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32 CAPITAL Business Magazine www.capital-me.

com
33
Regional Business

Dangerous innovations By Professor El Namaki

Structured finance
To innovate is to add value. That could be producer value, end user value or supply chain value. The uniqueness
of the process delivers windfall gains and measurable synergies. It is a Multi-stage process whereby organizations
transform ideas into new, improved products, services or processes, in order to advance, compete and differenti-
ate themselves successfully in their marketplace. Yet innovation does not always carry that aura of effectiveness.

instruments in the UAE


Recent history of innovation in the finance industry reveals a strikingly negative outcome. Structured finance prod-
ucts have lead, in widely publicized cases, to asset loss, investment institution collapse, massive government inter-
vention and, last but not least, consumer pain . It is innovation gone berserk! The UAE Government has introduced
restrictions on trading in structured products as of August 2009 unless approved by the Central Bank. Why?

pre-maturity termination of the investment. The market val- • Credit risk. Structured products are unsecured debt from an
ue of structured products is, moreover, influenced by unpre- investment bank. Risk measurement methodologies for trading
dictable factors that may include, but are not limited to, the these products were heavily focused on VaR (Value at Risk) (b),
price or level of the underlying asset (or market measure), especially for market risks and related techniques for counter-
the volatility of the underlying asset (or market measure), in- party credit risks. Generally risks were measured using separate
terest rates, dividend rates, the issuer’s creditworthiness, the methodologies and “risk engines” for different types of risks, e.g.,
time remaining to maturity and geopolitical conditions. market risk or credit risk. Some risk measurement methodologies
The regulatory framework of structured products, in the required simplifying factors in their risk estimation, rather than a
United States in the first place and Europe in the second, is full revaluation of the individual positions. Simplification, how-
hazy at best. It seems, to all appearances, that ffinancial regu- ever, often tended to underestimate exposures, as specific risks re-
lation has lagged behind financial innovation. US regulatory sulting from unique product features may not have been captured.
regime regulates deposit-taking financial in- • Complexity. Structured products are com-
stitutions and conventional financial prod- A structural product plex investments and complex investments
ucts with obvious externalities and seems to was defined, for the could have concealed risks that are not read-
have largely ignored non-bank entities with Central Bank’s purpos- ily apparent to the unsuspecting investor. The
their myriad of novel and unconventional es, as a ‘pre-packaged slicing and dicing of mortgages lead, for ex-
instruments. investment strategy’ ample, to intricate products that investors,
with ‘embedded op- credit rating agencies and even brokerage
Where did structured tions’ in respect of an- firms failed, at times, to comprehend. Mort-
finance products go wrong? other financial product gage-backed securities (MBS), asset-backed
Incidents of structural product failure are or products. securities (ABS), collateralized mortgage
more frequent than not. The scope and scale obligations (CMO) and collateralized debt
Innovation in the finance industry: ability of large gain are well known given the involvement of in- obligation (CDO) are examples. The hetero-
structured finance products - Products implying a one -to-one tracking of an asset, a bas- vestment banks, funding agencies and countries in the pro- geneity of asset base, the derived nature of returns and the very
Structured products are investment vehicles whose value is ket of assets, or the correlation between assets cess. Those cases have pointed out to several prime sources of wide variety of the product specifications all lead to a difficult to
derived from, or based on, a reference-underlying asset, a mar- - Products that combine all features and best labeled as “hy- malfunction: understand instrument even for the specialized.
ket measure or an investment strategy. They generally have brid structure”.
varying terms, payout and risk profiles. Some have a princi- Structured products were created to meet specific needs that • Market pricing and liquidity. Structured products pricing • Regulation: Structured products are instruments made and
pal guarantee function, some pay interest and some do both. cannot be met by available standardized financial instru- is matrix based rather than net asset value based. Matrix prices rated by an unregulated segment of the finance industry: in-
Those having “principal guarantee” function offer protection ments. Their greatest advantage is, probably, the potential for are based on quoted prices for securities with similar coupons, vestment banks and rating agencies. A combination of an
of the principal investment if held until maturity. The returns, enhanced risk-adjusted returns. ratings, and maturities, rather than on specific bids and offers AAA rating by rating agencies and a reduced capital require-
if any, are typically payable at maturity and depend on the Structured products are usually issued by investment banks or for the designated security. The name “matrix price” comes ment (for this type of asset) by Basel II, enhanced their ap-
performance of an underlying set of commodities, equities or affiliates thereof. They have fixed maturities. They are mostly from the practice of interpolating among values for similar peal. Their very AAA credit rating had a profound impact on
indexes. Those paying interest relate the volume of interest to made of two components: a note and a derivative which is instruments arranged in a matrix format. the acquisition behavior of institutional investors as pension
market performance of a complex mix of “underlying” assets”. often an option. The note provides for periodic interest pay- It is important to stress here that securitized and structured finance funds, insurance companies and mutual funds.
ments to the investor at a predetermined rate, and the deriva- markets are dealer markets. Price and market quote information is • Initial pricing. Prices of complex structured finance prod-
A “structured” way of viewing structured tive provides for the payment at maturity. ultimately derived and verified through dealers based on the deal- ucts were often too low and did not reflect their true risk ex-
products could lead to the following segmentation: Risks associated with structured products are many. The most ers’ market making and liquidity providing function. By virtue of posure. One of those risks , systemic risk, emerged when
- Products with high probability of small gain + low prob- threatening is the risk of loss of principal, which is real if the their size and market presence, large institutional investors can in- difficulties arose in asset-backed commercial papers and in-
ability of large loss market value of the underlying asset or assets oscillates, nega- fluence price discovery and formation based on their trading and terest shifted, by money market operators, to the Treasury
- Products with high probability of small loss + low prob- tively, or the investor’s demand for liquidity induces an early portfolio positions, according to The Bond Market Association. bill market, inducing an increase in their price and a decline
34 CAPITAL Business Magazine www.capital-me.com

