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deploy to the airfields in the Spratlys could easily be re-refueled and deploy to Dara
Sakor airport.
The most likely contingency for the deployment of Chinese military ships and/or
aircraft would be to provide humanitarian assistance in the event of a major natural
disaster in the Gulf of Thailand. Or, to take another example, when the Malaysian
Airline MH370 disappeared flying over the Gulf of Thailand Cambodia was only able
to provide helicopters for the initial limited search. If another airline disaster occurs
with Chinese passengers, China could swiftly base its search and rescue operations in
Koh Kong province.
In the event of rising tensions or a crisis in the South China Sea and adjacent waters,
China could easily deploy warships and military aircraft to Cambodia. The defence
relations are so intimate that Cambodia would immediately comply with a Chinese
request.
Finally, Australian and allied intelligence agencies have assessed that China’s long-
term goal is to establish military ports across the Indo-Pacific region. These ports
could serve as access points for the extended rotation of PLAN ships or in the
fullness of time become permanent bases for the PLAN. As China completes its
massive infrastructure projects in Cambodia it will have the capacity to deploy. The
only variable is intent and this can change will little or no advance warning.
The bottom line: intelligence desk officers across the region will “watch the Koh
Kong space” intently.
Suggested citation: Carlyle A. Thayer, “Cambodia New Airport at Koh Kong Under
Construction,” Thayer Consultancy Background Brief, January 12, 2019. All
background briefs are posted on Scribd.com (search for Thayer). To remove yourself
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Thayer Consultancy provides political analysis of current regional security issues and
other research support to selected clients. Thayer Consultancy was officially
registered as a small business in Australia in 2002.