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NORMINGTON, PETTS & ASSOCIATES FINAL

NPA3137 September 2018 Chicago


Hello, my name is ______________ and I'm calling from IA, a national public opinion research firm. We are not trying to sell
you anything. We're conducting a survey in Chicago on a number of public issues and your telephone number was selected
at random.

1. Are you registered to vote in Chicago?


YES ................................................................100%
NO/DON'T KNOW ...........................TERMINATE

2. Would you say things in Chicago are generally headed in the RIGHT DIRECTION or would you say things are
pretty seriously off on the WRONG TRACK?
RIGHT DIRECTION..........................................26%
WRONG TRACK ..............................................54
(DON'T KNOW) ................................................20

3. As you may know, Mayor Rahm Emanuel recently decided not to run for re-election. Knowing that, if the election
for Mayor of Chicago was held today and the candidates were: [RANDOMIZE]

• Garry McCarthy • Willie Wilson


• Paul Vallas • Amara Enyia
• Troy LaRaviere • Ja’Mal Green
• Neil Sales-Griffin • John Kozlar
• Lori Lightfoot • Matthew Roney
• Dorothy Brown

for whom would you vote? [IF UNDECIDED] Well, toward whom do you lean?

McCARTHY.......................................................... 9% WILSON .......................................................8


(LEAN McCARTHY) ............................................. 3 (LEAN WILSON)...........................................1
VALLAS................................................................ 5 ENYIA ...........................................................1
(LEAN VALLAS) ................................................... 3 (LEAN ENYIA) ..............................................0
LaRAVIERE ......................................................... 1 GREEN .........................................................2
(LEAN LaRAVIERE)............................................. <1 (LEAN GREEN) ............................................0
GRIFFIN ............................................................... 1 KOZLAR .................................................... <1
(LEAN GRIFFIN) .................................................. <1 (LEAN KOZLAR) ..........................................0
LIGHTFOOT......................................................... 5 RONEY .........................................................0
(LEAN LIGHTFOOT) ............................................ 1 (LEAN RONEY) ......................................... <1
BROWN ............................................................... 7 (UNDECIDED) ...........................................52
(LEAN BROWN)................................................... <1

TOTAL McCARTHY ............................................. 12% TOTAL WILSON ...........................................9%


TOTAL VALLAS ................................................... 8% TOTAL ENYIA ..............................................1%
TOTAL LaRAVIERE ............................................. 1% TOTAL GREEN ............................................2%
TOTAL GRIFFIN .................................................. 1% TOTAL KOZLAR........................................ <1%
TOTAL LIGHTFOOT ............................................ 6% TOTAL RONEY ......................................... <1%
TOTAL BROWN ................................................... 7%

4. Now I will read some statements about Chicago and I want you to tell me if you STRONGLY AGREE, SOMEWHAT
AGREE, SOMEWHAT DISAGREE or STRONGLY DISAGREE with each one.

STRG SMWT SMWT STRG TOTL TOTL


[RANDOMIZE] AGREE AGREE DIS DIS [DK] AGREE DIS
a. I would recommend living in my neighborhood in
Chicago to a friend or family member ............................... 54% 23 10 12 1 77% 22%
b. The tax breaks and incentives offered by Chicago to
bring in an Amazon headquarters are worth it .................. 26% 21 14 23 16 47% 37%
c. The crime in my neighborhood is getting worse ................ 26% 18 26 25 4 45% 52%
d. Chicago is a good place to find a job ................................ 41% 32 10 12 5 73% 22%
NORMINGTON, PETTS & ASSOCIATES NPA3137 Chicago 2

5. As you may know, there is a plan for a new 70 acre development on the northside called Lincoln Yards. The
current plan includes private greenspace but not a public park. Do you STRONGLY FAVOR, SOMEWHAT
FAVOR, SOMEWHAT OPPOSE or STRONGLY OPPOSE requiring that the developer include a public park?

