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Transactions of the Royal Society of Tropical Medicine and Hygiene 106 (2012) 273–282

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Tropical Medicine and Hygiene
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Review

Fifty years of dengue in India


Anita Chakravarti a , Rohit Arora b , Christine Luxemburger c,∗
a
Maulana Azad Medical College, Bahadur Shah Zafar Marg, New Delhi, Delhi, 10002, India
b
Sanofi Pasteur India, 54/A, Sir Mathuradas Vasanji Road, Andheri (East), Mumbai 400 093, India
c
Sanofi Pasteur, 2 av Pont Pasteur, F69367, Lyon Cedex 07, France

a r t i c l e i n f o a b s t r a c t

Article history: Dengue is the most important mosquito-borne, human viral disease in many tropical and
Received 19 May 2011 sub-tropical areas. In India the disease has been essentially described in the form of case
Received in revised form series. We reviewed the epidemiology of dengue in India to improve understanding of its
21 December 2011
evolution in the last 50 years and support the development of effective local prevention and
Accepted 23 December 2011
Available online 21 February 2012
control measures. Early outbreak reports showed a classic epidemic pattern of transmission
with sporadic outbreaks, with low to moderate numbers of cases, usually localized to urban
Keywords:
centres and neighbouring regions, but occasionally spreading and causing larger epidemics.
Dengue Trends in recent decades include: larger and more frequent outbreaks; geographic expan-
Epidemiology sion of endemic transmission; spread of the disease from urban to peri-urban and rural
Outbreaks areas; an increasing proportion of severe cases and deaths; and progression to hyperen-
India demicity, particularly in large urban areas. The global picture of dengue in India is currently
Review that of a largely endemic country. Understanding demographic differences in infection rates
Dengue virus and severity of dengue has important implications for the planning and implementation of
effective public health prevention and control measures and targeting of future vaccination
campaigns.
© 2012 Royal Society of Tropical Medicine and Hygiene. Published by Elsevier Ltd.
All rights reserved.

1. Introduction fatal;2,3 death usually results from circulatory collapse due


to massive plasma leakage.2,3 There is no specific treatment
Dengue emerged in the second half of the twentieth for DHF or DSS although with proper clinical diagnosis and
century as a major public health concern in many tropical management fatality rates are less than 1%.1
and sub-tropical regions around the world. It is currently There are four closely related DENV serotypes (DENV-
the most important mosquito-borne, human viral disease 1 to DENV-4). Infection is thought to confer lifelong
in terms of both the number of cases and the number of immunity against variants of the same serotype but only
deaths. Dengue is considered a major global threat by the partial and transient (2–3 months) cross-protection against
World Health Organization (WHO).1 infection by other serotypes, so one can be re-infected
Dengue virus (DENV) infection results in a broad spec- sequentially with DENVs of different serotypes.1 There is
trum of clinical presentations, ranging from asymptomatic evidence that secondary heterotypic DENV infections may
or a mild, non-specific fever, to classic dengue fever (DF), carry an increased risk of developing severe forms of the
and severe presentations such as dengue hemorrhagic disease.4
fever (DHF) or dengue shock syndrome (DSS) which is often Until recently, the burden of dengue may not have
been as widely recognized in India compared with other
∗ Corresponding author. Tel.: +33 4 3737 7612. Asian countries, in particular Thailand, Vietnam and the
E-mail address: christine.luxemburger@sanofipasteur.com Philippines. However, since the mid-1990s, epidemics of
(C. Luxemburger). dengue in India have become progressively larger and more

0035-9203/$ – see front matter © 2012 Royal Society of Tropical Medicine and Hygiene. Published by Elsevier Ltd. All rights reserved.
doi:10.1016/j.trstmh.2011.12.007
274 A. Chakravarti et al. / Transactions of the Royal Society of Tropical Medicine and Hygiene 106 (2012) 273–282

