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EXCLUSIVE REPORT: TOP DEALS AND MARKET DATA

Vol. 15 Issue 6 October 2010

One year on, Gulf Air


boss tells all
RBS denies Dubai
World firesale
Will KSA mortgage
law save market?

RAK SPECIAL REPORT

The man who sold


the world: RAKIA
CEO sells global assets

KHATER
MASSAAD Bahrain..............BD 1.0
Kuwait............... KD 1.0
Oman................ RO 1.0
Qatar.................. QR 10
Saudi Arabia.......SR 10
UAE.................. DHS 10
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CONTENTS
Vol. 15 Issue 6 October 2010

REGULARS
30
RAK
Letters
42
in the
Executive moves
107
Data monitor
market
SPECIAL REPORT:
112 Khater Massaad,
Calendar CEO of RAKIA and
RAK Ceramics on
114 why he is selling his
Hotels
international assets
116 for a double AA credit
In your shoes rating and Sheihk
Omar bin Saqr
Al Qasimi on the
RAK Airways
44
GCC NOW
relaunch.
10
The round up
News, numbers and people from
around the region NEWS ANALYSIS FEATURES
32 55
Sitting tight Payback time
COMMENT FINANCE Region won’t firesell FINANCE Refinancing dates are
assets says Royal Bank of Scotland. looming for the region’s firms.
20
Mishal Kanoo 34 60
UAE must change business laws. Opec turns 50 Medicine man
ENERGY Is it time for the energy AVIATION Gulf Air’s Samer Majali
22 body to widen its remit? on turning the airline round.
Matein Khalid
Nawras pricing is too high. 36 66
Brave new world Saudi’s hot property
24 BUSINESS Post-recession, REAL ESTATE How will Saudi
companies need a new approach. Arabia’s new mortgage law fare?
Michael Burchill
Happy workers make more money.
38 72
Net gains Future gadgets
26 TECHNOLOGY Gulf Business lists
RETAIL Online shopping hits the
Michael Preiss UAE, how will it affect the market? the top ten tech trends.
Indonesia’s growth curve.
40 81
28 Double act Play time
Phillip Anderson MARKETS DFSA boss Gerard LEISURE Entertainment industry
Why do an MBA? Santing on DFM and Nasdaq Dubai. remains strong in the recession.

October 2010 gulfbusiness 7


F

100 Editor-in-Chief
Obaid Humaid Al Tayer
Group Editor and Managing Partner
Ian Fairservice

Group Senior Editor


Gina Johnson
Group Editor
Catherine Belbin

Editor
Alicia Buller alicia@motivate.ae
Business editor
Karen Remo-Listana karenr@motivate.ae
Sub-editor
Iain Smith iains@motivate.ae
Editorial coordinator - business
Concessa D’Souza concessa@motivate.ae
Art Director
Cris Domdom cris@motivate.ae
Senior Designer
B Raveendran raveendran@motivate.ae
Contributors
Ryan Harrison
Michael Gordon
Robert Bailey
General Manager Production
and Circulation S Sasidharan
Production Manager C Sudhakar
General Manager Group Sales
Anthony Milne anthony@motivate.ae

102
Senior Advertisement Manager
Abraham Koshy abraham@motivate.ae
Advertisement Manager
Ajay Mathews ajay@motivate.ae

103
85
Turkey’s rise
COUNTRY REPORT Turkey’s
growing economy and UAE relations.

96 Head Office:
Designs for life PO Box 2331, Dubai, UAE
Tel: +971 4 282 4060, Fax: +971 4 282 4436,
INFRASTRUCTURE Building cities motivate@motivate.ae
that people want to live in. Dubai Media City: Office 508,
5th Floor, Building 8, Dubai, UAE,
Tel: +971 4 390 3550, Fax: +971 4 390 4845
Abu Dhabi: PO Box 43072, UAE,
Tel: +971 2 677 2005, Fax: +971 2 677 0124,
LIFESTYLE motivate-adh@motivate.ae
London: Acre House, 11/15 William Road,
London NW1 3ER, UK,
100 103 motivateuk@motivate.ae

Travel Art Editorial syndication details,


Fresh from the World Cup, Cape Town A guide to the season’s Middle Tel: + 971 4 2824060
gb@motivate.ae
offers the ultimate African adventure. East auctions.

22,774
102 104 copies
Cars Competition June 2009
Alicia Buller test-drives the Win a two-night stay at the Printed by Emirates Printing Press, Dubai
capacious, new-look Audi Q7. Fairmont Dubai.

8 gulfbusiness October 2010


IN THE NEWS QUEEN ELIZABETH II

Britain’s Queen small business. UK exports


Elizabeth II is to the UAE have remained
expected to make a state steady throughout difficult
visit to the UAE next trading conditions, with
month, her first trip to the country buying £3.6
the country in 31 years. billion ($5.6 billion) of
Buckingham Palace first UK-made goods and
issued a statement in services in 2009.
July confirming the visit, Last year, the Queen
after the British monarch received Sheikh Mohammed
accepted an invitation bin Rashid Al Maktoum,
from Sheikh Khalifa bin Prime Minister of the UAE
Zayed, President of the UAE and Ruler of Dubai, during
and Ruler of Abu Dhabi. the opening ceremony of
From the UAE, the the Royal Ascot Festival in
Queen, 84, will fly to Berkshire in June.
Oman, where she will join Sheikh Mohammed
celebrations to mark the occupied the traditional
40th year of Sultan Qaboos royal seat beside the
bin Said’s rule. Britain’s Queen Queen as the guard
Elizabeth II is bringing

iStockphoto
Her visit follows foreign of honour started the
her royal touch to the
office minister for the UAE next month. drill lining up in the
Middle East Alistair Burt’s racecourse. Both have a
visit to the UAE last month realms. The elder daughter last year committed to passion for horse racing.
in a bid to strengthen
bilateral ties. Burt was the
of King George VI and
Queen Elizabeth, she was
increasing bilateral trade
to £12 billion ($18.8
F The exact dates and
itinerary of the Queen’s
first Minister since the UK born in 1926 and became billion) by 2015 – a 66 per trip are being withheld,
election to visit the country. Queen at the age of 25, and cent increase on current but the Queen and her
The Queen is the head has reigned through more levels. According to Lord husband Prince Philip,
of state for the UK and than five decades. Davies, UK minister for will visit the UAE some
15 other Commonwealth The UK and the UAE trade, investment and time in November.

SOAPBOX
We’re financing our competitors The last thing they want to upset I was surprised by the media
by providing them with capital. I is Emirates because we’re the campaign size and I have doubts
think this is a significant threat. only ones buying aeroplanes. about the real objectives behind it.

Willie Walsh, Tim Clark, Ahmed Humaid


put-upon Emirates Al Tayer, Dubai
CEO of British president, International
Airways, warns explains that Financial Centre
that Europe Gulf airlines did governor, laments
has failed not create the the Western and
to recognise export credit Arab media
the threat of rules Willie Walsh choosing to paint a
Middle Eastern is complaining negative slant on
airlines. about. Dubai life.

GCC AND THE WORLD

$123
The GCC states have component of this military Oman is expected to
ordered US weapons build-up, having ordered a spend $12 billion and
worth around $123 billion package of US arms worth Kuwait $7 billion until the

billion
as they seek to counter more than $67 billion. end of 2014 on replacing and
Iran’s military power, the The UAE has signed upgrading warplanes and
Financial Times reported. contracts to buy military new command and control
Saudi Arabia accounts equipment worth $35 Total GCC spend systems, according to
on US weapons
for the largest single billion to $40 billion. Blenheim Capital Partners.

10 gulfbusiness October 2010


UNITED ARAB EMIRATES

Dubai drops in
expensive city list
Dubai, which was no
12 in the world’s most
expensive cities list last
year, now ranks 31st in
EuroCost International’s
Worldwide City Ranking
2010 for Expat Rent Prices.
The report attributes this
to a “spectacular” decrease
of up to 30-50 per cent
according to the type of
housing. Beirut (10th) is now
the most expensive city in
the Middle East, just before
Abu Dhabi (12th) where
ex-pat rents also decreased
in 2009. Beirut appears for

gulfpics
the first time in the top
20, pushed up by the real

Dubai World gets creditors’ nod


estate speculation that has
generated a strong increase
of high quality housing.
Tokyo has maintained
its top position while Dubai World said company on a sound liabilities to resolve a crisis
London (2nd) and Hong 99 per cent of its financial footing, enabling that roiled global markets
Kong (3rd) have switched creditors had agreed to it to realise value for the last year. The company
their 2009 places. the terms for restructuring benefit of all stakeholders.” said banks would be paid
$24.9 billion worth of Dubai World and its main $4.4 billion in five years
HSBC launches debt, less than a year after creditor banks agreed in and another $10 billion
airbridge ads the state-owned holding
company’s proposal to
May to restructure $14.4
billion of bank loans and
over eight years at below-
market interest rates
HSBC Middle East delay repaying loans sent $8.9 billion of government supported by assets sales.
signed a five-year emerging market stocks The agreement also “marks
partnership for the tumbling. the support of the creditors
advertising rights to
airbridges at Dubai
“This overwhelming
support means that the $14.4 to the separation,” of real
estate developer Nakheel

billion
International and Sharjah company is well positioned PJSC from Dubai World,
International Airports. to close the restructuring in Sheikh Ahmad Bin Saeed
The airbridge campaign the coming weeks,” Dubai Al Maktoum, chairman of
is the biggest ever in the World said in a statement. Dubai World Bank loan the Dubai Supreme Fiscal
Middle East. “The proposal puts the restructure Committee, said.

IN NUMBERS

1.8%
Shuaa Capital’s revised GDP
$1bn
The value of UAE-based Majid Al
25
The number of years of Jebel Ali
growth forecast this year. The Futtaim Properties’ project in Syria. Free Zone (Jafza) success being
UAE-based investment bank The groundwork of the project, called commemorated by Emirates
has now trimmed its previous Khams Shamat, began last month. Post with a special stamp.
estimate of 2.5 per cent saying it The project is tipped to be the biggest Jafza has posted more than 320
predicts a weaker than expected shopping and leisure destination in the times growth in the number of
economic recovery. Levant region. companies enlisted since 1985.

October 2010 gulfbusiness 11


SAUDI ARABIA

Saudi ranks 13th easiest place Regulator fines


to do business mobile firms
The Communications
The World Bank has and Information
ranked Saudi Arabia Technology Commission
as the 13th easiest place to (CITC), Saudi Arabia’s
do business in the world, telecommunication
making the kingdom the regulator, has imposed
highest rated country in fines in excess of SAR5
the Middle East and the million on some local
Arab world for the fifth mobile service providers
year in a row. for breaching CITC
The country has recently regulations. The mobile
released its five-year plan, service providers violated
which outlines $385 billion CITC’s regulations for
of anticipated spending in single network service and
the kingdom between 2010 similar offers, and did not
and 2014. While a large abide by the ban on free
portion of the budget is reception of calls during
dedicated to manpower international roaming, the
development, other regulator said.
important areas of the
country’s infrastructure Banks well
will also benefit from the
plan. More than 15 per
F capitalised
cent of the budget has been Saudi banks adequately
dedicated to transport, Kingdom Holding fulfill the enhanced capital
telecommunications, Tower in Saudi Arabia. requirements that have
KSA ranks highest for
iStockphoto

municipal services and been put forward by the


business in the the Basel Committee, says
construction. Arab world.
Global Investment House.
Saudi bank’s Tier 1 capital
PROJECTFOCUS ratio was more than 10
per cent during 2009 and
$1.46 billion Doosan water deal H1 2010, well above the
minimum requirement of
South Korea’s Doosan body, confirming that it people. The company said four per cent under Basel
Heavy Industries and had secured the deal. The it would be the world’s II and six per cent under
Construction has won plant at Ras Az Zawr will largest such plant in Basel III.
an order to build a water provide drinking water terms of value and water
desalination plant in Saudi to the capital Riyadh volume, beating the Al IT market to
Arabia. The company and will be completed Shoaiba desalination
said in a statement it had in January 2014. It will plant, also built by
reach $4.6bn
received a letter from produce one million Doosan, which produces Saudi Arabia remains
Saline Water Conversion tonnes of water a day, about 880,000 tonnes of the biggest IT market in
Corporation, a Saudi state enough for 3.5 million water a day. the GCC with a forecast
value of $3.3 billion in
INNUMBERS 2010, which is expected

$385 bn $3.8 bn
to grow to $4.6 billion by
2014, according to recent
figures from Business
Monitor International.
Computer hardware sales
Anticipated spending in the The value of KSA’s consumer electronics including PCs, notebooks
kingdom between 2010 and devices market this year, according to and accessories are
2014, based on its five-year Companiesandmarkets.com. This is estimated to reach $1.8
development plan. expected to increase to $4.8bn by 2014. billion this year,

12 gulfbusiness October 2010


Phantom Coupé
The sophisticated Grand Tourer

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AGMC, Dubai, UAE Ali Alghanim & Sons Automotive Co. WLL, Kuwait
Tel: 00971 4 339 1555 www.rolls-roycemotorcars-dealer.com/dubai Tel: 00965 184 6464 www.rolls-roycemotorcars-dealer.com/kuwait

Rolls-Royce Motor Cars Doha, Doha, Qatar Mohamed Yousuf Naghi Motors, Jeddah, Kingdom of Saudi Arabia
Tel: 00974 44 47 75 77 www.rolls-roycemotorcars-dealer.com/doha Tel: 00966 2 669 5333 www.rolls-roycemotorcars-dealer.com/saudiarabia

Euro Motors, Manama, Kingdom of Bahrain Mohamed Yousuf Naghi Motors, Riyadh, Kingdom of Saudi Arabia
Tel: 00973 17 754 754 www.rolls-roycemotorcars-dealer.com/bahrain Tel: 00966 1 462 7777 www.rolls-roycemotorcars-dealer.com/saudiarabia

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© Copyright Rolls-Royce Motor Cars Limited 2010. The Rolls-Royce name and logo are registered trademarks.
QATAR

Heat no obstacle to
hosting World Cup
In a bid to convince a major sports event with
a team of FIFA the 2006 Asian Games.
inspectors last month, the ”We will honour our
Qatar 2022 team said it can promise to provide air-
overcome the scorching conditioned stadium,”
heat by cooled carbon Sheikh Mohammed said
neutral stadiums. in a joint press conference
The gas-rich state is with the head of FIFA’s
competing with Australia, delegation, Chilean Football
England, Belgium, Federation president Harold
Netherlands, Japan, South Mayne-Nicholls.
Korea, Qatar, Russia, ”Climate has never
Spain and the United States been an issue for Qatar,”
to host the 2022 World Cup. the 2022 bid committee’s
“All the stadiums executive director Hassan
presented in our portfolio al-Thawadi had said earlier.
are environmentally ”We are preparing to start
friendly as they use a second generation of air-
advanced technology conditioned stages which
with zero carbon dioxide
emissions,” president
will be solar powered,
he said.
F
of Qatar 2022, Sheikh ” The cooling will not be New official Qatar
Mohammed bin Hamad restricted to the football 2022 ambassador
bin Khalifa Al Thani told fields but will cover the Zinedine Zidane
during the tour for the
Reuters

reporters. Qatar has open spaces around the World Cup bid.
already successfully hosted stadiums,” he added.

SPOTLIGHT

Qatar’s Barwa Bank names new CEO


Qatari Islamic lender joined the company in banking group and Amgad Bin Hamad Bin Jassim
Barwa Bank, a unit September this year. Younes as chief operating Al-Thani.
of developer Barwa Real Troop was previously officer. Barwa Bank, which
Estate, named Steve chief operating officer “Our next phase of provides a range of
Troop as its new chief at Riyadh-based Saudi development will be Shariah compliant services
executive officer. The Hollandi Bank and also the rollout of BARWA including retail, corporate
bank said Troop will now worked for HSBC in Asia- Bank’s customer services and commercial banking,
be ”responsible for driving Pacific, Europe and the facilities to create has said it will acquire
Barwa Bank’s strategy and Middle East. “universal Islamic banking Doha-based financial
day-to-day management,” Barwa also named group”, said chairman, services firms The First
adding that he officially Keith Bradley as head of H.E. Sheikh Mohammed Investor and First Finance.

INNUMBERS

$90,149 7.2 trn $750mn


Qatar’s annual GDP per capita in Qatar’s 2009 gas output in cubic feet, The amount in millions of Islamic
2010, according to IMF, making it which means the country boasts the bonds that Qatar Islamic Bank
the world’s richest country for three strongest production growth in the hopes to sell to investors in the
years in a row. Middle East. future.

14 gulfbusiness October 2010


KUWAIT

Islamic banks
saturated – CB
The governor of Kuwait‘s
central bank, Sheikh
Salem Abdul-Aziz
al-Sabah, said that with
five registered Kuwaiti
Islamic lenders and Saudi
Arabia’s Al-Rajhi Bank,
the country is saturated
with Islamic banks. “I
believe that with this
the Kuwaiti market has
Kuwait markets set reached saturation point
for first-time regulation for Islamic banks at this
by independent body,
iStockphoto

stage,” he said.
the Capital Market
Authority.
Kipco sells
First stock market regulator appointed insurance stake
The Kuwait Projects Co
(Kipco) agreed to sell a
Kuwait has other members. Since its a special tribunal for 39.2 per cent stake in
appointed its first foundation as the region’s the stock market and Gulf Insurance Company
independent regulatory
body, the Capital Market
first bourse in the
early 1970s, the Kuwait
stipulates hefty jail
terms and fines for an
F (GIC) to Canada-based
Fairfax Financial
Authority, to oversee exchange has been run array of offences. The Holdings for KWD59.85
its stock exchange. The by government-appointed Kuwait exchange has million ($208.6m). Kipco
managing director of the administrators who have been the only one in the will remain the largest
Kuwait exchange, Saleh been criticised by MPs for Gulf without a market shareholder of GIC with
al-Falah, was appointed a lack of transparency. authority as the law took about 43 per cent and
chairman of the new The law also calls for many years to secure Fairfax will own about 41
body, which has four the establishement of parliamentary approval. per cent, Kipco said.

PROJECTFOCUS
Kuwait eyes nine
Kuwait to sign $893 million gas deal with Daelim new ports
The Kuwait Ports
Kuwait National Bloomberg has reported. is to spend KWD410 Authority has
Petroleum plans to «We already have three million on natural gas commissioned
sign a KD260 million trains, this is the fourth projects by the end of Netherlands-based
contract with South gas train with an 2013 including a fourth consultancy and
Korea>s Daelim Industrial associated pipeline,» KNPC gas pipeline costing engineering firm, DHV
to build a fourth gas spokesman, Mohammed KWD260m with a to develop plans for nine
production line at its al-Ajmi told the news capacity of 850 million ports in the country.
Mina Al-Ahmadi refinery, service. The company cubic feet per day. The project includes
the redevelopment of
three existing ports in
INNUMBERS Kuwait City, as well as

KWD30 bn 29,000
six new facilities along
the 300km-long coastline.
The new coastal ports are
aimed at providing better
The value of Kuwait’s four-year The number of Kuwaiti citizens facilities for fishing
development plan. A fifth of this currently banned from travelling boats as well ferries
is slated to go Kuwait>s ministry outside Kuwait due to non- serving the offshore
of public works, which plans to payment of outstanding debts, islands and boats
execute more than 500 projects o according to Ali Al Dhubaibi, the used by government
ver the period. head of the Ministry of Justice departments.

16 gulfbusiness October 2010


BAHRAINOMAN

30
Seconds to
make sense
of… 2012
Olympics
Stuart Hill
Vice president and director, BT’s London
2012 Delivery programme

What is the impact of the 2012 Olympics and


Paralympic Games on the city of London and the UK
as a whole?
This is the first major sporting event in the UK since the

CB clears new bank


Commonwealth Games 2002. We are very excited because
the Olympics and Paralympics is equivalent to 26 major
sporting events. They will feature over 14,000 athletes
The Central Bank of Oman has cleared a request from more than 200 countries in nearly 700 events. There
by Sayed Asa’ad Bin Tarek Bin Taimour Al Saeed, will be one building to accommodate 20,000 broadcasters,
representative of Sultan Qaboos Bin Said, to set up a photographers and journalists. This event calls for the
new commercial bank in the country. largest park development in Europe for over 100 years.
The new entity, Al Izz International Bank, will be the Some 7,000 people have worked on the Olympic Park
seventh locally incorporated bank after BankMuscat, and, of the present workforce of 3,315, 10 per cent were
the National Bank of Oman, Bank Dhofar, Bank Sohar, previously unemployed before finding work helping
Oman International Bank and AhliBank. deliver the Games. This event is expected to boost the
F
economy by £21 billion with around nine million tickets to
be available. About 800,000 people are expected to use the
Nawras launches IPO public transport on the busiest day. About 240,000 people
will travel by rail to the Olympic Park every hour.
Oman-based Nawras has opened the subscription
period for its initial public offering, which is What new elements can we expect from
scheduled to run until October 14, 2010. The offering is Olympics 2012?
open to Omani and GCC retail investors and to Omani Because we’re such a multi-cultural nation, a lot of people
and international institutional investors. will be coming to the games as if it’s their games. In terms
of communication, what has changed is the experience –
Albaraka may spend $200 there is 3D, super-high definition and there will be more

million on acquisitions
interaction with the individual than just watching it on a
big screen. You will really see people sweating and catch
that moment like never before.
Adnan Ahmed Yousif, CEO of Bahrain-based
Albaraka Banking Group said the Islamic lender is What will you do as the official communications
looking to buy banks in Malaysia and Indonesia and may services partner for this event?
spend as much as $200 million on the deals, Bloomberg Co-ordinating a matrix of partner organisations, BT
has reported. ”We prefer to either start an Islamic bank will carry every image, every sports report and every
or acquire an Islamic bank,” he said. Standard Chartered visit to the London 2012 Games website, along with
is advising Albaraka on the Malaysia acquisition and countless millions of calls, emails and text messages.
holding meetings about a buy-out in Indonesia. With 14,000 cable TV outlets, 20,000 accredited media
personnel and Live Site screens in UK city centres, it
INNUMBERS adds up to an estimated six Gigabytes of multimedia
data every single second.

OR7.18 bn Is there a back-up plan for any mishaps?


Jamaican athlete UsainBolt set a new 100 metres world
record of an astonishing 9.69 seconds in Beijing, but in
telecommunications that’s a very long while. What if the
Oman’s expenditure budget allocated for 2010, signal went wrong for a few seconds, then you just miss
nearly 63 per cent of this amount has been used seeing that. There is always a back-up plan, but you must
in the first eight months. do it right the first time. You have to be a super athlete to
win a gold medal so you also have to be a super telecom
company partner to get this right.

