Beruflich Dokumente
Kultur Dokumente
A publication of the School of Economics, University of Asia & the Pacific, Philippines
In this issue
Feature
Industry statistics
12 Gross value added (GVA) in real
estate, renting, & business
activities
may The industry monitor is a monthly publication of the School of Economics of the University of Asia and the Pacific •
Pearl Drive, Ortigas Center, Pasig City, Metro Manila, Philippines 1605 • Telephone: 637-0912 to 26; Telefax: 632-7968.
2 0 1 4 The comments and views expressed in these papers are solely the responsibility of the authors and do not represent any
position held by UA&P. These papers may not be distributed in full or in part without prior written authorization.
Acknowledgements: Editing Ma. Victoria Anastacio • Layout Rommel B. Casipit • Design Art & Copy Communication
Design Inc. • Printing Inkwell Publishing Co. Inc.
may 2014 F E A T U R E
and
Jovi C. Dacanay
Economist
School of Economics, UA&P
T
he last part of this four-part series presents the final results and provides the
conclusion of the study.
Star Power and Word-of-Mouth factors. In Table 1, the regression results yielded John,
Apart from coopetition, it is also important to Sarah, and Anne as highly significant in the equation.
note the effect on and significance to overall gross This implies that films with these stars explain the
revenues of star power on its own before going into its film’s gross revenue. In effect, having John, Sarah and
contribution to a film’s weekly sales along with other Anne in a film may raise the film’s gross revenue.
Table 1 • Summary of results on the effect of star power Table 1 • Summary of results on the effect of star power
on overall gross revenues on overall gross revenues
Variable Significance Variable Significance
John +++ Toni NS
Sarah +++ Ai Ai NS
Anne +++ R2 59.59%
Angel + Adjusted R2 52.50%
Bea +
Note: +++ Highly significant (p-value is less than 0.01); ++ Very significant
Dingdong + (p-value is from 0.01 to 0.05; + Significant (p-value is greater than 0.05);
ns otherwise
Marian NS
F E A T U R E
Comedy +
β3produceri+β4genrei + β5screenweek1it -β6competeweek1 R2 63.97%
Adjusted R2 49.71%
Note: +++ Highly Significant (p-value is less than 0.01); ++ Very Significant
(p-value is from 0.01 to 0.05; + Significant (p-value is greater than 0.05); ns
otherwise; highlighted (factor11)
Following the conceptual framework, Table 3
contains the variables that explain gross revenue for the
& THE
first week of exhibition. It can be seen that production The following films exhibited the highest first-week
& the
and distribution outfits, John Lloyd, Sarah Geronimo earnings that could have been explained by brand-
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and other artists are relatively significant compared related variables such as star power (see Figure 2).
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revenues especially those which include the outliers By incorporating the effects of sales in Week 1 and
of previous regressions that do not include word-of- Week 2, Table 7, the summary of the regression model,
may 2014 F E A T U R E
captures 86.36% of gross revenue. The variables that 3, 5, and 7). By doing so, they strengthen their hold
significantly explain gross revenues are the following: on the artists regardless of which outfit they belong to
industry monitor
number of days shown, word of mouth, number of or are in contract with. Coproduction allows firms to
screens, Star Cinema and the artists, John Lloyd Cruz share artists and in the Philippines’ case, this sharing
and Sarah Geronimo, in particular. These factors of artists seems to be very crucial to determining a
have to be considered if producers/distributors want movie’s revenue. Since stars are the main drivers for
to generate revenues. the effect of word of mouth, having a grasp on stars
who are known for blockbuster movies enables the
Table 7 • Summary of results for Overall gross revenues Top 5 industry players, despite some firms having an
Variable Significance average net loss, to have positive consolidated gross
Days Cinema +++ revenues and, in general, average profits. With this,
Word-of-mouth: Revweek2Factor11/
+++
they secure their dominant position in the market.
Grossrev
Screenweek2: Number of screens +++
Table 8 • Summary of results on the effect of coopetition,
IMDB + word-of-mouth, and star power as explanatory variables
Star +++ for Gross revenues
Viva ++ Variable Significance
GMA +
Days Cinema +++
Regal ++
Word-of-Mouth: Revweek2Factor11/
+++
OctoArts + Grossrev
Actor*John + Actress*Sarah +++ Screenweek2 +++
R2 88.60% Competeweek2 NS
Adjusted R 2
86.36% Moral + IMDB +++
Note: +++ Highly Significant (p-value is less than 0.01); ++ Very Significant Technical +
(p-value is from 0.01 to 0.05; + Significant (p-value is greater than 0.05); ns Actor*John +++
otherwise
Actress*(Bea + Angel) +++
Star + Viva +++
Figure 6 illustrates the number of days in cinema
GMA + Regal; +++
and gross revenues of selected films, as determined by OctoArts +++
specific variables such as star power, word of mouth, Romantic +++
and coopetition. Appendix 1 shows the gross revenues Horror NS
and days in cinema of selected films. PG +
R2 90.36%
Figure 6 • Gross revenues and Number of days in cinema of
Adjusted R2 87.58%
selected films
Note: +++ Highly significant (p-value is less than 0.01); ++ Very significant
(p-value is from 0.01 to 0.05; + Significant (p-value is greater than 0.05); ns
otherwise
Strengths-Weaknesses-Opportunities-Threats
(SWOT) Analysis
The abovementioned results can be summarized
through a presentation of the SWOT analysis.