frequent, usually starting in urban centres and quickly established dengue surveillance system, and no tangible
spreading to neighbouring regions. India became endemic data are available until the return of large epidemics in
for both DF and DHF as transmission became sustained the 1990s. India then experienced two major epidemics,
during the inter-epidemic periods in large parts of the the first in 1993, followed in 1996 by the largest epi-
country.5,6 Moreover, recurring dengue epidemics eventu- demic of DF/DHF to date. The 1996 epidemic started in
ally resulted in the establishment of hyperendemic areas, the areas around Delhi11–13 and spread rapidly across most
typically large, densely populated cities where several or of the country, causing a reported 16 517 cases and 545
all four DENV serotypes circulate in a sustained fashion.6 deaths.14,15 Delhi was the most severely affected region
The public health importance of dengue in India is now with 10 252 cases and 423 deaths (respectively 62.0% and
acknowledged, but its epidemiology has been described in 77.6% of the overall figures);14 substantial numbers of
the literature primarily in the form of case series reporting cases and deaths were also reported from the neighbour-
on individual outbreaks and there are few comprehensive ing states of Haryana,16,17 Punjab,18–20 Rajasthan, Uttar
reviews.6–9 The purpose of this review is to provide an Pradesh21 and two southern and western states.14 The pro-
overview of available data on the epidemiology of dengue portion of severe clinical presentations, i.e., of DHF/DSS
in India to improve the understanding of its evolution in cases, was particularly high in this epidemic resulting in
recent decades and support the development of effective the highest case fatality rate (CFR) recorded for the whole
prevention and control measures. of India (CFR 3.3%).
The disease pattern of dengue in India is described using
annual numbers of reported cases and deaths and their geo- 2.2. Dengue surveillance system in India
graphic distribution, where available, together with data
on gender, age distribution, rural spread, and seasonality. The scale and severity of the 1996 DHF epidemic
Serotype circulation data is summarized by calendar year prompted a series of coordinated responses at state and
and state. national level. A passive surveillance program was set
up by the Indian government. Official disease surveil-
1.1. Literature search lance systems come under the responsibility of state
government and data is centralized by the National Vector
Details of the literature search for papers on dengue are Borne Disease Control Program (NVBDCP). The NVBDCP
shown in Box 1. also developed guidelines for the prevention and control
of dengue and assisted state governments with their
programs, for example by standardizing methods for case
2. Discussion
detection and vector control.5
Dengue cases were monitored through a passive
2.1. Early epidemics of dengue in India
surveillance approach. Passive surveillance relies on
disease notification by health care professionals who
Sporadic outbreaks of DF have been reported in India
are required to report all suspected cases of reportable
for over two centuries,2,7 but the earliest virologically con-
diseases. Such systems have low sensitivity during inter-
firmed outbreak occurred in 1956 in Vellore, Tamil Nadu.8
epidemic periods, due to the low index of suspicion for
The first large epidemic of dengue began in 1963 in Cal-
dengue. World Bank figures indicate the private sec-
cutta, West Bengal, from where it spread to other states,
tor in India covers 90% of health service costs and the
eventually affecting most of the country.6 This was the
treatment of 40% of all cases of infectious disease, includ-
first dengue epidemic in India with significant numbers of
ing dengue. However, the private health care sector is
DHF cases, with up to 30% of cases showing hemorrhagic
under-represented in the dengue surveillance program.
manifestations, and resulted in 200 deaths.7–10
Public health centres in India are organized into three
In the following years a number of DF outbreaks
levels: sub-centres at the village level, primary health
occurred in various parts of the country, but only a few
centres that serve as intermediary structures, and com-
sporadic DHF cases were reported. However, there was no
munity health centres that are hospitals with more than
30 beds. The primary health centres and the community
health centres report the number of laboratory confirmed
Box 1. Literature search
dengue cases to the district medical officer who then
• A preliminary search for English language papers in Medline forwards them to the state government. Information
database with keywords ‘dengue’ AND ‘India’ AND ‘epidemiol- reported includes, age and gender, clinical manifesta-
ogy’ identified 251 papers published between 1965 and 2010. tions, laboratory investigations (total white blood cells,
• Manuscripts describing the same epidemic from different platelets and haematocrit), and IgM capture enzyme-
angles (e.g., clinical features and laboratory findings) were
linked immunosorbent assay (MAC-ELISA) test result.5
grouped so as to not duplicate the number of cases.
• An additional search was done in journals published in India. However, dengue is not the subject of special attention in
• Reference lists from these manuscripts were reviewed to iden- the states, unlike malaria, filariasis and plague which are
tify additional manuscripts. given the ‘highest priority’ at the national level. Since there
• Finally, data obtained from the Indian National Vector Borne
are some disparities between states, the Union Health
Disease Control Program (NVBDCP) and WHO sources were
reviewed and summarized.
Ministry set up in 1999, in addition to the NVBDCP, an
integrated disease surveillance program (IDSP), which
covers 110 of approximately 600 districts in total.
A. Chakravarti et al. / Transactions of the Royal Society of Tropical Medicine and Hygiene 106 (2012) 273–282 275

