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IHS JANES

Navigating the Emerging Markets


INDONESIA

July 2017 ihs.com/janes

Guy Anderson
Senior Principal Analyst, A&D (Industry)

Paul Burton
Director, Defence Industry & Markets
Navigating the Emerging Markets | Indonesia

Contents
Military inventories 3

Principal contacts 8

Executive overview 9

Major procurement programmes 11

Defence spending 14

Defence and security spending: drivers 17

Political and economic overview 19

Procurement procedures 21

Procurement analysis 22

Offset policy analysis 26

Offset policy overview 29

Exports 34

Defence industrial capabilities 36

Defence industrial capabilities by domain 38

National defence companies by sector 41

Transparency and corruption 45

Relations with materiel producing countries 47

Credits 53

About 54

IHS™ Jane’s Navigating the Emerging Markets


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© 2017 IHS 2 July 2017


Navigating the Emerging Markets | Indonesia

Military inventories
Source: Jane's Military Capabilities desk

Army: Armoured Vehicles


Platform Primary role Estimated in service First delivery date
Bushmaster Infantry Mobility Vehicle 3 2014
Leopard 2A4+ Main Battle Tank 42 2013
Leopard 2 RI Main Battle Tank 40 2016
AMX-13 Light Tank 140 N/A
PT-76 Light Tank 80 N/A
Scorpion 90 Reconnaissance Vehicle 57 1995
VBL Reconnaissance Vehicle 18 N/A
Scout Reconnaissance Vehicle 28 N/A
Ferret Reconnaissance Vehicle 24 N/A
Saladin Reconnaissance Vehicle 69 N/A
BMP-2 Infantry Fighting Vehicle 22 1998
Marder 1A3 Infantry Fighting Vehicle 42 2014
AMX VCI Armoured Personnel Carrier 100 N/A
Saracen Armoured Personnel Carrier 45 N/A
LAV-150 Armoured Personnel Carrier 140 N/A
Ranger Armoured Personnel Carrier 22 N/A
01-Apr Armoured Personnel Carrier 14 2004
APS-2 Anoa (Panser) Armoured Personnel Carrier 150 2009
BTR-40 Armoured Personnel Carrier 40 N/A
BTR-50PK Armoured Personnel Carrier 34 1997
Stormer Armoured Personnel Carrier 15 1995
Barracuda Armoured Personnel Carrier 44 N/A
VAB (Renault) Armoured Personnel Carrier 18 1997
Leopard 1 Recovery Vehicle 11 2015

Army: Artillery
Platform Primary role Estimated in service First delivery date
155 mm KH179 Howitzer 18 2014
CAESAR 155 mm Howitzer 37 2014
105 mm M101 Howitzer 170 N/A
105 mm M56 Howitzer 50 N/A
155 mm FH-88 Gun-Howitzer 200 1997
76 mm M48 Mountain Gun 50 N/A
70 mm NDL-40 Multiple Rocket Launcher N/A N/A
120 mm UBM 52 Mortar 80 N/A
81 mm Pindad Mortar 800 N/A
60 mm Pindad Mortar 600 N/A
60 mm M2 Mortar 50 N/A

© 2017 IHS 3 July 2017


Navigating the Emerging Markets | Indonesia Military inventories

Army: Anti-Tank Weapons


System variant Primary role
SS.11 Anti-Tank Guided Missile
MILAN Anti-Tank Guided Missile
9M14M Malyutka-M (AT-3 'Sagger') Anti-Tank Guided Missile
89 mm LRAC 89 Anti-Tank Rocket Launcher
3.5 in M20 Anti-Tank Rocket Launcher
84 mm Carl Gustaf Recoilless Rifle
106 mm M40 Recoilless Rifle

Army: Air Defence Weapons


Platform Primary role Estimated in service First delivery date
Kobra Self-Propelled Surface-to-Air Missile 2 2008
RBS 70 Man-Portable Surface-to-Air Missile 150 1982
QW-3 Man-Portable Surface-to-Air Missile 345 2006
Rapier Surface-to-Air Missile 150 1984
23 mm Giant Bow Anti-Aircraft Gun/Missile System N/A N/A
57 mm S-60 Anti-Aircraft Gun 200 N/A
40 mm L/70 Anti-Aircraft Gun 90 N/A
23 mm ZU-23-2 Light Anti-Aircraft Gun (Twin) 14 N/A
20 mm Anti-Aircraft Gun (Twin) 125 N/A

Army: Fixed Wing Aircraft


Platform Primary role Estimated in service First delivery date
NC-212-200 Transport 6 1984
DHC-5D Buffalo Transport 3 1996
BN2A Executive Aviation 1 N/A
Commander Jetprop 980 Executive Aviation 1 N/A

Army: Rotary Wing Aircraft


Platform Primary role Estimated in service First delivery date
Mi-35M Attack 8 2003
Mi-17 Utility 8 2004
Mi-17V-5 Utility 6 2008
AB205A-1 Utility 6 1978
Bell 412SP Utility 11 1986
Bell 412EP Utility 11 2012
BO 105C Utility 12 1978
BO 105CB Utility 2 1978
S-300C Trainer - Basic 14 1983

© 2017 IHS 4 July 2017


Navigating the Emerging Markets | Indonesia Military inventories

Air Force: Fixed Wing Aircraft


Platform Primary role Estimated in service First delivery date
Hawk 200 Series Combat/Light Attack 21 1996
F-16A Fighting Falcon Combat Multirole 7 1989
F-16B Fighting Falcon Combat Multirole 3 1989
F-16C Fighting Falcon Combat Multirole 9 2014
F-16D Fighting Falcon Combat Multirole 5 2014
F-5E Tiger II Combat Multirole 6 1980
Su-27SK Combat Multirole 2 2003
Su-27SKM Combat Multirole 3 2010
Su-30MK Combat Multirole 2 2003
Su-30MK2 Combat Multirole 9 2009
EMB-314 Super Tucano Trainer - Basic 15 2012
KC-130B Tanker 1 1961
C-130B Transport 3 1960
C-130H Transport 9 1979
C-130H-30 Transport 6 1981
L-100-30 Transport 4 1979
CN-235 Series 100 Transport 5 1991
CN-235 Series 220 Transport 1 2006
NC212-200 Transport 7 N/A
C295 Transport 9 2012
Boeing 737-200 Executive 1 2004
Boeing 737-400 Executive 2 2011
Boeing 737-800 Executive 1 2014
F28 Mk 1000 Executive 1 1983
F28 Mk 3000 Executive 2 N/A
Boeing B737-2X9 Maritime Patrol 3 1982
CN235 MPA Maritime Patrol 1 2008
Hawk 100 Series Trainer - Advanced 6 1996
T-50I Golden Eagle Trainer - Advanced 15 2013
G 120TP Trainer - Basic 24 2013
KT-1B Woong-Bee Trainer - Basic 16 2003
F-5F Tiger II Trainer - Operational 4 1980

Air Force: Rotary Wing Aircraft


Platform Primary role Estimated in service First delivery date
NAS 332 Super Puma Utility 10 1992
IAR-330SM Puma Utility 3 1984
EC 725 Utility 3 2015
SA-330L Puma Utility 2 1983
EC 120 B Trainer - Basic 11 2002
47G-3B-1 Trainer - Basic 11 1978

Air Force: Air Launched Missiles


Platform Primary role
AIM-9P-4 Sidewinder Air-to-Air
AA-10 'Alamo' Air-to-Air
AA-11 'Archer' Air-to-Air
AGM-65 Maverick Air-to-Surface

© 2017 IHS 5 July 2017


Navigating the Emerging Markets | Indonesia Military inventories

Navy: Submarines
Class Role In Service Commissioned
Cakra Type 209/1300 Attack 2 1981

Navy: Surface Ships


Class Role In Service Commissioned
Ahmad Yani (Van Speijk) Frigate 6 1967
Ki Hajar Dewantara Training Frigate 1 1981
Fatahillah Corvette 3 1979
Kapitan Patimura (Parchim I) Corvette 15 1981
Diponegoro (Sigma) Corvette 4 2007
Bung Tomo Corvette 3 2014
Dagger Fast Attack Craft - Missile 4 1979
KCR-40 Fast Attack Craft 12 2011
KCR-60 Fast Attack Craft - Missile 3 2014
Waspada Fast Attack Craft 2 2011
Todak (PB 57 NAV V) Patrol Craft 4 2000
Kakap (PB 57 NAV III and IV) Patrol Craft 4 1988
Singa (PB 57 NAV I and II) Patrol Craft 4 1988
KAL-36 Patrol Craft 13 2003
Sibarau (Attack) Patrol Craft 8 1968
Cucut Patrol Craft 1 1991
KAL-40 Patrol Craft 10 2006
PC-43 Patrol Craft 4 2013
PC-40 Patrol Craft 3 2017
Krait Patrol Craft 1 2009
Carpentaria Patrol Craft - Coastal 6 1976
Kal Kangean Patrol Craft - Coastal 65 1987
Tanjung Kambani Transport Ship 1 1982
Dore Transport Ship 1 1968
Makassar Landing Platform - Dock 5 2003
LST 1-511 and 512-1152 Landing Ship - Tank 2 1942
Teluk Amboina Landing Ship - Tank 1 1961
Tacoma Landing Ship - Tank 6 1981
Teluk Bintuni Landing Ship - Tank 1 2014
Frosch I Landing Ship - Mechanised 11 1973
Kupang Landing Craft - Utility 3 1978
Pulau Rengat (Tripartite) Mine Warfare Vessel 2 1988
Kondor II (Type 89) Minesweeper - Coastal 9 1971
OSV 190 Offshore Survey Vessel 2 2015

Naval Aviation: Fixed Wing Aircraft


Platform Primary role Estimated in service First delivery date
F-5E Multirole 7 N/A
CN235-220 Maritime Patrol 2 2013
DHC-5 Buffalo General Aviation - Executive 2 N/A
Searchmaster (N22 Nomad) Maritime Patrol N/A 1996
NC-212-200 Maritime Patrol 7 1996
PZL M-28 Maritime Patrol 7 2006
Baron G58 Trainer 2 2014

© 2017 IHS 6 July 2017


Navigating the Emerging Markets | Indonesia Military inventories

Naval Aviation: Rotary Wing Aircraft


Platform Primary role Estimated in service First delivery date
AS 332 Super Puma Utility 3 1984
BO 105CB (NBO-105 mission system Utility 6 1980
upgrade)
EC 120 B Colibri Utility 3 2001
Bell 412 Utility 4 1989

Naval Missiles
System variant Primary role
AM 39 Exocet Anti-Ship
SS-N-26 Yakhont Anti-Ship Cruise Missile

Marine Corps: Armour and Weaponry


Platform Role In service Commissioned
PT-761 Light Tank 30 N/A
BRDM-2 Reconnaissance Vehicle 14 N/A
AAV7A1 Amphibious Assault Vehicle 10 2009
BMP-3F Infantry Fighting Vehicle 54 2010
AMX-10 PAC-90 Infantry Fighting Vehicle 10 N/A
AMX-10P Armoured Personnel Carrier 19 N/A
BTR-4 Amphibious Armoured Personnel 5 2016
Carrier
BTR-80A Armoured Personnel Carrier 36 2001
BTR-50PK Armoured Personnel Carrier 100 N/A
105 mm LG1 Mk II Light Gun 20 1996
122 mm M1938 (M-30) Howitzer 28 N/A
122 mm RM-70 (M1972) Multiple Rocket Launcher 13 2003
122 mm Type 90B Multiple Rocket Launcher 4 2016
35 mm GDF Anti-Aircraft Gun (Single) 7 2011
40 mm Bofors L/70 Anti-Aircraft Gun (Single) N/A N/A
57 mm S-60 Anti-Aircraft Gun (Single) N/A N/A

© 2017 IHS 7 July 2017


Navigating the Emerging Markets | Indonesia

Principal contacts
Ministry of Defence
Defence Minister: Ryamizard Ryacudu (appointed in
October 2014)
Address: Jalan Medan Merdeka Barat No. 13-14 Jakarta
Pusat, 10020 Jakarta
Tel: (+62) 21 382 050
E-mail: ppid@kemhan.go.id and
redaksidmc@kemhan.go.id
Web: www.kemhan.go.id

Defence Facilities Agency


Part of the MoD, the Defence Facilities Agency oversees
procurement, R&D, technology transfer arrangements

Chief Executive: Rear Admiral Rachmad Lubis


Tel/Fax: (+62) 21 382 87 97
E-mail: ranahan@kemhan.go.id

Komite Kebijakan Industri Pertahanan


(KKIP) - Defense Industry Policy
Committee
The KKIP oversees Indonesia’s defence industrial policies
including offset and related collaboration activities.

Address: Kementerian Pertahanan RI, Gedung R Suprapto


Lt 1, Jalan Medan Merdeka Barat No. 13-14, Jakarta 10110,
Indonesia
Point of contact: Rear Admiral Rachmad Lubis, Head of
Technology Transfer and Offset
Tel: (+62) 21 384 85 38
Fax: (+62) 21 384 84 10

Jakarta Chamber of Commerce and


Industry

Tel: (+62) 21 380 80 91


Fax: (+62) 21 384 45 49
E-mail: sekretariat@kadinjakarta.or.id
Web: www.kadinjakarta.or.id

Corporate contacts
See section: National defence companies.

© 2017 IHS 8 July 2017


Navigating the Emerging Markets | Indonesia

Executive overview
Indonesian defence investment has been on a strong Military industrialisation is also a key component of the
upward trajectory for a number of years, with greater sums MEF and is increasingly becoming a factor in determining
directed towards equipment expenditure as Jakarta has defence contracts. To this end, Indonesia has invested
sought to recapitalise diverse, ageing inventories. heavily in its state-dominated defence industry base and
introduced legislation in 2012 - the Defence Industry Law -
Strong economic growth has allowed Indonesia to ease the to mandate local industrial participation in military
chronic defence underfunding of past years and enabled the procurement programmes. The "Indonesia first" principal of
Indonesian Armed Forces (TNI) to become better prepared procurement was also enshrined in the act, although
to respond to the country’s strategic concerns. continuing gaps in local capability mean that reliance on
foreign technologies will remain for many years.
These include internal threats such as natural disasters and
insurgency and external drivers related to offshore Accordingly, Indonesia has a long list of military suppliers
territorial disputes and growing concern about China’s and competition in the market is strong. Russia has
expansionism in the South China Sea. traditionally been Indonesia's military supplier of choice,
although European countries (particularly France, Germany
Indonesia's defence budget increased by around 38% in real and the Netherlands), the United States and South Korea
terms between 2012 and 2017, rising from USD5.36 billion are all gaining market share.
to USD7.39 billion. Jane's Defence Budgets (JDB) forecasts
that the military expenditure will climb a further 17% by
2021, reaching USD8.67 billion. Challenges
Defence spending could increase further should Indonesia's Military spending
new president – Joko Widodo, who was inaugurated in
October 2014 – be successful in achieving his aim of Despite repeated government pledges to boost defence
increasing the proportion of GDP that is allocated to spending, the military budget remains way below 1% of
defence (about 0.77% as of 2017). However, economic GDP (where it is likely to remain over the coming few
challenges emerging in 2016 suggest that this might be years). This reflects Indonesia's continuing priorities to
unattainable. boost social welfare and infrastructure (and its
commitment to subside fuel) as well as what could be
In responding to strategic threats, Indonesia is committed regarded (in the past) as a questionable commitment to
to modernising the TNI through a concept termed as military modernisation. Defence officials in Jakarta have
“Minimum Essential Force” (MEF): a strategy introduced in frequently argued the defence budget is inadequate to fully
2005 that aims to establish the nature of military provide for the country's military welfare, operational and
capabilities that Indonesia should, at a minimum, be able to procurement needs.
deploy in response to threats.
Industrial capabilities
Early stages of the MEF plan are focused on internal threats Indonesia aims to develop its defence industry base
but subsequent phases are geared towards Indonesia through collaboration programmes between prime
achieving military balance with any perceived threat within contractors and local companies. An offset policy is also
Asia. It is also possible that the MEF could be accelerated planned, although this has been subject to delay. However,
under Widodo, given escalating tension in the South China industry capability in Indonesia remains relatively
Sea, where Indonesia is claimant to expansive territory and unsophisticated meaning the burden on foreign contractors
assets. can be high. A related challenge is skilled-labour shortages
and the low percentage of workers that have attended
Under the MEF major acquisitions that are planned include university.
multirole combat aircraft, large tactical transport aircraft,
additional submarines and a range of surface combatants.
Cohesion
Defence procurement spending is forecast by JDB to climb
by 36% between 2017 and 2021, rising from USD1.15 billion There also appears to be a lack of cohesiveness about
to USD1.57 billion. In the past, capital expenditure is Indonesia's defence procurement plans. This leads to
supplemented by foreign bank loans. various bold declarations about the scope of requirements,

© 2017 IHS 9 July 2017


Navigating the Emerging Markets | Indonesia Executive overview

regardless of whether funding is available. For instance,


Indonesian officials have previously stated that the country
is seeking to purchase 180 Sukhoi fighters, although it is
clear that such a purchase would be beyond Indonesia's
economic means. Such statements are largely politicised
but they also point to a lack of rigid procurement planning.

Corruption
Corruption has been a problem with Indonesia's
governmental systems – particularly in defence – for many
decades. It is largely a result of uncontrolled access to funds
and diluted civilian oversight of budgets and other
administrative processes. In the past such unregulated
practices have led to a number of defence procurements
being subjected to illegal "price markups". The government
has attempted to inject increased transparency into
procurement processes, although weak enforcement of
laws remains a significant obstacle in such efforts.

