Sie sind auf Seite 1von 7

Downloaded from http://pmj.bmj.com/ on September 23, 2017 - Published by group.bmj.

com

Original article

Short-term mortality of adult inpatients with


community-acquired pneumonia: external validation
of a modified CURB-65 score
Marc Andre Pflug,1 Timothy Tiutan,2 Thomas Wesemann,3 Harald Nüllmann,3
Hans Jürgen Heppner,4 Ludger Pientka,3 Ulrich Thiem3,5

For numbered affiliations see ABSTRACT Germany, annual mortality rates due to pneumonia
end of article. Objective The management of community-acquired and influenza reach 3.0%.1 2 This shows the urgent
Correspondence to pneumonia (CAP) continues to be a challenge, especially need for proper management of pneumonia, which
Dr Ulrich Thiem, Department of in older people. To enable better risk stratification, a would play an important part in providing
Geriatrics, Marienhospital variation of the severity scores CRB-65 and CURB-65, adequate healthcare and reducing overall morbidity
Herne, University of Bochum, called CURB-age, has been suggested. We compared the and mortality, especially in older populations.
Widumer Str 8, Herne D-
association between risk groups as defined by the scores Pneumonia and influenza also have a major eco-
44627, Germany;
ulrich.thiem@rub.de and 30-day mortality for a cohort of mainly older nomic impact. In 2005, their direct cost amounted
inpatients with CAP. to US$34.2 billion and indirect cost accounted for
Received 2 June 2014 Methods We retrospectively analysed data from the US$6 billion in the USA, which have both probably
Revised 6 January 2015 CAP database from the years 2005 to 2009 of a single increased over the last decade.3
Accepted 8 January 2015
Published Online First centre in Herne, Germany. Patient characteristics, criteria Previous studies have shown that physicians who
24 January 2015 values within the severity scores CURB-65, CRB-65 and use a risk-stratified care management approach
CURB-age, and 30-day mortality were assessed. We along with their clinical expertise are likely to
compared the association between score points and improve clinical decision-making when encounter-
score-defined risk groups and mortality. Sensitivity and ing patients with community acquired pneumonia
specificity with corresponding 95% CIs were calculated, (CAP). Risk stratification can be used to determine
and receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve analysis the need for hospital and intensive care unit admis-
was performed. sion as well as to evaluate the use of antibiotic
Results Data from 559 patients were analysed (mean therapy schemes. The Pneumonia Severity Index
age 74.1 years, 55.3% male). Mortality at day 30 was (PSI), developed in the USA, has been shown to
10.9%. CURB-age included more patients in the low-risk provide good guidance for decision-making in the
category than CRB-65 (195 vs 89), and the patient clinical management of CAP.4 However, it is difficult
group had a lower mortality (2.6% vs 3.4%). When to use in daily clinical practice because of its exten-
compared with CURB-65, CURB-age included slightly sive list of 20 criteria. A recent study by Serisier
fewer patients (195 vs 214) with lower mortality (2.6% et al5 found that many Australian physicians, despite
vs 4.2%). CURB-age sorted the most patients who died recommendations to do so, do not use the PSI, nor
within 30 days into the high-risk CAP group (CURB-age, do they apply it correctly when choosing to use it. A
32; CURB-65, 28; CRB-65, 9), which had the highest simpler score was developed by Lim et al,6 who
mortality (CURB-age, 26.4%; CURB-65, 19.4%; CRB- altered the modified British Thoracic Society rule
65, 21.4%). Advantages of CURB-age categories were and established the five-point CURB-65 score
depicted through ROC curve analysis (area under the (Confusion; Urea >7 mmol/L; Respiratory rate ≥30/
curve 0.73 (95% CI 0.67 to 0.79) for CURB-age min; low systolic (<90 mm Hg) or diastolic
categories, 0.67 (95% CI 0.60 to 0.74) for CURB-65 (≤60 mm Hg) Blood pressure; age ≥65 years) for
categories, and 0.59 (95% CI 0.52 to 0.66) for CRB-65 use in daily clinical routine. An even simpler
categories). variant, the CRB-65 score, can be used in ambula-
Conclusions In comparison with CRB-65 and CURB- tory settings because of its exclusion of the urea cri-
65, risk stratification as defined by CURB-age showed terion.6 Many studies have confirmed the validity of
the closest association with 30-day mortality in our these scores. However, several studies have shown
sample. Further prospective studies are needed to assess that CURB-65 and CRB-65 perform poorly when
the potential of CURB-age for better risk prediction, used for older patients. Therefore, efforts have been
especially in older patients with CAP. made to improve these severity scores.7–14
Myint et al15 proposed a modification to
CURB-65 when used with older patients, extending
INTRODUCTION the urea criterion to >11 mmol/L and the age cri-
Management of pneumonia is still a major problem terion to ≥85 years, with each scoring one add-
in developed countries. Along with influenza, it is itional point. This score variant was named
one of the ten leading causes of death in both the CURB-age. The cut-off for the urea criterion has
USA (2.1% of all deaths or 17.2 per 100 000 citi- recently been confirmed to be significant in deter-
zens annually) and Germany (2.2% of all deaths or mining prognosis.16 There has only been one valid-
To cite: Pflug MA, Tiutan T, overall 18 889 citizens annually). It is also the ation study for the CURB-age score, which was
Wesemann T, et al. Postgrad leading cause of death due to infectious disease in performed by the research group that devised it.8
Med J 2015;91:77–82. both countries. In patients >85 years old in Although CURB-age was theoretically thought to