To strengthen dengue diagnostic capacity, the Gov- as India. Data on the numbers of dengue cases in individ-
ernment of India established 137 Sentinel Surveillance ual states and Union Territories (UTs) of India are available
Hospitals linked to 13 Apex Referral Laboratories. Dengue from 1997 onwards.23–25
MAC-ELISA test kits, developed by the National Institute Dengue cases and deaths were reported in 27 of the
of Virology, Pune, and as described elsewhere,22 are pro- 35 states and UTs during 1997–2009 (Figure 2, Table 1).
vided to these institutes, for case diagnosis. These hospitals Together, these 27 states and UTs account for >90% of the
and laboratories monitor the number of confirmed and sus- Indian population, and display the same urban/rural dis-
pected cases and report to the state health authorities for tribution as India as a whole.25 Seventeen states and UTs
implementation of measures such as vector control. were responsible for >99% of all cases reported during this
period.
In the early 2000s, dengue in India progressed from
2.3. National and regional distribution of dengue in India
being predominantly restricted to a relatively small
number of states in the southern (Maharashtra, Kar-
During the last two decades, India experienced sus-
nataka, Tamil Nadu and Pondicherry) and north-western
tained, high levels of dengue transmission, with large
regions surrounding Delhi (Rajasthan, Haryana, Punjab
epidemics every 2–3 years, with the exception of the period
and Chandigarh) to a situation where it currently affects
from 1997–2002 when numbers were relatively low (less
large parts of the country. Dengue outbreaks have been
than 2000 cases reported on average per year) but disease
reported in most states and UTs, with the exception of
severity and CFR remained high (CFR 3.05% and 2.55% in
a few dry or mountainous regions where conditions are
1997 and 1998, respectively; Figure 1). Numbers of dengue
unfavourable to the vector.7 A few states (Jammu and Kash-
cases rose again after 2002, with 6000–8000 cases reported
mir, Uttarakhand, Bihar, Chhattisgarh, Orissa, Nagaland,
per year, reflecting sustained transmission. Case fatality
Madhya Pradesh, Manipur, Goa) still display an epidemic
rates remained above 1% from 2003–2007 (1.08–1.69%),
pattern of dengue transmission, with isolated or occasional
falling to lower levels in 2008–2009 (CFR 0.62–0.64%). The
outbreaks (Table 1). Dengue is now endemic in many states
most striking feature of these data is the increased number
and UTs throughout India, generally the larger or more
of reported cases in the last few years. This may be a result
densely populated states, representing over 70% of the total
of the newly established endemicity in many regions of
population.25
India. It may also, at least partially, be attributable to higher
sensitivity of the surveillance system due to increased
awareness among healthcare professionals of the need to 2.4. Disease severity
report clinically suspected dengue cases.
Analysis of nationwide data can provide useful insights After the first large outbreak in 1963 in Calcutta, DHF
