIZONTAL INTEGRATION 5.- DISINVESTMENT
6.- CONCENTRIC DIVERSIFICATION 6.- LIQUIDATION OR DISSOLUTION
MARKET
GROWING
(External) IV III
1.- ENTRENCHMENT
1.- CONCENTRIC DIVERSIFICATION 2.- CONCENTRIC DIVERSIFIC.
2.- HORIZONTAL DIVERSIFICATION 3.- HORIZONTAL DIVERSIFICATION
3.- CONGLOMERADE DIVERSIFIC. 4.- CONGLOMERADE DIVERSIFIC.
4.- JOINT VENTURES ENTERPRISES 5.- DISINVESTMENT
6.- LIQUIDATION OR DISSOLUTION
Slow