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The old adage of ‘you can’t manage what you don’t David Atkins
measure’ is proven again to be true in this report. With BCSC President
a better understanding of your energy use and your Hammerson, Chief Executive
Sustainable Shopping Centres:
Energy, Performance and Value
CBRE
Henrietta House
Henrietta Place
London
W1G 0NB
T: 020 7182 2000
BCSC
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13-15 Carteret Street
Westminster
London
SW1H 9DJ
www.bcsc.org.uk
T: 0207 227 4480
Acknowledgements
BCSC would like to thank the following members of the BCSC Low Davinder Jhamat, BCSC / Tim Keeping, The Marlands / Stuart
Carbon Working Group which acted as the project steering group, Laidlaw, Capital & Regional / Mitch Layng, M&G / Angus McIntosh,
and colleagues at CBRE for their support on this research: Real Estate Consultant / Alan Silvester, JLL / Bill Wright, Wright
Carl Brooks, MJ Mapp / Helen Drury, intu / Sophie Elliot, Redwood Energy and Environment / Kwashie Yawson, BCSC.
Consulting / Victoria Harris, Hammerson / Nick Hogg, Deloitte /
Disclaimer
The text of this publication may not be reproduced nor may talks or lectures based on material contained within the document be given without
the written consent of BCSC.
No responsibility for loss occasioned to any person acting or refraining from action as a result of the material included in this publication
can be accepted by the authors or the publishers.
Foreword
Executive summary 3
1 Introduction 5
7 Investment considerations 23
8 Optimising operations 26
Value impacts
The purpose of developing a model of
this type was to provide a rigorous
numerical framework for assessing the
value impacts of different types of
intervention for a range of centre types.
Introduction
This report focuses on the links between the cost One of the aims of this report is to raise the baseline
and efficiency of energy usage, and financial level of awareness of this issue and encourage landlords
and retailers to routinely interrogate and assess the
performance in the UK shopping centre market energy characteristics of shopping centres by asking
rather than the overall carbon emissions from their such questions as:
operations although the two are linked.
where is the property in its lifecycle?
The sources and carbon intensity of the energy consumed what is the relationship between energy costs,
have not been reviewed, nor has the presence or maintenance costs, service charge, overall profitability
applicability of photovoltaics, wind, geothermal and and value of the centre?
other forms of renewable and low carbon energy. The
what are the costs and potential savings on energy
research acknowledges that energy efficiency is only one
costs and maintenance costs?
aspect of the environmental sustainability of a shopping
centre and that other aspects require consideration to how does the contribution of energy to service charges
form a holistic view of a sustainable shopping centre. compare with typical levels or other centres?; and
While mainly directed towards shopping centre owners,
rethink-replace: is the current position optimal
the report highlights issues of relevance to a range of
and, if not, what actions are available?
stakeholders including retailers, shopping centre
managers and lenders. Ultimately, the most likely driver of change or proactive
actions will be the perceived benefits for value. Capital
There is a widespread perception in sustainability circles decisions are affected by views on the future course of
that, among the major commercial property use types, energy costs, legislation and changes in consumer tastes
retail is different. Observers who view an environmental/ however in the end, preservation or enhancement of asset
financial relationship in other sectors of the industry often value will be the key factor. In light of this, the focus
suggest that the demand for, or interest in, sustainability of this report is on the relationship between energy,
from retailers is less than that for other sectors. Many profitability and value. Are more sustainable buildings
retailers, particularly smaller ones, are more interested in worth more? Are there financial benefits from improving
overall occupational costs and customer traffic and perhaps the environmental performance of shopping centres?
less interested in energy performance. To many, the market
for energy efficiency in retail appears to be less developed. In order to provide clear and measurable outcomes,
this report has focused on energy performance and
It is also the case that the existing stock of UK shopping efficiency as opposed to carbon emissions or broader
centre space is extremely diverse in terms of age, energy sustainability metrics. It investigates whether landlord
equipment usage and efficiency, operational management actions to improve the energy performance of a centre
capability and a host of other factors. These include will positively impact the occupancy costs for occupiers
critically, the ability of occupiers to absorb higher and whether this in turn will impact the value of the
occupational costs as a result of the increased service centre itself.