Market Potential Index (MPI): Indonesia


Factor/risk Score Rating
Defence investment: 3.80 Positive
Procurement spending - Land 3.95 Positive
Procurement spending - Naval 4.10 Very positive
Procurement spending - Air 3.75 Positive
Openness 1.5 Below average
Transparency 1.5 Below average
Political risk 3.75 Very positive
Economic risk 3.56 Positive
Defence market risk 3 Positive
Overall market risk 3.52 Positive
Final market rating 2.75 Average
Note: 1 = high risk/low appeal. 5 = very low risk/very high appeal

© 2017 IHS 10 July 2017


Navigating the Emerging Markets | Indonesia

Major procurement programmes


Air Summary: The Indonesian Ministry of Defence announced
its selection in September 2015 of the Sukhoi Su-35
Anti-submarine helicopters (AS565) 'Flanker-E' multirole combat aircraft to replace the
In-service: 2016 Indonesian Air Force's (TNI-AU's) ageing Northrop F-5E
Value: Up to USD400 million Tiger II fighters. In 2017 Indonesia was known to be
Status: Active continuing negotiations with Russia over the purchase. In
Summary: Indonesia has a requirement to replace its addition, a number of other platforms are bidding for the
Westland Wasp helicopters, which entered service in 1981. contract (including Eurofighter Typhoon, Saab's JAS 39
In April 2014 Airbus Helicopters announced that they Gripen, Lockheed Martin's F-16 and Dassault's Rafale),
would be supplying 11 AS565 Panther anti-submarine which will be accompanied by a technology transfer
warfare helicopters for the requirement. Airbus had faced package to facilitate local involvement.
competition from AgustaWestland (Super Lynx) and
Kaman (SH-2G Seasprite). The first three helicopters were
Tanker aircraft
supplied to PT Dirgantara Indonesia in November 2016 for
In-service: 2020 (estimate)
re-assembly and outfitting before delivery to the
Value: N/A
Indonesian Navy.
Status: Forecast
Summary: The air force operates a small number of ageing
Attack helicopter procurement (AH-64E Apache) Lockheed Martin C-130Bs as tankers but these are fast
In-service: 2017 approaching retirement age. Given that extending the
Value: Up to USD500 million range of the air force's combat aircraft assets is an
Status: Active important capability, Jane's forecasts that Indonesia will
Summary: Indonesia has operated a fleet of eight Mi-35 seek to procure a replacement. The programme will depend
attack helicopters since 2008. The requirement remained on funding and for this reason it is likely that an aircraft
for addition units to create a full squadron. In August 2013 conversion programme might prove attractive. In the
the US announced that it had agreed to sell Indonesia eight longer term dedicated tankers such as the Lockheed Martin
new-build Boeing AH-64E Apache attack helicopters. KC-130J or Embraer KC-390 may become affordable.
Boeing was awarded an initial contract for the programme
in January 2015. Deliveries are scheduled to commence
Heavy-lift helicopter
from mid 2017.
In-service: 2020 (estimate)
Value: USD300 million (estimate)
Large Tactical Transport (C-130) Status: Forecast
In-service: From 2014 Summary: Indonesia has been looking to purchase an
Value: USD90 million unspecified number of Boeing CH-47 Chinooks from the
Status: Announced US since the 2004 tsunami. Short to medium term funding
Summary: The Indonesian Air Force operates around 20 issues make this unlikely before 2017, but in the longer
poorly maintained C-130s and these aircraft are unlikely to term the programme is likely. To this end it is notable that
remain in service beyond 2025. To this end, Indonesia Boeing and the Indonesian MoD met in February 2015 to
signed a memorandum of sale with Australia in July 2013 discuss Chinook collaboration. A plan to procure the
covering the supply of five used C-130H aircraft, which Chinooks could emerge in 2017 if funding allows.
were delivered later that year. It is also possible that the
requirement will be met through a requirement of Airbus
A400M aircraft. Jane's reported in 2017 that Jakarta was Land
looking to secure a USD2 billion purchase of five A400Ms,
with some of the funds sourced through export credit
Marder 1A2 Infantry Fighting Vehicle
loans.
In-service: N/A
Value: N/A
F-5 Replacement Status: Committed
In-service: 2020 (estimate) Summary: Following Singapore's purchase of 66 ex-
Value: USD480-1,200 million German Leopard 2A4 MBTs in 2007, Indonesia has been
Status: Announced seeking to modernise and expand its military to ensure it

© 2017 IHS 11 July 2017


Navigating the Emerging Markets | Indonesia Major procurement programmes

maintains a competitive capability in the region. To this contract signed in 2008, which was funded by Russia. The
end an agreement was reached with Germany in 2013 Marine Corps took delivery of the first tranche of BMP-3Fs
relating to the sale of heavy armoured systems. This in December 2010. Indonesia ordered an additional 37
included the supply of 50 ex-German Marder 1A2 IFVs. The BMP-3F vehicles for the Marine Corps in 2012, with the
total package was valued at USD4.3 million. The Marder vehicles arriving through 2013 and 2014. The second deal is
units were added in 2012 to an original request covering worth USD114 million, although additional orders are
Leopard 2 main battle tanks. The purchase of the Marder, expected.
Leopard and related armoured recovery vehicle units (at a
cost of USD290 million) was confirmed by Rheinmetall in
late 2013. Sea

8×8 wheeled armoured personnel carriers (BTR-4)


Submarines
In-service: N/A
In-service: 2018
Value: USD50 million
Value: USD1.1 billion
Status: Committed
Status: Committed
Summary: Indonesia and Ukroboronprom of Ukraine
Summary: Indonesia has stated a requirement for at least
announced in March 2014 that they had signed a contract
12 submarines, although budget realities will initially limit
covering the supply of amphibious BTR-4 8×8 wheeled
the purchase. Indonesia awarded South Korea's Daewoo
armoured personnel carriers to the Indonesian Marine
Shipbuilding and Marine Engineering (DSME) a contract
Corps. The deal covered five BTR-4s, although there was
worth approximately USD1.1 billion in December 2011
scope for expansion to 50 units.
covering the supply of three Type 209 submarines. DSME is
building the first two submarines in Korea, while the third
Rantis 4×4 procurement programme boat is scheduled to be licence-constructed by PT PAL in
In-service: N/A Indonesia from 2017. All boats are expected to be
Value: N/A operational by the end of the decade.
Status: Active
Summary: Indonesia's requirement for a 4x4 military
vehicle has remained since the production of the locally Fast attack craft procurement
developed APR-1 was halted in early 2005 following the In-service: To 2024
tsunami. The TNI planned to introduce 100 APR-1 Value: N/A
platforms, but only 14 were manufactured. The TNI signed Status: Committed
an agreement in 2012 with a defence industry working Summary: In recent years the Indonesian Navy has
group led by PT Pindad to jointly develop additional accepted into service more than 10 locally built KAL-36/PC-
prototype versions of the indigenously designed 4×4 Rantis 36M patrol craft and nine KAL-40/PC-40 patrol craft. A
tactical military vehicle. new similarly sized patrol craft with missile armament
dubbed KCR is also being procured. There are two design
Bushmaster procurement variants, a 44 m KCR-40 type and a 60+ m KCR-60. The
In-service: 2014+ first unit, KRI Clurit, was launched in February 2011 and
Value: USD2.5 million delivered in late-April 2011. The programme initially
Status: Committed covered 10 units, but is expected to expand to cover at least
Summary: In April 2014 Thales Australia won a contract to 44 units by the mid-2020s.
supply three Bushmaster protected vehicles to the
Indonesian Army for use by Special Forces. Following on Navy tanker replacement programme
from this, Thales entered an agreement with PT Pindad to In-service: 2014+
develop the 4×4 Sanca vehicle, which is based on the Value: USD80 million
Bushmaster but for TNI requirements. PT Pindad expects to Status: Active
secure a contract for 50 Sanca vehicles in 2017. Summary: The Indonesian Navy currently operates the
1960s vintage tankers Sorong, Balikpapan, and Sambu,
BMP-3F Amphibious Infantry Fighting Vehicles which are estimated to be approaching the end of their
In-service: N/A service lives. The ex-UK Rover-class tanker Arun is also
Value: N/A ageing and may need replacement in the medium term. To
Status: Completed meet the requirement local shipbuilders (PT DKB and PT
Summary: Indonesian Navy's Marine Corps ordered an Anugrah Buana Marine) are building two replenishment
initial batch of 17 BMP-3F vehicles under a USD40 million ships, the first of which were inducted by 2015.

© 2017 IHS 12 July 2017


Navigating the Emerging Markets | Indonesia Major procurement programmes

Surface Combatant Procurement Programme


In-service: 2017+
Value: USD250 million per unit
Status: Committed
Summary: The Indonesian Navy requires vessels capable of
economic exclusive zone patrol and surveillance as well as
search-and-rescue. Capabilities are also expected to extend
to combat roles. A SIGMA design proposed by the
Netherlands' Damen Schelde Naval Shipbuilding was
selected in August 2010 and the contract was finalised in
June 2012. A contract for a second unit was signed in
January 2013. Assembly and integration of both vessels
took place at PT PAL.

Mine countermeasures vessel


In-service: 2020
Value: USD215 million
Status: Forecast
Summary: TNI-AL chief of staff Vice Admiral Ade Supandi
announced in February 2015 that the navy is planning to
procure two mine-countermeasures vessels (MCMVs) to
replace its existing coastal minesweepers, which are
nearing the end of their service lives. Vice Adm Supandi
declined to provide details of the budget allocated for the
purchase, but he did hint that he is inclined towards
purchasing the platforms from a vendor that can build the
ships in Indonesia.

© 2017 IHS 13 July 2017


Navigating the Emerging Markets | Indonesia

Defence spending
Indonesian defence spending has been on a relatively Nevertheless, one month after the release of the draft
strong upward trajectory in recent years, facilitated by budget the defence commission of Indonesia's House of
strong economic growth that has averaged around 6% per Representatives (DPR) approved a proposal to increase the
annum since 2011 and driven by the need to overcome a proposed 2016 defence budget by a further IDR37 trillion in
long period of underinvestment to achieve what Indonesia order to allow the procurement of military equipment and
terms a “Minimum Essential Force” (MEF). to improve the welfare of troops.
Subsequently, in June 2016, the Indonesian House of
According to Jane's Defence Budgets, headline defence
Representatives' Defence Commission agreed a further
spending in Indonesia stood at USD5.36 billion in 2012 but
9.2% increase in the military's budget, taking total spending
climbed to nearly USD7.39 billion in 2017: overall growth of
to IDR108.7 trillion. Government officials said the
nearly 40%. However, between 2017 and 2021 JDB forecasts
additional funds - made available due primarily to the
a significant slowdown in growth from USD7.39 billion to
Indonesian government's decision earlier this year to scrap
USD8.64 billion: overall growth of 17%.
fuel subsidies - will be directed to procurement activities
and upgrading military bases.
The Indonesian Armed Forces has suffered from chronic
under-funding in the past so growth up until 2016-2017 can However, in late August 2016 the Indonesian armed forces
be viewed as bringing resources to a level sufficient to were asked to find savings equivalent to 7.3% of the 2016
support existing aspirations. It is for this reason that defence budget as part of government attempts to reduce a
defence procurement receives a relatively large portion of widening budget deficit.
the total budget (around 21% in 2017).
The changes - if fully implemented - will see defence
spending reduced by IDR7.9 trillion (USD0.6 billion) to a
It should also be noted that Indonesian procurement has
total of around IDR100.8 trillion for 2016. Assuming the
been underpinned in recent years by foreign loans, ranging
savings proceed at the mandated level then Indonesia's
from commercial arrangements with western financial
defence budget for 2016 will represent a 1.5% reduction
institutions to favourable packages from Russian lenders
compared to the 2015 budget of IDR102.3 trillion, and will
specifically for the acquisition of Russian materiel.
see defence spending fall from 0.9% of GDP to 0.8%.
Indonesia has aimed to reduce reliance on foreign lenders Crucially, the latest revision represents the largest
by looking to domestic financial institutions, albeit with reduction made to any single departmental budget under
limited success to date. the newly announced spending cuts.

2016 adjustments Short-term outlook


The revisions made to the defence budget over the course of
Upon the release of the 2016 draft budget in August 2015 it
2016 budget suggest that while the government is firmly
emerged that Indonesia intended to reduce defence
committed to increasing expenditure on the military,
expenditure by 1.7% to IDR95.9 trillion (USD6.9 billion)
defence spending may not necessarily be viewed as a
with spending on defence falling from 4.9% of government
priority by the Indonesian government.
spending to 4.5%.
It also remains unclear whether the revised spending
However, by the time the budget passed into law the targets will impact the 2017 budget, the draft for which was
defence allocation had increased to IDR99.5 trillion, submitted to the Indonesian Parliament earlier in August
providing a 2% increase over 2015 in nominal terms. 2016.

Defence spending: Total defence budget


2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021
USD billions, 6.59 7.76 7.46 7.39 7.23 7.44 7.9 8.68
constant 2017
% of GDP 0.79% 0.89% 0.81% 0.77% 0.71% 0.69% 0.70% 0.73%
Source: Jane's Defence Budgets

© 2017 IHS 14 July 2017


Navigating the Emerging Markets | Indonesia Defence spending

Under the proposed 2017 budget, defence expenditure was These have ranged from earnings from the military's
already set to be cut by 3.9% from the IDR108.7 trillion extensive (but declining) business interests to sovereign
allocated in June 2016 to IDR104.4 trillion. Even if loans. Banks in France, Russia and Switzerland have
spending remains at the level outlined in the 2017 draft provided Jakarta with credit in previous years to purchase
budget, defence expenditure will fall further as a defence items (notably from Moscow).
percentage of GDP.
There have been some efforts by Indonesia to wean itself
It is Jane's view that, during the short term, the
off such funding mechanisms, although in recent years
government's attempts to ensure the budget deficit
(since 2010) the practice has continued to a degree.
remains at manageable levels will limit growth in the
defence budget. However, the revisions during the course
of 2016 also suggest that the government is aware of the In 2015, for example, Tubagus Hasanuddin, vice-chairman
security challenges that Indonesia faces and will be willing of the House of Representatives' defence commission said
to provide additional funding in response to emerging Indonesia is discussing with Moscow the terms of a
strategic challenges. USD3 billion loan to support its acquisition of Russian
military equipment. "Russia is ready to provide soft loans at
Therefore, growth is expected to moderate in the short cheap rates to buy defence equipment," Hasanuddin said.
term compared to 2010-13.
Moreover, in 2017 Jane’s reported that Indonesia was
looking to secure a USD2 billion purchase of five Airbus
Mid-term outlook A400M transport aircraft, with funds sourced through
foreign defence export credit loans.
Looking further forward, the outlook for further expansion
of defence expenditure in Indonesia appears positive.

Jane's retains the opinion that meeting the government’s


stated objective to allocate 1.5% of GDP to defence by 2020
is unrealistic and highly unlikely to be achieved, not least
due to the competition with other areas of expenditure
that appear more central to president Joko Widodo’s vision
for the next five years.

However, even modest progress towards this goal would


provide for substantial real-term growth in the defence
budget given the expansion of the Indonesian economy.

Off-budget resources
Historically, the gap between core military procurement
funds and the needs and aspirations of the TNI has
necessitated the use of unconventional means to underpin
materiel purchases.

Defence spending by category (USD billions, constant 2017)


2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021
Military 3.19 3.46 3.5 3.39 3.16 3.21 3.33 3.57
Personnel
Ops and 1.67 2.01 1.9 1.9 1.89 1.98 2.13 2.36
Maintenance
Other 0.19 0.29 0.41 0.38 0.34 0.33 0.35 0.39
Procurement 1.45 1.86 1.5 1.57 1.69 1.76 1.9 2.15
Research and 0.1 0.14 0.15 0.15 0.16 0.16 0.18 0.2
Development
Source: Jane's Defence Budgets

© 2017 IHS 15 July 2017


Navigating the Emerging Markets | Indonesia Defence spending

Defence spending by service (USD billions, constant 2017)


2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021
Air Force 0.79 1.07 1.02 1.03 1.06 1.12 1.23 1.4
Army 3.56 4 3.88 3.81 3.66 3.71 3.89 4.21
Defence-Wide 1.25 1.47 1.39 1.35 1.3 1.32 1.37 1.48
Navy 0.99 1.22 1.18 1.2 1.21 1.29 1.41 1.59
Source: Jane's Defence Budgets

© 2017 IHS 16 July 2017


Navigating the Emerging Markets | Indonesia

Defence and security spending: drivers


Accelerated defence spending is driven by the need to 2005 in response to Jakarta's alleged human rights abuses
secure sovereignty, maintain parity with neighbours; to in East Timor. Indonesia's military suffered heavily as a
defend national infrastructure; to respond effectively to result, particularly its air force, which was forced to
natural disasters; and to drive economic growth through cannibalise many in-service US platforms such F-16s and
military industrial development. C-130s. Although sanctions were lifted some years ago, the
lessons learnt led Jakarta to diversify its supplier base as
well as to promote the development of its indigenous
Social, industrial, economic rationale defence industry.
In common with other high-population countries in Asia Strategic concerns related to Indonesia's natural resources,
(particularly Pakistan, India and China) Indonesia has long particularly oil and gas, are highlighted by its occasional
struggled to address a list of social welfare and disputes with China, which usually occur in Indonesian
infrastructure problems that have retarded the waters in the South China Sea, notably in seas surrounding
development of an indigenous defence industry. In the Natuna Islands. Although China remains an important
Indonesia these priorities can be reflected in its traditional trading partner to Indonesia, Jakarta is becoming
defence budget allocation of less than 1% of GDP. increasingly wary of Beijing's emphasis on power
projection coupled with its soaring energy demands. This
Forecasted economic growth for the coming years has serves as a reminder in Jakarta that naval and surveillance
prompted Indonesia to change its priorities, however, and capabilities need to be upgraded rapidly and prompted the
now Jakarta sees defence industry development as a key government in 2014 to commit to deploy significant
part of its long-term economic target, which the military assets (including Sukhoi fighter aircraft and
government wants to achieve through an emphasis on Apache helicopters) on the Natuna Islands. It is also notable
productivity and innovation. This national target is to that in September 2015 the Indonesian government
become one of the world's top 10 economies by 2025 and pledged to allocate further funds to boost defence
one of the world's top six economies by 2050. According to capabilities on the Natuna Islands. This pledge was
the International Monetary Fund, Indonesia was ranked reiterated in 2016.
16th in 2016.
Concerns over territory are linked to relations between
Indonesia aims to promote a transition from low-end Indonesia and other Southeast Asia states, particularly
manufacturing and agriculture to advanced industry Malaysia. The two countries have a history of rivalry and in
sectors. Indonesia also sees enormous economic potential recent decades have had numerous territorial disputes, the
in the natural resources in the seas surrounding its coasts. most recent being in 2009 over the oil-rich Ambalat area
which resulted in a military stand-off.
As Indonesia attempts to stimulate this growth and puts
more emphasis on creating quality employment, major Natural disasters have become a great challenge for
challenges will include the low skills-base and under- Indonesia. These are most vividly illustrated by the Acer
education of those in and out of jobs (for example, tsunami in December 2004, although the country
Indonesia faces a significant shortfall in engineers and continues to endure similar (although less devastating)
technicians) and growing labour protectionism, which, for disasters on a regular basis.
example, limits a working week to 40 hours (putting it at a
comparative disadvantage with regional industrial rivals
such as Vietnam and China). Internal affairs
Internal security threats have declined in recent years,
although Indonesia continues to face some threats from
Strategic rationale and external affairs separatist and extremist groups. Separatist forces continue
Indonesia's strategic concerns are focused on ensuring a to operate in Papua, though the threat has diminished in
supply of defence equipment; the security of its territory Aceh since the conclusion of a peace agreement in 2005
and abundant natural resources; and the safeguard of its after a 30-year conflict. Although the threat posed by the
people and interests against natural disasters. regional Islamist militant group Jemaah Islamiyah has
declined in recent years, terrorism remains a significant risk
The first of these concerns is linked to the military embargo in Indonesia and continues to contribute to the local
imposed on Indonesia by the US from the 1990s until security agenda.