Pflug MA, et al. Postgrad Med J 2015;91:77–82. doi:10.1136/postgradmedj-2014-132802 77


Downloaded from http://pmj.bmj.com/ on September 23, 2017 - Published by group.bmj.com

Original article

be advantageous, its performance was not considered to be Statistics and Election in Herne, Germany, on 6 September 2012.
superior to CURB-65. Microbiological data were not obtained. They are not part of the
The objective of our study was to apply the prognostic tools CAP database and have been recommended by national guide-
CRB-65, CURB-65 and CURB-age in a cohort of predominantly lines and local policy for only a minority of patients.
older inpatients, in which more patients are likely to meet the
extended urea and age criteria, and to compare the association Sample size calculation
between risk groups as defined by the scores and 30-day mortality. To calculate the sample size, available data on inpatients with
CAP who were admitted to our institution between 2001 and
METHODS 2005 were used. For risk groups as defined by CURB-65, we
We performed a retrospective cohort study using data from a found a 30-day mortality of 5% for the low-risk group and
hospital database of inpatients with CAP (box 1) admitted to >12% mortality for the combined group of intermediate- and
the Marienhospital Herne, Germany (box 2) between 2005 and high-risk patients. We assumed that these two proportions
2009. would also apply to our current sample. For detection of at least
this difference, a sample size of 248 patients per group is neces-
Inclusion and exclusion criteria sary, or approximately 500 patients in total (χ2 test, significance
The database includes patients ≥18 years old who are admitted level p=0.05, power 0.80).
for inpatient treatment of CAP. To ensure that all patients met
the inclusion criteria and no exclusion criteria were present, all Data analysis
patient records retrieved from the CAP database were checked Baseline characteristics of patients are reported with absolute
by two independent reviewers (MAP and TW). and relative frequencies for categorical variables and with mean,
Patients were considered to have pneumonia when presenting median and range for continuous variables. To assess the associ-
▸ with at least one classic symptom (new onset of cough, puru- ation between baseline characteristics and 30-day mortality, we
lent sputum, dyspnoea and/or fever >38.0°C), calculated ORs and their corresponding 95% CIs. From the raw
▸ without an alternative source of infection and data, we calculated the risk scores CRB-65, CURB-65 and
▸ with either signs of inflammation (elevated C-reactive CURB-age as well as score-defined risk categories. Thirty-day
protein or leucocytosis) mortality was compared across the scores. We tested the associ-
▸ or typical radiological findings within 48 h of admission. ation between the scores and mortality using Pearson’s χ2 test.
We excluded patients In addition, sensitivity, specificity and the corresponding 95%
▸ with infectious exacerbation of chronic obstructive pulmon- CI were calculated for each point and risk category of the sever-
ary disease, ity scores. To evaluate the ability to predict the primary end
▸ undergoing chemotherapy and/or radiation, point—death due to any cause 30 days after admission—we
▸ with primary or secondary immunodeficiency (including compared the different severity scores in a receiver operating
HIV) or characteristic (ROC) curve analysis. For the area under the
▸ with other types of pneumonia such as aspiration pneumonia. curve (AUC), a 95% CI is provided. For all analyses, a two-sided
p value of <0.05 was considered to be significant.
Further data collection Data analysis was performed using SPSS for Windows V.21.
Comorbidity was assessed with the Charlson Comorbidity Index The software CI analysis, V.2.2.0 (T. Bryant, 2011), was used to
(CCI)17 18 by linking the database to the hospital information calculate CIs for sensitivity and specificity.
system, which provided International Classification of Diseases
10th revision (ICD-10)-coded concomitant diagnoses and dis-
Ethics
eases. Urea levels on admission, as well as further laboratory
This study was performed in accordance with the Declaration of
values, were gathered from the central laboratory server, again by
Helsinki of the World Medical Association.19 The study was
two reviewers (MAP and TW). The central server stores all
approved by the institutional review board of the University of
values assessed in the laboratory since 2001. Information on sur-
Bochum, Germany, on 6 August 2012.
vival status or date of death was provided by the city’s Office of

