Beruflich Dokumente
Kultur Dokumente
Publications
NUMBER 32
M A N E Y
Published for the European Federation of Covvosion
o n beharf of The Institute of Materials, Minerals and Mining
BO761
First published in 2003 by
Maney Publishing
1 Carlton House Terrace
London SWlY 5DB
on behalf of
The Institute of Materials Minerals and Mining
o 1 0 ~ 2003
3
All rights reserved
ISBN 1-902653-85-8
Typeset in the Uk by
Maney Publishing
Printed and bound in the UK by
The Charlesworth Group, Huddersfield
Preface
This EFC publication addresses the important subject of the analysis of life
cycle cost of corrosion as it may be applied in the oil and gas production
industries. The publication is not intended to be a stand-alone document but
to guide the analyst to corrosion-specific subjects for inclusion in an overall
analysis. The process of life cycle costing has recently been standardised in
IS0 15663, Parts 1 to 3.
While this publication has been produced by EFC Working Party 13 on
Corrosion in Oil and Gas Production much of the preparatory work was
carried out by a group of experts from NACE Italy lead by Domenico
Condanni to whom due acknowledgement is made. Also, the content
has drawn from former NORSOK standards, now withdrawn, which are
acknowledged at various places in the publication. The Nickel Development
Institute is thanked for its support of EFC Working Party 13.
Philip S. Jackman
(Consultant to NiDI)
Chairman of EFC Wovking Party 13 on
Corrosion in Oil and Gas Production,
1998 to 2001.
8
OTHER VOLUMES IN THE EFC SERIES
9
10 The Life Cycle Cost of Corrosioiz iii the Oil and Gas Iiidustry
Available fyom
@
M A N E Y
MANEY PUBLISHING, HUDSON ROAD, LEEDS LS9 7DL, UK
Tel: 0113 2497481 Fax: 0113 2486983
Email: mane yemane y. co .uk
European Federation of Corrosion Publications
Series Introduction
The EFC, incorporated in Belgium,was founded in 1955 with the purpose of promoting
European co-operation in the fields of research into corrosion and corrosion prevention.
Membership is based upon participation by corrosion societies and committees in technical
working parties. Member societies appoint delegates to working parties, whose membership
is expanded by personal corresponding membership.
The activities of the working parties cover corrosion topics associated with inhibition,
education, reinforcement of conncrete, microbial effects, hot gases and combustion products,
environment-sensitive fracture, marine environments, surface science, physico-chemical
methods of measurement, the nuclear industry, computer-based information systems,
corrosion in the oil and gas industry, and coatings. Working parties on other topics are
established as required. The working parties function in various ways, e.g. by preparing
reports, organising symposia, conducting intensive courses andproducing instructional
material, including films. The activities of the working parties are co-ordinated through a
Science and Technology Advisory Committee, by the Scientific Secretary.
The administration of the EFC is handled by three secretariats: DECHEMAe.V. in Germany,
the Societe de Chimie Industrielle in France, and the Institute of Materials,Minerals and
Mining in the United Kingdom. These three secretariats meet at the Board of Administrators
of the EFC. There is an annual General Assembly at which delegates from all member
societies meet to determine and approve EFC policy. News of EFC activities, forthcoming
conferences, courses, etc.is published in a range of accredited corrosion and certain other
journals throughout Europe. More detailed descriptions of activities are given in a newsletter
prepared by the Scientific Secretary. The output of the EFC takes various forms. Papers on
particular topics, for example, reviews or results of experimental work, may be published in
scientific and technical journals in one or more countries in Europe. Conference proceedings
are often published by the organisation responsible for the conference.
In 1987 the then Institute of Metals was appointed as the official EFC publisher. Although the
arrangement is non-exclusive and other routes for publication are still available, it is expected that
the working parties of the EFC will use the Institute for publication of of reports, proceedings, etc.
wherever possible. The name of the Institute of Metals was changed to the Institute of Materials
in 1992 and to the Institute of Materials, Minerals and Mining (IOM3)in 2002 following its merger
with the Institution of Mining and Metallurgy. The series is now published by Maney Publishing
on behalf of the Institute of Materials, Minerals and Mining.