© 2017 IHS 17 July 2017


Navigating the Emerging Markets | Indonesia Defence and security spending: drivers

Outlook
There is growing concern in Indonesia about Chinese
activity in the southern reaches of the South China Sea (in
particularly in territory that is claimed by both countries).
In light of this it is possible that the TNI might reconsider
the trajectory of MEF programme. Sources in Jakarta have
told Jane’s that it is possible that the MEF could be
reassigned as an “optimum essential force” that would
signify a requirement to accelerate the acquisition of
capability to respond to external threats.

The Indonesian Ministry of Defence’s Defence White Paper


– published in late May 2016 – makes clear that the
country’s primary strategic concern is "unresolved border
issues", and also underscores its anxieties related to Chinese
military modernisation. “Chinese economic growth [has]
enabled [it] to modernise its military," said the document.
"This condition ... creates worry about the military balance,
thus, it can be a security dilemma for countries in the

region."

© 2017 IHS 18 July 2017


Navigating the Emerging Markets | Indonesia

Political and economic overview


Indonesia's capacity to meet defence procurement goals destination has been dulled by a lull in economic reforms,
hinges, as elsewhere, on the growth and stability of the weaker external demand, and the continuing deficit. This
economy as a whole. This is particularly true in the case of was reflected by a decline in foreign investment in 2016.
Indonesia given Jakarta's aim of reducing reliance on "off
budget" funding streams such as foreign loans. Growth has The Widodo administration initially seemed committed to
been relatively strong in recent years, and since 2009 the pursuing a much more aggressive reform agenda, focused
country's economy has been one of the fastest growing in on improving the business climate. It certainly started with
Southeast Asia, bolstered by rising commodity prices and a a bang: an unpopular yet sorely needed elimination of non-
surge in both local and international confidence on the back diesel fuel subsidies was announced in January 2015 after
of a series of trouble-free elections which pointed to initially reducing the subsidies within the first month of
stability. the government's rule.

Economic growth has also been supported by reforms and Nevertheless, delivering on the reform commitment will
the absence of turmoil in politics. The economy is on a not be easy, given that Widodo lacks strong support in some
reasonably sold path; public finances have improved; and sections of Jakarta, is a newcomer to high-level politics, and
the government, under the Widodo administration that lacks a dedicated, well-oiled party machine.
came to office in October 2014, has managed to widen its
tax base and discontinue expensive non-diesel fuel
subsidies. Growth through defence investment?
Despite this background, in 2015 and 2016 problems started In common with regional peers (such as South Korea and
to emerge in the Indonesian economy, which had the effect Malaysia), Indonesia appears to view defence investment as
of decreasing the country's defence budget. Since President a catalyst for the creation of high-value employment; the
Joko Widodo came to office the country's economy has not reinvigoration of domestic industries; and – potentially –
performed as hoped. economic diversification. In this sense it is also notable that
Indonesia is a strong advocate of industrial collaboration in
Accordingly, GDP growth in 2015 was its slowest in six years defence procurement programmes.
on the back of weakened exports and foreign direct
investment, although expansion in excess of 5% is expected Indonesia’s defence industry collaboration policy (rather
from 2016. like the historical procedures of neighbouring Thailand and
Malaysia) has relied on a degree of counter-trade: typically
of relatively low value-added commodities. The policy is
Economic outlook further support by the Defence Industry Law 2012, which
mandates military procurement from domestic sources
The rate of Indonesia's economic expansion has slightly but where practicable, and with maximum local production
steadily slowed in the last few years, primarily as a result of benefits in other circumstances.
worsening net exports (largely a result of the economic
slowdown in China) and the impact of the country’s In the defence sector, some of the concerns about
widening deficit. Indonesia’s investment landscape were highlighted by the
visiting US Vice-President Mike Pence in April 2017.
Exchange-rate volatility has also drastically increased, with
recurrent sharp depreciation episodes leaving the rupiah He said that Indonesia’s investment climate needed to
some 50% weaker against the dollar than in 2012. adapt to support growth in US-Indonesia trade in areas
Moreover, Indonesia's attractiveness as an investment including defence.

Economic overview
2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021
GDP (USD billions) 835.59 875.52 919.47 966.38 1,017.49 1,071.17 1,129.60 1,191.85
GDP (% growth YoY) 5.12% 4.78% 5.02% 5.10% 5.29% 5.28% 5.46% 5.51%
Inflation (% YoY) 6.36% 6.86% 3.62% 4.40% 4.41% 4.10% 4.22% 5.06%
Source: IHS Global Insight

© 2017 IHS 19 July 2017


Navigating the Emerging Markets | Indonesia Political and economic overview

Foreign direct investment (USD millions)


2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016
FDI Inflow 13,771 19,241 19,138 18,817 21,811 16,641
Source: UN Conference on Trade and Development World Investment Report 2017

“There’s much more that must be done to improve the Widodo and defence modernisation
business and investment climate in Indonesia,” he said.
Such issues, he said, included concerns about intellectual Unlike past Indonesian presidents Widodo was not a
property rights, a lack of transparency surrounding military officer. What significance this will have on the
procurement, and local manufacturing requirements. modernisation of the TNI remains to be seen, although
Widodo has outlined a commitment to defence
development. "We will improve the professionalism of TNI
Education and opportunities
by modernising [its military systems],” said Widodo at 69th
While Indonesian unemployment is not particularly high Indonesian Military Day in early October 2014. “We have to
by global standards (it stood at 6% in 2016), the skills of the remain consistent.”
country's workforce are low. IHS Global Insight describes
Indonesia’s workforce as “under-educated”, with the His pledges have focused on increasing defence spending
majority having had less than six years of formal education. from the existing 0.8% of GDP to 1.5% of GDP by the end of
As of 2010 just 4% of the population held bachelor's degrees the decade, and the promotion of a better integrated TNI.
(compared to 16% in India). The incentive to increase the While the former is looking increasingly unlikely (as of
skill-sets of the population through defence expenditure is, 2017), the latter makes reference to some of the capability
therefore, clear. weaknesses in the armed forces, in particularly advanced
C4ISR systems that enable force interoperability and
effectiveness.
Political overview
Indonesia's democratic system matured under the rule of Widodo appointed in late October 2014 Ryamizard
President Susilo Bambang Yudhoyono; a former general of Ryacudu as defence minister, replacing Purnomo
the army who was in power from October 2004 until to Yusgiantoro, who had held the post since October 2009.
October 2014. Ryacudu, a former general in the Indonesian Army, is
regarded as a hardliner who will be prepared to push for
He gradually implemented wide-ranging political and military modernisation in light of the country’s growing
economic reforms that have provided for a greater degree of strategic challenges.
stability. However, Indonesia's democratic transition has
faced numerous obstacles, ranging from powerful vested
interests to an immature party system and the centrifugal
forces of separatism. The government has been active in
advancing core causes such as investment promotion,
infrastructure development, job creation, and anti-
corruption efforts. Despite progress on all these fronts,
pervasive graft continues to affect business operations,
while deficient legal and regulatory frameworks reduce
transparency.

Having begun his presidency with minority support in


parliament, Widodo has gradually secured majority
support, most importantly from the second largest party in
parliament, Golkar. The party in May 2016 formally
announced that it had moved to the government coalition
from the opposition, giving the government bloc a clear
majority. However, political alliances in Indonesia are fluid
and parties may still oppose the government on a particular
issue, despite being formally part of a government coalition.

© 2017 IHS 20 July 2017


Navigating the Emerging Markets | Indonesia

Procurement procedures
Indonesia's defence procurement system is largely a work credit facilities such as the national budget.
in progress following the dilution of the armed forces' Defence Industry Law (known locally as UU No.16
involvement in military acquisitions since the fall of the 2012): Introduced in 2012, the law mandates procurement
Suharto regime in 1998 after 31 years. The government, from local sources where practicable. Foreign
headed by former four-star army general President Susilo procurements may still proceed, but with the authority of
Bambang Yudhoyono to 2014, prioritised military the Indonesian House of Representatives. Foreign
procurement reform and has introduced a raft of measures procurements must now be accompanied by local
that are aimed at centralising policies in a bid to reduce workshare through production partnerships.
opportunities for corruption as well as improve efficiencies.

In terms of Indonesia's external procurement strategy, two Tenders


key factors remain influential: the military embargo
imposed by the US from 1999 until 2005, and the Tenders are issued by the MoD's Defence Facilities Agency
traditional shortfall in defence spending. Jakarta has
(ranahan.kemhan.go.id).
adopted in response a policy to diversify its suppliers based
not only on their ability to provide required capabilities but
also their willingness to offer credit, usually in the form of
bank loans.
Awarding bodies
Contracts are awarded by the Defence Facilities Agency's
Indonesia introduced legislation in 2012 (known as the
procurement committee in collaboration with the Ministry
Defence Industry Law) to mandate procurement from local
sources (specifically, MoD owned companies) in practicable of Finance. Major contracts require Cabinet approval.
circumstances. Should local solutions not be available or
appropriate, foreign procurements may proceed with the
approval of the country’s House of Representatives. The law Types of tenders issued
mandated local involvement even in the case of foreign
procurements through local production partnerships. Three tender processes are outlined by the regulations:

• "Public Tenders" are the open invitation to all qualified


Legislation bidders, which must be either listed as capable
contractors or pre-qualified by a tender committee.
Several laws cover defence procurement, all of which have • "Limited Tenders" must have at least five qualified
been introduced within the past decade. bidders solicited through public announcements.
• In contracts between IDR15 million and IDR50 million
Presidential Decree 80/2003; Government "direct selection" can be used. Contracts below
Procurement of Goods and Services (replaced in 2011 IDR15 million are reserved for smaller SME contractors.
by Presidential Regulation 54/2010: Regulates selection
and evaluation methods as well as contracting systems and
regulations related to integrity pacts, transparency, Administrative bodies
competition, value for money, and accountability. The
legislation is coordinated and implemented by the National In January 2011 the MoD set up the Defence Facilities
Agency for Government Procurement Policy Agency (DFA), which replaced the Directorate General of
(www.lkpp.go.id/v3/en) and the MoD's Defence Facilities Defence Facilities. The agency has a dedicated procurement
Agency (ranahan.kemhan.go.id) centre, which undertakes all associated administrative
Permenhan No: PER/06/M/VII/2006: Regulates the tasks. The DFA is supported by the MoD's Defence
supply of goods and services to the Ministry of Defence and Industrial Policy Committee (KKIP), which was established
the armed forces through export credit facilities. Export in late 2010 to introduce reforms related to defence
credit facilities can be used in procurement valued at more procurement and industrial development. Such reforms
than IDR50 billion. include a procurement roadmap, which would chart
Permenhan No: PER/07/M/VII/2006: Regulations related development and match military requirements against
to procurement of goods and services through non-export industrial capabilities, and defence offset rules.

© 2017 IHS 21 July 2017


Navigating the Emerging Markets | Indonesia

Procurement analysis
Indonesia has been working in recent years towards the decision-making processes. However, the government plans
increased centralisation of procurement procedures. The to initiate additional measures to address continuing
influence of the military is being diluted (in part to reduce bureaucratic delays, increase transparency (and therefore
opportunities for corruption) and civilians are gradually reduce opportunities for corruption) and to improve
playing a greater role in the decision-making processes. efficiencies.
Indonesia has also looked to countries such as Australia,
France and Russia to learn from foreign procurement Changes that are being considered include those related to
practices. contracting and administrative systems and introducing
higher levels of civilian expertise into procurement
While Indonesia has introduced a series of procurement processes. In April 2011 the Indonesian House of
reforms, it has been accepted that room for improvement Representatives' defence commission said it would send
remains. In 2013 the Indonesian MoD announced that some of its members to France, Russia, the US and Turkey
further investment would be made in enhancing human to observe acquisition processes and, presumably, to
resource (HR) competencies in order to ensure value for introduce examples of best practice into domestic
money and accountability. Meanwhile, Rear Admiral processes.
Rachmad Lubis, former head of the Indonesian MoD’s
Defence Facilities Agency, said in September 2013 that In addition, Indonesia had previously hoped to introduce an
procurement methods that need to be enhanced in e-procurement system with electronic bulletin boards into
Indonesia included those related to financial management, defence from 2012. Such a system has already been
negotiation techniques, project management, the drafting introduced into the oil and gas sector, although there is
of contracts and quality management techniques. resistance against the introduction of the process into
defence because of associated sensitivities. As of 2017,
Further measures were introduced in 2015 to reduce
however, there is no e-procurement system for defence
bureaucracy and improve accountability. While mainly part
tenders.
of an effort to eradicate corruption in military
procurement, the measures – part of a so-called MoD
“integrity charter” signed in April – are also geared towards Drivers of procurement
enhancing procurement professionalism.
Indonesia's standing in the region, its geographical position
on the edge of some of the world's most important sea
Centralisation lanes; and its growing interests (particularly natural
Following the former president Suharto's resignation in resources such as oil and gas) are all driving procurement
1998 after more than three decades in power, reform of the strategies. More recently the government has also indicated
defence and security sector was introduced through which that its defence industry development programme will also
the military has gradually been removed from procurement be used as a factor in deciding acquisition programmes.
systems. These reforms accelerated under the 10-year Such an approach would favour deals that incorporate
tenure of Susilo Bambang Yudhoyono (president from 2004 technology transfer.
to 2014), who took a leading role in consolidating all
Indonesia's military inventories are also in dire need of
military procurement in the MoD.
modernisation. The scale of the problem was detailed in
The centralisation approach, which is underpinned by June 2011, when the MoD's then Director General for
accompanying legislation, is designed to reduce corruption Defence Planning, Air Vice Marshal Bonggas S Silaen, said
in the military procurement process, which has long been a the average age of military equipment in service with the
lucrative source of money to some of those involved in Indonesian armed forces is between 25 and 40 years and
arranging and approving the transactions. The approach is that barely 30-35% of equipment owned by the armed
also designed to improve administration efficiencies. services was operational to a satisfactory level.

Reforms Loans
Procurement reforms initially focused on the introduction Despite the existence of a range of defence procurement
of procurement laws and removing the military from procedures in Indonesia many major acquisitions are

© 2017 IHS 22 July 2017


Navigating the Emerging Markets | Indonesia Procurement analysis

facilitated by – and depend on – foreign loans and export Partnerships


credit facilities extended to a defence exporter by an
Indonesian lender, usually a state-owned bank. Access to Russia's willingness to offer loans has enabled Moscow to
foreign funds and an exporting country's willingness to assume a position as one of Indonesia's most important
enter credit arrangements with Jakarta have, therefore, procurement partners over the past decade. Indonesia has
determined Indonesia's defence procurement relationships. purchased a range of military systems – such as Sukhoi
fighters, Mil helicopters and military vehicles – with nearly
The government has stated that it wants to reduce this
all based on such credit deals. If Indonesia’s requirement to
dependency in future years should its economic standing
rely on such funding mechanisms continues Russia is likely
improve, but there has been a stated acceptance that such
to remain the country’s favoured military supplier.
reliance is likely to continue for some time. As an example,
Indonesia announced at the close of 2013 that a However, Jakarta is evidently determined not to become
USD400 million finance package had been agreed with dependent on Moscow and has procured matériel from a
Russia’s Vnesheconombank to fund the purchase of Sukhoi wide range of suppliers over the past decade including
aircraft. China, United States, Germany, United Kingdom, France,
Italy and Netherlands. The strategy is largely a result of US
In 2015 further loans from Russia and local banks were embargoes on Indonesia, which ran from the late 1990s
being discussed in view of an anticipated shortfall in until 2005, and severely hindered the operational
defence procurement spending in 2016. In September the capabilities of the Indonesian armed forces, particularly its
Ministry of Finance selected PT Bank Negara Indonesia to air force. Narrow reliance has therefore been avoided.
provide credit to the TNI worth IDR980 billion to support
South Korea has also recently emerged as a key
21 unspecified military procurement programmes. In the
procurement partner of Indonesia. The relationship is based
same month Tubagus Hasanuddin, vice-chairman of the
on a number of collaboration agreements between the two
DRP's defence commission, revealed that the government
countries and Seoul's drive to expand exports across
was also looking to secure a loan from Moscow worth
Southeast Asia. Jakarta announced in 2011 that it had
USD3 billion to fund what were described as "major"
selected Korea Aerospace Industries' T-50 Golden Eagle to
acquisitions from Russia.
meet its advanced jet trainer requirements and is also
supplying Type 209 submarines and infantry fighting
These acquisitions are likely to include the Sukhoi Su-35 vehicles based on Doosan DST's Black Fox. Indonesia is also
'Flanker-E' multirole combat aircraft that the MoD has participating in the development of the Korean next-
repeatedly expressed interest in acquiring in recent years to generation fighter aircraft.
replace the Indonesian Air Force's ageing Northrop F-5E
Tiger II fighters. Indonesia is also reportedly interested in In 2017 Indonesia was continuing with its long-held
acquiring Russian Kilo-class submarines, although the MoD strategy to forge ties with potential military suppliers, with
has yet to confirm this. a view to supporting any purchases with industrial
collaboration and local content. Since 2015 government-to-
Further to these developments Jane’s reported in 2017 that government agreements have been signed with the
Indonesia was seeking to support a planned acquisition of Australia, Brazil, Canada, Croatia, India, Denmark, Japan,
Airbus A400M transport aircraft with export credit, with Belarus, Azerbaijan and Colombia.
the programme expected to cost USD2 billion.
Moreover, Indonesian defence companies and related
agencies have recently signed accords with foreign
Delays manufacturers including DCNS, Thales, Danish company
Odense Maritime Technology, Saab, BAE Systems, and
Japan's NEC Corporation.
This continuing dependency on export credit in some major
purchases means that when finances are not immediately These agreements covered aspects such as Indonesia's
available – due to lack of funds in the defence budget or the potential purchase and licensed production of radars
unavailability of export credit – procurement is often (Denmark), the purchase of ShinMaywa US-2i search-and-
delayed. rescue aircraft (Japan), the production of select BAE
Systems products in Indonesia, cyber-security (NEC Corp),
Jakarta's intended purchase of submarines, for example, and submarine and satellite technologies (Croatia).
was delayed from 2009 and other programmes are behind
schedule. Such a scenario also reflects a lack of planning US-Indonesia links
and strategy, which the MoD is attempting to address by What is also notable is the gradual increase in US sales to
the implementation of a procurement roadmap. Indonesian through the Foreign Military Sale (FMS)