RESULTS
Box 1 Community-acquired pneumonia (CAP) database Patient characteristics
From the CAP database, 587 patients were considered eligible,
and 559 patients met all the inclusion criteria. Twenty-eight
In 2005, a nationwide quality assurance programme was made
patients were excluded because of one of the following exclu-
mandatory for all German hospitals providing acute medical
sion criteria: advanced healthcare directive such as in palliative
care for CAP inpatients. The programme is organised by the
National Institute of Quality in Healthcare which is responsible
for quality assurance for inpatients in Germany. By means of a
predefined report sheet, the hospitals have to assess and report Box 2 Setting
the following variables for each CAP inpatient: age, sex, referral
mode (from private home, nursing home or another hospital), The Marienhospital Herne is a 575-bed hospital of the University of
respiratory rate, systolic and diastolic blood pressure, presence Bochum, Germany. It operates departments specialising in
of confusion, need of invasive or non-invasive ventilatory cardiology, gastroenterology, nephrology, oncology and geriatrics,
support on admission, clinical condition at discharge and among others. The hospital serves 21 000 inpatients and
outcome (death or survival). The data allow calculation of the approximately 50 000 outpatients annually. Despite being a
CRB-65 severity score. An analysis of the data for the years university hospital, it provides free, unrestricted and immediate
2005 and 2006 has been published.8 healthcare to the population of Herne.

78 Pflug MA, et al. Postgrad Med J 2015;91:77–82. doi:10.1136/postgradmedj-2014-132802


Downloaded from http://pmj.bmj.com/ on September 23, 2017 - Published by group.bmj.com

