WEST VIRGINIA SENATE TOPLINES

CONFIDENTIAL DOCUMENT
N equals 600 respondents
Fielded October 11-13, 2018
MoE ± 4.0%

My name is _______________ of a national survey research firm. We’re talking with people like you
today across West Virginia and would like to ask you a few questions on a confidential basis. You have
been selected randomly to participate in a survey and have a rare opportunity to voice your opinions. I
am not selling or promoting any product and I am not asking for a donation; I simply want to know what
you think and how you feel. (DO NOT PAUSE)

1. Do state and county records show you to be registered as… (RANDOMIZE)

36% Republican
19% Independent or Unaffiliated
42% Democratic
3% Unsure / refused (vol)
____________________________________________________________________________________

2. Now looking ahead to the upcoming election in November, how likely would you say you are to
vote in the election this November? Would you say you are… (ROTATE TOP TO BOTTOM,
BOTTOM TO TOP)

94% Very Likely

6% Somewhat Likely
____________________________________________________________________________________

3. Now, thinking about the election for Senate that will be held in November – If the election for
Senate were being held today, and you had to make a choice, would you be voting for …
(ROTATE CHOICES) (Probe: And would you DEFINTELY vote for the Republican/Democrat
candidate or just PROBABLY?)

43% Total Republican

38% Definitely Republican
5% Probably Republican

13% Undecided (vol)

44% Total Democrat

13% Probably Democrat
31% Definitely Democrat

* Refused (vol)

____________________________________________________________________________________

the polling company, inc./WomanTrend on behalf of Citizens United Political Victory Fund
West Virginia Senate TOPLINE
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IF “UNDECIDED” IN PREVIOUS QUESTION, ASK:
4. And which party’s candidate do you lean toward at this time? (ROTATE CHOICES)

N75
21% The Republican Candidate
27% The Democrat Candidate

41% Hard Undecided (vol)

10% Neither (vol)
1% Refused (vol)

____________________________________________________________________________________

Now thinking about President Trump…

5. Do you approve or disapprove of the job Donald Trump is doing as President?

(Probe: If choice made, ask: Is that strongly or somewhat (approve / disapprove)?)

62% Total Approve

55% Strongly Approve
8% Somewhat Approve

35% Total Disapprove

4% Somewhat Disapprove
30% Strongly Disapprove

3% Unsure / refused (vol)

____________________________________________________________________________________

NAME RECOGNITION AND FAVORABILITY RATINGS

Switching topics slightly for a moment, I am going to read you the names of a few people. After I read
each name, first please tell me if you have heard of that person, and then tell me if you have a favorable
or unfavorable opinion of that person. If you have no opinion of a person, or have never heard of a
particular person, just tell me and we’ll move on. (RANDOMIZE IN SECTION)

(ASK FAVORABLE/UNFAVORABLE): And do you have a STRONGLY (favorable/unfavorable) opinion of

that person, or just a SOMEWHAT (favorable/unfavorable) opinion of that person?

6. Patrick Morrisey

95% Total Name ID

88% Hard Name ID

42% Total Favorable

23% Strongly Favorable
19% Somewhat Favorable

46% Total Unfavorable

10% Somewhat Unfavorable
36% Strongly Unfavorable

7% Heard of / No Opinion
3% Never Heard Of
1% Do Not Know (vol)
* Refused (vol)
____________________________________________________________________________________

the polling company, inc./WomanTrend on behalf of Citizens United Political Victory Fund
West Virginia Senate TOPLINE
2
7. Joe Manchin

99% Total Name ID

96% Hard Name ID

55% Total Favorable

29% Strongly Favorable
26% Somewhat Favorable

41% Total Unfavorable

17% Somewhat Unfavorable
24% Strongly Unfavorable

3% Heard of / No Opinion
1% Never Heard Of
1% Do Not Know (vol)
- Refused (vol)
____________________________________________________________________________________

BALLOT TEST

8. If the election for U.S. Senate were tomorrow, who would you vote for if the race was between
(ROTATE) Republican Patrick Morrisey, and Democrat Joe Manchin?

(Probe: And Would That Be Definitely or Probably For [Insert Candidate]?)

(Probe Those Who Say Undecided: Toward Which Candidate Do You Lean?)

45% Total Patrick Morrisey

36% Definitely Patrick Morrisey
8% Probably Patrick Morrisey
1% Lean Patrick Morrisey

49% Total Joe Manchin

2% Lean Joe Manchin
11% Probably Joe Manchin
36% Definitely Joe Manchin

3% Hard Undecided/Do Not Know (vol)

2% Other (Please Specify) (Record Verbatim) (vol)
* Would Not Vote (vol)
* Refused (vol)
____________________________________________________________________________________

the polling company, inc./WomanTrend on behalf of Citizens United Political Victory Fund
West Virginia Senate TOPLINE
3
ADDITIONAL DEMOGRAPHICS
Finally, I would like to ask you a few confidential statistical questions, for generic classification purposes
only.

9. In the Presidential election in 2016, please tell me who you voted for. As you’ll recall, the
candidates were… (Randomize choices)

69% Donald Trump, Republican

26% Hillary Clinton, Democrat
1% Gary Johnson, Libertarian
1% Jill Stein, Green Party
3% Other names (vol)
* Did not vote (vol)
* Refused (vol)
____________________________________________________________________________________

10. In which year were you born? (Place into category)

21% 18-34
30% 35-54
19% 55-64
30% 65+
- Refused
____________________________________________________________________________________

11. And, which of the following best describes your racial or ethnic background? (READ AND
ROTATE)

89% White or Caucasian

4% African-American or Black
1% Hispanic or Latino
1% Asian or Pacific Islander
3% Multi-Racial or Other (vol)
2% Do Not Know (vol)
* Refused (vol)
____________________________________________________________________________________

12. County

6% Berkeley
5% Cabell
4% Harrison
3% Jefferson
11% Kanawha
3% Marion
3% Mercer
5% Monongalia
3% Ohio
4% Putnam
4% Raleigh
5% Wood
45% Rest of State

____________________________________________________________________________________

the polling company, inc./WomanTrend on behalf of Citizens United Political Victory Fund
West Virginia Senate TOPLINE
4
13. Gender

48% Male
52% Female
____________________________________________________________________________________

the polling company, inc./WomanTrend on behalf of Citizens United Political Victory Fund
West Virginia Senate TOPLINE
5