18 gulfbusiness October 2010


COMMENT

UAE NEEDS TO REVISIT


LAWS TO WIN BUSINESS
Investors and businesses need to be assured that their money is safe,
the only way to do this is to tailor the legal systems to their requirements.
MISHAL KANOO

F
or the longest time, the region has tried to position or else the court of judgment was overseas. What signal
itself as the alternative to London and Singapore should we take from this?
as both the new financial centre as well as the new I don’t want to close this article on a sour note. In fact,
economic powerhouse to be presented to the world. when we look at the law books, we see that we have some
We did everything possible to make that a reality. We of the best written laws that one could find. The problem
built great universities, infrastructure and roads as well lies with interpreting them and enforcing them. Some of
as endeavour the greatest real estate bonanza this side of our judges need more training not in the law, in which they
forever. Indeed, we did everything right for an up and coming are quite proficient, but in life matters. We need our judges
place but, one a worthy legal system for this. to understand the way businesses work they also need to
The issue might seem trivial to some but for those who understand the weak, and how to enforce laws that are
invested millions in the region, the fair and just. If a contract is absurd,
problem has become paramount. Things that are taken they need to be more understanding
Major issues that are taken for
granted in other financial and
for granted in other when they make their judgments and
how are they to do that if they don’t
economic powerhouses, such as countries, such as understand the business enough to be
precedent setting, a speedy trial, precedent setting, a able to make such a judgment?
judges who understand the business The word of the law is what
world, unbiased arbitrators and speedy trial, unbiased made all those financial as well as
binding contracts are not guaranteed arbitrators and binding economic centres of the world the
in the UAE. places that people aim to safeguard
The most obvious and easy contracts are not their money in. The law is applied to
situation to discuss is anything to guaranteed in the UAE. all, fair and square, and that is what
do with real estate. Those developers makes it attractive.
who signed papers binding them to performing a certain If we ever want to be the centre we aspire to be, we
requirement, found it easy to delay a project without must first understand our laws and why they are there.
paying the contracted fine, while if the buyer defaulted, he Once we do that, we need to enforce the law on all fairly
was taken to task. In fact, I even know of one case where and as fast as possible. Then, we might be able to attract
a developer used ‘force majeure’ as a rouse when the the money that we want.
government changed some laws pertaining to real estate The heady days of easy money are gone and the days of
stating that force majeure was not just an act of God but taking responsibility for our actions are upon us. There is
also a change in government policy. This kind of action nothing wrong with having great aspirations. In fact, that
causes serious money to stay away from the region. This is what made Dubai sought after. It is the aftermath of
was not evident when the money was flowing, but the the grand party that we have to be concerned with. If we
moment the global crisis hit, people who were literally organise ourselves before the party and plan for the after
throwing away money realised what they had done and effects then we can contain most of the problems that will
took corrective action—they stopped at once. arise after. This way, no matter how grand the celebration,
If we were really honest with ourselves, most of the no matter how rowdy it gets, we can all sleep easy knowing
serious money had come into the oil industry and most that when the party is over, things will not collapse.
of those contacts were either government-to-government, Mishal Kanoo, deputy chairman, Kanoo Group.

20 gulfbusiness October 2010


COMMENT

NAWRAS IPO PRICING


MUST BE REDUCED
Oman telco Nawras announced its $600 million IPO amid media buzz, but
several factors cast a cloud on the company’s long-term growth.
MATEIN KHALID

T
he IPO of Omani mobile telecom Nawras in October the capex expenditure alone of Nawras was a colossal 52
is a significant milestone in the Gulf capital million OR in 2009.
markets. Nawras is the first IPO in the sultanate Moreover, subscriber acquisition growth is bound
since Sohar Power’s floatation on the Muscat stock to slow in the decade ahead since Nawaras already
exchange two years ago on the eve of Lehman’s failure. commands a 40-42 per cent market share and the mobile
The Nawras deal is significant because the company, a penetration ratio in Oman is an impressive 149 per cent,
start up financed by Qatar’s Qtel and several Omani state offering little prospect for the exponential revenue growth
pension funds only five years ago, intends to raise $600 that proved a financial fairy tale for investors in Egypt’s
million via a book building process, a huge sum in a year MobiNil or Saudi Arabia’s Mobily, let alone China Mobile,
when the entire GCC has witnessed only eight, smallish, low Russia’s Vimpelcom or India’s Bharti Airtel. To quote
profile IPO’s that have not even managed to raise $1 billion. Godzilla in mobile phone investing, ‘size matters’.
It is no coincidence that seven out of the eight IPO’s in I am also concerned that global fund managers may well
the Gulf this year were from Saudi Arabia. After all, bank be reluctant to allocate capital to a mobile telecom IPO in a
credit growth in the kingdom has been the highest in the country that is not included in the Morgan Stanley emerging
Gulf. The absence of bank finance is a huge deterrent to risk markets indices, though Nawras is a must own for Omani
appetites, stratospheric valuations pension funds because it will have
and jumbo offerings in the Gulf. There is the possibility a top five weighting on the Muscat
Nawras is clearly a compelling Securities Market after its listing.
argument for startup success, having
that Oman will award a Competition and regulatory risk
wrested 40 per cent of the Omani third mobile licence once for Nawras will rise in the next
mobile market from the incumbent the requisite spectrum two years. The Omani government
Omantel and acquired two million licensed five new Omani mobile
subscribers. With its own international is available, a prospect resellers in 2009. There is also the
gateway and transmission network, that could trigger possibility that Oman will award
Nawras can renegotiate terms with a third mobile license once the
Omantel and generate substantial cost future cannibalistic requisite spectrum is available,
synergies in the next two years. pricing wars. a prospect that could well trigger
Moreover, unlike GCC mobile future cannibalistic pricing wars.
telecoms Zain and Wataniya, Nawras is not highly Mobile voice revenues in the Gulf are also hostage to
geared, with its net debt/EBITDA ratio at a mere 0.3. The economic growth and the potential repatriation of immigrant
management team of Nawras has demonstrated a stellar construction workers, the biggest users of prepaid cards.
strategic track record and taken a humble start up to the With five mobile resellers and a 149 per cent Omani mobile
position of the second Omani mobile vendor in five years, penetration rate, I doubt it increased usage and data traffic/
a period that witnessed the most traumatic economic video alone can sustain mobile industry growth.
contraction and credit crunch in the Gulf since the 1980’s. I have the utmost admiration for Nawras but I cannot
Nawras as a company has demonstrated innovation, justify the pricing range of the IPO at 704 – 904 baisa.
operational excellence, a pristine balance sheet and a However, if Nawras trades at 600 baisa or lower in the
valuable corporate brand in the Gulf. However, Nawras as secondary market after retail investors (70 per cent of
a stock investment faces a multitudes of risks. the allotees) sell their shares, it will converge to my fair
The pricing range for the Nawras IPO is far too value paradigm. As GCC investors have learnt the hard
expensive. It makes no sense to me to value Nawras up to way, patience and contrarian thinking are unquestionably
550 million Omani riyals (OR) at its listing even though undervalued virtues on the regional stock exchanges.
the company earned only 26 million OR in the first half of Matein Khalid, fund manager in a royal investment
2010, flat over the corresponding period in 2009. After all, office and writer in finance and geopolitics.

22 gulfbusiness October 2010


IN 2010,
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AGAIN !

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Tel: (+971 4) 347 5550, Fax: (+971 4) 347 5959
E-mail: epp@eppdubai.com, Website: www.eppdubai.com
COMMENT

HAPPY FIRMS EARN FIVE


TIMES MARKET AVERAGE
The Great Places to Work Institute, provider of the Gulf Business top 20
companies list in January, explains why people are a company’s greatest asset.
MICHAEL BURCHILL

A
s companies across the Gulf region emerge from ship just because of a higher salary someplace else.
the recent recession and rethink how they will Turnover in the best companies tends to be less than
win in the marketplace, the best companies half the industry average. And these organisations
will focus on their workplace as a key element also save money in worker compensation (on the job
of that strategy. Indeed, not only does focusing on injuries), absenteeism, health care and so on. It turns
the workplace makes good business sense, it may very out that having a great workplace is a smart
well be the largest wellspring of untapped competitive monetary policy.
advantage. The Great Place to Work Institute, a global Why is this? Well, we find that employees in great
research and management consultancy, has just launched workplaces believe their leaders to be credible,
operations in the UAE. The Institute recognizes the best respectful, and fair – they trust them. They also
companies to work for in over 40 countries and works take pride in what they do, and they share a sense of
with organisations that want to create a great workplace camaraderie with their coworkers. Without trust, pride,
environment. In the near future, operations will expand and camaraderie, any measure of business success is
into the remainder of the GCC. diminished. Further, there is a strong commitment
The Institute has been engaged from the senior leadership team
in cutting edge research for over Employees in great to having a great workplace,
20 years on great workplaces multiple communication
– who they are, what do they workplaces believe forums exist so that leaders
do and why it matters. One of their leaders to be are accessible and employees
the consistent findings in this well informed, and a workplace
research: is that companies with
credible, respectful, culture is created that sets
great workplaces tend to do better and fair. Without trust, employees up to succeed.
financially. Why is this? The best companies to
First, employees in great
pride and camaraderie, work for have a basis on
workplaces are more engaged any measure of strong relationships in the
with their work and in the business success is workplace. And therein lies
organisation. There is both a an important insight. Because
higher level of cooperation and diminished. the relationships you create
stronger commitment in the best matter, as a leader you are the
workplaces. Eighty eight per cent of employees at the critical difference between a very good company and
100 Best in Europe reported high levels of cooperation a very great company. In the best companies, leaders
in order to get work done. When most organisational at all levels have a strong commitment to creating
studies note that upwards of 60 per cent of employees strong ties between the employee and the organisation.
are actively engaged with their job, nine out of every ten Indeed, enhancing trust, pride and camaraderie in the
employees in these organisations are ready to give their workplace is the central task of effective leadership in
best. The result: 15.4 per cent growth in revenues during today’s organisation.
the economic downturn across the European 100 Best As we enter the Middle East, we are excited to partner
compared to less than half that in a similar peer group. with companies of all size and industries to create great
And the 10-year financial performance of the 100 Best in workplaces, learn from them and recognise the best. ■
the US is an average of 10.3 per cent, compared to the S&P
500 stock market indices of 2.95 per cent. Michael Burchill, partner and director, Great Places to
In addition, employees in great workplaces are more Work UAE. Gulf Business is publishing the UAE’s first
loyal to the organisation, and are more reluctant to jump Best Places to Work list in January

24 gulfbusiness October 2010


AVAILABLE AT DUBAI MALL. TOMFORD.CO
COMMENT

INDONESIA’S COMPELLING
GROWTH CURVE
Indonesia’s vast natural resources and robust domestic consumption have
trumped as emerging markets investors scramble for a slice of its success.
MICHAEL PREISS

I
ndonesia is the world’s sixth best performing stock Market capitalisation has more than doubled since 2008
market globally year to date with about +30 per cent to more than $275 billion today. The goal of the Jakarta
return. In 2009, the Jakarta Composite Index rose Stock Exchange is to take 75 companies public and boost
+86 per cent. market capitalisation to $300 billion by the end of 2012.
The Republic of Indonesia is, with about 230 million Indonesian equities are now valued at an average 17.5
people, the fourth largest country in the world. Indonesia, times the consensus price-earnings forecasts and 15 times
with its 17,508 islands, also has the world’s largest 2011 profits.
population of Muslims. While most Western economies are still in or near recession,
The country was shielded from risks and China’s Indonesia’s vast natural resources and large domestic
slowdown in the second half of 2010 due to Indonesia’s consumption-based economy demonstrate resilience and
large domestic market and the small contribution of the economic outlook remains robust. Indonesian interest
exports to economy. Indonesian exports make up only about rates, with the one-year deposit rate now at 5.75 per cent,
22 per cent of GDP. Domestic driven growth is expected to are expected to remain steady as investors remain optimistic
remain robust, driven by consumption and investment. about the rupiah and sound monetary policies under
Indonesia has often been called a President Susilo Banbang Yudhoyono.
nation in waiting, but in 2010, and with Indonesia’s bond Investors are looking to gain exposure
the Jakarta Composite Index reaching to shares in the natural resources,
an all-time record high last month, the
markets are banks, infrastructure and consumer
time for Indonesia has finally arrived and estimated to have goods industries.
investors increasingly seem to take notice. Upcoming IPOs will include
In Indonesia you have very sustainable
been $2.1 billion mining company PT Berau Coal,
growth of 5.5 per cent to six per cent so far this year, telecommunications company Tower
economic growth, historically low
inflation prevailing for some time, a
second only to Bersama Group, Krakatau Steel and
national airline Garuda.
stable currency and bond yields falling Mexico. Garuda Indonesian Airlines, barred from
to record lows. flying into Europe for six years because of
Foreign buying of Indonesian bonds has driven down the poor safety records, is now the world’s most improved airline
yield on the 10 government issues to around eight per cent. globally according to Skytrax 2010 World Airline Awards.
Net inflows into Indonesia’s bond markets are estimated Garuda reopen flights to Europe after the European
to have been $ 2.1 billion so far this year, making the Union’s ban prohibiting Indonesian carriers from operating
country second only to Mexico among emerging markets in in European airspace was lifted in July last year.
attracting bond investors. Its planned IPO is expected to raise $300 million
Though Indonesia is doing extremely well these days, it to support long-term growth plans of fleet and route
has not always been the case. expansion. Garuda’s new daily Jakarta to Tokyo flight
For many years, the country under-performed most other is regularly full, as Japan recently upgraded Indonesian
Asian markets. Indonesia has experienced a net negative government debt to investment grade.
outflow of capital every year between 1998 and 2002. For Japan is also the largest foreign, long-term investor in
no other country in Southeast Asia was that true, not even Indonesia. Not only the Japanese, but increasingly many
for a single year in that period. Since the 2004 election of Middle East investors, realise that Indonesia is the next big
current president Susilo Bambang Yudhoyono, or SBY, as he emerging market and cannot be missed.
is fondly called by Indonesians, and especially after 2008, Last but not least, Indonesia is also vying to become the
the country’s fortunes have turned around and witnessed a market leader in Islamic fashion. While no other Muslim
sustainable economic boom. country is capitalising on this, those in the Indonesian
Net inflows into Indonesian equities in the first half of fashion field are set to make Indonesia the “Mecca” of
2010 is estimated to amount to $971 million. At this rate, net Muslim fashion.
inflows are on track to surpass last year’s record $1.1 billion. Michael Preiss, investment advisor and finance professor

26 gulfbusiness October 2010


COMMENT

THE REAL VALUE OF AN


MBA LIES IN ITS STUDENTS
Aside from books, an MBA is about absorbing experiences from peers and
teachers from around the globe.
PHILIP ANDERSON

A
wry joke asserts “Those who can’t do, teach,” classmates as from his teachers, and this works well only
and the highly theoretical nature of so much if the students in a programme are at the same level of
education ought to make one wonder whether maturity. The single most important factor to consider
business is really something that can be in evaluating an MBA programme is its fit with the other
taught. However, graduate management education is students. The breadth and diversity of their experience
quite different to what many of us remember from our and their intellectual ability and preparation will
university days. The MBA is an experience, with learning determine how much one learns.
at its core, but it is meant to do much more than convey The value of an MBA for people who need cross-
facts and theories. functional skills rests on three factors: depth, breadth,
In a single sentence, the MBA degree is designed to and networking. First, an MBA provides depth. For
round out a person’s skills as a general manager. Most example, a finance professional may learn on the job
university graduates who enter the business world how his company executes tasks such as valuation,
develop within a functional area. We become experts capital allocation and capital budgeting. In an MBA
in marketing or finance, for example, and only later in programme, he/she will acquire more advanced tools and
our careers do we assume general will learn techniques that finance
management responsibilities. professionals in other firms use for
The MBA’s chief purpose is to give The typical MBA these common tasks.
graduates a thorough grounding
in the key disciplines of general
student is 29 and has An MBA also provides breadth
across functions, geographies
management. It won’t make an worked for seven and sectors. Learning about other
executive an expert in everything, years; an executive functions is just a beginning –
but a graduate should be able to learning how to integrate them is the
understand, direct and integrate MBA student might heart of an MBA programme. MBA
the combined efforts of functional be 35 with 12-14 years students learn how to coordinate
specialists. A good MBA programme the contributions of different
will address at least the core areas of experience. specialists in order to start an
of accounting, decision making, enterprise, change its direction, raise
economics, finance, marketing, operations, people its performance, integrate acquisitions and develop new
management and strategy. Most top MBA programmes markets. Students’ knowledge becomes broader when
only accept people who have worked for several years, an MBA programme not only brings together people
because it is difficult for inexperienced managers to who have worked and lived in different geographies,
integrate these functional areas. At INSEAD, for but guides them through examples so they absorb the
example, the typical MBA student is 29 years old and has experiences of managers from around the globe. They also
worked for seven years; an Executive MBA student might broaden themselves by mastering insights and lessons
be 35 with 12-14 years of experience. learned from many different sectors, ranging from basic
It’s important to join a programme where the industry to high-tech, to services and non-profits.
participants are at similar career stages, because In the longer run, the most important value created by
the core of the MBA experience is not sitting in a an MBA flows from networking with other professionals.
classroom listening to professors lecture. General For many, their ability to build relationships with people
management skills and the ability to integrate functional from other countries, sectors and functions is the most
areas are developed through reflecting on your own important skill they develop during graduate school.
experience and learning from the experiences of others. Philip Anderson, INSEAD alumni fund professor of
An MBA student learns at least as much from his entrepreneurship, Abu Dhabi.

28 gulfbusiness October 2010


F COMMENT LETTERS

LETTER OF THE MONTH

EXCLUSIVE: FOUR-PAGE REPORT ON TOP DEALS AND MARKET DATA Plane branding
I don’t begrudge Hogan for daring to say “our plan is to be the
Vol. 15 Issue 5 September 2010

best-in-class airline, and it comes back to getting the segmentation


right.” While this is expected of a person in his position, it is worth
Does jail work for debt?
Where have all
questioning whether segmentation is really the main issue at stake.
the IPOs gone?
What about the branding issue? Emirates that have been in business
The problem
with subsidies for over two decades having been launched in 1985, has clearly
leveraged its branding that many non-Gulf residents would argue
that it is the UAE’s national carrier. That should be the main concern

HOGAN’S for Etihad – it’s flying in poor visibility!


The volcanic ash clouds were unpredictable and while it was cited
TEST
Etihad CEO on
breaking even
by 2011
as having cost Etihad $50 million, the airline was not the only one
licking its wounds. It must be pointed out that Europe is a prime
& 10 reasons Abu Dhabi
is turning heads Bahrain..............BD 1.0
Kuwait............... KD 1.0
Oman................ RO 1.0
Qatar.................. QR 10
Saudi Arabia.......SR 10
destination for most Gulf airlines who were also hit by the freak
interruption of the European airspace due to the ash clouds.
UAE.................. DHS 10

GB Regional Sept. 2010.indd 1 8/29/10 9:08:57 AM

However, Emirates happens to be the only one of the Three


Musketeers to have not only broken-even, but also gone into
profitability even in the face of these crises. A main reason is that it
has mastered the art of branding – riding on the wings of Dubai’s
popularity as a tourist destination and connection hub between
East and West.
Dr. Nnamdi Madichie
Assistant professor of marketing
University of Sharjah.

Port of call Aluminium is the opening of their level playing field for everyone? Call
Many thanks for your coverage last dedicated berth this quarter at Khalifa me idealistic but the subsidy policy
month of Abu Dhabi Ports Company’s Port. EMAL will now be able to offload in this region certainly doesn’t make
new fully integrated Khalifa Port cargo by sea, a huge logistical and sense anymore.
and Industrial Zone, which is under financial advantage. Iain Jackson, Doha, Qatar
construction at Al Taweelah, and Michael Vertigans, vice president,
scheduled to fully open in 2030. corporate communications,
However, I would like to correct an Abu Dhabi Ports Company
error over the cost. For our Q4, 2012 Email: Write to the editor,
opening of the Khalifa Port and Stop subsidies Gulf Business, alicia@motivate.ae
Industrial Zone A, we have budgeted As the era of cheap oil comes and the letter of the month wins
26.5 billion Dhs ($7.2 billion). to an end and Gulf countries an Alessi watch.
I am pleased to report that we are search for natural gas to fuel
fully on schedule, and on budget, their diversification plans, I think
and have had hundreds of enquiries they will be forced to do away
not only from companies, interested with subsidies. Subsidies create
in setting up in our exciting and unsustainable demand and this hurts
trailblazing Industrial Zone, but the environment. For instance, Dubai’s
also international contractors who economy and population significantly
are interested in helping us build shrunk last year, but how come water
the dream and achieve the ambition and electricity usage still went up
of seeing the Economic Vision 2030 drastically? Subsidies also create
transform the economy of the Emirate. unfair competition. In a world where
One exciting highlight coming up globalisation is the name of the game,
for us and our anchor tenant Emirates isn’t it about time that we create a

30 gulfbusiness October 2010


IF YOU LOVE STYLE, YOU’LL LOVE...
NEWS ANALYSIS FINANCE

Holding fire
Gulf Business exclusive: CEO of Royal Bank of Scotland
Middle East leads the debate on why Dubai and the region
will not panic sell prized assets as predicted.

D
on’t expect Dubai to dump Group and Standard Chartered PLC.
its prized assets in a fire The other two are local lenders
sale anytime soon despite Emirates NBD and Abu Dhabi
the fact that it needs the Commercial Bank.
cash. That’s the word from the Royal The challenge since then has been
Bank of Scotland (RBS), which heads getting dozens of smaller banks to
up the coordinating committee agree to the plan -- something that
of banks in Dubai World’s debt appears to now be all but resolved
restructuring. with the latest breakthrough.
Simon Penney, RBS CEO for the Momentum has grown in the
Middle East and Africa, said all financial markets and media about
signs point towards Dubai carefully Dubai World selling its trophy
discharging strategic assets over a possessions, including the ports

Photo: RBS
sustained period of time. operator DP World and Atlantis
The emirate, and Gulf institutions The Palm.
generally, are not as concerned Although recent documents
Simon Penney, CEO, RBS, Middle East.
about shedding companies to revealed that this was only a
generate cash as much as previously contingency plan, the seed was distressed asset tidal wave that
thought, said Penney. planted and talk spread of a would stretch across the Gulf.
Union Properties supported the
trend, agreeing to sell the Ritz-
Dubai has gone on the record and said Carlton hotel development in Dubai
there will be no fire sales. Therefore, for less than the asking price of
I think you will witness an orderly $410 million.
However, the deal struck in mid-
programme of sales in the coming years. September between Dubai World and
creditors went some way to subdue
“There have been a number of any further wild speculation.
minority stakes sold, but nothing IN NUMBERS Still, despite this, the original

$39.9bn
significant. Plus, there’s been a little documents listed key assets that
bit of debt trading hands on the could be up for grabs, including
secondary markets. But Dubai has DP World, Atlantis the Palm, MGM
gone on the record and said no fire Resorts International and the luxury
sales. Therefore, I think you’ll see an Total debt owed by Dubai World retailer Barneys New York.
orderly programme of sales in the Reports flooded in that Dubai

$6.2bn
coming years; minority positions World could raise up to $19.4 billion
being sold and the more important over eight years through sales.
UAE positions being held back.” And that the assets earmarked for
Since Dubai World’s debt troubles possible sale are currently valued at
surfaced, RBS has performed a dual
Dubai Holding Commercial as much as $10.4bn.
role in the restructuring: one as Operations Group loss for 2009 Asset sales, along with bond

$410m
the chairman of the coordinating issues, are Dubai’s best option
committee of the banks and the to boost revenue because other
other as a lender. measures would not generate
In May, the Dubai conglomerate enough cash on time to plug debt
won the support of the seven-strong Unmet asking price for Union holes, analysts have said.
committee that are owed about 60 Properties’ Jumeirah But Bank of America Merrill
per cent of the debt. That group also Ritz-Carlton hotel Lynch offered a bleak note to clients
includes Bank of Tokyo-Mitsubishi recently stating: “With 2010 public
UFJ, HSBC Holdings, Lloyds Banking revenues projected at $8billion,

32 gulfbusiness October 2010


negotiate over a long-term extension. businesses that are more integral to
DHCOG said in June that it may Dubai Inc.”
resort to asset sales to deal with its When asked how much pride
debt after posting a $6.2 billion loss was at stake for Dubai to consider
for 2009. But, crucially, company parting ways with its trophy
crown jewels are unlikely to be businesses, he added: “That’s not
disposed of as part of any sales in so much a factor anymore. The
view of their strategic and financial world has moved on, and investors
importance for the company. and creditors realise that it’s just
They include some of Dubai’s most business. Although there’s always a
recognized brands in the hospitality degree of humble pie.”
and real estate sectors, including the On the other hand, institutional
Jumeirah Group. investors in the Middle East,
A banker close to the including divisions of Dubai
restructuring, who preferred to Holding, are actually chalking up
remain anonymous in line with some handsome debt acquisition
company policy, said: “If Dubai deals. UAE-based Essdar Capital,
went down the road of a fire sale which recently bought the senior
of big name items then it would debt of Oman’s troubled $15bn
send out the distress flares that we Blue City project in a distressed
need cash no matter what the loss. transaction, said it’s taking the fight
Jumeirah Ritz-Carlton hotel.
The fact that it hasn’t done that is to the market and looking to tap
Dubai’s fiscal muscle seems weak probably good for the image of the more such opportunities.
compared to off-balance sheet emirate and confidence in the region Essdar, 35 percent owned by
guarantees it may have committed generally. Dubai Holding, bought Blue City’s
itself to under the Dubai World “It stands to reason that minority $655.5 million Class A debt via a
restructuring proposal.” stakes in non-core assets would be tender offer earlier in June as part
Despite this, and the rumblings more likely to go first, rather than of investment in its Gulf-focused
across the region of large distressed debt fund. The investment
institutions parting ways with State of the Union remains the fund’s largest so far.
assets, deal flow has been thin, RBS’ Penney added: “There’s
said Penney. Once a quintessential Dubai far more conversations about
“If you use last November as a corporate high-flyer, Union acquisitions than disposals and
starting point, financiers thought Properties has come down to greater scrutiny around acquiring
there was going to be a feeding earth with a severe bump since the business that add value to the local
financial crisis. economies.”
frenzy on asset sales, including
Its sale of the Ritz-Carlton
distressed assets. But as of now, The evidence to date is that
Jumeirah Hotel at a knock-down
significant M&A, asset disposal and price added insult to injury. It also
Dubai is steering a cautious path
the activity of vulture funds hasn’t fuelled talk of the extent of this on the sale of its business units. The
materialised.” appetite for selling distressed hard-fought deal with creditors will
One outcome of the restructuring assets. have depended a large amount on
deal with creditors is it gives Dubai On a positive note, proceeds from this fact.
some wriggle room to consider the sale will help Union Properties Meanwhile, cash generation will
its strategy on distressed sales. complete other projects such as the prove to be king over the coming
Essentially, Dubai World will have Limestone House apartment building years as Dubai World fights to
and the 80-storey Index skyscraper meets its obligations. It’s fair to
more time to sell off assets and
in DIFC.
repay creditors and it won’t pay say that neither Dubai World nor
The firm halted development
punitive rates on this extra time. work after credit dried up in the
the banks particularly want the
In early September, Dubai Holding financial crisis and more customers company to part with prized assets
Commercial Operations Group defaulted. In 2009, the company at distressed prices.
(DHCOG), the main unit of Dubai reported its first full-year loss So, the emirate is hoping
Holding, said it had agreed with and suspended work on F1-X, a that big-name discounted sales
lenders to delay repayment of a $555 Formula One theme parkMotorCity that currently form part of the
million revolving credit facility until development at the Dubai contingency plan do not become
the end of November as the two sides Autodrome race track. unavoidable. ■

October 2010 gulfbusiness 33


NEWS ANALYSIS ENERGY

Opec celebrates 50 years


Having survived a tumultuous history of wars, embargoes and in-fighting, Opec’s next challenge
will be keeping up with the world’s changing energy mix. RYAN HARRISON reports.

