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Ticker: INFY.BO
Target price: INR1900.00 We downgrade the Infosys common stock from a BUY to a HOLD with a 6-12 month target price of
INR1900.00.
Current price: INR1736.60
ADR BUY The ADR is expected to appreciate by approximately 26% over the next 6-12 months as the
approximately 9 percentage point fundamental upside and the 21 percentage points upside
attributable to the anticipated appreciation of the Indian rupee against the US dollar over the same
period is offset by a 4 percentage points downside due to the depreciation in the ADR premium1.
Ticker: INFY
Target price: US$54.36 We reiterate the Infosys ADR (1 ADR = 1 common stock) a BUY with a 6-12 month target price of
US$54.36
Current price: US$43.01
Report summary
Infosys 4Q 08 and FY 2008 results were reported in line with our expectations. The Indian rupee has
appreciated significantly against the US dollar during the course of the year, which led to the subdued
performance the Indian IT bellwether reported in FY 2008 compared to previous years. We believe
this, in addition to concerns of an adverse impact from a slowing US economy has negatively impacted
investor sentiment towards the Indian IT sector. Although the recent depreciatory trend witnessed in
the Indian rupee has resulted in an uptick in market expectations, this has yet to result in
improvement in volumes. Infosys’ fundamentals remain strong, aided by a healthy demand and pricing
environment coupled with inherent business levers such as utilization, scale benefits, offshore-onsite
revenue mix, and competent management. Given these factors and current price levels, our outlook
for the stock and the sector as a whole is mixed.