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Resources, Conservation and Recycling xxx (2016) xxx–xxx

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Resources, Conservation and Recycling


journal homepage: www.elsevier.com/locate/resconrec

Full length article

Unifying the “dual-track” pricing mechanism for coal in China: Policy


description, influences, and suggestions for government and
generation enterprises
Yongqi Yang a,∗ , Ming Zeng a , Song Xue b , Jinyu Wang a , Yuanfei Li a
a
School of Economics and Management, North China Electric Power University, Beijing 102206, China
b
State Grid Energy Research Institute, Beijing 102206, China

a r t i c l e i n f o a b s t r a c t

Article history: The coal supply in China has been abundant in recent years, while the coal inventory of large generation
Received 7 October 2015 enterprises has been sufficient. Therefore, overcapacity has occurred in China’s coal industry, and the
Received in revised form 3 April 2016 coal price has been relatively low, compared to the coal price during 2008–2012. At the same time, many
Accepted 6 April 2016
coal transportation railways will begin operation to improve transportation capacity, and these measures
Available online xxx
will be able to guarantee the stability of coal prices. Under such circumstances, the Central Government
has published the Guidance on Deepening the Reform of the Coal Market and has unified the dual-track
Keywords:
pricing system for coal. The development of the coal industry and power industry is a key energy factor
Unification of the “dual-track”
Coal pricing system
that affects the development of the national economy; therefore, this policy has far-reaching implications
Electricity market for the steady supply of coal and the reliable production of electricity. However, due to the non-market-
Coal market oriented power industry management mechanism, this policy could have some negative influences on
Generation enterprises the power sector and coal sector, especially for the generation enterprises that will be exposed to risks of
upper stream coal price shocks. Therefore, this paper focuses on analyzing the negative influences caused
by the unification, and it introduces related measures for the government and for generation enterprises.
First, this paper introduces the features and development of a dual-track coal pricing mechanism, which
originated in 1985, and subsequently analyses the conditions for implementing the unification for the
dual-track coal pricing mechanism. Second, from the information in related government documents, we
analyze the negative influences on the coal and power industry caused by the unification accordingly.
Finally, recommendations and measures for the government and generation enterprises are offered.
© 2016 Elsevier B.V. All rights reserved.

1. Introduction coal at less than the market price. The coal purchased in this manner
is referred to as “planned coal” (because of the feature of its pricing
Since 1985, the coal market has progressively opened, and the mechanism being similar to the planned economy). On the other
supply and demand sides of the coal sold for electricity (coal sold hand, when CE special contracts are not able to meet the demand of
for electricity, or CE, indicating the coal sold to generation enter- generation enterprises, they must buy the additional CE at the mar-
prises to generate electricity) have conducted transactions under ket price (Shen et al., 2012); this type of coal is referred to as “market
the supervision of the government based on a different pricing coal”. There are significant differences between planned coal and
mechanism, which is different from the normal market. The gener- market coal in terms of their supply, transportation capacity and
ation enterprises have two means to buy coal. On the one hand, the price. All of these factors have limited the effects of the market
coal price is set according to the contracts signed by the coal enter- mechanism, resulting in unfair competition. However, over the his-
prises and generation enterprises, namely the “special contracts” tory of the “dual-track pricing system”, there have always been
of CE, for which the price is controlled by the government, and the disputes over CE contracts, and these contracts are not conducive
generation enterprises are allowed to purchase a certain amount of to the stable supplying of coal. Because the dual-track pricing sys-
tem has become increasingly unsuited to the requirements of the
economic development of the coal market and the future electric-
ity market, related reform is imperative under such circumstances
∗ Corresponding author. (Du et al., 2013; He et al, 2012).
E-mail address: yangyongqincepu@163.com (Y. Yang).

http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.resconrec.2016.04.004
0921-3449/© 2016 Elsevier B.V. All rights reserved.

Please cite this article in press as: Yang, Y., et al., Unifying the “dual-track” pricing mechanism for coal in China:
Policy description, influences, and suggestions for government and generation enterprises. Resour Conserv Recy (2016),
http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.resconrec.2016.04.004
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the twelfth Five-Year Plan


Part III:
Transformation and upgrading, enhancing the competitiveness
of industrial sector

National Strategic plan for energy development


Policies This strategic plan has decided the general strategy for
energy sector for China

Guidance on Deepening the Reform of the


Coal Market

Key Development planning for logistics in


Coal industry coal industry
policies
Measures on resource tax collection for
coal

Interim measures for the administration of


the quality of commercial coal

Relative policies on deepening the reform


of power industry (No.9 Document)

Key
Power industry Energy saving reforming for thermal
policies power generation plants

Relative Policies on forming the price


mechanism for trans-provincial electricity
market

Helps to rationalize the Helps to rationalize the


pricing mechanism regulation mechanism
for coal and power industry for coal and power industry

Fig. 1. The logic linkages for the reform policies of coal and power industry.
(Source: Author’s own elaboration)