A
t 50 years old, Opec is a thing. But the challenge will come with
wise old head. Recessions incorporating Iraq back into the Opec
have come and gone, but fold as it’s been outside the quota for
the organisation that was some time.
founded in Baghdad on September 14, “There are a number of countries
1960 is still the dominant power in that would like to produce more but
world oil. they can’t. Having to involve Iraq in
It will need all its years of this will be tricky,” she added.
experience to tackle the coming threats Despite the deep reserves of Opec’s
to its existence though, say experts. members, especially powerhouses like
The Organisation of the Petroleum Saudi Arabia that have ensured five
Exporting Countries (Opec) is acutely decades of continuous oil exporting
aware of Iraq’s re-emergence as a revenues, the organisation is still
crude heavy weight, declining oil too heavily dependent on what is
exports among its members and the fundamentally a finite commodity.
inevitability of renewable energy. Gail Tverberg, a consultant and
But for now it’s safe. Opec members expert on peak-oil, and editor of
still produce about 40 per cent of research portal The Oil Drum, said this
the world’s oil, meanwhile the group issue could prove to be the thorn in
possesses about 60 per cent of the the side of Opec for the years to come.
world’s proven crude oil reserves. “Instead of growth, I think the
Oil prices are comfortably near $75 Helen Henton, head of energy and overall theme will be just trying to
a barrel and above $70 a barrel for all environmental research, Standard maintain the status quo, when the
but two weeks of this year. Chartered. natural trend is toward decline. Part of
Still, the world is a different place to the issue will be declining oil exports
that faced by founder members Saudi could reduce the cost of renewable (because production remains at most
Arabia, Iraq, Iran, Kuwait and Venezuela. technologies. flat, but use by local population
“The overarching theme for the How to tackle Iraq’s thirst for oil continues to rise). But part of the issue
next 50 years will be the changing money is a more immediate threat, will be difficulty in obtaining enough
energy mix,” said Helen Henton, said Henton. fresh water, and a population unhappy
head of energy and environmental Figures released recently showed Opec about declining real wealth.”
research at Standard Chartered. could well see a spike in its production Tverberg said in future because oil
reserves are weighted heavily in the
hands of Opec, power will shift away
Despite the deep reserves of Opec’s members, from non-Opec nations, which are
the organisation is still too heavily dependent currently pumping at full pelt just to
keep up.
on what is fundamentally a finite commodity. “Oil exports from non-Opec
countries will likely drop even faster
“The drive to de-carbonisation as Iraq seeks to lift output to 12 million than Opec countries, so this will raise
and energy security is critical for barrels a day within six years, up from the status of Opec oil exporters. They
everyone, but particularly Opec. That 2.5 million at present, as the country will be able to pick and choose who
being said, in the coming decades recovers after years of conflict. they want to export to,” she said.
oil will still be the most important That would catapult Iraq to the How Opec meets its energy
component of the energy mix.” second largest oil producer in Opec challenges will determine whether
Henton said oil producing nations behind Saudi Arabia it calls itself the dominant player in
have been slow to equip themselves “They have some ambitious world oil by September 14, 2060. Its
for the switch to renewable. Although numbers,” said Henton. “Fundamentally 100th birthday is still some way off,
in their favour the next five to 10 years though, the world needs more oil so but time is ticking to find a sustainable
will bring technological advances that Iraq producing more is a positive alternative source of income.

34 gulfbusiness October 2010


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NEWS ANALYSIS BUSINESS

Brave new world


As the Gulf emerges from a long and painful recession, it’s time to think less about lucre and
more about longevity. ALICIA BULLER reports.

A
s the region journeys back to
growth, there’s little doubt
that things will never be the
same again in the business
world. The Gulf has waved goodbye
to the days of the sales office phones
ringing as often as the cash register;
just as the UAE has said farewell to the
lion’s share of its CEOs.
It’s a brave new world out there:
an environment that Abdulaziz Al-
Sowilim, new MENA chairman for
professional services firm Ernst &
Young, terms as the ‘new normal’.
“Today you have to be creative and
generate new ways to get business, the
business doesn’t just automatically
come to you,” he says.
“There also needs to be a greater Abdulaziz Al-Sowilim, Ernst & Young. Tommy Weir, Kenexa.
focus on corporate governance and
hiring the right people.” emerging market leadership at HR work within their constraints. Like Al-
The chairman adds that Ernst & development firm, Kenexa, likens the Sowilim, Weir believes the major focus
Young has seen regulation and risk ‘boom’ times to a harbour that was should be on people.
management rise to number one constantly filling with water (cash) and “The first thing should always be:
on the client agenda. A year ago the whether the company was a ‘dinghy’ or ‘do I have the right people in the
main concern was credit access. The a ‘170-foot super yacht’ the water came right roles doing the right things?’
fact is regulation and credit access in and everyone went up. In the boom days, the growth curve
are increasingly going hand-in-hand “The businesses came in, they got went up so fast that businesses just
as banks demand reassurance from the lease, they turned on the lights gave promotions to who was ever
clients. The steep rise in voluntary and they grew. We can’t rely on the there at the time, just to keep up
regulatory activity has risen partly harbour any more, but we have to with the growth. They weren’t
trained and they had subject
knowledge but not management
It’s possible that you have been left behind if experience,” Weir says.
you haven’t fixed your company already. You Ernst & Young’s Al-Sowilim adds
that his company is pushing a global
should have started the process in 2009. homegrown recruitment drive as
part of its strategy to incubate and
from longevity concerns and partly for figure out what to do and where we develop the best people in their local
‘survival’ reasons. should focus. If we borrow cash, can environments. “It’s about ensuring
“It’s possible that you have been we pay it back? It all comes down to continuity,” he says.
left behind if you haven’t fixed your cash,” he says. Three months into the job himself,
company already.” says Al-Sowilim. “Before, companies were paying the Saudi-born chairman is the
”You should have started the process money out of revenues, which is the only homegrown GCC boss of a
in 2009. Corporate governance is a top line, not the bottom line. People professional services company today.
tool that makes sure everything is used to say, ‘how do I make the most Post-crisis, ‘continuity’ and
under control and gives investors money out of this’? Now they’re ‘longevity’ will be the buzzwords of
confidence.” saying, ‘how do I make this last’?” business strategies going forward.
Tommy Weir, author of American Weir adds that, going forward, Actually they don’t sound that ‘buzzy’.
best-seller The CEO Shift and boss of companies must know their limits and But that’s the point.

36 gulfbusiness October 2010


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NEWS ANALYSIS RETAIL

Net gains
As a leading supermarket
launches its own online store
in the UAE, savvy shoppers
ask why has it taken so long?
MICHAEL GORDON reports.

Photo: Carrefour
C
arrefour in the UAE has
launched a web shopping
initiative, the first of its
kind among the country’s
supermarkets. Carrefour’s new online shopping site targets the UAE’s internet savvy population.
The new site, from the world’s
second largest retailer, gives In the UK, leading retailers, show that while about 38 per cent
customers access to over 3,000 including Sainsburys, Waitrose, of UAE consumers will go online in
items at the touch of a button – Tesco and ASDA (Walmart) have order to save money (visiting price
including many items that are not offered online ordering and comparison websites and the like),
available in-store. home delivery for several years. only about eight to nine per cent
The online portal (www.ic4uae.com) But, crucially, they do not limit consistently buy online to
allows customers to buy a variety of deliveries to non-food items. So is save money.”
non-food items, including cameras, this initiative by Carrefour a leap He adds that out-of-home food
mobile phones, printers, gaming forward, or too little too late? consumption is high and outsourced
products, TVs, home appliances, Richard Adams, Datamonitor’s meal prices are competitive.
garden furniture, homeware and Dubai-based consumer consulting “Because labour inputs are
some cosmetic items. The service analyst, believes that the industry comparatively cheap, the cost
is competitively priced, with free implications of Carrefour’s online of outsourcing meal production
delivery available on all orders over home delivery system are likely to is relatively modest. As a result,
Dhs1,000 and an average of Dhs12 for be relatively modest, at least in the significant proportions of the UAE
any orders under this amount. short-term. consumers in either consume meals
out of the home or order home delivery
It is quite an unpredictable market and from restaurants,” adds Adams.
However, because Carrefour is a
we don’t expect to change everyone’s scale player, and any action they take
shopping behaviour overnight. We are will impact the market, Adams believes
catering for a small group of shoppers that as consumers become more used
to the idea of online food delivery, and
Henry Changeux, GCC Country He says that pilot testing of online happier to use credit cards online, we
Head of Carrefour, says: “It is quite grocery home delivery by two of will see a gradual transformation.
an unpredictable market and we the UAE’s larger consumers goods He warns: “There are, however,
don’t expect to change everyone’s retailers only met with moderate significant logistical issues. Chilled
shopping behaviour overnight. We success. What’s more, internet refrigeration is not cheap and food in
are catering for a relatively small penetration rates are relatively such a hot climate spoils quickly if not
group of shoppers at the moment modest and consumers are still chilled adequately.”
but once people become aware of the weary of buying online. The demographic most likely to
deals online, we are confident this Adams says: “With internet use Carrefour’s online service is the
will shift. penetration rates around 60 per 18-34-year-old consumer, according
“The webstore gives customers cent, online purchasing is not to Datamonitor research. “We saw
the opportunity to browse through enormously significant. Moreover, no statistically significant difference
thousands of products, while those consumers who are online are between gender uptake,” adds Adams.
comparing different brands and reticent to purchase. Some of the early online success
features at a time that suits them. “UAE consumers have trust issues stories in the UAE include Emirates
All items are delivered by UPS to with online sales channels, fearing Avenue, EllaMart, Quick Dubai and
their home.” credit fraud. Datamonitors figures Brownbag.ae. ■

38 gulfbusiness October 2010


NEWS ANALYSIS MARKETS

Dubai’s double act


Two months after DFM and NASDAQ Dubai consolidated, investors witnessed a 20 per cent
boost in trading, but regulation remains key, writes KAREN REMO-LISTANA.

D
ubai attracted the world’s
attention when its two stock
exchanges – Dubai Financial
Market (DFM) and NASDAQ
Dubai – were consolidated in July.
Equities value rose 20 per cent in
August – its first full month of trading
since the bourse doubled up.
Going forward, what’s vital is that
brokers see it as one platform, says
Gerald Santing, managing director,
markets, Dubai Financial Services
Authority (DFSA), which manages
regulation for NASDAQ Dubai.
“What happened was a migration
of systems and processes to another

Photos: Naveed Ahmed


platform. The regulation itself didn’t
change at all,” the Dutch markets
veteran said.
Santing joined DFSA in June,
just before the consolidation was
finalised. He first came to Dubai
The list of differences goes on,
Equities value rose 20 per cent in but Santing, who has chaired
the international regulatory task
August – its first full month of trading force that dealt with the approval
since the bourse outsourced its procedures of the merger of NYSE
and Euronext, says a merger is also
operation to DFM. possible in this part of the world.
when the Dubai Mercantile Exchange already in place. Regulation is an “Of course you can merge
(DME) was still being set up in evolving thing. If anything happens exchanges, but it’s quite a lot of
2007, and now he has the overall in this market or we foresee changes, work because it’s not only a legal
responsibility for the DME. we will adapt to that,” said Santing. thing, it’s also a process where you
“All over the world, you try to But is real consolidation possible have to create a long-term single
attract bigger liquidity pools and for the two bourses? liquidity pool,” he said. “Europe has
you could do that by mergers but it’s Aside from the investor type, each done that but it has taken them at
not always necessary. What is more bourse has its own distinct features. least 10 years.”
important is you align the rules and DFM requires companies to sell a Despite the recent increase in
processes,” he said. minimum 55 per cent stake, while trading, activity in NASDQA Dubai
The migration is expected to NASDAQ Dubai has a 25 per cent remains relatively low. The weak
beef up retail investors’ interest minimum listing rule. DFM uses the trading conditions in the exchange
in NASDAQ Dubai, a significant fixed price method in valuing shares have pushed its flagship firm,
diversion from its initial strategy. for IPO, while NASDAQ Dubai uses the DP World, to seek a premium listing
While DFM is more catered to local book-building method. on the London Stock Exchange and
retail investors, NASDAQ Dubai was The regulator of NASDAQ Dubai has caused others to withdraw
created to primarily woo international also appears to be quicker in adapting their listings.
institutional investors. international standards. For example, “There are always ways to improve
Yet despite the changes, regulations SCA mandated listed companies to and that can be done by getting more
are set to remain the same for now. set up remuneration and nomination primary listings and adding more-
“The regulatory environment for committees from April 30, while DFSA free float in the market. And we are
protecting retail customers was has had this rules for years. definitely after that,” Santing said. ■

40 gulfbusiness October 2010


DARWIN WROTE ONE
OF THE GREATEST
SCIENTIFIC BOOKS
EVER.
EXECUTIVE MOVES

The Saudi British Bank


(SABB) has appointed Emirates NBD, the Gulf’s
Majed Najm as the general largest bank by assets,
manager of personal financial has appointed Surya
services. Najm has returned Subramanian, a former
to SABB after serving over Standard Chartered
three years of secondment banker, as its new
with HSBC Group, SABB’s chief financial officer.
global partner, where he was Subramanian, a chartered
head of International Bank accountant, has worked
Middle East responsible for in banking and finance
11 Middle Eastern countries. in India, Pakistan and
Earlier he held the position of Singapore. He joins from
the chief executive officer of the Ministry of Finance
HSBC Bahrain. He joined SABB in 1992. and the Accounting and
Corporate Regulatory
Authority in Singapore. He succeeds Sanjay Uppal who
BNP Paribas has announced his departure in April.
appointed Tariq Al
Samahiji as CEO of BNP
Paribas Najmah and Global SAP has selected Sam
Head of BNP Paribas Alkharrat to lead the next
Islamic Finance and wave of SAP’s growth and
Investments. Al Samahiji development in the Middle
has been with BNP Paribas East and North Africa.
since 2002 and was the Alkharrat has joined SAP
CEO of BNP Paribas MENA after having spent 16
Investment Partners years with Cisco Systems,
covering the MENA region where he held several
beginning 2007. leadership roles building
Cisco’s business in the MENA
region. Most recently, Alkharrat
held the position of managing
The Abu Dhabi Investment Authority (ADIA) has director of the company’s
appointed Ted Chu as chief economist. Chu joins ADIA public sector business across
from General Motors in Detroit, where he has served since the emerging markets.
2006 as chief economist and director of global economic
and industry analysis. Before joining GM, Chu was a
macroeconomist at the Central and Eastern European Crédit Agricole has
division of the World Bank in Washington. appointed Albert
Momdjian as head of
coverage and investment
Deutsche Bank AG has named banking for the Middle East
Ashok Aram as its chief and Africa region. He was
executive for the Middle East previously head of Middle
and North Africa, replacing East and Africa investment
Henry Azzam who will become banking. He joined Crédit
the bank’s non-executive Agricole from Crédit Suisse
chairman for the region. Aram back in 2006.
joins the bank from Middle
East private equity firm Abraaj
Capital, where he served as
managing director for one year, Mohammed Ali Yasin, former head of Shuaa Securities
Zawya Dow Jones reported. who resigned in June, has joined CAPM Investment, an
Aram had worked at Deutsche Abu Dhabi-based investment bank as chief investment
Bank for 15 years prior to officer. Yasin was named chief executive of Shuaa
Abraaj, heading debt and equity markets for central and Securities in 2006, and oversaw the firm’s rapid expansion
eastern Europe and Middle East and Africa. across the Middle East, emerging as the second-largest
broker in the UAE by market share.

42 gulfbusiness October 2010


COVER STORY RAK SPECIAL REPORT

The man who


sold the world
Exclusive: Rakia and RAK Ceramics CEO, Dr Khater Massaad, tells
KAREN REMO-LISTANA why he’s selling global assets for an AA credit rating.

N
aturally, Dr Khater businessman, Massaad said Sheikh “Our investment outside RAK is
Massaad knows the Saud’s focus now is to “make sure that less than 10 per cent,” he said. “His
mission of Ras Al Ras Al Kaimah is on the right track, no Highness has given instruction now
Kaimah Investment defaulting and financial problems.” to invest only within RAK so all our
Authority (Rakia) At the top of the list for divestment investments from now on will be in
off by heart: is its investment in the Port of Poti in the emirate.”
to encourage Georgia, which Rakia plans to IPO next Contrary to popular opinion
international year. “We are planning to exit this port Massaad says Rakia is not a sovereign
investments to the emirate, and not with an IPO… in 2011,” he said. “It is wealth fund (SWF) and so is not
the other way around. And having not a strategic asset for us. If we can obliged to invest in various asset
attracted close to $2.5 billion in make money from selling something
investment, no one can say that the then why should we not do it?” The many hats
Rakia chief hasn’t achieved his aim. The divestment may also cover of Dr Massad
Today, there are more than 6,500 other international assets. Rakia has
companies registered with Rakia, real estate and shipping developments The driving force behind RAK
representing investors from diverse in Georgia, along the Black Sea Ceramics CEO, Dr Khater
non-oil sectors, including industrial, coast and around the capital, and Massaad, has guided the destiny
commercial, trading, services, a 50:50 joint venture between RAK of what is now the largest ceramic
consulting and media companies. Ceramics and the Trimex Group from manufacturing organisation in the
world – achieved within 17 years.
But, for Massaad, a deeply ambitious India, which is planning a range
Massaad was appointed in August
man, it’s just not enough. The emirate of investments in the Indonesian 2003 as the advisor to The Crown
is hungry for more investments and is province of East Kalimantan. Prince & Deputy Ruler of the Emirate
willing to divest all its international Rakeen, its property development of Ras Al Khaimah, His Highness
assets to get ‘AA’ credit ratings, up arm, is also investing in Georgia, Sheikh Saud Bin Saqr Al Qasimi. He
from the current ‘A’. This nifty set where it has three mixed-use projects plays an important role in the rapid
of moves will put RAK on the same in the capital, Tbilisi, amounting to an development of the emirate as CEO
footing as its much wealthier sister- investment of some $2 billion. of the RAK Investment Authority
emirate, Abu Dhabi. However, the divestment will (Rakia), a position he was appointed
“For the last two years, Ras Al not dramatically shake up Rakia’s to in 2005. Rakia has attracted
more than $2 billion in industrial
Photos: Victor Besa

Kaimah has got an A-rating and His portfolio, the said investment in the
investments into RAK.
Highness Sheikh Saud Bin Saqr Al Georgia port is “small” and even if Massaad has also played a
Qasimi wants to bring this ‘A’ to ‘AA’ all of its overseas investments are major role in the tourism sector as
rating,” says Massaad. summed up, they would not make up managing director of Al Hamra Fort
Describing the deputy ruler as a 10 per cent of Rakia’s total assets, Hotel & Beach Resort.
“very conservative” and “very good” according to Massaad.

44 gulfbusiness October 2010


October 2010 gulfbusiness 45
COVER STORY RAK SPECIAL REPORT

compared with 22 per cent one year


earlier. This level remains below the
‘A’ peer group median of 34 per cent.
Fox says the compilation of
accounts on a public sector-wide
basis has served RAK well, with the
authorities able to provide detailed
data on the performance of public
sector agencies and enterprises. It
was also able to exert a high degree of
oversight and control.
“This minimises the risk of a Dubai-
style crisis emerging in RAK”, Fox says.
To further beef up its buffers, Rakia
plans to IPO RAK Ceramics in India
by the end of this year or beginning of
next year, following its $250 million
Products of RAK Ceramics. The company last year produced 115 million square Bangladesh IPO.
metres of ceramics from 15 manufacturing facilities located in six countries. “The size of the issue depends on
the laws of India. It may be up to
30-40 per cent and we are probably
We are planning to exit the Port of Poti talking about $40 million to $50
million,” Massaad said.
in Georgia with an IPO in 2011. If we can RAK Ceramics supplies up to 75
make money from selling something per cent of the domestic demand for
sanitary ware in the UAE and 25 per
then why should we not do it? cent of demand for ceramic tile in
Bangladesh. While in India, about
classes. “We don’t have a fund, we are or help develop its major projects, three out of every four tiles is from
a company,” he says. “To be honest, said Stewart. RAK Ceramics.
I don’t consider Rakia as an SWF. I Having weathered the challenges The world’s largest ceramics
consider it as an industrial licensing of 2009 quite well, with growth manufacturer, largely owned by
and promotion agency. We have intact and comfortable public finance Rakia, is also expecting bigger
invested in certain industries but we ratios, RAK is rated ‘A/A’ by Fitch and revenues and profits for this fiscal
are not RAK’s investment arm.” Standard & Poor’s ratings agencies. year. For the fiscal year of 2009, RAK
The emirate’s plans to increase However, with the budget Ceramics posted a 20.2 per cent jump
its rating by beefing up investment deficit and debt ratios having in net profits to Dhs261.9 million
using capital from its own pocket risen sharply since 2006, albeit to compared to Dhs217.9 million in
makes sense, given its current debt- finance important infrastructure the previous year. Revenues during
freeze policy. development, RAK now needs to the same period rose 17 per cent to
RAK is currently in a deleveraging demonstrate that the projected Dhs3.77 billion from Dh3.23 billion.
mood as it looks to reduce its $1.36 improvement in public finances will Massaad can be forgiven a little
billion of debt after funding a start to materialise this year, Richard smugness as he says total revenue is
development splurge with Fox, head of Middle East and Africa expected to rise 10 per cent to reach
Islamic bonds. sovereign ratings at Fitch, said. $1.1billion this year from $1billion
Jim Stewart, chief executive of The deficit had been expected last year. He’s also hoping for the
the Ras Al Khaimah government’s to narrow, with no new borrowing same percentage increase in terms
Investment and Development Office, envisaged in the 2009 financing plan. of profits. And judging by his track
has said previously that the agency However, the government pressed record, it’s likely he’ll do it.
would like to reduce the structural debt ahead with capital spending plans and “We have not been squeezed. RAK
and then bring in partners later on. financed the resulting deficit with its Ceramics is exporting to more than
Investors will share equity in some first foreign currency sukuk for $400 130 countries,” he explains. “If you
of the emirate’s 16 government-related million, issued in July 2009. have a recession in one country,
companies, which could also sell This raised the debt burden to it can be compensated in other
shares to the public in a few years, 31.4 per cent of GDP at end-2009, countries.” ■

46 gulfbusiness October 2010


FEATURES RAK SPECIAL REPORT

RAK attack
The emirate is packing a punch with its ambitious
no-debt strategy and climbing inward investment.
By KAREN REMO-LISTANA.

