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EGYPTIAN MUTUAL FUNDS ANALYSIS: HISTORY, PERFORMANCE,


OBJECTIVES, RISK AND RETURN

Article · January 2013

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Petru Stefea Osama Wagdi


West University of Timisoara Modern Technology and Information University
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Scientific Papers Series Management, Economic Engineering in Agriculture and Rural
Development Vol. 13, Issue 3, 2013 PRINT ISSN 2284-7995, E-ISSN 2285-3952

EGYPTIAN MUTUAL FUNDS ANALYSIS:


HISTORY, PERFORMANCE, OBJECTIVES,
RISK AND RETURN
Petru Stefea
Accounting and Auditing Department, Faculty of Economics
and Business Administration, West University of Timisoara,
Romania.
Email: petru.stefea@feaa.uvt.ro

Osama Wagdi Wadi


Financial Institutions Department, Faculty of Management,
Modern University for Technology and Information (MTI),
Cairo, Egypt.
Email:osamawagdi_ta@yahoo.com

Karim Mamdouh Abbas


Accounting Department, Faculty of Management, Modern
University for Technology and Information (MTI),Cairo, Egypt.
Email:karim_mamduh2000@yahoo.com

Electronic copy available at: http://ssrn.com/abstract=2358102


EGYPTIAN MUTUAL FUNDS ANALYSIS: HISTORY, PERFORMANCE, OBJECTIVES, RISK AND RETURN

EGYPTIAN MUTUAL FUNDS ANALYSIS: HISTORY, PERFORMANCE,


OBJECTIVES, RISK AND RETURN

Petru Stefea 1, Osama Wagdi Wadi 2, Karim Mamdouh Abbas 3

1Accounting and Auditing Department, Faculty of Economics and


Business Administration, West University of Timisoara, Romania,
Email: petru.stefea@feaa.uvt.ro
2Financial Institutions Department , Faculty of Management , Modern
University for Technology and Information (MTI), Cairo, Egypt,
Email:osamawagdi_ta@yahoo.com

3 Accounting Department, Faculty of Management, Modern University


for Technology and Information (MTI),Cairo, Egypt, Email:
karim_mamduh2000@yahoo.com

Corresponding author : osamawagdi_ta@yahoo.com

Abstract:

The present research aims to an overview of the mutual fund in


Egypt. The establishment of the first mutual funds was achieved in
1994. Nowadays, the total mutual funds reached 90 funds ,
approximately. The income funds represent the largest share of the
Egyptian mutual funds (40%), growth funds (25%) and the private
equity funds is at least (1%). The population of the study was 22
Egyptian mutual funds. Finally, the study found that Egyptian mutual
funds have an impact on fund return, total risk and systemic; when
analysis relationship between risk and return. The study found
influencing for mutual fund's objectives on Sharpe and Terynor ratios.

Key words:

Mutual Funds, Performance of Mutual Funds, Mutual funds


Classification , Egypt, Egyptian Mutual Funds.

1. Introduction has been a growing stream of


research on institutional and
Most of the researches in
structural aspects of mutual
finance examines fund
fund services and providers
performance issues, broadly
(Sirri and Tufano, 1998).
addressing the question: Do
However, in this study ,
mutual funds “beat the
the researcher analyzed return
market”? More recently, there
and risk of mutual funds.

