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Design for Manufacturing and Assembly

Process Capability Analysis

PROCESS CAPABILITY ANALYSIS

PROCESS CAPABILITY (CP):

Process capability is the repeatability and consistency of a manufacturing


process relative to the customer requirements in terms of specification limits of a
product parameter. This measure is used to objectively measure the degree to which
your process is or is not meeting the requirements.

Process capability compares the output of an in-control process to the


specification limits by using capability indices. The comparison is made by forming the
ratio of the spread between the process specifications (the specification "width") to the
spread of the process values, as measured by 6 process standard deviation units (the
process "width").

Cp = (USL - LSL) / 6 sigma

Cp<1 means the process variation exceeds specification, and a significant number of
defects are being made.

Cp=1 means that the process is just meeting specifications. A minimum of .3% defects
will be made and more if the process is not centered.

Cp>1 means that the process variation is less than the specification, however, defects
might be made if the process is not centered on the target value.

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Process Capability Analysis
While Cp relates the spread of the process relative to the specification width, it does
not address how well the process average, X, is centered to the target value. Cp is
often referred to as process "potential".

We define process capability analysis as an engineering study to estimate process


capability. The estimate of process capability may be in the form of a probability
distribution having a specified shape, center (mean), and spread (standard deviation).
For example, we may determine that the process output is normally distributed with
mean µ = 1.0 cm and standard deviation σ = 0.001cm. in this sense, a process capability

analysis may be performed without regard to specifications on the quality


characteristic.

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Process Capability Analysis
PROCESS CAPABILITY INDICES (CPK):

A capable process is one where almost all the measurements fall inside the
specification limits. This can be represented pictorially by the plot below:

The Cp, Cpk, and Cpm statistics assume that the population of data values is normally
distributed. Assuming a two-sided specification, if and are the mean and standard
deviation, respectively, of the normal data and USL, LSL, and T are the upper and
lower specification limits and the target value, respectively, then the population
capability indices are defined as follows:

The estimator for Cpk can also be expressed as Cpk = Cp(1-k), where k is a scaled
distance between the midpoint of the specification range, m, and the process mean, .

Denote the midpoint of the specification range by m = (USL+LSL)/2. The distance


between the process mean, , and the optimum, which is m, is - m, where
. The scaled distance is

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Process Capability Analysis

(the absolute sign takes care of the case when ). To determine the
estimated value, , we estimate by . Note that .

The estimator for the Cp index, adjusted by the k factor, is

Since , it follows that .

To get an idea of the value of the Cp statistic for varying process widths, consider the
following plot

This can be expressed numerically by the table below:

where ppm = parts per million and ppb = parts per billion. Note that the reject figures
are based on the assumption that the distribution is centered at .Values of the
Process Capability Ratio (Cp) and Associated

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Design for Manufacturing and Assembly
Process Capability Analysis
We have discussed the situation with two spec. limits, the USL and LSL. This is known
as the bilateral or two-sided case. There are many cases where only the lower or
upper specifications are used. Using one spec limit is called unilateral or one-sided.

The corresponding capability indices are

where and are the process mean and standard deviation, respectively

Estimators of Cpu and Cpl are obtained by replacing and by and s, respectively.
The following relationship holds

Cp = (Cpu + Cpl) /2.

This can be represented pictorially by

Note that we also can write:

Cpk = min {Cpl, Cpu}.

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Process Capability Analysis
CAPABILITY INDEX EXAMPLE:
For a certain process the USL = 20 and the LSL = 8. The observed process average,
= 16, and the standard deviation, s = 2. From this we obtain

This means that the process is capable as long as it is located at the midpoint,
m = (USL + LSL)/2 = 14.

But it doesn't, since = 16. The factor is found by

and

We would like to have at least 1.0, so this is not a good process. If possible,

reduce the variability or/and center the process. We can compute the and

From this we see that the , which is the smallest of the above indices, is 0.6667.

Note that the formula is the algebraic equivalent of the min{ ,

} definition.

PROCESS CAPABILITY METRICS:

For processes that are in statistical control and that are normally distributed, we
can do a Process Capability Analysis. Last month's e-zine contained an explanation of
process capability and introduced one metric (Cp) to measure process capability. This
month's e-zine introduces a second metric to measure process capability - Cpk.

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Design for Manufacturing and Assembly
Process Capability Analysis
Cpk

EXAMPLE FOR CPK :

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Process Capability Analysis
Cp values are not the best indicators of process capability. As shown last month, Cp is
the ratio of the engineering tolerance (USL - LSL) to the natural tolerance (6s). The
value of Cp does not take into account where the process is centered. Just knowing
that a process is capable (Cp > 1.0) does not ensure that all the product or service
being received is within the specifications. A process can have a Cp > 1.0 and
produce no product or service within specifications. In addition, Cp values can't be
calculated for one- sided specifications. A better measure of process capability is Cpk.

Cpk takes into account where the process is centered. The value of Cpk is the
minimum of two process capability indices. One process capability is Cpu, which is the
process capability based on the upper specification limit. The other is Cpl, which the
process capability is based on the lower specification limit. Algebraically, Cpk is
defined as shown in the figure.