During “the Twelfth Five-Year Plan”, due to the continuous China rely heavily on coal-fired generation. However, the market-
reduction in the growth of GDP (from 9.3% in 2011–7.2% in 2015), oriented reform of the power industry has only recently begun.
the Central Government decided to stimulate economic vitality in Therefore, unification might have some negative influence on the
various industries. Regarding the energy sector, which continued power sector and coal sector, especially for generation enterprises
to operate under the planned economy during the “twelfth Five- because they are completely exposed to the risks of upstream coal
Year Plan”, marketization reform has become the key solution in price shocks. Therefore, this paper first analyses the external con-
allowing the price to play the decisive role in the optimized allo- ditions of the unification of the dual-track coal pricing mechanism
cation of resources (Li et al., 2015; Gu et al., 2016). Regarding the and then analyzes its possible negative influences on power sector
coal sector, which is an upstream industry of the power industry and generation enterprises. Finally, related solutions and recom-
and many other key industries, its marketization has become the mendations are proposed. The logic linkages of this article are
basis for other industries. During 2015, which was the end of the shown in Fig. 2.
“twelfth Five-Year Plan”, the Central Government published sev-
eral documents regarding reform in the energy sector, and some of 2. The conditions for the unification of the dual-track coal
these reforms were parallel to the reform of the coal industry, while pricing mechanism
some were more detailed policies (Burke and Liao, 2015). Hence, we
present a figure to show their linkages by listing important policies The unification of the dual-track coal pricing mechanism was
regarding coal industry and its downstream industries (Fig. 1). undertaken in 2012; however, the special contracts for CE were
In this situation, the National Development and Reform Com- not fully cancelled. Some provincial governments still allow gen-
mission (NDRC) formulated a proposal to unify the dual-track eration enterprises to negotiate with coal enterprises to decide the
pricing system for coal, indicating that the special contracts for CE coal price at less than the market price. In this section, we first
would be eliminated and only the normal market would remain. present the basic idea of dual-track coal pricing mechanism and
The Central Government published a document entitled The Guid- then analyze in Section 2.2 whether it is the right decision to cancel
ance on Deepening the Reform of the Coal Market (hereafter referred the dual-track coal pricing mechanism.
to as The Guidance) in 2013. This government document ended
the dual-track pricing system for coal that lasted for nearly three 2.1. Introduction to the dual-track coal pricing mechanism
decades.
The Guidance is of great significance. As the data show, the The dual-track coal pricing mechanism originated in 1985, and
installed capacity of coal-fired power generation accounted for it refers to the different pricing mechanisms of the supply and
nearly 80% of the total installed capacity in China, whereas coal demand sides of coal after the gradual liberalization of coal prices.
and fuel costs accounted for 70%-80% or more of the on-grid price On the one hand, the CE price was set according to contracts signed
of generation plants. At the same time, generation enterprises in by the coal enterprises and generation enterprises, in which the

Please cite this article in press as: Yang, Y., et al., Unifying the “dual-track” pricing mechanism for coal in China:
Policy description, influences, and suggestions for government and generation enterprises. Resour Conserv Recy (2016),
http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.resconrec.2016.04.004
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The conditions for the unification of the


dual-track coal pricing mechanism
Coal production and price
Transportation capacity

Policy Description

Negative influences Suggestions for government

The promotion of electricity market


The imbalance between the
For coal The improvement of the control over the CE market
and power
marketization of coal and electricity
from the government
sector Increasing pressure on railway
transportation Optimized coordination between government
departments

Measures for generation enterprises

The risks of upper stream coal price The vertical integration strategy of generation
chocks enterprises
For The impacts on business operation The reduction of the operation costs
generation and investment of generation Fuel costs control
enterprises enterprises Strict control on the financial risk of generation
Risks brought by the over dependence enterprises
on coal-fired generation Optimization of the generation source structure in
generation enterprises

Fig. 2. The logical linkages of article.


(Source: author’s own elaboration)

generation enterprises were allowed to purchase a certain amount development potential of different coal producing areas have been
of coal at less than the market price. These contracts were under quite distinct (Yang et al., 2014). The overall trend has shown rapid
the supervision of the government. On the other hand, the genera- westward movement. For nearly a decade, the new coal producing
tion enterprises were required to purchase CE at the market price areas of Shanxi, Shaanxi, Inner Mongolia and Ningxia have com-
when the CE in special contracts was not able to meet the demand. prised approximately 50–60% of the total national coal production.
During the annual national coal conference, contracts were com- According to data collected by the NDRC, under the current pol-
pleted between power generation enterprises and state-owned icy in Shanxi Province, which is a coal-producing province (66%
coal enterprises; the coal involved in these contracts was referred of China’s coal reserves are located in Shaanxi, Shanxi and Inner
to as “planned coal” or “CE in special contracts (zhong dian dian Mongolia), in addition to the direct costs of production, additional
mei he tong)” (Ngan, 2010). Related railway transportation plans expenditures are also required, which include resource fees, usage
were attached to the special contracts. The coal purchased from charges for mineral resources, water resources compensation, etc.
the market was referred to as “market coal”. Since 1990, over an All of these costs add up to nearly 100 yuan per ton, not including
extended period of time, the price of CE in special contracts was the national tax, land tax and other related taxes. The logistics cost
less than the market price of coal. If the various intermediate trans- accounted for 28% of the coal transportation cost in most parts of
action costs were considered, the price gap between CE in special Shanxi, indicating that transportation costs (logistics cost and other
contracts and CE in the market was as much as 100 yuan per ton. transportation costs) were responsible for nearly 30% of the price
The only exception was in 1999–2000, when the coal market was of coal. This proportion was much higher than the national aver-
extremely depressed. age, which is 18%. Therefore, the primary consideration for coal
The reason for establishing this mechanism was to ensure the enterprises in Shanxi is how to transport the coal from Shanxi at a
basic business operation of generation enterprises under their relatively low price (NDRC, 2014a,b). It is also the primary consid-
social responsibilities. Power enterprises (including generation eration of coal enterprises in Shaanxi and Inner Mongolia. Railway
enterprises and grid enterprises) have the duty to ensure the social transportation remains the first choice, but the capacity might not
welfare. In China, the electricity price for residents is much lower be sufficient; however, road transportation has developed rapidly
than that for industrial users (cross-subsidization), so the price of in recent years with rising costs. For the coal end-user, the original
part of CE must be maintained at a low level so that the generation price of coal in Shanxi was 500 yuan per ton (equivalent to more
enterprises can produce power at a low coal cost and sell energy to than 5000 kcal/kg); the transportation costs were 400 yuan per ton,
residents at a low price. This mechanism shows the features of the and the middlemen would add their income to the price (approxi-
coal and power industries as utilities. mately 100 yuan), so the final price was approximately 1000 yuan
when the coal was transported to Shandong (an east coast province
in the developed area). Among these costs, the logistical costs, taxes
2.2. The conditions for the unification of the dual-track coal and various mark-ups accounted for more than 60% of the final
pricing mechanism price.
From this point of view, the production capacity and transporta-
Since the “Eleventh Five-Year Plan”, there has been continued tion capacity of coal are the two main factors affecting the coal
rapid growth in China’s coal production. However, due to differ- price. The unification policy was initiated in 2012, however it was
ences in coal reserves among regions, the rate of growth and the