Original article

situations (18 patients), invasive ventilation on admission (6 dementia, or were 65 years or older. It also increased with CCI
patients), or referral from another hospital (4 patients). In categories (8.5%, 10.7% and 14.7%).
almost 90% of patients included, the CAP diagnosis was radio-
logically confirmed. Restricting the analysis to patients with DISCUSSION
radiologically confirmed CAP did not substantially alter the The main finding of our study is that the new variant of the
results. Therefore, we only present results for the whole sample CURB-65 score called CURB-age showed a closer association
of 559 patients. with 30-day mortality in adult inpatients with CAP than the
Patients included in the study had a mean (median; range) age commonly used CRB-65 and CURB-65 scores. In comparison
of 74.1 years (78.2; 18–104). Female patients (250, 44.7%) had with CRB-65, the low-risk groups defined by CURB-age was
a mean (median; range) age of 77.8 years (81.7; 18–104), twice as large (195 vs 89 patients), but showed lower mortality
whereas male patients (309, 55.3%) had a mean (median; (2.6% vs 3.4%). The low-risk group defined by CURB-age was
range) age of 71.2 years (76.0; 23–95). Baseline characteristics only slightly smaller than that defined by CURB-65 (195 vs 214
are shown in table 1. patients), but again with lower mortality (2.6% vs 4.2%). In
ROC curve analysis, the largest AUC —that is, the best relation
The 30-day mortality with CRB-65, CURB-65 and CURB-age between sensitivity and specificity—corresponded to CURB-age.
The 30-day mortality for this group of patients was 10.9%. The Improvements in the identification of low-risk patients would
association between mortality and the risk assessment scores is have the most clinical impact. Current guidelines recommend
depicted in tables 2 and 3, which are stratified by score points considering ambulatory management when providing care for
or risk categories, respectively. In general, mortality increased low-risk patients with CAP.20 21 Doing so could reduce health-
along with rising score points as well as higher risk categories care costs, save valuable hospital resources, and lower risks asso-
for all three scores. Sensitivity for severe pneumonia (cut-off ciated with hospital stays. Therefore, better identification of
points ≥3 points for CRB-65 and CURB-65, and ≥4 points for low-risk patients would be beneficial to both patients and the
CURB-age) was highest for CURB-age (52.5%). Specificity was healthcare system.
highest for CRB-65 (93.4%). The ROC curve analysis, provided Our findings differ markedly from the validation study of
in figure 1 and table 4, revealed that CURB-age defined risk cat- Myint et al.8 In that study’s 190 inpatient sample, the sensitivity
egories better than the other scores. of both CURB-age and CURB-65 was considerably lower than
that found in our study, namely 50% for CURB-age and 59%
Differentiation of patients with severe/non-severe and
low-risk/non-low-risk CAP in CRB-65, CURB-65 and
CURB-age
Table 2 Mortality stratified by score points of three severity scores
CURB-age (CURB-65/CRB-65) predicted 195 (214/89) patients
to be at low risk (CURB-age ≤1 points, CURB-65 ≤1 points, 30-day
CRB-65 0 points), where 190 (205/86) patients or 97.4% All mortality
Score (n=559), (n=61), n Sensitivity, % Specificity, %
(95.8%/96.6%) survived 30 days of admission. points n (%) (95% CI) (95% CI)
CURB-age (CURB-65/CRB-65) predicted 121 (144/42)
patients to have severe CAP (CURB-age ≥4 points, CURB-65 CRB-65
≥3 points, CRB-65 ≥3 points), of which 32 (28/9) patients or 0 89 3 (3.4) 100 0
26.4% (19.4%/21.4%) died within 30 days of admission. 1 272 24 (8.8) 95.1 (86.5 to 98.3) 17.3 (14.2 to 20.8)
2 156 25 (16.0) 55.7 (43.3 to 67.5) 67.1 (62.8 to 71.1)
Thirty-day mortality and association with patient 3 39 9 (23.1) 14.8 (8.0 to 25.7) 93.4 (90.8 to 95.2)
characteristics 4 3 0 (0) 0 (0 to 5.9) 99.4 (98.2 to 99.8)
The 30-day mortality was significantly higher in the subgroup CURB-65
of patients who were admitted from nursing homes, had 0 74 2 (2.7) 100 0
1 140 7 (5.0) 96.7 (88.8 to 99.1) 14.5 (11.6 to 17.8)
2 201 24 (11.9) 85.2 (74.3 to 92.0) 41.2 (36.9 to 45.5)
3 117 20 (17.1) 45.9 (34.0 to 58.3) 76.7 (72.8 to 80.2)
Table 1 Characteristics of the study cohort
4 26 8 (30.8) 13.1 (6.8 to 23.8) 96.2 (94.1 to 97.5)
Death Survival 5 1 0 (0) 0 (0 to 5.9) 99.8 (98.9 to 99.9)
Risk factor (n=61) (n=498) OR (95% CI)
CURB-age
Female sex 31 (50.8) 219 (44.0) 1.32 (0.77 to 2.24) 0 74 2 (2.7) 100 0
Age ≥65 years 55 (90.2) 379 (76.1) 2.88 (1.21 to 6.85) 1 121 3 (2.5) 96.7 (88.8 to 99.1) 14.5 (11.6 to 17.8)
Nursing home residency 35 (57.4) 111 (22.3) 4.69 (2.71 to 8.13) 2 114 12 (10.5) 91.8 (82.2 to 96.5) 38.2 (34.0 to 42.5)
Congestive heart failure 17 (27.9) 105 (21.1) 1.44 (0.79 to 2.63) 3 129 12 (9.3) 72.1 (59.8 to 81.8) 58.6 (54.3 to 62.9)
Cerebrovascular disease 16 (26.2) 98 (19.7) 1.45 (0.79 to 2.68) 4 73 12 (16.4) 52.5 (40.2 to 64.5) 82.1 (78.5 to 85.2)
Dementia 32 (52.5) 140 (28.1) 2.82 (1.65 to 4.84) 5 42 18 (42.9) 32.8 (22.3 to 45.3) 94.4 (92.0 to 96.1)
Chronic lung disease 14 (23.0) 146 (29.3) 0.72 (0.38 to 1.35) 6 6 2 (33.3) 3.3 (0.9 to 11.2) 99.2 (98.0 to 99.7)
Diabetes mellitus 14 (23.0) 144 (28.9) 0.73 (0.39 to 1.37) 7 0 0 (0) 0 (0 to 0.1) 100 (99.1 to 100)
Renal disease 20 (32.8) 128 (25.7) 1.41 (0.80 to 2.50) CRB-65: 1 point for each characteristic at admission: confusion, respiratory rate ≥30/
Charlson Comorbidity Index min, low blood pressure systolic (<90 mm Hg) or diastolic (≤60 mm Hg), age
≥65 years. CURB-65: 1 point for each characteristic at admission: confusion, urea
0–1 points 18 (29.5) 213 (42.8) 1.00 (reference) >7 mmol/L, respiratory rate ≥30/min, low blood pressure systolic (<90 mm Hg) or
2–3 points 21 (34.4) 196 (39.4) 1.27 (0.66 to 2.45) diastolic (≤60 mm Hg), age ≥65 years. CURB-age: characteristic at admission:
confusion=1, urea >7 mmol/L=1, urea >11 mmol/L=2, respiratory rate ≥30/min=1,
>3 points 22 (36.1) 128 (25.7) 2.03 (1.05 to 3.94) low blood pressure systolic (<90 mm Hg) or diastolic (≤60 mm Hg)=1, age
Values are number (%). ≥65 years=1, age ≥85 years=2.