charges that arise from landlord actions to improve
energy performance. Even from a cursory consideration Clearly the income element of value (the rents paid by the
of the characteristics of the UK shopping centre market, retailers themselves) is a key component of this. In making
it might be expected that there would be a varied and the components of retailer costs in different scenarios
wide ranging set of issues at play. explicit, the analysis offers a challenge to retailers who,
in many cases, base their occupational decisions purely
The diversity of the sector does present certain analytical on the balance between total occupational costs and
challenges however the importance of the issue is expected revenue. The extent to which a centre may
undeniable. Figures from The Carbon Trust for instance become more attractive to customers by being more
assert that a 20% reduction in energy costs for retailers sustainable is a relevant consideration (which is discussed
would have an effect on the bottom line equivalent to later in the report) as is the composition of service
a 5% increase in sales. It also states that the 40 largest charges since individual components may be subject to
shopping centres in UK consume £40 million worth of different influences.
energy per year. Equally, many contend that there is still
a low level of understanding among some retailers and
Sustainable value?
landlords as to the nature of these relationships, the
current contribution of energy to overall occupational
costs, the actions that could be taken to alter this and
the possible consequences for the value and Are more sustainable buildings
attractiveness of the centre. worth more?
Financial benefits?
Are there financial benefits from improving the
environmental performance of shopping centres?
This report is the third in the BCSC carbon series. In 2011, Key findings:
BCSC published the first in a series of reports around
Low cost interventions using simple technology can
environmental sustainability and carbon issues for the
achieve meaningful improvements, with case study
shopping centre industry. Accelerating Change Towards
examples showing payback periods less than four years.
Low Carbon Shopping Centres investigated what the
sector needs to do differently to contribute to both the As the cost of energy increases the business case
EU and the UK’s carbon reduction goals. for action becomes even more compelling.
The influence of humans, in the form of management
The report highlighted three key challenges the shopping
practices and education, can be as important if not
centre industry faces in reducing what are acknowledged
more important than technology.
to be significant impacts:
A fuller review of relevant literature is provided in
the need for better alignment within and between
Appendix 1.
owner and retailer organisations when developing and
implementing strategies to reduce the carbon impacts
of the retail sector. Improved communication between
Section 2 of this report describes and summarises the
these groups is vital to address this
key elements of the data assembly and analytical
the requirement for more information and clear, methodology used in this project.
consistent advice around technologies and practices
that can be adopted to improve carbon performance; Section 3 presents the results of applying the project
and model under different energy-cost and equipment
replacement scenarios
the requirement for government policy and regulation
to enable and incentivise improvement in carbon
Sections 4 to 9 provide additional narrative on a range
performance more effectively.
of contextual factors which, taken together with the
quantitative analysis, moves towards a blueprint for best
A second report, Cutting Carbon Cutting Costs —
practice in the energy efficient management of shopping
Achieving Performance in Retail Fit Outs, set out the
centres, and associat ed value benefits.
business case for low carbon retrofit projects by owners
and retailers, with reference to operational costs and
Specifically these sections cover:
payback periods.
asset management issues and landlord-occupier
This research analysed energy data from before and after relations
a variety of case study retrofit projects. Consideration
legislative and policy framework
was also given to the costs of achieving the improvements
to establish an evidence base refuting the misconception stakeholder interest in energy efficiency and
that improvements are expensive, complicated and of sustainability
limited effectiveness. The report highlighted a number
investment considerations
of case studies with details of the initiatives adopted
and the results achieved. optimising operations; and
a whole building approach.
Sustainable
The extent to which a centre may
become more attractive to customers
by being more ‘sustainable’ is a
relevant consideration.
Data, methodology
and analysis
research findings.
30
To understand the potential impact of fluctuations in These ratios are significant in themselves as indicators of
energy prices and the impact of investment in new the level and range of energy’s contribution to common
equipment, it was important to identify key metrics and parts costs. There are two significant points to make here.
construct an information base of relevant variables.
Firstly, across a spectrum of UK shopping centres,
Data was collated relating to a diverse sample of UK common parts energy typically represents a small
covered shopping centres. These ranged from centres proportion of overall service charge. This does not mean
built in the late 1960’s through to more recent however, that savings cannot be made, or that these
developments completed in the 1990’s or early 2000’s; will not have a material effect on the profitability,
of differing degrees of service intensity as well as size value and environmental outputs of the centres.
and value. Reflecting the differences in their inherent
features, the data shows very wide variation in service The second point is that these ratios are not common
charge provisions, the composition of service charge currency among investors. This implies that different
between energy and other items, and therefore the degrees of susceptibility to income and value impacts
current relationship between energy costs and net rental through energy price variations may often be missed.
income (NRI). Further information was gathered from The report recommends assessment of these metrics
individual consultations with shopping centre owners as a matter of routine — in particular, a benchmark
and managers. for the relationship between common parts energy
and NRI. For example, say 5-6% would have benefits.
