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Risk Assessment
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SEVERE
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INTELLIGENCE CENTER
SUPPLY CHAIN
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INTELLIGENCE CENTER
SUPPLY CHAIN
Ind
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Greetings from the SensiGuard™
Supply Chain Intelligence Center
Table of Contents
(SCIC).
North & South America
How quickly time flies! Fall is upon United States............................................................................3
us, which means it is time for
Canada.....................................................................................5
our annual Global Cargo Theft
Risk Assessment. This 2018 Mexico......................................................................................7
edition has undergone a number Paraguay...................................................................................9
of formatting changes to simplify Bolivia......................................................................................11
the information we are providing, Colombia.................................................................................13
and make it more digestible. We believe the new format allows
Peru........................................................................................15
for easy navigation and the ability to focus quickly on regions or
countries of interest to the reader. Chile........................................................................................17
Argentina.................................................................................19
Our global team of experienced supply-chain security experts
Guatemala...............................................................................21
have worked hard to identify supply chain risk around the world
Panama...................................................................................23
and summarize it into this comprehensive report. Our goal is
to provide you with a high-level overview of issues that affect Venezuela................................................................................25
supply chains around the world. This report outlines the risk of Brazil.......................................................................................27
cargo theft on a global level, highlighting countries where risks EMEA
are particularly high, and assists industry decision makers in
Belgium...................................................................................29
determining their supply chain security needs.
France.....................................................................................31
Happy Reading! Germany.................................................................................33
Italy.........................................................................................35
Russia.....................................................................................37
South Africa............................................................................39
Spain.......................................................................................41
Sweden...................................................................................43
Scott Martino
The Netherlands......................................................................45
Director, Global Intelligence
Sensitech Inc. United Kingdom......................................................................47
APAC
China.......................................................................................49
India........................................................................................51
HIGHWAYS SEAPORTS
The highway system in the United States consists The United States has 926 coastal, Great Lakes,
of over 164,000 miles of roadways and is the and inland ports which can handle 82,000 vessels
largest highway system in the world. and $4.6 trillion in economic activity each year.
RAILROADS
The rail system in the U.S. spans over 140,000 mi., and carries over two billion tons of freight each year.
3
While organized crime dominates the cargo theft landscape, corruption
stemming from these organizations is minimal.
CORRUPTION & ORGANIZED CRIME
4
The U.S.’s varied geography and climate make for a wide variety of weather
and natural disaster events. Many examples have occurred in the previous
WEATHER & NATURAL DISASTERS twelve months.
There is no war and little to no large scale terrorism events that disrupt the
WAR &
TERRORISM 1 flow of cargo.
2
While uncommon, labor disputes at key freight hubs such as sea and airports
have caused disruption in the past and have the ability to do so in the future.
LABOR DISPUTES
4
While not as prolific as in other areas of the world, the sophistication with
which the U.S. cargo thief operates raises the risk level.
CARGO THEFT
While protests and demonstrations are frequent, they rarely block the flow of
CIVIL UNREST 2 cargo for any extended time.
2
Despite some areas of disrepair, the U.S. has the largest and most expansive
INFRASTRUCTURE national highway system in the world.
General Overview
Over the last 12 months, the SCIC has observed an increase in thefts of Electronics and Mixed Retail loads, as well as advanced theft
methods such as Fictitious Pickups and Facility Thefts. The organized cargo thief in the U.S. will continue to be risk averse as more
states adopt cargo theft specific legislation. As newer cargo thieves are trained in these advanced methods, the SCIC expects these
increases to continue.
The outcome of NAFTA renegotiations is unlikely to have much of an impact on cargo theft trends or hotspots within the United
States as most theft activity is not focused around land border crossings.
Capital Ottawa, ON
Area 3.9 million mi.2
Population 37.1 million
RISK LEVEL: HIGH
LOW MODERATE ELEVATED HIGH SEVERE
HIGHWAYS SEAPORTS
The highway system in Canada is maintained The 18 ports that make up the National Ports
majority by the provinces, consists of over System in Canada handle more than 310 million
38,021 kilometers of roadways, including the tons valued at over $400 million each year.
Trans-Canada Highway, which travels through all 10 Canadian
provinces. The federal government has little authority over
Seaport Province Coast Annual
the maintenance or expansion of roads and highways as this Capacity (TEUs)
is typically handled by the province or territory transportation
Montreal Quebec East 9.3 million
department.
Toronto Ontario East 4.9 million
Highway Description Length Direction Metro Vancouver British West 4.5 million
(km) Columbia
ON-401 Windsor, ON to Quebec border 823 N/S
TCH Victoria, BC to St John, NL 7,821 W/E
RAILROADS
The rail system in Canada spans over 49,422 km, and is primarily used to transport freight due to the seasonal
conditions that can make highway travel dangerous.
4
While natural disasters are not frequent, seasonal weather patterns are
extremely disruptive to the flow of goods in Canada and can cause significant
WEATHER & NATURAL DISASTERS delays if not properly planned for.
1
There is no war and little to no large scale terrorism events that disrupt the
WAR & flow of cargo.
TERRORISM
1
Labor disputes that cause delays at freight hubs are rare in Canada.
LABOR
DISPUTES
4
Cargo theft sophistication and advanced methods match what is seen in the
United States.
CARGO THEFT
Protests and demonstrations are typically peaceful and roadblocks are not the
CIVIL UNREST 2 preferred method of protest.
While the national highways system spans the country, the remote nature
INFRASTRUCTURE 3 of much of the country means that infrastructure support can be lacking in
areas.
General Overview
Quantitative data collection for cargo thefts in Canada remains a challenge. However, analysis of available data and detailed incident
reports reflects that the organized cargo thief in Canada is just as sophisticated and prolific as those in the United States.
Without additional cargo theft specific legislation and penalties, advanced theft types and product targeting will likely increase in
Canada.
HIGHWAYS SEAPORTS
The roadway network in Mexico is extensive, The inauguration of the new port of Veracruz in
covering all areas in the country. upcoming months will bring Mexico’s total port
capacity to 530 million tons in 2018.
RAILROADS
The railway system spans over 26,000 km of the country, connecting industrial zones to sea and land ports.
