Beruflich Dokumente
Kultur Dokumente
PAWL 7 R
2 E •V IDEEWC E7 M
2 B E R 2 0 0 0 79
Rubén Kaztman
Director of the Social From the early decades of the twentieth century onward,
Integration, Poverty and the level of equity achieved in Uruguay, and the sophistica-
Exclusion Research
tion of its social welfare institutions, set the country apart
Programme,
from the rest of Latin America. In the second half of the
Universidad Católica
de Uruguay century, this heritage of democracy and equity survived the
Kaztman@adinet.com.uy severe tests to which it was subjected without fracturing too
badly. The strength of the country’s sociocultural founda-
Fernando Filgueira tions was convincingly demonstrated after the restoration
Doctor of Politics and of democracy in 1985, when Uruguay succeeded in main-
Researcher with the same taining the position it had traditionally held as the regional
programme leader in social development, this leadership being mani-
filgue@chasque.apc.org
fested at this time in the country’s indices of poverty and
inequality as measured by income distribution, which were
Magdalena Furtado
low by the standards of other Latin American nations. The
Economist
authors contend that in the last fifteen years of the twentieth
ECLAC Montevideo office
century, Uruguay succeeded in coping with these challenges
cepal@adinet.com.uy
by maintaining a good balance between the political, social
and economic aspects of development. They analyse the
subject by placing the position of Uruguay in a Latin Ameri-
can context. Using the same type of indicators, they then
describe how the country evolved in the closing fifteen years
of the twentieth century, after which they discuss some of
the most important processes underlying these trends in the
market, in households and in the State. Lastly, they offer
some reflections on the main challenges that the country
will have to address if it is to retain or improve the level of
national integration already achieved, on a basis of equity.
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I
Introduction
Although it is a widespread phenomenon, the economic being manifested at this time in the country’s indices
restructuring that globalization entails does not occur of poverty and inequality as measured by income
in a social and political vacuum. On the contrary, it distribution, which were low by the standards of other
takes place in societies that differ widely in terms of Latin American nations.
their regulatory systems, institutional structures, legal The conditions brought about by the return to
frameworks and welfare systems, which encapsulate democracy undoubtedly made it easier to preserve this
the most important features of their sociocultural heritage of equity, and to cope with the new challenges
characteristics. Thus, while the processes that stem from that threatened its survival. The country had to find
current development models are to be found in most its place in a globalized world, extend the boundaries
countries, the pace, sequence and substance of reforms, of competitiveness and adapt the workings of welfare
and thus their social consequences, are different. institutions to the demands of sustained growth within
From the early decades of the twentieth century these new parameters, and the main threats stemmed
onward, the level of equity achieved in Uruguay, and from the consequences of these changes, which
the sophistication of its social welfare institutions, set affected different segments of society in different
the country apart from the rest of Latin America. The ways.
absence of significant ethnic and cultural divisions, In this section it is contended that, in the last fifteen
substantial primary product surpluses and early years of the twentieth century, the country managed to
democratic consolidation were some of the factors that cope with these challenges by maintaining an
helped establish the sociocultural foundations which appropriate balance between the political, social and
were to give rise to this special position. economic aspects of development, which has led some
In the second half of the century, this heritage of specialists in these subjects to regard it as an example
democracy and equity survived the severe tests to which of successful gradualism.1 In describing this process
it was subjected without fracturing too badly. These as “successful” –in a regional context, of course– we
tests included prolonged economic stagnation, conflicts should not overlook the fact that, like all Latin American
between radically differing approaches to the countries, Uruguay is now being profoundly affected
organization of society and the economy –which by the serious problems that come with economic
imperilled political stability for a time– and a coup restructuring, weak job creation and pressure to
d’état which put a military Government into power. The deregulate the labour market. In truth, the consequences
strength of the country’s sociocultural foundations was of these problems are already manifesting themselves
convincingly demonstrated after the restoration of as rents in the traditionally integrated social fabric of
democracy in 1985, when Uruguay succeeded in the country, and in the warnings that are being sounded
maintaining the position it had traditionally held as the about the difficulties involved in sustaining its style of
regional leader in social development, this leadership balanced growth.