Across the centres for which data was gathered, total
service charge averaged approximately 29% of NRI, albeit
35centres
energy usage characteristics: Market power 0.75 0.5 0.25 0
Cash flows for all four shopping centre types were run
over a 25 year period using a discount rate of 6%.
29%
Across the centres for which we
gathered data, total service charge
averaged around 29% of NRI,
albeit covering a substantial range
between 9% and 49%.
Results and
scenarios
In doing so, the model captures the relative scale of value -0.1
Moreover, the benefits of such actions are proportionately The question that arises at this point is whether, in value
highest for the weaker shopping centres. In other words, terms, there is a financial case for incurring the expense
the capital costs of greening a centre are not necessarily of replacing some or all of the energy using equipment.
prohibitive and can actually confer significant landlord This would reduce both energy consumption costs and
benefits in the form of increased values or, at the very maintenance costs for Type B and Type D centres by
least, be carried out with no net financial cost. raising the efficiency profile of the energy using
equipment. This would occur even in an environment
Variant energy costs of stable unit energy prices.
While the recent fall in oil prices has perhaps reduced
immediate concerns about the value impacts of rising The impact of replacing mechanical and
energy costs, the future course of oil prices remains electrical (M&E) equipment
uncertain. Until mid-2014, nominal prices had been rising The data collection part of the exercise indicated that
by around 10% per year since the beginning of 2000. substantial operating expense savings are associated
This part of the analysis assumes no change in the age with investing in new equipment. Specifically, the unit
or energy usage characteristics of equipment in each of energy consumption of new equipment is between 20%
the four centre types. The only alteration from base (HVAC) and 66% (lighting) less than with old equipment.
case assumptions is the assumption that electricity prices Table 2 details the operational energy cost savings
rise at 2% per annum (4% nominal) as opposed to 0% real achievable through the installation of different elements
(2% nominal). of new equipment.
2.0 awareness of the costs and benefits of doing so, and the
potential role of fixed service charges in preventing
1.0 upgrades. If nothing else, hopefully this study will make
centre owners aware that installing new energy using
equipment carries with it a financial benefit, as well as
0.0
B C D
Centre type allowing them to claim green credentials.
HVAC Lighting Lifts Escalators
More broadly, there is a clear case for embedding
On the basis of the data collected on energy, maintenance awareness and analysis of shopping centre energy
and replacement costs, there is a very clear value case performance both in the investment philosophy and in
for investment in all kinds of energy saving equipment the due diligence processes of all types of owner. As the
where energy saving equipment in this case, simply means relationship between energy performance and value comes
replacing old, energy inefficient kit with new. The impact to be more widely understood, informed investors will
is most substantial for the weakest Type D centres. increasingly use the prospective value gains or losses
associated with changes in energy provision as an element
In each case, the saving on operating and maintenance of transaction negotiations. This may appear most pressing
costs originating from the investment in replacement for investors with relatively short holding periods due to
equipment outweighs the replacement cost. This means higher trading frequency however in reality, it is also
higher rents and positive value impacts in the future. important for long term holders. For such investors, energy
related value impacts may be less evident in the absence
The largest single contribution to higher NPVs would come of transaction evidence. Underlying asset performance will
from the replacement of old lighting with new and more also be affected and cumulative value impacts will
energy efficient LED lighting. Indeed, the energy and cost eventually become apparent at the point of disposal.
savings from replacing the lighting are so large that some
centres have already made this investment while keeping The analysis has identified that there are potentially
the other old equipment in place. In these cases the significant value impacts associated with both
marginal savings and improvements in values from fluctuations in energy prices and proactive programmes
replacing additional kit will be lower. Replacement of to replace energy intensive equipment. The potential
HVAC, escalators and lifts produce a lower however still benefits highlighted in terms of greenness and value
positive NPV impact. In other words, centres can still be protection / enhancement may appear to be the results
greener without incurring a net financial cost. of an entirely technical exercise, separate from any
other aspects of operation.
In the case of replacement of all equipment, positive
value impacts are recorded across all centre types. In the In addition to the technical consequences identified earlier,
case of a Type B centre, the model indicates that the there are a wide range of legal, contractual, operational
additional investment would increase the net present and behavioural factors that interact with, and impact the
value by 1.3%. The large increase comes from investment effectiveness of energy equipment installation programmes.
in the replacement of equipment in Type D centres where Addressed properly, these could be taken as a blueprint for
the model indicates that the NPV would increase by a best practice in the energy management of shopping
massive 5.7%. For a centre with an initial current value of centres. These are discussed in the following sections.
