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The 1990s was _the age of abundance', argued Brink Lindsey in a book of that title. The 2010s, it is sometimes said, will be an age of scarcity. The main problems of scarcity are water and food shortages, demographic change and state failure.
The 1990s was _the age of abundance', argued Brink Lindsey in a book of that title. The 2010s, it is sometimes said, will be an age of scarcity. The main problems of scarcity are water and food shortages, demographic change and state failure.
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The 1990s was _the age of abundance', argued Brink Lindsey in a book of that title. The 2010s, it is sometimes said, will be an age of scarcity. The main problems of scarcity are water and food shortages, demographic change and state failure.
Copyright:
Attribution Non-Commercial (BY-NC)
Verfügbare Formate
Als PDF, TXT herunterladen oder online auf Scribd lesen
C.M.G. Shallow MSc (Marketing) BA DipExM DipITB cshallow@gmail.com 1-1
Why is Marketing Even More Important Now? ―THE 1990s was ‗the age of abundance‘, argued Brink Lindsey in a book of that title. Round the world, incomes were rising; capital markets were processing endless flows of money and investment; technological gains meant that ever more information was available ever more cheaply.‖ The Economist, 30th January, 2010, p67. Why is Marketing Even More Important Now? C.M.G. Shallow MSc (Marketing) BA DipExM DipITB cshallow@gmail.com 1-2 Why is Marketing Even More Important Now? ―The 2010s, it is sometimes said, will be an age of scarcity. The warning signs of change are said to be the food-price spike of 2007-08, the bid by China and others to grab access to oil, iron ore and farmland and the global recession. The main problems of scarcity are water and food shortages, demographic change* and state failure.‖ The Economist, 30th January, 2010, p67. * ―Demography is destiny‖, Auguste Comte, 19th-century French sociologist. Why is Marketing Even More Important Now? C.M.G. Shallow MSc (Marketing) BA DipExM DipITB cshallow@gmail.com 1-3 Why is Marketing Even More Important Now? “As the cost of communicating with the other side of the globe falls essentially to zero, as India becomes (by 2010) the country with the most English speakers in the world, and as developing nations continue to mint millions of extremely capable knowledge workers, the professional lives of people in the West will change dramatically. If number crunching, chart reading and code writing can be done for a lot less overseas and delivered to clients instantly via fibre- optic cable, that‟s where the work will go.” A Whole New Mind: Moving from the Information Age to the Conceptual Age, 2006, Daniel Pink.
Why is Marketing Even More Important Now?
C.M.G. Shallow MSc (Marketing) BA DipExM DipITB cshallow@gmail.com 1-4 Why is Marketing Even More Important Now? Daniel Pink brings up three crucial questions for the success of any business, any person: 1. Can a computer do it faster? 2. Is what I'm offering in demand in an age of abundance? 3. Can someone overseas do it cheaper?
A Whole New Mind: Moving from the Information Age
to the Conceptual Age, 2006, Daniel Pink.
Why is Marketing Even More Important Now?
C.M.G. Shallow MSc (Marketing) BA DipExM DipITB cshallow@gmail.com 1-5 Why is Marketing Even More Important Now? “Lawyers. Accountants. Computer programmers. That‟s what our parents encouraged us to become when we grew up. But Mom and Dad were wrong. The future belongs to a very different kind of person with a very different kind of mind. The era of „left brain‟ dominance, and the Information Age that it engendered, are giving way to a new world in which „right brain‟ qualities – inventiveness, empathy, meaning – predominate.” A Whole New Mind: Moving from the Information Age to the Conceptual Age, 2006, Daniel Pink.
Why is Marketing Even More Important Now?
C.M.G. Shallow MSc (Marketing) BA DipExM DipITB cshallow@gmail.com 1-6 Why is Marketing Even More Important Now? ―There is just a job, and in more cases than ever before it will go to the best, smartest, most productive, or cheapest worker – wherever he or she resides.‖
Chapter 6 The Untouchables, The World Is Flat, 2007
edition, Thomas L. Friedman.
Why is Marketing Even More Important Now?
C.M.G. Shallow MSc (Marketing) BA DipExM DipITB cshallow@gmail.com 1-7 Why is Marketing Even More Important Now? BUT “only certain kinds of white-collar jobs – those that can be reduced to a set of rules, routines, and instructions. That‟s why narrow left- brain work such as basic computer coding, accounting, legal research, and financial analysis is migrating across the oceans. But that‟s also why plenty of opportunities remain for people doing less routine work – programmers who can design entire systems, accountants who serve as life planners, and bankers expert less in the intricacies of Excel than in the art of the deal.” A Whole New Mind: Moving from the Information Age to the Conceptual Age, 2006, Daniel Pink.
Why is Marketing Even More Important Now?