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II
Uruguay in the Latin American context
that Latin America has the most regressive distribution Latin America (nine countries): Indices of inequality
and poverty
of wealth of any region in the world. The figures for
Uruguay, however, set it clearly apart from its regional Inequality a Poverty b
context (table 1). Argentina 1990 9.3 16
The values of the inequality and poverty indices 1997 9.6 13
for 1990 and 1997 are lower in Uruguay than in the Change 3.2% -18.8%
Bolivia 1989 12.6 49
other countries appearing in the table. Similarly, the
1997 10.8 47
indicators showing how the social situation changed in Change -14.3% -4.1%
that period reveal that poverty and inequality were re- Brazil 1990 16.3 36
duced to a greater extent there even than in Argentina 1996 16.8 25
and Chile, which had higher rates of per capita gross Change 3.1% -30.6%
Chile 1990 11.7 33
domestic product growth in those years than Uruguay
1996 11.8 19
(33.2%, 53.3% and 27.2%, respectively). Change 0.9% -42.4%
In short, Uruguay showed a greater capacity to Colombia 1990 10.2 35
mitigate the adverse social effects of the liberalization 1997 12.2 39
and macroeconomic adjustment processes than other Change 19.6% 11.4%
Ecuador 1990 7.1 56
countries in the region.
1997 7.4 50
The good relative performance of Uruguay in the Change 4.2% -10.7%
sphere of social justice has its counterpart in the legiti- Mexico 1989 9.1 34
macy that the country’s citizens attribute to its democ- 1996 7.7 38
racy and institutions, as table 2 shows. The commit- Change -15.4% 11.8%
Paraguay 1990 6.2 37
ment of the population to the democratic system means
1996 7.6 34
that Uruguayan public opinion credits this system with Change 22.6% -8.1%
greater legitimacy, response capabilities, utility and Uruguay 1990 6.2 12
responsibility than is the case in most of the other coun- 1997 4.7 6
tries in the region. For every one of the statements in- Change -24.2% -50.0%
cluded in this table that bespeak confidence in and sat- Source: ECLAC (1999).
isfaction with the workings of democracy, and in the a Quotient between the average incomes of the richest 10% and
weighted sum of percentages of positive responses to the poorest 40%.
b
each question, Uruguayans show themselves to be more Percentage of households below the poverty line.
TABLE 2
Latin America (eight countries): Views about democracy, 1995
(Percentage replying affirmatively)
Source: Kaztman (1997), on the basis of data from Basañez, Lagos and Beltrán (1996).
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30 Panama
“the processes of aggregating the preferences of indi- El Salvador
Chile
25
viduals more complex and uncertain and exacerbates Nicaragua
Bolivia Brazil
20 Paraguay
conflicts over the distribution of public resources. The Colombia
III
Trends in poverty and inequality since
the restoration of democracy
entrenched as a result of processes that usually extend over a number 30% 25.4
of generations and that have profound inertial effects on the political 25% 20.5
19,6 19.0
20% 17.9
attitudes of citizens. 15.2
13.6 14.7 15.7 16.0 15.5
3 The index of poverty used here is based on estimates of the cost 15% 12.8
10%
of the basic food basket produced by the Uruguayan National
5%
Institute of Statistics, these being based on the results of the
0%
Household Expenditure and Income Survey carried out in 1994-
1986 1987 1988 1989 1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998
1995. Although the tendency is generally the same, this index differs
% of households that are poor
in magnitude from the one used for comparative purposes in the
Social Panorama of Latin America ( ECLAC, 1999), which was the Source: Produced by the author on the basis of National Institute
source for table 1. of Statistics (INE ) standing household surveys.
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FIGURE 3 FIGURE 4
Relationship between growth and poverty. Urban total, Percentage of all poor households containing poor
1986-1998 old-age pensioners, 1989, 1994 and 1998
(Percentages) (Percentages)
40%
50%
44.2
30%
40.2
40% 36.4 35.8
20% 33.0 34.6
31.8 32.7 32.4
30%
10%
0% 20%
1987 1988 1989 1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998
-10% 10%
-20% 0%
Montevideo
Montevideo Urban
Interiorinterior
Urbano Urban total
Total Urbano
Reductionde
Reducción in la
poverty
pobreza Change indel
Variación peringreso
capitaper
household
cápita deincome
los hogares
1989 1994 1998
Source: Produced by the author on the basis of National Institute Source: Produced by the author on the basis of National Institute
of Statistics ( INE) standing household surveys. of Statistics (INE) standing household surveys.
