Beruflich Dokumente
Kultur Dokumente
Alan Lakein
How to Get Control of Your Time and Your Life (1973)
Introduction
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The electric power industry has evolved over many decades, from a low power
generator, serving a limited area, to highly interconnected networks, serving a
large number of countries, or even continents. Nowadays, an electric power system
is the largest man-made system, comprising of huge number of components.
Running this very large system is a real difficult task. It has caused numerous
problems to be solved by both the educational and the industrial bodies. Lessons
have to be learnt from the past. At the same time, the current situation should be
run in an efficient manner with proper insights to the future.
The word operation is the normal electric power term used for running the
current situation. Referring to the future, the power system experts use the term
planning to denote the actions required for the future. The past experiences are
always used for efficient operation and planning of the system.
Power System Elements & Structure
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Two typical studies that power system experts perform in real life -
First, suppose it is foreseen that the Second, suppose we are going to build a
predicted load in 10 years from now, transmission line, passing through a mountainous
may be served provided that a new area. Once built, the line may be subject to
power plant is built. The expert has to severe lightning. Lightning is such a very fast
decide on its required capacity, type phenomena that it affects the system within
and where the plant has to be nanoseconds. The designer should think of
connected to the network. Once appropriate provisions on the line, by proper
decided properly, its construction has modeling the system in these very fast situations
to be started ahead of time, so that and performing enough studies, to make sure
the plant is available in 10 years time. that the line does not fail, if such lightning
This is a typical long-term study of happens in practice. This is a typical very short-
power systems. term study of power systems.
Power System Studies- A Time Horizon
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• Hours to 1 week -
example - unit commitment
• Several minutes to 1 h-
example - economic
dispatch, Optimal Power
Flow (OPF)
• Minutes –
Example - Automatic
Generation Control (AGC).
• Commit unit 1 (generation level: 100 MW), unit 3 (generation level: 150 MW) and unit 6 (generation
level: 125 MW), to serve the predicted load of 375 MW at hour 27 of the week (1 week = 168 h).
• Commit unit 1 (generation level: 75 MW) and unit 3 (generation level: 120 MW), to serve the
predicted load of 195 MW at hour 35 of the week. A complete list for all hours of the week should be
generated. As mentioned earlier, this is known as unit commitment.
Once we come to the exact hour, the actual load may not be equal to the predicted load. Suppose, for
instance, that the actual load at hour 27 to be 390 MW, instead of 375 MW. A further study has to be
performed in that hour to allocate the actual load of 390 MW among the available plants at that hour
(units 1, 3 and 6). This type of study may be based on some technical and/or economical considerations
and is commonly referred to as economic dispatch or Optimal Power Flow (OPF).
Coming to the faster time periods, the next step is to automatically control the generation of the plants
(for instance units 1, 3 and 6) via telemetry signals to required levels, to satisfy the load of 390 MW at
hour 27. This task is normally referred to as Automatic Generation Control (AGC) and should be
performed, periodically (say in minutes); as otherwise, the system frequency may undesirably change.
Further going towards the faster time periods, we come to power system dynamics studies, in
milliseconds to seconds. In this time period, the effects of some components such as the power plants
excitation systems and governors may be significant. Two typical examples are stability studies and
Sub-Synchronous Resonance (SSR) phenomenon. The last stage of study is called power system
transients studies, involving studies on lightning, switching transients and similar. The time period of
interest is from milliseconds to nanoseconds or even picoseconds.
Power System Planning Issues
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Load Forecasting
Load Forecasting
The first crucial step for any planning study is to predict the
consumption for the study period (say 2019–2024), as all
subsequent studies will be based on that. This is referred to as load
GEP forecasting. The same term is used for operational purposes, too.
However, it is understood that a short-term load forecasting, used
for operational studies, is significantly different from the long-term
one used in planning studies.
SEP In a short-term load forecasting, for predicting the load for
instance, of the next week, we come across predicting the load for
each hour of the coming week. It is obvious that the determining
NEP factors may be weather conditions, special TV programs and
similar.
In a long-term load forecasting which is of the main interest of this
course, we normally wish to predict the peak loading conditions of
RPP the coming years. Obviously, the determining factors are different
here. Population rate increase, GDP (Gross Domestic Product) and
similar terms have dominant effects.
Power System Planning Issues
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RPP
Power System Planning Issues
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NEP
RPP
Power System Planning Issues
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21 Questions? Confusions!
Thank You.