-- 2 --

Electronic copy available at: http://ssrn.com/abstract=2358102


EGYPTIAN MUTUAL FUNDS ANALYSIS: HISTORY, PERFORMANCE, OBJECTIVES, RISK AND RETURN

2. Research objectives King William 1st of the


Netherlands, He was credited
The main objective of the
with starting such a fund in
research is to analyze the
1822 and yet some even say
relationship between risk and
that the King got the idea from
return of Egyptian mutual
a Dutch merchant named
funds, and analyze the impact
Adriaan van Ketwich whose
of mutual funds objectives on
investment trust was created in
this relationship.
1774. Similar pooled fund
investment vehicles were
3. Research Methodology
started in Switzerland in mid-
The authors used the 1849, followed by Scotland in
survey method to describe and the 1880s .
analyze the relationship The first modern mutual
between risk and return of fund came up in the US in 1924
Egyptian mutual funds. and there were more than 700
funds that existed in the US
4. REVIEW OF LITRATURE just before the Great
Depression (Kale and
Mutual fund: An Panchapagesan 2012).
investment company that pools Nowadays, many mutual funds
money from shareholders and are established in the United
invests in a variety of securities, States, Europe and many
including stocks, bonds, and emerging markets in Asia,
money market securities. A Africa and South America
mutual fund ordinarily stands In Egypt, the
ready to buy back (redeem) its establishment of the first
shares at their current net asset mutual fund was achieved in
value, which depends on the the last decade of the past
market value of the fund’s century.
portfolio of securities at the
time. Mutual funds generally 4.2. Mutual fund classification:
continuously offer new shares Mutual fund classification
to investors ( Reilly and Brown criteria are the factors used to
2003). categorize mutual fund. There
are many criteria that are
commonly used to classify the
4.1. Mutual funds history: various types of mutual
Historians are uncertain portfolios by what is generally
of the origins of investment referred to as type or category.
funds; some cite the closed-end These include six types:
investment companies launched a. Trading shares (Closed - end
in the Netherlands in 1822 by fund and open-end fund ).

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EGYPTIAN MUTUAL FUNDS ANALYSIS: HISTORY, PERFORMANCE, OBJECTIVES, RISK AND RETURN

b. Components (Stock funds , a. Systemic risk:


bond funds and money The variability of returns
market funds). that is due to macroeconomic
c. Style (objectives) (see that factors that affect all risky
later). assets. Because it affects all
d. Capitalization (size)(large-cap, risky assets, it cannot be
mid-cap and micro-cap). eliminated by diversification
e. Sector or industry. (Reilly and Brown, 2003).
f. Geographic coverage (local,
international and emerging b. Unsystematic risk:
market). Risk that is unique to an
asset, derived from its
4.3. Objectives of mutual particular characteristics. It can
fund: be eliminated in a diversified
A mutual fund has many portfolio (Reilly and Brown,
objectives include: 2003).
a. Growth funds seek high
rates of return from capital 4.5. Risk management of
gains undertake significant mutual fund:
risks in order to earn these
Diversification is one of
gain. two general techniques for
b. Income funds seek both cash reducing fund risk. The other is
dividend income and, capital hedging.
gains and, as a result, are
less risky than growth funds. Diversification relies on
c. Income and growth funds the lack of a tight positive
relationship among the assets,
want to earn primarily cash
returns, and works even when
dividends and, to a lesser correlations are near zero or
extent, capital gains. somewhat positive. Hedging
d. Balanced funds claim to be relies on negative correlation
in pursuit of income, growth among assets, or shorting
and stability. assets with positive correlation.
4.4. Risk of mutual fund:
"Do not put all of your eggs in
The sources of mutual one basket"
fund risk are:
a. Business risk. A hedge is an investment
b. Financial risk. position intended to offset
c. Liquidity risk. potential losses that may be
incurred by a companion
d. Exchange rate risk.
investment. A hedge can be
e. Country risk. constructed from many types of
However, a mutual fund financial instruments, including
has two types of risks:

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EGYPTIAN MUTUAL FUNDS ANALYSIS: HISTORY, PERFORMANCE, OBJECTIVES, RISK AND RETURN

forward contracts, swaps, evaluate fund performance


options and insurance. (Treynor, 1965 and Sharpe,
1966).