H
ome to the world’s
largest ceramics
maker, one of the
major offshore
hubs in the Middle
East and ruled by
the world’s second
longest-serving
monarch after the king of Thailand,
Sheikh Saqr bin Mohammad Al
Qasimi, Ras Al Kaimah has a string of
accolades to its name.
But perhaps its biggest accolade
is the fact that while the rest of the
world binged on credit, the emirate
was prudent enough not to over-
burden itself. RAK currently owns
$1.6 billion of debt, roughly $1 billion Sheikh Faisal bin Saqr Al Qasimi,
of which is sukuk-listed on the chairman, RAK finance department.
London Stock Exchange. The emirate
is now aiming to deleverage, while balance sheet thanks to the diversity gas and water at four per cent and
pushing forward with its ambitious of its economy. It has no one dominant hotels and restaurants at two per cent.
tourism and expansion plans. economic contributor – in 2008 According to Zawya financial data,
“No bonds,” Sheikh Faisal bin Saqr the largest sector was government the government has an ongoing $2
Al Qasimi, chairman of the RAK services, which contributed 15 per cent billion sukuk programme and sold
finance department, says. “At the to GDP, followed by wholesale, retail $400 million of bonds in July last year
moment it depends on the liquidity of and repair services at 14 per cent. in the first US dollar sukuk issue by an
the market. We are relying on self- Figures from research firm the emirate in the UAE. It sold Dhs1 billion
financing and foreign investors. Oxford Business Group, show ($367 million) of sukuk in May 2008
“For the moment I don’t think RAK real estate and business services, while the Ras Al Khaimah Investment
needs to issue bonds,” he said, noting construction, building and Authority (Rakia), sold a $325 million
that the government has also taken manufacturing each contributed nine sukuk in 2007.
steps to streamline its operational costs. per cent. Agriculture is also a major “We are withholding any borrowing
“We have no huge overheads. Our contributor, at nine per cent, transport plans until we see the picture of the
government is very small and efficient. accounts for eight per cent, followed local and world economy. To play it
We have no oil, so we have to depend by financial intermediation and crude safe is better,” Sheikh Omar bin Saqr
on the service, industries and tourism. oil, both at seven per cent, electricity, Al Qasimi, head of private affairs for
That is good because it means we
are standing on more pillars rather
than depending on only one source of We are withholding any borrowing plans
income.”
He’s right. And although the emirate until we see the picture of the local and
did not come out from the crisis
unscathed, it was able to manage its
world economy. To play it safe is better.

48 gulfbusiness October 2010


Ras Al Khaimah is the most transparent
state in the GCC, says Fitch Ratings.

Sheikh Saqr Al Qassimi, Ruler of Ras Rakia and RAK Free Trade Zone also tourists. Ras Al Kaimah prides itself
getty images

Al Kaimah, said. (FTZ) are leading the way in bringing on pristine beaches and archaeological
“Borrowing is not something you investment to the emirate by forging heritage, formed over thousands of years
should be afraid of,” he added. “In partnerships with international by nomadic and indigenous Arab groups
development you have to borrow but companies. Both offer free zones with and seafaring traders.
you should manage it and see your light regulation, infrastructure and By leveraging the emirate’s cultural
ability to pay your debt.” practical support. attraction and natural landscape,
The main hit to public sector Official statistics says there are RAK Tourism officials are aiming to
revenues last year stemmed from more than 6,500 companies registered increase tourist arrivals to 2.5 million
reduced payments by developers with Rakia – 3,030 are on-shore by 2012. In a bid to reach this target,
for land purchases. However, with companies and 500 companies are the emirate has plans for adding
reclamation for the flagship Al Marjan registered through Rakia’s off-shore some 3,700 rooms over the coming
Island project largely completed facility, which recorded a 90 per cent years, trebling the current supply. An
in 2008, spending also fell sharply, growth during the first quarter of estimated $5 billion worth of projects
with the overall public sector deficit 2010 over the same period in 2009. In are currently planned or under way.
virtually unchanged, albeit at a still addition, negotiations are underway For a small emirate, RAK certainly
high 10.5 per cent of GDP. with several more companies from packs some might. Going forward,
One of the emirate’s strengths is its countries including Belgium, UAE, the success will unequivocally lie in the
increasing attraction as an investment USA, Kuwait, Egypt, Turkey, Italy, India, updating of its infrastructure and
haven. According to the Chamber of Germany, France, Pakistan and Canada continued inward investment.
Commerce, the total number of existing to set up business ventures and Whether the emirate’s no-debt
companies registered at the end of investment activities in the emirate. strategy can be pulled off without
December 2009 stood at 21,609, up RAK is not only reaching out to the hampering its development remains to
from 19,697 in 2008 and 17,840 in 2007. world for business partnerships, but be seen. ■

October 2010gulfbusiness 49
PROFILE RAK SPECIAL REPORT

Navigating
the crisis
Whether it’s in the government, aviation or banking sector, officials should
always find time for a reality check, RAK Airways chairman Sheikh Omar bin
Saqr Al Qasimi tells KAREN REMO-LISTANA.

S
heikh Omar bin Saqr suspending services in May 2009 due Omar Jahameh, and his team who are
Al Qasimi is multi to financial difficulties. It has already finalising the details of the airline’s
talented. He is the invested more than $27 million in destination list. How long the new
chairman of RAK infrastructure development. team will stay on board is a question
Airways, RAK Bank Despite the relatively slow economic already being asked by many as RAK
and Gulf Cement, growth and stiff competition, Sheikh Airways, in the space of just three
and also the head Omar – who used to fly microlight years the company has already had six
of private affairs aircraft as a hobby – says they will do chief executive officers.
for HH Sheikh Saqr Muhammad Al everything to make RAK Airways’ re-
Qasimi, the Ruler of Ras Al Kaimah. entry a success. Sheikh Omar’s views on
How he juggles all of these Contrary to some reports, RAK
The UAE economy
commitments is a matter of time Airways will not be a low-cost
“We overestimated ourselves and
management, says Sheikh Omar, airline. Sheikh Omar says it will we pushed ourselves a little bit too
who declines to wear a watch. “After operate as a “full-fledged airline” but Freshii over the years
much. When the world economy
working hours, I leave the office. But will not compete on the high-end of went down, it awakened us to the
I am on my phone most of the time,” the market. fact that things will never continue
he says. RAK Airways flights to Jeddah and to go up like a rocket. The recession
One of his biggest tasks is to re- Calicut will start at Dhs10, including is a good wake up call.”
launch RAK Airways on October 10 one baggage and a meal, but Rak
and help the airline break even in Airways is not a low-cost airline, The GCC monetary union
“I think the UAE will join later on.
its first year of operation. “We aim to chairman Al Qassimi said. The model
I see it. The UAE’s backing out
break even as soon as possible,” he is based on cost-control, he said.
happened at a higher level, they
says. “We looked at what we’ve done “We are looking at serving Ras Al saw that the UAE deserves to have
in the past. We changed the aircraft Kaimah’s population, a lot of whom the GCC central bank. And why
type – we’ve moved to smaller and come from Southern India, as well as not? The UAE is the second biggest
more economical Boeing 737s. We also people travelling to Saudi Arabia to economy in the GCC.”
looked at the cost of the planes and take part in the Haj pilgrimage,” he
staffing and it looks positive.” said. “If we can give them with the Money
The Ras Al Khaimah carrier was right price and with the right level of “Money is one of the most important
created by the emirate’s government service, I think people will come and things in life. But like a car, if you
misuse it and drive it at over 200km
in 2005 and started operations at the fly with us.”
per hour, then it will harm you and
end of 2007. The airline carried about Currently, observers are focused
the people around you.”
125,000 passengers in 2008 before on the firm’s recently appointed CEO,

50 gulfbusiness October 2010


be afraid of competition if you are
doing it right.”
This same outlook applies to the
UAE’s banking sector, which seems
over-stocked. He says banks in the
UAE are still profitable despite the
existence of 24 national banks and 28
foreign banks competing to serve a
population of just five million people.
“We have thought about this. I, as the
chairman of RAK Bank, can say that
even though there are many banks, the
UAE banking sector is growing even in
recession,” says Sheikh Omar.
Despite an increase in non-
performing loans, RAK Bank registered
a 14 per cent increase in net income
from Dhs636 million to Dhs726.1
million in 2009. The bank’s net profit
for the first six months of this year
rose 36.2 per cent to Dhs468.3 million,
compared to Dhs343.81 million in the
same period last year.
“But one day, the market will
consolidate itself,” says Sheikh Omar.
“The weak will shrink and the strong
will grow. I don’t like to say when.
Let the market decide.” Sheikh Omar
says that the UAE, specifically Dubai,
is experiencing cash-flow problems
due to debt issues and the only way to
Photo: Vikram Gawde

solve it is, to face up to the issues and


deal with them head on.
As a believer that jail works for debt
defaulters, he says banks should also
be penalised for irresponsible lending.
“Of course, I am with this law,” he
says. ‘To overcome wrongdoing you
need to have stringent regulation for
“Sometimes you have to take a a wrong decision, but you have to the debtor and the bank. The central
prudent decision,” says Sheikh Omar treat it.” bank should not allow banks to lend
candidly. “When we started, we RAK Airways’ re-launch is set to excessively. The central bank has to
were not lucky and we made some take place at a time when the airline put in place very strict laws to avoid
mistakes. We have to admit that the industry is consolidating. In August, reaching this stage again.”
global situation didn’t help us. It was Saudi Arabia-based Sama Airlines Sheikh Omar’s philosophy for life
boom time and everything was not in stopped operation after sustaining is to learn from mistakes and look
control. The price of oil went up from SAR1 billion ($266 million) in losses. forward to a good future.
$50 to $150 per barrel. Finding aircraft In June, Bahrain Air announced that “The danger with the media is
was difficult and finding people was they would exit the low cost carrier they are with you in good times but
also tough. They were very expensive. market. Meanwhile, Gulf Air’s full-year when you have a problem, they push
With bad luck and with the wrong loss rose 21 per cent to $502.9 million you to the sea to sink,” he says. “The
people, we had to suspend the airline. last year. media thinks Dubai is dead. But
“Hopefully this time, we will But Sheikh Omar shrugs off the Dubai is still a surviving place. And
succeed,” he adds. “Sometimes when possibility of another failure. “The we are thankful because Dubai’s
you have a disease, you have to cure most dynamic country in this part of developments have benefited other
it. You cannot stay sick. It may be the world is the UAE. You should not emirates such as ours.” ■

October 2010 gulfbusiness 51


FEATURES DEBT

Payback
time
iStockphoto

As the $200 billion wall of maturity looms,


the clock is ticking for GCC firms to roll
over their debts. But can they do it?
asks KAREN REMO-LISTANA

T
he topic of real estate developers being the most operating cash flow.Against this
refinancing is so exposed sectors. bleak background, Dubai’s property
heated it could Dubai’s state-owned companies companies are slated to face
explode, much like are estimated to be sitting on more significant refinancing risks. The
the region’s indebted than $100 billion of debt, with some emirate’s real estate market is likely
firms. While the $30 billion worth of loans and bonds to remain under pressure until at
financing tool from predominantly state-linked firms least 2012-2013, according to Fitch
has been used for due to mature in 2011-2012. Dubai rating agency.
decades to take advantage of better World, which leads the emirate’s “The sector is likely to see a period
interest rates and to consolidate debt-ridden enterprises, owes $39.9 of stagnant growth at best and a
other debts into one loan, in today’s billion, according to a document seen double-dip contraction at worst,” says
tight times, negotiating the terms by Reuters, which is much higher than Bashar Al Natoor, director in Fitch’s
with lenders has become difficult, if the widely slated debts of $26 billion. EMEA Corporates team. “Refinancing
not impossible. Dubai Holding – one of the three is a global issue but it is a more
Unrated corporates from the six largest Dubai master-developers intense issue, in Dubai. Real estate will
Gulf countries have over $67 billion of together with Nakheel and Emaar remain under pressure until 2012 and
total debt outstanding, while the total Properties – is creaking on liabilities 2013, so sourcing funds to refinance
for rated corporates is $145 billion, of $12.8 billion, or about a third Dubai’s debts will be a challenge up
of which $28 billion, or nearly one- of the Dubai World restructuring. until that time, at least.”
fifth, will mature in 2012, according Dubai International Financial Centre Debt restructuring is also common
to Moody’s Investors Service. Dubai Investments (DIFCI) is also in the in Kuwait where some investment
and Abu Dhabi-based entities account hot seat as it struggles to rollover companies, including those with
for the majority of this debt, with more than $3 billion of debts against banking licences and private equity
investment holding companies and a backdrop of weak earnings and firms, have defaulted on their financial

October 2010 gulfbusiness 55


FEATURES DEBT

Credit events can cause significant periods


of uncertainty. These are events that can
dramatically shift the credit landscape.
While it looks increasing unlikely, another
large family conglomerate defaulting
would throw spreads out again.
Khalid Howladar senior credit officer, Moody’s.

obligations. And their moves to raise But the scale of Kuwait’s debt incorporate balloon payments at
capital met with far higher resistance restructuring problem is not the point of final maturity, often, the
than in the past. comparable to Dubai’s, Jasem Al intention or assumption is that the
Global Investment House, the Saadoun, board chairman, Kuwait- borrower take out a new loan to pay
biggest investment bank in Kuwait, based Al Shall Company for Economic the existing lenders.
defaulted on most of its debt in Consultants, said. “Refinancing is In refinancing, the first thing to
January 2009. Four months later, not an issue in Kuwait as much as it consider is if the bank itself has the
its major Islamic rival, Investment is in other Gulf states,” he said. “You financial resources. “One must first
Dar, which owns half of the British cannot compare it to Dubai, not even to ask – do the banks have the funds?”
luxury carmaker Aston Martin, also Bahrain and Oman. Kuwait’s liquidity Howladar said.
missed a payment on $100 million is even higher than Saudi Arabia. “Many do but have become much
of debt, becoming the first Arabian “Liquidity speaking, I would put more conservative and discerning.
Gulf company to default on sukuk, or Qatar on the top, then Kuwait and And even if new borrowers have a
Islamic bonds. Saudi. Bahrain and Oman as fourth good business profile, they may still be
“Liquidity is a problem for every and fifth then last is the UAE, unless reluctant to lend, as they also may still
company here,” Naser Al Nafisi, general Dubai solves its problem, which it is have need of their funds given some
manager, Kuwait-based Al Joman unlikely to do over the next two years uncertainties that remain.”
Centre for Economic Consultancy, at least,” Al Saadoun, added. Fortunately, analysts agree that
said. “The banks are not lending so a Saudi, the GCC’s largest economy, the UAE’s banks are strong enough
lot of companies cannot rollover their has not been spared. To date, the to absorb foreseeable losses. Shuaa
debts. There is hardly a chance to legal battle between Ahmed Hamad Capital’s stress test on a sample of
raise financing from the banks. A lot Al-Gosaibi & Brothers Co (AHAB) eight UAE banks, which account for
can’t make capital raising a success. against Maan Al Sanea of the almost 70 per cent of FY09 banking
So naturally, some ended up in severe Alkhobar-based. system assets, suggests that, on
financial troubles.” Saad Group is still ongoing. At least average, the banking sector is
13 UAE banks and seven foreign banks
2012 debt maturities have exposures to these two groups The global debt burden
by country/emirate amounting to $2.9 billion.
The Dubai World standstill The world economy is about $61
Kuwait announcement, the Investment trillion. Of this, the six Gulf countries
2% Dar default and the Saudi family make up $1.1 trillion and within that
$560m the UAE is $228 billion, according to
feud problem may have occurred
Standard Chartered estimates.
Qatar sporadically, but the effect is The region’s total debt is much
14% prolonged market uncertainty. less than its Western counterparts.
$3.92bn Dubai “Credit events can cause significant Based on Standard Poor’s Study,
37%
Saudi Arabia periods of uncertainty,” Khalid Europe’s non-financial and financial
$10.36bn
20% Howladar senior credit officer, Moody’s debt maturing from the second
$5.6bn Investors Service, said. “These are half of 2010 through 2013 stands
Abu Dhabi events that can dramatically shift at $3 trillion. The US has $2.4
27% trillion corporate debts coming due
$7.56bn the credit landscape. While it looks
increasing unlikely, another large through 2013. In comparison, the
GCC has about $145 billion of total
family conglomerate defaulting would
debt outstanding, of which only $28
throw spreads out again.” billion will mature in 2012.
Source: Moody’s
Many types of commercial lending

56 gulfbusiness October 2010


sufficiently capitalised to withst business may not fare better and, in the
and significant deterioration in 2012 debt maturities end, defaults anyhow.
asset quality. by industry “When you carry out loan
But that leaves banks far from 1% 24% modifications on commercial loans,
7%
worry free. Although non-performing $1.96bn $28m $6.72bn personal loans or mortgages, you
loans have been manageable, ensuing Oil and gas Conglomerate Investment don’t necessarily solve the problem,”
holding
uncertainty in the market means they company Howladar said. “A loan modification
9%
have to keep more capital to keep them $2.52bn works if a borrower has a short-term
safe. That in turn means less lending Utility and problem. But if the borrower’s status
money and lower profitability. energy further deteriorates, then that will only
“Ultimately, what is good for the delay the problem.”
borrower is good for the bank,” Suresh In the absence of lenders, a common
Kumar, Emirates NBD Capital and way to repay the debt at maturity is
Emirates Financial Services CEO, said. a fire sales of assets at a low price,
“Banks are willing to restructure, including productive assets.
reschedule and re-price debts. The case Dubai conglomerates, Dubai World
depends on every borrower.” and Dubai Holding, raised as much
In periods of rising interest rates, as $844 million from asset sales over
however, the borrower may not have 11% 20% the past year as the emirate seeks to
sufficient income to afford the interest $3.08bn $5.6bn reduce its debt pile.
Infrastructure Real estate
rate on the new loan. So after finally developer Asset sales, along with bond issues,
getting his debt rescheduled, the are Dubai’s best option for boosting
borrower’s bigger task is to grow more 12% 16% revenue because other measures will
aggressively in a shrinking economy. $3.36bn $4.48bn not generate enough cash on time to
Chemicals Telecommunication
Another worry emerges – that the plug debt holes, analysts say. Other

October 2010 gulfbusiness 57


FEATURES DEBT

Restructuring is almost like a physician


and a patient relationship. The doctor
gives some good advice and prescription
and, in most cases, some bitter pills. If
it’s a malignant case then you cut off
some parts or perform some surgery.
Suresh Kumar, CEO, Emirates NBD Capital.

prized assets that Dubai could sell worth what a willing buyer is willing for debt restructuring. “Some of them
in the future are the Jebel Ali Free to pay. Are you better off keeping made mistakes so you need to work
Zone and Dubai World’s stakes in the something which you are not using, with them so that the impact on both
Atlantis, The Palm hotel and casino which is not core or is not producing of you is reduced,” Kumar said.
operator MGM Resorts International. any revenues? Or, are you better off “It’s almost like a physician and a
“Fire sale is a case-by-case matter,” generating some cash flow by selling it patient relationship,” he added. “The
Kumar said. “If it is a sale at a current instead of doing nothing?” doctor gives some good advice and
price to prevent future losses, then Given this scenario, investment good prescription and, in most cases,
that is a managed diverse divestment. bankers are increasingly generating some bitter pills. If it’s a malignant
Discount is a matter of opinion. more revenues from remedial case then you cut off some parts or
Ultimately, the value of anything is management or rendering services perform some surgery.” ■

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October 2010 gulfbusiness 59


PROFILE

Medicine
man
It’s been just over one year since Samer Majali was entrusted with
turning round Gulf Air’s fortunes. ALICIA BULLER asks the CEO if he’s
fixed the troubled Bahraini airline.

S
ome would question the region’s oldest carrier, is proving a biggest challenge is the employees
the sanity of a man little more difficult. themselves and changing their
who became boss “I was at Royal Jordanian for 30 mindset. We’ve designed a training
of an airline that years, and for the last eight of them I programme for everyone focused on
waved goodbye was CEO. It’s slightly different being customer delivery, being positive
to four CEOs in new, having to establish yourself, your with customers. And, underneath
three years. Others credibility and gain [staff] trust,” he that, I’m trying to make them feel
would question the says. “Gulf Air has had quite a few better about their company, because
wherewithal of a CEO stepping into CEOs and each one with a new plan, if they feel better about the company,
a deeply entrenched government so they’re probably a bit sick of it.” they will actually do better. But that
company that was losing around Armed with a mission to claw the takes time.”
$1 million a day. Yet that’s exactly airline back into profitability, with Majali adds that he aims to get “19
what Samer Majali did just over a an eventual aim to privatise, Majali people out of 20 customers saying
year ago. could be forgiven for thinking he’d they had a good experience with Gulf
In the flesh, however, the latest seen it all before. But the challenges Air”. And what about that last one out
Gulf Air helmsman is in full were many. of 20? “Well, they’ll say I had a good
command of his senses. He also “All of them were issues. The experience but...” he explains.
possesses an easy charm: a useful, aeroplanes, the cost issues, the man Formerly jointly owned by the
if not indispensable, attribute when power issues, the psychological governments of Abu Dhabi, Oman,
attempting to turn round an airline issues – convincing them Qatar and Bahrain. Gulf Air celebrates
that was exhibiting all the signs of a [stakeholders],” he says. its 60th birthday this year. Little by
state-owned company that had lost “We have a commitment to a huge little, as the respective countries
its edge. number of wide body aeroplanes, but launched their own national carriers
So, a little over one year on, how’s we need less of them. We need smaller through the years, Gulf Air was left as
it been? Majali pauses, smiles, and airplanes,” he continues. “But the a Bahraini owned airline.
says – much as one would imagine
those before him have – “yes, it’s
Gulf Air has had quite a few
Photos: Farooq Salik

been tough.”
As former boss of Jordanian’s
national carrier, Royal Jordanian, he
CEOs and each one with a
turned $700 million debts into profits new plan, so the staff are
and privatisation in two years after
becoming CEO in 2001. But Gulf Air,
probably a bit sick of it.