on broad disease trends but its relevance is necessarily lim- was virtually absent from India during the 1960s and 1970s,
ited, particularly in the case of a country as vast and diverse despite the co-circulation of multiple DENV serotypes,

Cases
20000 10

18000 Cases 9
CFR (%)
16000 8

14000 7

12000 6

10000 5

8000 4

6000 3

4000 2

2000 1

0 0
1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009
Year

Figure 1. Annual numbers of dengue cases and case fatality rate (CFR) reported in India for 1991–2009.
Compiled from data published by South-East Asian Regional Office (1991–2005) and National Vector Borne Disease Control Program (NVBDCP)
(2001–2009).14,15,23,24
276 A. Chakravarti et al. / Transactions of the Royal Society of Tropical Medicine and Hygiene 106 (2012) 273–282

Figure 2. Average annual number of dengue cases in the states and Union Territories of India for 1998–2001, 2002–2005 and 2006–2009.
Compiled from data published by National Vector Borne Disease Control Program (NVBDCP).15,23,24

Table 1
National and selected state-wise data on the annual number of dengue cases and deaths for the period 1997–2010

State 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010

Andhra Pradesh Cases 0 0 0 5 1 61 95 230 99 197 587 313 1190 776


Deaths 0 0 0 0 0 3 5 1 2 17 2 2 11 3
Chandigarh Cases 0 0 0 0 0 15 0 0 2 182 99 167 25 221
Deaths 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Delhi Cases 273 333 168 180 322 45 2882 606 1023 3366 548 1312 1153 6259
Deaths 1 5 2 2 3 2 35 3 9 65 1 2 3 8
Goa Cases 0 0 0 0 1 0 12 3 1 1 36 43 277 242
Deaths 0 0 0 0 0 0 2 0 0 0 0 0 5 0
Gujarat Cases 5 0 92 29 69 40 249 117 454 545 570 1065 2461 2568
Deaths 0 0 0 0 0 0 9 4 11 5 2 2 2 0
Haryana Cases 54 14 3 2 260 3 95 25 183 838 365 1137 125 866
Deaths 0 0 0 0 5 0 4 0 1 4 11 9 1 20
Karnataka Cases 262 115 39 196 220 428 1226 291 587 109 230 339 1764 2285
Deaths 4 3 0 0 0 1 7 2 17 7 0 3 8 7
Kerala Cases 0 6 0 0 41 219 3546 686 1028 981 603 733 1425 2597
Deaths 0 0 0 0 0 2 68 8 8 4 11 3 6 17
Madhya Pradesh Cases NR NR NR NR NR NR NR NR NR 16 51 3 1467 175
Deaths NR NR NR NR NR NR NR NR NR NR 2 0 5 1
Maharashtra Cases 249 193 59 66 54 370 772 856 349 736 614 743 2255 1489
Deaths 5 5 12 3 2 18 45 22 56 25 21 22 20 5
Manipur Cases NR NR NR NR NR NR NR NR NR 0 51 0 NR 7
Deaths NR NR NR NR NR NR NR NR NR 0 1 0 NR 0
Pondicherry Cases 0 0 0 0 0 0 6 0 0 0 274 35 66 96
Deaths 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Punjab Cases 23 0 419 91 49 27 848 52 251 1166 28 4349 245 4012
Deaths 3 0 1 1 0 2 13 0 2 6 0 21 1 15
Rajasthan Cases 18 2 1 0 1452 325 685 207 370 1805 540 682 1389 1823
Deaths 1 0 0 0 35 5 11 5 5 26 10 4 18 9
Tamil Nadu Cases 264 33 135 81 816 392 1600 1027 1142 477 707 530 1072 2051
Deaths 21 5 2 1 8 0 8 0 8 2 2 3 7 8
Uttar Pradesh Cases 29 0 28 0 21 0 738 8 121 639 132 51 168 960
Deaths 1 0 0 0 0 0 8 0 4 14 2 2 2 8
West Bengal Cases NR NR NR NR 0 0 0 32 6375 1230 95 1038 399 805
Deaths NR NR NR NR 0 0 0 0 34 8 4 7 0 1
National Total Cases 1177 707 944 650 3306 1926 12 754 4153 11 985 12 317 5534 12 561 15 535 28292
Deaths 36 18 17 7 53 33 215 45 157 184 69 80 96 110

