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Zucker RA, Gomberg ESL. Etiology of alcoholism reconsidered: the case for
a biopsychosocial process. Am Psychol 41: 783-793
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ABSTRACT.. The etiology of alcoholism is best understood In the past decade, several etiologically focused lon-
within the context of a longitudinal-developmental gitudinal studies have been carried out with a broad
framework that includes physiological behavioral and enough data set and a multivariate analytic strategy that
This article is intended solely for the personal use of the individual user and is not to be disseminated broadly.
sociocultural variables. The recently reported Vaillant fol- begins to allow for the partitioning of variance contri-
This document is copyrighted by the American Psychological Association or one of its allied publishers.
low-up study, although ostensibly set within such a frame- butions. However, all of those that have moved far enough
work, in fact understates the role of personality influences along to warrant publication have been concerned with
and dismisses childhood effects out of hand. We review the early stages of drinking and problem drinking ac-
these data and offer a different set of conclusions about quisition (Huba & Bentler, 1984; Jessor & Jessor, 1977;
the roles of childhood influences, personality, and cultural Kandel & Logan, 1984), or have dealt with a group of
factors in the etiologic process. An alternative integrative subjects who have had largely normal or at worst episod-
review of the existing longitudinal literature is presented ically disturbed drinking patterns (Fillmore, 1975; Fill-
that sets these findings in the context of a biopsychosocial more, Bacon, & Hyman, 1979). None have dealt with
process. frankly alcoholic respondents, and none have been suf-
ficiently comprehensive to allow for the evaluation of the
extent of effect contributed by biological (including ge-
Alcoholism is a profoundly damaging disorder whose im- netic), psychological, social, and cultural factors. It is,
pact spreads far beyond the one who suffers from it. The therefore, a significant event for the field when a data set
problem of understanding its causes is also an especially is presented that promises to address the etiological ques-
interesting one. Recent evidence suggests that the char- tion of how alcoholism evolves, with a prospective method
acteristics that lead an individual to begin drinking may and a sufficiently broad array of variables such that the
only be tied loosely to influences on later stage drinking potential biopsychosocial nature of the disorder can be
and problem drinking phenomena. The factors connected examined. This is the importance of a recent report by
with beginning a pattern of problem use are not neces- Vaillant and Milofsky (1982).
sarily the same as those pharmacological and behavioral Since its publication, this study has received sub-
characteristics that contribute to the maintenance of the stantial attention in the literature. Given the significant
alcohol use pattern or to the later build-up of a habitual disagreement we have with the authors' interpretation of
problem involving alcohol abuse or dependency. Given their own data as well as their interpretation of earlier
this state of affairs, it is also likely that different orderings longitudinal work in the area, we felt that an alternative
of the importance of etiologic factors will be needed to interpretation of their findings and of the earlier studies
adequately describe cause and effect at different stages in was in order. In the present article, we examine very
the process. Thus, Korsakoff's syndrome, one end-state closely the details of Vaillant and Milofsky's study with
phenomenon of chronic alcohol abuse, is a pathology best particular attention to the role of personality and of
described in neuropathological terms; the direction of ef- childhood influences on alcoholic behavior, reach a dif-
fect is best understood as going from brain dysfunction ferent set of conclusions, and find significant support for
to behavior (Wilkinson & Carlen, 1981). In contrast, the an alternative position based on our own integrative re-
onset of alcohol use is best understood as a phenomenon view of the prospective literature on alcoholic etiology
predicted by individual difference variables and social in- that substantially differs from Vaillant and Milofsky's ac-
fluences (Jessor & Jessor, 1975; Margulies, Kessler, & count.
Kandel, 1977). The theoretical models and data language Vaillant's Follow-up Study
used to describe these multiple phenomena of onset,
maintenance, and dependency involve radically different Using a sample of inner-city youth originally studied by
levels of explanation and different orderings of physio- Glueck and Glueck (1950, 1968), Vaillant and his co-
logical, behavioral, and socioenvironmental variables at workers relocated these subjects and performed another
different points in the life cycle. It is not surprising, there- follow-up when the sample subjects were 47 years of age.
fore, that such a complex multidisciplinary problem has To the Gluecks' original variable set the authors added a
in earlier times generated simplistic and reductionistic number of measures that allowed examination of poten-
explanations in an effort to describe its process. tial influences from heredity, ethnicity, psychological in-
of passive-dependent traits (Vaillant, 1980), of elevations on the relationship between childhood (or adolescent) behavior
This document is copyrighted by the American Psychological Association or one of its allied publishers.
problems (Gomberg, 1982; Jessor & Jessor, 1977; Zucker equation earlier, would show a greater contribution of
& Fillmore, 1968). psychosocial factors.