60 gulfbusiness October 2010


October 2010 gulfbusiness 61
PROFILE

In a further blow, James Hogan, save money stems from launching


the CEO who brought the airline high yield routes to underserved
back into profit, left to manage rival destinations. The CEO has introduced
Etihad Airways in 2006. 12 routes since he started, more
Devastating competition from than any other Gulf Air boss in
shiny new carriers with deep such a short time frame, including
pockets is essentially what left Gulf destinations in Iraq, Egypt, Syria,
Air bruised and in need of a new Saudi Arabia and Yemen.
direction. That direction came in the Majali is also trying to hasten the
better-late-than-never form of Majali. deliveries of narrow body planes
The Bahraini government is said to while delaying those of wide-body
have headhunted the CEO following aircraft. Gulf Air currently has 24
his success at Royal Jordanian, Boeing 787s on order, as well as
hoping he could sprinkle some of seven Airbus A320s and 20 Airbus
his magic on Gulf Air and ease the A330s and the CEO is in ‘talks’ with
burden of the carrier on the public company so far? “I don’t know – a the producers.
treasure chest. lot,” he says. “It’s about making the “Getting smaller planes has been
Majali has wasted no time with his operation less loss-making as time a hard sell, especially because
plan of increasing morale, increasing goes on. It’s also about making sure everyone likes big aeroplanes. I’d love
regional routes, purchasing more that we have the right plan for the to be the boss of a company that has
narrow body planes and reducing future, so that even if we save money lots of big planes,” he says. “But it’s
headcount. now, we don’t pay it again down the not the question of the size, it’s about
“We’ve got a plan and it’s quite line. There’s the current situation the lightness of the plane – there’s no
a radical plan. We can’t do what which needs to be addressed, but we point putting an A380 on short route
other carriers are doing, which is need to make sure we don’t shift our – you just lose money. Conversely, if
essentially buying toys…” he says. commitments onto somebody else’s there is a lot of demand on the route,
“Within three weeks after joining I lap so when I eventually leave the the idea is to put on a big airplane.
managed to have a session with all airline, someone is not saddled with The plane in the end is a tool. And
of the management to talk about the what I am saddled with,” he says you choose the appropriate tool to do
company’s direction. The network, “My benchmark is that, financially the job,” Majali says.
the fleet and how we want to present speaking, we are not so much of a “We will still be a global airline with
ourselves to our customers. burden on the government, that we global reach, in terms of long-range
“I’m trying to get company provide a lot of value to Bahrain destinations. But we’re very critical in
energised again after it went through with the minimum price tag… and terms of where we fly to long-range –
a bad spell. This company has a whether I get fired or not,” he jokes. we are now making a major investment
great history but our reputation has A major part of Majali’s plan to in the region. Part of the new strategy
taken a knock,” he adds. is that we want to give everyone the
Media reports suggest that Majali IN NUMBERS ability to fly to work and come back

$500
has being doing a very good job home the same evening. This is about
indeed. In July, the head of Bahrain’s creating a new market. It was the only
Economic Development Board, way we thought we could compete
Sheikh Mohammed bin Essa al- with the larger more-funded carriers
Khalifa, told reporters that Gulf Air around us.”

million
could return to profitability within a The CEO adds that a lot of capacity
year and be considered for flotation. is coming online because of the mega
Will the airline be privatised orders that the Gulf carriers have
anytime soon? made over the last five years.
Majali turns a little thorny for Gulf Air losses in 2009 “Within five years, the Gulf fleets

2012
the first time: “I can’t tell you: one, will double in size, that’s huge
because I don’t know. And two, growth compared to the rest of the
because it’s not my decision. The world. I think capacity will outstrip
plan is for us to reach a break even demand. It leaves us all in a very
situation by 2012, down from losses Gulf Air prospective tough situation – prices will fall
of just under $500 million in 2009.” break even date and it’s not healthy for the entire
How much has he saved the industry,” he says.

October 2010 gulfbusiness 63


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PROFILE

“This is why we are trying not to


New Gulf Air routes
compete head-to-head with the other
airlines in the region for the same
traffic. It will give us an advantage. “ ● Alepo, Syria
● Isfahan, Iran
As part of Majali’s new strategy, ● Basra, Baghdad, Najaf and Erbil, Iraq
the carrier has also cut nearly
1,000 staff over the past year while ● Alexandria, Egypt
Bahrainisation rates have increased to
an impressive 52 per cent.
“All of the redundancies have been ● Medina,
voluntary. The idea is that Saudi Arabia
the people who are reaching end
of their service leave, as well as
the not-so-good people leave – we ● Aden,Yemen
want good people to stay. We are Colombo, Sri Lanka
now making an assessment of the
company itself and the current
manpower, whether there are still
● Addis Ababa,
Ethiopia
surpluses or not. We will continue to
reduce staff but more slowly as time
goes on,” he says. turnarounds if his performance at They say you’re only as good as
Is Majali good at turning round Royal Jordanian is anything to go by. your last project, but judging by
companies? “Time will tell,” he says Now the pressure is on as Bahrain’s the speed of Gulf Air’s progress in
with a self-deprecating chuckle. powers-that-be hope for a miracle the last year, all signs point to a
The CEO is certainly a master of similar to Majali’s previous job. flying ‘yes’. ■

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October 2010 gulfbusiness 65


FEATURES REAL ESTATE

T
he sheer size of
Saudi Arabia’s
population and
the lack of access
for buyers have
been playing havoc
with house prices
for years, leaving
a property market that’s fit to burst.
The simple truth is that demand for
properties is outstripping those for
sale. And there is no mortgage market
for a growing young population to get
on the housing ladder.
Saudi’s population has more than
doubled since 1986 to about 25.5
million according to IMF data and is
expected to reach 30 million by 2020.
For now, economists say at best
the future looks bleak and at worst
the Saudi property sector is a ticking

Saudi’s hot
time bomb.
But the highly anticipated and
elusive mortgage law that’s been
almost a decade in the making could

property
chip away at these fears, say lawyers,
setting the kingdom down a path to
stability and maturity.
So far, GCC investors, banks and
potential homeowners have been drip-
fed a diet of information about what
might be included in the legislation.
But after years of delays, speculation
is rampant and most involved in
property investment are fed up.
For instance, in January, Saudi
central bank governor Muhammad al-
As the kingdom’s mortgage law is ushered in, will Jasser said the kingdom would issue
its first mortgage law “in the next few
it be enough to stabilise the country’s real estate
getty images

months”. That hasn’t happened. Some


now say it’s more realistically going
industry? RYAN HARRISON reports. to be in the first quarter of 2011.

66 gulfbusiness October 2010


FEATURES REAL ESTATE

LEGISLATE TO REGULATE PAY UP OR GET OUT


Scott Aitken, a partner at law firm Early drafts of the mortgage law
Clyde & Co, and an expert in legal suggest that the government will
structuring advice to owners, tackle the thorny issue of terminating
operators and financiers of property, an owner’s right to a property
said without a rulebook the housing because of default, otherwise known
market can’t go forward. as foreclosure.
“In the absence of some Industry sources told Reuters
regulatory regime on mortgages that the delay in passing the law
you’ve got three problems. One is was based in part on the reluctance
the issue of licensing, so there are by authorities to accept the idea –
people providing home financing common around the world but less
with no rules. Second, there’s no acceptable in Islamic law – that
real registration process, which defaulters could be evicted from
denies people confidence in the their property.
accountability of the system. And In the Western world, after
finally, it’s very difficult to enforce foreclosure there is typically a
the payment of mortgages, which is forced sale of the property at public
where foreclosures come in. auction, with the proceeds being
“All this means that to-date applied to the mortgage debt.
financing for the banks, homeowners If Saudi follows a similar model
and investors has been very it could appease lenders that are
expensive because it reflects the risk nervous about jumping into the
and uncertainty involved,” he added. kingdom’s real estate market.
Installing a central registry for Scott Aitken, partner, law firm John Hermann, a special counsel
mortgages would transform the Clyde & Co. for real estate and capital markets
market, giving investors an accurate at Baker Botts, said: “Banks will
reading on who’s buying what and to know who your debtor is, but it use the power of sale like in Dubai
the true cost of land. Meanwhile, should also be linked to the actual and take the cash to pay the debt.
it would help lenders keep precise plot of land. This information is The government will likely act as an
records of their borrowers. currently held by local notaries, who arbiter in the auction process.”
Experts say in the event of a default may not be aware of debtors’ details The proposals allow lenders to
this could be very handy indeed. and who have little incentive to track enforce their mortgages by reporting
For instance, there’s one thing down a bank’s clients. debtors to a central authority and

Riyadh cityscape, KSA.

Gulf pics

68 gulfbusiness October 2010


FEATURES REAL ESTATE

forcing them to either repay their KSA POPULATION JUMPS “The government is under huge
debt or vacate a property. pressure given that there’s massive
30
Under current Saudi mortgage housing demand,” said Mohammed
lending practices, a notary public Al-Ghamdi, a Saudi national and
records a title deed that the property 25 partner in the Riyadh office of law
is subject to a mortgage. But notary firm Fulbright & Jaworski.
publics are known to refuse to record 20 “When Saudi real estate matures
those rahns, or pledges of property then you’ll inevitably get into the

MILLION
to secure a debt, if they have any sub-prime mortgage debate, but
15
concerns over the lender. not yet. For the time being they
If reports are accurate, the new law should just concentrate on issuing
would create a central authority to 10 this law.
register the documents, reducing the “The Saudi Arabian Monetary
role of the notary publics and making Agency will have been the one
5
it easier to validate mortgages. carefully watching the subprime
After the mortgage law is passed crisis unfold because when this
Saudi can expect a fledging secondary 0 secondary mortgage market comes
2010 2020
real estate market to develop. Further here they want to be ready and avoid
Source: Government census
down the line there is the opportunity the mistakes made by others,” Al-
for the securitization of mortgages, according to independent economist Ghamdi added.
so they can be packaged and sold to Saud Jleadan. Although players in Saudi real
financial markets. Should all these people be eligible estate may hope the mortgage law
Most agree this would not take for a mortgage? What about the low- will be the silver bullet to blast
shape for at least five or 10 years income earners? away uncertainty and instability,
down the road. The global economy is still licking and usher in a new era of confidence,
Still, because much of the housing its wounds after a subprime mortgage it is unlikely. At least it’s unlikely
problem is rooted in the country’s crisis that morphed into a credit overnight.
fast-changing demography, there will squeeze and eventually the worst The complex legal spider’s web
be millions of people desperate to get financial disaster in memory. that surrounds mortgages, including
on the property ladder. The Saudi government has the Saudi courts, shariah boards and
For instance, there’s been a big rise therefore built into the draft law a foreclosure rulings, will need time to
in the number of foreign workers. The mechanism that addresses concerns adjust and fine-tune.
country’s population grew almost 20 over subprime mortgages. A so-called Plus, most agree that passing
per cent to 27.14 million between 2004 “safety ratio” will prevent lenders the regulations doesn’t necessarily
and 2010, according to a recent census. from giving financing beyond the completely resolve the housing
In total, the country has a deficit means of the consumer. As with most deficit, as demand for property
of two million housing units, a figure of the law though, specifics regarding continues to dwarf supply.
that’s rising by some 150,000 a year, the ratio have yet to be established. There’s also the burning issue
of affordability for mid and
low-income Saudis.
THE RECOVERY POSITION A number of large-scale projects
are planned to help meet housing
demand, including a 13 billion riyal
H ouse prices in Saudi Arabia are on
the up and show no sign of stopping
as a lack of affordable property stokes
months, with demand for new homes
expected to reach an estimated 1.5
million by 2015.
(Dhs12.73 billion) urban regeneration
project in the centre of Riyadh.
The project is being developed by
demand, research has found. The recovery comes after prices fell
a consortium led by the Arriyadh
Property prices in parts of Riyadh by as much as 20 per cent last year,
Development Company.
and Jeddah rose in the past year as a separate research from CB Richard Ellis How much protection the law will
growing population drives demand for released in April showed. provide banks and mortgage lenders
new homes, according to the Oxford If the turnaround is the start of over homeowners in this brave new
Business Group. something big, then time is ticking for world is yet to be seen. But as the
Prices rose by about three per cent the government to act and get a handle Saudi population races ahead, the
in prime and emerging residential areas on the situation before a Dubai-style mortgage law will undoubtedly prove
of Jeddah and Riyadh over the past 12 bubble starts to form. pivotal. For all involved, it can’t come
fast enough.

70 gulfbusiness October 2010


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FEATURES TECHNOLOGY

Top 10 tech trends


From cloud computing to the ‘Arabisation’ of content, this month’s 30th
anniversary GITEX event will showcase the latest IT solutions in the region.
Gulf Business talks to the experts to find out what’s in for 2010.

VIRTUALISATION SECURITY SOLUTIONS


Virtualisation is the creation of a As business activity migrates to
virtual (rather than actual) version the internet and cloud computing,
of something, such as an operating the need to upgrade the security
gulfpics

system, a server, a storage devide or of the client’s experience and the


network resources. clarification of rights to privacy
In the GCC, only 10 per cent increases in tandem.
of servers are currently used in Although some argue that high
a virtualised environment, but profile incidents of identity theft and
virtualisation is increasing at a rate credit card hacks haven’t stopped the
of 8.8 per cent annually, says Jyoti growth of the internet over the last 15
Lalchandani, vice president and years, Benjamin Pring, research vice
regional managing director, IT market CLOUD COMPUTING president at IT research firm, Gartner,
research firm, IDC Middle East, Turkey says it is also hard to argue against
and Africa. This is because it brings Cloud computing customers do not the notion that more investment and
cost reductions through lower energy own any physical infrastructure. more regulation is needed to ensure
consumption and even takes up less Rather, they rent internet bandwidth that the next wave of migration
floor space. from a third-party provider, so to cloud computing has positive
“The region has felt the avoiding capital expenditure on outcomes.
impact of the global hardware, software and services “The breaches of security and
slowdown and this has by renting servers elsewhere. privacy that occur have enormous
translated directly into Consumption is usually billed on a ramifications – financially and in
stricter cost control of utility (like electricity) or subscription terms of buyer confidence,” Pring says.
technology resources,” (like a newspaper) basis with little or
he says. “Virtualisation no upfront cost.
addresses these The growth of this technology is
and, in addition, is phenomenal. BT Global Services
the foundation for the expects that its global revenue from
deployment of cloud cloud computing will more than
computing double from $17.4 billion in 2009 to
applications.” $44.2 billion in 2013.
“Price competition is everywhere,
so more and more people would
like to pay for communication like
they pay their utility bills, and only
pay for what they use,” says Olivier
gulfpics

Jyoti Lalchandani Campenon, EMEA president, BT.

72 gulfbusiness October 2010


3D TV ANALYTICS
apple.com

To create the experience of depth, The 2001 real-life-story-turned-


a 3D TV will display two separate movie A Beautiful Mind featured
but overlapping images of the same scenes where John Forbes Nash
scene simultaneously and at slightly (played by Russell Crowe) tries to
different angles, Marco Vocale, senior decipher various code mentally.
manager of corporate marketing, Today, this task can be performed by
Samsung, explains. computer software called analytics,
The technology is so in demand in which processes information, looks
this region that Nielsen, a marketing for patterns and spots codes. This
research firm, says Middle Eastern technology is slated to be increasingly
consumers are twice as likely to buy important in industrial sectors like
3D TVs as consumers in the rest of the telecommunications, retail, wholesale,
world. And if forecasts by iSuppli, a banking and oil and gas which are
technology market research company,
come true, then that translates to a
TABLET COMPUTERS rapidly expanding within the various
GCC countries, says Lalchandani.
huge chunk of the shipment pipeline. “Business intelligence, analytics,
iSuppli forecasts that global 3D TV The relentless hype around consumer pattern recognition, and smart
shipments will reach 4.2 million by tablet laptops has aroused interest solutions are the new vocabulary of
end of this year, 27.4 million units in among business customers. Much IT’s value,” Pring adds. “New IT-
2012 and 78.1 million units in 2015 of this buzz has been generated by related initiatives that don’t fit within
¬- a compound annual growth rate of Apple’s iPad, with its thousands of this framework will be increasingly
80.2 per cent from 2010. apps and slick marketing. less attractive to businesses.”
Samsung Electronics has also
recently unveiled the Galaxy Tab,
a new tablet PC powered by the
Android 2.2 operating system.
However, the weaknesses of iPads
and Android-powered tablets remain
largely the same as always: security,
manageability and compatibility with
key business applications have been
patchy at best.
So after the hype of the iPad’s
launch in the first half of 2010,
Gitex Dubai will be a chance for
businesses in the Gulf to scrutinise
the new tablet laptop from Cisco,
which has announced the Cius
(pronounced ‘see us’), a seven-inch
tablet for business use.
Marco Vocale Benjamin Pring

October 2010 gulfbusiness 73


FEATURES TECHNOLOGY

MOBILE APPLICATIONS ARAB-CENTRIC


Untapped potential, the expansion APPLICATIONS
of 3G networks and increasing use
of smartphones are leading to a An often overlooked area in the

iStockphoto
dramatic rise in demand for mobile GCC is the ‘Arabisation’ of services
applications and value added services ranging from localisation of
in the Middle East, Paul Gullett, international enterprise resource
vice president, Europe, Middle East planning functionality, to optimising
and Africa of NComputing, a virtual internet search engines and creating
desktop company. Arabic focused online applications
“Mobile applications are one of and content.
the fastest growing areas of the In May, domain names in Arabic
telecommunication industry and for Egypt, Saudi Arabia and the UAE
the Middle East represents a major DATA CENTRES were added to the internet’s master
growth market,” directories – the first major change
he said. International connectivity between to the internet domain name system
According the GCC, the region and the rest of the since its creation in the 1980s.“The
to IDC, the world has increased exponentially GCC region is expected to take a
worldwide over the last few years and continues strong leadership position in the
smartphone to develop at a fast pace. This has creation of Arab-centric application
market grew encouraged the establishment of services due to its central geographic
by more than private and “white-box” data centres and cultural position within the Arab
56 per cent in - a large scale collection of servers world,” Lalchandani says.
the first quarter - across the region as enterprises
of 2010. realise the need for reliable and
legally compliant centres to service
GCC or regional operations. “The
GCC by nature has a volatile profile,
so many companies are ensuring
availability while insuring the data by
either establishing their own in-house
centres or making use of regional
facilities,” Lalchandani says.
Paul Gullett iStockphoto

GREEN TECHNOLOGY much interest or debate across the


UAE and the Gulf region, Gartner
Corporations around the world are says. “From an IT standpoint,
thinking more and more about how to organisations have not shown an
go green. South Korea’s LG Group for interest in green IT projects and,
one has said it will invest $18 billion so far, providers are not offering
to develop environmentally-friendly them to clients.” Gartner believes
businesses and reduce emissions by these initiatives will have little or no
gulfpics

40 per cent against 2009 levels. traction in the years to come across
However, green IT is not a topic of this region.

74 gulfbusiness October 2010


SPECIAL PROMOTION

3D
Sony launches

compatible
products range
Technology pioneer offers Sony Gulf FZE has launched its complete range of
3D-enabled products, offering consumers an
consumers state-of-the-art immersive experience in 3D movies, music, sport and
experience in 3D movies, music, PlayStation games.
Sony’s 3D product range includes the BRAVIA LX900
sport and PlayStation games. and BRAVIA HX800, the new Full HD 3D TVs that build
on the BRAVIA reputation for picture quality, and the new
3D-enabled Blu-ray player BDP-S470, as well as the 3D
compatible Home Theatre Systems and channel sound
bars including BDV-IZ1000, BDV-E970, HT-CT350 and
HT-CT150 that have been specially designed to align
3D_Mag_175x18_Guy2&Woman.ai 9/28/10 12:46:31 PM with the 3D BRAVIA LED HDTVs.

October 2010gulfbusiness 77
SPECIAL PROMOTION

With its expertise in 3D from


lens to the living room, Sony
has assumed a leadership
role in the research and
development of the technology
to drive its growth at every
level – from supporting
creators of content by
providing them with custom-
made professional equipment
to influencing cable network
operators into adopting
systems that facilitate the relay
of 3D content.
“Due to our involvement in
the development of original
content and our efforts over
the years to create ‘Good 3D’
content captured on Sony’s
professional equipment, we
believe this will translate
into a superior and seamless
visual experience on Sony’s
entire range of 3D compatible
products,” added Miura.
A monolithic design theme
has been extended by Sony
To complement this extensive 3D portfolio, Sony across its entire suite of home entertainment products
Gulf will also be rolling out a free firmware update launched in 2010. Apart from the new BRAVIA TVs, Sony’s
for PlayStation 3 consoles, making the hardware 3D Blu-ray Disc players and Home Cinema systems are all
compatible to enable 3D gaming. designed to create one seamless home entertainment
In addition, the company already offers the Alpha experience, even in terms of design.
NEX-3 and NEX-5 digital cameras that can take 3D Sony’s entire array of 3D products is currently available
panoramic shots. at all Jumbo Electronics showrooms in the UAE and other
With the new range, Sony now offers consumers the major retail electronics outlets across the region.
most diverse line of 3D compatible home entertainment
products including BRAVIA LED HDTVs, Blu-ray Disc
players and home theatre systems, the PlayStation 3 and
Alpha digital still cameras with interchangeable lenses.
“3D technology in home entertainment is an immersive
phenomenon. Unlike the 3D entertainment experiences
of the past, which were characterised by objects coming
towards the viewer, the emphasis has now shifted
to adding an element of depth. Said Osamu Miura,
managing director, Sony Gulf “Sony’s 3D world is about
subtlety and detail, to totally engage
3D_Mag_175x18_Guy2&Woman.ai the viewer”.
9/28/10 12:47:45 PM

78 gulfbusiness October 2010


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FEATURES LEISURE

Play time Switch bowling centre, pool hall.

Despite the credit crunch, regional consumers still put recreation at the top
of their agenda, writes KAREN REMO-LISTANA.

O
ld-timers in the Worldwide Survey on consumer Switch recently inaugurated its
business world purchasing priorities, 58 per cent of first branded bowling centre which
have traditionally consumers in the Middle East and the features Pininfarina-designed
set their eyes Levant plan to maintain the same level equipment in Dubai. Pininfarina is an
on the three Fs of discretionary or recreation spending Italian car design firm which has been
– food, fashion as per the last six months. At the top of employed by a wide variety of high-end
and fun. Time the list is dining and entertainment. automobile manufacturers, including
and again, these “Entertainment is a different kind Ferrari, Maserati, Rolls-Royce, Cadillac,
sunshine industries have enjoyed of business,” says Ahmed El Komy, Jaguar, Volvo, Alfa Romeo and Lancia.
stability, even if the wider economy president, of bowling alley operators “If you look around the centre you
has grown awry. But because of the Switch Middle East. ”A lot of businesses will see that the black and red touch
sheer force of the current recession, get hurt in a recession, while in of Ferrari is visible in every design,” El
it seems reasonable to ask whether entertainment you usually do well. Komy says.
these sectors still remain strong. “It’s not greatly affected by the The $6.8 million (Dhs25 million)
In fact, it turns out that ‘fun’ is still downturn of the economy. People will investment – which comprises 12
high on our agenda. Entertainment always want to do something to feel bowling lanes, private karaoke rooms,
experts told Gulf Business that while better about themselves. People may billiard area, coffee shop and shisha
people from every walk of life have temporarily stop spending thousand garden – is the first in a series of 10
been affected by the financial turmoil, of dirhams on a new TV, but they will branded centres to open in the region.
the fact remains that we all need a not stop spending money to watch a El Komy says another $30 million is
break from time to time. movie or play bowling or spend some earmarked for mid-term expansions.
According to the recent MasterCard time with their family.” “The next one will be in Cairo next

October 2010gulfbusiness 81
FEATURES LEISURE

undertaking a policy of aggressive


expansion,” says Arnaud Palu, chief
operating officer of the entertainment
unit of Majid Al Futtaim.
“Egypt is a particularly important
emerging market for us, where we see
a lot of potential and will be focusing
our expansion efforts.”
Palu said Magic Planet has been a
staple favourite with families while Ski
Dubai has become a well established
landmark within Dubai. Playnation, he
says, is steadily gaining ground as a
popular leisure destination.
One of the plus factors in
entertainment is it operates in a cash-
Arif Amiri, CEO, Emaar Retail. Ahmed El Komy, president, Switch generating business. “In this kind of
Middle East.
business, we don’t have warehousing
year and then Abu Dhabi right after,” the operations of Dubai Aquarium so we don’t have to face issues of
he says. “We are looking at opening 10 & Underwater Zoo and the Olympic- stock inventories,” says El Komy. “We
centres around the Middle East. We sized Dubai Ice Rink. Amid a shrinking also work on a cash-basis business.
are also opening in Beirut, Libya and economy, it also opened Reel Cinemas, Nobody walks through the door and
Riyadh. We are currently searching for the 22-screen megaplex in The Dubai pays post-dated cheques.”
the right location.” Mall and more recently, the six-screen Palu says return on investment
Currently, the Middle East premium boutique Reel Cinemas in (ROI) in the leisure industry typically
amusements industry is estimated Dubai Marina Mall. takes longer than in other industries.
at $2 billion, with up to $500 million Amiri says expansion plans are However, once a leisure operation
being re-invested in the region in the pipeline in “key geographic reaches maturity, the returns are
annually. Large scale theme park markets across the Middle East and consistent and usually reliable.
developments may have been shelved North Africa region”. “Thus it is important to strike a
due to the current economic situation, “Our expansion will be in tandem delicate balance between investment
but the market is still showing with the geographic growth of Emaar and time of return,” he says.
growth, with family entertainment Properties,” he adds. “We are confident In the case of the new Switch
centres (FECs) proving viable business of recording sustained, robust Bowling centre, El Komy says the
opportunities for developments and performance of our leisure components project will pay back over the next
industry suppliers. as well as further expanding our retail two to three years.
There are about 70 theme parks in operations in 2011.” “People really don’t like to invest in
the GCC and about 100 FECs, with MAF Leisure, which operates entertainment. Most people would go
new developments such as Kidzania across the GCC, is also “constantly for real estate investments,” he says.
at Dubai Mall and iFly Dubai at “In entertainment, the ROIs are
Mirdif City centre showcasing new magnificent provided you have a partner
product innovations. who has the ability to manage the
Arif Amiri, Emaar Retail CEO, says business right. Management is the key.”
Dubai’s leisure sector gains impetus Overall, the presence of a significant
from traditional growth drivers, number of retail complexes in the UAE
especially tourism. “In addition to the is indicative of the thriving economy,
growth in population, which adds to says Ehsan Khoman, economist at
the demand for the leisure sector, Dubai Dubai Chamber of Commerce and
has witnessed robust tourism,” he says. Industry (DCCI), says.
The entertainment arm of property As the UAE recovers from the
developer Emaar is the face behind effects of the global economic
SEGA Republic, the first and largest downturn, a pick-up in consumption
of its kind indoor theme park in the levels, an easing in credit availability
region; and KidZania, the children’s and an expected influx of tourists
edutainment centre in Dubai Mall. Kidzania children’s amusement in in 2011. will encourage cash flow
Emaar Retail has also strengthened park, Emaar Retail. within the entertainment sector. ■

82 gulfbusiness October 2010


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COUNTRY REPORT TURKEY REAL ESTATE

Turkey builds bridges to


the Arab world
As Turkey’s economic clout continues to grow, the
country is strengthening trade and investment ties
with the Middle East, ROBERT BAILEY reports.

