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Bull & Bear’s

February 2009 VOL. 11 NO. 04

INSIDE...
Rebuilding A Portfolio
Will Take Time, Effort
By Andrew Leckey Determine how much you need
San Gold 2008 – What A Year! Successful Investing to save and invest regularly to get
San Gold 2009 Looks Even Better your overall assets back on track.
Get over it. Move ahead. Deferred spending is still the major
That’s the tough-love prescription component in wealth-building.
for investors debilitated by the “Decide if your pool of assets
economic and financial downturn. is still enough, and if not, take
Yesterday’s gone, so deal realistically action either by doing more saving
with the world before you. and investing, or by cutting your
As you begin to rebuild your spending,” Capelli Dimitroff said.
savings and investments, take a “With U.S. equity markets down
Ur-Energy – The Right People, deep breath and revisit the value more than 30 percent, you have to
of every holding that you own. Too ask yourself if you could sustain
The Right Projects, The Right many Americans are still stuck in another loss like that, because, if
Proceeds, Right Now avoidance mode. not, it is time to start ratcheting
“Folks won’t even look at their down equity exposure by selling
AURIZON MINES LTD. investment statements because some stocks.”
Gold Producer Aurizon Mines Is they’re so worried and upset about For the fixed-income component
Utilizing Cash Resources to the market, and that is a mistake,” of your portfolio, she recommends
Grow Production Profile; Strong Cash said Marilyn Capelli Dimitroff, Treasury inflation-protected
Flow, Exploration Potential a certified financial planner and securities, known as TIPS, whose
president of Capelli Financial returns are indexed to compensate
MINEFINDERS CORPORATION LTD. Services Inc. in Bloomfield Hills, bondholders for inflation. And brave
Minefinders Producing Gold and Mich. “Stop thinking about history investors should at least consider
Silver at Flagship Dolores Mine and where your investments were some discount-priced stocks.
MINERA ANDES INC. a year ago, because what you have “There’s less risk in the stock
now is what you have.” market now than when the Dow
Minera Andes Doubles Production
Although you can assume invest- Jones industrial average was at
at San José Project ment values will revive at some 14,000 and everybody loved it,” said
VELOCITY MINERALS LTD. point, your projections for the future Capelli Dimitroff, who recommends
Velocity Minerals Advancing should consider current figures. In a portfolio diversified among U.S.
Significant Molybdenum particular, go over 401(k) and other and foreign stocks, large- and
Properties In British Columbia retirement accounts to see how your small-cap stocks, and growth and
retirement prospects look. Continued on page 21
I meet personally with the leading investment
advisers and hear their recommendations for profiting
in today's markets. Where do you get your advice?

Steve Forbes
The Money Shows have
President, CEO and
Editor-in-Chief, Forbes been my financial
Will President Obama See the education for ten years.
Light on Money and Taxes? I make decisions with
What Happens Now? confidence from what
Gary Shilling I’ve learned.
President
A. Gary Shilling & Co., Inc. Vernelle Puerta,
When Will We Get Out of Carmichael, California
This Mess?

Robert McTeer
Former President
Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas
The Financial Meltdown and
Its Aftermath

Dennis Gartman
Editor and Publisher
The Gartman Letter
Between Barack and a Hard Place:
What's the New Investment World
Going to Look Like?

Bernie Schaeffer
Chairman and CEO
Schaeffer’s Investment Research
Bull or No Bull?

William Isaac
Managing Director
Secura Group, LLC
World Economic Crisis and
Rebound Panel

and 100+ more!

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Stocks Below $5 With Bundles of Cash


By George Putnam, III $3.51) provides construction and With heavy exposure to Asia,
The Turnaround Letter support services to the offshore the company has suffered as
oil and gas industry. The stock manufacturers in that region cut
If you are looking for maximum has been crushed as the price of back. Orbotech is implementing a
rebound potential, you have to oil has come down. The company number of cost cutting strategies
go lower down on the quality is building a deepwater capability to help it through the global
spectrum. It is typically the lower to augment its strong presence downturn. Whatever you think
quality and lower priced stocks in shallow-water operations. of the company’s prospects, it is
that will have the largest gains This should boost the company’s intriguing because its cash per
when the market rebounds. prospects when oil prices recover. share, after subtracting all debt,
Of course, you don’t want to dip Lawson Software (LWSN: exceeds the stock price.
down too far in terms of quality $4.71) provides enterprise resource Sun Microsystems (JAVA:
because in these tough economic planning software aimed at mid- $4.86) has been in the doldrums
times many weak companies will sized organizations. This segment of ever since the Internet bubble
not survive. As a compromise, we the market is being hit particularly burst at the beginning of this
looked for stocks that have been hard during the global slowdown, decade. Just as it was finding a
beaten down below $5 in price but the company has the cash to new market niche in providing
but where the companies still had be a survivor. Also, it could be an computers to the financial services
substantial amounts of cash on attractive acquisition target when industry, that sector cratered. But
their balance sheets, and came up mergers begin to pick up again. it is not wise to count Sun out yet. It
with the stocks below: Motorola’s (MOT: $4.93) long continues to have a strong research
Alcatel Lucent (ALU: $2.11) and notable corporate history has department, and its balance sheet
was formed in 2006 by the merger been tarnished in recent years, should support the company for
of the two leading makers of following a string of shortfalls quite a while to come.
telecommunications equipment. in the cell phone sector and a Tellabs (TLAB: $4.21) has
As you might expect when you revolving door in the CEO suite. suffered as the biggest customers
merge a U.S. company with a However, the company has several for its equipment, Verizon, AT&T
French company during a period very strong businesses that have and Sprint, postpone capital
of industry turmoil, things didn’t been overshadowed by the cell expenditures during the downturn.
go as well as planned. But now phone problems. The valuation of However, the company still has
the company has a whole new top the various pieces appears very strong products, as shown by its
management team, and you can cheap. winning a major new contract
purchase the combined company Office Depot (ODP: $2.64) from British Telecom. And its
for less than one half of what has been hurt as the company’s strong balance sheet gives Tellabs
Alcatel paid for Lucent two years small- and medium-sized business plenty of staying power.
ago. customers have been forced to cut Editor’s Note: George Putnam,
Cypress Semiconductor (CY: spending on office products. The III is the editor of The Turnaround
$4.95) has long been an innovator company is responding by closing Letter, 225 Friend St., Ste. 801,
in the semiconductor industry. stores and distribution centers. Boston, MA 02114, 1 year, 12
Management is now focusing The closings will lead to write-offs, issues, $195. Published since
on becoming a major player in but the company should be able to 1986, The Turnaround Letter
programmable chips used in a weather the current poor economic searches out companies that
variety of products ranging from climate. have had some problems and
MP3 players to running shoes. Orbotech (ORBK: $4.20) makes are temporarily out-of-favor, but
T.J. Rodgers, Cypress’ CEO since high-speed optical inspection are in the process of turning
inception in 1992, has been a buyer systems that are used to identify around. For more information on
of the stock in recent months, and defects in the manufacturing The Turnaround Letter, call 1-617-
he has had a pretty good record of printer circuit boards and 573-9550 or visit the web site at
of knowing when to buy his own other electronic components. www.TheTurnaroundLetter.com.
stock.
Flextronics (FLEX: $2.72), the
world’s second largest outsourcer Visit the Bull & Bear’s Web Sites...
of electronics manufacturing
services, faces some short-term TheResourceInvestor.com
adjustments as the worldwide
economy continues to weaken. GoldStockNews.com
But the company has the global
scale to be a big winner when
GreenInvestorDigest.com
manufacturing begins to rebound.
Global Industries (GLBL:
and... TheBullandBear.com


results of sales to limited assortment food stores


licensed by the Company. Supply chain services
Stocks to Watch operations include results of wholesale distribution
to affiliated food stores, mass merchants and other
customers and logistics support services. SVU
operates its stores under various banners, such as
PEARSON INVESTMENT LETTER Acme Markets, Albertsons, Bristol Farms, Bigg’s,
P.O. Box 3739, Apollo Beach, Fl 33572. Cub Foods, Farm Fresh, Hornbacher’s, Jewel-Osco,
Monthly, 1 year, $150. Lucky, Save-A-Lot, Shaw’s Supermarkets, Shop ‘n
www.pearsoncapitalinc.com. Save, Shoppers Food & Pharmacy and Star Markets.
Institutional Holdings: 406.”
Recommended ***************
growth stocks
Pearson Capital’s recently recommended growth
stocks include Berkshire Hathaway, Inc. (Insurance), Louis Navellier’s BLUE CHIP GROWTH
Lion Gate Entertainment Corp. (Motion Pictures), 9201 Corporate Blvd., Rockville, MD 20850.
and Supervalu, Inc. (Retail Grocery). Monthly,1 year, $299. www.navelliergrowth.com.
Berkshire Hathaway, Inc. (NYSE: BRK.B;
$2989), is a holding company owning subsidiaries
Top 5 stocks with best
engaged in a number of diverse business activities. short-term prospects
The most important of these are insurance Louis Navellier: “These Top 5 stocks have the best
businesses conducted on both a primary basis short-term prospects of all the great companies on
and a reinsurance basis. Berkshire also owns and our Buy List.
operates a large number of other businesses engaged 1. Amgen (AMGN) is scheduled to report earnings
in a variety of activities, as identified herein. on January 26. This biotech stock has held firm
Berkshire’s operating businesses are managed since we bought it last issue, and I expect it to get a
on an unusually decentralized basis. During the healthy bounce after its quarterly report. Healthcare
year ended 12/31/07, the Company acquired Boat companies like this will continue to play a large
America Corp. which owns Seaworthy Insurance part in our Buy List, since the industry is recession-
Co. and controls the Boat Owners Assoc. of the proof.
U.S. In November 08, White Mountains Insurance 2. General Mills (GIS) continues to capitalize on
Group Ltd. completed its exchange with Berkshire strong brand recognition for its quality food products.
of runoff businesses. BRK exchanged about 95% The company recently said December sales were up,
of its interest in White Mountains for 100% of helped by stronger results at its Betty Crocker and
a White Mountains subsidiary, who holdings Pillsbury baking units. This underscores the trend of
consist of Commercial Casualty Insurance Co. and consumers eating at home more often during tough
International American Group Inc. Institutional economic times.
Holdings: 196. 3. McDonald’s (MCD) could be gobbling up
Lions Gate Entertainment Corp. (NYSE: market share in the next several months. Wendy’s/
LGF; $5.61) is a filmed entertainment studio with a Arby’s Group Inc. announced recently it is cutting
presence in motion pictures, television programming, the number of restaurants selling breakfast items
home entertainment, family entertainment, video- and hopes to relaunch its morning menu across the
on-demand and digitally delivered content. The United States in 2011. This means that in the short-
Company releases approximately 18 to 20 motion term, McDonald’s will have a lot less competition for
pictures theatrically per year, which include films early diners.
it develops and produces in-house, as well as films As the dollar continues to lose steam, multination-
that it acquires from third parties. It also has al companies like MCD will see big improvements
produced approximately 76 hours of television in their balance sheets thanks to overseas opera-
programming, primarily prime time television tions.
series for the cable and broadcast networks. As 4. Southwestern Energy (SWN) is looking up
of 03/31/08, Lions Gate distributes its library of as crude prices have firmed up a bit over the past
approximately 8,000 motion picture titles and several months. A weaker dollar boosts the long-
approximately 4,000 television episodes and term prospects of SWN and the rest of our energy
programs directly to retailers, video rental stores, companies, since commodity prices will move upward
and pay and free television channels in the U.S., as the greenback falls.
Canada, the U.K. and Ireland. Its segments include 5. Walmart (WMT) continues to be an important
Motion Pictures and Television Productions. part of our Buy List despite disappointing news
Institutional Holdings: 38. in the retail sector. While it’s true that December
Suvervalu, Inc (NYSE: SVU; $17.54) is a U.S. sales missed forecasts, don’t forget that the
grocery channel that conducts its retail operations company’s overall numbers still rose while the
under three retail food store formats: combination rest of the sector is down. I am confident Walmart
stores (defined as food and drug), food stores and will continue to be an oasis for shoppers in hard
limited assortment food stores. The Retail food times, and will stay strong through the first half
operations include results of food stores owned and of 2009.”