There are several possible explanations for this dis- A parallel analysis in VaiUant's 1983 volume (Table
missal. For one, there is a failure to realize that, although 2.16, p. 88) confirms this. Using one of the alternate ver-
older notions of alcoholism as relating to "oral depen- sions of alcohol-related problems (the Problem Drinking
dency" have not survived hypothesis testing, other per- Scale) as the dependent variable, "Absence of Mediter-
sonality variables have consistently been demonstrated ranean Ethnicity" is entered first into the regression
to have etiological significance. A second explanation is equation and explains 8.1% of the variance. This is in
that the term personality disorder is confused and equated contrast to the 3.5% of variance accounted for in the 1982
with the term personality variable. The former refers to report (Table 7, p. 500) when this measure is entered late
specific psychiatric nosological categories. The latter refers (fifth or sixth) into the equation. In other words, the vari-
to individual differences in psychological characteristics ance attributable to ethnicity is more than doubled by
that reflect consistencies and coherencies in a person's this alternate entry procedure. The authors stated that
behavior over time and across situations. There is strong
and consistent evidence that some personality variables--- as an independent cheek on the conclusions of Table 7, the
including antisocial behavior--are premorbidly present contributions of the six variables to alcohol abuse as defined by
the DSM-III, by the PDS, and by the Cahalan scale were sep-
in persons who later become alcoholic. A third expla- arately examined. The multiple regression results did not differ
nation is that there is a bias against psychosocial variables appreciably from those in Table 7 either in percentage of ex-
as etiologic factors. plained variance or in beta weights. (Vaillant & Milofsky, 1982,
The summary regression analysis of potential etio- p. 501)
logical variables (Vaillant & Miiofiky, Table 7, p. 500)
underestimates the contribution of cultural and personality Given the more than twofold increase in explained vari-
factors to the variance explaining alcohol-related prob- ance and in order of importance of the cultural influence
lems. This analysis also potentially underemphasizes the variable, this statement is not substantiated. 2
role of early environmental characteristics as etiologic Last, other analyses reported in Vaillant and Mi-
factors. lofsky's article and in Vaillant's 1983 report also indicate
When no previously specified order is given, multiple that order of entry of variables into the predictive equation
regression programs will typically enter first into the radically changes the conclusions about priority of etio-
analysis the variable with the largest individual correlation logic factors. Thus, when a composite of early environ-
to the criterion. Judging by the data presented in Vaillant mental factors--including father's alcoholism, marital
and Milofsky's Table 3 (p. 498), in two out of three in- conflict, lax maternal supervision, many moves, no at-
stances relating to the prediction of alcoholism this would tachment to father, and no family cohesiveness---is used
have involved selecting the ethnicity variable to be entered to predict subsequent alcohol abuse and is entered first
first into the regression equation. Yet in the analysis re- into the predictive equation, it explains 7% of the variance;
ported in their article, this variable was one of the last when entered last, it explains only 1% (see Vaillant &
two entered into the regression, thus minimizing its vari- Milofsky, 1982, p. 501). In short, these data are as sup-
ance contribution. Similarly, the marker variable used to portive of the contribution of culture, personality, and
assess antisocial behavior--the truancy/school behavior
problems measure--on a univariate basis shows itself in
Table 3 to be one of the most potent (even when atten- 2A requestwasmadefor a copyofthe completecorrelationmatrix
uated) individual predictors of alcoholism; this measure of Table 3 variables,alongwith the AlcoholRelatedProblemsmeasure
of Table 7, if possible. It was our intent to rerun the regression,exper-
also was entered into the regression following the other imentingwith a numberof other orders of entry of the variables.As of
four variables. In short, the estimates of amount of vari- the time of acceptanceof this manuscript, this request had not been
ance contributed by these cultural and personality vari- fulfilled.
in fact, coded from retrospective interview data from the Childhood antisocial behavior is consistently related
This document is copyrighted by the American Psychological Association or one of its allied publishers.