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in urban areas fell from 2.89 to 2.60 per woman. Trends FIGURE 6
Changes in some critical deficiency levels.
of this nature generally reflect an increase in the amount
Urban areas of Uruguay, 1991-1998
of human capital vested in women and their willingness
to make use of it by improving their opportunities in 15.0
14.0
were more likely to fall into poverty. Fertility rates for 6.0
5.0
4.0
those without schooling fell from 3.92 to 2.88, while 2.0
trends from the one employed in the Social Panorama of Latin America Quintile 1 Quintile 2 Quintile 3 Quintile 4 Quintile 5
(ECLAC, 1999). The latter was constructed using a methodology that 1986 5.6 10.4 15.0 21.8 47.3
sought to maximize the reliability of the results in order to establish the 1987 5.9 10.6 15.2 21.9 46.4
relative positions of the countries in the aspect under consideration, 1988 6.0 10.5 14.9 21.4 47.2
which meant that the criteria followed had to take account of the 1989 5.8 10.5 14.9 21.5 47.3
limitations of national information sources. The results set forth in this 1990 5.8 10.4 14.9 21.5 47.5
section agree with those of other studies carried out for Uruguay (see 1991 5.7 10.3 14.8 21.4 47.7
Vigorito, 1999, p. 259, table 2B). 1992 5.5 10.2 14.8 21.4 48.1
6 Per capita household income was calculated by adding together the
1993 5.8 10.7 15.3 22.0 46.1
different types of income received by households in the form of 1994 5.6 10.3 14.9 21.8 47.4
remuneration from work and capital, pensions, benefits and transfers 1995 5.4 10.2 14.9 22.0 47.5
and an imputed rental value for owner-occupied housing. Domestic 1996 5.4 10.2 14.8 21.9 47.7
servants living in households were not deemed to be members of them 1997 5.4 10.1 14.8 21.7 48.0
for the purposes of these calculations. 1998 5.2 9.9 14.7 21.9 48.4
7 The index values for the 1990s are not statistically different from
those of the 1980s, except in 1998. In that year, the statistical confidence Source: Produced by the author on the basis of National Institute
interval of the estimate, at 95%, does not overlap with those for the 1980s. of Statistics (INE) standing household surveys.
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A similar pattern is seen when, instead of a the movements seen over the entirety of the period
synthetic measure like the Gini index being used, 1986-1998 are small, it transpires that the share of
c h a n g e s i n t h e i n c o m e s h a re s re c e ive d b y the 40% of urban households with the lowest incomes
households in each of the five per capita income declined, while that of the richest 20% of households
quintiles are tracked over the period. Thus, while rose (table 3).
IV
Factors determining trends in income distribution
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fell from 40.7% to 12.8%10 (UNCTAD/ECLAC, 1998). In The fiscal adjustment was accompanied by a
that same period, the overall budget deficit fell from shrinking of the State machinery. Of thirteen countries
6.3% to 1.0% of gross domestic product (President of for which comparative information is available for the
the Eastern Republic of Uruguay, Planning and Budget period running from the beginning of the 1980s to the
Office, 1999) and inflation fell from around 70% to end of the 1990s, twelve, including Uruguay, saw a
some 10%. decline in the percentage of workers in public-sector
Both external liberalization and State reform jobs (ECLAC, 1999). In this period, the proportion of
policies altered the composition of employment. In workers employed by the public sector fell from around
many of the region’s countries, globalization of the a quarter of the urban labour force to around a sixth,
economy led to a decline in the relative weight of thus declining by around 30% in terms of relative weight.
industry as an employer and as a contributor to national These changes could not but affect the distribu-
output. In Uruguay, where these processes took place tion of income among households. In point of fact, until
in the period under consideration, the proportion of the the effects of the Mexican crisis began to be felt, aver-
total workforce accounted for by industrial workers fell age household income had grown continuously over
from 20.5% in 1986 to 16.3% in 1998. In other words, the period (box 1).
almost a fifth of all workers in industry switched to If the consequences for social equity of the trade
services or went to swell the unemployment rate. liberalization and fiscal adjustment processes are to be
interpreted correctly, they need to be tracked by
analysing changes in the structures through which these
two phenomena operate, such as the recomposition of
10From January 1998 the tariff was raised by three points following different income sources, shifts in the labour market
an agreement among the Mercosur countries prior to the devaluation and State policy instruments that are activated to coun-
carried out by Brazil, the country which requested this increase. teract any regressive effects these processes might have.