Topkapi Palace, Istanbul. Turkish Tourism Authority

A
nkara is striving to closer bilateral ties. By amplifying the Gaziantep in southeast Turkey.
build bridges to the voice of the region’s Muslims to the There are also plans to open a
Arab world in an rest of the world, observers see Turkey second border crossing between
effort to stimulate establishing itself as a power centre in Turkey and Iraq. Turkey is the major
investment and assert its own right. supplier of processed foods and
Turkey’s credentials The policy has already seen consumer goods to northern Iraq,
as a regional power. enhanced relations with neighbours as well as a major source of foreign
Ahmet Davutoglu, who became such as Syria and Iraq, promoted investment in the region.
Turkey’s Foreign Minister in May 2009 by the offer of greater economic In June this year, at a meeting of the
has been strenuously pursuing a policy integration with countries with which Turkish-Arab Cooperation Forum in
of “zero problems” with the country’s Turkey has historical and cultural Istanbul, plans for a free-trade zone
neighbours holding talks, starting affinities. Northern Iraq, for example, encompassing Turkey, Jordan, Syria
dialogues and lifting visa restrictions. is home to the Turkomen people, a and Lebanon were announced.
The bold strategy seeks to reclaim Turkic-speaking group numbering The zone is designed to form the
Turkey’s regional influence not through between 500,000 and one million. foundations for what would eventually
political hegemony over former In February 2010, the railway linking become a single political and economic
Ottoman territories, but instead Turkey, Syria and Iraq was re-opened bloc consisting of the Muslim
leading an informal grouping of and work continues on a fast rail link countries of the Middle East and
Muslim countries bound to Turkey by between Aleppo in northern Syria and North Africa.

October 2010 gulfbusiness 85


REAL ESTATE COUNTRY REPORT TURKEY

Industrial powerhouse
Turkey, already the world’s 16th
largest economy, is predicted to be
one of the tenth largest economies in
the world by 2050. Potential lies not
just in the Turkish domestic market,
but as an important springboard
to export to Central Asian, Middle
Eastern and North African markets.
With a population approaching
76 million, Turkey is the Near East’s
workshop for cars, trucks, TV sets,
and other domestic goods, as well as
textiles and food. The OECD expects
Turkey’s economy to grow by 6.8 per
cent in 2010, the fastest rate among
its members.

Turkey is also a leading shipbuilder,


Turkish Tourism Authority

ranking as the fourth largest builder


after China, South Korea and Japan.
The country’s construction and
contracting sector also ranks high
in the global order with some 22
companies listed as top international
contractors. The US’ Engineering
Istanbul, Kanlica. News-Record ranks Turkey’s
construction sector the world’s third
Although the EU still accounts for largest after the US and China.
Turkey is the seventh largest
more than 40 per cent of Turkey’s automotive producer in Europe
and the 15th largest worldwide.
foreign trade, its economic ties The industry, combined with its
components sectors, exported some
with Muslim countries have been $22 billion of products in 2008.
Service industries are growing
growing at a fast rate. in importance. The country has
expanding high technology industries
In his book Strategic Depth Jordan and Lebanon and drafted a including computer software and is
published in 2001, Davutoglu argued provisional agreement to establish also the base for a military aerospace
that Turkey’s long standing pro- another with Libya. industry producing fighter aircraft and
Western strategic alignment had lost The councils aim to provide an helicopters.
sight of the countries in its immediate institutional framework in which The Turkish retail sector is the
seventh largest in Europe and the
neighbourhood, especially the majority- ministers from each country meet at
tenth largest in the world, while
Muslim countries of the Middle East. least once a year to discuss ways of
tourism has become a significant
Last year, Turkey set up a number improving bi-lateral co-operation. foreign currency earner and employer
of bilateral “High Level Strategic Co- Tangible progress has been achieved. in the last decade.
operation Councils” with Iraq, Syria, Last December, visa requirements

86 gulfbusiness October 2010


COUNTRY REPORT TURKEY

were abolished for travel between


Turkey and Syria, Lebanon, Jordan,

Turkish Tourism Authority


Qatar and Libya with the aim of
increasing trade and tourism. Turkey
has also upgraded its commercial
relationships with Syria and Iraq.
Although the EU still accounts for
more than 40 per cent of Turkey’s
foreign trade, its economic ties with Istanbul’s Grand Bazaar.
Muslim countries have been growing Prime Minister, Recep Tayyip from $1.1 billion in 2001 to $22 billion
at a fast rate. Erdogan, has pushed largely pro- in 2007, before dropping back to $18
The global recession, which hit business policies slashing corporate billion in 2008. Even though the figure
markets in the EU harder than those taxes, tightening intellectual property fell to $9 billion in 2009, Turkey is
in the Middle East, has accelerated protections and setting up an expected to bounce back strongly.
the trend. In 2009, Turkey’s total investment promotion agency. “We put Turkey in the same category
exports to the EU contracted by 22.6 The result has been growing as Brazil, Russia, India, China and
per cent, while Turkish exports to multinational interest in Turkey. South Africa,” says Ali Faramawy,
Muslim countries rose by 9.9 per cent. Foreign direct investment surged a vice president of Microsoft
As a result, the Turkish government International in Istanbul.
is increasing its focus on Arabia Real estate entices Apart from industrial strength and
by emphasising Turkey’s extensive investors a growing skills base, Turkey’s trump
investment opportunities in areas As long as Turkey’s economy
card is its location. The country
such as construction, real estate, maintains its forward trajectory there is close to Europe but also to the
agriculture and financial services, as are likely to be major investment former Soviet Union and the Middle
well as IT and retail. opportunities in new construction East, all areas with high long-term
According to HSBC economist, projects, not least real estate. growth potential.
Simon Williams, the Gulf has capital Steven Worboys, MD of Experience Foreign investors increasingly
and Turkey has capital needs. They International, says that Istanbul is see Turkey as a success story in the
are close geographically, there are proving one of the most successful making. Since the acquisition of a
property investment opportunities 55 per cent holding in Turk Telecom
cultural and religious similarities
this year with clients capitalising
and Turkey is a good economic by Dubai-based Oger Telekom for
on Istanbul’s significant housing
story right now.” shortage.
$6.5 billion in 2004, there has been a
Compared to Europe, Turkey has A surging tourism sector is also steady rise in Gulf-based investments
emerged from recession quicker. seeing expanding opportunities. into Turkey.
While Western banks were being Turkey registered a rise in tourism in Through its UK property arm, St
bailed out by their governments, 2009 with a total of 27 million visitors Martin’s, Kuwait Investment Authority
Turkey’s own financial sector had an increase of 2.8 per cent compared has bought a $750 million majority
already been overhauled after a near to 2008. There are plans to increase stake in Istanbul’s Cevahir Business
financial collapse in 2001. the number of Arab visitors by Centre. Kuwait Finance House has
Reforms curbed inflation and forced promoting health and medical tourism. set up Kuveyt Turk to pursue Islamic
Many foreigners have bought homes
banks to bolster their balance sheets. banking. Kuwait Alshaya Group is
in Turkey in recent years. More than $10
The increased presence of foreign billion is estimated to have been spent
reportedly planning a $100 million-
banks has also spurred locals to by Germans, Scandinavians, Dutch, worth of investments in Turkey.
improve their performance. Turkey British, Greek and other nationalities on Kuwait International Leasing
has also welcomed investment and holiday properties along the coast in Investment has founded Halic Leasing
stepped up efforts to become a real places such as Alanya, Fethiya, Didim, with $5 million capital and is looking
player in the global economy. Bodrum, Kusadasi. to operate as an investment bank
Turkey’s emergence from global Planned infrastructure in Turkey. A private equity fund
recession is underpinned by a large developments around Dalaman on the managed by NBK Capital, a unit of
domestic market that offers some Mediterranean coastline, including National Bank of Kuwait, has bought
the expansion of Dalaman airport and
insulation against the weakness still a 30 per cent interest in the Dunyagoz
the development of marinas and golf
seen in euro zone countries. courses are increasing the attraction
eye hospital group.
After contracting by 4.75 per cent of the area. Istanbul and Antalya are The International Investor, a Kuwait
in 2009, real growth in gross domestic also seeing an increase in property investment group, has a
production is expected to expand by purchases by foreign buyers. $24 million 75 per cent share in Docar
around 6.25 per cent in 2010. a Turkish car rental group. Kuwait

88 gulfbusiness October 2010


US relations cool
to Gaza that resulted in nine Turkish
Investment Group has bought Adabank.
citizens being killed. The falling out has
The UAE’s Abraaj Capital is a sparked speculation about a drift away
partner in the Acibadem Hospital from the West by Turkey’s ruling Justice
and Numarine Yacht company while and Development Party.
Emaar Properties has plans for major In 2003, Turkey declined to allow
investments focusing on healthcare, its Incirlik airbase to be used as a
shopping malls, hotels and real estate. springboard for an invasion into the
Dubai Islamic Bank has opened north of Iraq as the US prepared to
a representative office in Turkey. topple Saddam Hussein.
Saudi Arabia’s National Commercial With Iran, Turkey overcame US
reluctance earlier this year to its acting
Bank has acquired Turkiye Finans.
as mediator, along with Brazil, on a
The Bahrain-headquartered Arab nuclear fuel swap agreement. When
Tayyip Erdogan, Turkey prime minister.
Banking Group has also opened a the brokered deal was ignored, Ankara
representative officer in Turkey with Turkey’s Prime Minister Erdogan may defied Washington by voting no rather
plans to acquire a local bank. be the new hero on the Arab street, than simply abstaining in the UN Security
The investments, though are but many in Washington DC view him Council over sanctions on Tehran.
still relatively minor relative to the increasingly as a populist, leaning to In spite of Turkey flexing its muscles
immense scale of Turkish investment Islamist instincts and abandoning in the international arena and making it
potential. The government has shown the West. clear it is not to be taken for granted in
it is business friendly and sees this Ankara’s relations with Israel, once the region, it remains an active member
close, have worsened as a result of of NATO with strong political, military
as the firmest foundation for building
Israeli commandoes seizing a Turkish and commercial links to both the US
bridges with the Middle East and ship carrying humanitarian supplies and Europe.
other regional partners. ■

October 2010 gulfbusiness 89


Let’s do
business
Turkey’s Deputy Undersecretary for Economic Affairs tells
Gulf Business how he works tirelessly to ensure the right
incentives are in place to promote trade with the UAE.

90 gulfbusiness October 2010


COUNTRY REPORT TURKEY

S
peaking from the its interest to investment in foreign Currently, there are 21 Turkish
Ministry of Foreign markets. The recent privatisation companies, 27 business representatives
Affairs of the Republic activities in Turkey have attracted and 244 trademarks officially operating
of Turkey, Hakki Akil, UAE business people to invest in the UAE.
Deputy Undersecretary in real estate, seaports and also Aided by the Turkish-United Arab
for Economic Affairs, capital markets. Emirates Business Council, which was
and former Ambassador “We have changed the whole legal established in 2000 as a platform for
to the UAE, said that the trade volume system in a liberal manner so that evaluating business and investment
between the UAE and Turkey has foreign investors can come and invest opportunities, these companies
increased from $817 million in 2003 to in Turkey without any hesitation,” are mostly active in the sectors of
$8.7 billion in 2008. said Akil. construction, food, jewellery, textile,
However, he added: “The level of Turkey attracted foreign capital tourism and finance.
trade between our two countries was worth more than $75 billion between The UAE, with an open economic
realised as $3.5 billion in 2009, which 2003 and 2009. Today, Turkey can offer development strategy and positive
is far behind the figure of 2008. This is notable opportunities for the UAE macroeconomic figures, constitutes
because of the global financial crisis firms due to its attractive incentive a secure investment environment.
and fluctuations in oil prices.
“There is still great potential for
trade and investment between Turkey
The recent privatisation
and the UAE. As the global economy activities in Turkey have
recovers from the crisis, I hope that
the bilateral trade between the two attracted UAE business people
countries will start growing again.”
Akil adds that he expects trade volume
to invest in real estate, seaports
to soon reach $10 billion. and capital markets.
The UAE is an important and
reliable economic partner for Turkey, measures for foreign investors, along Akil said: “The structural reforms
offering great trade and investment with its Customs Union relationship undertaken by the Emirates to attract
opportunities for foreign companies; with the European countries. The more FDIs have made the UAE a centre
and with its geographical location it geographical location is another of attraction for investments in several
serves as a bridge between the Middle advantage, with Turkey situated in sectors. We invite business groups
Eastern, European and emerging Asian the centre of a region that hosts one- from the UAE to continue to explore
markets, while Turkey has become the quarter of the world’s population. investment opportunities in Turkey.
gateway to Europe for the UAE. We believe the completion of the legal
Turkey and the UAE have the basis of our economic relations will
potential to further strengthen intensify the investments.”
and diversify their economic and
IN NUMBERS At the political level, Turkey has

$817m
commercial relations in sectors such always promoted economic cooperation
as construction, tourism, food, energy between the Turkish and UAE business
and agriculture. The key areas of communities. “We are always ready to
bilateral investments are construction, facilitate the access firms from the UAE
tourism, energy and food, along with UAE and Turkey trade 2003 to the Turkish market. Our Investment
the distribution of oil, natural gas, Promotion Agency and business
electricity and water.
Akil added: “We observe an increase
in foreign direct investments in
tourism, ship building and building
$8.7bn
UAE and Turkey trade 2008
associations are at the disposal of
UAE firms whenever any assistance is
needed,” said Akil.
He added: “I am glad to witness
materials. that there exists political willingness

$75bn
“The structural economic reforms on both sides to further enhance
have paved the way to increase the the overall relations between our
role of the private sector in the Turkish countries. We believe that we have to
economy and to enhance the efficiency exert every possible effort on a long-
and resiliency of the financial sector.” Total FDI in Turkey 2003 – 2009 term vision to diversify and deepen
With its vast funds and experience, our bilateral trade and economic
in recent years, the UAE has directed relations in the future.” ■

October 2010 gulfbusiness 91


Banking on bilateral trade
Hülya Kefeli, executive vice president and head of international
banking for Akbank, discusses the current levels of bilateral
trade between the UAE and Turkey.

How has the level of bilateral trade implemented, Turkey is giving increasing importance to
changed in recent years? its relationship with the Middle East.
The trade volume to the UAE grew rapidly before the
While Western markets remain largely focused on fiscal global crisis, especially in construction materials and
and monetary policies to support recovery, many emerging steel sectors. However, credit and market conditions in
market countries have already completed the necessary real estate temporarily slowed down the bilateral trade
reforms to recover from the crisis, and, in any case, with Turkey in 2009.
remained less exposed to financial services than the West.
They have successfully navigated the financial crisis thanks What is the current value of bilateral
to more resilient financial systems, adaptive business trade through your bank and how is it
practices by corporates and focusing on trade with broken down?
countries outside the West. To further safeguard against
waning demand, many emerging countries have turned to We have around 10 per cent market share in GCC trade
domestic and regional markets. finance but we aim to increase it to 15-16 per cent in the
As part of multi-dimensional policy currently coming three years in line with our new policy.

92 gulfbusiness October 2010


What are the key areas of investment? employment opportunities and a dynamic social life
attract Turks who choose the UAE as a working place.
The main areas of strategic collaboration and investment
between UAE and Turkish banks include the following What attracts Emiratis to Turkey? How has the
instruments: syndication loans; Islamic finance; remittances; ongoing privatisation increased investment?
asset management; private equity and markets,
Annual GDP growth for Turkey in 2010 is expected to Food, energy, health care and real estate sectors offer vast
be around seven per cent. This growth rate, if realised, investment opportunities.
will reflect positively on investment and collaboration. Turkey will also launch new privatisation deals,
especially in energy/transport sectors and these deals
will attract considerable investor interest from the region.
What attracts Turks to the UAE?
Pre-crisis investments initiated in Dubai and Abu Dhabi Turkey’s exports Turkey’s imports Share of UAE in
provided new employment opportunities in to UAE from UAE Turkey’s total foreign
construction, finance and service sectors, sparking ($ million) ($ million) trade per cent
a growing demand for Turkish employees with both 2007 3,241 470 1.30 %
experience and expertise.
2008 7,975 691 2.50 %
There are 6,000 Turkish employees in the UAE,
2009 2,899 667 1.40 %
the majority of whom are white collar workers. Vast

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October 2010gulfbusiness 93
SPECIAL PROMOTION

Turkey’s exports look good


The cosmetics sector in Turkey is flourishing as both a domestic and export
business, thanks to the assistance of its trade association, IKMIB
The Istanbul Chemicals and Chemical Products Exporters’
Association (IKMIB) was established in 1991. Today it
has 7,786 members and is a semi governmental and non
profit trade association, affiliated to the Prime Ministry
Undersecretariat for Foreign Trade. The main goals of
the assocation are to assist member companies in their
export activities, increase the export volume of the Turkish
Chemicals and Chemical Products sector and its global
market share.
As of 2009, IKMIB represented about 26 per cent of
exports from the General Secretariat of Istanbul Mineral
and Metals Exporters’ Association (IMMIB) and eight per
cent of Turkey’s total exports. The focus of exports is on the
cosmetics industry.
The size of cosmetics sector in Turkey is about US$2.2
billion. Today, the Turkish cosmetics sector provides
attractive opportunities in terms of quality, production
capacity and varieties through the increasing domestic and
foreign demand.
About 1,400 companies operate in the Turkish cosmetics
and personal care products industry and 14,000 people are
employed in total. The Turkish cosmetics and personal care
products market grows on average 10-15 per cent per year.
The main products produced by Turkish cosmetics
sector are soaps, bathroom and shower products, shaving
About 70-80 percent of theTurkish cosmetics sector
products, depilatories, lip and eye make-up products,
market consists of foreign capital multinational companies.
deodorants and antiperspirants, eau de cologne and baby
Most of the international companies
care products.
operate in production and marketing
activities together with their local
partners. The local producers in the
Turkish cosmetics sector are mainly
family company SMEs. In recent
years, there have been a significant
increase in the number of new Turkish
companies which are becoming
established brands.
Turkish cosmetics and personal
care products exports have
increased exponentially in recent
years. The cosmetics and personal
care products exports figure, which
was $400 million in 2004, rose to

94 gulfbusiness October 2010


NUMBERS: Turkish cosmetics and personal care products are

US$2.2
exported to 170 countries all over the world. The top 10
countries with the highest figures of exportation from Turkey
Size of Turkey’s
in 2009, in descending order, are Iraq, Russian Federation,
cosmetics sector
billion Ukraine, Germany, Libya, Azerbaijan, Iran, Romania, Poland
and Bulgaria.

US$795 Value of Turkish


cosmetics exports
According to 2009 Turkish cosmetics sector export
figures, Iraq received the most products with US$119 million
and 15 per cent share in total exports respectively.
million in 2009 In 2013, the world cosmetics market size is expected to
grow to $200 billion. Cosmetics and personal care products

1,400
Number of companies markets are expected to grow as products are used for
in Turkish cosmetics protection rather than treatment. The Turkish cosmetics
industry sector aims to grow exports to $1.635 million by 2012.
In Turkey, the improvement in economy and the increase
$795 million in 2009, achieving an increase of 99 per cent in purchasing power are expected to contribute to the
over five years. consumption of cosmetics. As cosmetics products are
In the items making up the Turkish cosmetics and personal considered requirements for a healthy and happy life,
care products exports, personal care products had the rather than being associated with the concept of luxury,
largest share in 2009 with 69 per cent portion of $553 million. consumption will increase at the same rate.

October 2010gulfbusiness 95
FEATURES INFRASTRUCTURE

Designs for life


Cities that are designed for happy living are the destinations that attract
the most business and have the most longevity, writes LAURA COLLACOTT.

T
here’s a new focus factors such as currency exchange, Governments care (or should)
in urban planning the availability of consumer goods because liveable cities align with
– liveability, which and public transport. sustainable cities, set up to be able
is possibly about to Jon Copestake, editor of the to power, feed, entertain and educate
usurp sustainability Economist’s Global Liveability servey themselves into the future. Not to
as the buzz-word says: “The survey provides a broad mention that a city that is pleasant
of the moment. It indicator of where a city figeres on to live and work in is attractive to
implies a city in the global stage; it is not designed business, which equates, at its most
which the well-being of inhabitants to be granular enough to enact or basic, with wealth. Parang Khanna, of
is foremost and which aims, through dictate policy, nor would that be Foreign Policy magazine, even believes
ecological and social sustainability, our intention. [It] may point to areas that influence emanated from cities
to strengthen community, improve that could improve, but how those will, in the future, replace national
health and increase civic engagement. improvements could be made, or power. Urban living is a big issue.
Architecture ought not to sprawl, what the specific factors that need The suggestion that liveability is a
but lend itself to healthy human addressing will vary substantially.” political policy issue is a significant
interaction and transportation ought Why does liveability matter? Is it one. It suggests that the burden of
to make it easy to commute via idealistic? International businesses responsibility – and cost – should lie,
pedestrian and bike networks and care because these rankings are to some extent, with government as
public transportation. It is a city used to determine the hardship and much as with developers and private
that provides a safe environment benefits packages that their overseas enterprise. Indeed, in the Middle East
that is attractive to live, work and do expatriates are entitled to; the higher it is often governments that incubate
business in. Lofty aims. a city is placed on the scale, the master-schemes and a recent survey
Three key companies – Mercer, the smaller the additional remuneration by Booz & Company has found that it
Economist and Monocle – already package. “We work across the will fall to national bodies to ensure
publish listings of the world’s world on gathering this data to that the economic cities springing up
most liveable cities, largely based help companies compensate their across the sands are supplied with
on the same criteria that human expatriate workforces appropriately, cost-effective utilities. That goes
geographers use to gauge quality and with the relevant and up-to-date hand in hand with encouraging (and
of life internationally. What makes allowances included in their benefits perhaps funding) sustainable cities.
a city liveable? It depends who package,” says Tom O’Byrne, head of Arabian cities do not tend to
you ask. The standard factors market development at Mercer Middle feature highly on liveability listings.
apply – crime, political stability, East. “Companies come to us to get a The environmental challenges faced
economic opportunity etc – but each clear picture of the quality of living by Middle Eastern countries are
of the rankings uses a different in these cities; they then use this for a significant, consumption of natural
scoring system. The Economist’s range of remuneration purposes.” In a resources is among the highest in the
team prioritise healthcare and market where so many employees are world and the region is not famed for
education, aiming to “quantify the expatriate, these rankings count. its sustainable approach to natural
challenges that might be presented
to an individual’s lifestyle”; Monocle
factors in lifestyle considerations like Businesses care about liveability
restaurants and local entertainment
as well as emergency service response because it determines benefits that
times; Mercer is more business-
minded, giving weight to economic
their overseas staff entitled to.