Standard & Poor’s THE OUTLOOK they continue to supply the carbon fibers used in
55 Water St., New York NY 10041. building the largest wind turbines. But automotive
1 year, 48 issues, $298. components are gaining share, and production costs
are beginning to come down. The company’s stock
www.outlook.standardandpoors.com. has been absolutely crushed, falling from the $35 per
One to watch: Johnson & Johnson share range when gas was $4 for a gallon, to around
Lisa Sanders: “Fourth-quarter operating earnings $6 per share recently.
of $0.94 a share vs. $0.88 a year ago was $0.01 above The difficult lies in the fact that supply for carbon
one estimate. Revenue fell 4.9%, drug sales fell fibers is rapidly expanding, and pricing pressure
11%, and medical device sales declined 1.9%, while and gross margin compression are risks in 2009 and
consumer sales rose 1.2%. After some $0.03 to $0.05 beyond. Zoltek’s most lucrative market remains the
dilution from the Mentor acquisition, Johnson & alternative energy sector, particularly next-generation
Johnson (JNJ: 56) expects 2009 earnings of $4.45 wind turbines which have replaced fiberglass for
to $4.55 compared with $4.55 in 2008. While we note carbon fiber. The company has contracts with two of
Johnson & Johnson’s lead positions in key health the world’s leading wind turbine makers. Investors
care markets, and robust R&D pipeline, we see might want to take notice of carbon’s prospects.”
2009 results impacted by foreign exchange, weak ****************
economies, and greater competition. We lowered our
target price on JNJ by $10 to $65, which is a peer-level Interinvest REVIEW & OUTLOOK
14.4 times our 2009 estimate of $4.50.” P.O. Box 51462, Boston, MA 02205.
*************** Monthly, 1 year, $125. www.interinvest.com.
THE CONTRARY INVESTOR Becoming favorable towards
309 South Willard St., Burlington VT. equities but only in specific groups
Monthly, 1 year, $125. Dr. Hans Black: “Given the very rapid declines that
we have now seen worldwide, our overall strategy is
Carbon poised to make inroads to become more favorable toward equities, but only in
as a critical component of new cars specific groups. We currently favor healthcare, quite
Alex Seagle: “Twice in the Contrary Investor’s a number of which we consider to be quite cheap,
sweet, short life has he entered into the curious love/ technology companies, as well as communication
hate relationship that is found in owning an Italian companies and several special situations in the food,
sports car, specifically two 1974 Alfa Romeo’s. So natural resources and energy sector. Notable stocks
it was with some interest that we noted the recent in our opinion and worth accumulating are Biogen,
introduction of the Alfa 8C Competizone – a limited Schering-Plough, Conagra Foods, Incyte, Novell and
run of 500 costing around $265,000 per copy. One of Sycamore Networks. Microsoft and El Paso also look
the distinguishing features of the car is the extensive attractive to us. We would avoid equities in emerging
use of carbon fiber, as opposed to steel, throughout markets as there is likely to be further risk in that
the vehicle. sector.”
Carbon fiber has an interesting history of use in
cars. Back in the mid-1970s, right after the famous
oil embargo, Ford Motor, through its aerospace
division, built an all-carbon composite LTD, showing
tremendous weight savings, albeit at a very high cost,
considering that the only fiber vehicle at the time
was an expensive aerospace grade. For most of this
period, pioneers in Formula One auto racing led the
way in moving from aluminum to carbon fiber. Now
with carmakers struggling to produce vehicles with
better mileage, carbon appears poised to make serious
inroads as critical component of new cars.
P.O. Box 917179, Longwood, FL 32791
Two companies positioned to benefit are Zoltec
(407) 682-6170
Companies, Inc. (Nasdaq: ZOLT), and Toray Group
(Nasdaq Pink Sheets: TRYIF). Both manufacture the Publisher: The Bull & Bear Financial Report
carbon fiber used in automotive, aircraft, and wind Editor: David J. Robinson
turbine production. At Toray, for example, annual The Monetary Digest, 1 year, 12 ­issues, $88.
production in the carbon fiber market is expected © ­Copyright 2009 Monetary Digest. ­Reproduction in whole or
to reach 48,000 tons in 2010, double the amount for in part without written permission is strictly ­ prohibited. The
2005. This huge growth will be attributable to the Monetary ­Digest publishes investment news and ­comments of
rapid expansion of aircraft applications including investment ­advisory newsletters whose thoughts are deemed of
wind turbine blades and CNG (compressed natural interest to subscribers. ­Neither the information, nor any opinion
gas) tanks in the face of high crude oil prices, as well which may be ­expressed ­constitute a ­solicitation for the purchase
as an increase in automotive applications. or sale of any ­securities or investment referred herein.
Zoltec’s largest application is wind energy as


Leeb’s INCOME PERFORMANCE LETTER Income Portfolio denizen Yum! Brands (YUM). The
P.O. Box 97, Williamsport, PA 17703. U.S. based global operator of KCF, Pizza Hut and
Monthly, 1 year, $72. www.leebincomeletter.com. Taco Bell has more restaurants (nearly 36,000) than
any other company. Yum! Generates 28 percent of its
Climbing the great wall of worry income from China, with sales there set to grow at a
Gregory Dorsey: “There’s been a pronounced 20 percent annual pace in the coming years.
change in the spending habits of consumers in the Despite being the largest restaurant chain in
U.S., Europe and Japan since the financial crisis China, Yum! Brands’ penetration of that market
kicked into high gear last September, with people has a long way to go to reach the saturation
increasingly reluctant to open their wallets and use point. Currently the company operates about
their trusty old credit cards. Some media reports 3,000 restaurants in China, which sounds like
have portrayed the effects of the global slowdown as a staggering number until you consider the size
having dire consequences for the Chinese economy of the Chinese population. For instance, China’s
as well. rapidly growing middle class now numbers more
But the truth is that while the Chinese economy than 300 million.
has slowed from a torrid growth pace, it continues to Yum’s international operations outside of China
expand at a rate we in the West can only envy. That’s are also enjoying strong growth and now represent 26
just one reason why investors should look to China for percent of the company’s revenues. Despite headwinds
investment opportunities. What’s more, two of the stocks from the global recession, Yum’s management expects
in our Growth and Income Portfolio with the highest the company’s profits to expand by at least 10 percent
exposure to China are also paying solid dividends. in 2009 thanks to its international exposure, with
China recently announced that its economy grew faster growth in future years.
at a faster pace in 2007 than previously estimated: Yum! has an impressive record of steady, reliable
13 percent rather than 11.9 percent. The revision earnings gains, considerably fueled by its strong
boosted China’s economy to the world’s third largest growth potential as perhaps the best China play. No
in dollar terms, displacing Germany, after the U.S. wonder Yum’s stock always trades at a premium to
and Japan. the market.
Now China’s output has slowed to a 6-7 percent But the broad market sell-off has pushed Yum’s price
annual rate from 10-11 percent a year ago. But down to a reasonable 14 times probably 2009 earnings.
growth much below that rate is politically untenable So you can now pick up shares at an attractive price
with millions flocking from the countryside to the and collect a 2.6 percent dividend too.”
cities every year. So the country’s leaders have ****************
taken steps to spur growth, recently announcing
plans to spend $586 billion on economic stimulus Steven Halpern’s THESTOCKADVISORS.COM
during the next two years. That figure represents
about 17 percent of the nation’s annual output. Each day, editor Steven Halpern features timely
An equivalent outlay here in the U.S. would top and insightful commentary, market outlooks and
$2.5 trillion. specific stock and fund recommendations from
In addition to opening the government’s pocketbook, the nation’s top newsletter advisors on his unique
China has doubled rural incomes and slashed website TheStockAdvisors.com. Here are a few recent
taxes. And while the Sino economy is still largely postings. (See Editor’s Note for a FREE Special
export oriented, Beijing is taking steps to encourage Report).
domestic consumption, which will favor consumer-
oriented companies operating there. Small cap growth:
Yum! Brands: Tasty Growth
A company ideally situated to benefit is Growth & Opportunity of a lifetime?
“2009 may be the opportunity of a lifetime to
buy small-cap growth stocks; values are among the
lowest levels in 30 years and a small improvement in
fundamentals could spark a significant rise in prices,”
says money manager and CFA Jim Oberweis, Jr.
In The Oberweis Report, www.oberweis.net,
he looks at “three ideas to buck the bad news.”
Here’s his trio of small caps that he see “thriving
despite difficult economic times.”
“In tough economic times, most companies are hit
by weaker consumer demand. But a few companies
benefit from the bad economy. 
“A limited group of others operates in niches that
are resistant to the bad economy. And a small number
of companies that should be adversely affected by
the nasty economic headwinds are simply executing
flawlessly and overcoming the challenge. 
“From our portfolio, here are examples of each: 