A. D.MERCER
EFC Series Editor, The Institute of Materials, Minerals and Mining, UK
Mr R. Mas
Federation Europeene de la Corrosion, Societe de Chimie Industrielle,
28 rue Saint Dominique, F-75007 Paris, FRANCE
Professor Dr G. Kreysa
Europaische Foderation Korrosion, DECHEMA e.V., Theodor-Heuss-Allee 25,
D60486, Frankfurt, GERMANY
7
Contents
Preface.......................................................................................................................... 8
3. Introduction............................................................................................................ 19
3.1 Compilation and Prediction.................................................................................................. 19
3.2 Published Standards............................................................................................................ 19
4. Scope ...................................................................................................................... 21
4.1 Approach .............................................................................................................................. 21
4.2 Upstream Hydrocarbon Systems ........................................................................................ 21
4.3 Published Standards............................................................................................................ 21
5. Objectives............................................................................................................... 23
5.1 Cost of Corrosion - Data Gathering..................................................................................... 23
5.2 Cost Contributors ................................................................................................................. 23
5.3 Calculation Methods ............................................................................................................ 23
5.4 Consequence of Risk........................................................................................................... 23
8. Bibliography........................................................................................................... 39
1.1 Definitions
1.1.1 Capital expenditure (Capex)
The costs normally associated with the design, purchase, construction
and commissioning of a new facility but may also include costs of major
refurbishment work.
1.1.2 Corrosion
Interaction between a metal and its environment that results in changes in
the properties of the metal and which may lead to significant impairment of
the function of the metal, the environment or the technical system of which
these form a part. [IS0 80441.
11
12 The Life Cycle Cost of Corrosion in the Oil and Gas Industry
1.1.7 Discounting
The method used in investment appraisal where future costs, revenues
and benefits are reduced to their value as seen in present day terms. The
discount rate is applied to the cost, revenue and benefit streams, which will
have been normally expressed in terms of current economic conditions.
1.1.13 Regularity
A measure of a system’s capability to meet the demand for deliveries. In the
context of this document the term has been used to represent the ratio of
actual to planned delivery from a system.
The Life Cycle Cost of Covrosion in the Oiland Gas hidustry 13
1.1.14 Risk
The probability of the failure of a component or system.
1.2 Abbreviations
AC
Cost of chemicals added to mitigate corrosion (additives cost)
bbl
Barrel of oil
C
cost
CLIP
Cost of one hour downtime per year throughout the lifetime calculated as
the difference in Net Present Value between a production profile with the
full simulated availability and one with one hour lower availability per
year
CA
corrosion allowance
CAS
corrosion allowance for the shell side of heat exchangers
CAt
corrosion allowance for the tube side of heat exchangers
CAC
Cost of the corrosion allowance (corrosion allowance cost)
Cnpex
Capital expenditure
14 Tke Life Cycle Cost ofcorrosion in the Oil mid Gas llzdtlstry
CLP
Cost of lost production
CIC
Cost of installing and operating a corrosion inhibition system (corrosion
inhibitor cost).
CY
Net cost in year t
d
Optimum dosage of inhibitor or additive
D
Internal diameter
DRP
Duration of reduced production
E
Average number of critical failures per year
EC
Cost of energy consumption
G
Mass flow rate of inhibited fluid
h
Hour
k
The discount rate/interest rate to be used for the LCC evaluation
L
Length
LCC
Life cycle cost or life cycle costing
The Life Cycl~Cost ofcovvosion in file Oiland Gas Incltlstvy 15
rn
The number of years in operation
11
The lifetime of a facility or function
N
Number of operating days in a year
NPV
Net present value
0,
Average fraction of time equipment will be operated at level 1
Oyex
Operating expenditure
P
Probability of reduced production
POF
Probability of failure
Q,
Power requirement at operational level 1 for equipment requiring power
(for example, a pump)
QPL
Quantity of production loss per unit time
S
Active surface area of heat exchangers
SM3
Standard cubic metre of gas (SM3is the industry usage, where M3denotes
m3.