© 2017 IHS 23 July 2017


Navigating the Emerging Markets | Indonesia Procurement analysis

mechanism since Washington lifted its sales embargo in Another point worthy of note is the largesse of the United
2005. According to US government statistics, the value of States in supporting Indonesian military sales.
FMS sales in 2015 was USD162 million, and in 2008 it was
just USD4.9 million. Since the resumption of US military aid to Indonesia in
2006, Indonesia has received consistent increases to its US
Foreign Military Finance (FMF) allowance. The allocation
Another potential area for US-Indonesia collaboration
stood at USD990,000 in 2006, but this had climbed to
emerged in February 2015 when the MoD announced that
USD14 million in 2015 and 2016 making Indonesia the
it was exploring a programme with Boeing centred on the
second highest recipient of US military aid in Southeast
company’s CH-47 Chinook heavy-lift helicopter. The TNI
Asia behind the Philippines.
announced in June 2015 that will seek to acquire the
Chinooks from 2016. Jane’s understands that it is likely to
bid for four platforms. It is notable that the Indonesian Political influence
military does not operate any Chinooks and has limited
heavy-lift rotary-wing capacity. It has also maintained a Indonesia is the largest country in Southeast Asia in terms
requirement to purchase Chinook's for several years, of area, population and GDP, and such stature often
although these ambitions have been constrained by budget. prompts senior officials to make bold declarations about
the size and scope of Indonesian procurement
Indonesia-US links were deepened further in May 2015 in requirements. Seemingly fanciful Sukhoi fighter and
meetings in Washington between Indonesian defence submarine procurement programmes – in which officials
minister Ryamizard Ryacudu and US defense secretary stated Indonesia wanted to buy 180 fighter aircraft and 39
Ashton Carter. In a statement the Indonesian MoD submarines – provide good examples.
indicated a requirement for closer defence industrial and
technological co-operation in relation to Indonesia's Without access to funds and a clear outline of military
procurement of 24 refurbished ex-US Air Force (USAF) demands and strategy, the announcements sometimes
Lockheed Martin F-16C/D fighter aircraft and eight new seem far-fetched and are regarded as largely symbolic. Such
Boeing AH-64E Apache attack helicopters. prestige procurements have seemingly come at the expense
of more pressing - but lower profile - requirements such as
transport aircraft and offshore patrol vessels. This also
The MoD added that Ryacudu had expressed to the US a
suggests that major procurements are often politicised and,
requirement to accelerate the delivery of both the F-16s and
indeed, such a strategy was evident in the Indonesian
the Apaches as well as the potential purchase of four Boeing
presidential election in 2009.
Chinooks, which could go to contract in 2016. The two
countries reaffirmed in late 2015 an intention to undertake
joint defence production programmes and by mid 2016 Agents and middlemen
discussions about potential projects were continuing.
Indonesia has long faced challenges related to the
Other US sales to Indonesia in 2016 and 2017 featured AN/ involvement of middlemen and agents and other
AAQ-33 Sniper advanced targeting pods for Indonesia’s intermediary officials, who are alleged to demand payments
F-16A/B fighter aircraft, and Honeywell’s provision of aero- for facilitating procurement programmes.
engines for Indonesia’s NC212i light transport aircraft.
The problem can be linked to the traditional lack of
controlled access to funds and diluted civilian oversight of
Indonesia’s moves to secure partnership status with the US
budgets and administrative processes.
is partly a response to concern in Indonesia about the
perceived lack of technology transfers to the country. This In August 2016 the problem was highlighted as a major
is particularly the case regarding the Indonesian Air Force’s issue by President Widodo, who outlined a preference for
F-16s and has caused concern in light of the US sanctions government-to-government defence trade to ensure
imposed on Indonesia from the 1990s until 2005. accountability and transparency.

US Foreign Military Sales Deliveries 2005-2015 (USD thousands)


2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015
FMS deliveries 4,945 1,604 15,617 16,773 33,777 37,455 116,659 162,310
Foreign 12,872 15,700 20,000 19,960 14,000 13,292 14,000 14,000
Military
Financing
Source: US DSCA Facts Book, as of 30 September 2015

© 2017 IHS 24 July 2017


Navigating the Emerging Markets | Indonesia Procurement analysis

Widodo also echoed former defence minister Juwono


Sudarsono (in post between 2004 and 2009), who famously
said that the involvement of middlemen led to some
acquisitions increasing in price by as much as 40%.

The continuing problem means that European and US


defence companies looking to expand in Indonesia – and
who must comply with export rules at home – often need
to be more diligent in securing exports and in making
contacts with decision makers.

"It just means we have more leg work," one industry official
told Jane's in 2015. "It means we have more to do in
Indonesia in getting our products known to the MoD."

© 2017 IHS 25 July 2017


Navigating the Emerging Markets | Indonesia

Offset policy analysis


Summary level of technology transfer to enable localised
maintenance and support. Such an example is Indonesia's
Indonesia announced an offset policy in April 2014,
purchase of a 2,400-ton frigate from Netherlands-based
although it later transpired that the policy was incomplete
Damen Schelde Naval Shipbuilding (See "Model
and was not in official use. As of 2017 Indonesia is
Purchases").
continuing to apply informal industrial collaboration
programmes to support defence procurement until a formal
offset policy is introduced. This may take some time, Legislation
however.
The Law 16 was enacted in October 2012. This law mandates
The industrial collaboration policy therefore remains industrial collaboration and outlines the recommended
Indonesia’s informal approach to offset. The policy is introduction of a formal offset programme. As of 2016-17
managed by the Defence Industrial Policy Committee Indonesia is continuing efforts to formalise the offset
(KKIP) of the MoD and is supported by the Defence policy but informal industrial collaboration remains the
Industry Law 2012 (UU No.16 2012), which commits the primary approach.
Indonesian government to involve, whenever possible, local
industry in all defence procurement programmes. The Law 16 (Defence Industry Law 2012) is available only in
Indonesian. It can be downloaded here:
The Defence Industry Law 2012 – otherwise known as Law www.kemendagri.go.id/media/documents/2012/11/22/u/
16 – is being applied (as of 2016-2017) in all major u/uu_no.16-2012.pdf
procurement contracts awarded to foreign companies, the
KKIP has confirmed to Jane's.
Administration
Background Under Law 16 industrial collaboration strategies and
programmes are managed by the MoD’s Committee for
Having operated for many years without a defence offset
Defence Industry Policy (KKIP).
policy, Indonesia adopted a variety of counter-trade
strategies over the past two decades, including the barter of
non-defence commodities as well as indigenously produced Point of contact
military equipment. An example of the former is
Indonesia’s purchase of two Su-27SKs and two Su-30MKs in Inquiries about offset or industrial collaboration can be
2002, which was paid for by a list of commodities including forwarded to: Rachmad Lubis, the head of technology
coffee, palm oil, cement, rubber and bauxite. transfer and offset within the KKIP.

Various examples exist of Indonesia's policy to barter Postal address: Kementerian Pertahanan RI, Gedung R
military equipment. They often include the counter-trade Suprapto Lt 1, Jalan Medan Merdeka Barat No. 13-14,
of CN-235 military transport aircraft, which is licence Jakarta 10110, Indonesia.
manufactured (from EADS-CASA) by state-owned PT
Dirgantara Indonesia. In 1999, Indonesia procured from
Tel: (+62) 21 384 85 38, Fax: (+62) 21 384 84 10
Malaysia 20 SME Aerospace MD3-160 light training aircraft
plus 1,500 Proton cars partly offset against the exchange of
three CN-235s, while in 1996 it agreed to supply South Threshold
Korea with eight CN-235s in exchange for military trucks
and armoured vehicles of similar value. In 2008, Indonesia Under Law 16 there is no threshold related to industrial
and South Korea considered the exchange of two South collaboration.
Korean Chang Bogo-class submarines for eight Indonesian
CN-235 aircraft.
Quota
In addition to the counter-trade of military equipment,
Indonesia has also favoured a strategy of purchasing Law 16 stipulates that the Indonesian government must, in
military equipment using export credit and negotiating a the first instance, look to procure defence products from

© 2017 IHS 26 July 2017


Navigating the Emerging Markets | Indonesia Offset policy analysis

local industrial sources. When capability does not reside in Eligible programmes
Indonesia, the government is permitted to source capability
from abroad but in such cases foreign industry must engage The KKIP has said that local content components are
with local companies. defined as design; engineering; the transfer of intellectual
This engagement must be through three channels: property rights; the funding of infrastructure; education
countertrade, local content, and/or offset with emphasis on and training provision; and after sales services.
technology transfer. The legislation adds that the existence
of countertrade, local content, and/or offset can be worth These obligations can be channelled through various
no less than 85% of the value of the main contract. activities including maintenance, repair, and overhaul;
refurbishment and modifications; joint production;
Countertrade includes both defence and commercial subcontracting; research and development; joint
products, with priority assigned to the former. In addition, development; and investment.
local content - for example, localised production - must
have a value of no less than 35% and must increase by 10
percentage points every five years. This latter point is Counter-trade
intended to gradually expand local industrial engagement
in a defence procurement programme. Indonesia has not applied counter-trade obligations in
Obligations will be the subject of discussion between the defence procurement for several years but Law 16 proposes
foreign OEM, local partners and the MoD's KKIP. such a requirement in the form of a formal policy. As of
2017, however, there are no known programmes to have
progressed supported by counter-trade.
Fulfilment period
N/A In Indonesia’s 2016 Defence White Paper this counter-trade
option was referenced as "yield trade" and was described as
a form of barter trade through which foreign contractors
Multipliers will be expected to buy "products from Indonesia worth
50% of the contract value".
The KKIP has told Jane’s that offset multipliers are
becoming an increasingly important consideration even
It also emerged in May 2017 that the counter-trade method
though Law 16 provides only limited detail as to how such
was being considered to support Indonesia’s potential
requirements should be implemented.
procurement of Sukhoi Su-35 fighter aircraft.
Lubis, head of offset in the KKIP, said, “We will put more
emphasis on multipliers. We will assign multipliers of 3×
and 2× for strategic technologies that we want to develop in Offset banking
Indonesia. We will also assign multipliers for foreign
companies that can support Indonesian industry to enter No guidelines.
their global supply chains."
Lubis explained that the term "strategic technologies" has
particular significance for the KKIP in terms of
Penalties
implementing defence industrial collaboration.
No guidelines.
This is reference, he said, to several suites of military
technologies and platforms that the government regards as
important for the country's security and wants to achieve Foreign direct investment
higher levels of industrial self-reliance. They include naval
vessels, fighter aircraft, tanks/military vehicles, missiles, No guidelines. However, foreign direct investment (FDI) in
radars, propellants, and communications. defence will be welcomed, given Indonesia’s efforts to
boost local capability.
Direct/indirect Under Indonesian investment rules, FDI in strategically
No stated preference under industrial collaboration, but sensitive areas such as explosives production are capped at
Indonesia has indicated that it will be flexible in allowing 49%. Greater stakes are permissible in less sensitive
both but preferring direct. This will be reflected in domains. Joint ventures between Indonesian and foreign
multipliers. market entrants are encouraged.

© 2017 IHS 27 July 2017


Navigating the Emerging Markets | Indonesia Offset policy analysis

Pioneer programme
While Indonesia has several model programmes to indicate
its industrial collaboration strategies (see below), the MoD
regarded its project to procure Ground Control Intercept
(GCI) radars as a pioneer programme for defence offset. It is
possible that this programme, which is delayed by more
than a couple of years, will set a number of parameters for
the policy.

Through this programme the MoD is pursuing technology


transfers in specific areas related to the acquisition.
Speaking to Jane’s in 2014 Lockheed Martin said it was
competing for the GCI programme (offering its TPS-77 air
surveillance radar systems) in alignment with a network of
Indonesian manufacturing and research partners.

If selected Lockheed Martin said it would provide new


employment possibilities for its local partners "estimated at
up to two million labour hours over the lifetime of these
radars". It added: "These Indonesian partners would be
capable of producing nearly USD100 million of radar
components per year."

Lockheed Martin said it has worked with the Bandung


Institute of Technology to produce an engineering
curriculum focused on radar technologies and its local
industry partners have started producing unspecified radar
components. Jane’s understands that in addition to
Lockheed Martin there are about seven other international
companies competing for the GCI contract.

© 2017 IHS 28 July 2017


Navigating the Emerging Markets | Indonesia

Offset policy overview


Indonesia has traditionally preferred to fund major defence meantime, Indonesia is retaining its strategy to develop
imports through export credit arranged through local banks capability through industrial collaboration, whereby
or via loans direct from the supplying nation. Use of the foreign OEMs are expected to transfer technology and
method to fund military purchases funded through the know-how to enable licensed manufacturing or, to a lesser
counter-trade of non-defence commodities has, to a degree, degree, joint development.
largely disappeared by 2017, although Indonesia evidently is
still willing to support defence deals through the barter of
military equipment. Recent developments
Indonesia's counter-trade strategy was initially aimed at In late 2016 officials from the KKIP confirmed to Jane’s that
maximising benefits depending on the economic condition Law 16 was being implemented in every defence purchase.
of the country. When finances are particularly constrained Officials also said that during 2017-18 the KKIP will also
the barter trade of non-defence items has proved more look to push through measures to “tighten up” the offset
popular. policy by filling a number of “holes”.

Officials said that priorities would be to introduce clauses –


However, in recent years, as Indonesia's economy has
in Law 16 supplementary documentation – that will
gradually improved, the country has put more emphasis on
provide clarity on areas including multipliers, offset
facilitating deals through bank loans with technology
banking, threshold, and penalties for non-compliance.
transfer agreements. This policy is largely informal and is
exercised on a case-by-case basis by the Ministry of Defence
KKIP officials also confirmed that the agency had got better
(MoD), although it does not always provide Indonesia with
at implementing the legislation and supporting industrial
required results (for example, Indonesia has evidently not
co-operation programmes between foreign and Indonesian
been satisfied with levels of technology acquired through
defence companies. This included the KKIP now selecting
its numerous deals with Russia).
Indonesian companies that would partner foreign
contractors for offset.
As Indonesia does not yet operate a formal defence offset
policy, its strategy to boost indigenous capability is
channelled through defence industrial collaboration. This Objectives
effort is supported by a government commitment
(enshrined in Law 16) that commits the government to The objective of Indonesia’s industrial collaboration
seek to involve Indonesian companies in all major military programme is to spur advances in indigenous capabilities
procurement. and eventually reduce dependency on foreign suppliers. A
measure of Indonesia’s priorities in this regard was
indicated by Defence Minister Ryamizard Ryacudu in
Offset reforms December 2014.
Indonesia has been attempting to introduce a formal offset He said: “State-owned companies or privately owned
policy for some time. This is intended to formalise the businesses, we will support them as we gradually work
industrial collaboration and licensed manufacturing towards a target of building 90% of [Indonesia's] military
strategies, enabling a more structured approach to defence equipment over the coming 10 years.” As with many
industry development. It is also intended to promote the statements from Indonesian officials this seems over-
development of key skills in Indonesia that will have value ambitious but it does highlight a clear priority for defence
across a range of hi-tech sectors. licence-production. Whether Indonesia’s industrial base
will develop capabilities to support such a target, however,
Jane's understands that it is unlikely that the formal is debatable.
defence offset policy will be introduced soon, although Law
16 will remain the framework through which related
obligations are pursued. Industry revitalisation
By 2017 a formal offset policy still remained an objective, Indonesia's decision to bolster defence industry capability
but progress towards its introduction has been slow. In the has been prompted by the poor condition of the country's

© 2017 IHS 29 July 2017


Navigating the Emerging Markets | Indonesia Offset policy overview

major state-owned defence companies, most of which submarines South Korea's Daewoo Shipbuilding & Marine
continue to suffer – to varying degrees – from financial Engineering (DSME). This programme outlines DSME's
constraints, which stem from a lack of contracts and construction of the first two submarines with gradually
investment. increased input from around 200 PT PAL personnel. PT PAL
plans to build the third boat under licence at its facilities in
Naval shipbuilder PT PAL, for instance, was forced in 2009 Surabaya, which were announced as complete in February
to enter a process of rationalisation through which around 2017. This investment in capability is in light of Indonesia's
half of its 2,000 employees were made redundant. longer-term plans to introduce into service a further nine
Aerospace manufacturer PT Dirgantara Indonesia (PTDI), submarines to secure its vast territory.
meanwhile, continues to remain under a financial cloud
owing to debts incurred more than a decade ago. C295 transport aircraft
Airbus Military signed a contract in February 2012 with PT
The significance of the industrial collaboration policy to Dirgantara Indonesia (PTDI) to supply nine C295s to the
government plans to rebuild these companies was outlined Indonesian Air Force, with the deliveries starting in 2012.
by then defence minister Purnomo Yusgiantoro in late The programme includes the transfer of technologies to
2010. The policy, he said, will be utilised "in every purchase" enable PTDI to manufacture C295 tail empennage, rear
of foreign defence equipment, adding: "The government is fuselage and fuselage panels, and provide packages for the
determined to revitalise the defence industry: it is one of development of computer-based training systems as well as
the priorities of the cabinet." the creation of a C295 service centre and a final assembly
line in Indonesia.
Licensed manufacture The C295 programme is limited in its initial phase to nine
units, all of which were delivered to the TNI by 2014. In
Driven by the requirement to boost local capability, February 2015 Indonesia and Spain agreed in principle to
Indonesia is increasingly looking to augment defence expand the industrial collaboration programme to
purchases with agreements facilitating transfers of potentially allow PTDI to licence produce the aircraft in
technology and know-how. This in turn is intended to whole. The programme depends on Indonesia purchasing
enable local licensed manufacturing of a defence platform. additional numbers of C295 aircraft. Jane's understands that
the TNI has a requirement for a further seven units.
As Indonesia’s capability in undertaking such programmes
evolves, it is worth noting that these programmes are The PTDI-Airbus partnership could also feasibly expand
certain to present numerous obstacles for foreign OEMs under Indonesia’s proposed A400M programme. Jane’s
charged with integrating technologies into Indonesian reported in January 2017 that Indonesia has approved
industry. USD2 billion in funding to acquire five A400M aircraft,
with funds sourced from credit.
Model purchases highlighting Indonesia’s commitment to
industrial collaboration and licensed manufacturing include If the programme goes ahead PTDI is expected to fit-out the
orders in 2012 and 2013 of SIGMA 10514 guided missile final three airframes. PTDI engineers will also visit Spain to
frigates designed by Netherlands-based Damen Schelde study and observe the assembly of various major aircraft
Naval Shipbuilding, the 2011 acquisition of South Korea components, including wings and fuselage shells on the
submarines and, in air, the production of nine Airbus C295 first two aircraft.
transport aircraft, which were ordered in 2012.