Table 5: Summary of annual energy and maintenance cost savings from full replacement / refurbishment
Asset management
issues and landlord-
occupier relations
Fluctuations in the non-recurring cost components potential rewards in operational savings and considered
of service charge such as the capital cost of replacement strategies will outweigh the additional salary
many times over.
replacing equipment are generally managed
through negotiation and spread over a number of In any case, the relationship between general energy
years in order to avoid sharp one-off hikes in any price levels and the actual cost of energy consumption to
single year. In the model, replacement costs are a shopping centre owner is not straightforward. Different
amortised over five years at an interest rate of energy procurement strategies can result in significantly
lower (or indeed higher) prices than those implied by
2.5% with this being added to the service charge spot price forecasts, or even delivered price forecasts.
for the first five years after installation. In general, shopping centre owners have not pursued
innovative energy procurement strategies widely despite
This may be affected by the increasing practice of service there being increasing scope to reduce energy spend and
charge capping (for example limiting annual increases protect asset value, for instance by block-buying fixed
to the rate of RPI growth) or other lease amendments. rate two or three year energy packages.
This is particularly emphasised in weaker centres where
occupiers may have greater scope to resist service charge Occupiers, particularly those in weaker centres, may
increases by lowering rents. Some retailers are writing look to avoid their obligations to contribute to costs of
lease clauses that push all or most costs back to the works that improve the energy credentials of a centre
landlord, or are agreeing fixed operating costs as the particularly if the aim is to overtly improve on EPC ratings
basis for occupiers’ outgoings. The effect of such shifts from which the landlord stands to benefit.
could be to alter (reduce) the extent to which increases
in service charge are fully recoverable from retailers and These issues present a strong argument for engaging
therefore increase the landlord’s vulnerability to increases property asset managers (as well as owners and occupiers)
in energy prices or equivalent capex. In reality though, in a broad and regular dialogue around energy
landlords will only accept capping-style arrangements management. Medium to long term energy plans should
if they think they can get a higher rent as a result so be routinely incorporated into strategic asset management
the ultimate impact may not be that different to that plans where asset managers should be integrally involved
in the model. in formulation of policy towards energy management for
shopping centres.
Depending on the strength and quality of a centre, there
may be differences in the sensitivity towards service
charge inflation and / or potentially rent bidding behaviour
of anchor occupiers as against smaller ones. By extension,
popular and dominant shopping centres will be more
insulated from the value eroding effects of higher energy
prices. This is simply because retailers will be more
willing to maintain or increase their rental bids (even in
the context of higher service charges) in order to secure
trading positions in such a centre. This distinction is
captured in the market power rating for different types of
shopping centres within the model (please see Table 1 in
Section 2).
Legislative and
policy framework
Owner, retailer
and consumer
interest in energy
efficiency and
sustainability
Investment
considerations
uninterrupted retailer
operations are the key
to success.
Lighting solutions in retail environments are becoming One reason why replacements or refurbishments may
increasingly sophisticated. The upgrading of lighting not have taken place in the last few years is the
provides an opportunity to achieve new visual effects generally negative sentiment around secondary shopping
with the benefits of more efficient fittings and centres during and immediately after the recession.
control systems to manage the hours of operation. Valuations appear to imply rents falling steeply into the
long term and under these circumstances, replacement
Is the building fabric providing adequate insulation? or refurbishment may not have looked attractive.
The insulation performance of patent glazing systems The alternative of selling the assets may have been
reduced significantly after 20 years. Consider replacing more appealing.
glazed roof and wall areas within an architectural
solution. Recladding of external walls for aesthetic Now the market has turned, rents at the prime end
effect can incorporate an additional insulation layer at least, are increasing and prime or new property has
to improve performance of the envelope. become fairly expensive. The type of value added
investment whereby secondary centres are acquired
Replacement of failing roof membranes will improve and capital expenditure used to replace old equipment
waterproofing however may require upgrading or even to finance major refurbishments now looks
insulation to meet current Building Regulation increasingly attractive. This highlights the fact that the
U-values. While this is an additional expense the wider property cycle affects the relationship between
improved insulation will have better thermal energy and value. It also highlights that there will be
performance and energy efficiency advantages. times in the cycle when the value benefits of enhancing
Secondary benefits may also accrue for HVAC plant, energy provision will be more apparent or immediate
including longer lifespan and lower maintenance than others. Regular audits of the intersection of energy
costs from reduced running times. credentials and value will help highlight optimal timings
for action.