C.M.G. Shallow MSc (Marketing) BA DipExM DipITB cshallow@gmail.com 1-8 Why is Marketing Even More Important Now? ―In a world upended by outsourcing, deluged with data, and choked with choices, the abilities that matter most are now closer in spirit to the specialities of the right [brain] hemisphere – artistry, empathy, seeing the big picture, and pursuing the transcendent.‖ A Whole New Mind: Moving from the Information Age to the Conceptual Age, 2006, Daniel Pink.
Why is Marketing Even More Important?
C.M.G. Shallow MSc (Marketing) BA DipExM DipITB cshallow@gmail.com 1-9 Why is Marketing Even More Important Now? ―‘Untouchables‘, in my lexicon, are people whose jobs cannot be outsourced, digitalised, or automated.‖
Chapter 6 The Untouchables, The World Is Flat, 2007
edition, Thomas L. Friedman.
Why is Marketing Even More Important Now?
C.M.G. Shallow MSc (Marketing) BA DipExM DipITB cshallow@gmail.com 1-10 Why is Marketing Even More Important Now? For Pink creativity becomes the competitive difference that can differentiate commodities (and YOU are a commodity, too); that can make people untouchables. A Whole New Mind: Moving from the Information Age to the Conceptual Age, 2006, Daniel Pink.
Why is Marketing Even More Important Now?
C.M.G. Shallow MSc (Marketing) BA DipExM DipITB cshallow@gmail.com 1-11 Why is Marketing Even More Important Now? Pink outlines six essential senses [for untouchables]: 1. Design – Moving beyond function to engage the sense. 2. Story – Narrative added to products and services - not just argument. Best of the six senses. 3. Symphony – Adding invention and big picture thinking (not just detail focus). 4. Empathy – Going beyond logic and engaging emotion and intuition. 5. Play – Bringing humor and light-heartedness to business and products. 6. Meaning – Immaterial feelings and values of products.
A Whole New Mind: Moving from the Information Age
to the Conceptual Age, 2006, Daniel Pink.
Why is Marketing Even More Important Now?
C.M.G. Shallow MSc (Marketing) BA DipExM DipITB cshallow@gmail.com 1-12 Why is Marketing Even More Important Now? Untouchables: Great Collaborators and Orchestrators Great Synthesisers Great Explainers Great Leveragers Great Adapters Green People Passionate Personalisers Math Lovers Great Localisers Chapter 6 The Untouchables, The World Is Flat, 2007 edition, Thomas L. Friedman.
Why is Marketing Even More Important Now?
C.M.G. Shallow MSc (Marketing) BA DipExM DipITB cshallow@gmail.com 1-13 Why is Marketing Even More Important Now? If you want to be untouchables – people with jobs that a “computer or robot cannot do faster or some talented foreigner cannot do cheaper and just as well”, you need to focus on constantly developing your right- brain skills – “such as forging relationships rather than executing transactions, tackling novel challenges instead of solving routine problems, and synthesising the big picture rather than analysing a single component”. A Whole New Mind: Moving from the Information Age to the Conceptual Age, 2006, Daniel Pink.
Why is Marketing Even More Important Now?
C.M.G. Shallow MSc (Marketing) BA DipExM DipITB cshallow@gmail.com 1-14 Why is Marketing Even More Important Now? Marketing is both an art and a science and combines both narrow left-brain work and ‗high concept‘, ‗high touch‘ creative right-brain work. ‘High concept’: involves the ability to create artistic and emotional beauty, to detect patterns and opportunities, to craft a satisfying narrative, and to come up with inventions the world didn‘t know it was missing. ‘High touch’: involves the capacity to emphasise, to understand the subtleties of human interaction, to find joy in one‘s self and to elicit it in others, and to stretch in pursuit of purpose and meaning. – DEFINITIONS based on A Whole New Mind: Moving from the Information Age to the Conceptual Age, 2006, Daniel Pink.
Why is Marketing Even More Important Now?
C.M.G. Shallow MSc (Marketing) BA DipExM DipITB cshallow@gmail.com 1-15 Why is Marketing Even More Important Now? But how exactly do you go about nurturing your right-brain skills? One way to nurture your right-brain is by doing something you love to do – or at least like to do – because you will bring something intangible to it, something out of your right brain, which cannot be easily repeated, automated, or outsourced. As Pink puts it: “The sort of abilities that matter most now it turns out are also the sorts of things that people do out of intrinsic motivation.” The World Is Flat, 2007 edition, Thomas L. Friedman.
Why is Marketing Even More Important Now?
C.M.G. Shallow MSc (Marketing) BA DipExM DipITB cshallow@gmail.com 1-16 Why is Marketing Even More Important Now? We and especially you (because you are likely to live longer than me) are living in a time of rapidly increasing competition for resources. (We discuss this later.) For now, consider the following: “People in the Third World aspire to First World living standards”. “If the people of China alone achieved a First World living standard while everyone else‟s living standard remained constant, that would double our human impact on the world (Chapter 12).” Collapse: How Societies Choose To Fail Or Succeed, 2005, Jared Diamond. (p495).