a. Treynor ratio
Treynor (1965) developed
a method for measuring
performance 2 and evaluating
the fund by using Treynor's
ratio. This ratio estimates
return generated by the fund
Fig.1: Risk of mutual fund
over and above risk free rate of
return (generally taken to be the
4.6. Performance measures of return on securities backed by
mutual fund: the government, as there is no
Evaluating the credit risk associated), during a
performance of mutual funds in given period and systematic risk
general, mainly related to the associated with it (Beta). The
equation form is shown as
determination of the success of
follows:
the portfolio manager to achieve
balance between the different TR = ( RP – RF) / βP............................1
rates of return and acceptable Where:
levels of risk. TR : Treynor ratio,
Thus, evaluating the RP : Average fund return,
performance of mutual funds
RF :Average risk free rate (3-
does not mean only measure
month T-Bill) and
return on these funds, but also
means measuring the levels of βP : Beta of the fund.
risk associated with those b. Sharpe ratio
returns during a certain time. In this ratio,
There are many performance of a fund is
methodologies to measure the evaluated on the basis of
performance of mutual funds1, Sharpe ratio, which is a ratio of
Since 1965 Treynor, Sharpe returns generated by the
were the first researchers whom portfolio over and above risk
free rate of return and the total
1
See also: risk associated with it.
 Jensen's alpha. According to Sharpe(1966), it is
 The Modigliani and Modigliani.
Measure (MM). the total risk of the portfolio
 The Information Ratio (IR).
 The TT measure (TT). that the investors are concerned


Snail Trail Method.
The Fama's Performance Measure
about. So, the model evaluates
portfolios on the basis of reward
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EGYPTIAN MUTUAL FUNDS ANALYSIS: HISTORY, PERFORMANCE, OBJECTIVES, RISK AND RETURN

per unit of total risk, as shown Fig.3 explores the


in equation 2: structure of the Egyptian
SR= ( RP – RF) / σP.........2 mutual funds.
Where: Fixed Fund of Private
the funds equity
SR : Sharpe ratio, income Asset 2%
allocator 1%
7% 4%
RP : Average fund return,
Islamic
RF: Average risk free rate (3- sharia
compliant
Money
month T-Bill) and 12% market
33%
σP:Standard deviation of returns
of the fund.
Balanced
16%
5. Data Growth
The authors collected 25%
data from the Egyptian
Stock Exchange,
The Egyptian Investment
Management Association Fig.3: The structure of the
(EIMA) and Central Bank of Egyptian mutual funds.
Egypt.
Egyptian mutual funds
6. The Egyptian mutual funds had three currencies as a basis
for issuing as follows:
In 1994, the first a. Egyptian Pound(L.E.) 2
Egyptian mutual funds were (57,782,453,128 L.E. at 31/12/2012)
established in industry field b. U.S. Dollar
and in 2012, 7 mutual funds (93,024,125 $ at 31/12/2012)

were established. During the c. Euro


period of 1994 till 2013, the (24,475,953 € at 31/12/2012)

established mutual funds 7. The population


reached approximately 90 funds
The population of the
in Egypt (Fig.2).
study is Egyptian mutual
funds; this mutual funds
classification criteria objectives
(Income funds - Growth funds -
Income and growth funds -
Balanced funds). The present
study has 22 Egyptian mutual
funds.

Fig. 2: Number of funds issued 2


One American dollar = 6.95 Egyptian pound
each year. (L.E.) according to prices of 2013.

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EGYPTIAN MUTUAL FUNDS ANALYSIS: HISTORY, PERFORMANCE, OBJECTIVES, RISK AND RETURN

funds explains (49.5%) of the


8. Statistical Analysis Fund total risk at the 5% level
of significance.

8.1. The relationship between


8.3. The relationship between
mutual fund objectives and
mutual fund objectives and
return:
Systemic Risk:
Table 1:Regression analysis
Table 3:Regression analysis
between mutual fund objectives
between mutual fund objectives
and return (Model and ANOVA).
and systemic risk(Model and
A. Model Summary
Model Summary