Compiled from data published by National Vector Borne Disease Control Program (NVBDCP). Data from all regions which reported less than 50 cases in
any given year (Bihar, Orissa, Jammu & Kashmir, Dadra & Nagar Haveli, Sikkim, Uttrakhand, Nagaland, Chhattisgarh) were removed.
NR: Not reported.
A. Chakravarti et al. / Transactions of the Royal Society of Tropical Medicine and Hygiene 106 (2012) 273–282 277

considered as a risk factor for DHF.26 A similar situation more pronounced in younger age groups.7 In most of the
has been described for neighbouring countries such as Sri studies reviewed here, however, the results for age strat-
Lanka where, prior to 1989 all four serotypes circulated ification do not differentiate between DF and DHF cases.
and many cases of DF but few cases of DHF occurred.9 This In those that did, some found higher numbers of severe
picture in India and elsewhere in the Indian subcontinent cases among younger patients whilst others found young
differs to that of epidemic DHF described for Southeast Asia adults to be more severely affected. Age, however, is not the
for the same period, following a first epidemic in Manila, only factor. Pre-existing dengue immunity at the individual
the Philippines, in 1953.6,26 In India, from the mid to late and population levels resulting from past outbreaks, and
1980s and early 1990s small numbers of DHF cases and dengue viruses’ varying epidemic and pathogenic capacity
deaths were reported culminating in the large epidemic are also thought to play a role.2 It is therefore possible that
of 1996.27,28 This pattern of a gradual increase from small the contrasting observations cited above can be explained
numbers of sporadic DHF cases occurring for several years, by differing disease dynamics and epidemiological his-
leading to a major epidemic is typical of every region tory across regions in a large and diverse country such as
where epidemic DHF has become established.3 India.
Following the re-emergence of DHF in India in 1996, two
other large epidemics with substantial numbers of deaths
2.7. Gender distribution
occurred in 2003 and 2006. Delhi became hyperendemic for
dengue throughout this period29–32 with a large proportion
Males outnumbered females in the majority of the
of the total numbers of cases and deaths occurring in this
reports of dengue outbreaks in India, and in a few stud-
region every year since 2003. There was an overall trend
ies, all from Delhi, the male to female ratio was as high as
for progressively lower mortality since 1996, with CFRs
3–5:1.13,45,62,69,72 The significance of this finding in unclear.
remaining below 1% for the first time in the last two years.
A number of other studies reported no difference in the
This is a common feature in many regions where, follow-
gender distribution of dengue cases, and in two stud-
ing a series of large epidemics, increased awareness of the
ies females were more commonly affected than males:
disease resulted in better case diagnosis and management.1
in one the difference is no longer seen when restricted
to confirmed cases61 and in the other the numbers are
2.5. Outbreak reports small.11 This gender difference in dengue cases in India
may be explained by bias in case ascertainment: most of
A large number of studies have been published on the studies were hospital-based and the reported gender
dengue outbreaks in India since 1961 (Table 2). The vast differences may simply reflect social and cultural bias in
majority of these reports are relatively small case series healthcare-seeking behaviour.75 Consistent with this, the
usually from one or a few neighbouring hospitals. They nev- differences in gender distribution reported when the over-
ertheless provide useful information on variables such as all number of dengue cases is considered are no longer
age, gender, and urban/rural distribution of cases, as well as present when severe outcomes (severe cases and CFR) are
on the seasonality of outbreaks and trends in the circulation considered.12
of DENV serotypes.
2.8. Seasonality
2.6. Age distribution
The seasonal character of dengue epidemics in India
Most authors reported dengue in India to be pre- has been documented by ecological studies.64 Outbreaks
dominantly a disease of young adults. Studies in Delhi, of DF and DHF generally occur during the warm and humid
spanning the period 1999–2006 showed a consistent conditions of the rainy season which favour abundant
pattern with the peak number of confirmed cases mosquito growth. In a study of the influence of climatic fac-
occurring in 21–30 year-olds, generally followed by adoles- tors on the pattern of dengue infections, carried out in Delhi
cents (11–20 year-old group).29,30,55,62,69–71 Young adults during 2003, the interaction between rainfall, tempera-
were also predominantly affected during epidemics in ture and relative humidity was found to be associated with
Chandigarh,51,59 in Haryana,16,17 Maharashtra,44 Punjab20 the distribution of serologically confirmed dengue cases,
and Uttar Pradesh.21,63 which peaked at the end of the monsoon season during the
In a study of the 1996 epidemic in Delhi, Dar and col- months of October and November.64 A similar seasonal pat-
laborators report the highest numbers of cases in the 5–12 tern with the highest numbers of dengue cases occurring
year-old group.11 Similar results were observed in West during the post-monsoon period was observed across the
Bengal in 1990 and in 2005,10,27 in Tamil Nadu in 1998 studies reviewed.
and 2003,54,61 in Madhya Pradesh in 2001 and 2003,65,74 A small number of studies report dengue outbreaks dur-
in Uttar Pradesh in 2003–200660 and in Pondicherry in ing the dry summer months: in Rajasthan, Chouhan et al.
2003–2004.66 report an outbreak occurring during April and May 1985;43
Patient age is a risk factor for severe dengue disease. in Maharashtra, outbreaks of dengue occurred from May
DHF is considered to affect primarily children under 15 to June 1987 and from March to May 1989.47 A thorough
years of age (although adults can also be affected) and is understanding of the relationships between climate, vector
an important cause of paediatric hospitalization.1,2 In the density and incidence of dengue disease is key to the imple-
first DHF epidemic in Calcutta in 1963, clinical severity was mentation of effective preventive and control strategies.64
278 A. Chakravarti et al. / Transactions of the Royal Society of Tropical Medicine and Hygiene 106 (2012) 273–282