SIGMA frigates Joint development


KKIP officials also confirmed that the agency had got better Industrial collaboration promoting joint development has
at implementing the legislation and supporting industrial not, in the past, been a major thrust of Indonesia, although
co-operation programmes between foreign and Indonesian more programmes are emerging as Indonesia has become
defence companies. This included the KKIP now selecting more ambitious. As of 2017 three joint development
Indonesian companies that would partner foreign programmes stand out: those featuring the Chinese C-802
contractors for offset. anti-ship missile, the Korean KFX fighter aircraft, and a
medium tank programme with Turkey.
Type 209 submarines C-802 missiles
Indonesia is implementing a similar tactic in its 2011 In March 2011 Indonesia and China signed a memorandum
purchase of three Chang Bogo-class Type 209/1200 of understanding over the joint development and

© 2017 IHS 30 July 2017


Navigating the Emerging Markets | Indonesia Offset policy overview

production of the Chinese-designed C-802 anti-ship cruise In 2016 Lockheed Martin and Saab both highlighted plans
missile. Industry partners on the programme will both be to provide Indonesia with extensive offset packages to
state-owned: Indonesia's land systems specialist PT Pindad support their respective bids.
and the China Precision Machinery Import-Export
Corporation, which is a subsidiary of defence enterprise, Lockheed Martin’s offset proposal includes the localised
the China Aerospace Science and Technology Corporation. production of F-16 components, the development of a local
The agreement covers five areas of collaboration between "systems engineering centre of excellence", technology
Indonesia and China: the potential sale of an undisclosed assistance with engineering and manufacturing, and
number of C-802 missiles to Indonesia; joint development assistance with F-16 self-sustainment programmes through
of the system for Indonesian use; the transfer of Chinese training and technology transfers, which would be geared
technologies to enable Indonesia to undertake assembly, towards supporting localised MRO.
testing, maintenance, upgrades and training; collaboration
on the production of other unspecified related equipment; The Saab industrial offer comprises three main avenues of
and co-operation on the export and marketing of the co-operation that will result in the creation of a "strong and
missile system to potential third-party customers. viable defence industry, with over 1,000 qualified job
opportunities and university graduates", Saab has said.
KFX
The offer includes the establishment in Indonesia of a
Korea Aerospace Industries (KAI) and Indonesia signed technology development centre focused on aerospace
additional accords in January 2016 to facilitate their joint engineering, which Saab said could be used to develop
development of the Korean Fighter Experimental (KFX) technologies to support Indonesia's co-development of the
aircraft. KAI signed in Jakarta a cost-sharing agreement Korean Fighter Experimental (KFX) aircraft with South
(CSA) with the Indonesian Ministry of Defence (MoD) and Korea.
a work assignment agreement (WAA) with PT Dirgantara
(PTDI). Another focus of the collaboration would be the
development of an Indonesian-Swedish innovation centre,
The CSA formalises an earlier agreement over the cost which would place emphasis on academic co-operation and
splitting of the KFX development programme. Indonesia "education in entrepreneurship and innovation
will pay 1% of the annual costs in 2016 and 2% of them from management", said Saab. The initial focus areas of this
2017 to 2025, by which time the development of the KFX is centre would be aeronautics, defence, infrastructure,
expected to be complete. In total, Indonesia will pay nearly logistics and transport.
20% of the expected KRW8.7 trillion (USD7.4 billion) KFX
development costs. The Saab offer also includes local production of the Gripen,
although details about the workshare have yet to be
The WAA outlines the scope of PTDI's involvement in the concluded with PT Dirgantara.
programme. This will feature elements of design, the
development of KFX prototypes (with PTDI's access to one
Medium tank
of six prototypes), the manufacturing of components, and
testing and certification. Under the WAA, Indonesia will In November 2014 the governments of Indonesia and
also gain access to technical data, specifications, and Turkey signed a memorandum of understanding (MoU) to
performance information. KAI will also train PTDI jointly develop and produce a medium tank for the
engineers and technicians, with an initial batch of 100 PTDI Indonesian Army. The programme is led by FNSS Defence
employees seconded to KAI in May 2016. Systems (a joint venture between Turkey's Nurol Holdings
and BAE Systems) and with collaboration from Indonesia's
In February 2017 KAI and PTDI set up a dedicated project state-owned PT Pindad. Following a design and
office for the KFX to support closer collaboration between development phase, the two companies will jointly
the two sides. construct two vehicle prototypes. One of these prototypes
will be built in Turkey and one in Indonesia, and both are
Fighter aircraft requirement expected to be complete before the end of 2017.

There is recognition in Indonesia that the country’s


capabilities in developing its aerospace industry can be Russian sales
further boosted by its pending fighter aircraft requirement,
which is being contested by Saab’s Gripen, Lockheed Russia's position as Indonesia's dominant provider of
Martin’s F-16, the Eurofighter, and the Sukhoi Su-35. military equipment is unrivalled, with Moscow supplying

© 2017 IHS 31 July 2017


Navigating the Emerging Markets | Indonesia Offset policy overview

since 2007 Sukhoi fighters, BMP-3F infantry fighting Since 2005, Indonesia's preference for deals involving the
vehicles, Mi-17 and Mi-35 helicopters through a series of barter of non-defence commodities has waned in favour of
credit loan deals. However, the Indonesia-Russian deals through export credit, although Jakarta still seems
partnership did not historically extend to joint willing to barter military equipment. Indeed, the provision
development programmes or even extensive technology is contained in Law 16, suggested future use of the policy is
transfer programmes. possible.
Russia's traditional preference to manufacture An example of Indonesia's barter trade policy that involves
indigenously before shipment to Indonesia is likely to stem non-defence commodities is its order of Sukhoi fighters and
from Jakarta's lack of bargaining power in defence deals and Mil Mi-35 helicopters from Russia in 2003.
a lack of Indonesian defence industry capability. Most
Russian equipment has been acquired through loans from The deal Russia focused on Indonesia's purchase of two
either Russian banks of through export credit leaving Sukhoi Su-30 multirole fighters, two Su-27 interceptor/
Indonesia little room to negotiate a commitment from ground-attack aircraft and two Mil Mi-35 attack
Moscow to transfer technology for anything other than helicopters. It was valued at USD200 million. The down-
basic maintenance. payment for the purchase – thought to be around 10% – was
secured through bridging loans from the State Logistics
In May 2011 Indonesia's House of Representatives' defence
Bureau (which is responsible for food procurement), while
commission attempted to rectify this in meetings in
the remainder was paid through a list of commodities
Moscow. Officials from Jakarta called on Russia to play a
including palm oil, coffee, rubber, bauxite, textiles and
bigger role in aiding the development of Indonesia's
computer equipment.
defence industries. A statement said that the Indonesian
side "expects support" from Russia to enable maintenance, More recently, Indonesia discussed with South Korea the
repair and overhaul of all Russian matériel in service in possibility of procuring two Chang Bogo-class (Type 209/
Indonesia. 1200) submarines in exchange for eight CN-235s in 2008,
The issue of support for Russian materiel in service with while in 2011 South Korean sources indicated to Jane's that
the Indonesian military was raised again in late 2014. Jakarta's selection of the Korea Aerospace Industries' T-50
Russian export agency Rosoboronexport agreed to enhance Golden Eagle advanced jet trainer may be underpinned by
the transfer of military technologies and related know-how the counter-purchase of aircraft.
to Indonesia to improve local capabilities and the operation
of Russian platforms in service with the TNI. This was Rubber for Sukhoi fighters
followed in January by an offer from Russia encompassing In May 2017 the Indonesian MoD underscored the facility
technology transfers, joint production in Indonesia of through Law 16 to support defence acquisitions through
components and structures, and the establishment of counter-trade or barter-trade.
maintenance, repair, and overhaul service centres in the
country. Specifically, the MoD said it was considering bartering
rubber as part of the programme that will support its
Moreover, in 2017 Russian ammunitions company
proposed acquisition of Sukhoi Su-35 'Flanker-E' multirole
Techmash said it was looking at setting up a facility in
combat aircraft from Russia.
Indonesia to support the localised production of 30 mm
and 100 mm-calibre artillery shells for Russian armoured Indonesian trade minister Enggartiasto Lukita told
vehicles in operation by the Indonesian Armed Forces. reporters in Jakarta on 18 May that the rubber deal was one
These activities are focused on Russia consolidating its element of a range of offset activities that were being
position in the Indonesian defence market in light of evaluated by government agencies including his ministry
increasing competition. and the country’s attorney general’s office.

News that Indonesia was considering the barter of rubber in


Counter-trade the Su-35 contract came two weeks after the MoD said that
its plan to procure the aircraft has been delayed due to
Indonesia has – in the past – demonstrated a preference to “uncertainty” over offset-related requirements and
secure defence deals through the barter of non-defence technology transfers.
items and military equipment. The strategy has been in
place intermittently for around two decades but proved to The Indonesian defence minister Ryamizard Ryacudu said
be an economic crutch following the economic crash of the in 2016 that the MoD was considering the acquisition of
late 1990s when Indonesian finances were particularly eight Su-35s and that negotiations with Russia were
constrained. continuing.

© 2017 IHS 32 July 2017


Navigating the Emerging Markets | Indonesia Offset policy overview

Collaboration challenge
Until a formalised defence offset policy is introduced in
Indonesia, industry collaboration – underpinned by Law 16 -
will be the vehicle through which development is sought,
although progress is likely to be slow while capabilities
remain at a relatively low level.

For foreign contractors tasked with collaborating with


Indonesian industry through technology transfers this lack
of local capability is likely to represent a significant
challenge.

It is notable that in the past Indonesia's defence industry


has been limited to mostly small-scale programmes.
Indonesian industry has proved capable of basic
maintenance and support of programmes although any
major modernisation programmes are outsourced. For
instance, recent Indonesian programmes to upgrade C-130s
and Cakra submarines have been awarded to Singapore and
South Korea respectively, while Indonesian companies
have largely focused on overhauling indigenously
manufactured products.

The challenge is further underlined in Indonesia’s


programme to build the third of three South Korean Chang
Bogo-class submarines indigenously. Jane’s understands
that South Korea’s DSME has retained significant concerns
about Indonesian capability to build the third boat in-
country, despite Indonesia’s investment in boosting local
construction facilities.

Looking forward, Indonesia’s industrial ambition is likely to


be continually restrained by actual capability. And as the
Indonesian Armed Forces’ requirements become more
sophisticated so will the challenges facing foreign OEMs.
An example is Indonesia’s multirole fighter aircraft
programme, which is being contested by Russia’s Sukhoi
Su-35, Dassault’s Rafale, the Eurofighter Typhoon, Saab’s
Gripen and Lockheed Martin’s F-16.

The multirole fighter requirement is certain to have strong


emphasis on local content but given Indonesian industry’s
almost non-existent exposure to combat aircraft
production in the past the programme could prove
troublesome to administer.

© 2017 IHS 33 July 2017


Navigating the Emerging Markets | Indonesia

Exports
Summary • Law Number 16 of 2012 on Defense Industry;
choromaster.files.wordpress.com/2015/03/uu_no_16_
Indonesia regards defence exports as a means to support
2012.pdf
the advancement of domestic capabilities but international • Law Number 7 of 2014 on Trade: www.indolaw.org/UU/
sales to date have been limited both in terms of equipment
Law%20No.%207%20of%202014%20on%20Trade.pdf
sold and the range of customers. • Law Number 10 of 1997 on Nuclear Energy:
Previous sales have featured firearms, ammunition or www.vertic.org/media/National%20Legislation/
explosives as well as the CN-235 transport aircraft produced Indonesia/ID_Law%20on%20Nuclear%20Energy.pdf
by PT Dirgantara Indonesia (PTDI) under licence from • Law Number 9 of 2008 on the Use of Chemical
Airbus (with profits split on secured exports). Since 2000 Materials: www.vertic.org/media/National%
PTDI-produced CN-235 aircraft have been exported to 20Legislation/Indonesia/ID_CWC_Law.pdf
countries including Malaysia, Pakistan, Senegal and South • Presidential Decree Number 125 of 1999 regarding
Korea. Explosives Materials: www.flevin.com/id/lgso/
translations/JICA%20Mirror/english/
PTDI secured a new contract in 2017 to also supply the CN- 45.Pres.125.1999.english.qc.html
235 to Nepal.
Indonesia also sees future export opportunities for naval Political issues
vessels. Supported by an increasing number of Indonesian
Navy procurement programmes, Jakarta is investing in There is strong political backing for defence exports in
developing naval shipbuilding construction capabilities and Indonesia based on the acknowledgment that such sales
has been encouraged to seek to penetrate naval export can provide support for the government’s efforts to develop
markets by its sale to the Philippines in 2014 of two its national defence companies – particularly the state-
strategic sealift vessels (SSVs). As of 2017 discussions over owned sector.
the sale of an additional two SSVs to the Philippines were
continuing. Reflecting the scope of this support, the Indonesian Export
Financing Agency (IEFA) – also known as the Indonesia
Indonesia has not published any statistics about the value Eximbank – announced in February 2017 that it would
of its defence exports. support the country's biggest state-owned defence
manufacturers' efforts to expand in international markets.
Authority To this end, the IEFA said it had ring-fenced an initial IDR2
Indonesia does not have a dedicated defence export agency, trillion (USD150 million) for the country’s defence export
although opportunities are supported by the Ministry of promotion project, with the funds offered to potential
Defence (MoD) in collaboration with other government customers in a bid to secure military exports.
bodies including the Indonesian Export Financing Agency
The funds would be made available to aerospace company
(IEFA) - also known as the Indonesia Eximbank.
PT Dirgantara Indonesia (PTDI), naval shipbuilder PT PAL,
and land systems specialist PT Pindad.
Legislation
Jane's understands that the funds will be channelled into
Indonesia has adopted several laws and regulations specific programmes.
governing the export of strategic goods. These are mainly
related to goods and materials, including nuclear, chemical, For instance, PTDI is targeting sales of the CN-235
and explosive materials. They cover export control, transport aircraft to countries including Nepal, the
licensing, and enforcement. Philippines, Senegal, Thailand, and the United Arab
Emirates. PT PAL is exporting strategic sealift vessels (SSVs)
Export laws include these below: to the Philippines and is pursuing sales of the platform to
other regional countries, while PT Pindad is offering its 6×6
• Law Number 17 of 2006 on Customs: Anoa armoured personnel carrier and a range of firearms
www.kemenkeu.go.id/en/Peraturan/law-republic- and ammunition to countries in the Asia-Pacific region and
indonesia-number-17-2006 Africa.

© 2017 IHS 34 July 2017


Navigating the Emerging Markets | Indonesia Exports

Export finance
Export credit is provided by the state-owned Indonesian
Export Financing Agency (IEFA) -
www.indonesiaeximbank.go.id/en

International obligations and sanctions


Indonesia is not a member of export control regimes.
However, the country’s has shown commitment to
preventing exports of strategic goods in line with foreign
policy regarding the proliferation of weapons of mass
destruction.

This commitment is outlined in the country’s various


strategic goods export control laws, which are detailed
above.

Markets
Several markets have been identified by the MoD and the
IEFA as export target regions. These include South Asia,
Southeast Asia, Latin America and Africa.

© 2017 IHS 35 July 2017


Navigating the Emerging Markets | Indonesia

Defence industrial capabilities


Indonesia's defence industry base is dominated by several Indonesia's defence industry has traditionally undertaken
state-run firms – including naval shipbuilder PT PAL, the development of such systems without any significant
aerospace manufacturer PT Dirgantara Indonesia (PTDI), government support. Jakarta's defence industrial ambitions
land systems specialist PT Pindad, explosives specialist PT have been limited in the past and this has resulted in a lack
Dahana and defence electronics company PT Len Industri. of a cohesive strategy for research and development as well
as industrial development and procurement. It has also led
These companies are supported by a dozen or so other state- to a high dependency on foreign equipment – estimated at
run companies and the private sector, which is growing about 70%.
rapidly as Indonesian requirements expand. As of 2017 the
Since 2008, however, the government has outlined a
private sector includes around 70-80 companies involved in
commitment to develop the defence industry. Efforts to
manufacturing for the defence sector. The industrial base is
drive defence industrial development were enshrined in the
estimated to employ about 70,000 people.
broader Indonesia 2011-25 MasterPlan and – more
In effect, the primary state-owned companies act as Tier 1 specifically – in the Defence Industry Law of 2012. An
on all indigenous programmes with main component example of the financial commitment made by Indonesia to
production undertaken by both the Tier 1s and Tier 2 its national defence industry was the government’s move in
subcontractors, which include primary private-sector 2015 to invest USD55 million in land systems specialist PT
companies such as PT Sari Bahari. Tier 3 subcontractors and Pindad to support the development of its production
SMEs usually supply other smaller components and facilities. In 2014 similar funding was also allocated to PT
systems and raw materials. PAL.