St d. Error ANOVA).
Adjusted of the
Model R R Square R Square Estimat e A. Model Summary
Model Summary
1 .548a .300 .265 1.1530
a. Predictors: (Constant), TY St d. Error
Adjusted of the
B. ANOVA
ANOVAb Model R R Square R Square Estimat e
1 .677a .458 .431 .1865
Sum of Mean
Model Squares df Square F Sig. a. Predictors: (Constant), TY
1 Regression 11.418 1 11.418 8.589 .008a
Residual 26.587 20 1.329 B. ANOVAANOVAb
Total 38.004 21
a. Predictors: (Constant), TY Sum of Mean
b. Dependent Variable: R Model Squares df Square F Sig.
1 Regression .589 1 .589 16.933 .001a

Table 1 shows that the Residual


Total
.696
1.284
20
21
3.478E-02

objective of Egyptian mutual


a. Predictors: (Constant), TY
b. Dependent Variable: SR

funds explains (30%) of the


Fund return at the 5% level of Table 3 shows that the
significance. objective of mutual funds
explains (45.8%) of the Fund
8.2. The relationship between Systemic risk at the 5% level of
mutual fund objectives and significance.
total risk: 8.4.Sharpe's ratio and mutual
fund objectives:
Table 2:Regression analysis
between mutual fund objectives Table 4:Kruskal-Wallis test for
and total risk(Model and ANOVA). Sharpe's ratio.
A. Model Summary
Model Summary
Test Statisticsa,b
Std. Error
Adjusted of the S
Model R R Square R Square Estimate Chi-Square 15.754
1 .704a .495 .470 4.106E-02 df 2
a. Predictors: (Constant), TY Asy mp. Sig. .000
a. Kruskal Wallis
B. ANOVAANOVAb
Test
Sum of Mean
Model Squares df Square F Sig. b. Grouping
1 Regression 3.306E-02 1 3.306E-02 19.610 .000a
Residual 3.372E-02 20 1.686E-03
Variable: TY
Total 6.678E-02 21
a. Predictors: (Const ant ), TY
b. Dependent Variable: TR
From table 4, it may be
noticed that there are
Table 2 shows that the differences among Sharpe's
objective of Egyptian mutual ratio for Egyptian mutual fund

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EGYPTIAN MUTUAL FUNDS ANALYSIS: HISTORY, PERFORMANCE, OBJECTIVES, RISK AND RETURN

objectives at the 5% level of 10. References


significance.
Kale, J. R. and V.
8.5. Treynor's ratio and Panchapagesan(2012).Indian
mutual fund objectives: mutual fund industry:
Opportunities and challenges.
Table 5:Kruskal-Wallis test for IIMB Management Review, 24:
Terynor's ratio. 245-258.
Test Statisticsa,b Reilly, F. and K. Brown
Chi-Square
T (2003).Investment analysis and
15.754
df 2 portfolio management. 7th
Asy mp. Sig. .000
a. Kruskal Wallis Edition, South-Western College
Test
b. Grouping
Pub.
Variable: TY Sharpe, W. F. (1966). Mutual
From table 5, it may be fund performance. Journal of
noticed that there are Business, 39(1):119–138
differences between Terynor's Sirri, E. and P. Tufano (1998).
ratio for Egyptian mutual fund Costly search and mutual fund
objectives at the 5% level of flows.Journal of Finance,
significance. 53:1589–1622.
9. conclusion Treynor J. (1965). How to rate
In Egypt, the management of investment
establishment of the first funds. Harvard Business
mutual funds was achieved in Review, 43:63–75.
1994. Nowadays, the total
mutual funds reached 90
funds, approximately. The
Income funds represent the
largest share of the Egyptian
mutual Funds (40%), growth
funds (25%) and the private
equity funds is at least (1%).
The objective of Egyptian
mutual funds has impact on
Funds return , total risk and
systemic; when analysis
relationship between risk and
return. The study found an
influencing for mutual fund
objectives on Sharpe and
Terynor ratios.

-8-

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