Regional Business

in their yield, according to George Dionne, in his paper into administration. “It is tightening controls and will undertake
“Structured finance, risk management and the recent finan- follow-up assessments during 2010 to ensure firms are meeting its
cial crisis” presented at HEC Montreal in 2009. advice standards and are designing and marketing products in an
appropriate way,” the Financial Times reported in May 2010.
Enter the UAE
The UAE’s bur going wealth management industry made Balancing innovation and risk is essential for innovation to
structured products a common feature in domestic investment add value, on the other hand. Did structured finance products
portfolios. The ominous winds that blew from afar exposed, do that? “In some respects financial innovation makes risk
however, the lurking threat and drew attention to an urgent management easier. Risk can now be sliced and diced, moved
need for a defence mechanism. The Central Bank’s move, in off the balance sheet, and hedged by derivative instruments,”
late Sept 2009, to impose a near ban on retailing of those prod- Ben. S Bernanke said at the Financial Markets Conference in
ucts was a step in that direction. The instructions were stern Sea Island, Georgia in 2007.
with sanctions and penalties going as far as striking the respec- It is very likely, and advisable that the Central Bank of the UAE
tive bank’s name from the register of banks of the Emirates. follows the near ban of retailing of these products with a regu-
latory move similar to those initiated in the USA, the EU and
A structural product was defined, for the Central Bank’s pur- Britain. The difference may be a matter of emphasis. Protecting
poses, as a ‘pre-packaged investment strategy’ with ‘embedded the investor may feature far more heavily in the case of the UAE
options’ in respect of another financial product or products. than protecting the investment banks or their quasi institutions,
These are products where, according to the Central Bank again, as is the case in the USA and, to a certain extent, Europe.
underlying assets were layered in a way that obscured risk and
undermined transparency. And that is especially the case if the Summary and conclusions
emerging murky blend goes beyond the comprehension of a To innovate is to add value. That could be producer value,
typical retail investor. As to the buyer or the investor, he was end user value or supply chain value. Yet innovation does
recognized by the Central Bank as a high net worth individual, not always carry that aura of effectiveness. Recent histories
a term equated, in the United States, to individuals with a net of innovation in the finance industry reveal a strikingly nega-
worth in excess of one million US dollars. The term could also tive outcome. Structured finance products have lead, in widely
cover individuals with a high level of financial expertise (e.g. a publicized cases, to asset loss, investment institution collapse,
company licensed to provide financial services). massive government intervention and, last but not least, con-
External events should have had a profound impact on the sumer pain . It is innovation gone berserk! Marketing price,
Central Bank’s decision. Damage inflicted in the US and Eu- short term illiquidity, credit risk, complexity, lack of regula-
rope was measurable and audible! Lehman brothers collapse tion and low initial pricing have all contributed to a combina-
created a strong wave whose ripples reached far away shores! tion of mal practice and mal performance.
There is also the probability that the quantitative dimension Events seem to have induced the Central Bank of the UAE
of the damage, within a UAE context, was profound with a to introduce retail trading restrictions on those products. The
potential for measurable societal impact. UAE has a large wealth management industry and structured
products are a common feature of domestic investment port-
Lessons to be learned folios. Yet instructions were given to all banks operating with
Events surrounding structural products have called in the US and in the Emirates to cease the selling and trading in those prod-
Europe, for regulation. Regulation of the products, the issuers (in- ucts unless explicitly allowed by the Central Bank. Penalties
vestment banks), the rating agencies and the retailing process. Gov- for breaching this prohibition went as far as the striking of
ernments are currently spending a lot of time and energy setting the the bank from the register of banks.
parameters of this regulation. What is certain is that regulation will
play an increasing role in the fortunes of the sector. The European It is very likely, and advisable that the Central Bank of the UAE
Commission, for example, is attempting to bring coherence to a raft follows the near ban of retailing of these products with a regu-
of already existing regulation so as to establish an effective regu- latory move similar to those initiated in the USA, the EU and
latory framework for packaged retail investment products (Prips). Britain. The difference may be a matter of emphasis. Protecting
The UK’s Financial Services Authority put the squeeze on firms the investor may feature far more heavily in the case of the UAE
marketing structured products to retail investors and three went than protecting the investment banks or their quasi institutions.

About the Author


Professor El Namaki is president, Drucker Society for Gulf States based in Dubai. He was dean of Maastricht School of
Management and The Netherlands.
He can be contacted at dr_el_namaki@drucker-gulf.org

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