STRONGLY FAVOR ......................................... 43%


SOMEWHAT FAVOR ........................................ 18
SOMEWHAT OPPOSE ..................................... 11
STRONGLY OPPOSE ...................................... 17
(DON'T KNOW) ................................................. 11

TOTAL FAVOR ................................................. 61%


TOTAL OPPOSE............................................... 28%

6. If there was a public park, which of the following is the most appealing to you to have? [READ AND RANDOMIZE]

A playground for kids......................................... 12%


A place to walk along the waterfront ................. 17
Better access to the water taxi ............................ 3
A community garden ........................................... 5
Summer and afterschool programs for kids ...... 42
Sports fields......................................................... 6
A nature preserve .............................................. 10
(DON’T KNOW) ................................................... 5

7. And if an elected official in Chicago were to support requiring that Lincoln Yards include a public park, would that
make you MORE or LESS likely to vote for that elected official?

MORE LIKELY .................................................. 56%


LESS LIKELY .................................................... 10
(NO DIFFERENCE)........................................... 30
(DON'T KNOW) ................................................... 5

[READ]: Now, I would like to ask you a few questions for statistical purposes only.

100. SEX [OBSERVATION: DO NOT ASK]


MALE................................................................. 46%
FEMALE ............................................................ 54

101. What is your age? [RECORD IN PROPER CATEGORY] [READ CODES IF NECESSARY]

18-29 ................................................................. 19%


30-34 ................................................................. 13
35-39 ................................................................... 8
40-44 ................................................................. 12
45-49 ................................................................... 8
50-54 ................................................................... 6
55-59 ................................................................. 10
60-64 ................................................................... 7
65-69 ................................................................... 7
70+ ...................................................................... 8
(REFUSED) ......................................................... 2

102. What is the last grade you completed in school?


SOME GRADE SCHOOL (1-8) ......................... <1%
SOME HIGH SCHOOL (9-11) ............................. 3
GRADUATED HIGH SCHOOL.......................... 14
TECHNICAL/VOCATIONAL ................................ 1
SOME COLLEGE BUT NO DEGREE ............... 23
ASSOCIATES DEGREE ................................... 11
BACHELORS DEGREE .................................... 26
GRADUATE SCHOOL/PROFESSIONAL ......... 18
(DON’T KNOW/REFUSED)................................. 4
NORMINGTON, PETTS & ASSOCIATES NPA3137 Chicago 3

103. When it comes to politics, do you generally consider yourself to be a DEMOCRAT, a REPUBLICAN, or an
INDEPENDENT?
STRONG DEMOCRAT ..................................... 35%
WEAK DEMOCRAT .......................................... 21
IND/LEAN DEMOCRAT .................................... 14
INDEPENDENT................................................. 11
IND/LEAN REPUBLICAN .................................... 6
WEAK REPUBLICAN .......................................... 5
STRONG REPUBLICAN ..................................... 3
(DON'T KNOW) ................................................... 5

TOTAL WITH LEANS


DEMOCRAT ...................................................... 70%
INDEPENDENT................................................. 16%
REPUBLICAN ................................................... 13%

TOTAL WITHOUT LEANS


DEMOCRAT ...................................................... 56%
INDEPENDENT................................................. 37%
REPUBLICAN ..................................................... 7%

106. Thinking in political terms, would you say that you are VERY LIBERAL, SOMEWHAT LIBERAL, MODERATE,
SOMEWHAT CONSERVATIVE or VERY CONSERVATIVE?
VERY LIBERAL ................................................. 18%
SOMEWHAT LIBERAL ..................................... 24
MODERATE ...................................................... 33
SOMEWHAT CONSERVATIVE ........................ 11
VERY CONSERVATIVE ..................................... 6
(DON'T KNOW) ................................................... 7

107. To make sure we have a representative sample of voters, could you please tell me your race? [IF NECESSARY]
Well most people consider themselves BLACK, WHITE, HISPANIC or ASIAN-AMERICAN.

BLACK OR AFRICAN AMERICAN ................... 35%


WHITE ............................................................... 38
HISPANIC OR LATINO ..................................... 17
ASIAN-AMERICAN ............................................. 3
(OTHER) ............................................................. 3
(DON’T KNOW/REFUSED)................................. 4

Thank you for taking the time to complete this interview.

Region
HISPANIC ......................................................... 22%
NORTH.............................................................. 34
SOUTH .............................................................. 34
WEST ................................................................ 11