Please cite this article in press as: Yang, Y., et al., Unifying the “dual-track” pricing mechanism for coal in China:
Policy description, influences, and suggestions for government and generation enterprises. Resour Conserv Recy (2016),
http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.resconrec.2016.04.004
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Fig. 3. The coal production and growth rate from 2001 to 2014.
(Source: NBSC, 2014)

Fig. 4. Coal imports and the growth rate of China from 2001 to 2014.
(Source: NBSC, 2014)

Fig. 5. Coal exports and the growth rate of China from 2001 to 2014.
(Source: NBSC, 2014)

not fully popularized and implemented all over the country. Some 2.2.1. Coal production and price
provinces are still operating under the former dual-track pricing According to coal production in China, the conditions of the coal
mechanism. The purpose of this section is to analyze the conditions supply are suitable to cancel the dual-track coal pricing mechanism.
as well as results for the unification of the dual-track coal pricing
mechanism in terms of the coal supply and transportation capacity. (1) Abundant coal production
We can conclude from the analysis in Sections 2.2.1 and 2.2.2 that
unification of the dual-track coal pricing mechanism was not only
According to the total national coal production, it is difficult
the correct decision in 2012, it has also brought some effects which
to predict its future development trends in coming years because
has proved this policy should be promoted throughout the country.
it is closely associated with government policies. However, the
coal production is sufficiently abundant to meet the demand. As

Please cite this article in press as: Yang, Y., et al., Unifying the “dual-track” pricing mechanism for coal in China:
Policy description, influences, and suggestions for government and generation enterprises. Resour Conserv Recy (2016),
http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.resconrec.2016.04.004
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illustrated in Fig. 3, the production of coal maintained a steady have decreased, and their profits have increased; on the other hand,
increasing trend over the past decade. However, the growth rate they can buy more coal during this period and increase their inven-
of China’s coal production decreased in 2006 and 2007 sharply and tories to manage possible coal price fluctuations in years to come
remained at a relatively stable level during 2006–2009 (Zeng et al., (Peng, 2011; Shealy and Dorian, 2010).
2013). The government issued many policies to stimulate the econ- Although international oil and coal prices have decreased due to
omy, and coal production increased between 2010 and 2011. When the high production and transportation costs of coal, it is unlikely
the effects of these policies were outdated, the growth rate of coal that the market price of coal will decrease sharply. We believe
production decreased again, while the coal inventories of several that the coal price should be maintained at a low level in the near
large generation enterprises remained high. At the end of 2014, the future. Therefore, according to the present economic situation, it
coal inventories of generation enterprises reached 85 million tons, is the right decision to further promote unification throughout the
with an increase of 31.2 million tons. Among these inventories, country.
the large generation enterprises stored 81.13 million tons, repre-
senting a decrease of 0.52 million tons or 0.6%. The coal stored in
these large generation enterprises was able to maintain the nation- 2.2.2. Transportation capacity
wide power supply for more than 19 days without buying new coal. According to the NBSC, the output of mined coal in China was
Hence, in general, the coal supply in China is now experiencing a 3.24 billion tons in 2012, of which Inner Mongolia, Shanxi and
stable development period (NBSC, 2014). Shaanxi accounted for 58.3% of the total production (Li, 2012). The
At the same time, China experienced a rapid increase in the railway freight volume during 2001–2014 is shown in Fig. 8. As con-
net imports of coal. As shown in Fig. 4, China’s coal importa- cluded from Fig. 8, the transportation capacity of railway remained
tion increased from 2.7 million tons in 1988–291.4 million tons in high before the unification, hence another influencing factor is good
2011. With the exception of 2008, which was affected by the eco- for the unification, which has proved that the unification is a cor-
nomic crisis, there has been a trend of rapid growth in the import rection decision before 2012.
of coal. The main reason for this growth is the growing domes- As for those provinces which are still operating under the former
tic demand for coal in recent years. Concurrently, more modern dual-track pricing mechanism, we will be analyzing the develop-
port facilities have been introduced in China, and the increase in ment trend of transportation capacity after 2014 to show whether
the cargo-handling capacity of seaports has further promoted coal it’s suitable to popularize this policy all over the country.
imports. Fig. 5 illustrates the trends in coal export in China during The amount of coal sent by railway reached 3.26 billion tons in
2011–2014. Coal exports have been decreasing steadily, while the 2014, constituting 48% of the total transportation volume (NBSC,
gap between the import and export volumes of coal has increased. 2014). Shanxi and Shaanxi, which are located in the northwest
Therefore, concluded from Figs. 3–5, the coal supply kept grow- region of China, transport coal to the eastern coastal ports by rail-
ing before and after the unification, the coal market is developing way, whereas Inner Mongolia relies on truck transportation. Coal
towards an oversupply situation. Hence the coal supply situation produced from Datong, Shanxi, is 200–300 yuan more expensive
has brought advantages to the unification before 2012. Besides, for than the coal from Inner Mongolia. With the help of the Daqing
those provinces which are still operating under the dual-track coal Railway, coal from north Shanxi can be transported to the east
pricing mechanism, it’s about time to carry out the unification cause coast. However, the only method to transport the coal from Inner
the sufficient coal supply has lead to a favorable CE price trend Mongolia is truck transportation, which is inefficient. Therefore,
which will be discussed in (2). although the original price of coal in Inner Mongolia is low, its prof-
its cannot be compared with those of the coal from the Datong area.
(2) Trends in CE prices For this reason, railway transportation will be the main transporta-
tion method considered for China’s coal transportation.
Now we will analyze the trend of CE prices after 2014 to prove The main railways, which transport coal from west to east,
that the conditions for the unification have become more mature are the Daqin Railway and the Shuohuang Railway. In the near
than 2012 and it should be implemented all over the country. future, the China Railway Corporation will undertake technological
CE prices have experienced a descending tendency in recent updates of the two railways. When the upgrading is complete, the
years. CE prices of all type (including 5000 kcal, 5500 kcal and capacity of Daqin and Shuohuang will be able to achieve an annual
4500 kcal) in the whole country and in the main producing area growth rate of 10% in coal transportation capacity. As also shown
from January 2014 to August 2015 are shown in Figs. 6 and 7, in Fig. 8, the railway transportation capacity remained at a rela-
respectively. According to the data of the NBSC (short for National tively high level during 2012–2014, and the growth rate remained
Bureau of Statistics of China), the coal prices continued to decrease positive except for in 2014.
at the beginning of 2012, and there was a continuous decrease in However, according to the annual report of the Datong Railway,
the CE price during the first 8 months of 2015, when the price the technological updates are not sufficient because the current
decreased from 423.1 yuan per ton to 340.79 yuan per ton, rep- growth rate of coal production exceeds the growth rate of China’s
resenting a decrease of 19.45% (NBSC, 2014). Although the CE price coal transportation. In the future development plan for China’s rail-
listed in the special contracts is currently not available to the public, ways, the transportation capacity of the main railways, such as
conclusions can be drawn from the news and the annual reports of the Jitong and Daqin Railways, will be continuously enhanced. As
listed generation enterprises that the market price of coal has been demonstrated in Fig. 9, the number of railway able to transport coal
approaching the CE price listed in the special contracts (Zeng et al., will be increased. The China Railway Corporation has undertaken
2014). In addition, during the second quarter of 2015, the market efforts to construct western railways according to the demand for
coal price was low and fluctuated around the CE price in special coal transportation in China. At the same time, coal transportation
contracts. The price fluctuations have also become an important railways will be built in the eastern regions to increase the speed
reason to promote the unification of the dual-track coal pricing of resource transfer and to improve the coal transportation capac-
mechanism. ity of China’s railways. Additionally, transportation costs could be
As the gap between the market price of coal and the CE price in reduced through these policies. In the near future, it is predicted
the special contracts decreases, the operation costs of the genera- that China’s demand for coal transportation from west to east will
tion enterprises also decrease. Thus, there might be an opportunity be met by the increased capacity of the existing railways and the
for generation enterprises: on the one hand, their operational risks construction of new railways.