96 gulfbusiness October 2010


Zurich regularly tops liveable city lists.

resources, waste disposal and energy transport systems, and red tape can efficiently manage resources is greater
Gulf Pics

generation. A wealth of hydrocarbon make doing business difficult. As it than ever. As cities grow, the pressure
reserves means that there is a natural stands, European and North American on their facilities increase, often faster
reliance on the car, depressing scores. cities lead the liveability field. than they can cope. This has a negative
GCC cities have plenty of world-class With the global population swelling effect on the quality of life.
hospitals, education facilities, homes and the swing from rural to urban “Humankind is consuming energy
and restaurants that indicate a good living firmly established (over half the and other resources – such as water,
quality of life for residents, but the world’s population now live in cities), land, forests, even wildlife – at levels
same cities are still developing their the pressure on cities around the world that are not only far beyond what we
cultural institutions and public to improve their infrastructure and need, but are far beyond what the
planet can bear,” says a Masdar City
LIVEABLE CITY RANKINGS spokes person. The high-profile Abu
Mercer Economist Monocle Dhabi project is attempting to take
all the components of a sustainable
Quality of Living Survey World’s most liveable cities Most liveable cities
city and build a liveable model
1. Vienna 1. Vancouver 1. Munich from scratch. The blueprint uses all
2. Zurich 2. Vienna 2. Copenhagen available modern technology and
3. Geneva 3. Melbourne 3. Zurich combines it with historical expertise
to give a pioneering urban area that
4. Vancouver 4. Toronto 4. Tokyo
encapsulates the key principles of a
5. Auckland 5. Calgary 5. Helsinki liveable city.

October 2010gulfbusiness 97
FEATURES INFRASTRUCTURE

Shaded walkways, narrow streets and


traditional wind towers, for example,
reduce the impact of the sun in the
glaring desert heat, having a natural
cooling effect and encouraging residents
to walk instead of jumping in cars. A
diagonal orientation funnels cooling
night breezes and lessens the effect of
hot daytime winds. Furthermore, the
plan involve a facets to manage the city’s
environmental impact at the same time
as regenerating degraded biodiversity,
protecting the local cultural heritage
and improving the health and quality of
life of its inhabitants.
Building from scratch, while on
paper the ideal option, is not without
its disadvantages. ‘Accelerated
community engineering’, as it is
This is a fantasy projection by avant garde design group, Terreform ONE [Open
known in academic circles, can Network Ecology], which promotes innovative, green design in cities. Hypothetically
be unpredictable. Services and located in Brooklyn, it will supply all its citizens’ needs within its accessible physical
institutions normally evolve naturally borders. Dilapidated structures are replaced with vertical agriculture, housing is
over time, in line with population merged with infrastructure. Former streets become snaking arteries of livable
spaces embedded with renewable energy sources, soft cushion-based vehicles for
expansion and cultural development. It mobility and productive green rooms.
is difficult to flawlessly replicate these
conditions in a newly built project.
Liveable legacies can also be has developed a system of solar power commissioned Foster + Partners to
created in existing city frameworks generation that uses the light reflected develop a wholly sustainable tourism-
by integrating new sustainable from a field of mirrors to heat liquid in focused town on the Mediterranean
technologies, although Copestake a tower and power a steam turbine. coast, known as Green Mountain.
warns that “a range of factors need to Closer to home, scientists in Ras In Jordan, a Masdar-inspired, zero-
come together before a city registers Al Khaimah have been using NASA emission town is slated for the
a tangible change in liveability”. A technology to develop a prototype outskirts of Amman. In Saudi Arabia,
profusion of technologies are available for a solar island with self-cleaning the King Abdullah International
and up-to-the-minute innovations panels that could be used at the shore Garden is to provide a public botanical
are being constantly released into the or at sea to provide renewable energy garden in celebration of botanical
market, though, of course, these do not to developments. diversity and raising awareness about
displace a need for better transport, Nissan is to launch its all-electric the impact of climate change. In
political stability, cultural wealth and vehicle, the Nissan LEAF, next Doha, the government has long been
low crime levels. year, which has a maximum speed developing world-class cultural and
Energy is clearly one of the biggest of 140kph and zero emissions. In sporting facilities for its residents and
modern factors. Solar energy is the technology borrowed from current guests in its celebrated Museum of
most obvious power source to tap hybrid models, energy will also be Islamic Art and Khalifa International
and many new developments are reclaimed under braking and coasting Stadium. Egyptian company, Orascom,
incorporating photovoltaic technology and fed back into the battery. is developing an eco-town in the
into roofs and windows to generate Philips has been developing and Cornwall region of Britain.
energy for the buildings they adorn. promoting LED lighting technology that The Middle East may be noted for
In this region in particular, known as promises to use a fraction of the energy its over-reliance on hydrocarbons, a
the ‘solar belt’ on account of its high of traditional filament lightbulbs. disposable attitude towards products
exposure to solar radiation, capturing Municipalities, businesses and and heavy dependency on natural
the sun’s power is a pertinent individuals could save up to 40 per cent resources, but liveability is a tacitly
opportunity. According to Abengoa on their lighting bills by switching over. understood and pursued principle in
Solar, if just two per cent of the solar Cities across the Arab world are Gulf ambitions for the future. ■
radiation in the world’s deserts were taking steps and strides towards
used, it would be enough to supply all liveability goals, by this or other
energy demands. The same company names. In Libya, Colonel Gaddafi has

98 gulfbusiness October 2010


F

The Cape escape


Fresh from World Cup success, Cape Town showcases the ultimate
African adventure, writes Alexandra Gouveia

T
hree times the size of New All journeys here must start at Peak to Cape Point is one for the
York and combining rare the flat-topped Table Mountain, must-do list.
wildlife, undulating scenery a resounding symbol of the city’s When it comes to beach life, only
and compelling history, Cape Town strength, history and hope. For the fearless locals tackle the freezing
possesses an unrivalled sense of a sense of achievement climb its Atlantic Ocean hemming Camps
energy. Thanks to superb hosting summit, the views at the peak will Bay and Clifton Beach. These shores
skills during the World Cup 2010, be worth all the effort. The less are a haven for trendy jet-setters
South Africa’s mother city has cast ambitious can opt for the unnerving and food connoisseurs, lured by the
off old perceptions, to become the cable car ride to the restaurant at Michelin-star worthy restaurants
most exuberant destination in the the pinnacle. For more spellbinding and cosmopolitan bars. Alternatively,
rainbow nation. scenery, a drive along Chapman’s Boulders Bay is an ornithologist’s

Historical insight Shark diving


Imprisoned for 27 years on Combining the natural
charges of sabotage during wonders of South Africa
his fight against apartheid, with the ultimate in
Nelson Mandela served time adrenaline-fuelled sports,
at Robben Island. These days seize the opportunity
there’s a museum where you to swim with one of
can view his cramped cell the world’s most feared
and the exercise yard where predators – the Great
he attempted to cultivate White Shark.
a garden. The three-hour Cape Town also boasts
tours are often run by former a wide range of sea-life
political prisoners who recall tours just off the coast of
South Africa’s volatile past. Gansbaai.
robben-island.or.za white-shark-diving.com

100 gulfbusiness October 2010


TRAVEL

Photos: SHUTTERSTOCK

dream, occupied by a penguin colony Cape Town is also imaginative Factfile


where visitors can tread water when it comes to shopping. Population: 2,890,000.
among the packs of flightless birds. Greenmarket Square is perfect for Cape Town is the legislative capital of
Beware: they bite! souvenirs, fashion and homeware. Its South Africa and is located on the southwest
For gastronomes, South Africa’s sidestreets boast quaint boutiques part of the country on the Atlantic coast.
local farms produce meat so succulent stocking original creations by local
even vegetarians may be turned. designers. For something Afrikaans, The city was founded in 1652 as a supply
station for the Dutch East Indies Company.
Café Royale, on Long Street, is Pan-African Market on Long Street
so famous for its burgers that even offers great variety. The African Cape Town is a commercial and industrial
the friendly locals are reluctant to Music store at number 134 has an centre. Oil refining, food, chemicals and
reveal its location. Kalk Bay’s glass- eclectic array of albums. Pick up the manufacture of automobiles, leather
fronted Harbour House serves both something by Mama Afrika, the and plastic goods and clothing are the
spectacular seafood and crashingly country’s legendary singer. chief industries.
beautiful views – during migration Thanks to the World Cup, Cape With one of the world’s largest drydocks,
season it’s possible to see whales. Town stands out as a booming ship-repairing is an important industry.
For elegant fare, Victoria and Albert metropolis without pretensions. Much of the former dock area is now a
Waterfront presents world-class Finally, South Africa is receiving the commercial and tourist waterfront with
cuisine, including Gordon Ramsay’s lauded reputation that its natural museums, craft markets and restaurants.
Maze and Nobu. beauty has always deserved.

Helicopter ride On the grapevine


By far the best way to Wine connoisseurs will
fully appreciate Cape know that South Africa is
Town’s natural beauty famed for its fine grape
is from the air, via juices – it produces one
helicopter. Many tour million litres annually.
companies set off from Embark on one of the many
Victoria and Albert tours in Stellenbosch, where
Harbour. And while it’s local estates are only too
not cheap, it’s not too happy to let you sample
expensive either, especially their tipples. Surrounded
when you account for by spectacular mountain
the mesmerising backdrops, it’s an enriching
birds-eye-views. experience.
racmakana.com constantia valley.com

October 2010 gulfbusiness 101


F LIFESTYLE CARS

Weighty wheels huge speaker that spans the front


dash is as loud as it is impressive
to look at). But my favourite gadget
Alicia Buller test drives the new-look Audi Q7 and was the adjustable air suspension,
at the touch of a button, you can
finds it to be a smooth but cumbersome ride. adjust the car from ‘dynamic’, to
‘comfort’, to ‘automatic’ – these all
help with driving what is at times

A
udi, an auto-manufacturer a very heavy ride. This car is large
known for its understatement, and it’s difficult to escape that. It’s
shouts a bit louder with this large when you park it, it feels large
enormous 2.5 tonne Q7 mega-car. on corners, and that’s because, well,
It comes in two sizes in the Middle it’s large.
East, the 3.6 FSI engine and the 4,2 If you want to zip around town,
FSI engine. I tested the meaner 4.2 this isn’t the car for you. On the
FSI Quattro version, which has a fuel plus side, if you’re looking for
consumption of 12.7 litres/100km and space, you could probably throw five
a 0-62mph time of just 6.4 seconds. kids in the Q7 and still have room
The Audi Q7 looks good; owing for a small elephant. Thanks to its
in part to its 2010 facelift, both luxurious 300-centimetre wheelbase
internal and external. On the within an overall length of 5.09
outside, the sporty design has been metres, the Audi Q7 has interior
revised to incorporate the updated room to spare. The seatbacks
radiator grille and bumpers and I haven’t driven the Audi Q7 pre- are divided into three fold-down
the new xenon headlights with LED facelift, but this model is certainly sections which can create a cargo
daytime running lights. stylish inside. The leathers are high- floor with a volume of 2,035 litres.
The rear has been given a new quality and when dusk comes, the Overall, the Q7 feels sleek
shape, while inside there’s ambient dashboard turns into a very swish, and sturdy. At this price tag, it’s
lighting in the door linings, new automated disco of lights. Costing competing with the BMW X5 and
inlays and leather. Engine-wise, an around $71,000, this beast comes the Range Rover, both of which are,
efficiency-enhancing energy recovery with all the trimmings you’d expect frankly, racier models. But where the
system has been added for both from an upmarket SUV: sat-nav, Audi Q7 could convince buyers is in
models, ensuring you get more fuel assisted parking, four-zone automatic its safe feel, space, bankability and
for your money and save the planet air conditioning, Bosé sound system smooth Audi looks. The disco lights
(a little) in the process. (I had fun cranking this one up – the aren’t bad either. ■

102 gulfbusiness October 2010


ART

Navigating the season’s


Middle East art auctions
With Christie’s, Sotheby’s and Bonham’s showcasing their
wares this autumn, Gulf Business art expert, Charles Pocock,
offers vital background knowledge.
Charles Pocock runs the
Meem Gallery, Dubai.

BONHAM’S SOTHEBY’S CHRISTIE’S

Modern & Contemporary Middle Eastern Modern and Contemporary International Modern and Contemporary Art
& South Asian Art Arab and Iranian Art Tuesday, October 26, 2010
Monday, October 11, 2010 Wednesday, October 20, 2010 Dubai, Emirates Towers Hotel
Dubai, One & Only Royal Mirage Hotel London
✪ Lot No: 161 ✪ Lot 16 ✪ Sohrab Sepehri (Iranian, 1928-1980)
Jawad Salim (Iraq, 1919-1961) Mahmoud Said Untitled
Mother and Child, fruitwood and mixed media, L’Endormie (The Dreamer),signed and dated 1933 signed in Farsi (lower left), oil on canvas
inscribed with the artist’s name and the title on oil on panel,10H by 76.Hcm 40 x 49.1/4 in. (101.6 x 125.1 cm.)
the base, 43 x 30 x 14cm. (16 15/16 x 11 13/16 x $ 156,000–$187,000 Painted in 1970
5 1/2in) max. $200,000-$300,000
Estimate: $60,000-$80,000 This work not only celebrates the female form,
but represents an incredible political statement. As a work of art, it is stunning, because it is so
Constructed out of fruitwood and mixed media, Until Said’s time, images of women were taboo, far removed from what most people are used
this is a star lot. The work is illustrated in ‘Art in particularly the nudes. Said was the uncle of to. With the recent retrospective in Tehran and
Iraq Today’ by Jabra Ibrahim Jabra, a point which Queen Farida and was, therefore, able to push the Sohrab Sepehri’s strong following, and taking
Bonham’s have overlooked in the catalogue. Even boundaries of artistic practices established in his into account the abstract nature of this work, it
at $150,000, this is an incredibly important work country. Judging from the outstanding quality of should do very well.
as Jawad Salim was foremost a sculptor and this this work, it should sell well past the estimate
piece is one of his seminal works. Dia Azzawi (Iraqi, b.1939)
Lot 8 Untitled, signed and dated in Arabic (lower left);
Lot No: 157 Shakir Hassan Al Said 1925-2004 signed, dated and located Dhia Al-Azzawi 1969
Ahmed Moustafa (Egyptian, born 1943) Untitled IRAK and signed, dated and inscribed in Arabic
Man in a Rocking Chair, oil on canvas, signed in signed and dated 1963, oil and plaster on (on the reverse) oil on canvas
Arabic and dated 1972 upper left, 150 x 135cm board 67 by 56.5cm. Provenance Private 39 x 32in. (99 x 81cm.) Painted in 1969
(59 1/16 x 53 1/8in). Collection, Europe $12,000-$18,0000
Estimate: $180,000-$240,000 US$ 28,000–$34,300
I spoke with Dia about this work. Exhibited at
A reasonable work but overpriced. I would look A strong work with good provenance. We bought his show in Beirut, where the painting was
at half of what they are asking for: $80,000 max. a similar piece at $40,000 recently and would bought, this work is, in his opinion, one of
There is a limited market for non-calligraphic suggest a price around this figure, although it is the best from this series. The estimate is low
works by Ahmed Moustafa, which is why I believe above the estimate. Anything beneath that amount and one should see it go to $60,000 including
this work to be overpriced. would be a good buy. commission, $45,000 in the room.

✪ RECOMMENDED

✪ Jawad Salim, Mother and Child ✪ Mahmoud Said L’Endormie (The Dreamer) ✪ Sohrab Sepehri Untitled

October 2010 gulfbusiness 103


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Data monitor
108 TOP DEALS
Mergers & acquisitions
Public offering
Debt offering
Private placement

110 GCC ECONOMIC INDICATORS


Real GDP & CPI inflation
Economic Forecasts
Market Overview
World Commodity Markets

111 IN FOCUS
Equities: GOEs own 30 per cent of GCC markets
Cement: Coal prices blacken sector outlook

October 2010 gulfbusiness 107


TOP M&A TRANSACTIONS
Deal Value ($m) Bidder Target Deal Description
117 Landmark Group Carluccio's PLC Carluccio’s PLC has agreed to be acquired by Landmark Group. Carluccio’s, the listed UK-based company headquartered in
(94.9 per cent stake) London, is an Italian restaurants and food shops operator. The Landmark Group, the UAE-based company is a retail and
hospitality conglomerate, whose majority shareholders are Mukesh Jagtiani and Renuka Jagtiani.
Terms: GBP1.42 per in cash per Carluccio’s share not currently owned by Landmark Group. The implied equity
value of the target company is GBP84.1 million. The offer provides a premium of 47.9 per cent based on Carluccio’s
closing share price of GBP 0.96 on September 1, 2010, one day prior to the announcement. It also provides a
premium of 43.4 per cent based on Carluccio’s closing share price of GBP 0.99 on August 2, 2010, one month
prior to the announcement.
Financing: The transaction will be financed from Landmark’s existing cash resources.
Irrevocable Undertakings: Landmark has received irrevocable undertakings to accept the offer for 14,801,137
Carluccio’s shares, representing about 25 per cent of the target company’s issued ordinary share capital.
Landmark has also received letters of intent to accept the offer for 3,839,807 Carluccio’s shares, representing about
6.5 per cent of the target’s issued ordinary share capital.
– Schoeller-Bleckmann Drilling Systems Schoeller-Bleckmann Oilfield Equipment AG (SBO), the listed Austria-based designer and manufacturer of drilling
Oilfield Equipment AG International Ltd. equipment for the oil and gas industry, has agreed to acquire Drilling Systems International Ltd, the United
Arab Emirates-based provider of specialized equipment for downhole circulation technology for oil and gas
wells, for an undisclosed consideration. Drilling Systems International Ltd (DSI) generates annual sales of about
$30 million. The acquisition is a perfect addition for SBO’s product portfolio due to DSI’s proven technology and
excellent growth potential. The transaction is expected to complete by October 1, 2010.
– Praxair Inc Refrigeration & Oxygen Praxair Inc, the listed US-based company engaged in the production and distribution of industrial gases, has
Company Limited agreed to acquire 49 per cent stake in Refrigeration & Oxygen Company Limited, the Kuwait-based producer and
distributor of industrial gases, from Al Khaled Family, for an undisclosed consideration. Refrigeration & Oxygen
Company generated annual sales of approximately $80 million in 2009. The acquisition will result in economic
expansion and industrialisation. Both of the business are in a distinctive position and their respective strengths
will be able to meet the needs and challenges of demanding market requirements.
– Sahara International Sahara Net LLC Sahara International Ventures NV (SIV), the Netherlands-based investment firm focused on the development of
Ventures NV. (Majority Stake) (broadband) Internet businesses and a subsidary of Belgacom SA, the listed Belgium-based company providing
both fixed and mobile telecommunication services, and Panthers Investments BV, the Netherlands-based
investment holding company having interest in Internet service providing business, has acquired a majority stake
in Sahara Net LLC, the Saudi Arabia based-Internet Service Provider, for an undisclosed consideration. Sahara Net
currently employs around 100 people. The transaction will allow SIV to expand and strengthen its business in
markets within the MENA region and to further support and improve the existing operations.
Notes: Deals are based on the geography of target, bidder or vendor being in the Middle East, for the period between August 21, 2010 and September 20, 2010. Based on announced deals, including lapsed and
withdrawn bids. Where deal value is not disclosed, the deal has been entered based on turnover of target exceeding $10 million. Activities excluded from the table include property transactions and restructurings
where the ultimate shareholders’ interests are not changed. Source: Mergermarket

MIDDLE EAST QUARTERLY M&A ACTIVITY MIDDLE EAST ACTIVITY BY INDUSTRY SECTOR YTD 2010  VALUE
FROM 2005 TO SEPTEMER 21, 2010
Leisure Transport Pharma/Medical/ Construction Real Estate
14,000 50 5% 12% Biotech 3% 2% 13%
Number of deals
Value ($m)

12,000 TMT 7%
Value 40
10,000 Agriculture
Volume 0%
8,000 30
6,000 Energy/ Defence
20 Mining/ 1%
4,000 Utilities 5%
10
2,000
0 0 Consumer Business Financial Services Industrials and
Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3
2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2% Services 2% 33% Chemicals 15%

MIDDLE EAST ANNUAL M&A ACTIVITY MIDDLE EAST ACTIVITY BY INDUSTRY SECTOR YTD 2010  VOLUME
FROM 2004 TO SEPTEMER 21, 2010
Leisure Transport Pharma/Medical/ Construction
30,000 200 2% Biotech 5% 2%
Value TMT 2% Real Estate
25,000 Volume 20,7% 7%
150
20,000 Agriculture
Number of deals

Energy/ 1%
15,000 100
Value ($m)

Mining/
10,000
Utilities 8%
Defence
50 1%
5,000
Consumer Business Financial Services Industrials and
0 0
2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 8% Services 7% 16% Chemicals 19%

Mergermarket tracks all M&A deals of more than $5m where the target, bidder or parent is a Middle Eastern company.