When selecting plant and equipment, note that a
higher specification unit may qualify for Enhanced
Capital Allowances (ECA). A business that pays The main focus of this
income or corporation tax will be able to claim 100%
first year capital allowance on a product if it is on report is on the benefits
the Energy Technology Product List (ETPL) at the
time of purchase. The ETPL is a list of energy
of upgrading equipment in
efficient plant and machinery managed by The older centres rather than
Carbon Trust and includes items such as boilers,
electric motors, air conditioning and refrigeration on the potential benefits
systems that qualify for full tax relief. of major refurbishments.
Are there opportunities for renewables and low This is not to say that
carbon generation on site for example rooftop major refurbishments
photovoltaics, fuel cells, geothermal energy and
ground source heat pumps? may not be cost effective
in the right circumstances.
Installation of new plant and equipment should
trigger a re-negotiation of maintenance contracts
from both a cost and key performance indicator
(KPI) perspective. This will in turn provide savings
and motivate ongoing performance improvements.
Optimising
operations
A whole building
approach
29 SUSTAINABLE SHOPPING
SUSTAINABLE SHOPPING CENTRES:
CENTRES: ENERGY
ENERGY PERFORMANCE
PERFORMANCE AND
AND VALUE
VALUE
9 A whole building approach
Developers and owners of new and significantly Other retail leasing trends are likely to have less positive
refurbished centres may address energy impacts on collaboration and energy efficiency
improvements. Some retailers have requested during
efficiency with the introduction of the latest negotiations that clauses be included that exclude works
technology systems and high performance to improve a centre’s EPC rating from service charges due
building fabric. At a whole building level however, to the positive impacts on capital value. This calls into
retailers will have a great influence on holistic question many works that would reduce the energy costs
performance. Owners and managers need to included in the service charge and may further emphasise
the split incentive between owner and retailer,
educate and inform their retailers of the key re-inforcing the industry stalemate.
attributes and operations of the centre, and how
the retailers’ fit out as well as their own actions, Despite this, results shown in Section 3 may serve to
can impact overall performance. overcome owners’ reticence to invest in energy efficiency
improvement projects. Figure 3 shows a positive value
In common practice, the lack of transparency around uplift of approximately 1-5% for all centre types,
owner and occupier energy intensity and maintenance especially for older Type D centres. There is a clear value
costs means that, at best, potential synergies can be lost case for investment.
and at worst, systems are working against each other.
Greater communication and the sharing of energy This report acknowledges that retail properties (shopping
consumption data between owners and retailers are key centres specifically) have broader environmental and
to driving mutually beneficial improvements. sustainability impacts that extend beyond the direct
energy consumption related to building operations. Many
Improvement projects are often held back by the split centres and retailers are beginning to consider their
incentive — where the owner invests capital however the environmental footprint more holistically, including
retailer derives benefits in the form of lower service charge customer transport modes, access to zero and low carbon
costs. The suggestion embodied in Section 2, that landlords transport, the impact of logistics and supply chain energy
charge for the improvements through a temporary addition use. These are important issues for the industry. Due to
to the service charge gets around this and provides the scope of the research conducted these have not been
financial benefits to both landlord and occupiers. covered in this report however further consideration by
This could still be jeopardised by difficult occupiers. owners, managers and retailers is recommended.
Conclusions and
recommendations
The analysis conducted for this report highlights At a practical level therefore, there is a strong case for
the financial and value benefits for shopping routinely embedding awareness and analysis of shopping
centre energy performance, in both the investment
centre owners associated with the installation philosophy and the due diligence processes of all types
of energy efficient equipment. It is hoped that of owner. This would encompass regular life cycle
greater understanding of these issues will assessments that monitor the relationship between energy
encourage landlords to appreciate that furthering and value, including benchmarking of energy costs against
their green credentials produce significant value total service charge, and energy costs as a proportion of
rental income. Medium to long term energy plans should
benefits, rather than just incurring costs. be routinely incorporated into strategic asset
management planning.
Two key questions were posed at the beginning of this
report. Are more sustainable buildings worth more?