5
Highly susceptible to corruption, with a score of 29 out of 100 on
Trading Economics’ Corruption Index (0-Highly Corrupt to 100-Very
CORRUPTION & ORGANIZED CRIME Clean). Strong presence of organized crime throughout the country.
4
Mexico has suffered at least 4 major earthquakes in the last year. Extensive
sea coasts make it vulnerable to tropical storms and flooding.
WEATHER & NATURAL DISASTERS
Little to no incidence.
WAR &
TERRORISM 1
2
Occasional strikes by labor unions. These events rarely affect traffic circulation.
LABOR DISPUTES
5
Significant rise in cargo theft in the past year, both on roadways and
railroads. 2018 is expected to close with a 20% rise in cargo theft as
CARGO THEFT compared to 2017.
General Overview
Although cargo theft has been on the rise in recent years, the upcoming change in the Federal government could provide added
stability to the country as a whole, with the main objectives of the incoming administration being to fight corruption and insecurity.
Additionally, uncertainty as to the outcome of NAFTA negotiations is a topic of concern nationwide. If favorable for Mexico, the
agreement would certainly result in increased stability and foreign investment in the country. However, a negative outcome would
significantly change the landscape of supply chain related services.
Capital Asunción
Area 252,798 mi.2
Population 7.1 million
RISK LEVEL: ELEVATED
LOW MODERATE ELEVATED HIGH SEVERE
HIGHWAYS RIVERPORTS
The roadway network in Paraguay is extensive, Paraguay is a landlocked country in which river
covering all areas in the country. ports are split between state and private ownership.
The country’s twenty private ports handle nearly
90% of soybean exports.
Highway Description Length Direction
(km) Riverport Department River Annual
HWY-7 Asunción-Ciudad del Éste 329 W/E Capacity (tons)
HWY-6 Encarnación-Minga Guazú 246 SW/NE Asunción Metropolitan Paraguay 30 million
HWY-1 Asunción-Encarnación 374 NW/SE Villeta Central Paraguay 20 million
HWY-3 Asunción-Bella Vista Norte 459 SW/NE San Antonio Central Paraguay 15 million
HWY-9 Asuncion-Chiquisaca 758 SE/NW Encarnación Itapúa Paraná 14 million
RAILROADS
The railway system consists primarily of a 971 km throughout the country connecting to Argentina, Brazil, and
Bolivia, as was specified in the International Rail Transport (TIF).
4
Paraguay had a strong flooding from Paraguay River in January 2018,
affecting main roads. During the last three years, the country suffered six low
WEATHER & NATURAL DISASTERS earthquakes.
3
Constant strikes due to nonpayment and against changes in law.
LABOR DISPUTES
Decrease of 40% in cargo theft in the past year in roadways. The main
CARGO THEFT 3 products stolen are grains, minerals, and Cash-in-Transit.
Frequent road blocks and protests in the main roads to Asunción, the capital.
CIVIL UNREST 3
Extensive network throughout, although roadways lack maintenance due to
INFRASTRUCTURE 4 flooding and surveillance in some areas.
General Overview
Paraguay is a small and open economy, which has had a 5% growth in its economy during the last decade, greater than that of its
neighboring countries, although very volatile due to its strong dependence on natural resources.
Its stable macroeconomic bases, a solid financial system, poverty reduction, and other policies of recent years are paving the way for
economic growth with social inclusion in Paraguay.
Capital La Paz
Area 682,773 mi.2
Population 11.2 million
RISK LEVEL: HIGH
LOW MODERATE ELEVATED HIGH SEVERE
HIGHWAYS SEAPORTS
The roadway network in Bolivia consists of Bolivia is a landlocked country with maritime port
70,000 km, of roads of which about 10,000 km agreements with Peru and Chile in the Pacific
are paved. Mainly the cities of the central axis Ocean, and with Argentina, Brazil and Paraguay in
and some other important cities are integrated by the Atlantic Ocean through the Paraguay-Paraná
asphalted road structures. waterway.
RAILROADS
The railroad system is divided into two networks: the Oriental Network (FCO) with 1,244 km that connect with
Brazil and Argentina, and the Western Network (FCA) with 2,318 km in length that connect with Chile and
Argentina.
4
Heavy rains caused flooding in February 2018, generating the fall of trees and
damaged vehicles. Bolivia suffered frequent medium earthquakes.
WEATHER & NATURAL DISASTERS
3
Protests against changes in the penal system code.
LABOR DISPUTES
4
Cargo theft on roadways remains stable. The main products stolen are grains
(specifically soybeans), electronics and clothing.
CARGO THEFT
At the beginning of the year, carriers and doctors blocked main roads in
CIVIL UNREST 3 protest of changes in the penal system code.
General Overview
The development of the labor market in Bolivia has been hampered in recent years due to economic setbacks and governance.
The main income of the country comes from the export of natural gas, which has collapsed, negatively affecting the budget of the
State.
Capital Bogotá
Area 709,600 mi.2
Population 49.7 million
RISK LEVEL: HIGH
LOW MODERATE ELEVATED HIGH SEVERE
HIGHWAYS SEAPORTS
The roadway network in Colombia consists of Considered the gateway to South America as its
206,727 km of roads, including National Primary strategical location has become a must for those
Network (great highways), National Secondary vessels that need to reach the nations that are
Network (department’s roads) and National Tertiary located in the east and west of the country.
Network (dirt roads).
RAILROADS
The railroad system is divided into two networks: the Atlantic Network with 1,493 km that connects Bogota with
Santa Marta, and the Pacific Network with 498 km in length that connects Buenaventura port with Cali.
CORRUPTION & ORGANIZED CRIME 5 out of 175 countries. Insight Crime points out the presence of organized
crime in Colombia with approx. 2,000 structures, from which 32 are the main
generators of urban violence and transnational drug trafficking networks.
WEATHER & NATURAL DISASTERS 4 Last year, Colombia suffered the overflow of three rivers, as well as an
avalanche that left significant damage. The last fifty earthquakes have been
medium.
WAR & TERRORISM 4 According to Trading Economics, the Terrorism Index in Colombia decreased to
5.6 in 2016, from 5.95 in 2015.
