Assignment-4

Probability and Statistics (MC-205)

1. Before an increase in excise duty on tea, 800 persons out of a sample of 1,000 persons were found to be
tea drinkers. After an increase in duty, 800 people were tea drinkers in a sample of 1,200 people. Using
standard error of proportion, state whether there is a significant decrease in the consumption of tea
after the increase in excise duty at 1% level of significance?
2. A manufacturer claimed that at least 98% of the steel pipes which he supplied to a factory conformed to
the specifications. An examination of a sample of 500 pieces of pipes revealed that 30 were defective.
Test this claim at a significance level of (i) 0·05, (ii) 0·01.
3. A survey is proposed to be conducted to estimate the monthly income of the alumni of a technical
institution. How large should the sample be taken in order to estimate the annual earnings within plus
and minus Rs. 10,000 at 95% confidence level, assuming the standard deviation of the annual earnings of
the entire alumni is known to be Rs. 3,000?
4. The means of two single large samples of 1000 and 2000 members are 67·5 inches and 68·0 inches
respectively. Can the samples be regarded as drawn from the same population of standard deviation 2·5
inches?
5. A die is thrown 60 times with the following results.
Face : 1 2 3 4 5 6
Frequency: 8 7 12 8 14 11
Test at 5% level of significance if the die is honest, assuming that P (12 > 11·1) = 0·05 with 5 d.f.
6. It is believed that the precision (as measured by the variance) of an instrument is no more than 0·16.
Write down the null and alternative hypothesis for testing this belief. Carry out the test at 1% level,
given 11 measurements of the same subject on the instrument; 2·5, 2·3, 2·4, 2·3, 2·5, 2·7, 2·5, 2·6, 2·6,
2·7, 2·5.

7. During 400 five minute interval the air traffic control of an airport received 0, 1, 2,…, 13 radio messages
with respective frequencies of 3, 15, 47, 76, 68, 74, 46, 39, 15, 9, 5, 2, 0 and 1. Fit a Poisson distribution
to this data and test the goodness-of-fit at 5% level of significance.
8. The heights of 10 males of a given locality are found to be 70, 67, 62, 68, 61, 68, 70, 64, 64, 66 inches. Is
it reasonable to believe that the average height is greater than 64 inches? Test at 5% significance level.
9. The heights of six randomly chosen sailors are in inches: 63, 65, 68, 69, 71 and 72. Those of 10 randomly
chosen soldiers are 61, 62, 65, 66, 69, 69, 70, 71, 72 and 73. Discuss the light that these data throw on
the suggestion that sailors are on the average taller than soldiers.
10. The following are the average weekly losses of worker-hours due to accidents in 10 industrial plants
before and after a certain safety programme was put in to operation
Before: 45 73 46 124 33 57 83 34 26 17
After : 36 60 44 119 35 51 77 29 24 11
At 5% level of significance test whether the safety programme was effective.

11. In one sample of 8 observations, the sum of the squares of deviations of the sample values from the
sample mean was 84.4 and in the other sample of 10 observations it was 102.6. Test whether this
difference is significant at 5 percent level.

12. Two random samples gave following results:

Sample Size Sample mean Sum of square of deviations from mean
1 10 15 90
2 12 14 108
Test whether the sample come from the same normal population at 5% level of significance.
13. Given the following observations collected according to the one-way analysis variance design
Treatment 1: 6 4 5 5
Treatment 2: 11 10 13 12 14
 Treatment 3: 7 9 11
Treatment 4: 3 5 1 4 2
Construct the ANOVA table and test the equality of treatments at α=0.05
14. A college administrator claims that there is no difference in first year grade point averages for students
entering the college from any of the three different city high schools. The following data give the first-
year grade point averages of 12 randomly chosen students, 4 from each of the three high schools. Test
the administrator’s claim at 5% level of significance.
School 1: 3.2 3.4 3.3 3.5
School 2: 3.4 3.0 3.7 3.3
School 3: 2.8 2.6 3.0 2.7