THE HILL CONGRESSIONAL

POLLING
MISSISSIPPI 1
FINAL RESULTS

10.18.10

NEW YORK • WASHINGTON • DENVER • SEATTLE • LOS ANGELES • SAN FRANCISCO • LONDON • HONG KONG

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 HORSERACE

If the elections for

Congress were held
today, which candidate
would you vote for in
your congressional
district? Base D R I Male Female 17 -34 35 -54 55+
Travis Childers 39 88 8 27 33 45 68 36 38
Alan Nunnelee 44 3 80 48 52 38 26 47 45
Other 3 0 2 5 2 3 2 4 2
Would not vote 1 1 1 1 1 1 0 1 1
Don't know 12 8 9 19 12 13 3 13 13

How favorable is your

view of Travis
Childers? Base D R I Male Female 17 -34 35 -54 55+
Favorable/Unfavorable 47/38 78/11 29/59 40/44 43/44 51/33 76/18 44/43 46/38
Very favorable 19 43 5 12 16 22 9 17 21
Somewhat favorable 28 35 24 28 27 29 67 27 25
Somewhat unfavorable 18 7 27 19 19 17 12 24 16
Very unfavorable 20 4 32 25 25 16 6 19 22
Not familiar 6 4 6 9 3 8 3 7 6
Don't know 8 7 7 8 9 8 3 7 10

How favorable is your

view of Alan Nunnelee? Base D R I Male Female 17 -34 35 -54 55+
Favorable/Unfavorable 49/27 19/52 73/9 54/20 54/24 43/30 34/40 48/28 50/25
Very favorable 22 5 37 25 25 18 8 18 24
Somewhat favorable 27 14 36 29 29 25 26 30 26
Somewhat unfavorable 14 19 6 17 11 16 6 19 12
Very unfavorable 13 33 3 3 13 14 34 9 13
Not familiar 14 15 13 16 12 17 14 16 14
Don't know 10 14 5 10 10 10 12 8 10

Now think about the

upcoming November
election for Congress?
How likely are you to
vote in that election? Base D R I Male Female 17 -34 35 -54 55+
Definitely will vote 84 79 90 85 86 81 66 86 85
Probably will vote 16 21 10 15 14 19 34 14 15
Maybe will vote 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Probably will NOT vote 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Definitely will NOT vote 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Don't know 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0

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Thinking about the
2008 election, for
whom did you vote for
President? Base D R I Male Female 17 -34 35 -54 55+
Democrat Barack Obama 32 79 3 18 30 34 59 30 30
Republican John McCain 58 11 94 65 59 56 31 61 59
A third party candidate 4 1 2 10 5 4 4 5 4
Did not vote 1 1 0 3 1 1 6 1 1
Other 0 0 0 1 1 0 0 0 1
Don't know - prefer not to
say 5 7 1 4 4 5 0 3 6

PARTY IDENTIFICACTION

Do you consider
yourself a Democrat, a
Republican or an Now Now Now DK
Independent? Base Vote D Vote R on Vote Male Female 17- 34 35- 54 55+
Democrat 32 71 2 22 30 34 54 25 33
Independent 24 16 26 37 24 24 18 24 25
Republican 36 8 65 28 38 35 28 44 34
Other 4 3 4 6 4 3 0 5 4
Don't know - prefer not to
say 3 2 2 8 3 4 0 3 4

JOB APPROVAL

Thinking in general,
would you say that you
approve or disapprove
of the job President
Barack Obama has
been doing? Base D R I Male Female 17 -34 35 -54 55+
Approve/Disapprove 35/63 83/14 6/92 19/80 32/65 38/60 57/43 33/65 34/65
Strongly approve 21 57 2 8 21 22 47 20 19
Somewhat approve 14 26 4 11 11 16 10 13 15
Somewhat disapprove 11 5 11 16 9 13 15 9 12
Strongly disapprove 52 9 81 64 56 47 28 56 53
Don't know 2 3 2 1 3 2 0 2 2