3
Strikes due to salary increase and against changes in Labor Code.
LABOR DISPUTES
4
Although cargo theft on roadways remains stable, it has recently been
CARGO THEFT detected that some drivers form alliances with criminal organizations to
facilitate cargo unit theft.
3
A common form of protest in Colombia is the closure of the main access roads
to Bogota, Cartagena and Sucre.
CIVIL UNREST
5
The 2018 budget for the construction of new roads, as well as
INFRASTRUCTURE the maintenance of the national road infrastructure, is $2.1 billion
Colombian pesos.
General Overview
The economic expectation in Colombia is that GDP will grow 3% in 2018. This speculation was made without considering the
escalation in oil prices.
South America has not been a relevant factor in the administrative policy of the United States regarding the trade deficit and its global
growth; so there are no direct pressures in terms of FTAs that have been signed with member countries of the Pacific Alliance, such
as Colombia.
Capital Lima
Area 798,767 mi.2
Population 32.6 million
RISK LEVEL: HIGH
LOW MODERATE ELEVATED HIGH SEVERE
HIGHWAYS SEAPORTS
The roadway network in Peru totals almost Most shipping is through Lima’s port of Callao.
70,000 km, including about 7,500 km of paved There are seventeen deep-water ports, mainly in
roads, 13,500 km of gravel, and 49,000 km of northern Peru, including Salaverry, Pacasmayo, and
unimproved earth. Paita and in the south, including the iron ore port of
San Juan.
Highway Description Length Direction
(km) Seaport Department River Annual
HWY-1 Zarumilla-Concordia 2,945 N/S Capacity (tons)
HWY-3 Vado Verde-Desaguadero 3,193 N/SE Lima Callao Pacific 19 million
HWY-5 Nambale-Atalaya 1,861 N/E
RAILROADS
The railroad system in Peru consists of 1,884 km of roads, including 1,584 km of standard gauge and 300 km of
narrow gauge track. The national railway network consists of two major systems.
CORRUPTION & ORGANIZED CRIME 5 nation out of 175 countries. Insight Crime points out the presence of
organized crime in Peru, which most important criminal activities are
the trafficking of cocaine, gold and wood.
4
Last year, Peru suffered the overflow of the Piura and Chira Rivers due to a
stormy session, from which the damage generated had not yet been totally
WEATHER & NATURAL DISASTERS repaired.
3
According to Trading Economics, the Terrorism Index in Peru decreased to 2.54
in 2016, from 2.98 in 2015.
WAR & TERRORISM
4
During the year, there were a number of stoppages, marches and strikes due
to social conflicts. In the last months, the number increased from 51 to 202.
LABOR DISPUTES
4
An increase in the smuggling of goods is expected due to the increase in the
CARGO THEFT Selective Consumption Tax (ISC) approved in June of this year.
3
A common form of protest in Peru is the closure of the main access roads to
Lima, Cusco and Arequipa.
CIVIL UNREST
5
The 2018 budget for the construction of new roads (20 national and
INFRASTRUCTURE 149 local) is $5.1 billion Peruvian pesos, with an additional $1.5 billion
for the reconstruction of bridges and roads in 13 regions.
General Overview
The economic expectation in Peru, according to the International Monetary Fund (IMF) is that GDP growth for will be 3.7% in 2018
and 4.1% in 2019 due to the government’s recent fiscal and macroeconomic policies. The policies are aimed at accelerating the
growth of the local economy, which has generated a strong economic recovery in the April-May bimester, where there was a 7.1%
growth.
Capital Santiago
Area 291,930 mi.2
Population 18.2 million
RISK LEVEL: ELEVATED
LOW MODERATE ELEVATED HIGH SEVERE
HIGHWAYS SEAPORTS
Made up of more than 82,000 km, Chile’s Along its 6,435 km of coastline, Chile has a total
extensive roadway network spans the entire of 26 sea ports through which 80% of its exterior
country. commerce is conducted.
RAILROADS
With only 6,782 km of railways, the rail system currently plays a minimal role in cargo transport, however, there are
plans to develop railway corridors for the country’s main ports in upcoming years.
MODUS OPERANDI
Criminals have been known to use drones to monitor trucks as they are being
loaded within ports, allowing them to identify and track the vehicles they will
be targeting. They operate in large groups of 15-20 armed males, intercepting
cargo units In-Transit.
2
Corruption Index score of 67 according to Trading Economics (0-Highly Corrupt
CORRUPTION & to 100-Very Clean). Little presence of local organized crime.
ORGANIZED CRIME
4
Highly susceptible to extreme natural events such as earthquakes, volcanic
eruptions, and tsunamis.
WEATHER & NATURAL DISASTERS
3
Small-scale domestic terrorist activity, aimed primarily at damaging buildings
to make political statements.
WAR & TERRORISM
3
Strong laws protecting worker and union rights make the country susceptible
to labor strikes.
LABOR DISPUTES
3
Cargo theft is mostly prevalent near the capital, Santiago, and surrounding
CARGO THEFT port cities.
With relatively low incidence of cargo theft as compared to other Latin American countries, areas of concern may include a growing
presence of criminal organizations from neighboring countries, as well as its susceptibility to protests, labor strikes, and political
demonstrations, which have the potential to interrupt the flow of traffic.
HIGHWAYS SEAPORTS
The roadway network in Argentina is comprised 90% of Argentina’s exterior commerce is conducted
of over 600,000 km, of which 37,000 km belong through its numerous seaports.
to the national highways that connect the capital,
Buenos Aires, with other major cities.
Highway Description Length Direction
(km) Seaport Province Coast Traffic Jan-May
RN-1 Au Dr. Ricardo Balbín 50 NE/SE 2018 (tons)
RN-3 Buenos Aires-Ushuaia 3,045 NE/S Bahía Blanca Buenos Aires Atlantic 5.7 million
RN-9 Pan-American National 1,967 CE/NW Quequén Buenos Aires Atlantic 4.4 million
Route Buenos Aires Buenos Aires Atlantic 2.8 million
RAILROADS
The country boasts the largest roadway network in Latin America. The freight division in particular connects 13 of
the 27 provinces, and reaches all neighboring countries, but is currently only being used to transport 5% of the
cargo moving through the country. There are plans to revamp the more than 45,000 km of railway in existence in
order to lower freight costs.