There is a lack of creative minds in the industry that would explanatory indicators for gross revenue. The constant
be able to produce quality stories that can guarantee box
office success.
engagement of the top five firms in the industry in the
There is a lack of incentives to work in the industry due to three major variables enables them to maintain their
Weaknesses the high amusement tax.
There are high levels of advertisement expenditures market dominance in the industry.
incurred.
The actual cost of production is greater than the expected
With all these being said, it may be concluded that
cost of production. the top five firms are successful in sustaining their
In the coming years, creative industries will flourish,
market dominance through frequent engagement.
according to Dr. Villegas, attracting more people to be However, two of the five firms experienced overall
involved in the motion picture industry.
Participation of creative people in the industry will improve profit losses rather than gains from 1997 until 2011.
Opportunities the quality of films produced.
Online business models can be used to develop the idea of
Thus, it cannot be concluded that the industry is
subscription. generally experiencing success. For the top five players
The Internet can be used for advertising through social
networks. to sustain their market dominance and at the same
time generate enough revenues for general profit
The Internet is used to download pirated movies—Piracy
Threats Some consumers prefer to download and pirate foreign gains, the group recommends the following actions
films than watch movies in cinemas.
that may serve as opportunities for the industry to
perform better.
Conclusions and Recommendations • Experimentation with new genres, plots,
The sustained market dominance of the Top 5 locations, and other technicalities
production distribution firms in the motion picture The production/distribution companies may
industry can be attributed to the three major experiment with new genres, plots, locations,
circumstances they engage in and utilize when and other technicalities to create films that are
producing a movie: coopetition, star power, and word different from typical movies today. Perhaps
of mouth. Over the years, there have been numerous experimenting with new themes or even new
coproduced movies, specifically and more frequently technology may raise the quality to export
between Star Cinema and Viva, and GMA-Regal. level. Films of export quality would attract
Coopetition entails benefits in the form of generating investors from abroad and widen exhibition
more revenues from a film, and at the same time to other countries. More sources of revenue
spreading production costs through the division of from different countries will compensate for
expenses. the cost of experimentation to produce a
Greater revenues are usually generated through different film than usual.
the practice of coopetition due to the fact that the • Use of social media for advertisement of films
firms are able to share their star power in a movie. and certain projects. Increased awareness will
Famous actors and actresses under contract with intensify word of mouth and increase ticket
different production companies can star in the same sales.
movie when coproduction takes place. As a result, • Use of a step-by-step framework as a response
the companies are able to attract the fans of the to the expected boom in the creative industries
movie stars through the sharing of star power. Star in the next few years.
power, as mentioned, is the most important brand- According to Dr. Bernardo Villegas, in the
related variable that audiences usually consider when next ten years, there will be a higher demand
UNIVERSITY OF ASIA
UNIVERSITY OF ASIA
choosing a film to watch. The better known the star, for creative industries due to the rise of
the higher the first-week ticket sales. Additionally, the multidisciplinary research dialogue among
word-of-mouth phenomenon intensifies, depending individuals. He believes that creativity is
on the star power in the movie. People talk about embedded in the Filipino character, and
the brand-related variables along with the film itself, developing this creativity may contribute to
and this talk attracts a bigger audience in the second employment opportunities in these sectors. In
& THE
& the
and following weeks. As observed, the three practices spite of the prevalence of such optimism, he
are intrinsically knotted together, beginning with
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the practice of coopetition. Coopetition, star power, cycles revolving around a series of innovations.
and word-of-mouth phenomenon are the major The innovator is the key to a rise in income
may 2014 F E A T U R E
after a period of relative stagnation.” Industries costs exceed the initial production budget. For the
expecting to boom in the next decades filmmaking industry to successfully maximize its
industry monitor
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F E A T U R E 11
Gross value added (GVA) in real estate, renting, & business activities
Q1 2011 to Q4 2013 (current prices)
industry monitor
Unit: P million
2011 2012 2013
Industry/industry group Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4
Real estate 45,500 55,837 56,828 59,705 58,252 67,262 68,245 71,602 70,058 82,208 88,109 81,786
Renting and other business activities 111,330 128,641 125,680 133,558 123,177 145,024 144,609 148,155 133,673 163,408 169,303 166,985
Ownership of dwellings 96,578 97,231 97,572 96,661 100,771 103,032 104,079 102,281 105,691 108,157 108,556 104,753
Industry/industry group Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4
Real estate 26,257 31,889 32,349 33,754 32,601 37,327 37,524 39,329 37,994 44,422 47,281 43,403
Renting and other business activities 54,759 67,402 64,007 66,085 58,407 73,869 70,128 69,937 60,664 82,366 79,141 76,465
Ownership of dwellings 65,506 65,830 65,730 64,678 66,954 67,221 67,145 65,988 68,444 68,818 68,771 66,366
Industry/industry group Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4
Real estate 173.3 175.1 175.7 176.9 178.7 180.2 181.9 182.1 184.4 185.1 186.4 188.4
Renting and other business activities 203.3 190.9 196.4 202.1 210.9 196.3 206.2 211.8 220.4 198.4 213.9 218.4
Ownership of dwellings 147.4 147.7 148.4 149.4 150.5 153.3 155.0 155.0 154.4 157.2 157.9 157.8