There would also be significant benefit in implementing
And are there financial benefits from improving the
or expanding regular energy audits that benchmark the
environmental performance of shopping centres? These
position of individual centres on key criteria such as:
are significant areas of enquiry for shopping centre
owners as the answers provide a defensible financial
energy costs as a proportion of service charge
basis for undertaking the capital investment necessary
to enhance energy efficiency. energy costs as a proportion of NRI
the current performance of energy equipment; and
The report finds that it is possible to profitably increase
energy efficiency and therefore enhance asset value. management practices.
This is achieved through the replacement of some or all
of the energy intensive equipment with positive impacts Overall, a rethink-replace mantra (challenging the status
in terms of reduction in energy / maintenance costs and quo) evaluating alternative courses of action will position
upward shifts in shopping centre value. Indeed, the case energy efficiency squarely as a component of asset risk
for doing so is persuasive. that owners should be keeping under review.
Moreover, the benefits of such actions are proportionately The precise impact of physical engineering solutions
highest for the currently weaker shopping centres. For on energy performance also depends on a range of
relatively modern centres a value gain of over 1% would operational, behavioural, management and procurement
be realisable. Larger value increases accrue for older issues that may either re-inforce or dilute the benefit.
centres where the replacement of equipment generates This is an area that would benefit from further analysis
substantial value gains of over 5%. In other words, the to isolate the impact of individual actions however,
capital costs of greening a centre are not necessarily addressed properly these could be taken as a blueprint
prohibitive and can actually confer significant landlord for best practice in the energy management of
benefits in the form of increased values or, at the very shopping centres.
least, be carried out with no net financial cost.
While there is general industry acceptance that Also in the UK, research conducted by Fuerst, van Wetering
sustainable or green buildings provide environmental and Wyatt in 2013 reviewed rent and service charges for
817 office leasing transactions. The research concluded
advantages, there is still conjecture as to whether that tenancies with A-C rated EPCs attracted a rental
there are realisable financial benefits for owners. premium of approximately 11% and had demonstrably
Will occupiers pay higher rents and will they lower service charges.
achieve higher sale prices? The investigation of
these questions has been the subject of an Very little research has been focused on the retail and
shopping centre sector. One study that did include a
increasing number of research papers by variety of building types was The Sustainable Property
academics around the world. Appraisal Project (Ellison and Sayce, 2006). This project
set out the impacts sustainability can have on property
Several studies analyse data from the US office market, worth, such as:
comparing achieved rents and sale prices for buildings
with no green credentials to those with Energy Star rental growth
ratings or LEED certifications. depreciation
The most well known of the early studies is Doing Well cash flow
By Doing Good (Eichholtz, Kok and Quigley, 2010). This duration to sale; and
study found that otherwise equal commercial buildings
with an environmental certification had asking rents duration to let.
of approximately 3% more per square foot, rising to 6%
for effective rents. Sales prices were found to be 16% The research proposes that changes to occupation costs
higher for certified buildings. Interestingly there were may lead to changes in rental rates i.e. as service
much stronger results for Energy Star rated buildings charge costs increase occupiers may seek to drive rents
(measured purely on energy consumption) than a more down as they are less inclined to, or less able to, pay.
holistic LEED rated building where no significant Energy efficiency and climate control costs are noted
correlation was found. This would suggest that occupiers as significant.
were willing to pay more for energy efficiency rather
than all round sustainability. Depreciation impacts are based on the increased costs
to meet changing sustainability standards and occupier
A study by Fuerst and McAllister, Green Noise or Green expectations. In this framework, cash flow impacts take
Value? Measuring the Effects of Environmental into account one-off payments to mitigate sustainability
Certification on Office Values (originally published in Real risks at the appropriate time.
Estate Economics in 2011 and further developed in 2012)
analysed US data from the CoStar database to compare The project’s main outputs were in a ‘Future Proofing
LEED and Energy Star certified and non-certified Property Questionnaire’, the results of which fed into
buildings. The review of rental prices showed a 4-5% a ‘Sustainable Property Appraisal Toolkit’. This then
premium for the certified assets. Comparing sales prices generated both a ‘Standard Worth’ and a ‘Sustainable
showed a 25%-27% premium respectively, with higher Worth’ based on the buildings characteristics, allowing
levels of LEED certification achieving higher premia. valuers to calculate the impacts of sustainability features
rather than rely on broad brush historic evidence.