4
Corruption Index score of 39 according to Trading Economics (0-Highly Corrupt
to 100-Very Clean). Drug trade related violence.
CORRUPTION & ORGANIZED CRIME
2
Occasional flooding and heavy rains along the eastern sea coast.
WEATHER & NATURAL
DISASTERS
2
Moderate threat, with a resurgence in the use of small explosive devices in the
last year, particularly in Buenos Aires.
WAR & TERRORISM
3
Labor unions and groups of unemployed or underemployed are prone to
protest in major cities.
LABOR DISPUTES
4
High incidence of cargo theft, particularly on the highways connecting to
CARGO THEFT Buenos Aires.
4
Frequent protests in major cities related to economic and political issues. Road
blocks at highway access points are the most frequently used tactic employed
CIVIL UNREST by social activist groups.
A large percentage of roads are unpaved, and there is little adherence to/
INFRASTRUCTURE 3 enforcement of traffic laws.
General Overview
Projects to improve the country’s infrastructure over the next five years have the potential to make cargo transport through Argentina
more efficient and affordable.
However, cargo theft and organized crime continue to pose a threat to supply chains. The country’s location makes it a prime
transnational shipping point for drugs from neighboring countries, and while authorities are taking steps to target cargo theft,
particularly in Buenos Aires, criminals often act on inside information, targeting specific shipments to fulfill specific orders.
HIGHWAYS SEAPORTS
Only 45% of Guatemala’s 16,860 km roadway Guatemala has five main seaports, it’s most
network is paved. Much of the developed important being Santo Tomás de Castilla, which sits
infrastructure is concentrated in major cities, on its Atlantic Coast and moves more than 8 million
with connections to other regions of the country tons of cargo annually.
remaining predominately unpaved and in poor
condition.
Seaport Department Coast Cargo Volume
Highway Description Length Direction Jan-Jun 2018
(km) (tons)
CA-1 Pan-American Highway 691 NW/SE Santo Tomás Izabal Atlantic 4.2 million
CA-2 Pacific Highway 339 NW/SE Barrios Izabal Atlantic 2.3 million
CA-9 Atlantic Highway 396 NE/SW Quetzal Escuintla Pacific 6.5 million
RAILROADS
There are currently no running freight trains in Guatemala. Though there are plans to reopen railways in the future,
Ferrocarriles de Guatemala would first have to rehabilitate the largely deteriorated infrastructure. Years of exposure
to the elements and theft of railway components have left it inoperable in its current state.
5
Corruption Index score of 28 according to Trading Economics (0-Highly
Corrupt to 100-Very Clean). Drug trade related violence and strong
CORRUPTION & ORGANIZED CRIME presence of local and foreign criminal organizations.
4
Susceptible to hurricanes and tropical storms along the Caribbean coast that
can cause mudslides, landslides, and flooding. Location on the Ring of Fire
WEATHER & NATURAL DISASTERS makes it vulnerable to volcanic and seismic activity.
1
Little to no incidence.
WAR &
TERRORISM
2
Ineffective enforcement of labor laws with a low rate of unionization make
labor strikes extremely rare.
LABOR DISPUTES
4
Official records show cargo theft incidence is on the rise, though there is an
CARGO THEFT issue of underreporting.
3
Propensity for large demonstrations with the potential to turn violent. Often
disrupt traffic with roadblocks.
CIVIL UNREST
4
Largely underdeveloped. Poor road conditions outside of major cities that are
INFRASTRUCTURE highly vulnerable to inclement weather, specifically during the rainy season
from April to October.
General Overview
The major threats to supply chains in Guatemala are the high levels of drug related criminal activity and the largely underdeveloped
infrastructure.
Roadways, in particular, are vulnerable to environmental factors as a large portion of the network remains unpaved. Much more
alarming, however, is the strong presence of criminal groups, both local and foreign, which make the country subject to drug and
gang related violence. While the threat of cargo theft may be low, shipments may be exposed to drug contamination, and businesses
are often subject to extortion.
HIGHWAYS SEAPORTS
The roadway network covers more than 15,000 With almost 3,000 km of coast line, Panama
km, only a third of which is paved. The Pan- hosts a number of natural harbors, the two most
American Highway spans the length of the country important being Balboa and Cristobal, which lie on
up to Yaviza. With the highway stopping short of either end of the Panama Canal.
the Darien Gap, there is no road that crosses the
border into Colombia. Seaport Province River Cargo Volume
Highway Description Length Direction Jan-June 2018
(km) (tons)
CA-1 Pan-American Highway 777 E/W Balboa Panamá Pacific 7.9 million
CA-9 Panama-Colon Expressway 59 N/S Manzanillo Colón Atlantic 7.2 million
CA-4 La Chorrera Highway 44 E/W Charco Azul Chiriquí Pacific 5.8 million
Cristobal Colón Atlantic 5.5 million
RAILROADS
Currently, the only functioning railroad is the Panama Canal Railway. Although it only stretches 76 km in length, it
has historically been of vital importance to the safe transport of both passengers and freight across the Isthmus of
Panama.
4
Corruption Index score of 37 according to Trading Economics (0-Highly Corrupt
to 100-Very Clean). Strong presence of criminal organizations and drug trade
CORRUPTION & ORGANIZED CRIME related violence.
3
Susceptible to earthquakes. Heavy rains between October and December can
cause road closures due to landslides and flooding.
WEATHER & NATURAL DISASTERS
1
Little to no incidence.
WAR &
TERRORISM
3
Labor protests and strikes occur frequently due to inadequate enforcement of
labor protections.
LABOR DISPUTES
3
Cargo theft incidence is expanding to atypical regions of the country.
CARGO THEFT
4
Protests are common. Roadblocks in particular can last days and often result
in violent confrontations with police.
CIVIL UNREST
3
Highways are well maintained, but smaller roadways are mostly unpaved and
INFRASTRUCTURE in poor condition.
General Overview
Panama offers many supply chain advantages in terms of geographic location, serving as a bridge between oceans and continents;
however, these very characteristics make it attractive to criminal organizations as well. Similar to other Central American countries,
cargo theft takes a back seat to drug trafficking and corruption as supply chain risks.