Please cite this article in press as: Yang, Y., et al., Unifying the “dual-track” pricing mechanism for coal in China:
Policy description, influences, and suggestions for government and generation enterprises. Resour Conserv Recy (2016),
http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.resconrec.2016.04.004
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Fig. 6. The market price of CE in China.


(Source: Author’s own elaboration through field investigation)

Fig. 7. The market price of CE in the main producing area of China.


(Source: Author’s own elaboration through field investigation)

Fig. 8. Railway freight volume during 2001–2014.


(Source: NRA, 2014)

At the same time, considerable progress has been achieved in remarkable increase in the amount of coal transported through the
China’s port construction, with the port handling capacity of sev- large ports in China except in February each year, due to the Lunar
eral large ports (of which the port handling capacity exceeds one New Year holiday.
hundred million) continuing to increase, as shown in Fig. 10. At the Overall, with the acceleration of China’s railway and port con-
same time, the amount of coal transported from the large ports in struction, the bottlenecks in coal transportation will gradually
China has increased yearly (NDRC, 2014a,b). The coal transporta- abate. Therefore, the transportation capacity is sufficient after 2012,
tion capacity has been significantly increased in each of the large which means another influencing factor is good for the unification.
ports, such as the Port of Qinhuangdao, Port of Tangshan, Port of Hence the unification should be carried out all over the country.
Tianjin, etc. Fig. 11 shows China’s large ports’ port handling capac- Conclusions can be drawn from the discussions above:
ity for coal during 2001–2014. From 2010 to 2014, there was a

Please cite this article in press as: Yang, Y., et al., Unifying the “dual-track” pricing mechanism for coal in China:
Policy description, influences, and suggestions for government and generation enterprises. Resour Conserv Recy (2016),
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Fig. 9. Map showing China’s planned coal transport railways.


(Source: NRA, 2014)

Fig. 10. Trends in China’s main ports’ port handling capacity.


(Source: NDRC, 2014a,b)

Fig. 11. China’s main ports’ port handling capacity for coal.
(Source: NDRC, 2014a,b)

Please cite this article in press as: Yang, Y., et al., Unifying the “dual-track” pricing mechanism for coal in China:
Policy description, influences, and suggestions for government and generation enterprises. Resour Conserv Recy (2016),
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Fig. 12. The tariff chain for coal-fired power.


(Source: Author’s own elaboration)

1) Influencing factors are quite beneficial to the unification before Since The Guidance was published, the construction of provin-
2012, hence it is worth noting that unification in 2013 is advis- cial coal markets and the national coal market have been promoted
able. gradually to form a competitive and orderly coal market system
2) The unification should be promoted throughout the country in that is adapted to China’s socialist market economic system (Wang,
the coming years. From the beginning of 2014, the gap between 2012; Central People’s Government of the People’s Republic of
supply and demand of coal has reached a minimum, compared China, 2012). In general, the trading center of the whole market
with recent years. The price differences between market coal system is the national coal trading center, which operates and coor-
and CE in special contracts has been significantly reduced. The CE dinates the operation of the corresponding provincial coal markets,
price in special contracts was even higher than the market coal while the CNCA facilitates the relationships among all sides of the
price in some regions. In addition, for these provincial govern- market and formulates transaction rules that follow the guidance
ments, which still operate under the former pricing mechanism, of the NDRC (Xiaoli et al., 2012).
it is the right time to undertake unification.