Both Cpu and Cpl take into account where the process is centered. The value of Cpk
is the difference between the process average and the nearest specification limit
divided by three times the standard deviation. It should be noted that the standard
deviation is the standard deviation based on a R or s chart - not the standard deviation
of the individual measurements.

Cpk values above 1.0 are desired. This means that essentially no product or service is
being produced above USL or below LSL. The figure above shows how the Cpk
values are calculated. If Cpk is less than 1.0, this means that there is some product
being produced out of specification. If there is only one specification, the value of Cpk
is either Cpu or Cpl, whichever is appropriate for the specification.

A bagging operation is designed to place 50 pounds of sand into each bag. The
specifications for the operation are a minimum of 49.5 pounds and a maximum of 50.5
pounds. So, the lower specification limit (LSL) is 49.5. The upper specification limit
(USL) is 50.5 pounds.

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Design for Manufacturing and Assembly
Process Capability Analysis

The operation is being monitored using a Xbar-R chart with a subgroup size of 4. Each
hour, four consecutive bags are weighed. The subgroup average and range are
calculated and plotted on an Xbar-R chart. The control chart is shown in the figure and
is in statistical control. The standard deviation (from the range chart data) is 0.212.
The average bag weight is 50.05. The calculations for Cpk are shown below. Since
Cpk is the minimum of Cpu and Cpl, Cpk = 0.71.

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Design for Manufacturing and Assembly
Process Capability Analysis

Definitions
Mean ( x ):

The arithmetic mean of a set of ‘n’ numbers is the sum of the numbers divided by ‘n’.
Mean is expressed algebrically,
X 1 + X 2 + X 3 + ......... + X n
x= ,
n
Where the symbol x represents the arithmetic mean.
X 1 , X 2 , X 3 ,..... X n , are the n values of the variate X

i.e., x=
∑x
n
If X1 occurs f1 times, X2 occurs f2 times, etc and finally Xn occurs fn times, then,
n = f 1 + f 2 + f 3 + .......... f n
f X + f 2 X 2 + f 3 X 3 + ......... + f n X n
Then x= 1 1
f1 + f 2 + f 3 + ......... + f n
The mean is used to report average size, average yield, average percent defective etc.

Median:
When all the observations are arranged in ascending or descending order, then the
median is the magnitude of the middle case.
n +1
If n is odd, Median =
2
n n 
If n is even, Median is average of   th and  + 1 th value.
2 2 
Where n = No of observations.

Mode:
The mode of a set of data is the value which occurs most frequently.

Range(R):
In the control chart, the range is difference between the largest observed value and
the smallest observed value.

Variance ( σ 2 ):
It is defined as the sum of the squares of the deviations from the arithmetic mean
divided by the number of observations ‘n’.

Variance ( σ 2
)=
(x1 ) (
2
) (
2
− x + x2 − x + xn − x )
2

n
Sample problems
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Design for Manufacturing and Assembly
Process Capability Analysis

Example 1:
The no of orders received for a particular item on each day for five days are as
follows. Calculate the mode and variance.
1, 2, 0, 3, 2

Solution:
Mode = 2 (it occurs more than the other values)
This can be put more succinctly using the summation notation as;
Variance σ 2 =
1
n
(
∑ x−x )
2

It is possible to rearrange this formula in a way which makes the calculation of the
variance much easier in general.
Variance σ 2 =
1
n
2
()
∑ x 2 − x , To calculate x ,we use
1 + 2 + +0 + 3 + 2
Mean x = = 1 .6
5
Using this formula, the variance for the data used above is calculated as follows:
1 2
Variance σ 2 = (1 + 22 + 02 + 32 + 22 ) - 1.62
5
18
= - 2.56
5
σ 2 = 1.04

Standard deviation = (σ )2

Standard deviation = (1.04) = 1.02

Example 2:
Calculate mean, variance, standard deviation for the given order size data.

Order Class Frequency fx fx2


size mark(x) (f)
range
1-10 5.5 1 5.5 30.25
11-20 15.5 2 31.0 480.50
21-30 25.5 4 102.0 2601.00
31-40 35.5 12 426.0 15123.00
41-50 45.5 13 591.5 26913.25
51-60 55.5 8 444.0 24642.00
61-70 65.5 8 524.0 34322.00
71-80 75.5 1 75.5 5700.25
81-90 85.5 1 85.5 7310.25
∑ f = 50 ∑ fx = 2285.0 ∑ fx 2 = 117122.50

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Design for Manufacturing and Assembly
Process Capability Analysis
2285
Mean x =
50
= 45.7

117122.5
Variance σ 2 = - (45.7) 2
50
= 253.96

Standard deviation = 253.96

= 15.9
Skewness:
The curve, which does not follow the shape of the normal curve. These generally
represent a purely temporary process condition, and serve as a guide to detecting the
presence of some unusual factor like defective material, or abnormal machining
conditions. (e.g.) tool chatter, tool vibration, etc.

