Ss India India is expected to continue industrializing as its economy shifts away from agriculture, As GOP per capita continues to expand amid rapid growth of the labor force, many of India's jobs of the future will be driven by construction and the consumption habits of the expanding middle class. ee R CU TR ote Demographics Economie development Wages 5% over 65 years of age intoday's 5.4% GDP por capita growth, $4,800 ovulation, ana growing to 8% by 2030 annualized 2018-80 average annual wage Automation potential 9% of current work activity hours automated by 2030. in the miopoint scenario, and up to 19% in the rapid scenario Ra Case Cy Net change in jobs by 2030 ition) Growth/decline of occupation types by 2030 Enough jobs are created in the Net change in jobs (midpoint 4% of jobs step-up scenario to offset both Occupation type automation, step-up scenario)? automation and the growth in Examples ition 2016 2030 labor force Builds Construction workers, 600 11 18 rer aleccians lost a Other jobs, predictable environments 30 27 ~@ ‘Machinists, cooks 138 Customer interaction Peta sales, artndors room Sgn nes 1 3 (ther jobs, unpredictable environments 40 32 Faamosrkers,hetghters Educators eo iA i re © 2016 basatine Managers and executives 2 2 CEOs, salos mana © obs displaced by automation sales managers bby 2030 in the midpoint scenario oicssuonort os © 005 cisplacod by automation Pyar ob tt erty by 2030 in the rapid scenario Professionals © 005 created by 2030 Frotesi 14 in the trendline scenario bushess specialists © Jobs created by 2030 echnok f inthe step-up scenario Tao donebp en ssionas 0 0 @ New occupations ant unsized labor demand? Creatives oo Authors, designers @ hange in labor force by 2030 + Historical analysis suggests tha stented. jpatonal data si al instite analy id expect 8-89 of 2 supply ill ba in “naw jobs” rate to today, w NOTE: Some o 6 basolne fom atest available 20 MekinseSree U mere CLES ‘With automation and the labor demand catalysts, workers may need to switch occupations Sector share of labor force Additions, net of Number of workers displaced by automation, and (%) automation (Milicn) those needing to change occupational categories? 120) rer Up to 6% of the 2030 workforce may need to 2016 2030 switch occupational group: and food services Other +12 2M-3M. 2 CUR 1 104 HH Agricuture 46 HE Manufacturing 441 Se si Petal and 11 wholesale trade I Construction 471 HE Transportation +1 HE Government +2 | | Education “ : = I Finance 3 Bi irarewe vst, Moin automation Rapd automation 3. RUC Re ee RC Rea nT ao Net job change by education level {1 Trendine MM Step-up Change in employment share Il step-up (Milion) by wage tercile (% of jobs) Trendline Education % total, 56 level 2016 | Projacted not change to labor comand k Less than Secondary 51 18 Associates 9 z= * a Colege 8 6 Low wage Medium wage High wage Advanced = 1 aa (o-sotn (Both-7oth —_(7Oth-99th | percentile) percentile) percentile) 1 Step-up soenario.midpsint automation, not al sectors modeled in rd catalysts (6... government 2 “Vans Jpaton groups or gain naw sls, Numbers guon ao 3 Edueatonal analyse basod on current educational quremonts, Enyoymont sasalne tom atest avaiable upational data projactod into 201 Nokinsey Global Insts analysis