teenagers, their parents (some of whom were themselves to later alcoholic outcome. All five of the studies (1-5)
alcoholic and possibly subject to distortion in their mem- that coded for this variable found greater amounts of an-
ory of earlier events because of their current distress), tisocial and aggressive activity among those who later be-
and from collateral source material collected at this time came alcoholics. The behaviors reported include more
(i.e., when the subject's were between ages 12 and 16) aggressive and sadistic behavior (1, 4), more antisocial
from teachers, social agency reports, and some field work activity (1, 2, 3, 5), and more rebelliousness (4). What is
investigation) Careful inspection of the Gluecks' de- especially significant about this attribute is that it is be-
scription of their information-gathering procedures leads ginning to show up in high-risk samples that were tracked
to the conclusion that the Vaillant study data base is most when considerably younger (e.g., kindergarten age; Kel-
accurate in reflecting respondents' functioning during lain, Simon, & Ensminger, 1981; Rydelius, 1981). The
adolescence and is subject to varying degrees of distortion evidence for the importance of this factor is 'thus increas-
for periods earlier than that. This is especially true of the ingly compelling.
data collected via parental interview (see Livson & Peskin, More childhood difficulty in achievement-related ac-
1980; Robbins, 1963; Yarrow, Campbell, & Burton, tivity is consistently found in later-to-be alcoholics (2, 4,
1970). What are reported to be prospective measures of 5, 6). These failures include poorer school performance
ostensible childhood variables are best interpreted as ret- (5), less productivity in high school (4), completion of
rospective, recollective data that cannot answer questions fewer years of schooling (5, 6), and more school truancy
relating to the influence of childhood factors on adult (2). These findings also are appearing in recent studies
behavior. of not-yet-alcoholic but high-risk populations (Hegedus,
Alterman, & Tartar, 1984; Knopf, Teasdale, Schulsinger,
An Alternative Etiological Perspective & Goodwin, 1985). It would be premature to attribute
all of these difficulties to lack of achievement strivings in
Convergences in Prior Work the prealcoholic group. Learning factors, including pos-
Even though much is left unsettled about etiology on the sible neurological deficits, have also been posited as likely
basis of Vaillant and Milofsky's data analyses, careful underlying mechanisms for the behavioral differences. But
scrutiny of the existing longitudinal studies shows a sub- whatever the underlying mechanisms, the evidence is in-
stantial amount of convergence that has been overlooked creasingly mounting that such achievement-related dif-
in their literature review. Before considering these findings ficulties are more likely to appear as a risk factor.
in detail, one point needs to be stressed; neither the follow- A greater activity level is identified as a possible eti-
up data obtained from the Gluecks" study nor most of
the other longitudinal studies are adequately designed to
test the question of a possible heritable basis for alcoholic 3In fact,the one completecasehistoryprotocolavailable(reported
etiology. Family studies that document a greater loading in Glueck & Glueck, 1968) describesan interviewdone with the 16-
of alcoholic relatives among alcoholic patients now num- year-oldrespondent'smother, with no notes taken during the interview
ber well over 50 (Cotton, 1979; Goodwin, 1984). Such (exceptfor recordingthe boy'shealthhistory).Earlierschoolinformation
data, asidefroman interviewwiththe subject'smostrecentteacher,was
evidence is suggestive rather than definitive for a genetic obtainedby a questionnairesent to the superintendentof schoolsin the
hypothesis; it remained for a series of adoption studies of boy's town.Thus, there are otherdistortionsas wellthat mayalso have
the last decade to establish that such a genetic basis exists, intruded on this data base.
(Cadoret, Cain, & Grove, 1980; Goodwin, Schulsinger, 4Studiesthat began in the collegeyears(i.e., postchildhood,such
as Fillmoreet al., 1979;Kammeieret al.,1973;VaiUant,1980)havebeen
Hermansen, Guze, & Winokur, 1973; Goodwin et al., omitted.Alsonot includedare prospectivestudiesthat wouldmeetthese
1974). We emphasize this point because our earlier cri- criteria but are not yet far enoughalong for the respondentsto have
tique might be misconstrued as partisan to a socioenvi- becomealcoholic(e.g.,Kcllamet al., 1983;Pandina,Labouvie,& White,
ronmental theory of alcoholic etiology, simply because 1984; Rydelius,1981;Zucker,Baxter,Noll, Theado, & Weft, 1982).
1. McCord & McCord Predalinquent 9 20+ years Public records Predellnquents from
(1960, 1962) males, identified (hospital, same study with no
for a youth welfare, court) public record of
project alcohol problems
preventive
program; blue
collar
This article is intended solely for the personal use of the individual user and is not to be disseminated broadly.