In a UK context, Supply, Demand and Value of Green
Buildings (Chegut, Eichholtz and Kok, 2012) analysed
rental and sales transactions comparing BREEAM certified
and non-certified buildings. BREEAM buildings attracted A study found that
a rental premium of 28% and a sales premium of 26%
over non-certified buildings. Caution is required when otherwise equal
reviewing these results however transaction rates for
certified buildings were low (e.g. 69 BREEAM buildings out commercial buildings
of 2019 sales). There was no differentiation for different with an environmental
certification levels and the premia could reflect higher
quality or construction costs. The study also found that certification had asking
premia decrease with the concentration of certified rents of approximately
assets in a particular location. Given that many local
authorities mandate a BREEAM rating for new 3% more per square foot,
developments, these results will require regular review.
rising to 6% for effective
rents. Sales prices were
found to be 16% higher
for certified buildings.
Doing Well By Doing Good
(Eichholtz, Kok and Quigley, 2010)
The model developed is a simple textbook The underlying potential for ERV growth will also depend
valuation model which aims to capture the on the age (or time since the last major refurbishment)
and the market strength of the centre. Older centres are
relationship between service charges, NRI (and by less attractive to retailers than newer ones and centres
extension, value) for different types and quality with lower market power will be less able to pass on rent
of shopping centre and the impact of changes in increases than those with higher market power. For
energy and maintenance costs on service charges. example, a Type B centre is expected to see an ERV
decline of 0.4% per annum while a Type D centre is
A key assumption is that landlords do not have absolute expected to see a 2.1% fall (both before any allowance
power to push service charge increases on in full as for changes in service charges).
increased occupier charges. The quality of the centre
and its position and draw within its catchment will affect The value of the centre is calculated simply as the
the balance of power between landlords and occupiers NPV of the future net income of the centre, assuming
and, ultimately, the extent to which any increases in a 6% discount rate and an uprating of rents in line with
the service charge can be passed onto retailers. ERV every five years. This makes allowance for changes
to the ERV to reflect the impact of changing market
The occupier cost (rent plus service charge) growth of rents, ageing and changes to the service charge.
a centre will depend on the general market ERV growth The degree of variation between base case NPV and
plus a proportion of any additional service change that NPV under variant assumptions will indicate the impact
the landlord is able to pass onto the occupier. In reality, of variations in energy in maintenance costs in the
the service charge has to be paid in full however increases different types of centre.
in the service charge will affect the attractiveness of the
centre to the occupier. Increases such as these are likely The main driver in the model of imputed occupier cost
to affect ERV and be realised in NRI figures at the time comprises two elements:
of the next rent review. In other words, an increase in a market ERV element, which is also subject to an
the service charge will reduce ERV as the higher total imposed depreciation profile based on the age of
occupation cost will mean that retailers will find the the centre at the beginning of the cash flow and the
centre less attractive. market power of the centre; and
The extent to which any additional service charge can be a share of an increase in the service charge over
passed on will depend on the relative bargaining power of and above indexation (to CPI) that the occupiers are
the landlord and occupier. All of the actual service charge willing to pay. This share is dependent on market
is passed on if the attractions of the centre mean that power; the closer the number is to one, the greater
the occupier has to be there, however if occupiers have the share of the increased costs will be passed to the
a choice of going elsewhere (determined in the model occupiers — therefore all other things being equal,
by landlord market power in Table 1) some or all of the the less impact higher service charges will have on NPV.
increased cost will result in a lower ERV. In this case Note that where an occupier is unable or unwilling
any service charge increase will be shared between the to bear all of the increase in the service charge
landlord and the occupiers. At the extreme, where the (relative to indexation) it shows up as a lower ERV
occupier’s operation is only marginally profitable, all rather than a lower service charge.
of the additional cost will be carried by the landlord
(i.e. the additional service change will be fully offset
by a reduction in the ERV).
Section 3 — Results and scenarios, highlights simply because the new equipment is more energy
the savings to be gained in both energy costs efficient, while savings on maintenance expenditure are
realised new equipment is cheaper to service than old.
and maintenance costs from the replacement This tends to mean that the older the centre or the older
of old energy intensive equipment with new. the equipment to be precise, the bigger the potential
It goes on to assess the impacts on NPV of the savings. As a result, the maintenance savings associated
higher net cash flows produced by investing with equipment replacement in Type D centres (more
in new equipment. than 25 years since construction or since the last major
refurbishment) are particularly large.