“HMS Holdings Corp. (Nasdaq: HMSY), a Coal insiders eye Peabody


provider of insurance benefits coordination for “Peabody Energy (NYSE: BTU), the largest
government sponsored healthcare programs, actually private market coal firm in the world, had a great
benefits from rising unemployment. 2008,” says Jack Adamo who has recently added
“Their biggest client, Medicaid, is a government in- the stock to the buy list of Insiders Plus, www.
surance program for low income people with no other jackadamo.com.
insurance. HMS makes money by finding errors in “Peabody has extensive holdings in the U.S. and
the processing of medical payments. Australia, the latter serving the China/Asia Pacific
“As the ranks of Medicaid grow along with markets. It sells steam coal for heating and utility
unemployment, the market for HMS expands as use, and coking coal for steel making.
well. We expect HMS to grow earnings 35% over the “Peabody has had some decent insider buying in the
next year. Shares trade for 33x our forward estimate last few months – about 30,000 shares – not enough
of $0.93.  to get too excited about, but encouraging. There were
“In our second case, certain companies have carved also 27,000 options exercised, most of it at very low
out niches that are only minimally influenced by a prices, for which the holder took no profits. 
tight economy. “That’s also a good sign, particularly since those
“Neutral Tandem (Nasdaq: TNDM) operates a exercises come with a tax bill, and shares weren’t
telecommunications network that connects traffic sold to pay it.
flowing across the networks of more than one telecom “It implies faith the stock will rise. In addition,
carrier. this type of activity is not closely monitored by most
“For example, if AT&T Wireless wants to route a Insider watchers; so it’s less likely to be a public
call to a destination that ends on a Comcast cable relations ploy, as much Insider buying is nowadays.
network, they have to pay their competitor – the “Peabody had a great 2008 and a great fourth
local telephone company – a juicy fee to route the call quarter, with revenue rising 61% and diluted EPS
through their tandem switch. up 48% over Q4 2007. But the company, like the
“Neutral Tandem offers a way to bypass the Baby whole industry, expects the pricing environment to
Bells when exchanging calls and data with each be tough this year, with demand down substantially,
others’ networks. The firms claims their fees are particularly in coking coal.
much less than those charged by the Baby Bells, “The stock is selling for under $29 after reaching
and the money doesn’t end up in the pockets of their a 52-week high of $88. We sold it last September for
competitors. a 68% profit after holding it slightly less than two
“We are estimating earnings of $0.90 in the next years.
twelve months, representing 55% growth in EPS. “Earnings estimates for full year 2009 run at $3/
Shares trade for 18x our forward estimate. share, with a 20% increase in 2010. I doubt either
“The last case, a company executing very well estimate is reliable. But this is the best company
despite economic headwinds, is well illustrated by in its industry and it’s selling for less than 10-
Vermont-based Green Mountain Coffee (Nasdaq: times earnings, albeit shaky earnings, given the
GMCR). environment. 
“The company built its name as a retailer of “I have no illusions that if the market craters again
coffee, but their growth today is being fueled by the later in the year, as it almost certainly will, these
company’s single-cup brewing system, sold under the shares couldn’t fall 30%.
brand name Keurig.  “But the on-balance-volume is very strong in the
“Taking a cue from the razor blade model, Keurig stock, indicating it is under accumulation by big
sells their brewing systems at modest margins but investors. If the market has a good couple of months,
makes a killing on their patented single-cup coffee the shares should put on enough padding to weather
packets, called K-Cups. the downturn.”
“Sales grew 46% for the fiscal year ended Editor’s Note: Monetary Digest readers can
September 2008, and we believe sales will grow at receive, FREE of charge, TheStockAdvisors.com
45-50% in 2009. The shares trade for 28x our forward Top Stock Picks for 2009. The Special Report
estimate. in its entirety, features 75+ top advisors providing
“Despite challenging economic headwinds, you with their Top Stock Picks for 2009, can
companies like HMS Systems, Neutral Tandem, and be downloaded from Steven Halpern’s website,
Green Mountain Coffee appear to be.” www.TheStockAdvisors.com.

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COMMON CENTS In my experience from the market crashes of


P.O. Box 126354, Benbrook, TX 76126. 1994, 1998, and 2000, these types of stocks tend to
1 year, 8 issues, $72. perform exceptionally well in the year following a
market crash like the one we had in October 2008.
The Electric Car, Assuming that global financial markets settle, I
It’s Here Already! believe that each of these stocks has the potential to
Roland Carter: “Concerning the electric car for gain upwards of 50% between now and the spring.
which the world patiently awaits, it appears it’s Nevertheless, I recommend that you take a relatively
already being built in China by a company named small position in each of these stocks, say, half of your
BYD Corp. (The ADR shares trade here OTC as normal position size.”
BYDDY). If the markets weren’t so scary I’d be a ***************
buyer, but I’ll watch for the time being. BYD has
grown within 14 years into now the world’s second THE HULBERT FINANCIAL DIGEST
largest maker of lithium-ion batteries used in cell 5051-B Backlick Rd., Annandale, VA 22003.
phones and laptop computers. Branching into auto Monthly, 1 year, $135.
making seemed logical for this tech-innovative firm.
They’re selling in China a plug-in hybrid with a small Most popular stocks
gas-assist engine capable of going about 50 miles on among 10-year market beaters
a full charge for $22,000. GM’s planned Volt won’t Since 1980, Mark Hulbert’s monthly newsletter,
be here until next year – 40 miles on a charge and The Hulbert Financial Digest, has helped steer
a $40,000 price tag. The Volt is not gonna save GM! investors toward the best-performing stock market
By late 2009 BYD plans to have ready a total electric letters…and helped warn them away from the
car capable of going 180 miles on a charge! Price losers…so that they can maximize the profits earned
hasn’t been disclosed. This is exciting, but perhaps from the investment advice they buy.
will be lost with gasoline near $1.50/gal. Andrew “Over 12 months through December 31, 2008 the top
Grove, Intel’s founder who still advises the company, performing newsletters were: 1) Crawford Perspectives
has been pushing Intel to consider the advanced +50.7%, Elliott Wave Financial Forecast +18.5%, 3)
auto-battery business. I can’t believe any forward- Peter Eliades’ Stockmarket Cycles +18.2%.”
thinking business person would not see the great The most popular stocks among 10 year market
potential for such. By the way, Berkshire Hathaway’s beaters are Aflac (AFL), AT&T (T), Chevron (CVX),
MidAmerican Energy subsidiary last fall bought a General Electric (GE), Hewlett Packard (HPQ),
10% interest in BYD for $230 million!” Johnson & Johnson (JNJ), McDonald’s (MCD),
*************** Microsoft (MSFT), Pepsico (PEP), Pfizer (PFE),
and Wal-Mart (WMT).”
GLOBAL STOCK INVESTOR, One Massachusetts Editor’s Note: Hulbert Interactive is the online research tool
that gives you 24-hour access to HFD’s performance ratings – along
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Tip toe back into these Go to https://store.marketwatch.com/Hispecial.
two potential big gainers ***************
“The strong performance of the equity markets
since late November means that the time had come to TOP PROS’ TOP PICKS, published weekly by
dip your financial toe back into more risky assets, says InterShow, 1258 N. Palm Ave., Sarasota, FL
Nicholas Vardy. He recently recommended buying two
of the stocks on his Global Stock Investor Watch List 34236. www.WorldMoneyShow.com.
– Millicom International and Nextel Holdings. Stock Picks and Insights from
Millicom International Cellular (MICC), the America’s most respected advisors
“Indiana Jones of the Cell Phone World” was taken
off of our “Watch List” and added back to the Global Howard R. Gold, Editor of Top Pros’ Top Picks,
Stock Investor portfolio on Jan. 7. This company has offers a glimpse into the best advice from leading
been a long time favorite of mine, but we were stopped advisors around the globe. Most of the following
out of the stock during the market turmoil of last advisors will host workshops and panels at the
year. It now looks like Millicom is re-establishing a Las Vegas Money Show, May 11-14th, 2009 at the
solid uptrend, so now is a good time to tip-toe back Mandalay Bay Resort. Show Focus: Buy & Hold and
into the stock. MICC is a BUY. Trading. For FREE registration information see the
NII Holdings (NIHD) is a wireless communications editor’s note below.
in Latin America and operates the Nextel service in
all major markets of the region. It, too was taken off Playing the Do-It-Yourself Health Trend
our “Watch List,” as it appears to have bottomed and Ian Wyatt, Editor and Publisher, Growth Report,
now is in an uptrend. Assuming that global markets Co-Founder, Business Financial Publishing, LLC,
settle, I believe that NIHD (along with Millicom) has 611 Pennsylvania Avenue SE, Ste. 417, Washington,
the potential to gain upwards of 50% between now DC 20003, www.growthreport.com, says a supplier of
and the spring. NIHD is a BUY. pregnancy tests and other diagnostic products will


profit from a move towards home diagnostics. Pacific Palisades, CA 90272, says some limits have
Inverness Medical Innovations (NYSE: IMA) been loosened on retirement investing, giving investors
engages in the development of consumer medical an opportunity to buy low.
diagnostic products. Specifically, the company is a For the time being, many investors have been
supplier of consumer pregnancy and fertility tests and scared away from the stock market.
other rapid point-of-care diagnostics. It also offers a However, the amount that can be contributed has
range of vitamins and nutritional supplements. gone up. This provides an opportunity to “buy low”.
Inverness Medical is profiting from the growing Due to cost-of-living adjustments, the Internal
home diagnostic trend. The company has taken its Revenue Service has raised the maximum contribution
products global and is looking to add more monitoring level to $16,500 to a 401(k) plan. Those who are 50 or
systems to its pipeline. Management has a proven older by the end of the year can add another $5,500.
track record in technology and innovation and also And the maximum amount that can be contributed
has a significant equity stake in the company. into a defined contribution plan is $49,000, up from
Potential drivers of growth include growing $46,000 in 2008. With the markets well off their highs
political support for health-care reform; the fact of a few years ago, saving aggressively for retirement
that the health-care system is trending away from would be a good strategy now.
an activity-driven reimbursement system to a Contributions to a Roth IRA are made with after-
quality-driven reimbursement system; the growing tax money, meaning you don’t see any savings now,
importance of wellness testing in reducing overall but the account grows tax free and the withdrawals
health-care costs, and Inverness’s defensive growth- –once you’re 59 ½ or older – are tax free as well.
stock characteristics. Income requirements have also gone down,
In the third quarter ended September 30, 2008, making it easier to qualify for a Roth IRA. Single
Inverness Medical recorded revenues of $438.8 million, filers are eligible to contribute up to $5,000 a year
up from $237.6 million in the third quarter of 2007. The as long as they earn less than $105,000 this year (up
company attributed the increase primarily to revenue from $102,000 in 2008), while married couples can
provided by the health management segment, along contribute if their income is $166,000 or less.
with $63.5 million of incremental revenue contributed Today’s tax rates are on the low side historically,
by recently acquired businesses. The net GAAP loss [and] it is safe to assume that tax rates will be higher
was $3.7 million, or 12 cents per diluted common when you withdraw money from your IRA. Therefore,
share, from a net loss of $3.74 per share for the third anything that you can pay taxes on now and have tax
quarter of 2007. The company reported a cash and free later would seem prudent.
cash equivalent balance of $154 million. Before you dismiss Roth accounts because you
The company is difficult to value, mainly because are ineligible (you are in too high a tax bracket),
most of its growth has come through acquisition. starting in 2010, anyone can convert an IRA (or
As a result, projecting future sales and earnings other traditional retirement account) to a Roth IRA.
can be tricky. Additionally, sales on a GAAP basis The catch is that you would need to pay taxes on the
are negative. An easy way around using traditional amount you are converting. However, if your income
earnings metrics is to look at the company’s cash flows is down, you may be in a lower tax bracket than you
and non-GAAP income. have been or will be in. Also, the rules permit this tax
Here we see that the company actually earned to be paid off in two years instead of one.
$1.27 in 2007 and is expected to earn $1.97 this Finally, the amount of money that can be given away
year. Throughout the past three years, Inverness has tax free to the recipient has increased. This year, single
managed to grow cash flows to $88 million in 2007, people can gift up to $13,000 tax free to any individual,
from $34 million in 2006 and $26 million in 2005. while married couples can gift up to $26,000.
We will use non-GAAP earnings per share (EPS) Finally, the Worker, Retiree, and Employer Recovery
estimates to value the stock. This method removes Act of 2008 was signed into law in late December. This
one-time items and acquisition-related costs. We law suspended the minimum required distribution
project that the company will earn $1.98 this year rules for IRA accounts and qualified retirement plans
and grow earnings 29% to $2.56 in 2009. for the 2009 tax year. That means most seniors who
Shares currently trade at ten times our 2009 EPS are 70 ½ or older are not required to withdraw money
estimate, which is shocking. Fair value for such a from their retirement accounts this year.
company is at least 16 times forward earnings, but So, not only will seniors avoid having to pay taxes
we understand the uncertainties in the market place, on the withdrawal, but they can also keep their
as well as the uncertainties commonly associated retirement account intact so it’s better poised to
with acquisitions. recover when the market does.
Accordingly, we are depressing our fair value Editor’s Note: Attend the Las Vegas Money
multiple down to 12.5x, which results in a one-year Show, May 11-14th, 2009 at the Mandalay Bay
target price of $32. Resort. Show Focus: Buy & Hold and Trading. The Las
Vegas Money Show features 100+ leading investment
and economic experts speaking at workshops, panels,
The Up Side of a Down Market and intensive presentations. Monetary Digest readers
David Fried, President, Fried Asset Management, can register for FREE by calling 1-800-970-4355 and
Inc., President, David R. Fried, Inc., DBA, The mentioning Priority Code 013701 or visit the web site
Buyback Letter, 15415 Sunset Blvd., Ste. 200D, at www.LasVegasMoneyShow.com.
10

