Beruflich Dokumente
Kultur Dokumente
Tran Tu Uyen,
Graduate Student, Graduate Institute of Business and Management,
Meiho Institute of Technology, 23, Pingkuang Rd, Neipu, Pingtung, 912, Taiwan ROC
uyen.trantu@gmail.com
Pansy Chung,
Lecturer, Department of Information Management, Meiho Institute of Technology,
23, Pingkuang Rd, Neipu, Pingtung, 912, Taiwan ROC
x3046@meiho.edu.tw
Shih-Jung Chen,
Lecturer (part-time), Department of Business management, Meiho Institute of Technology,
23, Pingkuang Rd, Neipu, Pingtung, 912, Taiwan ROC
x1570@meiho.edu.tw
Tse-Chih Hsia
Associate professor, Dept. of MIS, Ling-Tung University,
tchisa@mail.ltu.edu.tw
ABSTRACT
Over the last few years, Vietnam has witnessed very strong growth in its
Initial Public Offering market. The total capital in the Vietnamese stock market at the
highest point (at the end 2007) was estimated to be 35 billion USD accounting for 50% of
the GDP. However, among nearly 300,000 enterprises in Vietnam only 317 listed
companies on stock market (up to March 2009).
The purpose of this study is to assess how and why an Initial Public Offering impacts
the performance of the Vietnamese enterprises and provides some decision support for
entrepreneurs planning a public offering sometime in the future. The objective of this study
are (1) to understand Vietnamese stock market in general, (2) to investigate the significance
impact of IPOs in enterprise’s performance in the Vietnamese stock market through
financial ratios, (3) to explore why IPO impact on the firm performance in the Vietnamese
stock market, (4) to give suggestions and to encourage non listed enterprises to progress
into an IPO more effectively.
The study is performed in two steps. The first step determines whether an IPO affects
firm performance by collecting and analyzing around 40 listed companies, the premier
results to be yielded by the study presented here included a positive impact of Initial Public
Offering on the performance of enterprises in Vietnam. The second step will use a
questionnaire to confirm the hypotheses and examine why an IPO influences a firm’s
performance.
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Finally, a number of suggestions and implications for further researches will be
presented.
Keywords: Impact, Initial Public Offering (IPO), Stock Market, Vietnam.
2
A. Background of the study
Second of all, until now, among the 28,000 firms in Vietnam, up to March
2009, only 357 firms are listed in the stock market. The important question has
been asking, how and why does IPO impact on the performance of Vietnamese
enterprises? If firms could perform better after IPO, why so little Vietnamese
companies go public.
Finally, Vietnamese stock market only opens less than eight years
therefore there are only few empirical researches about Vietnamese stock
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market and corollary of insufficient information for investors, those are the
reasons why this research was so urgently to be conducted.
Finally, this research will give suggestions and implications for non-listed
enterprises in Vietnam on the way to IPOs.
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2. How does the IPO influence the performance of the listed enterprise in the
Vietnamese Stock Market?
3. Why does the IPO influence the performance of the listed enterprise in the
Vietnamese Stock Market?
IPO stands for Initial Public Offering; an Initial Public Offering (IPO) is
the first sales of stock by a private company to the public. IPOs are often issued
by smaller, younger companies seeking capital to expand, but can also be offered
by large privately owned companies looking to become publicly traded (B.O’
Neill Wyss 2001).
2. Profitability
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share holders, and financial organizations are looking for profitable enterprise to
give their final commitment. So profitability takes a very important role in
company performance (Narjess, 2005). A variety of measurements for
profitability have been employed. Rates of return on equity or assets are defined
as accounting profits divided into either equity or assets. Profits may be calculated
before- or after-tax and may or may not include interest payments. Normally,
interest payments are excluded when calculating the rate of return on equity, but
are included when calculating the rate of return on assets. The rate of return on
assets reflects operating results and, if interest rates are included, should not
reflect financing decisions.
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organ operating directly under the Prime Minister. During this period, the SSC
could not well regulate the market due to various structural weaknesses.
Consequently, the Prime Minister decided on February 19th 2004 to hand over the
task of managing the SSC to the Ministry of Finance. The Government hopes that
the transfer would help to improve the performance of the market, which has not
been performing well since its establishment in July 2000 (Toan, 2007)
Despite the fact that the first stock auction in Vietnam can be
traced back to 1992, little information on those preliminary IPO activities is
available. Thus, time scope of the thesis should be limited to the period between
the years 2000 to May of 2009. This is because the Vietnam stock market was
established in 2000, and the information of IPOs is available only after
2000.. The firms covered in this study include state-owned enterprises (SOEs)
and privately-owned enterprises (POEs.) as following: Licensing for securities
companies, securities advisers, securities investment funds, and securities
depositaries & custodians and training specialized personnel for the securities
industry.