These curves are like normal curves in that the frequencies decrease continuously
from the centre to extreme values, but unlike the normal curve they are not
symmetrical.

Figure 1 Skewed curves

Their extreme values occur more frequently in one direction from the centre than in
the other. They appear like “disturbed normal” curves and hence are called “skewed
curves”.
The normal distribution is the most commonly occurring symmetrical frequency
distribution. Positive skewness is also quite common, as for instance the shape of
the distribution of personal incomes. Another example is the distribution of the time
intervals between randomly occurring events, such as the arrival of customers at the
ends of a queue. Negative skewness is less common, but occurs, for instance, in the
distribution of times to failure of certain types of equipment.

Mean − Mode
Coefficient of Skewness=
σ
Several measures of skewness have been proposed, but are rarely used in practice.
The simplest way of describing skewness is to quote the mean, the median, and,
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Design for Manufacturing and Assembly
Process Capability Analysis
where possible the mode. For symmetrical distributions, these three measures will
approximately coincide. For positively skewed distributions, the mode will be less
than the median, which will in turn be less than the mean. This is very noticeable
for the distribution of personal incomes.

For negatively skewed distributions, these three measures will be in the reverse
order. The differences between the measures give some indication of the extent of
the skewness.

When the distribution is moderately, there is an approximate relationship between


the three measures, expressed as
Mean-Mode=3(Mean-Median).

Measure Of Skewness:
(A) Absolute Skeweness

(a) Absolute Sk = Mean-Mode


(when mode is not ill-defined)
(b) Absolute Sk = 3(Mean-Median)

(B) Relative Skewness

(a) Karl Pearson’s coefficient of Skewness.

Mean − Mode
Coefficient of Skewness=
σ

When mode is ill-defined

3( Mean − Mode)
Coefficient of Skewness=
σ

(b) Measure of Skewness based on moments:

With the help of moments Skewness can be determined, Karl Pearson suggested
β 1 as Measure of Skewness.
µ32
β1 = 3
µ2

For a symmetrical distribution β 1 = 0.

Moments (i) Moments about Mean

µ1 =
∑(X − X )
N

µ2 =
∑( X − X )2 = σ 2 or σ = µ2
N

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Design for Manufacturing and Assembly
Process Capability Analysis

µ3 =
∑(X − X ) 3

µ4 =
∑( X − X )4
N

In case of frequency distribution µ1 =


∑ f (X − X ) =0
N

µ2 =
∑ f (X − X ) 2

= σ 2 , etc.
N
(ii) Moments about arbitrary origin A

µ 11 =
∑ ( X − A)
N

µ 21 =
∑ ( X − A) 2
N

µ 31 =
∑ ( X − A)3
N

µ 41 =
∑ ( X − A) 4
N

In a frequency distribution the moments about an arbitrary origin will be


calculated as follows:

µ 11 =
∑ fd × i or
∑ f ( X − A) × i
N N
∑ fd ∑ f ( X − A)
2 2

µ 21 = × i2 or ×i2
N N
∑ fd 3 ∑ f ( X − A)
3

µ 31 = × i3 or × i3
N N
∑ fd 4 ∑ f ( X − A)
4

µ 41 = × i4 or ×i4
N N
 X − A
Where ‘ i ’ is the class interval and l=  .
 i 

Order to simplify calculations the moments are first calculated about an origin A.
They can then be converted with the help of the following relationships to obtain
moments about mean.
µ1= µ11-µ11 =0
µ2 = µ21-( µ11)2
µ3 = µ31-(3µ11 µ21)+2 ( µ11)3
µ4 = µ41-(4µ11 µ31)+6 ( µ11)2 µ21 -3( µ11)4
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Design for Manufacturing and Assembly
Process Capability Analysis

Example 3:
Calculate any measure of skewness from the following data:

X 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7
f 12 27 29 19 8 4 1 0

Solution:

Since the question is to calculate any measure of skewness, we should prefer


Karl Pearson’s coefficient of skewness because it is considered to be the best
measure for calculating skewness. The formula is:

Mean − Mode
Coefficient of Skewness=
σ

Hence for calculating skewness we have to determine the values of mean,


mode and standard deviation.

Calculation of Coefficient of Skewness

X f x-2 fd fd2
d
0 12 -2 -24 48
1 27 -1 -27 27
2 29 0 0 0
3 19 +1 +19 12
4 8 +2 +16 32
5 4 +3 +12 36
6 1 +4 +4 16
7 0 +5 0 0
N=100 ∑ fd = 0 ∑ fd = 178
2

x = A+
∑ fd = 2 + ( 0 / 100 ) = 2
N

  ∑ fd 2   ∑ fd 
2

Standard deviation σ =    −   
 
 N   N  

  178   0  2 
σ =  −  = 1.78 = 1.334
  100   100  
 
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Design for Manufacturing and Assembly
Process Capability Analysis
Mode: Since the highest frequency is 29, by inspection the mode is the value
corresponding to the frequency 29 i.e. 2.
x =2 , Mo =2, σ =1.334
Substituting these values in the formula,