Why is Marketing Even More Important Now?
C.M.G. Shallow MSc (Marketing) BA DipExM DipITB cshallow@gmail.com 1-17 Why is Marketing Even More Important Now? “Even if the human populations of the Third World did not exist, it would be impossible for the First World alone to maintain its present course, because it is not in a steady state but is depleting its own resources as well as those imported from the Third World. At present, it is untenable politically for First World political leaders to propose to their own citizens that they lower their living standards . . . ” Collapse: How Societies Choose To Fail Or Succeed, 2005, Jared Diamond. (p496).
Why is Marketing Even More Important Now?
C.M.G. Shallow MSc (Marketing) BA DipExM DipITB cshallow@gmail.com 1-18 Why is Marketing Even More Important Now? “By 2010 2bn people and close to 80mn co‟s will be trading on the Internet – all the time, in real time!” ―In India and China, which doubtless will be the biggest economies by 2030, there will be over two billion people connected to the Internet. Today worldwide there are a little under 400m [1,733m, 2009]. India and China will have five times the Internet economic output in their countries that we have today worldwide from those 400 million.‖ Thomas Power, Chief Knowledge Officer, The Why Ecademy.com, is Marketing Even www.More Important Ecademy.com, Now?2000. August C.M.G. Shallow MSc (Marketing) BA DipExM DipITB cshallow@gmail.com 1-19 Why is Marketing Even More Important Now? “. . . increasing ease of global market entry means new suppliers hunting your customers. And new suppliers are going to keep coming and coming . . . your customers are going to be under siege. ―In tomorrow‘s world only extreme performers by today‘s standards will survive. For these extreme performers immersing their whole operation in the brand will be their differentiator.‖ Will Murray, Brand Storm, A Tale of Passion, Betrayal, and Revenge, 2000. (px)
Why is Marketing Even More Important Now?
C.M.G. Shallow MSc (Marketing) BA DipExM DipITB cshallow@gmail.com 1-20 Why is Marketing Even More Important Now? What industries should you avoid? The long-term sick (US airlines, US car companies) Industries immediately affected by credit and economic crises (home builders, mortgage lenders, monoline insurers) Industries soon affected by credit and economic crises (retailing, restaurants, manufacturing and food processing). Industries that produce high-priced consumer durable goods and luxury goods such as cars and jewellery.
Why is Marketing Even More Important Now?
C.M.G. Shallow MSc (Marketing) BA DipExM DipITB cshallow@gmail.com 1-21 Why is Marketing Even More Important Now? A non-definitive list of recession-proof industries: Medical Services / Healthcare / Pharmaceuticals Necessities: food / grocery stores / cosmetics Education Entertainment Home & vehicle repair & maintenance / improvement Debt collection Tax preparation / simplification Career / Job search / Life coaching Energy Security / Alarm services companies Weapons industry Vices
Why is Marketing Even More Important Now?
C.M.G. Shallow MSc (Marketing) BA DipExM DipITB cshallow@gmail.com 1-22 Why is Marketing Even More Important Now? Unhealthy Investments Are Best! By Andrew M. Gordon What trumps a stalled economy? Demographics. And what are the two biggest demographic trends today? Globally, it's the rapid growth of a middle class in countries like India, China, and Brazil [and Russia; the so-called BRIC countries, CS]. They want what we already have: a nice car and house, modern appliances, and good education and health care for their children. Domestically, it's back to the future. Boomers [like me, CS] still rule. And they're getting old. Hospitals, long-term- care facilities, vaccines, and medicines of all kinds will see greater demand. What these two trends have in common is health care. Globally and domestically, it's set to grow – even if the economy isn't."
Why is Marketing Even More Important Now?
C.M.G. Shallow MSc (Marketing) BA DipExM DipITB cshallow@gmail.com 1-23 Why is Marketing Even More Important Now? A few last points: “In a study of single and married women from countries across the world, females consistently rated „ambition‟ and „industriousness‟ as „important‟ or „indispensable‟. This was not true for men.” ―The pattern was clear. Men sought attractiveness and offered resources. Women sought resources and offered attractiveness.‖ “Buss cites several studies that independently demonstrate that high-earning women in the U.S.A. are even more demanding in their demand for status in men. Female millionaires want male billionaires.”
Why is Marketing Even More Important Now?
C.M.G. Shallow MSc (Marketing) BA DipExM DipITB cshallow@gmail.com 1-24 Why is Marketing Even More Important Now? So . . . you MUST learn how to market (brand) yourself and your company much better than the competition if you are not going to suffer lower living standards, in the near future. Competition is increasing fast, resources are not! Former Fed chairman Alan Greenspan predicts that the Fed will have to raise interest rates to double- digit levels in coming years to thwart inflation. [Too much demand vs. too little supply.] – The flow of people into the workforce in developing countries such as China, which has seen a movement of workers from farms into factories, will slow, leading to stronger wage pressures and prices, he says. The impact will be global.