In the naval sector there appears to be greater scope for Defence Industry Law
major private sector companies to secure prime contracts.
Legislation was passed in 2012 to drive development of
For example, PT Palindo has produced KCR-40 fast attack
national defence industries. The Defence Industry Act –
craft for the Indonesian Navy. This is primarily due to state-
also known as Law 16 – was passed by the House of
owned PT PAL being over-stretched in terms of capacity and
Representatives in October 2012, and entered law later in
Indonesia's perceived requirement to expand
the year. Specific measures were as follows:
manufacturing capability in the marine sector.
• Mandated procurement from local defence companies
Core capabilities in cases where this is practicable.
• Mandated indigenous involvement by obliging foreign
The industrial base has well-established capabilities in market entrants to form production partnerships with
licence production programmes – such as small and local organisations; effectively offset in all but name.
medium-sized transport aircraft and helicopters – although • The provision of financial incentives to encourage
the capability to indigenously design, develop and research and development investment.
manufacture complete platforms and systems is limited to • The encouragement of financial self-sufficiency (with
armoured personnel carriers, low-sophistication the reward of a future move to part-privatise (25%) state
communications devices, a range of small-scale naval defence companies that avoid losses).
platforms such as offshore patrol vessels and fast craft. • State-owned military production organisations (such as
PTDI and PT PAL were to be transferred from the
It also is capable in low-technology areas such as the Ministry of State Owned Enterprises to the Ministry of
production of small arms, ammunition, explosives and Defence to ensure close alignment with the armed
propellants; and the maintenance, repair and overhaul of forces. However, by 2017 this objective had not been
indigenously produced aircraft and naval vessels. achieved.
In common with many developing nations Indonesia 2016 White Paper
retains considerable weaknesses in capabilities related to
the design and development of military systems (notably Indonesia's defence White Paper, published in May 2016,
naval platforms) and more advanced technologies, although outlined a requirement for a "strong and independent
signs are gradually emerging of a capability to develop defence industry" to support the country's efforts to
surveillance systems and unmanned aerial vehicles (UAVs). protect its sovereignty in light of growing regional tension.

© 2017 IHS 36 July 2017


Navigating the Emerging Markets | Indonesia Defence industrial capabilities

The document stated that at the heart of Indonesia's 1990s and, as a consequence, the economic crash of 1997
response to its strategic threats is the TNI's Minimum did much damage to Indonesia. The country's defence firms
Essential Force (MEF) strategy, and in building MEF were badly hit prompting many to go bankrupt and the
capability the White Paper states that several key activities restructuring of those remaining. PTDI, for instance, was
need to be pursued. downsized from 18 divisions to four.

These include a "strong national defence capability"; The government initiated efforts to revitalise the defence
"strengthening defence management" and restructuring
industry base in 2008 with a commitment to implement a
defence organisations; strengthening military facilities;
cohesive industrial policy backed with a pledge to procure
better border protection; investment in information and
from indigenous sources and to grow defence spending. Part
communication systems; developing international
of this revitalisation plan involved the introduction of the
collaboration; and the "empowerment of the national
defence industry". Defence Industry Law 2012.

While the White Paper provides no details about the TNI's


military requirements over the coming decade, it does
provide clear indication of its procurement priorities. These
are highlighted as "priority programmes" for the
Indonesia's defence industry and include submarine
construction, propellants, rockets, missiles, radars, medium
tanks, and fighter aircraft.

The document states that Indonesia's key strategy for


developing industrial capability in these areas – in order to
support the TNI – is a commitment by the government to
prioritise procurement from local sources through the
Defence Industry Law 2012.

Defence industrial development -


history
Indonesia's defence companies were first encouraged to
develop in the 1970s with the signing of a parliamentary
mandate which attempted to reduce the country's
dependence on foreign manufacturers. Accompanying
legislation saw the amalgamation of several military assets
into what has since become Indonesia's largest defence
enterprise, PTDI.

The focus initially was on the production, maintenance and


repair of relatively low-scale systems, although
development was relatively slow until the early 1990s when
regional economies – including Indonesia's – grew rapidly
on the back of strong exports to the West. The early 1990s
also saw the ownerships of many military producers
transferred from the armed forces to the government.
During this period of expansion, Indonesia's defence
industrial base developed capabilities – largely through
licensed manufacturing deals – to produce light aircraft,
helicopters, transport aircraft, landing craft, patrol boats,
ammunition and firearms.

However, the government borrowed much foreign money


to support the growth of its manufacturing base during the

© 2017 IHS 37 July 2017


Navigating the Emerging Markets | Indonesia

Defence industrial capabilities by domain


Air Lockheed Martin and Eurofighter, which are also
competing in the programme, are offering similarly
Indonesia regards its aerospace capabilities as a major attractive industrial programmes.
industrial strength. This is despite the sector's dependency
on foreign technologies and a distinct lack of depth beyond To support an expansion in capability, PTDI announced in
the capabilities of the state-owned group PTDI, which is August 2016 plans to move its production facilities. The
focused on the licensed production, assembly and new facility, which will measure up to 300 ha, will be built
maintenance, repair and overhaul of European designed on land surrounding Indonesia's new international airport,
platforms such as the CN-235, C295 and NC212 transport which is currently under construction in Kertajati, West
aircraft and the NAS-332 Super Puma. Another licensed- Java, and is scheduled to open in 2017. The company said
production agreement is in place with Bell Helicopter, the capacity of its existing 50-hectare facility in Bandung,
featuring Bell 412EP utility helicopters for the Indonesian West Java, was "already too full", and that its new facility is
Army. expected to be operational by 2019.

In carrying out its various licence production programmes Another stated priority for Indonesia is to boost MRO
PTDI is supported by a handful of small and medium-sized capability.
enterprises. Capabilities required to indigenously design
and develop military aerospace programmes are evident in To support this emphasis in March 2017 several Indonesian
the N219 turboprop transport aircraft and some unmanned state-owned aerospace companies signed an agreement
aerial vehicles. with the government to collaborate on setting up a new
holding company that will provide commercial/military
aerospace MRO services.
Jakarta is aiming to augment indigenous aerospace
capabilities, however, through a number of activities. The MOU is intended to support the development of
Firstly, they include the added emphasis on industrial Indonesia as a centre for MRO in Southeast Asia, the
collaboration that is intended to promote technology government said. The new company will be named
transfer in aerospace licenced production programmes. This Indonesia Service Hub.
has seen PTDI become involve in larger programmes such as
the Airbus C295 aircraft and possibly the A400M. Indonesian companies to own stakes in the new entity
comprise PTDI; GMF AeroAsia, a subsidiary of Garuda
Secondly, Indonesia is looking to acquire aerospace Indonesia; aero-engine service company PT Nusantara
technologies through an agreement that it signed with Turbin dan Propulsi; MRO company PT Indopelita Aircraft
Seoul in January 2016 on the development of South Korea's Services; and PT Merpati Maintenance Facility, a military/
next-generation fighter aircraft (named KFX). This commercial service provider operated by Merpati Nusantara
programme will see PTDI collaborate with Korean industry Airlines.
in its project to develop and produce a fifth-generation
fighter platform by 2025. Indonesia has agreed to pay 20%
of development costs in order to enter the programme and Land
gain access to advanced aerospace technologies.
Indonesia's land systems sector, which is dominated by
state-owned PT Pindad, is relatively self-sufficient having
The Indonesian government is looking to boost aerospace developed and produced over the past decade or so the 4×4
capabilities further through the programme to procure Komodo armoured personnel carrier (APC) and the 6×6
multirole combat aircraft. If the programme proves large Anoa APC (as well as a range of variants) and firearms,
enough to support localised production, PTDI is expected to ammunition, explosives, mortars and howitzers. PT Pindad
play a major role, undertaking localised manufacturing of has also produced other firearms under licence from
some components and possible final assembly. Belgium's FN Herstal and Singapore Technologies
Engineering and has developed a new version of the Anoa,
With this requirement in mind, Saab announced in October called Badak, which is fitted with a 90 mm canon developed
2015 its intention to formally offer Indonesia a "Swedish air by Belgium’s CMI Defence.
power package" featuring its JAS 39 Gripen combat aircraft.
Saab said the offer will "significantly contribute to Indonesia's indigenous defence industrial capabilities have
Indonesian defence and security as well as the economy". been developed out of necessity. The development the

© 2017 IHS 38 July 2017


Navigating the Emerging Markets | Indonesia Defence industrial capabilities by domain

Anoa, for example, was accelerated in the early years of this January 2017, and PT Karimun Anugrah Sejati launched two
century when Indonesian Armed Forces were involved in PC-40 patrol vessels for the Indonesian Navy in late 2016.
conflict with the Free Acer Movement. The Badak vehicle In addition, in 2017 the TNI-AL inducted five newbuild KAL
has also been developed out of a TNI requirement. In 28 patrol craft built by PT Tesco Indomaritim.
January 2016 PT Pindad received an order to supply the
Indonesian Army with an initial 50 Badak units. The value PT PAL is also preparing to construct under licence the
of the contract is understood to be worth around Indonesian Navy's third Chang Bogo-class diesel-electric
IDR500 billion (USD36 million) and features the submarine. Prime contractor Daewoo Shipbuilding &
Indonesian company’s production of the CMI turret Marine Engineering (DSME) from South Korea is building
system. the first two submarines in South Korea with gradually
increased input from seconded PT PAL engineers and
Indonesia has recognised a specific strength with technicians. Preparation also includes significant
particularly its development of military vehicles and is investment in upgrading production facilities at the
looking to enhance this capability further through a company's shipyard in Surabaya, and this construction
partnership with Turkish company FNSS Savunma programme was completed in early 2017.
Sistemleri announced in 2014 to jointly develop a medium
tank. PT Pindad has also signed agreements with Saab to Another indicator of efforts to develop capability is
collaborate on the Swedish company’s Ground Based Air investment to establish a warship design and development
Defence (GBAD) system and extend the operational life of centre. The Naval Design Centre was established in 2016 in
the TNI's RBS 70 man-portable air-defence missile systems. Surabaya.
PT Pindad has also signed an accord with Rheinmetall
Denel Munition (RDM) to jointly develop and produce
The design centre is looking to develop capability through a
ammunition and provide support for the TNI's Leopard
partnership with Danish company Odense Maritime
tanks.
Technology (OMT), which was announced in 2017. It is
understood that the agreement covers potential
Sea collaboration across a range of naval platforms.

Given Indonesia's geography and strategic requirements, it To this end, the TNI-AL is known to have previously
could be argued that its shipbuilding capabilities have not expressed interest in the RDN’s Iver Huitfeldt-class frigate,
developed to a satisfactory level. Efforts have been made to three of which were built by OMT and commissioned in
enhance local capabilities, however. For example, in 2016 2012 and 2014. The TNI-AL is likely to be considering the
Indonesia established an agency dedicated to indigenous class as a replacement for its six Ahmad Yani-class frigates,
warship design and development. which are scheduled to be decommissioned from 2017.

Indonesia has traditionally undertaken nearly all


shipbuilding programmes through state-owned PT PAL, C4ISR
although in recent years some private sector shipyards in
the country are raising their profile. Like PTDI in the The development of electronic systems related to rockets,
aerospace sector, PT PAL has emerged as primarily a missiles, surveillance and detection is regarded as a priority
licensed manufacturer of foreign developed platforms, in Indonesia in order to enhance security across its vast
although some indigenous capabilities (with foreign archipelago and enhance TNI integration.
influence) are evident. In May 2011, for example, it
emerged that PT PAL had offered to meet a Philippines As part of this drive Indonesia's PTDI, in collaboration with
amphibious vessel requirement with an indigenous design. the government-run Agency for Assessment and
A similar design is also being offered to Myanmar. Application of Technology (BPPT), is developing an
indigenous tactical surveillance Unmanned Aerial Vehicle
PT PAL's only indigenously designed and developed (UAV) – called Puna – although progress has been slow
platforms to have entered service with the Indonesian Navy partly due to limited experience and capability in this area.
over the past decade or so are small patrol vessels and Another UAV, named Wulung, has been developed by PTDI
missile attack craft such as the KCR-60 class that were and has been delivered to the air force.
commissioned in 2014.
In addition, Indonesia's communications and aerospace
Another shipbuilder PT Palindo Marine has produced sectors have been developing an indigenous radar
KCR-40 fast attack craft, which were commissioned in capability, although Jakarta's preference for foreign

© 2017 IHS 39 July 2017


Navigating the Emerging Markets | Indonesia Defence industrial capabilities by domain

systems, such as ThalesRaytheonSystems's Master T system


(contracts relating to which were placed up to 2005),
suggests that these indigenous programmes are not at a
sophisticated stage.

Similarly Indonesia currently has no indigenous missile


defence system but has been developing a 122 mm rocket
launcher system – called the R-HAN 122 – for several years.
PT Pindad and PTDI are involved in developing the R-HAN
system, and it is possible that Chinese technologies could
be sought to boost the programme. Beijing and Jakarta
signed a missile agreement in 2011 that is based initially on
transfer of technologies related to C-802 anti-ship cruise
missiles but it is likely to be expanded to encompass the
C-705 surface-to-surface missile.

Cyber-security
Indonesia began in 2013 to bolster its national cyber-
security capabilities through the creation of a Cyber
Defence Operations Centre under the aegis of the Ministry
of Defence. National industrial capabilities in this area
remain rather lacking, however. To plug this shortfall,
Indonesia signed an agreement with Finland in January
2013 to co-operate on cyber security capability
developments. Assistance is also being provided by Japan
and the US.

© 2017 IHS 40 July 2017


Navigating the Emerging Markets | Indonesia

National defence companies by sector


Aerospace International partnerships: Has long-standing
partnerships with many airlines and also the Indonesian
PT Dirgantara Indonesia (PTDI)
and Dutch defence ministries.
Website: www.indonesian-aerospace.com
Capabilities: Provides military fixed-wing and helicopter
licensed production services to EADS and Bell Helicopters. PT General Electric Nusantara Turbine Services
It also undertakes aerostructure work, a range of Capabilities: Provides repair and maintenance services for
engineering services and maintenance, repair and overhaul combustion, turbine engines as well as components and
of civil and military aircraft that it has produced. spare parts for GE engines and non-GE engines.
Established: Established in 1976 as PT Industri Pesawat Established: 1955
Terbang Nurtanio (IPTN) by former president B J Habibie as Ownership: State/private ownership
its president director. Became known as PT Dirgantara International partnerships: The company is a long-
Indonesia in 2000. standing joint venture between PTDI and General Electric.
Ownership: State-owned
International partnerships: PT Dirgantara Indonesia has
a long-standing partnership with EADS subsidiaries Airbus
Naval services
Military and Eurocopter to produce the NC-212 and CN-235 PT Palindo
fixed-wing transport aircraft, and NBO-105 and NAS-332 Website: www.palindoshipyard.com
Super Puma helicopters. PTDI also signed an agreement Capabilities: Shipbuilding, design and repair. Specialises in
with Textron subsidiary Bell Helicopter in 2009 to licence aluminium and glass-fibre structures. PT Palindo is
produce the BEL 412 helicopter. PTDI has also discussed the constructing the second of two fast attack craft (KCR-40)
possibility of a partnership with the Aviation Industry for the Indonesian Navy.
Corporation of China (AVIC) over joint production of Established: 1960
Chinese aircraft. PTDI was also the Indonesian lead on the Ownership: Privately owned
co-operative South Korean/Indonesian Korean Fighter International partnerships: Has previously partnered
Xperiment/Indonesian Fighter Xperiment (KFX/IFX) South Korean shipbuilders Daewoo Shipbuilding and
combat aircraft programme. Marine Engineering and Daesun Shipyard on the design of
four Makassar-class landing platform docks.
PT Goodrich Pindad Aeronautical Systems
Capabilities: Focused on actuation and landing systems for PT Dok Dan Perkapalan Surabaya
primarily the commercial sector. Website: www.dok-sby.co.id
Established: 1997 Capabilities: Shipbuilding, Repair, Conversion, Design,
Ownership: Goodrich holds 51% of the company; PT Engineering. Company specialises in building vessels of up
Pindad 35%; and PT Metinca Dirgantara 14%. to 8,000 DWT.
International partnerships: PT Goodrich Pindad Established: Formed by the Dutch in 1910 but handed over
Aeronautical Systems is a joint venture enterprise, formed the Indonesian government in 1961.
between Goodrich, PT Pindad and PT Metinca Dirgantara. Ownership: State-owned
International partnerships: Signed an agreement with
GMF AeroAsia South Korea's Daewoo Shipbuilding & Marine Engineering
Website: www.gmf-aeroasia.co.id in May 2011 to establish a joint venture to build a shipyard
Capabilities: Provides maintenance, repair and overhaul in Batam, Indonesia.
services to primarily commercial airliners but also to some
military platforms such KDC-10 aerial refuelling tankers. PT SSE-Van Der Horst
Also undertakes cargo conversion services, engine Website: www.sse-vanderhorst.co.id
maintenance and engineering services. Capabilities: Precision engineering of shipbuilding
Established: GMF AeroAsia started in 1949 as the technical components. PT SSE-Van Der Horst Indonesia engages in
division of Garuda Indonesia Airlines. Garuda Indonesia testing, repairing, servicing, and remanufacturing
transformed the division into the Garuda Maintenance equipment for the marine and ship repair sectors.
Facility Support Centre in 1984 to maximize contribution. Established: 1991
It split off from Garuda Indonesia in 2002. Ownership: Privately owned
Ownership: Privately owned International partnerships: N/A

