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EXECUTIVE SUMMARY
HOW CAN THE EU AND CEE COUNTRIES ADDRESS
THE CHALLENGES AND OPPORTUNITIES CREATED BY
REGIONAL AND BILATERAL CEEC-CHINA
COOPERATION IN THE CONTEXT OF THE 16+1
PLATFORM?
THE RESEARCH IS PERFORMED BY SABINA CARLI, NINA PEJIČ AND FARIS KOČAN ON
BEHALF OF THE CENTRE FOR EUROPEAN PERSPECTIVE (CEP).
CONTEXT
Central and Eastern European countries (CEEC) included in the “16+1 Platform” are
lacking a foreign policy strategy towards China, both at the national and regional
level. The EU is also lacking its own comprehensive strategy to address the influence
of China in Central and Eastern Europe (CEE).
A challenge in the existing literature is the scarcity of comprehensive academic
assessments of the relations between the CEEC and China.
The goal of this research is to propose recommendations for an overarching
coordinated political response to Chinese actions in the CEE region. The
recommendations are focused on addressing opportunities and threats stemming
out of the Belt and Road Initiative (BRI) for the individual CEE countries, for the CEE
region as a Platform, and for the EU as a unit.
The study enables the CEE and the EU to coordinate their foreign policy on China to
strengthen their strategic position in relation to the BRI.
The study provides analytical support to business and financial decision-makers, as
well as advances the political and academic discourse on the future of relations
between the CEEC, the EU, and China.
SCENARIOS
So far the research team has developed four scenarios to illustrate a spectrum of possible
future developments allowing policy-makers to make informed strategic decisions and
anticipate surprises.
The four scenarios are built around a total of eleven hypotheses, focused on:
The CEE region is of strategic importance for The 16+1 platform has delivered political results and
Hungary and Serbia are the most active in the 16+1 Platform, but Bulgaria is the
only country to have a liaison office for cooperation with China within the
PlatformBilateral connections of CEE countries with China are getting stronger, due to the very loose d
China and the EU. The EU’s strategy towards China lacks manageable common strategic prior
The Visegrad Group (except Poland) is advancing also soft (cultural) cooperation
could be pursued collectively. Instead, EU member states mainly pursue their own bilateral st
latter is seen in the case of relations between the CEE countries and China. This is seen in the
with China, while Romania and Albania have a historical ideological bond with
where the Minister for Foreign Affairs said that they want to enhance the overall relations that
China due
theto communism
strategic dialoguebut do not
between theutilize
EU andit.
China (Ministry for Foreign Affairs, 2018).
Bosnia and Herzegovina will most probably not be of further interest to China,
due to the rigid division of the internal structures of the country and the
Bonomi, M., and Reljic, D. (2017). The EU and the Western Balkans: So Near and
Yet So Far. Why the Region Needs Fast-Track Socio-Economic Convergence with
the EU (SWP Comment, 53). Berlin: Stiftung Wissenschaft un Politik.
Hanemann, T., and Houtari, M. (2018). Chinese FDI in Europe in 2017. Available
at https://www.merics.org/en/papers-on-china/chinese-fdi-in-europe
Lagazzi, A. and Vit, M. (2017). The Good, the Bad and the Ugly: Chinese
influence in the Western Balkans. Prague: Institute for European Policy.
ANNEX A.
REFERENCES
Ping, H., and Zuokui, L. (2017). The Cooperation between China and Central and
Eastern European Countries (16+1): 2012–2017. Available at http://16plus1-
thinktank.com/u/cms/cepen/201801/ 13214915w9yy.pdf
Stumvoll, M., and Flessenkemper, T. (2018). China’s Balkans Silk Road: Does it
pave or block the way of Western Balkans to the European Union? (CIFE Policy
Paper, 66). Nice: CIFE.
CONTACT
Ingo Mayr-Knoch (CEO) Sarra Ben Hamida (Research)
ingo.mayrknoch@webuildeurope.eu sarra.benhamida@webuildeurope.eu