Composite lost 35 per cent. In the U.K. gold rose 45


per cent in British pounds, while the London FTSE
Resource Stocks was losing 31 per cent. Everywhere for the most part
in 2008, gold was the top performer.
In the United States, long-term U.S. Treasury
INVESTOR’S DIGEST of Canada bonds outperformed gold, but in Canada, gold
133 Richmond St., W., Toronto, ON M5H 3M8 outperformed Canadian government bonds, treasury
1 year, 24 issues, $137. bills and bank deposits. In a devastating year, cash,
bank deposits and government treasury bills were it
Precious metals stocks seems not the only place to hide.
will be 2009 bright spot In terms of comparisons, gold stocks for the most
David Chapman: “Last March gold hit its high just part had never fallen to such lows against the price
over US$1,000. At the same time the TSX Venture of gold. Not even in the days when gold was trading
Exchange was at a level of 2,564, off its highs of 3,372 between US$250-300 back in the late 1990s was the
seen in April 2007 but still respectable. gold/TSX gold index ratio so low.
In July 2008, gold was testing its highs following Gold stocks as a result were as a result a “screaming
a pullback, hitting a high of US$986 on July 15. The buy” at the time having fallen to such low valuations
Venture exchange was at 2,310 and on the verge of in relation to the price of bullion. And it didn’t matter
a collapse. Gold hit a low of US$680 on Oct. 24, 2008 whether they were seniors such as Kinross Mining
while at the same time the Venture exchange was in (TSX: K; $23.73), Goldcorp (TSX: G; $34.06) or
the midst of a cathartic collapse, having fallen to 830. Barrick Gold (TSX: ABX; $44.93) or juniors, which
Gold was off 33 per cent but the Venture exchange dominate the Venture exchange.
was down 68 per cent from its March 2008 highs. At While we have already seen a decent move in a
its low on Dec. 5, the Venture exchange was at 684. number of the senior and intermediate gold stocks,
Quite a collapse. many of the juniors and exploration stocks lag
While the financial markets imploded because considerably behind. We believe that gold remains
of the collapse of the subprime-mortgage market a safe haven for investors and the results from
and collateralized-debt obligations, resulting in 2008, a year where we had one of the worst market
bankruptcies and a credit-crunch, the commodity collapses ever, proved that holding gold as a part of
markets collapsed because of falling economic activity your portfolio was a wise investment.
and reduced demand. As we go into 2009 gold, silver and the precious
All of this in turn put huge pressure on the metals stocks are a potential bright spot for this
financial institutions and the funds that were coming year.
invested in the market. Many, particularly funds, With the U.S. monetary authorities ramping up
were forced to liquidate. The mining and energy the money supply, interest rates at virtually zero plus
sectors were suddenly confronted with mine closures, the financial bailouts, the central bank purchasing
deferred projects, layoffs and even bankruptcies, due all manner of toxic instruments in an attempt to
to an inability to access credit or seeing their credit reliquefy the financial system (quantitative easing
facilities suddenly withdrawn (Oilexco Inc. (TSX: as they call it), it is only a matter of before gold and
OIL; $0.10) was a case in point). silver take off.
The junior exploration market that dominates There is a powerful argument for a “run on gold”
the Venture exchange was hit very hard and forced that should get underway this year. The time lag
liquidations in a thin market saw many of them fall between the mass reliquefiction of the financial system
70 per cent, 80 per cent and more from their highs. and when gold starts to run can be measured in weeks
The majority of this collapse took place from July to and months. But be assured. It will happen.
December 2008. While naturally we like to hold some bullion
One of the biggest shocks for investors was in our accounts and our consistent way we have
watching the TSX gold index collapse 56 per cent recommended for investors is to hold the BMG
from July to October as well. In total the TSX gold Bullion Fund, a mutual fund trust that invests solely
index fell 60 per cent from the March 2008 highs. in gold, silver and platinum. (Note: I am director of
Considering gold only fell by 33 per cent, it was a BMG Management Group Inc., the manager of the
shock to many. We note, however, that silver fell from BMG Bullion Fund).
over US$20 to near US$9 for a 56 per cent drop. Junior Golds
Since then, gold has recoupled 15 per cent, while silver And investors should have some quality gold stocks
is up 19 per cent. The TSX gold index is, however, up 68 such as the three we mentioned above. But more
per cent and the Venture exchange is up 27 per cent. speculative investors may wish now to have a look at
The stickiness of the Venture exchange stocks has the junior gold miners. Later in the cycle speculative
been a major source of frustration for many of the investors will also want to own the junior exploration
speculative traders and investors that dominate that stocks. We note that there is evidence of accumulation
sector. But our gain we note for gold is in U.S. dollars. and insider buying in these stocks.
In many other currencies, gold was up even more. Three junior gold miners we would like to mention
For 2008, gold was up five per cent in U.S. are Semafo Inc. (TSX: SMF; $1.56) a junior in West
dollars, while the S&P 500 was losing 38 per cent. In Africa specifically Guinea, Niger and Burkina Faso.
Canadian dollars, gold was up 31 per cent; the TSX SMF recently reported production of 195,000 ounces
11

in 2008 an 84 per cent increase over 2007. SMF may 2008. Its bull market objective is to rise to its 50-day
be making a multimonth double bottom near 75 cents trendline at 55.00. Most recent high is at 29.93. The
reached in December 2007 and again in October 2008. chart is extremely bullish. Buy the May 32.50 calls.
A breakout over $1.60 would confirm this pattern and Place stop loss at 25.00. Buy.
targets would be at a minimum $2.50. Gold Corp. (NYSE: GG; $31.51) fell to its low at
Lake Shore Gold Corp. (TSX: LSG; $1.32) is a 14.75 in late October 2008. Recovery has not only
miner in Canada in the Timmins area of Ontario but been sharp, but the probability of any break to a new
also with properties in Quebec near Noranda. low is mathematically nil. A rally above 32.50 breaks
LSG recently reported excellent results for its above its 50-day line and gives the stock a shot at its
Thunder Creek property in the Timmins area. LSG 62.00 high. Now roll the April 30.00 calls into the July
is now breaking out over its 40 week moving average 35.00 calls. Raise stop loss to 27.00. Buy.
a positive development. There may be a little more Goldfields Ltd. (NYSE: GFI; $11.63) fell to
work to do to form a bottom but the outlook for LSG its low at 5.00 in October of 2008. Initial rebound
is quite positive. off the low took the stock to the 10.00 level. I said
Our third pick is San Gold Corp. (TSX.V: SGR; here in the January 15 issue that anything higher
$1.31, www.sangoldcorp.com) a junior miner with pushed above a double top and anything above 20.25
major properties in the Rice Lake greenstone belt of records a breakout above its 50-day line will trigger
Manitoba. San Gold has a National Instrument 43- a further rally. Buy the April 12.50 calls. Place stop
101 compliant resource of 1.6 million ounces of gold. loss at 8.00.
SGR has a mill at Rice Lake that has produced in Gold Reserve Inc. (NYSE-Alt: GRZ; $1.05)
the past 1.4 million ounces of gold. SGR has moved The collapse here dropped the stock to 0.25 in late
into production from two mines at its Rice Lake Mill. November of 2008. Anything above 2.15 triggers
SGR has moved up nicely from its October lows and reverse sliding pole to 3.90. No call options are
is currently testing resistance at the 40 week moving available. No stop losses used here. Buy.
average. Look for a bit more work but the outlook for Harmony Gold (NYSE: HMY; $12.30) collapsed to
SGR and its technical position tell us we will move its October 2008 low at 5.30. Has more than doubled
higher. www.sangoldcorp.com. since then. I had targets of 12.90 and 14.30. Anything
It has been a very rough year for the mining stocks higher sees this as a $20 stock. Buy the July 15.00
as their collapse has far outpaced the fall in the price calls. Place stop loss at 9.75.”
of gold itself. But many of them are now presenting ***************
bargain prices. With our outlook reaffirmed in 2009,
we believe many of these stocks are now bargains for
the speculative investor.” INTERINVEST REVIEW & OUTLOOK
Editor’s Note: David Chapman is an investment P.O. Box 51462, Boston, MA 02205.
adviser and a technical analyst with Union Securities. Monthly, 1 year, $125. www.interinvest.com.
Mr. Chapman is a regular contributor to Investor’s
Digest of Canada.
Steadily adding positions to
*************** junior and mid-size gold producers
Dr. Hans Black: “Both gold and silver bullion have
THE GRANVILLE MARKET LETTER, P.O. Drawer been trading with a firm bias during the past month.
413006, Kansas City, MO 64141. 1 year, 46 issues, Global investors seem to be justifiably concerned with
$250. www.GranvilleLetter.com. the degree of money creation characterized by actions
in leading central banks. It should be noted that the
Gold stocks to buy now sheer size of the numbers of stimulus programs and/
Joseph Granville: “Got out of gold at 1002.62 on or guarantee programs is staggering. In the United
March 17, 2008. Went back in at 730.30 on October Kingdom, for example, the total potential size of the
24th. I assigned an objective of 900.00. If it can better bank guarantee program is close to £1 Trillion, or
that level then I think we have a shot at the old March more than six times the per capita size of a similar
17th high. If it can’t make it, then I would have to U.S. program. While we have not abandoned our
dump the golds. view that gold might dip in price once again, it is
Crystallex International Corp. (NYSE-Alt: increasingly less likely. We have, therefore, been
KRY; 0.26) stock crashed to 0.17 in November 2008. steadily adding to our positions in junior and mid-size
Next two objectives are 1.40 and 2.40. Anything gold producing companies, which have so incredibly
higher projects to 3.60. No call options are available. been out of favor. It should be noted that past the
No stop loss is used here. Buy. current short-term updrafts, we may still get some
Couer D’Alene (NYSE: CDE; 0.75) followed the further downside probing later on in 2009. Time will
railroad tracks pattern all the way down to 0.42 in tell and a close watch must be kept on the success or
November 2008. Almost doubled since then. Next two lack thereof of global stimulus packages.
objectives are 3.20 and 4.20. No call options available. Our current positions in Newmont and IAMGOLD
No stop loss used here. Buy. remain attractive and should be accumulated on any
Freeport McMoRan Copper & Gold (NYSE: weakness. In addition, we have been building up out
FCX; $27.92) stock has made a decisive change for interest in Gabriel Resources as well as Orvana, and
the better. Now we have the positive pattern of rising would now also add Intrepid Mines, an Australian
bottoms. Stock saw its low at 17.00 in December of company, to that list.”
12