The country has long served as a key transit point for a variety of illicit trade activities, a situation that has flourished under the high
levels of corruption. This makes for an increased risk of cargo contamination, particularly in land and sea ports, and drug related
violence.
Capital Caracas
Area 912,050 mi.2
Population 31.43 million
RISK LEVEL: HIGH
LOW MODERATE ELEVATED HIGH SEVERE
HIGHWAYS SEAPORTS
The roadway network in Venezuela totals almost The most important ports are in the Caribbean Sea.
96,000 km, concentrated in the center-north of the
country.
RAILROADS
Rail transport has developed little compared to other countries, given the low cost of fuel.
5
Highly susceptible to corruption at all government levels. Local crime
organizations and crime organizations from other countries have been
CORRUPTION & ORGANIZED CRIME involved in drug trafficking, smuggling etc.
4
Venezuela suffered at least five major earthquakes last year. Hurricanes are
rare.
WEATHER & NATURAL DISASTERS
1
Little to no incidents.
WAR &
TERRORISM
4
Protests have become commonplace and can affect traffic circulation.
LABOR DISPUTES
4
Cargo theft and cargo looting have increased.
CARGO THEFT
5
Demonstrations against the government have become commonplace.
Many protests block roads, and looters attack shops, warehouses, and
CIVIL UNREST vehicles in transit.
Many highways are deficient in signage, lighting, and control points. Many
INFRASTRUCTURE 4 have potholes/pits and asphalting problems.
General Overview
The economic crisis in the country is aggravated. Cargo theft and looting are driving up food prices and transportation costs in an
already hyperinflationary environment. Population living conditions have deteriorated, causing migration of many Venezuelans to
neighboring countries that are looking for employment, access to food and medicines. Unless there are major improvements in the
economy, shortages can raise the level of violence and crime in the country.
Capital Brasília
Area 8,515,770 mi.2
Population 205.8 million
RISK LEVEL: SEVERE
LOW MODERATE ELEVATED HIGH SEVERE
HIGHWAYS SEAPORTS
Despite being responsible for 60% of cargo The most important ports of the country are on
transportation in the country, the density of the Atlantic coast. Most national ports are run by the
road network is still small when compared with government.
other countries of similar dimensions.
Highway Description Length Direction Seaport State River Annual
(km) Capacity (tons)
BR-116 Jaguarão – Fortaleza 4,513 S/NE Santos São Paulo Atlantic 106.5 million
BR-101 São José do Norte – Touros 4,772 S/NE Itaguaí Rio de Janeiro Atlantic 52.9 million
BR-364 Limeira – Rodrigues Alves 4,324 SE/N Paranaguá Paraná Atlantic 45.6 million
BR-381 São Paulo – São Mateus 1,220 SE/SE
BR-040 Rio de Janeiro - Brasília 1,178 SE/W
RAILROADS
Railway system spans over 29,000 km of the country, connecting mainly areas of mineral extraction and
agricultural production to sea and land ports. The extension is considered small compared to the size of the
country—rail transport is only responsible for 20% of the country´s cargo transportation.
5
Highly susceptible to corruption at all government levels. Strong
CORRUPTION & ORGANIZED CRIME presence of organized crime throughout the country.
1
Excessive rains can cause floods in the summer.
WEATHER
& NATURAL
DISASTERS
1
Little to no incidence.
WAR &
TERRORISM
3
Occasional strikes by labor unions. These events eventually affect traffic.
LABOR DISPUTES
5
There was a 5.7% increase in cargo theft last year, both on roadways
CARGO THEFT and urban areas.
3
Denunciations of corruptions in government caused many protests and block
CIVIL UNREST roads.
4
Extensive network throughout, although roadways lack maintenance and
INFRASTRUCTURE surveillance in some areas.
General Overview
Cargo theft has been on the rise in recent years. In 2017, political instability and economic crisis have increased violence and
triggered some crime rates, among them, cargo theft. Many reports of corruption have hit government at different levels. The new
government was unable to solve the problems of decreased police resources and the growth of organized crime.
Capital Brussels
Area 30,528 km2
Population 11.5 million
RISK LEVEL: HIGH
LOW MODERATE ELEVATED HIGH SEVERE
HIGHWAYS SEAPORTS
Belgium has a total of 154,012 km of road and a Belgium has multiple seaports, as well as inland
high accident rate. ports that are important for trade.
4
A growing problem, especially in Brussels, is theft from vehicles, both moving
CORRUPTION & ORGANIZED CRIME and parked.
3
Flooding is a threat along rivers and in areas of reclaimed coastal land,
protected from the sea by concrete dikes.
WEATHER & NATURAL DISASTERS
4
Terrorists are very likely to try to carry out attacks in Belgium.
WAR & TERRORISM
4
Labor strikes occur with some frequency and can cause delays or
cancellations of services for several days at a time.
LABOR DISPUTES
4
Most thefts occur at Unsecured Parking and the most stolen product type
CARGO THEFT is Personal Care. The preferred M.O. is Pilferage including Curtain Slashing.
Criminals are also disguising themselves as police/customs officials to rob
trucks.
3
Prior police approval is required for all public demonstrations, and police
CIVIL UNREST are present to ensure adequate security for participants and passers-by.
Nonetheless, spontaneous demonstrations do take place in response to world
events or local developments.
3
Traffic is fast and Belgium’s accident rate is high mainly due to speeding.
INFRASTRUCTURE Roads are up to main European standards.
General Overview
Belgium is often ranked as one of the top countries where most cargo thefts are reported partially due to excellent reporting of the
Belgian police. It would be considered a transit country through which shipments must pass if on the United Kingdom route to/from
certain other countries in Europe. Awareness of the presence of criminals that disguise themselves as police or customs officials is
a must. Migrants of late are causing major concerns at parking areas in the country where not only are they trying to force their way
onto trucks, but violence seems to be escalating amongst different groups from different countries, having recently led to fatalities and
the closing of certain parking locations.