Pflug MA, et al. Postgrad Med J 2015;91:77–82. doi:10.1136/postgradmedj-2014-132802 79


Downloaded from http://pmj.bmj.com/ on September 23, 2017 - Published by group.bmj.com

Original article

Table 3 Mortality stratified by risk categories defined by three severity scores


Risk category All (n=559), n 30-day mortality (n=61), n (%) Sensitivity, % (95% CI) Specificity, % (95% CI)

CRB-65
Low 89 3 (3.4) 100 0
Intermediate 428 49 (11.4) 95.1 (86.5 to 98.3) 17.3 (14.2 to 20.8)
High 42 9 (21.4) 14.8 (8.0 to 25.7) 93.4 (90.8 to 95.2)
CURB-65
Low 214 9 (4.2) 100 0
Intermediate 201 24 (11.9) 85.2 (74.3 to 92.0) 41.2 (36.9 to 45.5)
High 144 28 (19.4) 45.9 (34.0 to 58.3) 76.7 (72.8 to 80.2)
CURB-age
Low 195 5 (2.6) 100 0
Intermediate 243 24 (9.9) 91.8 (82.2 to 96.4) 38.2 (34.0 to 42.5)
High 121 32 (26.4) 52.5 (40.2 to 64.5) 82.1 (78.5 to 85.2)
Risk categories: CRB-65: low risk=0 point, intermediate risk=1–2 points, high risk=3–4 points; CURB-65: low risk=0–1 points, intermediate risk=2 points, high risk=3–5 points;
CURB-age: low risk=0–1 points, intermediate risk=2–3 points, high risk=4–7 points.

for CURB-65. In several other studies that investigated characteristics do not imply that our sample is truly comparable
CURB-65, sensitivity and specificity were reported to vary to that of Myint et al.8
between 80–95% and 50–60%, respectively,6 7 22 23 which are Two prognostically relevant variables, age and urea level on
well in line with our data. An important finding in the Myint admission, are potentially undervalued in the established
study was the high mortality.8 In total, 54 out of 190 inpatients CURB-65 score, justifying the need for the new CURB-age
(28.4%) died during follow-up. This is much higher than the score.8 15 In the past, age and urea have only been included in
mortality of ∼11% in our study, which agrees well with that of severity scores as dichotomous variables, scoring 1 point each if
all adult inpatients in Germany.24 There was no significant dif- age was ≥65 years and urea ≥7 mmol/L. Two new scoring cat-
ference in age between the Myint study (median age 76 years) egories have since been proposed, extending the age and urea
and our study sample (median age 78 years), thus the higher criteria to ≥85 years and ≥11 mmol/L, respectively, and with
mortality in the former study may suggest that the patients had each scoring two points. Both cut-off points are considered to
more comorbidities. Comorbidities were also present in our correlate with mortality.9 16 25 Extending the already adopted
patient sample, with more than 25% suffering from chronic urea and age criteria allows a simple transition towards the use
lung disease, kidney disease or diabetes. Furthermore, functional of the CURB-age score. In addition, the use of both variables
impairment was prevalent, with nearly a quarter of our patients has already been proposed by several guidelines.20 21 The imple-
residing in nursing homes and about a third having dementia. mentation of the extended criteria would not require much add-
Advanced comorbidity was present in almost two-thirds of our itional work, and doing so has the potential to improve severity
inpatients, as indicated by the CCI. However, these assessment and possibly CAP management.
There are several limitations of our study that should be
acknowledged. First, the data obtained from the patient registry
were initially acquired for the purposes of external quality assur-
ance. In our perspective, this probably does not affect the valid-
ity of the results obtained. In fact, the database contains most of
the variables required for analysis, including all criteria neces-
sary for the calculation of CRB-65. Urea level on admission was
not included, but was available from a central laboratory server
that has stored blood variables obtained for all patient admis-
sions since 2001. Urea values are collected routinely on hospital
admission. Retrieving these values means that our patient
entries do not have any missing values. Finally, vital status to
assess 30-day mortality was obtained from the official local
registration office, which is reliable even when acquired
retrospectively.