Sd
Average over-dosage of inhibitor, technically justified, with respect to the
optimum dosage
16 The Life Cycle Cost ofCorvosion in the Oil and Gas lndustvy
Y
1)The year under evaluation
2 ) Year
P
A dosage factor for an anti-corrosion additive
P’
An over-dosage factor of an anti-corrosion additive
Pin
Efficiency at operation level n
P
Density of material
(3
The total standard deviation
o3
t
The standard deviation for cost element e
2. Standards Referred to in this
Document
17
3 Introduction
19
20 The Life Cycle Cost of Corrosion in the Oil and Gas Industry
3.4.2
LCC analysis may be used to predict the total discounted cost of a new
facility (absolute cost analysis) or may be used to compare different
solutions in terms of, for example, material selection (cost-by-difference
analysis). These approaches are not differentiated in this document.
4 Scope
4.1 Approach
This document is in two principal parts. The first part provides guidance
on establishing a system to monitor the cost of corrosion throughout the
life of a facility. Subjects are identified where costs relating to corrosion or
corrosion prevention may arise but these are not intended to be exclusive.
Each of four phases in the life of a facility are examined: Capital cost (Capex),
Operating cost (Opex), cost of lost production caused by equipment failure
and material residual value. Each operator should add unidentified subjects
or phases, which may be specific to his operation.
The second part provides guidance on a systematic approach to identify
and minimise the cost of corrosion in the calculation of life cycle cost for a
new facility. It is intended to aid system and equipment design to give the
best lifetime cost combined with overall system integrity.
21
5 Objectives
23
24 The Life Cycle Cost ofCovrosion in fize Oil and Gas Industry
(d) Insurance
Costs of insurance against corrosion-related risks.
30 The Life Cycle Cost ofcormion in the Oil a i d Gas IiidzistYy
(a) Maintenance
Maintenance costs include, amongst others, the following items:
(i) repairs
(ii) replacement
(iii) maintenance of corrosion control equipment
(iv) painting.
31
32 The Lzfe Cycle Cost of Corrosion in the Oil and Gas Industry
7.1 Introduction
The aim is to maximise the profit from the operation of a facility by
minimising or eliminating the costs associated with corrosion. This aim is
part of the similar overall aim of LCC and should not be taken in isolation
but incorporated, as a specialist subject, into the overall LCC analysis.
As noted in clause 4, Scope, LCC analysis may be performed as either an
absolute cost analysis or as a cost-by-difference analysis.
The LCC analysis will only be as good as the data and experience used
for the analysis. By operating a system of life-time data accumulation,
as described in clause 6, the degree of accuracy should, with time and
experience, be improved.
7.3.2 Design
Capex includes:
(a) The cost of performing a complete study of the system
corrosivity, including material selection, surface
protection, inhibition, cathodic protection and corrosion
monitoring.
(b) The cost of testing and qualification of materials and
systems.
7.3.3 Construction
Capex includes:
The cost for selected corrosion resistant materials, including
costs for assembling, fabrication, welding, consumables etc.,
less the cost of the same item built with a material which is
not corrosion resistant, assumed as ’Base Case’.
An alternative and equally valid approach is to calculate and
compare the costs associated with each alternative material.
Where the selected material is not corrosion resistant, the
cost of extra material for a corrosion allowance together with
the extra costs of transport, storage and fabrication.
The cost for purchasing, installing and commissioning
systems and equipment for the injection of corrosion
inhibitors and other chemicals for mitigating the fluid’s
corrosivity.
The cost for painting and coating metal structures, including
the costs for personnel, products, surface preparation
application, inspection and scaffolding.
The cost for purchasing, installing and commissioning
corrosion monitoring systems, including data storage,
processing and analysis equipment.
The cost for purchasing, installing and commissioning
cathodic protection systems; including data storage,
processing and analysis equipment.
The cost of measures taken to prevent corrosion that may
occur after installation, but before start-up of the plant.
34 Tize Life Cycle Cost ofCourosioii in the Oil and Gas lizdustry
7.4.1 General
Operating costs include preventive and corrective maintenance, energy
consumption and routine services.