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Thinking in general,
would you say that you
approve or disapprove
of the job Congress
has been doing? Base D R I Male Female 17 -34 35 -54 55+
Approve/Disapprove 26/71 56/38 6/92 16/82 20/75 29/66 48/51 25/73 24/72
Strongly approve 4 10 0 2 4 3 4 4 4
Somewhat approve 22 46 6 14 16 26 44 21 20
Somewhat disapprove 18 23 15 15 17 19 22 17 18
Strongly disapprove 53 15 77 67 58 47 29 56 54
Don't know 4 7 2 3 3 5 1 2 5

SPECIFIC QUESTIONS

When you think about

your vote in this
November's
congressional election,
how important in your
decision is your feeling
about president
Obama? Base D R I Male Female 17 -34 35 -54 55+
Important/Unimportant 71/27 76/21 72/27 65/34 68/29 73/25 58/43 77/21 68/28
Very important 51 54 51 49 49 52 32 56 49
Somewhat important 20 22 21 16 19 21 26 21 19
Not very important 9 5 12 11 8 10 12 9 9
Not at all important 18 16 15 23 21 15 31 12 19
Don't know - 2 3 1 2 3 2 0 1 3

In order to tackle the

national deficit, which
of the following options
would you rather
choose? Base D R I Male Female 17 -34 35 -54 55+
Raise taxes 8 18 2 6 7 8 0 5 10
Cut government
spending 87 73 96 91 89 85 100 92 83
Don't know 5 8 2 4 4 6 0 3 7

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When Barack Obama
ran for President, he
said he would bring
Change to Washington.
After two years in the
White House, which of
these statements
comes closest to your
feeling? Base D R I Male Female 17 -34 35 -54 55+
Obama has brought
change for the better 22 57 4 10 24 21 36 22 20
Obama has brought
change but for the worse 52 13 78 59 53 52 45 51 55
Nothing has really
changed in Washington
yet 22 25 18 29 21 24 20 26 21
Don't know 3 5 1 2 3 4 0 2 4

Do you think the

current Democratic
congressional
leadership under
Nancy Pelosi and Harry
Reid is to the left of
you, to the right of you,
or just about where you
politically stand? Base D R I Male Female 17 -34 35 -54 55+
To the left of you 59 31 85 59 63 55 59 66 57
To the right of you 6 7 3 10 5 6 0 3 7
About where you are 21 48 4 10 23 19 24 24 19
Don't know 15 14 9 21 10 19 17 6 17

Do you think the

current Republican
congressional
leadership under John
Boehner and Mitch
McConnell is to the left
of you, to the right of
you, or just about
where you politically
stand? Base D R I Male Female 17 -34 35 -54 55+
To the left of you 18 35 4 14 20 15 5 24 16
To the right of you 18 22 18 16 22 15 33 24 15
About where you are 41 21 58 41 45 37 51 35 43
Don't know 23 22 19 29 13 33 11 17 26

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Now please think about
the idea of the American
Dream. Which of the
following best describes
how you see it as of
today? Base D R I Male Female 17 -34 35 -54 55+
It's still there for everyone 30 31 28 29 32 29 22 36 27
It still exists but only for
some people 39 45 32 40 36 41 19 41 41
It no longer exists for most
people 14 7 22 13 14 15 0 14 16
It no longer exists 14 14 13 16 15 12 59 7 12
Don't know 3 2 4 3 3 3 0 2 4

Regardless of how you

plan to vote, what would
you say is the most
compelling reason to vote
for Democrats in the
November elections for
Congress? Base D R I Male Female 17 -34 35 -54 55+
To protect our social
security, health care and
other benefits 32 33 22 40 25 38 23 27 35
To ensure extreme right
wing candidates are not
elected to Congress 11 16 10 3 13 8 52 15 5
To give President Obama a
chance to implement his
programs 19 42 5 12 14 24 18 21 18
Don't know 39 8 62 44 48 30 7 38 42