Mean − Mode 2−2


Coefficient of Skewness = = = 0.
σ 1.334
Example: 4
Calculate Karl Pearson’s co-efficient of skewness from the following data:

Size 1 2 3 4 5 6 7

Frequency 10 18 30 25 12 3 2

Solution:
Calculation of Karl Pearson’s Coefficient of Skewness

Size Frequency x-4 fd fd2


x f d
1 10 -3 -30 90
2 18 -2 -36 72
3 30 -1 -30 30
4 25 0 0 0
5 12 +1 +12 12
6 3 +2 +6 12
7 2 +3 +6 18
N=100 ∑ fd = −72 ∑ fd = 234
2

Coefficient of Skewness= Mean − Mode


σ
Mean: x = A+ ∑ fd = 4 - (72/100) =3.28
N
  ∑ fd 2   ∑ fd 
2

Standard deviation σ =    −   
 
 N   N  

  232   − 72  2 
σ =  −  =
  100   100  
2 .28856
 
= 1.152

Mode: Since the maximum frequency is 30, by inspection the mode is the value
corresponding to the frequency 30 i.e. 3.

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Design for Manufacturing and Assembly
Process Capability Analysis

x =3.28 , Mo =3, σ =1.518


Substituting these values in the formula,

Mean − Mode 3.28 − 3 = 0.184


Coefficient of Skewness = =
σ
1.518
Kurtosis:
The fourth momentum will provide a numerical value associated with the
peakedness or flatness of the data as it is a distributed about the mean also known
as “kurtosis”.

The following equation incorporates the fourth moment about the mean and the
fourth power of the samples standard deviation to measure kurtosis.
1 n
µ 4 = ∑ xi − x
n i =1
( )
4

Kurtosis =
µ 4

s 4

The following equation is commonly used to calculate the zero based kurtosis in
statistical analysis computer programming.
4
1 n  xi − x 
Zero-based kurtosis= ∑ 
n i =1  s 

 −3

Note that the value of 3 is subtracted from the kurtosis value. This force the value to
be zero based, as opposed to be centered around the number 3. The common
approach to quantity kurtosis is that the normal peak distribution is centered about
the value 3. As the kurtosis deviates above or below 3. The peakedness or flatness
begins to take a numerical significance as described below.

Mesokurtic:
They are three general distributions types used to define nature of kurtosis. The
first is mesokurtic distribution as shown in the Figure 2. In it the data is normal
distributed about the mean the kurtosis will be equal to 3.

Figure 2 Mesokurtic distribution


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Design for Manufacturing and Assembly
Process Capability Analysis

Platykurtic:

The second is platykurtic distribution, shown in figure 3. In it the data is dispersed


bout the mean in a manner that is flat in nature: the kurtosis will be less than 3.

Figure 3 Platykurtic distribution

Leptokurtic:
The third is leptokurtic distribution, shown in figure 4. In the data is dispersed
about the mean in a manner that is very peaked in nature; the kurtosis will be
greater than 3.

Figure 4 Leptokurtic distribution

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Design for Manufacturing and Assembly
Process Capability Analysis

Measures Of Kurtosis:
Kurtosis are measured by the coefficient
µ4
β2 =
µ22
or γ 2 = β2 − 3
For normal distribution β 2 =3. If β 2 is more than 3 the curve is leptokurtic and if it
less than 3 the curve is platykurtic.

Example: 5

Calculate first four moments from the following data:


Also calculate the values of β 1 and β 2 and comment on the nature of the
distribution

X 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8
Y 5 10 15 20 25 20 15 10 5

Solution:
Calculation of moments

X f fX (X-4) f(X-4) f(x-4)2 f(X-4)3 f(X-4)4

0 5 0 -4 -20 80 -320 1280


1 10 10 -3 -30 90 -270 810
2 15 30 -2 -30 60 -120 240
3 20 60 -1 -20 20 -20 20
4 25 100 0 0 0 0 0
5 20 100 +1 +20 20 +20 2
6 15 90 +2 +30 60 +120 40
7 10 70 +3 +30 90 +270 10
8 5 40 +4 +20 80 +320 280

N=125 ∑fX ∑f(X-4) ∑ f(x-4)2 ∑ f(X-4)3 ∑ f(X-4)4

= 500 =0 =500 =0 =4700

x=
∑ fX 500
= =4
N 125

µ1 =
∑ f (X − X )
N

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Design for Manufacturing and Assembly
Process Capability Analysis

∑ f ( X − X ) = 0, N = 125
0
µ1 = =0
125

µ2 =
∑ f ( X − X )2 =
500
=4
N 125

µ3 =
∑ f ( X − X )3
=
0
=0
N 125

µ4 =
∑ f ( X − X ) 4 4700
= = 37.6
N 125

µ32 02
β1 = = =0
µ2 3 43

Since β 1 is zero, the distribution is symmetrical


µ 4 37.6
β2 = = = 2.35
µ22 16
Since β 2 is less than 3, the distribution is platykurtic.