3. Policy description (3) The optimization of the Coal and Electricity Prices Comove (dian
mei jia ge lian dong ji zhi)
The official Web site of the Central Government has published
The Guidance, which cancelled the CE in special contracts and left
only market coal, on December 25, 2012 (The Central People’s The Coal and Electricity Prices Comove (Hereafter referred to as
Government of the People’s Republic of China, 2012). Over the next the Comove) has been undertaken as the transition method toward a
few years, the unification has affected the whole production pro- fully functional coal market. When the magnitude of CE price fluctu-
cess of the coal industry and other industries, especially the power ations exceeds 5%, the on-grid price should be adjusted accordingly.
industry. The policies of The Guidance is regulating the coal market However, the gap between the CE price in the special contracts and
until now. In this section, we discuss the key policies and measures the market price of coal decreased after 2013; therefore, the on-grid
of The Guidance. price has not been altered since the unification of the dual-track
coal pricing mechanism (The Central People’s Government of the
(1) A new mechanism for coal production and transportation People’s Republic of China, 2012).
However, we still do not believe that generation enterprises are
Since unification, a new mechanism has been formulated. First, now able to handle the fluctuations of coal prices well if the Comove
the price of coal is decided by the market on both sides. The Guid- is the only means for relieving the negative influences of upstream
ance encourages the signing of medium- and long-term contracts coal price shocks.
between coal enterprises and generation enterprises. At the same
time, local governments should not interfere with the normal busi-
ness activities of the coal enterprises and generation enterprises at (4) Encouragement for CE transportation marketization
all levels. The China National Coal Association (CNCA) examines the
signing and implementation of these contracts at the end of every
year. The China Railway Corporation and the Ministry of Transport
In addition, the special contracts for CE and the dual-track have strengthened their guidance of the administration of rail-
coal pricing mechanism were cancelled, and the National Devel- ways and shipping companies to build a healthy coal transportation
opment and Reform Commission (NDRC) no longer publishes the market. Priority is now given to medium- and long-term contracts
annual plan for the railway transportation capacity of coal. Related with large coal trading volumes. When the transportation capacity
contracts have been signed by coal enterprises and generation is not sufficient to fulfill the transportation demand, some short-
enterprises since 2013 according to the market price of coal. term contracts or contracts with low coal trading volumes should
The transportation department organizes the transportation work be cancelled or delayed. The government implements stronger
according to these contracts, and the contracts for coal transporta- repercussions for false contracts and wasted or dishonored trans-
tion are kept on record by the NDRC and related government portation capacities that influence the allocation of resources. The
departments (Qiang and Xi, 2012). China Railway Corporation formulates the regulation of the railway
transportation management for CE, to build open and fair capacity
(2) The promotion of the coal market construction allocation mechanisms.

Please cite this article in press as: Yang, Y., et al., Unifying the “dual-track” pricing mechanism for coal in China:
Policy description, influences, and suggestions for government and generation enterprises. Resour Conserv Recy (2016),
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Fig. 13. The proportion of coal-fired generation among China’s five largest generation enterprises.
(Source: Author’s own generation from data from annual financial statements)

Fig. 14. The electricity market structure and price chain after the No. 9 Document.
(Source: Author’s own elaboration)

4. Negative influences enterprises buy electricity from generation enterprises at the on-
grid price and sell it to users at the electricity price. The on-grid
As discussed in Section 2.2, it is the appropriate time to under- price, transmission and distribution price, as well as electricity
take the unification of the dual-track coal pricing mechanism, and price, in China are decided by the NDRC, and they are relatively
it will allow price to play a vital role in coal the market, which will fixed. Therefore, the price chain for coal-fired power lacks flexibil-
facilitate the healthy development of the coal industry. However, ity.
under the present reform conditions in China, unification might Since unification, the coal price has been mainly decided by the
have negative influences on the management of the coal sector and market, and the electricity price is decided by the government,
power sector. The solutions to these negative influences provide which has led to an imbalance between the coal market and elec-
the key content of this article; therefore, we present these impacts tricity market.
in the sections below and divide them into two categories: negative As is well-known, the price of coal is constantly changing at
influences on the coal and power sectors; and negative influences a very fast pace. However, if the government wants to change the
on generation enterprises. price of electricity according to the fluctuation in coal prices, it usu-
ally undertakes complex administrative procedures, which require
4.1. The negative influence on the coal and power sectors much time. During the next few years after unification, administra-
tive orders to change the electricity price have been falling behind
(1) The imbalance between the marketization of coal and electric- the fluctuation in coal prices. The conflict between the marketi-
ity zation of CE and the management system of the power industry
has become increasingly prominent since unification. Therefore,
reform of the marketization of the electricity price mechanism is
As illustrated in Section 3 (1) because the unification of the
of great urgency.
dual-track coal pricing mechanism, the new situation, in which the
market decides the coal price while the government controls the
on-grid price, has initially developed. Therefore, the price chain (2) Increasing pressure on railway transportation
between the coal sector and power sector has changed.
Fig. 12 demonstrates the price chain for coal-fired power gener- As discussed in Section 2.2, the coal price is mainly decided
ation before unification. To begin, the supply side of coal is divided not only by the demand and supply of coal but also by the trans-
into two parts. On the one hand, the transactions proceed fol- portation capacity. After the marketization of CE, the transportation
lowing the special contracts signed by the coal enterprises and capacity could become an enormous problem for the power and
power enterprises; this is the so-called “planned coal”. On the other coal industries.
hand, the price of coal is set by the market price, which is referred Over the past few years, the CE special contracts were mainly
to as “market coal”. However, the pricing mechanism in China’s controlled by the NDRC. However, the former Ministry of Rail-
power industry still follows the planned economic system. The grid ways actually controlled coal transportation. When the CE special

