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October 07, 2010
THE BELL
PAKISTAN RESEARCH
Chemicals
DAWH: Return to profitability on higher profit from Associates & no impairment
1HCY10 bottom‐line green again: DAWH recently announced its 1HCY10 financial result,
DAWH PA where the company posted PAT of PKR1,305mn (EPS: PKR10.84), compared to LAT of
PKR615mn (LPS: PKR5.11) in the same period last year.
Closing Price: PKR165.5/share Net sales down 11% YoY; Strong margins maintained: Gross profit took a dip by 11% YoY to
PKR1,218mn, primarily attributable to 11% YoY decline in net sales on the back of lower
volumes. Gross margins on the other hand stood firm at 41%.
Key Data
97% YoY ↑ in profit from Associate & no impairment loss triggered profitability: Share of
12m Price Range (PKR) 240.0 – 146.0 profit from Associate (Engro) stood at PKR1,096mn, up 97% on YoY basis. Combined with that,
Market Cap (PKR mn) 19,913 absence of impairment charge (impairment expense of PKR1,536mn in 1HCY09) was the major
reason behind improved bottom‐line.
Outstanding Shares (mn) 120.3
Investment theme: At PKR165.5, the scrip is trading at 18.5% discount to its portfolio value
Avg. Daily Volume mn (YTD) 0.05 (PKR203/share) at current market prices; let aside core operations, indicating room for further
price appreciation.
YTD – Relative Performance
(%) DAWH KSE-100 Index Key Financials Outstanding share: 120.3mn
160 (PKRmn) 1HCY10A 1HCY09A YoY 2QCY10A 1QCY10A QoQ
Sales 2,936 3,285 -11% 1,545 1,390 11%
140
Cost of sales 1,718 1,923 -11% 648 1,070 -39%
120 Gross profit 1,218 1,361 -11% 897 321 180%
Other income 90 42 113% 19 71 -74%
100
Distribution expenses 106 88 20% 63 43 44%
80 Administrative expenses 224 155 44% 135 89 51%
Other expenses 32 47 -32% 32 0
31-Dec-09
21-Jan-10
10-Jun-10
30-Jun-10
03-May-10
21-May-10
20-Jul-10
11-Feb-10
03-Mar-10
24-Mar-10
13-Apr-10
09-Aug-10
27-Aug-10
20-Sep-10
Net sales down on lower volumes; Margins remain intact
Lower production due to gas curtailment, effective from 26th April, 2010 resulted in 24% YoY
reduction in Urea sales to 178kT. Consequently, net sales of the company registered a decline
of 11% YoY to PKR2,936mn during 1HCY10. With margins intact at 41% (having only Urea in its
product‐line enables the company to enjoy healthy margins), gross profit for the period
decreased by 11% to PKR1,218mn. However, core earnings of the company were recorded at
Umar NaumanAC
PKR401mn (PKR3.33/share) in 1HCY10 down from PKR537mn (PKR4.47/share) last year.
umarnauman@elixirsec.com
(+92‐21) 3569 4679
Please refer to the last page for Analyst Certification and other important disclosures.
THE BELL
97% YoY ↑ in profit from Associate & no impairment triggered earnings
During the period under review, Engro’s earnings increased by more than two folds to PKR3,197mn (consolidated), which led DAWH’s
share of profit to increase by almost 97% YoY to PKR1,096mn (DAWH holds around 125mn shares (38%) of Engro). Unlike last year, where
the company booked PKR1,536mn impairment loss on its ‘available for sale’ investment (SNGPL & SEPCO). The company didn’t book any
impairment expense during 1HCY10, resulting in a green bottom‐line.
Investment Perspective
At yesterday’s closing prices, current market value of the company’s portfolio is PKR203/share. Given the strong portfolio value and
anticipated recovery in offtake during 2HCY10, the scrip appears to be fairly attractive at current levels of PKR165.5/share as the market is
currently pricing DAWH at 18.5% discount to its total portfolio (let aside core operations) which indicates room for further price
appreciation.
Economic & Political News
Research, (+92‐21) 3569 4676
High credit risk, increased NPLs key challenges: SBP
The SBP has said that heightened credit risk and increased portfolio of NPLs would be key challenges for the banking system in the coming
quarters as flash floods are likely to influence banks’ performance, according to the quarterly performance review of the banking system
released by the central bank. The asset base of the banking system increased at 5.4% to PKR6,782bn against a contraction during the
previous quarter, corresponding to the established industry pattern for the second quarter. The SBP attributed the increase in asset base
to growth in deposits, mainly occurred in the balances of the banks, inter‐bank lending, government papers and public sector commodity
finance, while lending to the private sector came down and moderated the overall growth in loan portfolio. The NPLs grew by 0.6% to
PKR460bn from PKR457bn during the 1QCY10. The profit‐after‐tax (PAT) of PKR36bn for the 1HCY10 remained higher than the
corresponding period last year.
2 ELIXIR SECURITIES October 7, 2010
THE BELL
Analyst Certification
The research analyst(s) denoted AC on the cover of this report, primarily involved in the preparation of this report, certifies that (1)
the views expressed in this report accurately reflect his/her personal views about all of the subject companies/securities and (2) no
part of his/her compensation was, is or will be directly or indirectly related to the specific recommendations or views expressed in
this report.
Disclaimer
The report has been prepared by Elixir Securities Pakistan (Pvt.) Ltd and is for information purpose only. The information and opinions
contained herein have been compiled or arrived at based upon information obtained from sources, believed to be reliable and in
good faith. Such information has not been independently verified and no guaranty, representation or warranty, expressed or implied
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3 ELIXIR SECURITIES October 7, 2010