Example: 6
Using moments, calculate a measure of relative skewness and a measure of relative
kurtosis for the following distribution and comment on the result obtained:

Weekly Wages No. of Workers


(Rs)

70 but below 90 8
90 “ 110 11
110 “ 130 18
130 “ 150 9
150 “ 170 4

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Design for Manufacturing and Assembly
Process Capability Analysis
Solution:

Weekly
wages
(Rs) f m.p d fd fd2 fd3 fd4

70-90 8 80 -2 -16 32 -64 128


90-110 11 100 -1 -11 11 -11 11
110-130 18 120 0 0 0 0 0
130-150 9 140 1 9 9 9 9
150-170 4 160 2 8 16 32 64
N=50 ∑fd =-10 ∑fd2=68 ∑ fd3=-34 ∑fd4=212

µ 11 =
∑ fd × i = − 10 × 20 = −4
N 50

µ 21 =
∑ fd 2
68
× i2 =
× 400 = 544
N 50

µ3 =
1 ∑ fd 3 3 − 34
×i = × 8000 = −5440
N 50

µ4 =
1 ∑ fd 4
× i4 =
212
× 160000 = 678400
N 50

Moment about Mean

µ2 = µ21-( µ11)2 =544-(-4)2=528

µ3 = µ31-3(µ11 µ21)+2 ( µ11)3

= -5440-3(-4) (544) +2(-4)3

= 960.

µ4 = µ41-4(µ11 µ31)+6 ( µ11)2 µ21 -3( µ11)4

= 674800-4(-4) (-5440) +6(-4)2(544)-3(-4)4

= 642816

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Design for Manufacturing and Assembly
Process Capability Analysis

µ32 960 2
Skewness= β 1 = = = 0.08
µ23 528 3

µ 4 642816
β2 = = = 2.306
µ 2 2 278784

Since β 2 is less than 3, the distributions platykurtic.

Example: 7
Calculate coefficient of skewness by Karl Pearson’s method and the values of β 1
and β 2 from the following data:
Profits(Rs. Lakhs) 10-20 20-30 30-40 40-50 50-60
0
No. of companies 18 20 30 22 10

Solution:
Calculation of Karl Pearson’s Coefficient of Skewness β 1 and β 2
Profits No. m.p (m-
(Rs. of 45)/10 fd fd2 fd3 fd4
Lakhs) cos m
d
f
10-20 18 15 -2 -36 72 -144 288
20-30 20 25 -1 -20 20 -20 20
30-40 30 35 0 0 0 0 0
40-50 22 45 +1 +22 22 +22 22
50-60 10 55 +2 +20 40 +80 160
N=100

fd = −14 ∑
fd = 154
2

fd 3 = −62 ∑ fd 4
= 490

Karl Pearson’s Coefficient of Skewness= Mean − Mode


σ
Mean: x = A+
∑ fd × i
N
A=35, ∑ fd =-14 , N=100, i=10

14
x = 35+× 10 = 35 − 1.4 = 33.6
100
∆1
Mode: Mode= L + ×i
∆1 − ∆ 2
By inspection mode lies in the class 30-40

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Design for Manufacturing and Assembly
Process Capability Analysis
L=30 ∆ 1 = 30 − 20 = 10, ∆ 2 = 30 − 22 = 8, i = 10
10
Mode= 30+ × 10 = 30 + 5.56 = 35.56
10 + 8

  ∑ fd 2   ∑ fd 
2

Standard deviation σ =    −   × i 

 N   N  


 154   − 14 
2

σ =  −  × 10  = 12.33

  100   100  

33.6 − 35.56
Karl Pearson’s Coefficient of Skewness= =-0.159
12.33
µ32
Calculation of β 1 = 3
µ2
We will have to calculate moments

µ 11 =
∑ fd × i = − 14 × 10 = −1.4
N 100

µ 21 =
∑ fd 2
154
× i2 =
× 100 = 154
N 100

µ 31 =
∑ fd 3 × i 3 = − 62 × 1000 = −620
N 110

µ 41 =
∑ fd × i 4 = 490 × 10000 = 49000
4

N 100

µ2 = µ21-( µ11)2 =154-(-1.4)2=152.04

µ3 = µ31-3(µ11 µ21)+2 ( µ11)3

= -620-3(-1.4) (154) +2(-1.4)3

= 20.32

µ4 = µ41-4(µ11 µ31)+6 ( µ11)2 µ21 -3( µ11)4

= 49000-{4(-1.4) (-620)} +{6(-1.4)2(154)-{3(-1.4)4}

= 47327.516

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Design for Manufacturing and Assembly
Process Capability Analysis

µ 3 2 (21.32 )2 454.54
β1 = 2 = = = 0.00013
µ2 (152.04 ) 3514581.1
2

µ 47327.516
β 2 = 42 = = 2.047
µ2 (152.04 )2

Process Capability Analysis:


Statistical techniques can be helpful throughout the product cycle, including
development activities prior to manufacturing, in quantifying process variability, in
analyzing this variability relative to product requirements or specifications, and in
assisting development and manufacturing in eliminating or greatly reducing this
variability. This general activity is called process capability analysis.
Product capability refers to the uniformity of the process. Obviously, the variability
in the process is a measure of the uniformity of output. There are two ways to think
of this variability:

1. The natural or inherent variability at a specified time; that is,


“Instantaneous” variability.
2. The variability over time. ,
We present methods for investigating and assessing both aspects of process
capability.
It is customary to take the 6-sigma spread in the distribution of the product quality
characteristic as a measure of process capability. Figure 5 shows a process for which
the quality characteristic has a normal distribution with mean µ and standard
deviationσ . The upper and lower “natural tolerance limits” (UNTL & LNTL) of the
process fall at µ +3σ and0 µ −3σ , respectively. That is,
UNTL = µ + 3σ
LNTL = µ − 3σ
For a normal distribution, the natural tolerance limits include 99.73% of the variable,
or put another way, only 0.27% of the process output will fall outside the natural
tolerance limits. Two points should be remembered:

1.0.27% outside the natural tolerances sounds small, but this corresponds to
2700 nonconforming parts per million.
2. If the distribution of process output is nonnormal, then the percentage of
output falling outside µ ±3σ may differ considerably from 0.27%.
We define process capability analysis as an engineering study to estimate process
capability. The estimate of process capability may be in the form of a probability
distribution having a specified shape, center (mean), and spread (standard deviation).
For example, we may determine that the process output is normally distributed with
mean µ = 1.0 cm and standard deviation σ = 0.001 cm. in this sense, a process
capability analysis may be performed without regard to specifications on the quality
characteristic. Alternatively, we may express process capability as a percentage
outside of specifications. However, specifications are not necessary to perform a
process capability analysis.
24
Design for Manufacturing and Assembly
Process Capability Analysis

Figure 5 Upper and Lower natural tolerance limits in the normal


distribution.

A process capability study usually measures functional parameters on the product,


not the process itself. When the analyst can directly observe the process and can
control or monitor the data-collection activity, the study is a true process capability
study, because by controlling the data collection and knowing the time sequence of
the data, interferences can be made about the stability of the process over time.

However, when we have available only sample units of products, perhaps supplied by
the vendor or obtained via receiving inspection, and there is no direct observation of
the process or time history of production, then the study is more properly called
product characterization. In a characteristic or the process yield (fraction conforming
to specifications); we can say nothing about the dynamic behavior of the process or
its state of statistical control.

Process capability analysis is a vital part of an overall quality-improvement program.


Among the major uses of data from a process capability analysis are the following:

1. Predicting how well the process will hold the tolerances.


2. Assisting product developers/designers in selecting or modifying a process.
3. Assisting in establishing an interval between sampling for process
monitoring.
4. Specifying performance requirements for few equipment.
5. Selecting between competing vendors.

6. Planning the sequence of production process when there is an interactive


effect of process on tolerances.
7. Reducing the variability in a manufacturing process.

Thus, process capability analysis is a technique that has application in many


segments of the product cycle, including product and process design, vendor
sourcing, production or manufacturing planning, and manufacturing.
Three primary techniques are used in process capability analysis: histograms or
probability plots, control charts, and designed experiments.

25
Design for Manufacturing and Assembly
Process Capability Analysis

Six-Sigma:
Sigma ( σ ) is a character of the Greek alphabet which is used in mathematical
statistics to define standard deviation. The standard deviation indicates how tightly
all the various examples are clustered around the mean in a set of data.

Six Sigma is a business method for improving quality by removing defects and their
causes in business process activities. It concentrates on those outputs which are
important to customers. The method uses various statistical tools to measure
business processes. In technical terms, Six Sigma means that there are 3.4 defects
per million events. The main goal is continuous improvement.
Six Sigma is carried out as projects. Most common type is the DMAIC method
(Define, Measure, Analyze, Improve, and Control). First, the project and the process
to be improved are defined after which the performance of the process is measured.
The data is then analyzed and bottle-necks and problems identified. After analysis,
improvement program is defined and defects removed. This development program is
controlled by a management group. After DMAIC circle it is time to define a new
project.

Example: 7
This sample example at GE, illustrates how the concept of Six Sigma affects different
people.
Average Vs Variation

Customer expectations: 8 day order to Delay Cycle.

Internal Look

Existing Process After conventional


Delay Cycle (days) improvements (days)
20 17
15 2
30 5
10 12
5 4

16 Days (Average) 8Days (Average)

“Internal Calibration “= 16 – 8 = 8
Therefore improvement is 50%

26
Design for Manufacturing and Assembly
Process Capability Analysis
GE employees claimed that they had achieved Six Sigma capability after improving
the delivery time for a medical product by 50% (brining it from an average of 16 days
to average of 8 days).But this effect was not reflected on the customer’s side as they
were still getting their products delivered at random as seen from the Figure 6

CUSTOMER LOOK

Figure 6

From the above Figure Customer feels no change

And once the feedback from the customer was heard, they modified the process to
reflect Six Sigma delivery for the customer which resulted in the following:

6Sigma Internal Process


7
9
9
8
7

8 Days (Average)

Here the internal look is same. But the customer feels Six Sigma (Figure 7).
CUSTOMER LOOK

Figure 7
27
Design for Manufacturing and Assembly
Process Capability Analysis

Process Capability Ratios:


Use and interpretation of Cp
It is frequently convenient to have a sample, quantitative way to express process
capability.
USL − LSL
Cp = ----------------------------------------- (2-1)

Where USL and LSL are the upper and lower specification limits, respectively.
Usually, the process standard deviation σ is unknown and must be replaced by an
estimate σ . To estimate σ we typically use either the sample standard deviation S or
R /d2 (when variables control charts are used in the capability study). This results in
an estimate of the Cp, say
USL − LSL
Cp = --------------------------------------------- (2-2)

To illustrate the calculation of the Cp, The specifications on piston-ring diameter are
USL=74.05mm and LSL=73.95mm, and σ =0.0099.
Thus, our estimate of the Cp is
USL − LSL
Cp =

74 . 05 − 73 . 95
=
6 ( 0 . 0099 )
= 1 . 68

We assumed that piston-ring diameter is approximately normally distributed and the


cumulative normal distribution table in the appendix was used to estimate that the
process produces approximately 20PPM (Parts Per Million) defective.

The Cp in equation (2-1) has a useful practical interpretation, namely


 1 
P =   100 ---------------------------------------------- (2-3)
 Cp 

Is the percentage of specification band used up by the process. The piston-ring


process uses
 1 
P =   100
 1 . 68 
= 59 . 5 percent of the specification band.

Equation (2-1) and (2-2) assume that the process has both upper and lower
specification limits. For one-sided specifications, we define the Cp as follows.

USL − µ
C = (upper specification only)---

pu

-------------- (2-4)
28
Design for Manufacturing and Assembly
Process Capability Analysis
µ − LSL
C = (lower specification only) --

pl

--------------- (2-5)
Estimate CpU and Cp L would be obtained by replacing µ and σ in equation (2-4)
and (2-5) by estimate µ and σ , respectively.

The process capability ratio is a measure of the ability of the process to manufacture
product that means specification table 2.1 shows several values of Cp along with the
associated values of process fallout, expressed in defective are non-conforming parts
per million. This process fallout were calculated assuming a normal distribution of
the quality characteristics, and the case of two sides specification, assuming the
process mean is centered between the upper and lower specification limits. These
assumptions are essential to the accuracy of the reported numbers, and if they are
not true,

Table 2.1 Values of the Process Capability Ratio (Cp) and Associated
Process Fallout for a normal distribution process (in defective PPM)
A process fallout(in defective PPM)
Cp
One side Specifications Two-sided specifications
0.25 226,628 453,255
050 66,807 133,614
0.60 35,931 71,861
0.70 17,865 35,729
0.80 8,198 16,395
0.90 3,467 6,934
1.00 1,350 2,700
1.10 484 967
1.20 159 318
1.30 48 96
1.40 14 27
1.50 4 7
1.60 1 2
1.70 0.17 0.34
1.80 0.03 0.06
2.00 0.0009 0.0018

Then the table is invalid. To illustrate the use of table, notice, that the Cp of one
implies a fallout rate of 2700 PPM of two sides specifications, while the Cp of 1.5
implies fallout rate of 4 PPM of one side specification.

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Design for Manufacturing and Assembly
Process Capability Analysis
Table2.2 Recommended Minimum Values of the Process Capability Ratio (Cp)
Two-sided specifications One-sided specifications
Existing processes 1.33 1.25
New processes 1.50 1.45
Safety, strength, or
critical parameter, 1.50 1.45
existing process
Safety, strength, or
critical parameter, new 1.67 1.60
process

Table2.2 represents some recommended guidelines for minimum values of Cp the


bottle strength characteristics a parameter closely related to the safety of product,
bottles with inadequate pressure strength may fail and injury customers. This
implies that the Cp should be atleast 1.45 perhaps one way the Cp could be
improved would be increasing the mean strength of the bottles, say by pouring more
glass in the mould.

We point out that the values in the table 2.2 are only recommended minimum. In
recent years, many companies have adopted criteria for evaluating their processes
that include process capability objectives that are more stringent that those of
table2.2.

For example, Motorola’s “six-sigma” program essentially requires that when the
process mean in control, it will not be closer that six standard deviations from the
nearest specification limit.
This, in effect, requires that the process capability ratio will be least 2.0. Within
Motorola, this has become a corporate quality objective. Many other organizations,
including their suppliers and customers, have adopted similar criteria.

Process Capability Ratio For An Off-Center Process


The process capability ratio (Cp) does not take into account where the process mean
is located relative to the specifications. Cp simply measures the spread of the
specifications relative to the 6-sigma spread in the process. For example the top two
normal distributions in figure 2.8 both have Cp =2.0, but the process in panel (b) of
the figure clearly has lower capability than the process in panel (a) because it is not
operating at the midpoint of the interval between the specifications.