Please cite this article in press as: Yang, Y., et al., Unifying the “dual-track” pricing mechanism for coal in China:
Policy description, influences, and suggestions for government and generation enterprises. Resour Conserv Recy (2016),
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contracts were signed, the Ministry of Railways made specific CE on-grid price is under the control of the government, generation
transportation plans to fulfill the transportation of CE. Since the enterprises are also able to afford the cost.
China Railway Corporation replaced the Ministry of Railways, their However, now the CE price is mostly decided by the market.
subsidiary companies, which were attached to the former Ministry Once there is an increase in the CE price, the cost of power genera-
of Railways, now supervise the transportation of CE. tion will increase; therefore, when the operation cost is higher than
After unification, the special contracts were cancelled, so related the on-grid price, there is a possibility of large losses for generation
CE transportation plans no longer exist. The China Railway Corpora- enterprises.
tion must make transportation plans according to market contracts. However, will the coal price increase? It is difficult to analyze
Although the railway transportation capacity will increase in com- and predict. Nevertheless, due to the increasing capacity of coal
ing years, the market demand fluctuation in coal transportation is production and the abundant inventory of CE in large generation
difficult to predict. enterprises, it is unlikely that the coal price will increase sharply,
In addition, similar to the pricing mechanism of electricity, the but the market is too unpredictable.
transportation and construction plans were made through com- When the CE price increase, the electricity generation market
plex administrative procedures. Any changes in these plans would will experience a decrease in enthusiasm for coal-fired power gen-
require too much time so it’s unable to reflect the market fluctua- eration investment (coal-fired power plants will reduce or even
tion. Most importantly, China Railway Corporation is a non-profit stop the production of units by claiming unit maintenance) because
utility company. Most officials in this company, who are in charge the more that they produce, the more that they lose. The enthu-
of making railway construction and transportation plans, do not siasm of investors (state-owned generation enterprises) will also
possess the knowledge of market economy. decrease, resulting in a reduction in investment for power genera-
Therefore, a private investor should be able to respond to the tion in China. Therefore, there could be a lack of electricity supply
price signals due to demand changes. However, because the state- on the electricity market, which would not be conducive to the pro-
owned nature of the railway company, that prevents them from motion of the moderate development of the electricity market and
adjusting their construction plans based on market signals. This the socio-economic development of China. The No. 9 Document
backward management mechanism of China’s railways might not will partly relieve this situation, and we will discuss this effect in
be able to guarantee the abundant capacity of coal transportation. Section 5.1.
Once the increase in railway transportation cannot catch up to the
increase in the demand of coal transportation, it could lead to infla- (3) Risks caused by over-dependence on coal-fired generation
tion in coal prices.

The large generation enterprises rely heavily on coal-fired


4.2. The negative influence on generation enterprises
power generation (Zhao et al., 2014). The proportion of coal-
fired generation among China’s five largest generation enterprises
In the price chain of the coal sector and power sector, genera-
(China Huadian Corporation, China Datang Corporation, China
tion enterprises buy coal from the coal market and sell power to grid
Huaneng Group, China Guodian Corporation and State Power
enterprises. Therefore, generation enterprises provide the connec-
Investment Corporation) is shown in Fig. 13.
tion between the coal sector and power sector. Under the current
The over-dependence on coal-fired generation by the five largest
management mode of the power industry, unification has negative
generation enterprises has greatly weakened their risk-resisting
influences on generation enterprises, including the following.
ability. In fact, it is the epitome of generation enterprises in China.
Most generation enterprises in China treat coal-fired generation as
(1) The risks of upstream coal price shocks
their dominant means of producing electricity. Therefore, under the
present generation source structure, when drastic changes occur
In 2014, China’s total power generation capacity reached 1.36
in coal prices, it will surely increase the business risk of generation
billion kW, of which the installed capacity for coal-fired generation
enterprises.
accounted for 67.3%. The power generation of the whole country
In fact, the overdependence on coal is not the negative impacts
has increased to 5463.8 billion kWh, of which coal-fired power
posed by the unification policy on the generation companies. It is
generation constitutes more than 80% (CEC, 2012). According to
the inherent problems within China’s generation enterprises, it has
the data, coal-fired power generation is the dominant way of pro-
made them susceptible to the unification policy. From this point
ducing electricity in China. Every large generation enterprise has
of view, the unification works like a catalyst. Hence the weaken-
large coal-fired generation capacity.
ing risk-resisting ability of China’s generation enterprises is the
According to Section 4.1, the generation enterprises must buy
result of overdependence and unification. Therefore the relation-
coal at the market price and sell power to grid enterprises at the
ship between this point is different from the other two points.
fixed on-grid price. Therefore, after unification, when the coal price
In addition, when coal-fired generation suffers from coal-price
was decided by the market, the generation enterprises alone were
fluctuations, the investments could possibly flow to solar photo-
completely exposed to upstream coal price shocks. Hence, gen-
voltaic, wind power and other new modes of energy generation,
eration enterprises should seriously consider how to address this
which will increase the subsidy burden of the government. How-
problem
ever, the related clean energy generation integration technology
has not yet been perfected to address the intermittency and ran-
(1) The impacts on the business operation and investments of gen-
domness of clean energy generation, which could pose a threat
eration enterprises
to the operational security of the power system. In general, the
over-dependence on coal-fired generation could possibly affect the
According to the analysis in section 2.2, the supply of coal in
security of the entire energy supply system (Wang et al., 2014).
China has been abundant in recent years. The gap between the price
of the market coal and the CE price in special contracts has been sig-
nificantly reduced. The CE price in special contracts was even higher 5. Suggestions for government
than the market coal price in some regions. Hence, unification of
the dual-track coal pricing mechanism has had a limited impact on The Chinese Government has exerted great effort to alleviate the
the profitability of generation enterprises for now. Even when the negative influences mentioned in Section 4.1 by undertaking the