© 2017 IHS 41 July 2017


Navigating the Emerging Markets | Indonesia National defence companies by sector

PT PAL Indonesia the end of 2014. The vessel is known as the Kapal Motor
Website: www.pal.co.id Cepat (KMC) Komando and was manufactured in
Capabilities: PT PAL undertakes merchant/naval vessel collaboration with the Navy and local tertiary institution
production, general engineering, nautical repair and Surabaya Institute of Technology (Intstitut Teknologi
maintenance. The company is Indonesia’s most important Surabaya).
naval construction enterprise and in recent years has Established: 1989
secured partnerships with a wide range of foreign Ownership: Private
companies. International partnerships: N/A
Established: PT PAL was inaugurated by the Dutch
government in 1939. During Indonesia's Japanese PT Lundin (North Sea Boats)
occupation during World War II the company's name was Website: www.northseaboats.com
changed to Kaigun SE 2124. Following independence in Capabilities: The company is developing the Klewang-class
1945, the Indonesian government nationalized the trimaran stealth patrol ship in collaboration with Saab. One
company and changed its name back to PT PAL. vessel is under constructed but a total of four are required.
Ownership: State-owned The company also unveiled at IndoDefence in 2014 a range
International partnerships: The company is currently of new vessels based on its wave-piercing catamaran and
collaborating with Netherlands-based Damen Schelde Naval trimaran hullform designs and carbon-fibre composite
Shipbuilding over the licensed production of 2,400-ton technologies.
frigates for the Indonesian Navy. Has also previously Established: 2003
collaborated with the China Precision Machinery Import- Ownership: Private
Export Corporation – a subsidiary of the China Aerospace International partnerships: Saab
Science and Technology Corporation – over the installment
of C-802 missiles on Indonesian naval vessels. PT PAL has
also entered a partnership with Indian shipbuilder Pipavav Land
to explore potential build programmes, and is partnered
CV Sari Bahari
with DSME of South Korea to carry out local construction
Website: www.saribahari.com
of the Indonesian Type 209 diesel-electric attack
Capabilities: Produces small range of missiles, rockets and
submarines (a December 2011 accord).
bombs for the Indonesian Armed Forces. In November 2010
PT Infra RCS was contracted to produce P-100 and P-100L bombs for the
Website: infra-rcs.co.id/en Su-27/30 aircraft in service with the Indonesian Air Force.
Capabilities: Company produces naval sensors Established: 1993
Established: N/A Ownership: Privately owned
Ownership: Private International partnerships: N/A
International partnerships: N/A
PT Pindad
PT Daya Radar Utama Website: www.pindad.com
Website: www.dayaru.com Capabilities: Company designs, develops and
Capabilities: Company is building landing ship tanks for manufactures armoured personnel carriers. It also produces
the Indonesian Navy firearms, grenade launchers and ammunition. Service and
Established: 1960s repair work is also carried out. PT Pindad developed the
Ownership: Private Anoa APS-2 (6×6) APC for the Indonesian Army in 2003. A
International partnerships: N/A contract was awarded for about 158 production vehicles in
PT Citra Bahari Shipyard three batches with over 120 units delivered by early 2011.
Website: citrabahari.com Established: Established in 1808 by Dutch but transferred
Capabilities: Company has built KCR-40-class anti-ship to the Indonesian government following independence in
missile craft and PC-43 patrol craft for the Indonesian Navy 1945.
Established: N/A Ownership: State-owned
Ownership: Private International partnerships: Partnered with Turkey's
International partnerships: N/A FNSS Savunma Sistemleri to develop a medium tank, and
has collaborated with Renault Trucks Defense over the
PT Tesco Indomaritim fitting of engines for Indonesia's indigenously
Website: www.tescoindomaritim.com manufactured 6×6 Panser armoured personnel carrier. Has
Capabilities: The company is building nine fast attack craft also previously collaborated with the China Precision
for the Indonesian Navy. All are scheduled for delivery by Machinery Import-Export Corporation – a subsidiary of the

© 2017 IHS 42 July 2017


Navigating the Emerging Markets | Indonesia National defence companies by sector

China Aerospace Science and Technology Corporation – International partnerships: PT Len formed a partnership
over the instalment of C-802 missiles on Indonesian naval with Thales in 2008 related to the production of Thales
vessels. PT Pindad is also partnered with Belgium's CMI communications devices. Has also partnered South Korea's
Defence and Rheinmetall Denel Munition produce Lig Nex1 to develop military communication systems.
weapons systems and ammunition respectively. In 2016 PT
Pindad also said that it was looking to secure its first PT Panorama Timur Jaya
international acquisition within the ensuing 12 months. Website: www.panorama.co.id
Capabilities: Development and manufacturing of avionics,
PT Dahana electronics and telecommunications systems. The company
Website: www.dahana.com also manufactures firearm sights. It produces a military
Capabilities: Production of ammunition and explosives for communications test system based on the Aeroflex TS-4317
the Indonesian Armed Forces. communications test set (also known as the FM/AM-1600
Established: 1966 test set).
Ownership: State-owned Established: 1976
International partnerships: PT Dahana signed Ownership: Privately owned
agreements with European companies Roxel and Eurenco International partnerships: Agreement with US company
in May 2014 to develop and build a propellant plant in Aeroflex to produce military communications systems.
Indonesia to meet the requirements of the Indonesian
Armed Forces.
PT Elektrindo Nusantara
Website: www.en.co.id
Engineering services Capabilities: Company develops telecommunications
technologies and related equipment and systems. Company
PT Barata
is known to support other communications companies in
Website: www.barata.co.id
Indonesia in supplying services to the MoD.
Capabilities: Engineering and construction services
Established: 1983
Established: 1971
Ownership: Privately owned
Ownership: State-owned
International partnerships: N/A
International partnerships: N/A

PT Pasifik Satelit Nusanta


Communications/high Website: www.psn.co.idra
technologies Capabilities: Provides satellite telecommunications
services, notably to the Indonesian MoD.
PT Inti
Established: 1991
Website: www.inti.co.id
Ownership: Privately owned
Capabilities: Communications services
International partnerships: Signed an agreement with
Established: 1975
Lockheed Martin in 1995 to develop technologies related to
Ownership: State-owned, but identified for privatisation
satellite technologies.
in 2012. Note that plans to merge PT Len and PT Inti were
raised by the Indonesian government in February 2013.
International partnerships: N/A Elektrindodaya Pakarnusa PT
Website: www.nusaweb.com
PT Len Capabilities: Company activities encompass
Website: www.len.co.id telecommunications, defence electronics, navigation,
Capabilities: Development and manufacturing of a range simulation/training, and civil aviation products.
of electronic systems, including those related to Established: 1975
surveillance, combat management and tactical Ownership: Privately owned
communications. PT Len is involved in the research and International partnerships: N/A
development of coastal surveillance systems in partnership
with the Indonesian Institute of Sciences and PT Dirgantara PT Indosat
Indonesia. Website: www.indosat.com
Established: 1965 Capabilities: Provides satellite telecommunications
Ownership: State-owned. Note that plans to merge PT Len services; notably radio-frequency systems.
and PT Inti were raised by the Indonesian government in Established: 1967
February 2013. Ownership: Partly owned by government, partly

© 2017 IHS 43 July 2017


Navigating the Emerging Markets | Indonesia National defence companies by sector

privatised.
International partnerships: Has previously been
partnered with satellite communications group Intelsat.

PT Telekom
Website: www.telkom.co.id
Capabilities: The provision of telecommunications
services.
Established: 1970
Ownership: State-owned
International partnerships: N/A

© 2017 IHS 44 July 2017


Navigating the Emerging Markets | Indonesia

Transparency and corruption


been commonplace over the past decade. Indonesia's
Transparency International Corruption Perceptions
purchases of Scorpion light tanks in the 1990s as well as Mil
Index rankings: Indonesia and regional peers (2016)
Mi-2 and Mi-17 helicopters in 2002 and 2004 and Sukhoi
2016 Ranking (out of 176
territories)
fighter aircraft in 2011 are examples of acquisition
Singapore 7 programmes that have been subject to scrutiny by
Malaysia 55 Indonesian officials.
Indonesia 90
Philippines 101 In 2017 the KPK also said there was suspected procurement
Thailand 101 irregularities in the Indonesian export of strategic sealift
Vietnam 113 vessels to the Philippines.
Source: Transparency International
Overview
Corruption and a lack of transparency have been problems Civilian oversight
associated with Indonesia's governmental systems -
particularly in defence - for many decades and are largely a Efforts to address corruption in defence and other sectors
result of a lack of controlled access to funds and diluted have been highlighted by the government – and particularly
civilian oversight of military budgets and other President Susilo Bambang Yudhoyono (in power from 2004
administrative processes. to 2014) – as a priority in its bid to raise levels of
professionalism and accountability as well as make more
In the past such unregulated practices have led to a number efficient use of public funding. A similar priority has been
of defence procurements being subjected to illegal "price announced by Yudhoyono's successor Joko Widodo.
markups". Jane’s understands that the problem has
continued under the current Joko Widodo administration. As part of an aim to centralise defence procurement, the
government has introduced a number of initiatives
Indonesia’s problems with corruption are reflected in the designed to address corruption. These measures – which
Transparency International Corruption Perceptions Index include the need for defence minister approval on defence
(CPI) reports. In the 2016 CPI Indonesia was ranked 90th programmes and the inclusion of integrity pacts – are
(out of 176 countries), maintaining its position as one of enshrined in defence procurement laws that have been
the lowest placed countries in the region. Despite this, it enacted since 2004 (see Procurement). This centralisation
does represent an improvement on recent years, which can is intended to increase civilian oversight of defence
attributed to continuing efforts in Jakarta to eradicate procurement procedures and relegate the armed services to
corruption. In 2014 Indonesia was ranked 107th out of 174 a "request and consultation" role. It is also intended to
countries and in 2013 was ranked 114th out of 175 reduce the influence of so-called middlemen or those
countries. Its ranking in 2015 was 88th. involved in arranging and approving defence transactions.

Procurement focus Anti-corruption declaration


The government's watchdog, the Komisi Pemberantasan Indicative of the government's commitment to stamp out
Korupsi (KPK), or the Corruption Eradication Commission, corruption in defence - and perhaps an acknowledgement
is the lead agency in fighting graft in defence procurement. that previous policies needed strengthening - in January
Underlining both the historical scale of the problem and the 2011 the Ministry of Defence signed a "Declaration on Anti-
efforts to address it, the KPK is supported by another Corruption" with the chiefs of the three armed forces as
agency – the Indonesia Corruption Watch – a non- well as the KPK. Under the terms of the declaration, the
government organisation that has also been involved in KPK was invited by then defence minister Purnomo
implementing processes to encourage transparency in Yusgiantoro to monitor activities related to the
defence. procurement of all goods and services.

The KPK has stated that 70% of corruption activity in The KPK – which was established in 2002 and has legal
Indonesia occurs in the procurement of goods and services. basis to undertake independent investigations into
Allegations of irregularities in defence procurement have suspected corruption – is also calling on the MoD to

© 2017 IHS 45 July 2017


Navigating the Emerging Markets | Indonesia Transparency and corruption

introduce e-procurement processes that encourage


accountability and transparency, although the MoD has so
far resisted such moves saying that defence has "unique
sensitivities".

Additionally, the MoD has introduced a range of


educational and training courses intended to install greater
levels of accountability and professionalism in defence
procurement. These measures are also intended to
complement the KPK accord signed in 2011.

These have been followed up with the MoD pledging to


adhere in April 2015 to an "integrity charter" to enhance
transparency and efficiencies within the ministry and the
TNI. The MoD said charter – a joint initiative between the
MoD and the Indonesian Ministry of Administrative and
Bureaucratic Reform – is intended to improve bureaucratic
processes within the MoD in relation to a range of
activities, including procurement.

According to an MoD statement, the overall intention is to


promote both the MoD and the TNI as "zones committed
towards integrity and anti-corruption". Indonesian Defence
Minister Ryamizard Ryacudu added that the initiative is
regarded as a "strategic step that will introduce bureaucratic
processes that are free from corruption".

© 2017 IHS 46 July 2017


Navigating the Emerging Markets | Indonesia

Relations with materiel producing countries


Indonesia has moved in recent years to enhance In February 2014 bilateral co-operation was again on the
government-to-government bilateral defence industrial agenda, with military-to-military activities such as
relations with a plethora of countries. maritime co-operation and anti-terrorism exercises
discussed.
During 2012, accords were signed with the Czech Republic, Position of Indonesia in wider strategic plans: China
France, Germany, India, Italy, North Korea, Spain and the regards Indonesia as an important partner in Southeast
UK. Comparable accords with Finland, Turkey, and Vietnam Asia. The significance of the relationship has been
were signed in 2013. In recent years, meanwhile, Indonesia highlighted by senior Chinese officials' numerous visits to
signed defence trade and industry agreements and related Jakarta in 2010 and 2011. Of note to China is Indonesia's
military-technical accords with countries including Greece, proximity to an area in the South China Sea that is thought
India, Sweden, Ukraine, Japan, Slovakia, Saudi Arabia, to contain extensive oil and gas reserves. China also wants
Canada, and the Netherlands. to gain more influence over the navigation of the fuel that
traverses through the Indonesian region to China from the
The specific nature of the agreements varied to a degree but Middle East.
at their core was Indonesia's desire to accelerate defence Prognosis for future defence trade: China aims to secure
industrial development while broadening its potential pool considerable sales to Indonesia. Its strategy is largely based
of suppliers. External suppliers, meanwhile, eyed on marketing inexpensive products coupled with transfer
Indonesia's growing military procurement budgets and far- of technology. Indonesia, however, seems reluctant to
reaching materiel and service requirements. engage to any significant degree mainly due to its
continuing wariness of Chinese strategic intentions.
China
Summary of bilateral relations: Diplomatic relations France
between Indonesia and China were restored in 1990 after Summary of bilateral relations: Bilateral relations
being suspended for 25 years after Jakarta accused Beijing between Indonesia and France have grown considerably
of supporting an abortive coup against the Indonesian stronger over the past five years with French politicians and
government. Since 1990 ties have improved rapidly, business leaders paying several high-profile visits to Jakarta
although Indonesia remains wary of China's strategic aimed at boosting links in a wide range of areas including
intentions in the Asia Pacific. trade, defence, security, and science and technology. The
Bilateral trade (all): China is Indonesia's fourth biggest then president Susilo Bambang Yudhoyono also visited
trade partner with total transactions reaching nearly Paris in December 2009 where the two countries signed a
USD130 billion during 2000 and 2009 (IMF). By the end of strategic partnership agreement.
2015 the two countries are aiming to grow bilateral trade to Bilateral trade (all): Bilateral trade between France and
more than USD80 billion. In 2014 and 2015 the value of Indonesia was relatively low between 2000 and 2009 at
trade was about USD70 billion annually. around USD16 billion (IMF). In 2010 it increased to around
Defence trade history: Indonesia's purchase of Chinese USD2.5 billion. Enhanced bilateral ties (as mentioned
matériel has been minimal but has grown in recent years. above) are designed to boost trade significantly. In the short
The only sales to date have all occurred in recent years: in to medium term the target is double annual trade to at least
2009 Indonesia purchased QW-3 portable surface to air USD5 billion.
missiles while in 2008 and 2010 it concluded deals to Defence trade history: The Airbus Group has a licence
procure C-802 anti-ship missiles. The latter of these production partnership with PT Dirgantara Indonesia that
purchases was supplemented by a comprehensive stretches back more than 30 years. PT Dirgantara has
technology transfer agreement. produced Eurocopter NAS-332 Super Puma; EC- 120 and
Defence teamings/joint ventures/live memoranda of NBO 105CB helicopters under license as well as Airbus
understanding: The two countries have created an inter- Military CN-1235 medium-range transport and C-212 short-
governmental military technology forum that is intended take-off-and-landing transport aircraft under licence. Also,
to explore areas of potential procurement. The partnership the two countries signed a strategic partnership in 2009
facilitated China's sale in 2011 of C-802 missiles. Industry that is aimed to boost defence trade further. In 2014 and
partners on the C-802 programme are Indonesia's PT 2015 the two governments also discussed potential naval
Pindad and the China Precision Machinery Import-Export shipbuilding programmes and an expansion of aerospace
Corporation (CPMIEC); a subsidiary of defence enterprise industrial relations with focus on the C295 transport
the China Aerospace Science and Technology Corporation. aircraft.