2. Robins, Bates, & Males and females, Mdn = 13 30 years Personal interview (e) Other clinic patients
This document is copyrighted by the American Psychological Association or one of its allied publishers.
ological factor in two studies. One study (1) reported but nonlongitudinal investigations (Cantwell, 1972; Mor-
more hyperactivity and another (4) reported a greater risen & Stewart, 1973; Rimmer, 1982; Tarter, Hegedus,
likelihood of rapid tempo in children who later become Goldstein, Shelly, & Alterman, 1984).
alcoholic. These prospective associations parallel the Insofar as activity has sometimes been identified as
findings of greater activity level found in other high-risk a biologically based temperamental difference, it is rele-
(l). The interpersonal deficits one might infer from such precise nature of maternal versus paternal effects cannot
This document is copyrighted by the American Psychological Association or one of its allied publishers.
data cannot be separated from the more generalized ef- be established. These studies were done at a time when
fects of antisocial character and parent-child conflict. investigators were not as sensitized as they are now to the
Clearly, some relationship among these three aspects of possibilities of differential effects of mothers' versus fa-
behavior would be expected, but the degree of indepen- thers' parenting and so did not obtain parallel data from
dence of the variables and the extent of their separate both parents. It is not currently possible to sort out the
etiologic contribution remains to be tested. precise nature of each parent's contribution to this pro-
Heightened marital conflict is reported with consis- cess, although the bulk of the existing data, at least with
tently greater frequency in the prealcoholic homes (1, 2, later-to-be male alcoholics, indicates that mothers are
4, 5). The mechanism by which the conflict contributes more often characterized by their lack of restrictiveness
to later childhood alcoholism still requires elaboration. and lack of contact, and fathers are notable for their role
Two of the most plausible explanations for this relation- deviancy (l, 4). Again we offer the caution that this is the
ship are that (a) parental conflict leads to the child's picture reported in later childhood and adolescence; we
greater estrangement from the family, which moves the know little about what happens earlier.
child more quickly into the heavier drinking peer culture, Three studies report data on ethnic differences (I,
or alternately, (b) conflict leads to other sequelae (e.g., 2, 5). All replicate earlier cross-sectional work that links
antisocial behavior) that in turn become the direct path- cultural differences to alcoholic consumption patterns.
way to alcoholism. As confirmed again by Vaillant and Milofsky's follow-up
Interestingly, one factor associated with adult alco- study, alcoholics are more likely to come from Irish than
holism can also be accounted for by this finding. On the from Italian ethnic backgrounds. This result, of course,
basis of modeling principles, we can propose a linkage is another instance of a substantial and enduring finding
between the childhood experience of observing parental from the alcohol literature that relates ethnicity to pat-
conflict and the consistently high divorce rates found terns of alcohol use and abuse. Data reported about the
among alcoholic individuals. Parental conflict in child- Chinese, the Italians, the Jews, and the Irish (Bales, 1962;
hood exposes the child to a greater repertoire of conflict- Barnett, 1955; Lolli, Serianni, Golder, & Luzzatto-Fegia,
maintaining responses that are activated in adulthood. 1958; Snyder, 1962) have been generally accepted, and
Of course, another explanation has traditionally been used more current information about linkages between na-
to account for marital difficultyin alcoholic families; that tionality and cultural differences and differences in pat-
is, current marital discord results from excessive drinking. terns of drinking is also available (Everett, Waddell, &
The longitudinal studies raise the possibility that this out- Heath, 1976; Marshall, 1979). Although knowledge of
come is overdetermined by both earlier and current ex- ethnicity may be useful in developing a predictive etiologic
perience. equation, it is essential to remember that ethnic differ-
Parent-child interaction in prealcoholic families is ences relate not only to norms about child and adult al-
characterized by inadequate parenting and the child's lack cohol use and intoxication, but they also mark a wide
of contact with the parent(s) (1-6). These interactions range of individual and interpersonal differences in ed-
are variously described in the studies as involving inad- ucational and occupational aspiration, cohesiveness of
equate or lax supervision, the absence of parental de- kinship networks, and 'cultural values about sexuality,
mands, parental disinterest, or lack of affection for the marriage, and other elements of socialized behavior
child; however, the most overarching characterization is (Greeley & McCready, 1975; McGoldrick, Pearce, &
one of inadequate contact. Other ingredients relating to Giordano, 1982; Sowell, 1981). These latter character-
poor disciplinary practices may eventually be implicated, istics also have been linked to patterns of temperate and
but they are not clearly substantiated by these data. intemperate alcohol use. Additional work is needed to
Parents Ofprealcoholics are also more often inade- disentangle the precise sources of contribution to alco-
quate role models for later normalcy (1, 2, 4, 5, 6). They holism that are lumped under the ethnic umbrella.
standing the work done so far is incomplete. adulthood may play an equally important and parallel
This document is copyrighted by the American Psychological Association or one of its allied publishers.