Capital Paris
Area 547,557 km2
Population 65.2 million
RISK LEVEL: HIGH
LOW MODERATE ELEVATED HIGH SEVERE
HIGHWAYS SEAPORTS
France has 1,028,446 km of highway. France has many seaports with some of the largest
being Brest, Calais, Dunkerque, Le Havre, Marseille,
and Nantes.
3
Transnational organized crime (TOC) operatives reside in France. TOC
CORRUPTION & ORGANIZED CRIME syndicates are technically savvy and conduct many of their schemes via
cyber platforms.
4
Forest fires can occur anywhere in southern France during the summer
months but especially along the Mediterranean coast and on Corsica.
WEATHER & NATURAL DISASTERS
4
Terrorists are very likely to try to carry out attacks in France.
WAR & TERRORISM
4
Strikes are a commonly used method in labor disputes in France and can
disrupt the supply chain for extensive periods of time.
LABOR DISPUTES
4
Reports of burglaries taking place while truck drivers sleep in their vehicles.
CARGO THEFT Also, attempts by illegal migrants to enter trucks while stationary or in slow
moving traffic.
CIVIL UNREST 4 major cities. These protests range from concern over work conditions/wages to
the environment. While protests are generally non-violent, some have resulted in
property damage and minor injuries.
France has excellent ratings for its road, rail, and air infrastructure, putting it
INFRASTRUCTURE 2 amongst the EU top performers for these indicators.
General Overview
The number of cargo theft incidents reported in France remains low. This is most likely due to underreporting, instead of a lack of
incidents actually occurring. Of the known incidents in France, Unsecured Parking is the location where drivers should be most
vigilant and Pilferage occurs the most. Hijacking also occurs here. Migrants have been seen to attempt to gain entry to trucks at
parking areas across France, not just in the northern parts.
Apart from theft, the supply chain in France can easily be negatively affected by terrorist attacks, forest fires, and strikes by the
workforce.
Capital Berlin
Area 357,021 km2
Population 82.3 million
RISK LEVEL: HIGH
LOW MODERATE ELEVATED HIGH SEVERE
HIGHWAYS SEAPORTS
Germany has 645,000 km of highway. Germany The German seaports are of vital importance for the
is considered a transit country; many of the country’s industry and economy, handling almost a
highways are important for freight transport. quarter of Germany’s imports and exports.
4
Terrorists are very likely to try to carry out attacks in Germany. The German
government has announced that increased security has been put in place as a
WAR & TERRORISM precaution at public buildings, major events, transport hubs, and large public
gatherings.
3
Germany has a reputation for industrial peace when compared to other EU
Member States; however, strikes do occur in different sectors every year.
LABOR DISPUTES
4
Most thefts occur at Unsecured Parking via Curtain Slashing. The preferred
CARGO THEFT stolen product type is Auto & Parts.
4
Many well-planned and publicized demonstrations protesting government
policies draw thousands of participants, and spontaneous demonstrations
CIVIL UNREST concerning education and other socio-economic issues occur almost daily.
Roads in Germany are generally of a good standard, but can experience deep
INFRASTRUCTURE 4 and uneven rutting, causing grooves to form on seemingly flat and level road
surfaces. This often results in a hard and unexpected steering pull, which can
lead to accidents for some drivers.
General Overview
Germany does not register cargo theft in a central database yet, making it difficult to get an accurate picture of the depth of the
problem. However, it is known that Curtain Slashing is very common in the country and causes many losses in the supply chain.
The most targeted goods are Auto & Parts and most thefts occur at Unsecured Parking. On many occasions curtains are slashed,
but because the cargo is not what the criminal is looking for, nothing is stolen. This still has a negative impact to the supply chain
through cost of curtain repairs and shipment delays.
Capital Rome
Area 301,340 km2
Population 60.6 million
RISK LEVEL: HIGH
LOW MODERATE ELEVATED HIGH SEVERE
HIGHWAYS SEAPORTS
Roads are relatively well maintained, and extensive Because of the way Italy is positioned in Europe,
lighting exists. Vehicle accidents are common. seaports are present along almost the entire border.
Due to the collapse of a bridge, causing multiple
fatalities, the Italian government is re-evaluating
the conditions of the bridges in the country.
5
There are multiple organized crime rings active in Italy that also use
CORRUPTION & ORGANIZED CRIME cargo crime either as a way to facilitate other criminal activities or as
a target.
4
Many parts of Italy lie on a major seismic fault line. Minor tremors and
earthquakes are a regular occurrence. Major earthquakes have occurred with
WEATHER & NATURAL DISASTERS multiple fatalities.
4
Terrorists are likely to try to carry out attacks in Italy.
WAR & TERRORISM
LABOR DISPUTES 4 specific areas of concern. In addition, workers (or former employees) commonly
participate in demonstrations to show opposition to proposed job cuts or facility
closings, but these demonstrations have not threatened investments.
4
The most targeted location is Warehouse/DC and the most stolen product type
is Auto & Parts. Most thefts occur by Facility Theft.
CARGO THEFT
Roads are relatively well maintained, and extensive lighting exists. Vehicle
INFRASTRUCTURE 3 accidents are common, and accidents involving pedestrians are also common.
General Overview
Italy is one of many countries in the region where underreporting occurs. However, the incidents that are reported show a high rate of
violence being used in cargo theft with Hijacking being amongst the highest M.O.’s used in the region.
Most thefts are recorded at Warehouse/DC; Auto & Parts is the most targeted product type.
HIGHWAYS SEAPORTS
Thoroughfares marked as major routes on maps In order to handle the sheer tonnage of trade
can be two-lane roadways, and some routes have turnover, Russia’s Baltic, Arctic, Pacific and Black
heavy truck and bus traffic, while others have poor Sea coasts have world-class ports.
or nonexistent shoulders. Asphalt quality varies
widely, and roads outside of cities are often poorly
illuminated. Seaport Department River Annual
Capacity (tons)
Highway Description Length Direction
(km) Kaliningrad Northwestern Baltic Sea 7.6 million
M2 Moscow-Crimea 720 N/S Nakhodka Far Eastern Sea of Japan 13.5 million
5
Russia’s judicial system remains heavily biased in favor of the state,
which often leaves investors with little recourse in the event of a
CORRUPTION & ORGANIZED CRIME legal dispute with the government. High levels of corruption among
government officials compound to this risk.