Table 2
Data on circulating serotypes, seasonality, sex ratio and age of cases from reports of dengue outbreaks in India

Ref Outbreak year Peak period State/UT Dengue serotype Male/Female Age
(confirmed cases)
1 2 3 4

33 1961 Sept–Nov Tamil Nadu ++ NR NR


1962 Aug–Oct Tamil Nadu ++ + NR NR
1963 Aug–Oct Tamil Nadu + ++ + NR NR
34 1965 Oct Tamil Nadu + NR NR
35 1966 July–Nov Tamil Nadu ++ NR NR
36 1967 NR Delhi + NR NR
37 1968 July–Nov Tamil Nadu + ++ + ++ NR NR
38 1969 Sept–Nov Rajasthan ++ ++ 1.2:1 NR
36 1970 NR Delhi ++ ++ NR NR
39 1970–1971 NR Karnataka + + NR NR
40 1974 Aug–Oct Kerala + NR Majority <16 y.o.
41 1975 Aug–Dec Maharashtra ++ NR NR
36 1982 Aug–Oct Delhi ++ + NR NR
42 1983 July–Aug West Bengal + NR Mostly young adults
43 1985 Apr–May Rajasthan + ++ 2.6:1 Mostly infants, children and young adults
44 1988 May–Jun Maharashtra + ++ ∼1:1 Majority 21–50 y.o.; Peak 31–50 y.o.
28 1988 Sept–Oct Delhi ++ 1.8:1 Peak 6–10 y.o. (pediatric study)
45 1988 Sep–Oct Delhi ++ 5:1 NR
46 1988–1989 NR Gujarat ++ NR NR
47 1989 Mar–May Maharashtra + ++ M>F All age groups
27 1990 Sept–Dec West Bengal ++ 2:1 Majority 0–15 y.o. (77.5%); Peak 0–5 y.o.
48 1992 Jun–Jul Madyha Pradesh ∼2:1 Mostly adults
49 1993 July–Nov Karnataka + NR NR
50 1993 Sept–Nov Kashmir + 1:1 Majority 5–17 y.o. (92.7%)
11 1996 Aug–Nov Delhi + ++ 0.8:1 Peak 5–12 y.o.(40.7%)
12 1996 Sept–Nov Delhi ++ ∼1:1 Peak 8 y.o.; 9% infants (pediatric study)
13 1996 Aug Delhi 3.1:1 Mean age 26.3 y.o. (adult study)
16 1996 Aug Haryana + NR Majority >19 y.o. (51%)
18 1996 Sept–Dec Punjab ∼1:1 Peak 11–20 y.o.(32.8%); 0–10 y.o. 22.4%
20 1996 Oct–Nov Punjab 2.5:1 Mean age 32.2 y.o.
21 1996 Oct–Dec Uttar Pradesh + 1.9:1 Majority 11–30 y.o.; Peak 21–30 y.o. (30%)
51 1996 NR Punjab/Haryana 2.3:1 Peak 21–30 y.o. (29.3%); 0–10 y.o. 17.6%
17 1996 Jul–Aug Haryana ++ 1.2:1 NR
19 1996–1997 Oct–Dec Punjab 2:1 Peak 21–40 y.o.
52 1997 Sept–Dec Delhi ++ NR NR
53 1997–1998 Sept–Nov Delhi + 3:1 Mean age 26 y.o.
54 1998 Jan–Mar Tamil Nadu 2.3:1 Majority <10 y.o. (80%)
13 1996 July–Nov Delhi M>F Majority >14 y.o. (69.5%)
51 1999 NR Punjab/Haryana 2.3:1 Peak 21–30 y.o. (29.3%); 0–10 y.o. 17.6%
55 1999–2001 Sept–Nov Delhi M>F Peak 21–30 y.o. (37.6%); 11–20 y.o. 27.1%
56 2000 Sept–Nov Andhra Pradesh ++ NR Peak >15 y.o.
57 2001 Sept–Nov Madyha Pradesh ++ 2.6:1 Majority <15 y.o.; Peak 6–15 y.o. (43.2%)
58 2001 Oct–Dec Tamil Nadu + + ∼1:1 Peak 6–15 y.o. (51%) (pediatric study)
59 2002 Sept–Dec Punjab/Haryana ++ 2:1 Majority <15 y.o.; Peak 15–29 y.o.
31 2002–2005 NR Delhi + ++ ++ + NR NR
60 2003–2005 Oct–Dec Uttar Pradesh 2.5:1 Mean age 5.6 y.o
61 2003 July Tamil Nadu + 1.5:1 Majority 6–15 y.o.
61 2003 Sept–Dec Delhi 3:1 Peak 20–29 y.o. (40%); no cases <12 y.o.
29 2003 Sept–Nov Delhi + + + + 2.1:1 Majority <30 y.o; Peak 21–30 y.o. (34.2%)
63 2003 Sept–Dec Uttar Pradesh 2.1:1 Peak 21–40 y.o. (45%) (adult study)
64 2003 Oct–Nov Delhi NR Majority adults; 76.9% >12 y.o.
65 2003 Oct–Nov Madhya Pradesh/Delhi + 1.28:1 Majority children; 89% <15 y.o.
30 2003 Sept–Nov Delhi + + + + 2.3:1 Majority >10 y.o.; Peak 21–30 y.o.
66 2003–2004 Oct–Feb Pondicherry ++ NR Majority 1–15 y.o.
67 2004 Sept–Oct Delhi ++ 2.6:1 Majority >25 y.o. (52.5%)
30 2004 Sept–Nov Delhi + 1.7:1 Majority >10 y.o.; Peak 21–30 y.o.
2005 Sept–Nov Delhi + ++ 1.9:1 Majority >10 y.o.; Peak 21–30 y.o.
68 2005 Sept–Nov Delhi ++ ++ NR NR
2005 Aug–Sept Maharashtra ++ + NR NR
10 2005 Aug–Nov West Bengal 1.65:1 Peak 0–16 y.o. (44.6%)
69 2006 Oct. Delhi 3:1 Peak 21–30 y.o (35.5%); 11–20 y.o. 25.6%
70 2006 Aug–Nov Delhi ++ + ++ + 1.52:1 Peak 20–30 y.o.(35.4%); 12–20 y.o. 20.8%
71 2006 Sept–Nov Delhi ++ 2.1:1 Peak 21–30 y.o. (35.6%); 11–20 y.o. 32.8%
Adult/pediatric ratio 4.1:1
72 2006 Aug–Nov Delhi 4.3:1 Mean age 28 y.o.
73 2002–2007 Jun–Dec Karnataka 1.7:1 Majority 15–44 y.o. (56.4%)