Table 4 Receiver operating characteristic curve analysis for risk


categories of three severity scores
Risk category Area under the curve 95% CI

CRB-65 0.591 (0.518 to 0.664)


CURB-65 0.668 (0.600 to 0.736)
Figure 1 Receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curves for risk CURB-age 0.730 (0.666 to 0.794)
categories of three severity scores. For definition of risk categories, see
For definition of risk categories, see tables 2 and 3.
tables 2 and 3.

80 Pflug MA, et al. Postgrad Med J 2015;91:77–82. doi:10.1136/postgradmedj-2014-132802


Downloaded from http://pmj.bmj.com/ on September 23, 2017 - Published by group.bmj.com

Original article

Furthermore, data were retrieved solely from a single centre. Author affiliations
1
As the hospital is a primary care centre that provides acute School of Medicine, University of Bochum, Bochum, Germany
2
College of Medicine, University of Arizona, Tucson, USA
medical care to the population, patient selection as expected 3
Department of Geriatrics, Marienhospital Herne, University of Bochum, Herne,
with a tertiary referral centre is unlikely. However, the character- Germany
4
istics of both the hospital and the population served are likely to Department of Geriatrics, HELIOS Klinikum Schwelm, University of Witten/Herdecke,
differ in other settings. Therefore, the findings of this study Schwelm, Germany
5
Department of Medical Informatics, Biometry and Epidemiology, University of
cannot be transferred to other settings without reservation. In Bochum, Bochum, Germany
addition, only inpatients were evaluated. We cannot claim that
low-risk patients as defined in our sample can be treated safely Acknowledgements We sincerely thank Patricia Vierhaus, Department of Medical
as outpatients. This conclusion can only be made with rando- Informatics, Biometry and Epidemiology, University of Bochum, Germany, for data
handling and technical assistance. We also thank the staff of the Office of Statistics
mised controlled trials that adequately investigate this question.
and Elections, Herne, Germany, for their cooperation.
Finally, our findings certainly do not prove superiority of
Contributors MAP collected, analysed and interpreted the data, performed the
CURB-age over CURB-65 or CRB-65. Although the sample size
literature review, and drafted the manuscript. TT contributed to data analysis,
in our study was almost three times larger than that in the study interpretation, and drafting of the manuscript. TW contributed to the design of the
of Myint et al,8 we still could not perform inference tests—for study, collected the data, and supported data analysis and interpretation. HN
example, to detect differences in AUC values from ROC curve supported data analysis and interpretation. HJH and LP designed the study and
analysis. Therefore, further larger studies assessing the potential interpreted the data. UT designed the study, contributed to the collection of data,
performed analysis and interpretation of the data, and assisted in drafting the
of CURB-age for better identification of low-risk patients are manuscript. All authors read and approved the final version of the manuscript.
needed. All authors fulfil the criteria for authorship, as mentioned in the Contributorship
Statement.
Competing interests None.
Main messages Ethics approval University of Bochum, Germany (approval given 6 August 2012).
Provenance and peer review Not commissioned; externally peer reviewed.
▸ As common severity scores do not perform optimally in
older inpatients with community-acquired pneumonia (CAP),
a score variant of the standard CURB-65, named CURB-age, REFERENCES
1 Hoyert DL, Xu J. Deaths: preliminary data for 2011. Natl Vital Stat Rep
has been proposed. 2012;51:1–51.
▸ In a sample of more than 500 inpatients from a single 2 Anonymous. Causes of death in Germany 2012 [Todesursachen in Deutschland].
centre in Germany, CURB-age showed a closer association Fed Stat Office Germany 2013;12.