Causal pathways rather than simple time-lagged as- role (Cahalan & Room, 1974; Gomberg, 1981; Moos,
sociations, need to be established for all the characteristics Finney, & Gamble, 1982; Zucker, 1979). These factors
so far identified by way of longitudinal studies. To some have largely been ignored in psychiatrically conceived re-
exteht this has been a problem with the designs, because cent work (Knopf, Goodwin, Teasdale, Mikkelsen, &
the large majority only cover two time points and offer Schulsinger, 1984; Schuckit, 1984). Given the exception-
no path an~ytic tests of competing pathways of influence. ally large amounts of variance that peer influence has
The one study that assessed at least three time points contributed in the studies that have measured it, its in-
(Vaillant & Milofsky, 1982), and thus offered the potential fluence in triggering and maintaining abusive drinking
for tracing genuine order of precedence and the estab- patterns needs to be more thoroughly investigated.
lishment of direction of effect, did not make use of the A decade ago when the first modern adoption study
advantages of the repeated measures design in the analysis. data on the heritability of alcoholism were reported, much
Such fine-grained design and analysis is essential to es- of the controversy centered around that old but futile
tablish the true antecedents and consequent sequelae of question, Is alcoholism inherited? (Goodwin, Schulsinger,
alcohol abuse. The statistical technology for this is already Hermansen, Guze, & Winokur, 1973; Goodwin, Schul-
available (Bentler, 1980). singer, Moiler, Hermansen, Winokur, & Guze, 1974;
Related to the above point, any theorizing about the Goodwin, Schulsinger, Knop, Mednick, & Guze, 1977;
etiology of psychopathology in general, and about the Toler & Tamerin, 1973). The framework of such a ques-
causes of alcoholism in particular, needs to take account tion, particularly in the context of the measures and sta-
of symptom formation as a developmental process that tistical analyses used~ required this simple either-or an-
may be differently influenced at different developmental swer. More recent work, utilizing more sophisticated an-
epochs. Studies of young people's drinking (e.g., Margui- alytic strategies, a larger sample, and a more varied
lies, Kessler, & Kandel, 1977) and of transitions from environmental data base, has pursued the problem dif-
nonproblem drinking to problem-drinking status at older ferently andhas established at least two types of suscep-
ages (e.g., Cahalan, !970) underscore the point that dif- tibility to alcohol abuse involving differing levels of her-
ferent influences (such as parent inputs) play a role at itability, differing modes of transmission (patrilineal vs.
different developmental stages, and that the entry into or inherited from both parents), and differing environmental
out of problem-drinking status, at any point in the life presses (sometimes associated with lower as compared to
cycle, needs to be understood not only as a move toward relatively higher socioeconomic status) in both men and
or away from alcoholism but also as a response to influ- women (Bohman, Sigvardsson, & Cloninger, 1981; Clon-
ences that are developmentally relevant at that life stage inger, Bohman, & Sigvardsson, 1981). Premorbid parental
(Fillmore, Bacon, & Hyman, 1979; Gomberg & Lisansky, criminality is also implicated in the process. These more
1984; Kissin & Begleiter, 1983; Yamaguchi & Kandel, recent studies mark an advance in understanding the
1984). contributions of nature and nurture. Concern is with
The other side of this coin needs to be underscored mapping the pathways of the diatheses, establishing their
as well. Despite significant evidence for developmental particular impact in environmental milieus that facilitate
discontinuities, another body of data suggests that there or inhibit the appearance of the alcoholic disorders, and
are substantial continuities over fairly large segments of understanding the physiological and psychological path-
the life course, and what is most relevant to the present ways and mechanisms of special susceptibility (McClearn
discussion, that these continuities can at the least be es- & Erwin, 1982; Tarter, Alterman, & Edwards, 1985). This
tablished between early childhood and late adolescence. is more straightforwardly a quantitative genetic perspec-
These continuities are of two kinds, the first between early tive that is cognizant of the manifold environmental in-
conduct problems and later heightened substance use fluences (e.g., cultural variations) that are involved in
(Kellam, Simon, & Ensminger, 1983; Rydelius, 1981), learning about drinking and in socializing nonalcohol-
scriptive base that classified individuals primarily on the American Psychiatric Association (1980). Diagnostic and statistical
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