+ 5 samples or fewer or unspecified number of samples, ++ predominant serotype(s)/more than 5 samples;


NR: not reported.
A. Chakravarti et al. / Transactions of the Royal Society of Tropical Medicine and Hygiene 106 (2012) 273–282 279

2.9. Urban/rural distribution in Tamil Nadu.58 It subsequently became the main serotype
in the large outbreak of DF in 2003.29,30,61,65,66 During the
Historically dengue was considered an urban dis- following years, DENV-3 became the dominant serotype
ease. Rapid urban growth in developing countries in the and was responsible for the epidemic of 2006 in Delhi.70,71
mid-twentieth century resulted in widespread precarious All four DENV serotypes were found to co-circulate in
housing, deficient water supply and wastewater man- Delhi for the first time in 2003, which thus became a
agement systems. These circumstances created the ideal hyperendemic region for dengue.29–32,68 Co-circulation of
conditions for the proliferation and spread of the vector multiple DENV serotypes has resulted in concurrent infec-
and the virus.2,76 tion in some patients with more than one serotype.70
Outbreaks of DF/DHF have typically occurred in Epidemiological and experimental observations suggest
large cities: Delhi,12,28,30,31,36,45,52,53,55,62,64,67,70,71 that secondary heterotypic DENV infections may increase
Chandigarh,51,59 Pondicherry,66 Bangalore and Mangalore the risk of severe forms of dengue.4 This provides a plau-
in Karnataka,39,49 Gwalior in Madhya Pradesh,57,65,74 sible explanation for the increased frequency and spread
Amalner in Maharashtra,41 Ludhiana in Punjab,18–20 Jalore of DHF in Southeast Asia in the 1960s and 1970s: the
and Ajmer in Rajasthan,38,43 Vellore and Chennai in Tamil emergence of epidemic DHF would have resulted from the
Nadu,33,35,37,58,77 Lucknow in Uttar Pradesh21,60,63,78 and introduction of novel serotypes to dengue endemic regions
Calcutta in West Bengal.10,27,42 While this is still the case, due to population movements or growing international
the disease is progressively spreading to rural settings. The travel.76 Further support is provided by the observation
first outbreak reported from a typically rural area occurred that the emergence of epidemics of DHF is often associ-
in northern India (Haryana) in 1996.16,17 Other rural ated with hyperendemicity—the co-circulation of multiple
districts with reported dengue activity include Tamil Nadu of serotypes.76 However, some studies have failed to find
and Maharashtra.44,47,61 Entomological investigations a significant association between secondary heterotypic
during outbreaks in Gujarat in 1988 and 1989 showed DENV infection, or co-circulation of different serotypes, and
widespread distribution of Aedes aegypti in both rural DHF/DSS.75,79
and urban areas.46 From 2003–2005 in Lucknow region, Data on serotype prevalence in India shows a mixed
Uttar Pradesh, the rates of serologically confirmed cases picture regarding a possible association between hyper-
indicated that dengue transmission was occurring both in endemicity and DHF. DENV-1, 2 and 4 were isolated in
rural (53.4%) and urban (44.1%) areas.63 Tamil Nadu in 1963 during the first large DF/DHF epidemic
The spread of dengue from urban to rural areas is in India, and all four serotypes were isolated in Delhi in
thought to be related to socio-economic and human 2003 and again in 2006, two recent outbreaks with sub-
ecological changes, such as increased transport con- stantial numbers of DF/DHF cases and deaths. The return
tact, mobility and spread of peri-urbanization, although of DENV-3 coincided with the recrudescence of dengue
improved reporting may also contribute.75 These changes activity in India in the last ten years, supporting the idea
resulted in the invasion of rural areas by A. aegypti that increases in dengue activity may be connected with
mosquitoes. What was primarily an urban problem has changes in predominant serotypes. In contrast during the
now become a widespread health concern in India. 1996 epidemic, the largest DHF epidemic in India to date,
most studies found only one serotype (DENV-2).
2.10. Serotype prevalence
2.11. Genotypes in India
The first DENV isolated from human sera in India, in
Calcutta in 1945, was a serotype 1 virus.8 There were no Human viruses of dengue serotypes 1, 2 and 3 are
further DENV isolations until 1956, when DENV-2 was each classified into five genotypes related to their geo-
identified.8 DENV-4 was isolated in 196037 and DENV-3 in graphic origin, while serotype 4 viruses are classified into
1965.33,34 four genotypes. Epidemiological analysis suggests that dif-
The four DENV serotypes circulated in India during the ferent genotypes differ in their epidemic potential and
1960s, occasionally with isolation of multiple serotypes virulence.80–82
in some epidemics. For example, DENV-1, DENV-2 and Of the five genotypes (I to V) of DENV-1 (previously
DENV-4 were isolated during a DF outbreak in Vellore known as the Asian, Thai, Sylvatic/Malaysian, South Pacific,
in 196333 and all four serotypes were isolated during and American/African genotypes, respectively) isolates col-
another outbreak in the same city in 1968.37 DENV-1 lected in India since 1956 are of genotypes I, III or V,
has been identified in various parts of India at regular with genotype III viruses identified in isolates from Vellore
intervals. Recently, there has been a rise in DENV-1, which (1956, 1962–1964), Rajasthan (1971), Gwalior (2002 and
accounted for approximately 30% of the all cases reported 2004) and New Delhi (1970, 1982, 2001, 2003, 2005–2007),
during the 2006 DF epidemic, co-circulating with the suggesting the persistent circulation of this genotype in
predominant DENV-3.70 DENV-1 and DENV-4 have not India since 1956.83–86 Genotype V was identified in a study
been associated with any major outbreak in the country. of DENV-1 strains in New Delhi in 2007–2008 (Chakravarti,
DENV-2 emerged as the predominant serotype from the unpublished data). Genotype I has been identified in New
early 1970s to 2000, during which time it was responsible Delhi isolates only (1997–1998).86
for the large epidemics of DF in 199349,50 and of DF/DHF in The five genotypes of DENV-2 are labeled Asian,
1996.11,12,16,17,21 DENV-3 which had not been isolated in Cosmopolitan (previously known as genetic type IV), Amer-
India since 199027 reappeared in 2001 in a small outbreak ican (previously known as genetic type V), Southeast
280 A. Chakravarti et al. / Transactions of the Royal Society of Tropical Medicine and Hygiene 106 (2012) 273–282