Please cite this article in press as: Yang, Y., et al., Unifying the “dual-track” pricing mechanism for coal in China:
Policy description, influences, and suggestions for government and generation enterprises. Resour Conserv Recy (2016),
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“the Coal and Electricity Prices Comove”. However, this policy has 2015 (NDRC, 2014a,b). The No. 9 Document contains specific poli-
fallen flat for several reasons. Therefore, the experience from the cies for power industry reform in 2015, focusing on solving the
failure of the Comove is of great reference value in policy making for current problems in the power industry. At the same time, it is dif-
coal market reform. We first review the history of the Comove and ficult to conclude that realizing cooperative development of the
summarize its experiences before providing detailed suggestions coal market and electricity market is one of the ultimate goals of
for the government. the No. 9 Document. However, the document will partly relieve
The Central Government implemented the Coal and Electricity the present coordinative problems. The electricity market struc-
Prices Comove (the Comove) from May 2005 to November 2009 ture and price chain will be changed after the implementation of
(Shen et al., 2012). However, the on-grid price increased signifi- the No. 9 Document, as shown in Fig. 14.
cantly less than the coal price. Therefore, the increase in the cost After the No. 9 Document, the transaction price will replace
of generation enterprises, which was affected by the coal price, the former on-grid price, and it will be decided by the market
could not be recovered by an increase in the on-grid price from the between generation plants and users. Generation plants will sell
Comove. In addition, the change in electricity price of the Comove power to grid enterprises at the transaction price, which is decided
always fell behind the coal price change. Hence, in 2009, this policy by negotiation between generation plants and users (Zeng et al.,
was almost cancelled. Here, we present the experiences from the 2015). Therefore, the price of electricity for users consists of three
failure of the Comove. parts: the transaction price; transmission and distribution prices;
First, there is a lack of reasonable supervision and government and government funds. In addition, the transmission and distribu-
guidance in the coal market. According to the coal price increase in tion prices are separated. Under the new pricing mechanism, only
the years approximately 2008, when coal prices increased sharply, the transmission and distribution price and government funds are
the profits of the coal enterprises simultaneously rose suddenly decided by the NDRC, which determines the transmission and dis-
and sharply. The increase in coal price was mainly due to supply- tribution price according to the investment and operation costs
demand relationship changes. At that time, the rapid development of power grids. The whole evaluation process is supposed to be
of China’s various industries led to a rapid increase in coal demand. disclosed to society (Zeng et al., 2016).
However, coal production could not meet the rising demand, which The core idea of the No. 9 Document is to allow the price to play
led to soaring coal prices. Hence, to expand coal production further, the vital role in the electricity market. Therefore, the former pricing
investors from all aspects (including state-owned enterprises and mechanism of the power industry has been changed, and gener-
private investors) increased their investments in the coal indus- ation enterprises will negotiate with users directly. This change
try. However, China’s economy grew slowly after years of strong has brought the opportunity that fluctuations in coal prices can
gains. In 2010, the growth in coal demand slowed, and the coal be reflected in the electricity market. To promote this reflection
price started to decline. However, the investment in the coal indus- further, measures should be undertaken from both sides.
try kept increasing, and leading to the current oversupply situation. In the short term, a transition method is needed when the elec-
Therefore, the coal price began to decrease sharply in recent years. tricity market is still not fully functioning, which is also the request
The whole fluctuation history of coal prices and investment has of many generation enterprises. After the No. 9 Document, the gen-
shown the irrationality of the coal market. Hence, there should be eration enterprises will negotiate with the users based on their
appropriate government guidance for the coal market to avoid irra- generation costs and operation costs. All of these costs were mostly
tional investments and to give full play to price signals to allow the decided by the coal price. However, this pricing mechanism will
market to decide the allocation of resources. require time to develop. Therefore, the Comove is essential dur-
Second, the malfunction of the Comove has proved that the ing the initial stage of the No. 9 Document, and it performs as a
imbalance between the coal market and electricity market cannot transition method. When the effect of coal price fluctuation can
be fully alleviated by administrative orders only (Yang et al., 2012). be introduced to the price decisions of the electricity market, the
Administrative orders always fall behind the fast-paced changes in Comove will be replaced gradually.
coal prices. In addition, the financial compensation provided by the In the long term, many systematic obstacles must be overcome
Comove may not be sufficient to cover the losses of the generation through a series of government measures. The pricing mechanism
enterprises. The best way to synchronize coal and electricity is to of the electricity market should be further perfected; market design
build a healthy electricity market and to allow the administrative and appropriate supervision mechanisms are must be urgently
orders to provide assistance in case market failure occurs. implemented according to the characteristics of the market. In
In the following sections, we draw lessons from the Comove and summary, there is still a long way to go for China’s power indus-
provide detailed suggestions for the government. try reform. However, as one of the key downstream industries of
coal, this reform process should be accelerated to allow the price
5.1. The promotion of electricity market (including coal price and electricity price) to play a vital role. For
more details about related policies about power industry reform in
Essentially, the conflict between coal and power was due to 2015, please see our earlier article (Zeng et al., 2016).
the unsynchronized marketization between CE and electricity. The At the same time, the recent development of coal prices/demand
electricity market is out of touch with the coal market, and there and the power sector reform and their impact on coal prices are
is an un-harmonic market mechanism and uncoordinated market worth noting. From the implementation of the No. 9 Document in
development between the coal and electricity markets. Therefore, several provinces, the users and generation enterprises are willing
the rationalization of the electricity and CE market mechanisms to participate in the market and undertake negotiations.
will be a better way fundamentally to solve the contradictions However, the electricity price and coal price are both decided
above. Additionally, power industry reform must be accelerated, by supply and demand sides. The growth of power consumption in
and the establishment of a competitive electricity market is of great China has been slow in the last few years, and this development
urgency to realize the cooperative development of the market for trend could last for the next few years because China’s govern-
CE and electricity (Sun et al., 2013). ment is now attempting to realize the industrial transformation.
The Chinese Government has realized the current problems of An environmentally friendly industrial structure with high energy
power and coal industry. A government document, entitled Relative efficiency is the goal of transformation. However, the market is
Policies on Deepening the Reform of the Power Industry (the so-called too unpredictable, especially China’s coal market, which is partly
No. 9 Document), was issued by the State Council on March 25, under the control of the government. Therefore, we suppose that

Please cite this article in press as: Yang, Y., et al., Unifying the “dual-track” pricing mechanism for coal in China:
Policy description, influences, and suggestions for government and generation enterprises. Resour Conserv Recy (2016),
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demand for CE might not rise sharply due to current trends in power 6. Measures for generation enterprises
consumption. Because the coal price is decided by the supply and
demand sides, the future trend in the coal price is unknown. Generation enterprises are the connections between the coal
As is concluded above, the establishment of an electricity market industry and power industry. Since unification, generation enter-
in China will be one of the key solutions to resolve the imbalanced prises are now facing the risks of upstream coal price shocks. In
development between the electricity market and coal market. addition, the electricity market reform has provided them with
However, further measures and suggestions should be proposed opportunities to reflect the upstream coal price fluctuations in the
for the government to realize the goals above and to guide the electricity market. Now, considering their special status, genera-
generation enterprises to develop well. tion enterprises are faced with market fluctuations from both sides.
Hence, in this section, we provide detailed measures for generation
enterprises.