San Gold 2008 – What A Year!


San Gold 2009 Looks Even Better
High Grade Hinge Zone Discovery Followed by New Deep Mine High Grade Breccia Zone
By focusing its exploration and mine development Manitoba, produced 1.4 million ounces of gold until
efforts on Canada’s prolific Rice Lake Greenstone Belt, it closed in 1968. By the late 1990s, Harmony Mining
San Gold Corporation (OTC: SGRCF; TSX.V: SGR) and others invested $140 million to upgrade and
has successfully transformed itself into a growing reopen the Rice Lake Mine, only to close it again in
gold producer, a pure gold play with a projected profit 2001 as gold prices fell.
margin that will be far higher than average. Meanwhile, San Gold acquired land along the
San Gold, one of Canada’s newest gold producers is Rice Lake Greenstone Belt and discovered the San
producing from its main Rice Lake gold mine and is Gold #1 Mine. In 2004, San Gold purchased the Rice
now driving a ramp from surface into the high grade Lake Gold Mine from Harmony for a virtual pittance
Hinge Zone Mine (discovered in 2008). Additionally, – $7.5 million, a cost discounted by the subsequent
the deep Rice Lake Mine (currently 5,600 feet deep) sale of prior tax losses for $12 million. In essence,
keeps generating happy news. In late 2008, an the company was paid $5 million to take the mine
extremely high grade breccia zone was discovered off Harmony’s hands.
very close to current workings at the bottom of the Subsequently, San Gold invested $80 million along
mine. the Rice Lake Belt to re-open and redevelop the Rice
A resource update is expected in March and Lake mine, re-activate the Rice Lake mill, build the
will incorporate the new gold discoveries. Since nearby San Gold #1 mine, successfully develop a
2004, San Gold tripled its gold resource base to 1.6 million new ounces of gold resources to the end of
million ounces, brought its flagship Rice Lake Gold 2006, and then proceed to discover the high-grade
Mine to commercial production and, by aggressively Hinge zone and new gold zones in deep in the Rice
exploring, continues to discover new high-grade gold Lake mine.
deposits within a mile of its
fully permitted mill.
“We are a rapidly emerging
and, as yet, unrecognized gold
producer – our official gold
resource count has nearly
tripled and, with our recent
high-grade underground
discoveries and spectacular
near surface Hinge zone,
we soon will be adding even
more gold ounces to our asset
base,” says San Gold CEO
Dale Ginn.
Rice Lake Gold
Project Appears to
Host Multiple High-
Grade Gold Mines San Gold’s
The multiple-mine Rice Rice Lake
Lake project lies along a Gold Project...
prolific regional geologic trend
where more than 41 million An important new gold
ounces of gold have been mining complex... the
discovered to date – including Rice Lake mine and
Goldcorp’s Red Lake Mine mill facilities, several
(10+ million ounces of gold). new high grade surface
Gold was first discovered at and underground zones
ready for development,
Rice Lake in 1911, leading
and 35,000+ acres on
to the opening of the Rice Manitoba’s prolific Rice
Lake Mine in 1932. The Lake Gold Belt.
mine, which is located 230
km northeast of Winnipeg in
13

Rice Lake Gold Mine


Believed Similar to Rice Lake Gold Mine
Goldcorp’s Red Lake Mine
The total depth of the Rice
As San Gold continues to discover
Lake Mine is 5,700 feet.
new high-grade gold zones deep
within the Rice Lake Mine, the The mine produces gold
mine’s similarity to Goldcorp’s ore through a two-shaft
famed Red Lake Mine is increasingly system – the A-shaft pen-
confirmed. etrates to 4200 feet below
The Rice Lake Gold Mine extends surface, with a 5000-foot
a mile below surface. Many of the railway crosscut connect-
recently discovered veins grade
ing to the D-shaft which
between one and two ounces of
gold per ton. The mine’s new currently penetrates an
geology model suggests strong additional 1200 feet of
potential for continued high-grade depth. A spiral ramp goes
mineralization at depths below down from the 32nd Level
5,000 feet. Recent exploration at of D-shaft. The Rice Lake
the 5,600 foot level encountered Mine contains measured resources of 320,100 tons at a grade of 0.28 opt gold and
extremely high grade gold values
indicated resources of 644,000 tons at a grade
over significant widths in a massive
breccia zone: for example, 82.7 feet of 0.29 opt for a total measured plus indicated
of 0.50 oz/ton gold including 6.9 resource of 964,100 tons grading 0.29 opt
feet of 1.77 oz/ton and 20.3 feet of gold. Inferred resources total 1,879,500 tons
0.76 oz/ton. The gold appears to grading 0.29 ounces of gold per ton. The zone
be related to higher than normal is open at depth below the lower mine level.
concentrations of sulfide minerals,
further confirming the comparison The Rice Lake Mine is a shrinkage stope type
with the prolific Goldcorp mine to of mine using stopers and jack-legs. The ore
the east.
is drawn out by scoop trams and transported
The mine currently has well over
15 years of mineable gold reserves to surface using the A-shaft hoisting skip and
and, according to a conservative for the deeper portions through the D-shaft
mine plan, will produce 60,000 hoisting skips and transport by rail to the A-shaft.
ounces of gold annually starting
in 2009 at an all-in cost of $360 The mill complex produces gold using gravity concentration systems to produce 50%
an ounce. It is anticipated that of the gold, while flotation and carbon in-leach circuit to produce the other half. The
a new mine plan, incorporating mill can pour dore gold bricks on-site and
recent high grade discoveries, which then are transported to refineries to
will project an annual production
rate of 250,000 ounces by 2012,
at a cost of approximately $290
an ounce.
The Rice Lake 1,250 tpd capacity
uses gravity concentration to
produce half of the gold and flotation
and leach circuits to produce the
remainder. Dore gold bricks are
produced on-site. New crusher
equipment, paid for and onsite,
will expand the mill’s capacity to
1,900 tpd in 2009. Unlike many refine it to LSE grades of gold bars.
other mining companies, San Gold’s
access to unlimited, low-cost power The Rice Lake Project employs some 280
will keep mining costs under control, people. The Company has developed an
even if global fuel and power costs extensive training program in order to
increase. provide operations staff from the local
Looking forward, San Gold
communities. Approximately 60% of
expects its mill processing to
increase from the current 650 the local labor force is from the Métis
tpd to about 1,900 tpd in 2012 to and First Nations communities on the
eventually produce 250,000 ounces Southeastern side of Lake Winnipeg.
per year.
14

Huge Exploration scenarios – multiple producing


Potential Could Lead to mines creating a solid cash flow
to fund continued exploration
Multiple Million-Ounce and property acquisition, a
Gold Mines portfolio of high grade deposits
San Gold owns or controls under development, and virtually
nearly 35,000 acres of prime untapped exploration ground in
exploration ground in southeast a highly prolific gold belt in one
Manitoba’s Rice Lake district. The of the world’s most politically
company’s properties lie in the stable, safe and mining friendly
Uchi-Sub-province on Canada’s jurisdictions.
Lower Superior Shield – an area SAN GOLD CORPORATION The company describes itself as
that hosts four major greenstone OTC: SGRCF • TSX.V: SGR a pure gold play with no hedging
belts with a history of substantial Contact: Dale Ginn, CEO against the price of gold. The
gold production (Rice Lake, Red company raised more than $100
Box 1000, Bissett, Manitoba Canada R0E 0J0
Lake, Musselwhite and Pickle million over the past two years,
Lake gold camps). All of the major Toll Free: 800-321-8564 and closed a $40 million financing
gold occurrences in the Rice Lake Fax: 403-243-9517 in November 2007 and a $20
area occur as quartz veins or E-Mail: info@sangoldcorp.com million financing in October 2008.
quartz vein systems. San Gold’s Web Site: www.sangoldcorp.com San Gold is now fully financed and
land position extends over 20 km is debt free except for a $9 million
Shares Outstanding: 225.3 million debenture that is convertible at
along the Rice Lake mine horizon
where a large zone of alteration 52 Week Trading Range: $1.40 per share. The company is
and several early 20th Century U.S.: Hi: $2.20 • Low: $0.421 armed with some $250 million in
mining shafts lie along the belt. Canada: Hi: C$2.25 • Low: C$0.57 modern assets, a market cap of
Surface exploration drilling in approximately$300 million, more
2008 discovered multiple new gold-bearing zones – the than $30 million cash in hand, a 15-year (and growing)
Hinge zone, just one mile northeast of the Rice Lake Mine mine life, and absolutely zero political risk.
and within view of the San Gold #1 haulage road and San Gold is led by an exceptional management
power line. This new Hinge Zone contains quartz and team. Executive Chairman Hugh Wynne, who has
carbonate gold mineralized veins parallel to each other, over 40 years experience in the mining sector and
dipping to the north. The zone is largely unexplored over 25 years as an explorer on the Rice Lake and
because it was located on a property boundary before Red Lake Gold Belts, was largely responsible for
San Gold assembled its large land package. assembling San Gold’s exploration properties. CEO
“It looks like this may develop into another mine Dale Ginn is a geologist and previously worked at
very rapidly We are getting some very exciting Hudson Bay Mining and Smelting, Goldcorp, Granges
results there – some of the best looking drill core to and Westmin. Most recently he was general manager
come out of the Rice Lake belt so far – the drill core of Harmony Gold (Canada), the previous owner of the
is peppered with visible gold. Drilling to the end of Rice Lake Gold Mine.
2008 yielded spectacular results – extremely high, San Gold, which expects to become profitable
multi-ounce gold grades over thicker mining widths this year, has budgeted $20 million for 2009
than ever before encountered in the Rice Lake area.” exploration and development along the Rice Lake
says Director Richard Boulay. Belt. The company has four drills active on surface
The Hinge Zone ramp decline will reach the Hinge and another three drills active underground.
zone in January 2009 and multi-level access will be The company’s strategy is clear – by aggressively
rapidly developed to mine the high grade ore in the exploring its potentially rich property, growing its
first half of 2009. This decline will allow the Hinge gold reserves and bringing newly discovered deposits
ore to be trucked up to surface. The distance from the into production, the company will be recognized
ramp portal to the Rice Lake mill is approximately as grossly undervalued – resulting in a positive
a quarter mile. market price adjustment. Noted gold stock analyst
Jay Taylor equates the company’s Rice Lake project
Investment Considerations to Goldcorp’s famed Red Lake discovery and rates
San Gold offers investors the best of all gold mining San Gold as a “Top Pick”.