Asian/American, and Sylvatic.87–91 The Asian genotype is Reports of individual outbreaks reviewed here, although
further divided into Asian genotype I (including viruses useful in terms of describing the overall pattern and evo-
from Malaysia and Thailand) and II (viruses from Viet- lution of dengue in India over the past few decades, did
nam, China, Taiwan, Sri Lanka and the Philippines). In India, not allow detailed analysis. Most of the studies consisted
DENV-2 viruses isolated in 1956, 1957, 1963, 1964, 1967, of small case series, often involving hospitalized patients
1971 and 1980 were of the American genotype, while who had been referred to tertiary centres. The methods
viruses isolated in Gwalior in 2001–2002 and in various for case selection and ascertainment were not consistently
places in 1974, 1983, 1990-97, 2004 and 2005 belong to described and dengue case definitions evolved over time
the Cosmopolitan genotype.57,92 Two subgroups of Cos- resulting in lack of comparability between studies. These
mopolitan genotype viruses have been circulating in India, limitations may contribute to variability in the results,
one of which includes the Indian 1974 isolate and shares which prevented the full examination of some of the epi-
ancestry with DENV-2 viruses circulating in the Indian demiological trends of dengue in India.
Ocean islands (Seychelles SC/SEY42/1977 and Sri Lanka
SL/SL206/1990) and West Africa, while the other includes
3. Conclusions
Indian isolates from 1983–1991 and display phylogenetic
proximity with Sri Lankan (LK/271235/1990) and Ugandan
In recent years the epidemiology of dengue infection
(UG/CAMR11/1993) isolates.92
in India has evolved rapidly. Regular and gradually larger
Of the five genotypes of DENV-3 (I to V) genotype
outbreaks have been observed, accompanied by a tendency
III is predominant in India, and was identified between
for the disease to spread from urban to rural areas resulting
2003 and 2008 in Delhi, Gwalior, and Hyderabad.81–95
in an expansion in geographic range. Outbreaks of dengue
These isolates diverge from global DENV-3 genotype III
have been reported throughout India with the exception of
isolates and form a distinct Indian lineage closely related
a few areas where conditions do not support the propaga-
to the Guatemala-98, Puerto Rico-00 and Martinique-01
tion of the vector. Dengue endemicity has been established
isolates.95 The 2003 GWL-60 isolate from Gwalior is
in large areas throughout India.
phylogenetically different to other DENV-3 genotype
Disease patterns are also evolving in recent epidemics.
III isolates and is closer to 1996–2000 isolates from Sri
Circulation of multiple DENV serotypes is increasing, par-
Lanka, Martinique, Nicaragua, Mexico and Guatemala.95
ticularly in large urban areas such as Delhi which is now
Circulation of a DENV-3 genotype V strain that is closely
hyperendemic, and which accounts for a substantial pro-
related to the strains circulating in Asia (Philippine-56,
portion of the reported cases and deaths. Dengue is not
China-2000 and Japan-1973) has also been identified in
always perceived as a serious public health problem in
New Delhi in 2007 (Chakravarti, unpublished data).
India, yet the country is currently largely endemic and sub-
Sequence analysis of E-NS1 gene of DENV-4 shows that
jected to the unpredictable occurrence of outbreaks.
this serotype exhibits greater degree of sequence con-
Laboratory-based active surveillance systems are
servation compared with the other serotypes (92%) with
needed to complement the current passive surveillance
96–100% conservation at the level of E protein amino acids
and control programs. Regular sentinel surveillance and
sequence.96 The four genotypes are genotype I from South-
sample surveys during interepidemic periods are also
east Asia, genotype II from Southeast Asia and the Americas,
necessary to detect and monitor sudden increases in the
genotype III from Thailand, and Sylvatic genotype from
numbers of dengue cases or changes in the predominant
Malaysia.97 In India DENV-4 genotype I has been isolated
serotypes which usually precede major outbreaks. New
in Hyderabad in 2007, Pune in 2009–2010 and New Delhi
molecular diagnostic techniques, such as RT-PCR, are
in 2007 and 2009.97,98 The south Indian (Pune and Hyder-
particularly useful in this context31,99 their speed and
abad) DENV-4 genotype I strain is phylogenetically closer
sensitivity enabling the rapid detection of increased viral
to the India-1996 (isolated in Japan) and Srilanka-1978
circulation or changes in predominant serotypes.
isolates.97,98 Two lineages have been identified among
Finally, thoughtfully designed and well conducted,
the North Indian (New Delhi) DENV-4 genotype I strains.
large, population-based studies are needed to fill the
North Indian DENV-4 strains (isolated in 2007) are closely
knowledge gaps and identify the key determinants of the
related to Thailand-1963 while New Delhi 2009, Hyderabad
incidence of DF and identify the vulnerable population
2007, Pune 2009-10 isolates are closer to India-1996 and
groups at increased risk for severe forms of the disease.
Srilanka-1978.
Understanding the role of the demographic factors in infec-
tion rates and disease severity has important implications
2.12. Limitations
in planning and implementing effective public health pre-
vention and control measures, including future dengue
The national and regional data on dengue epidemiology,
immunization programs.
which forms the basis of this review, were derived from
the national dengue surveillance system in India. Passive
surveillance systems are likely to underestimate the true Authors’ contributions: CL oversaw the initial litera-
extent of DENV transmission due in large part to the often ture search and review; AC and RA identified additional
mild, non-specific presentation of the disease.12,54,75 More- literature and data published in India. All authors con-
over, the published data do not discriminate between DF tributed to the conception and writing of this manuscript
and DHF cases, hampering the accurate assessment of the and approved the final version. CL is guarantor of the
true burden of dengue in India. paper.
A. Chakravarti et al. / Transactions of the Royal Society of Tropical Medicine and Hygiene 106 (2012) 273–282 281

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2002;15:31–6.
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