3
There are occasional occurrences of flooding in southern regions, and forest
fires, mainly in the far eastern areas and Siberia.
WEATHER & NATURAL DISASTERS
4
Terrorists are very likely to try to carry out attacks in Russia.
WAR & TERRORISM
3
In recent years, the number of labor protests in Russia, including various forms
of work stoppage, has increased significantly compared to previous years,
LABOR DISPUTES but the number of legally constituted collective labor disputes and strikes has
remained very low.
4
Cargo theft is still largely underreported in Russia. Limited incidents recorded
CARGO THEFT show Warehouse/DC is the most targeted location and Food & Drinks is the
most stolen product type.
3
While numerous public demonstrations do take place, local officials selectively
deny permission to assemble or offer alternate venues that are inconveniently
CIVIL UNREST or remotely located.
General Overview
Like many countries in the EMEA region, Russia has massive underreporting when it comes to cargo theft. Despite the lack of data,
it is believed to be one of the countries with a high amount of cargo crime. This is likely due to the large volumes of cargo crossing
the country, through large desolated areas. There are also reports of the use of violence during thefts, even leading to the killings of
multiple truck drivers throughout the years.
HIGHWAYS SEAPORTS
South Africa has 747,014 km of highway. The South African Government views the country’s
ports and terminals as key engines for economic
growth.
RAILROADS
South Africa has 20,986 km of railroads.
4
During the rainy season, thunderstorms, lightning strikes, or water damage
often disrupt power to alarm systems, traffic lights, and other electronic
WEATHER & NATURAL DISASTERS equipment.
LABOR DISPUTES 4
5
The most targeted location is In-Transit and the most stolen product type
is Cash-in-Transit. The preferred M.O. is Hijacking. Violence is frequently
CARGO THEFT used.
4
Protests against the government occur frequently and can be violent and
disruptive.
CIVIL UNREST
4
South Africa’s Economic Development Minister says infrastructure
INFRASTRUCTURE development is a key driver of growth prospects, with rail and water
infrastructure the focal areas.
General Overview
Where the SCIC is able to record cargo theft data, South Africa has the highest amount of violence used. Criminals do not shun from
using heavy firearms and explosives.
The number of incidents are underreported but when losses occur, it often involves full truckloads or large parts of loads. There has
also been a large increase in the number of Cash-in-Transit thefts.
Capital Madrid
Area 505,990 km2
Population 46.7 million
RISK LEVEL: HIGH
LOW MODERATE ELEVATED HIGH SEVERE
HIGHWAYS SEAPORTS
The road network in Spain spans over 683,000 km Spain ports play an important role in the export and
with over 16,000 km being motorways/highways. import trade of the country.
3
Forest fires occur frequently in Spain (including Spanish islands) during the
summer months.
WEATHER & NATURAL DISASTERS
4
Terrorists are likely to try to carry out attacks in Spain. Attacks could be
WAR & TERRORISM indiscriminate.
4
Labor disputes can be accompanied by strikes or threats to the labor force. This
can disrupt the supply chain.
LABOR DISPUTES
4
Highly underreported. The known incidents consist mostly of Pilferage at
CARGO THEFT Unsecured Parking and Facility Thefts from Warehouse/DC. Auto & Parts is the
most stolen product type.
There are organized crime groups active in Spain and for at least some of these groups, cargo is a target. Of the known incidents,
Pilferage at Unsecured Parking occurs the most followed by Facility Thefts from Warehouse/DC. Auto & Parts seems to be highly
targeted. There have also been reports of rolling thefts and Deceptive Pickups.
RAILROADS SEAPORTS
Sweden has 14,127 km of railroad. Major seaports in Sweden are Brofjorden,
Goteborg, Helsingborg, Karlshamn, Lulea, Malmo,
Stockholm, Trelleborg, and Visby.
3
Crime levels are low although there is some petty crime. Violent crime does
occur; instances of gang related crime, including shootings and explosions,
CORRUPTION & ORGANIZED CRIME have been reported in Malmö and Gothenburg.
4
A lot of Sweden is forested and major forest fires and storms can be a
threat to timber production. The vulnerability of society in the face of natural
WEATHER & NATURAL DISASTERS disasters is expected to increase as a result of climate change, population
increase, and urbanisation.
The overall terrorist threat to Sweden is assessed to be elevated. The elevated
WAR & TERRORISM 3 threat level includes the possibility of a terrorist attack in 2018.
1
The Swedish model implies that the social partners are responsible for wage
LABOR formation without any interference from the state. In collective agreements they
specify the labour market conditions. This way of working has avoided severe
DISPUTES labour market disputes for a long time.
4
Unsecured Parking is the most targeted location; Pilferage is the most used
M.O.; Auto & Parts was the most stolen product type.
CARGO THEFT
2
There is little to no civil unrest in Sweden. Demonstrations can occur but they
are seldom violent.
CIVIL UNREST
General Overview
Sweden is a relatively safe country, but still comes up in the top five of highest numbers of cargo crime recorded. This is because of
excellent reporting by the Swedish police. The trends that can be seen are that all thefts recorded are at Unsecured Parking and the
most targeted product type is Auto & Parts.
Capital Amsterdam
Area 41,543 km2
Population 17.1 million
RISK LEVEL: HIGH
LOW MODERATE ELEVATED HIGH SEVERE
HIGHWAYS SEAPORTS
The Netherlands has 139,124 km of highway. Next to sea ports, The Netherlands also has
multiple major ports located at rivers like the Port of
Rotterdam and the Port of Amsterdam.
RAILROADS
The Netherlands has 3,058 km of railway.
3
In 2017, the Dutch National Police reported at least 28 drug-related murders
and eight murders connected to corruption and organized crime. The police
CORRUPTION & ORGANIZED CRIME are widely seen as professional and have low tolerance for corruption.
2
Mild earthquakes occur in the northern part due to gas winning and since The
WEATHER & NATURAL Netherlands is below sea level, flooding occurs occasionally.
DISASTERS
The threat level is being maintained at 4 (on a 1 to 5 scale). Level 4 indicates
WAR & TERRORISM 4 that the threat of an attack is real.