5.2. The improvement of the control over the CE market from the 6.1. The vertical integration strategy of generation enterprises
government
After unification, the direct transaction cost between coal enter-
When market failure is about to occur, the government will prises and generation enterprises will increase (Li, 2012). From the
intervene to prevent it by administrative orders. At the same time, point of view of decreasing the market transaction costs and reduc-
the government, which includes the price management depart- ing the operation risk, the generation enterprises must implement
ment and the economic operation management department, has a vertical integration strategy. On the one hand, the generation
the right to evaluate and manage the business operation of state- enterprises are allowed to invest in coal enterprises and become
owned enterprises (generation enterprises are mostly state-owned their own shareholders to obtain coal supplies at a lower price.
enterprises). The government has forced generation enterprises to On the other hand, generation enterprises can apply for coal min-
generate power without the consideration of loss to ensure the ing qualifications or acquire coal enterprises and bring coal mining
normal operation of various industries, which is the social respon- operations into their own businesses.
sibility that the generation enterprises should accept. At the same
time, the government assesses the operation of generation enter- 6.2. The reduction in the operation costs
prises based on the profit they earn. All of these measures could
lead to inconsistency in the regulations of generation enterprises. Although the supervision of coal quality should be increased due
To perfect the regulation and control of the CE market and the man- to marketization, stringent checks of coal quality are still greatly
agement mode of generation enterprises, the following measures needed for generation enterprises. As a result, the operation and
should be undertaken: maintenance costs of units will decrease; generation enterprises
will strengthen the management and supervision of coal quality
(by strengthening sampling checks) and will request compensation
• cancel the profit indices of the generation enterprises during when the CE amount is inconsistent with the contracted amount.
assessment; Generation enterprises must stop breaches of contracts to restrain
• provide more financial subsidies for generation enterprises when adulteration (Xu et al., 2011). Generation enterprises should also
coal prices increase sharply; and actively order high-quality coal and build long-term cooperation, as
• levy penalties for the bullish campaign behaviors of coal enter- well as co-dependency with coal enterprises with good reputations.
prises.
6.3. Fuel cost control

5.3. Optimized coordination between government departments Generation enterprises should actively explore new procure-
ment channels and optimize procurement programs to establish
Coordination between governments should be organized in two long-term and stable strategic cooperative relationships with CE
aspects. and other fuel suppliers. Long-term coal and fuel supply contracts
First, coordination between governments must occur at all lev- are necessary to stabilize fuel costs, as well as the CE supply. For
els. Unification and electricity market reform have been generalized generation enterprises, several enterprises gathering together to
across the whole country. The CE market and electricity market sign a large contract is always a good means of decreasing procure-
have two levels: the provincial market and national market. They ment costs by centralized procurement (Yu et al., 2011). Related
are under the control of provincial governments and the Central data have shown that group contracts are more economical than
Government. Therefore, mutual coordination among governments single contracts.
at all levels is of great significance, as is coordination between If the increase in CE prices is uncontrollable, generation enter-
different provincial governments. Provincial policies should be cre- prises should further strengthen their internal control of fuel costs
ated according to the actual situations of their own provinces to optimize CE quality and to reduce coal consumption.
and should not contradict the national policies. At the same time,
national policies should consider the characteristics of different 6.4. Strict control of the financial risk of generation enterprises
provinces to render the policies more compatible.
Second, coordination between different government depart- After unification of the dual-track coal pricing mechanism, the
ments is necessary. As discussed in Sections 2.2 and 4.1(2), the CE price could rise due to the imbalance between supply and
transportation capacity of CE is another important factor that will demand. As a result, generation enterprises could suffer continuing
influence the coal market operation. Hence, the related government losses and a lack of cash flow. Taking loans might be a good way
departments (CNCA, NDRC, China Railway Corporation) should to alleviate these operation difficulties. However, it could lead to
mutually corporate with each other to create transportation plans other problems: an excessive asset-liability ratio will lead to a seri-
to satisfy the demand for coal transportation and to avoid the pos- ous decrease in debt payment ability, while high funding costs will
sible market operation problems caused by a lack of transportation amplify the financial risk. For this reason, generation enterprises
capacity. should actively expand their financing channels. First, increasing

Please cite this article in press as: Yang, Y., et al., Unifying the “dual-track” pricing mechanism for coal in China:
Policy description, influences, and suggestions for government and generation enterprises. Resour Conserv Recy (2016),
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equity capital is needed to reduce the reliance on bank loans and the power source structure and the reduction of operational costs
to reduce the financing risk. Second, bond financing should be are effective measures for withstanding the risk. At the same time,
enlarged to reduce the cost of capital. Third, analysis of the supply the control of fuel costs and the financial risks of the generation
and demand conditions of the financial market is of great urgency to enterprises, as well as vertical integration strategies, are of great
understand market trends according to movements of the interest urgency.
rate and exchange rate. Finally, more diversified financing meth-
ods should be undertaken rationally to create appropriate financing
arrangements to control the costs of capital and to reduce the finan- Acknowledgments
cial costs, as well as to avoid financial risks (Wang and Nakata, 2009;
Wang et al., 2011). This paper is supported by “the Fundamental Research Funds
Based on the above viewpoint, the generation enterprises must for the Central Universities” (Grant no. 2015XS43), the National
adjust the scale and speed of the newly built power plants. Since the Natural Science Foundation of China (Grant no. 71271082) and the
power industry reform in 2002, generation enterprises have begun National Soft Science Research Plan (Grant no. 2012GXS4B064) of
to scramble blindly for nationwide power generation resources. As China.
a result, their installed capacity has increased rapidly. However, the
majority of funds used for expansion came from loans, which led to
an increased asset-liability ratio of the generation enterprises and References
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Policy description, influences, and suggestions for government and generation enterprises. Resour Conserv Recy (2016),
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Please cite this article in press as: Yang, Y., et al., Unifying the “dual-track” pricing mechanism for coal in China:
Policy description, influences, and suggestions for government and generation enterprises. Resour Conserv Recy (2016),
http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.resconrec.2016.04.004

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