7.7.2 Assumptions
In order to complete a LCC evaluation values need to be assigned to the
36 The Life Cycle Cost of Corrosion in the Oil and Gas Industry
(e) Schedule
Base year
Investment year
Operation start-up
Life of field
(f) Discounting
Discount rate
Discount rate variable with time
Discount factor
Capital expenditure
Operating cost
Monetary inflation rate
Taxation rate, where applicable
The Life Cycle Cost ofCorvosion in the Oil nizd Gns Iizdlnstvy 37
7.7.9 Uncertainty
The uncertainty of the calculations should be assessed in relation to the
confidence in input data. To obtain an estimate of the uncertainty involved,
the cost elements may be assumed to be independent and to have a
normal distribution. A formula for the standard deviation is provided in
Annex C, C.5.
7.7.10 Risk analysis
The extra costs of corrosion resistant materials or of corrosion prevention
methods may be in conflict with the financial targets of the project. Where
this occurs, it is essential to carry out a risk analysis.
The risk analysis may be based on the following factors:
38
8. Bibliography
Parker, W.K. Boyd, D.G. Dippold W.H. Fisher, 'NBS Battelle Cost of
Corrosion Study ($ 70 Billion !)', Materials Performance,May-Nov, 1980
See also Annex E, E.5.9 for a further bibliography associated with risk
assessment.
39
The Llfe Cycle Cost of Corrosioiz in the Oil and Gas ltidusfry 41
Example form 1
~
SUMMARY
OF COST OF CORROSION EVALUATIONI N DESIGN PHASE
Total cost
COMMENTS
Example form 2
SUMMARY
OF COST EVALUATION I N CONSTRUCTION PHASE
Type of equipment: I Year:
Plant capacity: I Design life (years): I
COST SUMMARY
COMMENTS
Example form 3
COST SUMMARY
Total costs Non-avoidable costs
Corrosion
prevention and
monitoring, see
note
Technical
assistance
Maintenance
intervention
Insurance
Total cost
Note: see Annex B for cost determination of corrosion prevention.
COMMENTS
Example form 4
SUMMARY
OF COST EVALUATION IN MAINTENANCEPHASE
rvpe of eauipment: I Year:
Plant capacity: Design life (years):
Actual service life (years):
rota1 cost 1
COMMENTS
Example form 5
SUMMARY
OF COST EVALUATION IN STAND-BY PHASE
Type of equipment: I Year:
Plant capacity: I Design life (years):
I Actual service life (years):
COST SUMMARY
Total costs of Non-avoidable ref
single factors costs
Corrosion
prevention, see
note
Maintenance prior
to re-start
Warehouse anti-
corrosion measures
Total cost I
C oM M EN Ts
(a) Pipes
CAC = p X X x D x L x C A x E
where:
p = density of the material in question [tonnes per cubic metre, tm-3]
C A = corrosion allowance [metre, m]
C A S = corrosion allowance for the shell of the heat exchanger [metre, m]
C A t = corrosion allowance for the tubes of the heat exchanger [metre, m]
D = internal diameter [metre, m]
:E = unit cost for the material, in local currency per tonne
L = length [metre, m]
B.2 Costs of corrosion prevention
Corrosion inhibitors cost (CIC) and additives cost (AC) usually are
determined on the year-end warehouse inventory. The unavoidable quota
can be determined through the formula:
48
The Life Cycle Cost of Corrosion in the Oil and Gas lndustry 49
C.1 Introduction
The formulae in Annex C may be used in the calculation of life cycle cost.
Discounted cost =
where:
CN, = net cost in year t (see note 1 below)
11 = the design life of the facility or function to be evaluated
k = the discount rate/interest rate to be used for the evaluation
t = the year for evaluation
Note 1: CN, can be assumed to be the same for all the years, it can vary
according to production, or it can have some other given variation
throughout the lifetime.
Note 2: Either monetary inflation should be included or the discount rate
should be reduced by an assumed rate of inflation. Note that inflation may
vary with time.
lifetime.