with 30-day mortality than standard scores. 3 American Lung Association. Lung Disease Data: 2008. 2008.
4 Fine MJ, Auble TE, Yealy DM, et al. A prediction rule to identify low-risk patients
▸ The use of CURB-age may improve risk stratification and with community-acquired pneumonia. N Engl J Med 1997;336:243–50.
hence management of inpatients with CAP. 5 Serisier DJ, Williams S, Bowler SD. Australasian respiratory and emergency
physicians do not use the pneumonia severity index in community-acquired
pneumonia. Respirology 2013;18:291–6.
6 Lim WS, van der Eerden MM, Laing R, et al. Defining community acquired
pneumonia severity on presentation to hospital: an international derivation and
Current research questions validation study. Thorax 2003;58:377–82.
7 Capelastegui A, Espana PP, Quintana JM, et al. Validation of a predictive rule for
the management of community-acquired pneumonia. Eur Respir J 2006;27:151–7.
▸ Can low-risk patients with community-acquired pneumonia 8 Myint PK, Sankaran P, Musonda P, et al. Performance of CURB-65 and CURB-age
in community-acquired pneumonia. Int J Clin Pract 2009;63:1345–50.
(CAP) be treated safely as outpatients?
9 Parsonage M, Nathwani D, Davey P, et al. Evaluation of the performance of
▸ Do different risk-based treatment strategies improve the CURB-65 with increasing age. Clin Microbiol Infect 2009;15:858–64.
outcome of high-risk patients? 10 McNally M, Curtain J, O’Brien KK, et al. Validity of British Thoracic Society guidance
▸ Are different risk-based treatment strategies able to reduce (the CRB-65 rule) for predicting the severity of pneumonia in general practice:
side effects in low-risk patients? systematic review and meta-analysis. Br J Gen Pract 2010;60:e423–33.
11 Chalmers JD, Singanayagam A, Akram AR, et al. Severity assessment tools for
predicting mortality in hospitalised patients with community-acquired pneumonia.
Systematic review and meta-analysis. Thorax 2010;65:878–83.
12 Loke YK, Kwok CS, Niruban A, et al. Value of severity scales in predicting mortality
from community-acquired pneumonia: systematic review and meta-analysis. Thorax
Key references 2010;65:884–90.
13 Ochoa-Gondar O, Vila-Corcoles A, Rodriguez-Blanco T, et al. Comparison of three
predictive rules for assessing severity in elderly patients with CAP. Int J Clin Pract
▸ Lim WS, van der Eerden MM, Laing R, et al. Defining 2011;65:1165–72.
community acquired pneumonia severity on presentation to 14 Myint PK, Kamath AV, Vowler SL, et al. The CURB (confusion, urea, respiratory rate
hospital: an international derivation and validation study. and blood pressure) criteria in community-acquired pneumonia (CAP) in hospitalised
Thorax 2003;58:377–82. elderly patients aged 65 years and over: a prospective observational cohort study.
Age Ageing 2005;34:75–7.
▸ Myint PK, Sankaran P, Musonda P, et al. Performance of 15 Myint PK, Kamath AV, Vowler SL, et al. Simple modification of CURB-65 better
CURB-65 and CURB-age in community-acquired pneumonia. identifies patients including the elderly with severe CAP. Thorax 2007;62:1015–16;
Int J Clin Pract 2009;63:1345–50. author reply 1016.
▸ Loke YK, Kwok CS, Niruban A, et al. Value of severity scales in 16 Metersky ML, Waterer G, Nsa W, et al. Predictors of in-hospital vs postdischarge
mortality in pneumonia. Chest 2012;142:476–81.
predicting mortality from community-acquired pneumonia:
17 Charlson ME, Pompei P, Ales KL, et al. A new method of classifying prognostic
systematic review and meta-analysis. Thorax 2010;65:884–90. comorbidity in longitudinal studies: development and validation. J Chronic Dis
▸ Ewig S, Bauer T, Richter K, et al. Prediction of in-hospital 1987;40:373–83.
death from community-acquired pneumonia by varying CRB- 18 Quan H, Sundararajan V, Halfon P, et al. Coding algorithms for defining
age groups. Eur Respir J 2013;41:917–22. comorbidities in ICD-9-CM and ICD-10 administrative data. Med Care
2005;43:1130–9.