30
Design for Manufacturing and Assembly
Process Capability Analysis

Figure 8 Relationship of Cp and Cpk

This situation may be more accurately reflected by defining a new process capability
ratio that takes process centering into account. This quantity is
C pk = min( C pu , C pl ) ---------------------------------------------- (2-6)

Notice that Cpk is just the one-sided Cp for the specification limit nearest to the
process average. For the process shown in figure 8a, we would have

C pk = min( C pu ,C pl )

USL − µ µ − LSL
= min( C = , C pl = )
3σ 3σ
pu

62 − 53 53 − 38
= min( C pu = 1 . 5 , C pl = = 2 .5 )
3( 2 ) 3( 2 )
Generally, if Cp= Cpk, the process is centered at the midpoint of the specifications,
and when Cpk < Cp the process is off-center.

The magnitude of Cpk relative to Cp is a direct measure of how off-center the process
is operating. Several commonly encountered cases are illustrated in figure 2.8. Note
in panel (c) of figure 2.8 that Cpk =1.0 while Cp=2.0. One can use table 2.1 to get a

31
Design for Manufacturing and Assembly
Process Capability Analysis
quick estimate of potential improvement that would be possible by centering the
process. If we take Cp =1.0 in table 2.1 and read the fallout from the one-sided
specifications column, we can estimate the estimate the actual fallout as 1350 PPM.
However, if we can center the process, then Cp=2.0 can be achieved, and table 2.1
(using Cp=2.0 and two sided specifications) suggests that the potential fallout is
0.0018 PPM, an improvement of several orders of magnitude in process performance.
Thus, we usually say that PCR measures potential capability in the process, while
Cpk measures actual capability.

Panel (d) of figure 8 illustrates the case in which the process mean is exactly equal to
one of the specification limits, leading to Cpk = 0. As panel (e) illustrates, when Cpk <
0 the implication is that the process mean lies outside the specifications. Clearly, if
Cpk < -1, the entire process lies outside the specification limits. Some authors define
Cpk to be nonnegative, so that values less than zero are defined as zero.

Many quality engineering authorities have advised against the routine use of process
capability ratios such as Cp and Cpk (or the others discussed later in this section) on
the grounds that they are an oversimplification of a complex phenomenon. Certainly,
any statistic that combines information about both location (the mean and process
centering) and variability, and which requires the assumption of normality for its
meaning full interpolation is likely to be misused (or abused). Furthermore, as we
will see, point estimates of process capability ratios are virtually useless if they are
computed from small samples. Clearly, these ratios need to be used and interpreted
very carefully.

Manufacturing Process Capability Metrics:

Tolerances are always related to manufacturing processes or to materials used in the


manufacture of a product, and they must be designed in conjunction with the
application of the specific manufacturing process. If a tolerance band is determined
without considering a manufacturing process, there is great risk in having a
mismatch between the required tolerance and the capability of a given process- when
the engineer finally gets around to selecting one. It is a fundamental precept in
concurrent engineering to develop technology concepts or product-design concepts in
simultaneously with the necessary manufacturing processes to support the timely
and economic commercialization of the desired product.
Often during technology development it is necessary to invent and co develop the
manufacturing technology required to make the product. It is unwise to wait until
the tolerance design phase of a product-commercialization process to select or
optimize a manufacturing process. Capable manufacturing processes must be
aligned with the product concept as early as possible. Only in this way will there be
enough time develops necessary relationship between tolerances and manufacturing
processes. It is also essential to perform manufacturing-process parameter
optimization just as one would for design-component parameters.

The design engineer and the manufacturing engineer have to define a common
metric that quantifies the relationship that exists between the nominal design
specifications, their tolerances, and the variability associated with the measurable
output from the manufacturing process. The manufacturing engineer must also
provide tolerances on the manufacturing process parameters and raw materials to
help the team stay well within the tolerances assigned to the component being
32
Design for Manufacturing and Assembly
Process Capability Analysis
manufactured. The focus on manufacturing process set-point tolerances should be
directed at keeping the component specifications as close to on-target as possible.

The manufacturing process capability index, typically expressed as Cp, Cpk, Cp(upper
limit), or Cp(lower limit), is the ratio of design tolerance boundaries to the measured
variability of the manufacturing process output response.
Cp is defined arithmetically as follows:

(USL − LSL)
Cp =

Where,
USL=Upper specification limit.
LSL= Lower specification limit.
6 σ stands for six times the short-term sample standard deviation of the production
measure of part quality in engineering units; the use of σ is really a misapplication
of the population parameter for a standard deviation. The true measure of variability
most often used in the alteration of cp is 6s(where σ is the sample standard
deviation).

References:
1. “Statistical Quality Control”by Eugene L.Grant, Richard S.Leavenworth, 7th
edition Mcgraw hill book co.,
2. “Advanced Practical Statistics” by S.P.Guptha.
3. “Statistical Sources and Techniques” by F.J.Rendall and D.M.Wolf.
4. “Tolerance Design” by Creveling C.M. , Addison Wesley Publication Company.

33

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