Disclaimer: This material is for distribution only under such circumstances as may be permitted by applicable law. It has no regard to the
specific investment objectives, financial situation or particular needs of any recipient. It is published solely for informational purposes and is
not to be construed as a solicitation or an offer to buy or sell any securities or related financial instruments. References made to third parties
are based on information obtained from sources believed to be reliable but are not ­guaranteed as being accurate. Recipients should not regard
it as a substitute for the exercise of their own judgement. The opinions and recommendations are those of the writers and are not necessary
endorsed by The Bull & Bear Financial Report. Any opinions expressed in this material are subject to change without notice and The Bull and
Bear Financial Report is not under any ­obligation to update or keep current the information contained herein. All information is correct at the
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15

Dr. Mark Skousen’s FORECASTS & STRATEGIES, low, (a possibility I fear), I suspect gold shares may
One Massachusetts Ave., NW, Washington, DC get hit too. I would be more enthused about the share
20001. Monthly, 1 year, $249. if the GDM/Gold ratio was back under 0.8 or 0.7.
How can I be so bullish on the metal, while voicing
www.MarkSkousen.com. concern about the gold miners shares? I believe this
3 natural resource recommendations gold run is both currency related as well as focused
Dr. Mark Skousen: “I believe it is prudent right on the money printing. I can envision and fear an
now to keep 10% of your portfolio in natural resources. international shock, possibly a Russian default or
I have three recommendations. something like that which could smash equity markets,
First, StreetTracks Gold Index (NYSE: GLD) upset forex trading and push gold up even while the
is above $88. Gold is one of the few investments that miners shares getting dragged down by an S&P crash.
held its own during the financial crisis of 2008. I wouldn’t specifically forecast such a sequence, but it
Second, I recommend Freeport McMoRan (FCX: is a realistic risk that worries me a lot.
$22.81), the world’s largest copper-gold company Scanning the major shares, they’ve come back into
(based in Indonesia). Revenues last year were off gear with each other since the crash and rebound. I
8% to $52 billion, and earnings fell 30% to $3 billion, would stick to the stocks that made higher highs in
causing the stock to lose 60% of its value in 2008. But early 2008 vs. their 2006 tops, and avoid political
with the Fed’s easy money policies, I expect to see a risk of South Africa. GG, AEM and KGC or the GDX
recovery in the global economy later this year, which ETF based on the GDM Index, but wait for the broad
will be positive for copper and gold prices. market sell-off induced pullbacks of at least half their
Finally, I recommend Direxion Trends Strategy recent rebounds.
Fund (DXCTX: $32.39), a no-load mutual fund that I believe Silver is starting to acquire some “poor
goes either long or shot in six commodity sectors man’s gold” play, that’s likely to expand/if/as/when
(grains, precious metals, industrial metals, livestock, gold breaks its Mar’’ 08 peak at $1034 (basis Comex
etc). Due to complex geopolitical issues, the fund will Near Active).”
only go long or be neutral in energy stocks, since it ***************
does not do any shorting of the energy sector.
The Direxion Commodity fund uses a simple, THE ADEN FORECAST
seven-month moving average price. So far, its P.O. Box 790260, St. Louis, MO 63179.
technique has worked well, and made money last
year. The minimum investment is only $1,000, if you Monthly, 1 year, $250. Includes weekly updates.
buy DXCTX through any major discount brokerage www.adenforecast.com.
firm, such as Charles Schwab or E-Trade.” Gold could be embarking on
***************
the start of a great bull market rise
DELIBERATIONS on World Markets, P.O. Box Mary Anne & Pamela Aden: “Gold is approaching
its record high area. The ongoing current A rise that
182, Adelaide St. Station, Toronto, ON M5C started last November is the strongest in this bull
2J1. 1 year, 18 issues, $225. Introductory Trial: market and the strongest since 1999. Since this is
4 issues, US$49. an abnormally strong ‘A’ rise in an abnormal world
Gold run is both currency related recession, if gold reaches a new record high above
$1004, gold is most likely embarking on the start of
and focused on the money printing a great bull market rise. The eight year cyclical low
Ian McAvity: “In my Zurich, Switzerland speech on will then have been last November’s low. Gold could
Feb. 9th, I was more bullish on gold and silver than then jump to the $1200 level as its next target. Keep
I’ve been in several years, and I emphasized silver, an eye on $910 as gold’s ‘A’ rise is very strong above
piggy-backing on expected gold price strength. The it. Gold’s indicator is now topping in a high area, and
Gold/Silver ratio has shown a range of 50:1 to 80:1 while it could stay topping a while longer, it’s saying
in recent years, and coming off the low side, it had that gold’s strong rise could end soon. Silver is also
turned up and looked likely to try for 50:1 once again. bouncing up following gold. It quickly rose to its 65
(The ratio is gold divided by silver…at $1200 gold that week moving average but if it closes back above it at
would imply $24 silver, i.e. one ounce of gold could be $14.60, it would be a very bullish sign. Silver is very
acquired for just 50 ounces of silver, for an example.) strong above $12.90. Gold and silver shares are rising
My enthusiasm for gold and silver is not as high and while the XAU index hasn’t been as strong as
for the Gold Miners shares, in part because they lifted gold, it’s still strong above 124, and it has room to rise
their crash lows so far and so fast. Looking at the further. Resource and energy continue to be pressured
Shares to Metal ratios, the Sep/Nov crash sucked all by the weaker global economy. As long as the economy
the oxygen out of them, down to levels not seen since is weak, these will be too. Interesting and a possible
the 2000 bottom. At those levels I’m very bullish on bright sign is the firmness in copper while oil continues
the sector. But they rebounded so quickly, retracting to hold above its December low. If both copper and oil
half or more of their crash, the upside potential runs stay above $1.26 and $33.80, respectively, they will
into the risk of pulling back to test those lows in the continue to bottom. They would begin to look like a
event of a major hit to equity markets in general. rebound rise is at hand once they close above $1.52
If the S&P breaks 10% to 20% below its November and $44, respectively. Keep your positions.”
16

EMERGING GROWTH STOCKS, 102 – 2020 25 kilometers south of the past producing Cluff Lake
Comox St., Vancouver, BC V6G 1R9. 1 year, 8-10 Mine, owned by Areva Resources.
issues, $159. www.EmergingGrowthStocks.ca. Fundamental Resource Corp. (www.researchfrc.
com) has released a report on the company dated
Another way to play the January 21st, valuating the various assets of the
Uranium discovery of the decade company and have come up with a combined
Louis Paquette: “I have been covering Hathor valuation of $1.15 per share. This does not include
Exploration (TSX: HAT; $2.64) for some time now any additional resources added as a result of this
because; a.) Uranium is looking better having moved years extensive drilling program.
far enough down in price and b.) Hathor has made Contact Ryan at 604-683-0911, or toll free at 866-
the most important uranium discovery of the decade, 683-0911 or visit www.terrauranium.com.
with numerous sizeable intersections of well over 1%
uranium so far at their “Midwest NE” discovery in
the Athabasca Basin.
But there is another way to play this and that is
through their smaller partner, Terra Ventures Inc.
Market Outlook
(TSX.V: TAS; $0.50) which holds the 10% carried
interest in the play through to pre-feasibility. I know THE PRIMARY TREND
many readers prefer the explosive leverage of a stock
priced under a dollar vs. a stock priced in multi-
700 North Water St., Milwaukee, WI 53202.
dollars. It also holds some other assets which may not Monthly, 1 year, $80.
be priced into the stock. This may also be a pivotal A Bad Beginning
time to get exposure to this play given the aggressive Barry Arnold: “After the brutal 2008 experienced
drilling program currently underway. by equity investors, January’s bullish first step was
Assets refreshing – and short-lived. The stock market was
1. 10% carried interest in Hathor Exploration’s up by 258 points (as measured by the Dow Jones
Midwest NE Roughrider discovery, Athabasca Industrial Average) on the very first trading day
Basin. As of the closing prices on February 10th of and has been down ever since (although the S&P
$2.51 per share, Hathor currently sports a market 500 Index and Nasdaq Composite both peaked two
cap of $214 Million. At $0.50 per share, TAS has trading days later on January 6th).
a market cap of $26 Million, somewhat more than In fact, by the time the month was over, the DJIA
10% of Hathor’s m/c. This can partly be explained had recorded its worst January in its 113-year history
by the fact that Terra’s interest is “carried’ and that (please see table at right). The –8.84% drubbing in
they don’t need to fork out millions in exploration the Dow in January is the fifth month in a row that
expenses, and partly by Terra’s strong cash positions the stock market is down. The bear market is not only
of roughly $10 Million or $0.20 per share. vicious but relentless.
A new four drill, 22,000 meter drill program got Does a poor start to the year portend further
underway in January. The operator, Hathor, is weakness or a reflex rally? Many market watchers
working its way toward the most prospective, yet cling to the January Barometer (devised by Yale
previously untested “unconformity” zone. Often in the Hirsch in 1972), which states that “as the market goes
Athabasca, this is where the greatest concentration in January, so goes the year.” According to Hirsch’s
of Uranium can be found. Stock Traders Almanac 2009, since 1950, the January
Success here could boost the size of the discovery Barometer (using the S&P 500) has a 74% accuracy
considerably from a currently estimated 30 million rate.
pounds to 100 and send the stocks of both companies Our table, using the DJIA statistics, shows how
through the roof. the stock market performed one month, three months
2. 100% Interest in Lac Kachiwiss & North and one year after the nine worst Januarys in history.
Yellow Cat properties, Quebec. These properties If you were expecting a gangbuster bull rally of +30-
have a historical resource of 11.46 Million pounds 40% after a bruising start, unfortunately you won’t
of Uranium (not 43-101 compliant). The company find the message in these tea leaves. In fact, it’s much
has just completed a drill program as part of the more sobering. In the one-month and three-month
process of bringing this historical resource into 43- short-term statistics, it is hit or miss. Based on the
101 compliant status. I don’t believe the stock price one-year figures, in only three of the nine cases did
reflects the value of this asset. investors actually recoup their January losses and
3. 10% stake in Titan Uranium’s Castle make gains.
project, Athabasca Basin. The property is located Fortunately, the Super Bowl Indicator says 2009
will be an “up” year (since the Pittsburgh Steelers won
and they are an original NFC team). Also, inaugural
SUBSCRIBE TO THE BULL & BEAR FINANCIAL REPORT years where Democrats take or maintain the throne