Regardless of how you

plan to vote, what would
you say is the most
compelling reason to vote
for Republicans in the
November elections for
Congress? Base D R I Male Female 17 -34 35 -54 55+
To ensure taxes don't
increase and government
spending doesn't get out of
control 42 37 44 49 33 50 36 47 40
To ensure extreme left wing
candidates are not elected
to Congress 9 3 13 8 8 10 0 7 11
To prevent Obama from
implementing more of his
adenda 31 21 39 33 42 21 59 34 27
Don't know 18 38 4 10 17 18 6 13 22

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What would you say is
your main source of
political information? Base D R I Male Female 17 -34 35 -54 55+
Television 64 67 65 59 62 66 24 57 71
Radio 8 4 12 5 12 5 3 17 5
Print media 10 9 12 10 6 14 5 9 11
Internet 12 14 9 16 13 11 66 12 6
Other 5 5 3 9 5 5 2 4 6
Don't know 1 1 0 2 2 0 0 0 1

Overall, would you say

the media in America
have become more
partisan, less partisan
or are about the same
as they were five years
ago? Base D R I Male Female 17 -34 35 -54 55+
More partisan
Republican 12 17 7 7 10 13 5 12 12
More partisan Democrat 42 23 55 52 54 31 66 43 39
Less partisan 9 10 8 6 8 9 7 11 8
About the same 28 41 19 28 20 36 17 28 31
Don't know 10 9 11 7 7 12 5 6 12

DEMOGRAPHICS

GENDER Base D R I Male Female 17 -34 35 -54 55+

Male 48 45 51 48 100 0 65 46 47
Female 52 55 49 52 0 100 35 54 53

AGE Base D R I Male Female 17 -34 35 -54 55+

17-34 7 11 5 5 9 5 100 0 0
35-54 29 23 34 28 28 30 0 100 0
55-120 63 64 59 65 61 64 0 0 100
Don't know/refused 2 2 1 2 2 2 0 0 0

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 What do you consider
to be your race? Base D R I Male Female 17 -34 35 -54 55+
White 74 43 93 86 72 76 47 73 77
Black or African-
American 20 52 2 7 20 20 53 21 16
Asian-American 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0
Hispanic or Latino 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Native American 1 0 1 0 1 0 0 0 1
Other --- SPECIFY 2 0 3 4 3 2 0 4 2
Don't know - prefer not to
say 3 5 1 1 3 2 0 3 3

What is the last year of

schooling that you
have completed? Base D R I Male Female 17-34 35-54 55+
Less than a high school
degree 9 13 5 10 10 9 5 5 11
High school graduate 30 34 23 31 30 29 16 27 33
Non-college post-high
school (technical school) 1 1 1 1 1 1 0 1 0
Some college 20 17 21 23 19 21 25 18 21
College graduate 25 19 34 24 21 29 22 33 22
Post college - graduate
school 10 8 13 9 12 9 6 13 10
Technical school 3 7 2 1 5 1 26 2 1
Don't know - prefer not to
say 1 1 1 0 1 1 0 0 2

What is your current

marital status? Base D R I Male Female 17-34 35-54 55+
Single 11 19 7 9 14 9 41 13 7
Married 68 59 76 72 72 65 55 78 65
Widowed 12 15 9 12 8 17 0 0 19
Divorced 6 7 7 6 5 7 4 8 6
Living with significant
other, but not married 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Don't know - prefer not to
say 1 0 1 2 1 1 0 0 1

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For statistical purposes
only, please tell me
which of the following
categories best
represents your total
annual household
income? Base D R I Male Female 17 -34 35 -54 55+
Less than $50,000 50 63 39 50 48 51 50 37 57
$50,000 - $99,999 27 25 28 29 29 24 43 36 20
$100,000 and above 10 6 17 9 11 10 5 18 7
Don't know - prefer not to
say 13 7 15 13 12 14 3 9 15

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