© 2017 IHS 47 July 2017


Navigating the Emerging Markets | Indonesia Relations with materiel producing countries

Defence teamings/joint ventures/live memoranda of Indonesia has also expressed interest in collaboration with
understanding: The Airbus Group has a licence production Germany focused on naval shipbuilding.
partnership with PT Dirgantara Indonesia that stretches Position of Indonesia in wider strategic plans: Germany
back more than 30 years. PT Dirgantara has produced sees Indonesia as an important partner both on a bilateral
Eurocopter NAS-332 Super Puma; EC- 120 and NBO 105CB level and with regard to its relations with Asia Pacific and
helicopters under license as well as Airbus Military CN-1235 Southeast Asian region. Indonesia embarked upon efforts
medium-range transport and C-212 short-take-off-and- to undertake a series of reforms related to human rights
landing transport aircraft under licence. Also, the two (from 2000), relations have warmed considerably.
countries signed a strategic partnership in 2009 that is Prognosis for future defence trade: Germany's
aimed to boost defence trade further. In late 2014 the two penetration of Indonesia's defence market is likely to
governments also discussed potential naval shipbuilding continue to grow in the future, being underpinned by
programmes and in 2016 they initiated a project to promote strong diplomatic engagement.
science and technology collaboration in strategic sectors
including defence.
Position of Indonesia in wider strategic plans: A Japan
number of high-profile visits over the past few years Summary of bilateral relations: Indonesia and Japan have
suggests France is viewing Indonesia as an important strong diplomatic relations based primarily on trade.
trading partner in future years. However, China’s increasing assertiveness in the Asia-
Prognosis for future defence trade: With strong Pacific region has prompted the emergence of deeper
industrial links already in place - and strategic ties growing strategic ties between the two countries, which could lead
– France is in a strong position to grow defence sales with to defence trade following Japan’s easing of military export
Indonesia. restrictions in April 2014.
Bilateral trade (all): Japan is one of Indonesia’s strongest
Germany trade partners. In 2014 and 2015 the value of this trade was
Summary of bilateral relations: Although strained by about USD45 billion annually and is expected to increase
Germany's concerns over Indonesia's human rights record significantly in the next decade along with Indonesia’s
in the late 1990s, the two countries have generally sound economic expansion.
diplomatic relations dating back to 1953. Ties were Defence trade history: Due to Japan's historic arms export
strengthened substantially by German chancellor Angela ban there has been no defence trade between the two
Merkel’s visit to Jakarta in 2012, during which a declaration countries. However, in 2015 Japan and Indonesia signed
to enhance defence industrial co-operation was signed. agreements to explore potential Japanese sales to
Indonesia’s then President Yudhoyono visited Berlin in Indonesia. Jakarta has also expressed interest in acquiring
2013. Japan's ShinMaywa Industries US-2 amphibious, fixed-wing
Bilateral trade (all): Germany is Indonesia's strongest aircraft for search-and-rescue operations. A delegation from
trade partner in Europe with bilateral trade reaching more Tokyo officially offered Indonesia the US-2 in August 2016.
than USD35 billion from 2000 until 2009 (IMF). Bilateral There are also opportunities for Japanese sales of
trade in 2011 stood at USD7 billion and in 2013 it reached technologies and systems related to early-warning
around USD8 billion. However, by 2015 the value of trade detection, surveillance, navigation, communication, and
had dropped to around USD6 billion, according to the minesweeping. Cyber defence is another area of potential
Germany government. collaboration, with Japan’s NEC Corporation establishing a
Defence trade history: In the past decade defence sales cyber presence in the market in late 2015.
have featured naval diesel engines and patrol craft (Cakra Defence teamings/joint ventures/live memoranda of
Type 209 diesel electric submarines and PB-57 patrol craft - understanding: No industrial teamings exist although at a
two of each). In August 2012 Indonesia formally requested government level the two countries have signed
the sale of Leopard 2 main battle tanks. An export license exploratory agreements geared towards trade.
was issued in 2013 for 164 armoured vehicles, composed of Position of Indonesia in wider strategic plans: Given
Leopard 2A6 MBTs; 50 Marder 1A2 IFVs; four recover and the rise of China, Japan sees Indonesia as a crucial security
three bridge laying variants. partner in the region. Defence sales are regarded in Tokyo
Defence teamings/joint ventures/live memoranda of as a means to gain influence in Indonesia.
understanding: A declaration to enhance defence and Prognosis for future defence trade: Japan regards
security co-operation was signed by Germany and Indonesia Indonesia as a potential customer of ShinMaywa Industries’
in 2012 during German chancellor Angela Merkel’s visit to US-2 amphibious search and rescue (SAR) aircraft and in
Jakarta in July that year. The accord related to defence 2016 discussions about the procurement were continuing.
research, development and production plus logistics, Apart from this, there is also potential in sales of lower-key
disaster relief, training, exchanges, and peacekeeping. items such as mission systems and radars.

© 2017 IHS 48 July 2017


Navigating the Emerging Markets | Indonesia Relations with materiel producing countries

Israel maintenance and logistics support; information exchanges;


Summary of bilateral relations: Indonesia does not science and technological activities; and technical training.
recognise Israel as a state and consequently the two Position of Indonesia in wider strategic plans: The
countries maintain no formal diplomatic ties. Netherlands implemented in 2009 a policy to strengthen
Bilateral trade (all): Despite the lack of diplomatic ties, an bilateral trade with Indonesia. The policy is aimed at
Israel-Indonesia Chamber of Commerce was founded in improving democracy; corporate governance;
2009 in an effort to boost trade. Israeli company FTS environmental and climate policy implementation; and
(Formula Telecom Solutions) has penetrated the broad-based bilateral relations between the two countries.
Indonesian telecommunications market through a Indonesia is also a recipient of Dutch aid although not in
partnership with PT Sampoerna Telekomunikasi Indonesia the defence sector.
(STI). Prognosis for future defence trade: Given recent defence
Defence trade history: Surprisingly, given the lack of sales, there is relatively strong chance of future sales of
diplomatic ties, defence trade has occurred between naval platforms in particular.
Indonesia and Israel, although not recently. In the early
1980s Indonesia took delivery of around 16 A-4E Skyhawk Russia
aircraft. The deal was brokered by the US. Additionally, Summary of bilateral relations: Russian ties with
Indonesia has expressed interest in the past in procuring Indonesia are well developed, having been formally
Israeli-made UAVs, which would likely be sold through established 60 years ago. Both countries are members of the
intermediaries in the Philippines. Asia Pacific Economic Co-operation forum. These links have
Defence teamings/joint ventures/live memoranda of led to strong defence links but overall trade between the
understanding: N/A two countries is notably weak.
Position of Indonesia in wider strategic plans: N/A Bilateral trade (all): Bilateral trade between Indonesia and
Prognosis for future defence trade: Any new defence Russia reached just USD5.7 billion during 2000 and 2009
trade is unlikely, although not impossible, given the lack of (IMF). In events to mark the 60th anniversary of
relations between the two countries. diplomatic ties in September 2010 the two countries agreed
to try to increase bilateral trade to around USD5 billion in
Netherlands the short to medium term from less than USD1 billion in
Summary of bilateral relations: Indonesia and the 2009. In 2012 and 2013 the value of bilateral trade was
Netherlands have a long history that dates back to 1600s USD3 billion and USD3.4 billion. In 2014 the value of trade
when the Dutch East India Company commenced dipped to USD2.5 billion, although the two countries
operations in Indonesia. Indonesia was a Dutch colony from pledged to introduce measures to boost this to USD5 billion
the early 1880s until its independence after the Second by 2016.
World War. Cultural ties are no longer strong between the Defence trade history: Relations between Indonesia and
countries although trade and defence links are relatively Russia have primarily been centred around military sales.
well developed. During the embargo on military equipment imposed on
Bilateral trade (all): Between 2000 and 2009 bilateral Indonesia, Jakarta turned to Russia for several significant
trade between Indonesia and the Netherlands had reached arms purchases, including fighters aircraft and helicopters.
USD27 billion, according to the IMF. In the 20th meeting of In 2007 Russia offered Indonesia a USD1 billion loan for
the two countries Joint Commission on Bilateral Economic military purchases. The relationship was strained, by what
Cooperation in March 2010 the two countries agreed Indonesia saw as a lack of technological support for Russian
efforts to increase trade and investment. In recent years the matériel: a fear apparently assuaged by a defence co-
value of annual bilateral trade has been about USD3 billion. operation MoU signed by the countries in 2011. In 2014 and
Defence trade history: Bilateral defence trade over the early 2015 the two countries made notable attempts to
past decade has been focused on sales of fire-control radars deepen their defence technological links with a view to
and Sigma-class corvettes. The former was worth around boosting trade. In a notable exchange in early 2015 Russia
USD42 million while the latter was valued at stated that it is "ready to go ahead" and commence defence
USD340 million. offset schemes to support a range of Russian military
Defence teamings/joint ventures/live memoranda of platforms. These include the Sukhoi Su-35 fighter aircraft
understanding: Under the Sigma-class corvette sale and Kilo-class (Project 636) submarines, both of which
Damen Naval Shipbuilding Systems and PT PAL have Russia is promoting to meet emerging requirements in
entered an agreement that sees the Netherlands-based Indonesia.
company transferring technologies to enable production to Defence teamings/joint ventures/live memoranda of
take place locally. A bilateral defence industrial understanding: The two countries signed a military
collaboration accord was signed by the country’s defence technical co-operation agreement in 2006, which has led to
ministers in February 2014. It covered defence production; Russian engineers and designers providing assistance to

© 2017 IHS 49 July 2017


Navigating the Emerging Markets | Indonesia Relations with materiel producing countries

Indonesian naval shipbuilding programmes and its Sukhoi Prognosis for future defence trade: History suggests
fighters. Relations were enhanced further in 2013 with the major defence trade between the two countries is unlikely
signing of an additional agreement on defence industry although deals related to firearms or maintenance are a
collaboration and funding. The latter agreement was signed possibility.
in January 2013 during the eight session of the Indonesian-
Russian Commission on Military Technical Co-Operation South Korea
(held in Jakarta). It is also notable that Russia made a Summary of bilateral relations: Relations between
formal offer to expand military-technical co-operation to Indonesia and South Korea have developed rapidly since the
Widodo, just one day after he was inaugurated as president signing of a strategic partnership between the two
countries in December 2006. The bilateral relationship has
on 20 October 2014.
expanded beyond traditional areas of trade and investment
Position of Indonesia in wider strategic plans: In 2006
co-operation and now includes security and defence
and 2007 relations between the two countries improved
collaboration.
with state visits to respective capital cities from both sets
Bilateral trade (all): South Korea is Indonesia's fifth
of leaders. The visits were intended to mark a new level of biggest trade partner. Between 2000 and 2009 trade
partnership between the countries. Despite this, there is reached more than USD90 billion (IMF). However, trade in
recognition that the partnership needs to be accelerated expanding. In 2010, for example, bilateral trade reached
through more frequent dialogue and exchange of visits USD20 billion, an increase of 57% over trade in 2009. Trade
between cabinet members and business leaders. reached USD22 billion in 2013, although the two countries
Prognosis for future defence trade: Given Russia's are targeted trade worth USD100 billion by 2020.
position as trusted supplier and its willingness to offer Defence trade history: Defence deals between the two
Indonesia credit on military purchases, Jakarta is likely to countries have increased significantly in recent years.
remain a major procurer of Russian equipment in the short According to Jane’s statistics, South Korea was Indonesia’s
to medium term, particularly platforms such as helicopters, second largest defence trade partner between 2009 and
fighter aircraft and perhaps submarines. 2013. The first defence deal of note between the two
countries was secured in 1997 when Indonesia acquired
KT-1 Woong-Bee trainers in exchange for eight CN-235s.
Singapore Since then Indonesia has gone on to procure from South
Summary of bilateral relations: Ties between Indonesia Korea landing platform dock ships, military vehicles,
and Singapore have traditionally been somewhat tense, and submarines and advanced trainer jets as well as supply
periods of improved relations have traditionally been based upgrade services for its submarines. The two countries are
more on personal relationships between leaders than also co-developing a fighter aircraft platform (The Korean
institutional grounds. Since the end of the 20th century Fighter Xperiment/Indonesia Fighter Xperiment).
ties have generally been strained although Indonesia's Defence teamings/joint ventures/live memoranda of
President Yudhoyono's administration (2004 to 2014) understanding: Several defence agreements exist between
worked more closely with its Singaporean counterparts and the two countries that explore areas of collaboration. As
relations are slowly improving. part of these agreements Korea Aerospace Industries has a
Bilateral trade (all): In 2015 bilateral trade between close partnership with PT Dirgantara, which is geared
Singapore and Indonesia reached more than USD44 billion. towards supporting the development of Korea’s KFX
Defence trade history: Only one defence deal of note has fighter aircraft. PT PAL has also secured a close partnership
been announced in the past decade: a USD50 million with DSME, which is focused on submarine construction.
contract that calls for Singapore Technologies Engineering Position of Indonesia in wider strategic plans: As part of
to modify four C-130B Hercules transport aircraft for the a government campaign to boost international sales of
Indonesian Air Force. The contract was signed in 2008. defence equipment, South Korea regards Indonesia - and
Defence teamings/joint ventures/live memoranda of the whole of Southeast Asia - as a key export market over
understanding: The two countries have agreements over the next decade and beyond.
military training and exercises although none exist for Prognosis for future defence trade: Indonesia and South
industrial collaboration. Singapore Technologies Korea are frequently engaged in defence dialogue, most of
Engineering (ST Engineering) has previously collaborated it aimed at potential collaboration. Defence trade is likely to
with PT Pindad over the Indonesian company's licenced remain strong, particularly as South Korea appears willing
production of artillery and firearms. to transfer technologies to Indonesian defence companies.
Position of Indonesia in wider strategic plans:
Singapore regards Indonesia carefully, vigilant for any UK
nuance or change in tone that may signal a shift in Jakarta's Summary of bilateral relations: Relations between the
historically unpredictable attitude towards its neighbour. UK and Indonesia are relatively strong at present despite

© 2017 IHS 50 July 2017


Navigating the Emerging Markets | Indonesia Relations with materiel producing countries

the UK's military embargo from 1999 to 2000. A defence countries remains Indonesia's human rights record; an issue
co-operation accord was signed by Indonesia and the UK in that was the cause of US military sanctions on Indonesia
2012. Former UK prime minister Tony Blair’s visit to Jakarta through the late 1990s until 2005.
in March 2006 for talks with the then president Susilo Bilateral trade (all): In 2014 the value of bilateral trade
Bambang Yudhoyono was the first by a UK prime minister between the US and Indonesia was USD27.6 billion and in
for more than 20 years. Current prime minister David 2015 this dropped slightly to USD26.7 billion, according to
Cameron visited Jakarta in 2012. the US government. The value of trade is heavily in favour
Bilateral trade (all): Bilateral trade between the UK and of US imports.
Indonesia is relatively strong. Between 2000 and 2009 Defence trade history: Before military sanctions from the
bilateral trade reached USD20.5 billion (IMF) and in 2010 it late 1990s until 2005 defence trade was relatively strong. It
stood at USD2.63 billion, with Indonesian exports
has taken several years since the end of those sanctions,
increasing 16% to USD1.69 billion and imported products
however, for trade to pick up again. The US Embassy in
and services from the UK up 11% to USD937.86 million. In
Indonesia told Jane's in 2010 that it was processing about
2012 the UK and Indonesia agreed to double bilateral trade
USD200 million worth of defence trade requests from
from GBP2.2 billion (USD3.5 billion) in 2010 to
GBP4.4 billion in 2015. Indonesia. It also said it wants to offer Indonesia a
Defence trade history: Through BAE Systems, the UK "complete capability package" as Indonesia seeks to
enjoyed strong sales to Indonesia in the 1990s (including modernise. The congressional notification in November
Hawk trainers, light tanks, assault vehicles, armoured 2011 of the sale of two squadrons (24) surplus F-16C/D
personnel carriers), although this trade virtually dried up. fighter aircraft was an encouraging development. In 2013
Indonesia is on the radar of UK defence and security Indonesia ordered eight new-build Boeing AH-64E Apache
exporters. BAE systems sold a BAE 146 regional jetliner to attack helicopters, with deliveries scheduled to commence
Indonesia in 2009. BAE Systems created an Indonesian from 2016. There is also a possibility for trade based around
subsidiary in 2012 as a bridge-head into the market, with an the Boeing Chinook heavy-lift helicopter. Indonesia is
emphasis on the sale of support services relating to existing expected to order the Chinooks in 2016.
MK 209/MK 109 Hawk aircraft. Defence teamings/joint ventures/live memoranda of
Defence teamings/joint ventures/live memoranda of understanding: During then US Defense Secretary Robert
understanding: The UK and Indonesia signed a bilateral Gates' visit to Jakarta in July 2006 he moved normalise
defence co-operation accord in 2012; a memorandum of military ties with Indonesia by resuming joint activities
understanding inked by secretary of state for defence Philip with Indonesia's Special Force Command (Kopassus).
Hammond and his counterpart in November 2012. However, defence industrial collaboration between the two
Position of Indonesia in wider strategic plans: Despite a countries since this was accord was signed has been limited.
lack of recent defence contracts, Indonesia is one of UK But in May 2015 Indonesia and the US agreed to expand
Trade & Investment's 17 high-growth markets and trade collaboration in defence technologies. Areas of
relations between the UK and Indonesia remain reasonably technological collaboration are likely to focus on
healthy. Ties through religion - such as the Indonesian-UK Indonesia's procurement of 24 refurbished ex-US Air Force
Islamic Advisory Group - also contribute to positive Lockheed Martin F-16C/D fighter aircraft and eight new
relations between the countries. Boeing AH-64E Apache attack helicopters. The agreement
Prognosis for future defence trade: Defence trade links is seen to address a concern in Jakarta that Indonesia’s
between Indonesia and the UK have recovered from the access to US technologies (in order to undertake platform
military embargo imposed on Indonesia for a relatively support) has been limited particularly in relation to F-16
short period in 1999-2000. The potential for future fighter aircraft.
transactions is positive. Position of Indonesia in wider strategic plans: The US
views Indonesia as an important partner for a range of
US reasons including: religion; location; energy; security; and
Summary of bilateral relations: Relations between the trade. The significance of the relationship was indicated by
US and Indonesia have become strong since the election of then Defense Secretary Robert Gates and President
President Susilo Bambang Yudhoyono in October 2004 and Obama's visits to Jakarta in July and November 2010
even stronger since the election in 2008 of President respectively. Washington’s strategic shift in emphasis from
Barack Obama, who himself is sentimentally attached to the Middle East to the Asia Pacific region points to greater
Indonesia after spending part of his childhood there. A key emphasis yet.
partnership agreement between the two countries was Prognosis for future defence trade: Strategically,
signed during Obama's visit to Jakarta in November 2010, Indonesia welcomes the US's presence in Southeast Asia as
which is designed to frame US-Indonesia bilateral relations a balance against China. In addition, Jakarta has indicated
for the next decade. An area of friction between the two that it would favour purchases of US matériel, although a

© 2017 IHS 51 July 2017


Navigating the Emerging Markets | Indonesia Relations with materiel producing countries

major stumbling block is likely to be affordability.

© 2017 IHS 52 July 2017


Navigating the Emerging Markets | Indonesia

Credits
Report authors
Guy Anderson – Senior Principal Analyst - A&D (Jane's)
Jon Grevatt – Jane's Defence Industry Analyst (Asia Pacific)

E-mail: guy.anderson@ihs.com

Analytical team:
Andrew MacDonald – Jane's Senior Defence Industry
Analyst
Charles Forrester – Jane's Senior Defence Industry Analyst

Thanks to:
Guy Eastman – Senior Analyst, Jane’s Defence Budgets
Fenella McGerty – Principal Analyst, Jane’s Defence Budgets
Craig Caffrey – Principal Analyst, Jane’s Defence Budgets

Jane's Military Capabilities desk:


Dylan Lee Lehrke - Senior Analyst, Military Capabilities
Konrad Muzyka - Analyst, Military Capabilities
Caron Tauro - Analyst, Military Capabilities
Reed Foster - Senior Analyst, Military Capabilities
Rukmani Gupta - Senior Analyst, Military Capabilities
Ana-Roxana Popescu - Analyst, Military Capabilities

Design and production


Jonathan Maynard – Chief Sub Editor
Sam Reynolds – Senior Copy Editor
Ria Chantler – Design

Style and automation


Andrew Ruffle – Stylist and PDF creation
Eddy Lee – Programmer

© 2017 IHS 53 July 2017


Navigating the Emerging Markets | Indonesia

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