1-800-336-BULL
have an average gain of +7.31%. And lastly, the
“Decennial Pattern” is bullish, with years ending
in “9” averaging +10.15% over the last 11 decades.
Cheer up!”
17

Gold Producer Aurizon Mines Is Utilizing Cash Resources to AURIZON MINES LTD.
Grow Production Profile; Strong Cash Flow, Exploration Potential NYSE Alternext: AZK • TSX: ARZ
Aurizon is a gold producer with a growth strategy focused on
Contact: David Hall,
developing its existing projects in the Abitibi region of north-
western Quebec, one of the world's most favourable mining President and CEO
jurisdictions and prolific gold and base metal regions, and Suite 3120, 666 Burrard Street
by increasing its asset base through accretive transactions. Vancouver, BC Canada V6C 2X8
Exploration is currently being conducted at Casa Berardi, Toll Free: 888-411-GOLD (4653)
as well as at Aurizon's other gold project, Joanna, and its'
Phone: 604-687-6600
gold/uranium project, Kipawa. Aurizon's combined property
holdings cover in excess of 300 square miles of prospective geology in the Abitibi Fax: 604-687-3932
area of Quebec. Aurizon Mines commenced commercial gold production in second info@aurizon.com
quarter 2007and is expected to produce approximately 150,000 - 155,000 gold www.aurizon.com
ounces in 2009.

Minefinders Producing Gold and Silver at Flagship Dolores Mine MINEFINDERS


Minefinders' flagship Dolores Mine in Chihuahua, Mexico CORPORATION LTD.
commenced production of gold and silver in 2008 and is NYSE Alternext: MFN • TSX: MFL
expected to produce more than 1.7 million ounces of gold and Contact: Mike Wills,
64.4 million ounces of silver from heap-leach operations over Investor Relations
a 15.5 year mine life. There is potential to increase production Ste. 2288, 1177 West Hastings St.
from operations by increasing high-grade recoveries with Vancouver, BC, Canada V6E 2K3
the addition of a mill and by expanding the mine into areas Toll Free: 866-687-6263
of additional mineralization.Minefinders also has a pipeline of advanced and Phone: 604-687-6263
grass-roots exploration properties and the development expertise to bring new
Fax: 604-687-6267
mines into production.The Company is exemplified by strong fiscal management,
minimal shareholder dilution, and responsible disclosure. In its mining operations, mike@minefinders.com
it is dedicated to safety, social responsibility, and environmental stewardship. www.minefinders.com

Minera Andes Doubles Production at San José Project MINERA ANDES INC.
US OTC: MNEAF • TSX: MAI
Minera Andes has successfully made the
transition from exploration to an exploration Contact:
company that also receives income from a Art Johnson, Investor Relations
discovery made by its geologists. Minera 111 E. Magnesium Rd., Ste. “A”,
Andes' co-owned San Jose silver/gold mine Spokane, WA 99208
in southern Argentina is operating at its expected level, producing about 59,000 Phone: 509-921-7322
ounces of gold and three million ounces of silver on an annualized basis. Minera
Andes receives 49 percent of the value of San Jose's production. Work is well Fax: 509-921-7325
underway to double the output of San Jose, tentatively, at the end of 2008. This Canada: (877) 689-7018
means metal production would increase to about 120,000 ounces of gold and info@minandes.com
six million ounces of silver per year. www.minandes.com

Velocity Minerals Advancing Significant Molybdenum VELOCITY MINERALS


Properties In British Columbia LTD.
Velocity Minerals Ltd. is focused on the TSX: VLC
acquisition and development of advanced or Contact:
high-grade molybdenum mineral properties. Kenneth R. Holmes, Chairman
Velocity presently owns the mineral rights to 630 - 666 Burrard Street
two molybdenum projects in northern British
Columbia and is actively pursuing other properties in North America and
Vancouver, BC V6C 2X8 Canada
internationally. The company has a skilled management team with decades of Toll Free: 866-920-0567
experience in both the mining industry and public financial markets and intends Phone: 604-689-7411
to focus the majority of its efforts on the further exploration and development Fax: 604-689-7212
of the company's Mt. Haskin and Cassiar Moly projects. Previous work on Mt info@velocityminerals.com
Haskin has established a significant historic mineral estimate and identified
potential extensions of that mineralization. www.velocityminerals.com
18

Ur-Energy – The Right People, The Right


Projects, The Right Proceeds, Right Now
Ur-Energy Inc. (NYSE drill holes, monitoring wells
Alt US: URG; TSX: URE), a and exploration drill holes. This
uranium mining company with aggressive drilling program
a world class management was to better define the orebody
and development team, has within Mine Unit #1 for wellfield
successfully guided its Lost planning.
Creek project in Wyoming to the The program included in-
brink of production. stallation of 46 monitor wells
“2008 was a significant year and two pump test wells for
for Ur-Energy. Our NYSE the first proposed mine unit.
Alternext, formerly AMEX, The wells will be maintained
listing enables easier access long-term and eventually used
for U.S.-based investors. We for production monitoring. Ten
completed an aggressive drilling additional regional baseline
program at Lost Creek, saw monitoring wells were installed
our initial technical review of at the request of the Wyoming
our application for a source Department of Environmental
material license completed, and Quality. Two water wells were
we have the capital to take us also completed.
through to production in 2010,” U r- E n e r g y a l s o d r i l l e d
says President and CEO Bill 99 exploration boreholes to
Boberg. Ur-Energy’s North American Uranium Projects depths ranging up to 1200 feet,
identifying potential extensions
Lost Creek Project of the main mineral trend to the
Moving Ahead south and a new roll front system around 850 feet
The Lost Creek deposit – 4 miles north of Rio deep – including a drill intercept of 9.5 feet with a
Tinto’s Sweetwater Mill in Wyoming’s Great Divide Prompt Fission Neutron value of 0.137% pU3O8.
Basin – is about three miles long with mineralization The Nuclear Regulatory Commission completed its
occurring in five main sandstone horizons extending initial Technical Review of the Lost Creek Application
to 700 feet deep. The Lost Creek area consists of 969 for a Source Material License in November. Ur-
unpatented mining claims and one Wyoming State Energy is reviewing and assembling responsive
lease for a total of 20,540 acres. information as requested.
Wyoming is the leading producer of uranium
in the U.S., hosting four major uranium mining Production at Lost Soldier Planned Next
districts that together have produced over 200 million Ur-Energy’s Lost Soldier project, located about 14
pounds of uranium from sandstone hosted deposits. miles northeast of Lost Creek, is slated to become the
Wyoming utilizes in-situ recovery methods (ISR) for Company’s second production project. Lost Soldier
extracting uranium from underground ore bodies, already has 4,000 historic drill holes defining 14
leaving overlying rock strata and land surfaces intact. mineralized sandstone units. The property has NI
Groundwater, charged with oxygen and bicarbonate 43-101 compliant, measured resources of 5 million
soda, is injected into the deposit through a series pounds of U3O8 at 0.064%, as well as 7.2 million
of wells and the uranium bearing solution is then pounds of U3O8 at 0.065% indicated, and 1.8 million
pumped to the surface and piped to the plant for pounds of U3O8 at 0.055% inferred.
extraction of the uranium from the solution. The Production of about 1 million pounds of annually
resulting solution, now barren of uranium, is then is anticipated from Lost Soldier about two years
refortified with oxygen and re-injected into the ore after Lost Creek’s startup. Currently, the Ur-Energy
body. The uranium slurry is processed and dried into team is performing detailed geologic and engineering
U3O8 or “yellowcake” and packaged for transport. evaluations of the Lost Soldier project in preparation
This process continues until uranium levels in the for the permitting and licensing applications.
production fluid drop to a point where recovery is no
longer economical. US and Canadian
The Lost Creek deposit contains NI 43-01 Exploration Programs
compliant indicated resources of 9.8 million pounds Early stage exploration drilling of 12 holes for a
of U3O8 at 0.058% and additional inferred resources total of 11,370 feet was completed at the EN project
of 1.1 million pounds of U3O8 at 0.076%. in August and early September. Roll fronts and
In 2008, seven rigs at Lost Creek to drilled 459 mineralization were identified in several horizons
holes for a total of 303,040 feet, including delineation
19