108 gulfbusiness October 2010


TOP PUBLIC OFFERINGS
Value ($m, Target/Issuer Transaction Status Transaction comments
Historical rate)
609.87 Omani Qatari Announced The price range for the IPO is OMR 0.702 to OMR 0.902.The offering opens for subscription on September
Telecommunications 15, 2010 and the offer will close on October 14, 2010. The IPO has been reserved for individual or retail
Company investors for up to 70 per cent and the remaining 30 per cent is for institutional investors. About 70 per
cent of the offering is open to Category I investors, and 30 per cent is open to Category II investors who
can participate in the bookbuilding process. Category I investors can apply for a minimum of 500 shares in
multiples of 100 up to a maximum of 500,000 shares, and Category II investors can apply for a minimum
of 500,100 shares up to a maximum of 26,037,700 shares.The final price will be determined on the basis of
the bookbuilding process and is expected to be announced on October 24, 2010.
173.32 Al Jouf Cement Company Closed “The subscription period was from July 19, 2010 - July 25, 2010. KSB Capital Group also acted as the
financial advisor for the offering. Alinma Bank is acted as a receiving bank for the offering.”
113.54 National Bank of Kuwait Announced The subscription period for the offering would commence on October 5, 2010 and end on
October 21, 2010.
Closed/Registration Effective Date: [8/6/2010-9/21/2010] Geographic Locations (Target/Issuer): Middle East (Primary) OR North Africa (Primary) Source: Capital IQ

TOP DEBT OFFERINGS


Value ($m, Target/Issuer Transaction Status Transaction comments
Historical rate)
239.96 Abu Dhabi Closed “The notes are a part of the Medium Term Note Programme. The notes are rated AAA by RAM Ratings.The
Commercial Bank books opened and closed on August 23, 2010. The notes will mature in five years.”
222.94 Emirates NBD Auto Announced –
Finance Limited
25.97 Al Omaniya Announced The subscription ratio for the rights offering is 1 bond for every 1.5 existing shares. The subscription
Financial Services period for rights offering is August 15, 2010 – August 30, 2010. The bonds will mature in 10 years. The
bonds are convertible into shares at a conversion price of 80 per cent of the average market price of the
shares for three months preceeding the conversion date. Interest on the bonds will be paid annually.
Closed/Registration Effective Date: [8/6/2010-9/21/2010], Geographic Locations (Target/Issuer): Middle East (Primary) OR North Africa (Primary) Transaction Primary Features: Public Offering - Fixed-Income
Offering. Source: Capital IQ

TOP PRIVATE PLACEMENTS


Value ($m, Target/Issuer Buyers/Investors Transaction Status Transaction comments
Historical rate)
100.0 National Petroleum Abu Dhabi Islamic Bank, Announced National Petroleum Construction Company Limited announced
Construction Company Asset Management Arm that it will raise $100 million in funding from Abu Dhabi
Limited Islamic Bank on September 19, 2010. ADIB acted as mandated
lead arranger and structured the deal while Waha Capital PJSC
advised the company in the transaction.
3.03 MTQ Oil Field Services MTQ Corp Ltd; Closed MTQ Oil Field Services announced a private placement
Mtq Engineering Pte Ltd of for gross proceeds of SGD4,074,000 on September
3, 2010. The funding involved the participation of MTQ
Corp Ltd and Mtq Engineering Pte Ltd. MTQ Corp Ltd has
invested SGD4,033,260 and will hold 99 per cent stake in
the company and Mtq Engineering Pte Ltd has invested
SGD40,740 and will hold 1 per cent stake in the company.
- Newbridge Pharmaceuticals Burrill Venture Capital; Announced Newbridge Pharmaceuticals announced that it will raise
Kuwait Life Sciences Company funding in its series B round on September 20, 2010. On
the same day, the company raised $12 million in its first
close. The series B round was led by Kuwait Life Sciences
Company, a subsidiary of National Technology Enterprises
Company, with participation by the previous investor
Burrill Life Sciences Capital Fund III, L.P. As part of the
transaction, Qais Marafie, Chairman of Kuwait Life Sciences
Company, was appointed to the company’s board of
directors. In addition, Victor A. Hebert, Managing Director,
Burrill & Company, will be appointed as the Chairman of
the board.
- Yebab.com National Net Ventures Closed Yebab.com announced that it has received its first round
of funding from new investor National Net Ventures on
August 23, 2010. The company received the funding in
cash and kind.
Closed/Registration Effective Date: [8/6/2010-9/21/2010] Geographic Locations (Target/Issuer): Middle East (Primary) OR North Africa (Primary) Source: Capital IQ

October 2010 gulfbusiness 109


COMMODITY PRICE DATA AND FOREIGN EXCHANGE EQUITIES
Month WTI crude Gold price Euro/UAE
($/barrel) ($/ounce) Dirham
April 84.5 1148.7 4.94
State-owned firms own 30 per
May 73.7 1205.4 4.64 cent of GCC markets
June 75.4 1232.9 4.49
July 76.32 1194.11 4.69 In just a year’s time, $118 billion was wiped
August 76.60 1,217.21 4.75 off the GCC’s government-owned entities’
Source: Bloomberg, Dubai Chamber (GOEs) coffers. According to a study by Kuwait
Financial Centre (Markaz), the value of shares
GCC ECONOMIC FORECASTS
held by GCC’s GOEs in the local stock markets
Updated as of: Real GDP Growth (%) CPI Inflation (% avg.)
17/09/2010 dropped by 40 per cent from $300 billion in
2008 2009F 2010F 2011F 2008 2009F 2010F 2011F
2009 to $182 billion this year.
S.Arabia 4.3 0.1 3.2 3.4 9.9 5.1 5.7 4.8
Back in April 2008, Markaz’s research
UAE 5.1 -1.4 1.0 2 12.3 1.6 1 2.8
showed that GOEs – firms either 100 per cent
Qatar 15.8 9.0 11.3 9.1 15 -4.9 -2.9 2.5
or significantly owned by the government –
Kuwait 6.4 -2.2 2.5 3.1 10.5 4 3 4
accounted for 27 per cent of the stock market
Oman 12.3 3.8 4.6 4.8 12.6 3.5 4 4.8
holding (as measured by market capitalisation)
Bahrain 6.1 1.8 2.4 1.6 3.5 2.8 2.5 3
Source: BoFA Merrill Lynch Global Research, Bloomberg, EcoWin, national statistics offices valued at $300 billion. Today, they hold more or
less the same share (29 per cent) though their
GCC MARKET OVERVIEW value has come down significantly to $182 billion.
Returns Value Month to date* Year to date* The 51 GOEs under study covered nearly 179
Tadawaful (Saudi Arabia) 6,106.42 -2.8% -0.3% listed companies with the top 25 accounting
KSE (Kuwait) 6,688.60 0.5% -4.5% for 85 per cent of the total. The top 10 GOEs
BSE (Bahrain) 1,418.61 1.8% -2.7% account for 89 per cent of the total with
MSM 30 (Oman) 6,256.81 -0.6% -1.8% Saudi Arabia’s Public Investment Fund (PIF)
DFM (Dubai, UAE) 1,483.67 -1.9% -17.7% accounting for a lion’s share of 40 per cent.
ADX (Abu Dhabi, UAE) 2,498.52 -1.9% -8.9% The largest is Public Investment Fund of Saudi
DSM 20 (Qatar) 7,226.15 2.8% 3.8% Arabia that enjoys a 40 per cent share in total,
Source: Bloomberg; *All returns are latest available end of day August
thanks to its 70 per cent investment in Saudi Basic
WORLD COMMODITY MARKETS COMMODITY PRICE DATA, 2010
Commodity unit June July Aug Aug/July
Non Energy 252.4 248.4 254.3 2.4 CEMENT
Agriculture 214.1 214.3 219.3 2.3
Beverages 243.5 255.0 261.7 2.6 Coal prices blacken
Food 200.4 199.2 209.4 5.1
Soybean meal $/mt 338.0 356.0 382.8 7.5
sector outlook
Soybean oil $/mt 859.0 907.0 1002.3 10.5 The GCC cement sector continued to show a
Soybeans $/mt 408.0 429 456.8 6.5 disappointing performance in H1 2010 due to
Grains 178.0 192.3 210.8 9.6 stalled real estate and construction projects.
Maize $/mt 152.7 163.8 175.6 7.2 Figures from Global Investment House
Sorghum $/mt 131.0 132.4 143.4 8.3 (Global) show cement companies came
Wheat, Canada $/mt 261.3 287.5 326.0 13.4
out with a 13.8 per cent decline in top
Wheat, US, HRW $/mt 157.7 195.8 246.2 25.8
line revenue and 12.4 per cent decrease in
Wheat, US, SRW $/mt 182.6 222.3 261.6 17.7
profits for the period. Gross margins saw a
Sugar EU c/kg 40.9 42.8 43.2 1.0
121.9 basis points decline in the first half
Sugar US c/kg 72.4 73.3 77.2 5.3
as compared to the previous year while net
Sugar world c/kg 35.0 38.5 40.7 5.8
Raw Materials 329.6 305.5 311.1 1.8
profits decreased from $938.8 million in H1
Fertilisers 248.9 259.4 276.4 6.5 2009 to $822.1 million in H1 2010, data from
Metals and minerals 318.2 350.4 368.7 5.2 the Kuwait-based investment bank indicates.
Aluminium $/mt 1931.4 1988.3 2118.1 6.5 Saudi Arabia was the only GCC country
Copper $/mt 6499.3 6735.3 7284.0 8.1 to witness higher sales revenue with 5.5 per
Gold $/toz 1232.9 1193.0 1215.8 1.9 cent growth to reach $1.13 billion, compared
Iron ore c/dmtu 167.0 205.0 205.0 0.0 to Kuwait, Qatar, UAE and Oman which all
Lead c/kg 170.4 183.7 207.5 13.0 witnessed severe decreases in sales revenue
Nickel s/mt 19388.6 19517.5 21413.3 9.7 by 31.6 per cent, 24.5 per cent, 33.5 per cent
Silver c/toz 1853.4 1794.0 1849.3 3.1 and 27.2 per cent, respectively.
Steel products index 2000=100 242.1 231.8 230.4 -0.6 Coal prices are expected to put pressure
Tin c/kg 1732.0 1819.1 2075.5 14.1 in the margins. Because most of the GCC
Zinc c/kg 174.3 184.4 204.5 10.9 cement manufacturers import coal, due to
Source: World Bank, Commodity price data
gas shortage, the increasing price of South

110 gulfbusiness October 2010


COMPANY WATCH

Industries Corporation (Sabic), the largest capitalised company DP World


in the Middle East, in addition to Saudi Telecom Company (STC).
This was distantly followed by Qatar Petroleum with significant
Global operator eyes $1.2bn EBITDA
holdings in Industries Qatar. General Organisation for Social Last month, Gulf Business reported have managed to secure this level of
Insurance holds stakes in 29 listed Saudi companies, nearly 40 that DP World is well positioned support from creditors,” Ahmad Alanani,
per cent of its holdings are accounted for together by Al Rajhi to take advantage of the positive Middle East and North African regional
Bank, Riyad Bank, and Samba Financial Group. developments happening in the director of Exotix, a London-based
“It may be surprising to note names like Qatar Petroleum shipping sector. At that time, however, investment bank, told Gulf Business.
and Sabic figuring in this list. While they may be corporate, it was presumed that DP World, now He stressed that Dubai World’s recent
they are substantially owned by the government,” a the world’s third largest port operator, agreement with 99 per cent of creditors
spokesman from Markaz, said. was “ring-fenced” from Dubai World’s does not mean DP World or any other
And while Abu Dhabi Investment Authority (Adia) is a well debt restructuring programme. prized assets have escaped a possible
talked about GOE in the global context, their reach in the local How its financial performance sale in future. And if anything, he said,
market is mainly through Abu Dhabi Investment Council (ADIC), will be affected by the recently “the agreement reinforces this notion”.
whose prime holding is that of National Bank of Abu Dhabi. revealed fact that it may also be sold In the meantime, Nabil Ahmed,
is still uncertain. research analyst at Deutsche Bank,
GOE: SUMMARY “The fact that Dubai World may expects that DP World’s second half
Country No of No of Market Amount Share Local Market Market eventually consider the sale of strategic performance “to be only a touch
GOE’s Co. held Universe held in local (%) Capitali Penetration
market ($m) zation ($m) (%) assets such as DP world was a key better than H1” adding that the
KSA 10 47 140 109,718 60 314,556 35 component to the debt restructuring and recovery momentum is losing steam
UAE 10 29 110 28,255 16 97,247 29 without it the conglomerate would not given macro uncertainties.
Qatar 8 18 45 26,001 14 97,746 27
Deutsche Bank new estimates
Kuwait 10 42 194 11,717 6 90,871 13
New estimates Old estimates
Bahrain 9 20 44 3,518 2 16,386 21
$m 2009 2010E 2011E 2012E 2010E 2011E 2012E
Oman 14 23 127 2,735 2 16,733 16 Revenues 2,821 3,012 3,450 3,860 3,133 3,572 4,011
51 179 660 181,994 100 633,544 29 % change -14.1% 6.8% 14.5% 11.9% 11.1% 14.0% 12.3%
Source: Zawya, Markaz Research. Figures represent data as of July 5,2010 Adjusted EBITDA 1,085 1,210 1,438 1,668 1,224 1,462 1,698
% margin 38.5% 40.2% 41.7% 43.2% 39.1% 40.9% 42.3%
Clean EBITDA (ex. JVs) 1,014 1,078 1,282 1,483 1,134 1,342 1,559
% margin 35.9% 35.8% 37.2% 38.4% 36.2% 37.6% 38.9%

African coal is expected to weigh heavily on their expenses. DAR AL ARKAN


The price of South African coal has been increasing and is
expected to cross the $100 per tonne mark in 2010 due to Performance boost from mid segment
huge demand from Indian and Chinese companies. Dar Al Arkan’s top-line may have declined company conducts plot sales on a
On top of that, intense competition is slated to 16.9 per cent to SAR2.26 billion in H1 cash basis (unlike its peers in Abu
further squeeze the margins. Cement prices in the GCC 2010 from SAR2.720 billion in the same Dhabi) Dar Al Arkan reduces the overall
averaged $65.6 per tonne in H1 2010, a 16.4 per cent period last year, but its financial muscles risk of dependence on plot sales,” a
decrease compared to $78.5 per tonne enjoyed in H1 2009. remain strong to weather the slow down. spokesman from Sico, said.
UAE, the second largest cement producer faces Saudi Arabia’s largest real estate The company, which paid out fiscal year
continuous decline in demand while Saudi Arabia is developer still provides the best 2009 dividends amounting to nearly SAR1.1
facing contribution as new players enter the markets, exposure to the mid-income residential billion, had a cash balance of SAR1.3 billion
causing price wars among the local player. real estate market in Saudi Arabia, at the end of June 2010. Sico expects the
UAE realisation according to Sico, a Bahrain-based company to generate operating cash flow
GCC CEMENT SECTOR prices decreased 38.2 securities and investment company. of nearly SAR500 million each for remaining
90 0
1H-09 1H-10 Change
per cent from $86 per It said Dar Al Arkan has the strongest two quarters in FY10. The company has
85 -5 tonne in H1 2009 to fundamentals in the region buoyed debt of SAR1 billion due in one year,
-10 $53.1 per tonne in by the young and rapidly growing SAR430 million in two years and SAR6.4
80
Average realisation prices (U S$/Ton)

-15 H1 2010, the lowest Saudi demographic. “Additionally, the billion after two years.
75
price among other
(per cent )

-20
70 Key stats
-25 GCC countries. “In the SAR million 2008A 2009A 2010E 2011E 2012E
65
-30
future, cement prices Revenue 5,611 5,464 5,807 7,586 7,741
are expected to face EBITDA 2,719 2,383 2,410 3,130 3,174
60 -35 EBITDA Margin 48.5% 43.6% 41.5% 41.3% 41.0%
downward pressure as Net Profit 2,356 2,123 2,198 2,911 2,951
55 -40
capacities of cement Net Profit Margin 42.0% 38.8% 37.9% 38.4% 38.1%
50 -45 are increasing in the Adjusted EPS (SAR) 2.18 1.97 2.04 2.70 2.73
KSA UAE Oman Kuwait Qatar GCC Total Assets 20,164 23,597 25,187 27,039 29,259
Average region,” the Global RoAE 20.7% 16.6% 15.3% 18.6% 17.2%
Source: Industry Reports & Global Research.
report, said. Source: Dar Al-Arkan Real Estate Development Co.

October 2010 gulfbusiness 111


EXHIBITIONS & CONFERENCES

Cityscape Global 2010


Dubai World Trade Centre, October 4-7
Cityscape Global hits Dubai for the ninth year
running this month, with its new ‘global’ moniker.
The largest real estate conference for emerging
markets globally, the event brings together
international investors, developers, government
authorities and architects. Considered a litmus test
for local confidence in the industry, Cityscape Dubai
suffered a considerable drop in visitors last year
amid the economic crisis. So the question is, how
busy will the floors be in 2010?

UNITED ARAB EMIRATES


Abu Dhabi
October 05 Frost & Sullivan's GIL 2010 : The Global Community of Beach Rotana, Abu Dhabi www.gil-global.com
Growth, Innovation and Leadership
19-21 Najah Careers 2010 ADNEC www.iirme.com
Dubai
October 03-04 2nd Annual Compensation and Benefits Hyatt Regency Hotel www.marcusevans.com
03-05 Middle East Investments Summit 2010 Park Hyatt Dubai www.marcusevans.com
04-07 Cityscape Global 2010 Dubai World Trade Centre www.iirme.com
04-07 Telecoms World Middle East 2010 Jumeirah Beach Hotel www.terrapinn.com
07-10 Dubai International Jewellery Week Dubai Int’l Convention and Exhibition Centre www.dwtc.com
16-23 GITEX Computer Shopper & Consumer Electronics Expo 2010 Airport Expo Center www.dwtc.com
17-21 GITEX Technology Week Dubai Int’l Convention and Exhibition Centre www.dwtc.com
24-25 Strategic Media Communications Hyatt Regency Hotel www.marcusevans.com
24-26 Internal Auditors Forum Hyatt Regency Hotel www.marcusevans.com
24-28 The Middle East HR Summit Mövenpick Hotel Jumeirah Beach www.iirme.com
25-27 MENA Mining Congress 2010 Shangri-La Hotel www.terrapinn.com
26-27 Business Travel Show Jumeirah Madinat Arena www.businesstravelshowdubai.com
Sharjah
October 06-08 International Education Show Expo Centre Sharjah http://www.expo-centre.ae
14-18 International Automobile Show Expo Centre Sharjah http://www.expo-centre.ae
26-06 Nov Sharjah World Book Fair 2010 Expo Centre Sharjah http://www.expo-centre.ae
KUWAIT
October 11-15 Kuwait International Property Show Kuwait International Fairs Exhibition Centre www.kif.com
13-23 Arabic Books Exhibition Kuwait International Fairs Exhibition Centre www.kif.com
OMAN
October 31-01 Nov The Growth of Corporate Governance in the Region Al Bustan Hotel, Muscat www.hawkamah.org
QATAR
October 03-04 Materials Control & Management Millennium Hotel, Doha www.marcusevans.com
17-18 Business Continuity & Recovery Planning for OGPs Millennium Hotel, Doha www.marcusevans.com
SAUDI ARABIA
October 03-06 Saudi Water & Power Forum 2010 Jeddah Hilton www.thecwcgroup.com
04-07 Saudi Agriculture Riyadh Int’l Convention & Exhibition Centre www.recexpo.com
04-07 Saudi Food Packaging Riyadh Int’l Convention & Exhibition Centre www.recexpo.com
18-21 Saudi Stone Tech 2010 Riyadh Int’l Convention & Exhibition Centre www.recexpo.com
23-25 Saudi Arabian Infrastructure Congress 2010 Four Seasons Hotel Riyadh www.iirme.com
26-28 Saudi International Franchising Riyadh Int’l Convention & Exhibition Centre www.recexpo.com

112 gulfbusiness October 2010


Hotel Collection
Gulf Business Hotel Collection members offer guests complimentary copies of
the GCC’s premier business magazine Gulf Business.
United Arab Emirates
AL RAHA BEACH HOTEL PARK ROTANA ABU DHABI LAYIA OAK HOTEL & SUITES MEDIA ROTANA DUBAI

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provide the very best of traditional Park, the property offers 318 luxurious from 81 sqm to 160 sqm, 3 dining business hub and opposite Dubai Media
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of luxury and tranquility, offering venues, 6 meeting rooms and spacious rooms, recreation facilities & a Dubai has 460 rooms, suites and deluxe
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KEMPINSKI HOTEL MALL OF PULLMAN DUBAI MALL OF


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This 394-room hotel boasts 10 dining Jumeirah Emirates Towers is a sleek The truly unique and exciting five stars Discover a new attitude hotel directly linked
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spa and unrivalled meeting facilities. and glass. It redefines the business chalets together with Mall of the Emirates amidst Dubai’s sophisticated metropolis.
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Qatar
SHANGRI-LA TAMANI HOTEL MARINA ACACIA HOTEL MÖVENPICK HOTEL DOHA

Sheikh Zayed Road, Dubai Dubai Marina Ras al Khaimah Doha


Offers 301 luxuriously appointed guest This hotel boasts 240 units, including The Acacia Hotel is a superbly designed Located on the Corniche Road, opposite
rooms and suites, nine restaurants and studios, 2 or 3 bedroom units, and four star hotel complete with Al Nakhla the Museum of Islamic Art, the hotel
bars, health club and spa, tennis and penthouses. There is also one restaurant. a restaurant, the stylish Flamingo bar, the offers 154 rooms and suites, a business
squash courts and outdoor swimming. health club, indoor and outdoor swimming vibrant Club Acacia, a pristine pool serving centre and meeting rooms. Recreation
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Fax 00971 4 3993225 Tel 00971 7 2434421 www.moevenpick-doha.com
sales@tamanimarina.ae Fax 00971 7 2434429

Qatar Saudi Arabia


INTERCONTINENTAL DOHA JEDDAH HILTON HOLIDAY INN RIYADH, IZDIHAR SOFITEL AL HAMRA JEDDAH

Doha Jeddah Riyadh Jeddah


Situated in the West Bay area, yet Located a 10-minute drive from the The first 5 star Holiday Inn hotel in the The hotel situated in the heart of the
located near the city. With its various Jeddah International Airport. Offers over Kingdom, with 289 new and trendy business centre offers 211 rooms, 17
dining options, 24 suites, 234 rooms, 414 rooms including 46 suites. 10th accommodations, huge lobby with W-Fi suites and 25 apartments. 5 meeting
private beach and state-of-the-art and 11th floors are Executive floors access, outdoor pools, sauna, Jacuzzi rooms and 2 reception rooms to
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GulfBusinessHotels.com Membership information: nayeem@motivate.ae, Tel: 00971 4 2052290


IN YOUR SHOES

The high life


ALICIA BULLER ponders the ups and downs of indoor leisure attractions with iFLY
and Ski Dubai chief operations officer, Arnaud Palu.

T
here’s something very exposed about catapulting Palu is a fan of iFLY, but sadly there’s no time for us
yourself into a wind tunnel; not literally, of course to fly together on this occasion, so we make do with him
– I’m all togged up in my pseudo-space suit – watching my air grooves instead.
but something akin to closing your eyes, falling With a CV that incorporates some of the world’s most
backwards and hoping somebody catches you. famous (and infamous) leisure firms, from Six Flags Holland
In the iFLY vertical dome, my senses are stripped by and Disneyworld, to London’s Millennium Dome and the
what sounds like a million hairdryers and – as is the ill-fated Dubailand, the COO is no stranger to leisure. Palu
point of all this – my feet don’t touch the ground. was right-hand man to ex-CEO of the Millennium Dome,
The tunnel, the Middle Pierre-Yves Gerbeau, as the
East’s first indoor skydiving team attempted to pull the
venue, is certainly ‘unique’ as project out of its year 2000
Arnaud Palu, COO of Mujid Al shambles. They succeeded, to
Futtaim Leisure, tells me. some extent.
The Mujid Al Futtaim Like Gerbeau (fondly
Group owns and runs a raft nicknamed ‘Gerbil’ by the UK
of shopping malls and press), Palu is equally French
hotels regionally, including and equally ethusiastic. That
Mall of the Emirates and was then, but what’s his
the City Centre brands, and biggest challenge today?
Palu is charged with He says, it’s being able
running the leisure to draw in the crowds,
attractions inside – from while also keeping Mujid Al
iFLY, to kids’ heaven Magic Futtaim Leisure a lean and
Planet, to the region’s coolest profitable operation.
leisure attraction, Ski Dubai. He’s just launched the
The idea, says Palu, is to ‘Playnation’ concept in Mirdif,
offer a selection of pay-as- which he says “is like a lego
you-go leisure experiences, kit” of various attractions
targeted at a wide-range from iFly, to interactive game
of people. And the more Soccer Circus and waterpark
adrenaline involved the Aqua Play all in one space.
better. iFLY certainly “We offer tailored
ticks those boxes experiences, and pay-as-you-
Launched in April this go works well in a recession,”
year, it’s obvious why the he says, adding only half in
indoor skydiving spot has jest that he expects Playnation
been a hit at the Mirdif City to benefit from a region
Centre mall. I’ve never seen, awash with ‘guilt-money’ from
or done, anything like it. time-strapped parents.
After a watching a video As the Majid Al Futtaim
and learning some air sign-language, I’m left to fend Group continues its unabashed expansion across the
against the vertical fans that can power wind up to 200km/ region into Syria, Egypt and Qatar, the leisure arm will
per hour. It’s a relief that I don’t feel like am falling; just naturally expand, too.
floating. The instructor has a firm hold of me and I’m only As Palu takes the brand forward, he says he’ll always
waist-high from the ground. have the words of his old Disney boss ringing his head
iFLY is used as a training ground for champion – “you’ve got to walk the floor.”
skydivers from all over the globe, so after the initial “Everything you need to know about your business is
lessons, you can flex some aero-muscle with somersaults with your customers and your employees,” he says.
and advanced air-borne high-jinks. And with that, I’m off to find my centre of gravity.

114 gulfbusiness October 2010


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