Pflug MA, et al. Postgrad Med J 2015;91:77–82. doi:10.1136/postgradmedj-2014-132802 81


Downloaded from http://pmj.bmj.com/ on September 23, 2017 - Published by group.bmj.com

Original article

19 World Medical Association. WMA Declaration of Helsinki, Ethical Principles for 23 Myint PK, Kamath AV, Vowler SL, et al. Severity assessment criteria recommended
Medical Research Involving Human Subjects. 55th WMA General Assembly, Tokyo, by the British Thoracic Society (BTS) for community-acquired pneumonia (CAP) and
Japan 2004. older patients. Should SOAR (systolic blood pressure, oxygenation, age and
20 Hoffken G, Lorenz J, Kern W, et al. [Epidemiology, diagnosis, antimicrobial therapy respiratory rate) criteria be used in older people? A compilation study of two
and management of community-acquired pneumonia and lower respiratory tract prospective cohorts. Age Ageing 2006;35:286–91.
infections in adults. Guidelines of the Paul-Ehrlich-Society for Chemotherapy, the 24 Ewig S, Birkner N, Strauss R, et al. New perspectives on community-acquired
German Respiratory Society, the German Society for Infectiology and the pneumonia in 388 406 patients. Results from a nationwide mandatory
Competence Network CAPNETZ Germany]. Pneumologie 2009;63:e1–68. performance measurement programme in healthcare quality. Thorax
21 Woodhead M, Blasi F, Ewig S, et al. Guidelines for the management of adult lower 2009;64:1062–9.
respiratory tract infections—full version. Clin Microbiol Infect 2011;17(Suppl 6):E1–59. 25 Ewig S, Bauer T, Richter K, et al. Prediction of in-hospital death from
22 Menendez R, Martinez R, Reyes S, et al. Biomarkers improve mortality prediction by community-acquired pneumonia by varying CRB-age groups. Eur Respir J
prognostic scales in community-acquired pneumonia. Thorax 2009;64:587–91. 2013;41:917–22.

Warwick university courses

13th – 16th July 2015: Warwick University Short Course. ‘Techniques and Applications of
Molecular Biology: A Course for Medical Practitioners’.
A four day course for those in the medical profession wishing to improve their under-
standing of the principles and applications of genetic engineering techniques. Optional
accreditation leads to a masters level Postgraduate Award. Details: Dr Charlotte Moonan,
School of Life Sciences, University of Warwick, Coventry, CV4 7AL (Tel: 024 7652 3540;
email Charlotte.Moonan@warwick.ac.uk;
website http://www2.warwick.ac.uk/fac/sci/lifesci/study/shortcourses/molecularbiology).
29th June – 10th July 2015: Warwick University Short Course. ‘Laboratory Skills’.
A ten day course for those wishing to gain hands-on practical experience of vital and fun-
damental laboratory techniques. Details: Dr Charlotte Moonan, School of Life Sciences,
University of Warwick, Coventry, CV4 7AL (Tel: 024 7652 3540;
email Charlotte.Moonan@warwick.ac.uk;
website http://www2.warwick.ac.uk/fac/sci/lifesci/study/shortcourses/labskills/ ).

82 Pflug MA, et al. Postgrad Med J 2015;91:77–82. doi:10.1136/postgradmedj-2014-132802


Downloaded from http://pmj.bmj.com/ on September 23, 2017 - Published by group.bmj.com

Short-term mortality of adult inpatients with


community-acquired pneumonia: external
validation of a modified CURB-65 score
Marc Andre Pflug, Timothy Tiutan, Thomas Wesemann, Harald Nüllmann,
Hans Jürgen Heppner, Ludger Pientka and Ulrich Thiem

Postgrad Med J 2015 91: 77-82 originally published online January 24,
2015
doi: 10.1136/postgradmedj-2014-132802

Updated information and services can be found at:


http://pmj.bmj.com/content/91/1072/77

These include:

References This article cites 22 articles, 9 of which you can access for free at:
http://pmj.bmj.com/content/91/1072/77#BIBL

Email alerting Receive free email alerts when new articles cite this article. Sign up in the
service box at the top right corner of the online article.

Topic Articles on similar topics can be found in the following collections


Collections Epidemiology (401)
Pneumonia (respiratory medicine) (28)

Notes

To request permissions go to:


http://group.bmj.com/group/rights-licensing/permissions

To order reprints go to:


http://journals.bmj.com/cgi/reprintform

To subscribe to BMJ go to:


http://group.bmj.com/subscribe/

Das könnte Ihnen auch gefallen