of sandstones. In addition, over the summer, more its ongoing discussions with First Nations groups and
than 746 miles of airborne geophysical surveys Aboriginal-owned business corporations to secure an
were completed in Wyoming. The Company put exploration agreement for the Screech Lake Project
its other U.S. properties, including LC North and in the Thelon Basin, Northwest Territories, which
North Hadsell projects, on hold to further advance would allow the Company to proceed with a re-filing
the development of the Lost Creek Project. In of a drilling proposal.
September, the Company dropped exploration lands
in South Dakota (approximately 72,000 acres) while
Investment
maintaining in excess of 67,000 acres in Wyoming Considerations
and Arizona. An in-house team of geologists continues Despite recent declines in uranium prices, demand
to evaluate the Company’s massive well log and for uranium continues to exceed production. The U.S.
exploration database for generating new exploration alone only produces 8% of the uranium it consumes.
targets. Considering that less than 10 companies supply about
The Bootheel Project, LLC, in which Target 80% of the estimated world’s uranium production,
Exploration & Mining Corp. (“Target”) is earning into and that only eight countries produce almost 60%
a 75% interest over a four-year period, now covers of that uranium, Ur-Energy will play into a rather
a defined area of approximately 10,500 acres. In rarefied company as it joins the ranks of uranium
October, Target confirmed its completion of 93 drill producers. The mining operation, Boberg says, will
holes for a 50,163 foot drilling program. The purpose be relatively low cost and therefore not be affected
of the program was to bring the historic resources by lower uranium prices.
into NI 43-101 compliance. Ur-Energy also sits at a fortuitous confluence
In Canada, Ur-Energy is focused on finding of events – growing demand for uranium in a
“unconformity” uranium deposits, a relatively rare power-starved world, a healthy bank account, and
and extremely high-grade ore deposit. These deposits, an anticipated solid and growing cash flow from
first recognized and discovered in Australia, were production. These conditions present intriguing
later found in Saskatchewan under the Athabasca opportunities for Ur-Energy to acquire new uranium
Basin and in the Thelon Basin in the eastern Arctic. properties from underfunded companies struggling
Ur-Energy holds three exploration properties in the to succeed in a down market.
Thelon Basin and one in Baker Lake Basin. “We won’t go on a buying spree, but if a really
The company’s wholly-owned uranium exploration worthwhile opportunity comes up, we’ll definitely
properties encompass more than 129,000 acres in take a hard look,” says Boberg.
Canada. Land holdings in the Northwest Territories Meanwhile, production planning remains on track.
include the Screech Lake, Gravel Hill and Eyeberry Permitting is nearing completion. The final plant
Properties in the Thelon Basin, as well as the Bugs design is clearing the way for equipment ordering.
Property in Kivallig region, Baker Lake Basin of Boberg says supply contracts should be finalized in
Nunavut. the coming months, the
Several targets were first well field should be
examined and prioritized operating by Q4 2010, and
during the 2008 summer income will begin filling
program at the Bugs Project the company’s coffers. Ur-
located in the Baker Lake Energy is also moving
Basin, Nunavut. Radon forward with “exciting”
sampling techniques, pros- exploration programs on
pecting and rock sampling its multiple properties.
were all utilized. This work, “We have the money to
completed in early August, take us into production,”
led to interpreted areas of says Ur-Energy President
hydrothermal alteration, Ur-energy inc. Bill Boberg. “We have ca-
elevated radioactivity and NYSE Alt US: URG • TSX: URE pable and dedicated people
high radon flux. From late Contact: Bill Boberg, President and CEO with nearly 300 total years
August to mid-September Investor Relations: Dani Wright of direct uranium experi-
2008, a total of 2,905 feet ence in all phases from
10758 W. Centennial Rd., Ste. 200 exploration and develop-
of exploration drilling con-
sisting of six drill holes Littleton, CO 80127 ment to mining. These
was completed. The pro- Toll Free: 866-981-4588 people make up one of the
gram was terminated early Phone: 720-981-4588 • Fax: 720-981-5643 best uranium exploration
due to drilling equipment E-Mail: info@ur-energyusa.com and operational staffs that
problems. Results of the Web Site: www.ur-energy.com exist in the world today.
program are being evalu- Shares Outstanding: 93.2 million And in the very near fu-
ated by the Company’s (as of Sept. 30, 2008) ture, we will be producing
Canadian Exploration of- 52 Week Trading Range: real product from Lost
fice, and drill core assays URG (U.S.): Hi: $1.96 • Low: $0.28 Creek, at the rate of about
are pending. 1 million pounds of ura-
URE (Canada): Hi: C$2.72 • Low: C$0.34
The Company continues nium a year.”
20

INSIIDE TRACK, P.O. Box 2252


SPECIAL CHARTER OFFER Naperville, IL 60567.
Monthly, 1 year, $179. www.insiidetrack.com.
Overview for longer-term investors
Eric Hadik: “Stock indices completed their
projected 35-50% decline in late-2008 but are
expected to see another decline – to new, multi-year
lows – take hold in the second half of 2009.
Interest Rates (opposite of Bond direction) are
likely to consolidate in the coming months but could
– on the whole – see more downside into mid-2009
and potentially into mid-2010.
THE “SUPER DIGEST” of investment advisory newsletters. Gold & Silver – Long-term uptrends in Gold &
For the investor who wants winning market strategies. We scan Silver could resume in the second quarter of 2009.
over 400 investment publications and bring you, each month, Consolidation likely into mid-2009.
the most important and potentially most profitable ideas. Dollar – Long-term trend down and expected to
The Monetary Digest features the top stock picks from enter a new wave lower, later in 2009. This could
the nation’s best performing market timers as tracked by the carry the Dollar lower into MAJOR, long-term cycles
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The Monetary Digest features with the potential of a new rally exceeding the Nov.
2008 peak.
• Stocks • Bonds • Tax Strategies Crude Oil – Long-term trend up in midst of
• Mutual Funds • Real Estate • Rare Coins major correction (.786 retracement). Energy markets
• Money Makers • Options • Global Stock Markets fulfilled projected drop from July 2008 cycle high
• Precious Metals • Commodities • Financial Planning to Jan. 2009 cycle low and could see a bottom take
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A full one year subscription to The Monetary Digest costs $88. ­Charter
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This special offer is risk-free. You must be ­completely
THE DINES LETTER
P.O. Box 22, Belvedere, CA 94920.
1 year, 14 issues, $295. www.DinesLetter.com.
satisfied or receive a full refund after the first three TDL’s Seasonalities: March
­issues or a pro-rated refund at any time during your James Dines: “Februarys are somewhat bullish
subscription. No questions asked. for the DJI, averaging a 0.10% rise in the last 59

1-800-336-BULL
years, but somewhat bearish for the S&P 500 with an
0.11% decline for the same period. It usually follows
whatever the Major trend has been, currently down
To take advantage of our special charter rate call 1-800-336- per the DJI of our 2009 Annual Forecast Issue, but
BULL. Visa or Mastercard accepted. Or send payment to: holding above the November 08 low.
The case for bears has been confirmed by a down
January, per its “barometer.” As noted in our 2009
The Monetary Digest VOL 11-04 Forecast Issue, the 05 Dec 08 low has already been
P.O. Box 917179, Longwood, FL 32791 broken, a negative omen for the year. With the
One Year (12 issues) $44 - Save $44 Steeler’s victory, the Super Bowl Indicator remains
as the only bullish Seasonality, something that’s not
Two Years (24 issues) $75 - Save $101 taken too seriously.
Check Enclosed Charge my: Visa Mastercard March stocks are usually either neutral or modestly
higher, which frequently evolves into a market TOP
Credit Card # ___________________________________ either in April or May. In our Research Department’s
Expiration Date __________ Phone ________________ count of the 59 years since 1950, the Dow-Jones
Industrial Average (DJI) in the month of March rose
Signature _____________________________________ 37 times and decline 22 times. There have been fewer
Outside North America add $20 per year (remit in U.S. dollars from a U.S. bank) declines in recent years. These stats are comparable
Name __________________________________________ with the S&P 500 which, since 1950, ranks March as
the fifth best-performing month. March, however, gets
Address ________________________________________ even better for the S&P 500: taking the last fifteen
City / State / Zip ________________________________
odd-numbered years, there were 11 risers and only
4 downers, up almost 3 out of 4, favorable for 2009.
Email ___________________________________________ The count for even-numbered years was 9 up and 7
Continued on next page
21

Rebuilding A Portfolio Will Take Time, Effort


Continued from page 1 will need balance and diversification.”
If you’re mentally and emotionally up for stock
value styles in order to reduce risk. “The price- investing, Larson sees potential in health-care stocks,
earnings ratios of stocks are more in line, expectations especially if the market downturn is prolonged and
are low and valuations are low.” favors reliable industries. Johnson & Johnson
More than ever, you need a budget you can follow (JNJ) and Novartis AG (NVS) are solid companies
and a regular plan to put your money to work. with good balance sheets, cash flow, industry
“Handling this market is akin to trying to lose positioning and discounted stocks, he said.
weight, because to lose a pound you must burn Consumer staple stocks should also hold up
more calories than you take in,” said Paul Larson, relatively well versus the rest of the market, Larson
editor of the Morningstar StockInvestor newsletter predicts, with Coca-Cola Co. (KO), PepsiCo Inc.
in Chicago. “Similarly, you must save more money (PEP) and Diageo PLC (DEO) his favorites.
than you spend.” “If any investor has a low tolerance for risk, the
A bigger blunder than avoiding investments financial space – primarily bank stocks – is still an
is panicking and dumping everything you own. area with enormous risk but also the most potential
Although money-market funds and bank certificates going forward,” Larson said. “If I was placing money
of deposit provide a safe underpinning for your on a stock I thought would triple in the next year
portfolio, their low returns mean you’ll eventually it would be a bank stock, but if I was choosing one
need the longer-term inflation hedge that stocks that could potentially fall to zero, it would also be a
historically have provided. bank stock.”
“Resist the urge to sell everything that dropped in Jack Bowers, editor of the independent Fidelity
value, for this market isn’t going to persist forever,” Monitor newsletter (www.fidelitymonitor.com) in
Larson said. “Yet if you do have too much in equities, Rocklin, Calif., advises conservative investors to
this would be a good time to lighten up, because you move into high-yield corporate bond funds now so
“you get paid while you wait” for the market to revive.
Continued from previous page Revival of stocks may take a while, but he does see
improvement.
down. April Tops were reached in 1966, 1971, 1981, “We’ve seen a sense of relief when companies
and 1987. May Tops were reached in 1965, 1969, 1972, announce earnings only down by one-third from last
1982, 1992, 2001, 2006, and 2008. year, since that’s not so bad in this environment,”
Nasdaq has a below-average rank in March, Bowers said. “It also suggests that market valuations
fourth from the bottom since 1971, with 24 ups and are getting in line with reality.”
14 downs. So much has to be decided in Washington and on
TDL research additionally concluded that March Wall Street, progress will be gradual, experts said.
is a pivotal month, often moving in the opposite Bowers expects a three- to five-year recovery period
direction from that of February, or just leveling off for stocks without significant progress for another
in preparation for a decline starting around April or year. The “fear factor” has caused all bank stocks
May. March 1997, 2002, 2004, and 2005 exemplified to get clobbered, and he would avoid the stocks of
this when the DJI plunged after an up February. autos and big banks, though he sees deals in smaller
March 2005 was particularly significant as it included banks.
the Dow’s peak at 10,984.50 on 7 March 05, after He concurs with Larson’s confidence in a comeback
which it plunged and then flattened for the next 7 by consumers.
months. February and March 2006 were both up but “The place to play right now is probably consumer
started leveling off on 20 March 06 before bottoming stocks because they’ll benefit from the stimulus
on April 4, 2006 and June 15, 2006. March 2000, package and were the first ones to languish a long
2003 and 2007, and 2008, also followed our “rule,” time ago when housing prices started going down,”
having risen after a down February. Our 14 March Bowers said. “Consumer stocks aren’t dropping as
08 “Buy” capitalized on this Seasonality, seizing the much on the down days, and they’re rising more on
last rally’s rise of up 1,282 points through 19 May 08 the up days.”
before the Dow’s waterfall decline. The rule did not So move ahead. Don’t look back.
work in 2001, with both February and March lower, Editor’s Note: Andrew Leckey’s column,
confirming that no Technical Indicator is perfect. “Successful Investing,” appears regularly in The Bull
The Dines Gold Stock Average (DIGSA) rose 21 & Bear Financial Report, both in print and online.
times out of the last 41 months of March, and declined
19 times (neutral once), for a marginally bullish ratio
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