2
An average of 8 strike days/year.
LABOR DISPUTES
4
Unsecured Parking is the most targeted location; Curtain Slashing is the most
used M.O.; Auto & Parts is the most stolen product type.
CARGO THEFT
3
Civil demonstrations, which range from small groups to thousands of
participants, are common and are often directed at the government, focusing on
CIVIL UNREST matters involving foreign relations, domestic policy, or economic developments.
Marks for its infrastructure across all modes are the highest across the EU.
INFRA-
STRUCTURE 1 The Netherlands also scores highly for the timeliness of shipments.
General Overview
Even though the cargo theft rates in The Netherlands are dropping, it still remains a highly targeted area due to the large volumes that
are being transported through it, being a transport hub.
Auto & Parts was the most recorded product type stolen and Unsecured Parking remains a highly targeted location.
The Netherlands has also seen the rise of illegal migrants hiding in trucks to travel on to the U.K. and other countries in the EU.
Capital London
Area 242,495 km2
Population 66.6 million
RISK LEVEL: HIGH
LOW MODERATE ELEVATED HIGH SEVERE
HIGHWAYS SEAPORTS
The U.K. has 394,428 km of highway. Approximately 96% of the volume of all U.K. import/
export trade enters the U.K. through its ports.
2
Violent criminal confrontations and the use of weapons are still relatively rare,
CORRUPTION & although serious incidents are possible and do occur. Most violent crimes,
ORGANIZED CRIME including those involving firearms, typically occur between members of rival
criminal gangs.
3
The British Isles have variable weather that changes from day to day between
different regions and within different regions. Consequently it is very difficult
WEATHER & NATURAL DISASTERS to predict or forecast the weather.
4
The current threat level for international terrorism in the U.K. is Severe.
WAR & TERRORISM
4
There were 276,000 working days lost due to labour disputes, the sixth lowest
annual total since records began in 1891.
LABOR DISPUTES
4
Unsecured Parking is the most targeted location; Curtain Slashing is the most
used M.O.; Auto & Parts is the most stolen product type.
CARGO THEFT
4
Given the diversity of the population, political events that take place around the
globe can often precipitate demonstrations and protests in the U.K., particularly
CIVIL UNREST in London.
General Overview
The U.K. is one of the countries in the region that has excellent reporting on cargo thefts. It therefore becomes clear that the most
targeted area is Unsecured Parking, via Curtain Slashing. The most stolen product type in the U.K. is Auto & Parts.
There have also been other M.O.’s identified, like drivers being gassed inside their cabin in order to steal the cargo.
Capital Beijing
Area 9,388,211 km2
Population 1.4 billion
RISK LEVEL: ELEVATED
LOW MODERATE ELEVATED HIGH SEVERE
3
There is a risk of attack from armed criminals in remote areas. The areas
CORRUPTION & ORGANIZED CRIME bordering on Siberia, Pakistan, Kazakhstan, Vietnam, Laos and Burma are
poorly policed.
4
China is subject to various natural disasters, including earthquakes, flooding
and typhoons.
WEATHER & NATURAL DISASTERS
Terrorists are likely to try to carry out attacks in China. Most attacks take
WAR & TERRORISM 4 place in the Xinjiang Uyghur Autonomous region and, according to the Chinese
government, are carried out by Uyghur separatists with possible links to the
East Turkestan Islamic Movement (ETIM).
4
Preventing a person from leaving a location due to a commercial or business dispute is not
viewed as kidnapping by Chinese law enforcement. In some cases, labor disputes have resulted
LABOR DISPUTES not only in protracted stoppages, but in temporary detention of expatriate managers by workers
demanding continued employment or enhanced severance packages.
3
Mariners should avoid the disputed territory between China and other
countries in the East China Sea. There have also been incidents of piracy and
CARGO THEFT armed robbery against ships in the area.
3
Most violent incidents have taken place in ethnic minority areas, such as Tibet
and XUAR, where grievances over human rights abuses and discriminatory
CIVIL UNREST policies have resulted in spontaneous outbursts of violence targeting the
government and Han Chinese interests.
Accidents are common in China due to the poor quality of roads, high
INFRASTRUCTURE 5 volumes of traffic and generally low driving standards.
General Overview
Obtaining data from China is an arduous task. The Chinese government is known for painstakingly monitoring all forms of
communication, in an attempt to avoid any negative information leaving the country.
However, there are still reports of cargo thefts in China. One method that has been reported is the use of rolling theft. China also
deals with gang activity, so there is a great possibility of their involvement in cargo theft. Although actual numbers are hard to get, it
seems likely that a country of this magnitude and volumes of cargo shipped is prone to similar types of cargo theft as other parts of
the globe.
HIGHWAYS SEAPORTS
India’s roadway network covers about 4,699,024 India has 13 major seaports and around 200 non-
km. major and intermediate ports.
5
India continues to be among the most corrupt countries in the world.
Police officers have been involved in crimes & have been bribed to turn
CORRUPTION & ORGANIZED CRIME a blind eye.
4
Flooding, landslides, cyclones, tropical storms and earthquake can occur in
India.
WEATHER & NATURAL DISASTERS
Terrorists are very likely to try to carry out attacks in India. Terrorist attacks are
WAR & TERRORISM 4 carried out by a number of terrorist and insurgent groups.
4
Labor unrest occurs throughout India, though the reasons and affected sectors
vary widely. A majority of the labor problems are the result of workplace
LABOR DISPUTES disagreements over pay, working conditions, and union representation.
3
Most thefts in India occur In-Transit; Hijacking is the most preferred M.O.; Auto
& Parts is the most targeted known product type.
CARGO THEFT
4
Spontaneous demonstrations & incidents of violence can disrupt traffic flow &
cause damage to property before police are able to respond.
CIVIL UNREST
General Overview
Due to underreporting of cargo theft, little is known about this phenomenon in India. The data that SCIC is able to collect shows that
the majority of the incidents occur in Maharashtra and Uttar Pradesh. Hijacking is a commonly used M.O. by criminals.
In case of a theft, assistance from the police is difficult because police officers are often ill-equipped and lack training. Some police
officers have been involved in crimes and have been bribed to turn a blind eye.