Interviews with industry experts indicate that energy
saving investments are intrinsically tied up with the As discussed in the body of the report, separate scenarios
decision on whether or not to replace ageing equipment. were run for the individual replacement of separate
A decision to replace ageing equipment (especially pieces of equipment and for the replacement of all
lighting, HVAC, elevators and lifts) automatically means equipment simultaneously. Figures 4(a) and 4(b) show
that more energy savings equipment will be installed as the combined energy and maintenance costs profile over
current standards are much more energy efficient than time, comparing a ‘no replacement’ scenario with full
old. Although it can be possible to commit additional replacement scenario. With the no replacement scenario,
expenditure in order to get the most energy efficient the existing equipment gradually becomes more expensive
equipment, the additional expense is not usually to run. This is due to increases in the nominal cost of
considered to be economic. energy and maintenance (they both move up in line with
an assumed rate of 2% CPI inflation in this case) and the
The scenario exercise assumes that all types of energy increased expense of maintaining older equipment.
intensive equipment are replaced in one go, which might
not necessarily be the case in reality. With the ‘replacement’ scenario, there is an instant drop
in costs associated with lower energy consumption and
The analysis indicates that cost-saving benefits derive reduced maintenance costs. Costs then move up in line
from a combination of savings on maintenance spend and with CPI inflation however from a lower base.
savings on energy costs. Savings on energy costs arise
Figure 4 (a): Energy and maintenance Figure 4 (b): Energy and maintenance
costs combined for a Type B centre costs combined for a Type D centre
800,000 1,200,000
700,000
1,000,000
600,000
800,000
500,000
Cost (£)
Cost (£)
400,000 600,000
300,000
400,000
200,000
200,000
100,000
0 0
2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025
Year Year
Existing equipment Replacement equipment Existing equipment Replacement equipment
Type A
HVAC £58,920 n/a £29,996 n/a £88,917 n/a n/a
Lighting £106,539 n/a £37,496 n/a £144,035 n/a n/a
Lifts £31,537 n/a £13,952 n/a £45,489 n/a n/a
Escalators £52,562 n/a £14,388 n/a £66,950 n/a n/a
Total £249,559 £95,831 £345,391
Type B
HVAC £55,238 £44,190 £34,113 £25,083 £89,351 £69,273 £20,077
Lighting £239,713 £79,904 £42,641 £31,354 £282,354 £111,258 £171,096
Lifts £63,075 £31,537 £17,408 £12,800 £80,483 £44,337 £36,145
Escalators £70,083 £35,042 £20,950 £15,404 £91,033 £50,446 £40,587
Total £428,109 £190,67 £115,11 £84,641 £543,221 £275,314 £267,906
Type C
HVAC £67,513 £54,010 £43,329 £28,695 £110,842 £82,705 £28,137
Lighting £292,983 £97,661 £54,162 £35,869 £347,145 £133,530 £213,615
Lifts £74,901 £37,451 £22,952 £15,200 £97,853 £52,651 £45,203
Escalators £105,125 £52,562 £26,569 £17,596 £131,694 £70,158 £61,536
Total £540,521 £241,684 £147,012 £97,359 £687,534 £339,043 £348,490
Type D
HVAC £61,375 £49,100 £51,613 £28,515 £112,988 £77,616 £35,373
Lighting £266,348 £88,783 £64,516 £35,644 £330,864 £124,427 £206,437
Lifts £86,728 £43,364 £31,856 £17,600 £118,584 £60,964 £57,620
Escalators £140,166 £70,083 £35,838 £19,800 £176,004 £89,883 £86,121
Total £554,617 £251,330 £183,823 £101,55 £738,440 £352,889 £385,550
Clearly the benefits of a lower service charge need to be The calculations assume that where energy intensive
set against the capital cost of replacement installation. equipment (lighting, HVAC, lifts and elevators) is
These are derived from verified industry estimates on replaced, the capital cost (amortised over five years)
the unit cost of each type of installation, the typical is passed on through the service change. Some of the
number of each type of installation in a centre, its initially higher service charge (all of it in the case of
intensity of usage and the percentage of common parts. Type D centres) is offset by reduced rents.
For full replacement (i.e. comprising lighting, HVAC, lifts
and escalators) these are estimated at approximately Type D centres reap all of the benefits from the lower
£1.35 million for a Type B centre; £1.6 million for a Type service charge as higher rents as occupiers are indifferent
C centre and £1.79 million for a Type D centre. Except in between rents and service changes (i.e. when market
the year of installation, once amortised, these costs are power is zero). The benefit is diluted for other centres.
appreciably lower than the savings from reduced energy
and maintenance costs. The benefit from a lower service
charge and higher rents kicks in almost immediately.
BCSC
Charter House
13-15 Carteret Street
Westminster
London SW1H 9DJ