CASE 1 June 26, 2018.

ChETE 02 A
Due Date:

Note: For Problems 2 to 4 ,generate a computer output using Excel and

base your answers on it.

1. Suppose the following data were collected in emphysema patients: the

number of years the patient smoked and inhaled (x) and a physician's
evaluation of the extent of lung damage (y). The latter variable is
measured on a scale 0 to 100.
Patient Number 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Lung Damage 55 60 50 30 75 70 70 55 30 35
Years Smoking 25 36 22 15 48 69 42 31 28 33
a.) With Years smoking as independent variable and lung damage
as a dependent variable, compute Sxx, Sxy, and Syy .
b.) Calcuate r and r2 from formula and briefly explain
what they mean.
c.) Find the least squares regression line.
d.) Interpret the meaning of the values of a and b which
were calculated in (c.)
e.) Compute the standard deviation of errors, se , sa , sb
f.) Construct a 98% confidence interval for  .
g.) Test at the 5% significance level if  is different
from zero.

2. The following data give information on the ages ( in years ) and the
number of breakdowns during the past month of a sample of seven
machines at a large company.
Age of machine 12 7 2 8 13 9 4
No. of Breakdowns 9 5 1 4 11 7 2
a.) What is the independent variable ? What is the dependent
variable?
b.) Do you expect  to be negative or positive? Why?
c.) Fit a least squares line from which we can predict the
number of breakdowns in terms of the age. Is the sign
of b as you hypothesized for  ?
d.) Plot a scatter diagram of the data and superimpose the regression
line.
e.) Give a brief interpretation of the values of a and b.
f.) Construct a 95% confidence interval for  and explain in words
what quantity is thus being estimated.
g.) Determine the coefficient of determination and interpret.

3. An experiment was conducted to observe the effect of an increase on

the potency of an antibiotic. Three 1-ounce portions of the
antibiotic were stored for equal lengths of time at each of the
following temperatures: 30o, 50 o, 70o, and 90o . The dat are shown
below.
Potency Reading, (y) 38,43,29 32,26,33 19,27,23 14,19,21
Temperature (x) 30o 50 o 70o 900
a.) Determine the correlation coefficient, r, between the
variables. Is it significant? On what basis?
b.) Determine the coefficient of determination and interpret.
c.) Find the least squares line fort he data. Interpret b.
 d.) Is b significant? On what basis?
e.) Suppose that a batch of antibiotic were stored at 60o at the
same length of time, what is the predicted potency at the end
of the storage period?
f.) Construct a 98 % prediction interval when x = 50o.

4. The following table gives the payroll (rounded to millions of

dollars) and the percentage of games won during the baseball season
by each of the National League baseball teams.
Team Total Payroll Percentage of Games
Won
Atlanta Braves 9 34
Chicago Cubs 12 48
Cincinnati Reds 11 54
Houston Astros 16 51
Los Angeles Dodgers 22 58
Montreal Expos 12 50
New York Mets 20 63
Philadelphia 10 40
Phillies
Pittsburgh Pirates 12 53
St. Louis Cardinals 15 47
San Diego Padres 14 52
San Francisco Giants 14 51
a.) Find the least squares regression line with total payroll as an
independent variable and percentage of games won as a dependent
variable.
b.) Is the regression line obtained in part a.) the population
regression line> Why or why not? Do the values of the y-intercept
and the slope in the regression line give  and = , or a and b?
c.) Give a brief interpretation of the values of the y-intercept and
the slope.
d.) Predict the percentage of games won for a team with a total payroll
of $ 13.40 million.
e.) Test the null hypothesis that  = 1.2 against the alternative
hypothesis   1.2.
/mtm