If there is a difference in the base year for the evaluation and the start-up
year of operation, the following formula can be used:
where:
a = the difference between the base year for the evaluation and the year for
start-up of operation
rn = the number of years in operation
k = the discount rate/interest rate to be used for the evaluation
t = the year for evaluation
C.4.2
The following formula may be used for calculating the cost of lost production
(CLP):
Note: In all probability the lost production will be produced at some later
date. Consideration should be given to subtracting the discounted value of
this later production from the discounted costs of lost production.
where:
EC = cost of energy consumption
Q, = power requirement at operational level 1 for the equipment requiring
power (e.g. a pump)
0,= average fraction of time the equipment will be operated at level 1
I = operational level in steps from 0 to 100 % (100 76 being the maximum
required capacity)
p i , , = efficiency at operation level 1 for related equipment in the power
transmission (i.e. gear, converter, electric motor)
C = cost per kWh based on energy consumption
C.6 Uncertainty
The uncertainty of the calculations should be assessed in relation to the
confidence in the reliability of the input data. To obtain an estimate of the
uncertainty involved, the cost elements may be assumed to be independent
and distributed normally. The standard deviation may then be calculated as
follows:
where:
0,= The total standard deviation
ce= The standard deviation for cost element e
When using the above formula after evaluating two alternatives A and B and
finding that A has the lowest life cycle cost, the result may be considered to
be reliable when:
52
Tke Life Cycle Cost of Corrosion i n the Oil and Gas Industry 53
Note 1: This case study is for an oil pipeline. The same principles apply to a
LCC analysis of any new facility.
Note 2: All design parameters and cost figures used in this case study have
been listed as examples only and are not true cost data.
(g) In this case study, welding and lay-barge costs for examples A, B
and C are estimated equal and are not included. In practice there
may be significant differences in these costs between the example
materials.
(h) The following examples list the different main cost contributors
used in the study.
, Annual Opex E -
Case A 3 100 000 .
Case B 10 000
Case C 200000~
E
Pipeline repair in year 15 10 000 000
Cost of lost uroduction in vear 15 25 000 000
D.6 Conclusion
Examples B and C are better alternatives than example A based on an LCC
analysis.
57
Annex E: Quantifying the consequences
of risk in life cycle cost analysis
E.1 Preface
E.l.l
This annex does not aim to be a thorough guide to the subject of risk
analysis but aims merely to indicate ways in which risk analysis may benefit
decisions made on the basis of a LCC analysis.
E.1.2
Risk analysis as applied to LCC analysis has been the subject of a number of
published papers (see the bibliography at the end of this annex). This annex
has drawn heavily on the paper by Craig, 1995.
E.2 Background
E.2.1
A LCC analysis that does not include risk analysis is incomplete at best and
may be incorrect or misleading at worst.
E.2.2
For the petroleum industry the proper selection of materials of construction
is critical to the economic success and viability of the project. However, a
simple deterministic analysis may, in fact, place the project at higher risk
than if a complete analysis including risk analysis was performed.
E.2.3
Quantifying the consequences (cost)of failure and the cost and consequences
of factors such as lost production, injury to personnel, environmental impact
and safety issues resulting from failures can have a considerable impact on
the final choice of materials. These factors and others must be considered in
the LCC analysis in order to minimise risk and increase reliability.
60 The Life Cycle Cost ofCorvosion iiz the Oil and Gas Industry
E.3 Introduction
E.3.1
The use of corrosion resistant alloys and non-metallic materials to
improve equipment life and reliability in corrosive fluids may be the most
economically viable alternative when the whole lifetime of a facility is
considered, even though the Capex may be the highest. The use of LCC
analysis permits the cost benefits of each alternative to be assessed.
E.3.2
However, LCC analysis is limited because it is entirely deterministic and
does not allow consideration of critical factors that impact on the selection
of materials. These factors, relating to the probability of failure and the
consequences of failure, are often the most costly aspects of the materials
that are selected but are not easily quantifiable.
E.3.3
Critical factors must be considered from a probabilistic standpoint. The
application of risk analysis is necessary to define more appropriately the
consequence of failures.
E.4.2
In general, LCC analysis cannot fully provide for the consequences of a
failure. The need to take consequences into account is the basis for risk
analysis:
E.5.2
Apart from lost production, it is difficult, prior to any event, to assign a cost
to these consequences but in some cases they can constitute the majority of
the consequential costs. Risk analysis not only incorporates the probability
of failure (POF) but also the monetary consequences of failure.
As the costs are positive in value, the material with lowest expected utility
value should be chosen.
E.5.9 Bibliography
B. D. Craig and R. S. Thompson, ‘The importance of risk analysis in life cycle
cost evaluation of carbon steel and CRA pipelines’, Proc. UK Corrosion and
Etlrocorv 94,Institute of Materials, 1994.