Why is Marketing Even More Important Now?
C.M.G. Shallow MSc (Marketing) BA DipExM DipITB cshallow@gmail.com 1-25 Why is Marketing Even More Important Now? UPDATE: The next phase of the world‘s economic downturn is taking shape: a global jobs crisis. . . . the severity, breadth and likely length of the recession, together with changes in the structure of labour markets in both rich and emerging economies, suggest the world is about to undergo its biggest increase in unemployment for decades.
―The Economist‖, 390, 8622, March 14th, 2009, p64.
Why is Marketing Even More Important Now?
C.M.G. Shallow MSc (Marketing) BA DipExM DipITB cshallow@gmail.com 1-26 Why is Marketing Even More Important Now? UPDATE 2: developed world [governments have] to reduce national deficits without choking off a fragile recovery; trim the welfare state and raise taxes while still funding the things that lead to long-term growth; [and] enact brutally painful measures. Sometime over the next decade or so, the world will probably suffer from another series of crushing fiscal crises with significant economic pain and maximum political turmoil. DAVID BROOKS, ―The New York Times‖, 13th May 2010. http://www.nytimes.com/2010/05/14/opinion/14brooks.html Why is Marketing Even More Important Now? C.M.G. Shallow MSc (Marketing) BA DipExM DipITB cshallow@gmail.com 1-27 Why is Marketing Even More Important Now? UPDATE 3:With the exception of wartime, “the public finances in the majority of advanced industrial countries are in a worse state today than at any time since the industrial revolution,” Willem Buiter, Citigroup‟s top economist, wrote in a recent report.
―Restoring fiscal balance will be a drag on growth
for years to come.‖ NELSON D. SCHWARTZ and ERIC DASH, ‚Fears Intensify That Euro Crisis Could Snowball ‗, ―The New York Times‖, 16th May 2010. http://www.nytimes.com/2010/05/17/business/global/17fear.html
Why is Marketing Even More Important Now?
C.M.G. Shallow MSc (Marketing) BA DipExM DipITB cshallow@gmail.com 1-28 Why is Marketing Even More Important Now? Demographic Change Populations are declining. Czech couples have, on average, 1.33 children, nowhere near the 2.1 required to naturally sustain the population. e.g., population (000s), Eurostat: 2008, 2035, 2060 Czech Republic: 10,346, 10,288 (-0.6%), 9,514 (-8.0%) Slovak Republic: 5,399, 5,231 (-3.1%), 4,547 (-15.8%)
Why is Marketing Even More Important Now?
C.M.G. Shallow MSc (Marketing) BA DipExM DipITB cshallow@gmail.com 1-29 Why is Marketing Even More Important Now? Demographic Change The population will continue to age. By 2050, every 3rd Czech will, according to the Berlin Institute for Population and Development, be over 65 years of age. Ageing populations worry all European governments concerned about how to pay for pensions.
Why is Marketing Even More Important Now?
C.M.G. Shallow MSc (Marketing) BA DipExM DipITB cshallow@gmail.com 1-30 Why is Marketing Even More Important Now? Demographic Change The old age dependency ratio – the population 65 years and older divided by the working age population – is projected to be more than 60% in Bulgaria, the Czech Republic (3x; now 20%), Latvia, Lithuania, Poland, Romania, Slovenia and Slovakia (also 3x). In other words . . . there will be less than 2 persons of working age (i.e. taxpayers) for every person aged 65 or more in 2060, instead of 5 (CR, SK).
Why is Marketing Even More Important Now?
C.M.G. Shallow MSc (Marketing) BA DipExM DipITB cshallow@gmail.com 1-31 Why is Marketing Even More Important Now? Change is coming . . . ―Pressure from demography, climate change and shifts in economic power builds up quietly for a long time—and then triggers abrupt shifts.‖ The Economist, 30th January, 2010, p67.
Are you ready for these abrupt
shifts? Are your skills? Your brand? Why is Marketing Even More Important Now? C.M.G. Shallow MSc (Marketing) BA DipExM DipITB cshallow@gmail.com 1-32 Why is Marketing Even More Important Now?
Any Questions, Please?
C.M.G. Shallow MSc (Marketing) BA DipExM DipITB cshallow@gmail.com 1-36
Why is Marketing Even More Important Now?
End
C.M.G. Shallow MSc (Marketing) BA DipExM DipITB cshallow@gmail.com
Why is Marketing Even More Important Now?
C.M.G. Shallow MSc (Marketing) BA DipExM DipITB cshallow@gmail.com 1-38