Box 1
Greater economic openness magnified the effects of the Mexican crisis of late 1994, which resulted in increased
unemployment and poverty. Having stood at around 9% from 1986 to 1994, unemployment rates in Uruguay
rose to levels of between 11% and 13% as a result of the “Tequila effect”. The consequences of such economic
crises have a tendency to linger on, in part because businesses become more cautious about entering into
contractual arrangements with new workers –an attitude that persists even into periods of economic recovery–
and more willing to replace labour with machinery. They can also result in higher school drop-out rates, as
family members turn to the labour market to make good the income lost by some adult members, or in early
retirement by people who are put out of work at an age when their prospects of re-entering the market are very
poor. Generally speaking, situations of crisis force the poor to take decisions that have medium- and long-
term implications for the ability of household members to accumulate the assets they need for their well-
being.
In evaluating the impact of the Mexican crisis, it has to be appreciated that the differences between the
size of the Uruguayan economy and those of its two main partners in Mercosur meant that the indirect
repercussions of the “Tequila effect” on Argentina and Brazil were at least as important as its direct effects on
Uruguay. This is why that crisis upset the stability of the relatively low indices of inequality and poverty that
characterized the Uruguayan situation in the last fifteen years of the twentieth century. As was often pointed
out in the analyses carried out during the recessionary decade of the 1980s, poorer households are the first to
be affected in periods of recession and the last to benefit from economic upturns, and this leads to asynchrony
between the rates at which poverty rises and falls as the vicissitudes of growth dictate. Any reading of the
poverty and inequality data for the closing years of the twentieth century also has to take account of the
cumulative effects of crises subsequent to the Mexican one (Russia, South-East Asia and Brazil).
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TABLE 4
Urban areas of Uruguay: Average income and distribution among recipients.
by income source. 1986-1998
Source: Produced by the author on the basis of National Institute of Statistics (INE) standing household surveys.
b) Changes in income sources (1999) analysed the contribution of each source to the
change in inequality between 1986 and 1997 by
Between 1986 and 1997, the country experienced changes breaking down Theil’s entropy index 1, 11 which
in the relative weight of the different sources from which remained virtually unchanged (it rose to 32.85 in 1986
people received income. The average income from old- and 33.05 in 1997). The author referred to found that
age and other pensions grew throughout the period. the influence of wages, old-age and other pensions and
Average income from capital rose up until 1992 and then the incomes of own-account workers was in the
fell from that year to 1997 (table 4). Lastly, average earnings direction of greater inequality over that period, while
rose until 1994, but did so more slowly than the other two employers’ incomes moved in a direction that reduced
sources, after which they fell, but again to a lesser extent concentration, virtually cancelling out the changes in
than income from capital. the other sources (table 5).
Meanwhile, changes in income distribution These results make it clear that the relative weight
differed depending on the sources that people obtained of the different income sources in Uruguay did not
their income from. The data show a tendency for the remain unchanged, and that the overall impact on
distribution of income to shift in favour of workers and, inequality of these sources over time masks changes
in the 1990s, of pension holders as well, while the that cancel one another out.
income deriving from possession of capital decreased It would be useful to know what influence the
in relative terms (table 4). different sources have on overall inequality. Setting out
Stability in the distribution of total income among from a breakdown of entropy index 0, Bucheli and
recipients does not necessarily entail a corresponding Furtado (in the press) quantify the extent to which these
stability in inequality trends among households, since
these ultimately depend on the way individuals are 11 To do this she used Shorrocks’ breakdown rule (1982 and 1983)
combined in those households. as adopted by Jenkins (1995) and Foster and Sen (1997) and applied
Some studies have looked at the effect of changes it to the distribution of total household income (excluding rental
in income sources on total inequality. Thus, Vigorito value) between households.
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