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b. Security Trading Centre
VNĐ 80,000,000,000 (-
30% in special cases) VNĐ10,000,000,000
Minimum capital
(equivalence 4,989,000 (equivalence 623,000 USD)
USD)
Number of years
having profits
2 1
before listing
No un-provisioned
No debts which are more than
overdue debts, publicizing
1 year overdue; having
Debt policies all debts to the firm by the
fulfilled all financial
firm’s key members and
obligations with the State
big shareholders
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following 6 months. months
Launched in mid 2005, HaSTC has already had a healthy number of listed
firms, 154 as compared to HoSE (163.) Like HoSE, most firms listed on HaSTC
are SOEs. Though 317 listed firms on both exchanges is still a modest number,
the number of privatized firms is far greater than this number of listed firms. In a
report published by the Vietnam Ministry of Finance, there were 2,996 SOEs
converted into privatized firms during the period of 1992-2005. However, only
less than 6% of those SOEs have been listed so far. This could be explained by
the absence of a stock market exchange until 2000.
After long time, slow increases from 2000 to 2005, there was a boom in
the stock market in 2006 and 2007. The figure 2-1 shows the evolution of the VN-
Index, the stock price index including all of the listed firms on HoSE. The VN-
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Index started in the year 2006 at 300 points and by the first quarter of 2007 was at
1180 points. After booming from 2006 to the first quarter in 2007, and during the
first six months of 2007, the growth rate only reached 35% and it has fallen in the
last 6 months of 2007 (Thieu Minh, 2007). In 2008 Vietnam’s stock index took a
further stomach churning plunge in March, falling 22% over the month. This
brings the fall year-to-date to 44% and the drop from the peak of last March to
53%.
Figure 1 VN INDEX
(Source: http://www.tvsi.com.vn)
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The figure 2 shows the sharp increase in the amount of companies that
went to IPO in the stock market. By the end of December 2007 there were 196
companies in total for the two centers; by November 2008 there are 317 listed
companies.
140
120
100
Number
80
Company
60
40
20
0
2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008
Year
E. Literature review.
In 2006, Lubos and Taylor, studied firm profitability after an IPO. This
study focused on the average profitability of private firms. This study predicted
that firm profitability should decline after the IPO. This study used the sample of
7183 IPOs in the US between 1975 and 2004. Many IPO models assumed that the
entrepreneur has private information about its own firm (Chemmanur and
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Fulghieri, 1999). Asymmetric information may well explain some of the observed
post-IPO declines in profitability, but it is not clear how it would generate higher
declines for firms with more volatile profits and firms with less uncertain average
profits.
On the contrary, some other studies pointed out many benefits of IPOs.
Manas and Manoj (2007) studied the IPO process in India by using a sample that
included all IPOs completed between 1999 and 2005. The study found that the
size and probability of going public is positively related. The larger and profitable
companies are more likely go to public than the smaller companies. The result is
consistent with the finding of several empirical studies (Pagano et. al., 1998;
Helwege and Packer, 2004; Chemmanur et al., 2005; Kim and Sung, 2005; Rosen
et al., 2005). This study also found that the probability of going public is
positively related to “profitability” measured in terms of “return on net worth”.
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The relationship is positive and significant for all the time periods. A quantitative
method was used and the results showed that an increase of one standard
deviation in profitability corresponds to 13 percent increase in sample average
probability.
The positive relationship between IPOs and profitability was also found in
a report of the Boston Consulting Group (2000). This report shows that Europe’s
most dynamic entrepreneurs not only grow in terms of turnover, they also grow in
profitability and they create superior value from an investor’s point of view. The
results of the research on inputs, effects, and success factors of an IPO may
provide some “decision support” for entrepreneurs planning a public offering in
the future.
In 2006, there was a boom in the Vietnamese stock market and many
companies became famous after their IPO; but what about their profits? Can they
earn profit after their IPO and is there a positive impact on enterprises and their
profitability in Vietnam?
Based on the above evidences, the following hypothesis is offered for the
study:
H1: There is a positive impact between the pre- and post- IPO’ firm profitability
in Vietnam
H2
Human resource Human resource management
management improves after IPO in Vietnam
H3
Operation management Operation management improves
after IPO in Vietnam
1. Research Method
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one year before, the year of the IPO, and one year after) in the Vietnam stock
market will be included in the study sample. The study continued to calculating
the mean of each variable for each firm covering the one-year period prior to IPO
(year-1), the year of IPO (year 0), and one year following IPO (year +1).
Quantitative research was also used for this study. Quantitative research
is the systematic scientific investigation of quantitative properties and phenomena
and their relationships. The objective of quantitative research is to develop and
employ mathematical models, theories and/or hypotheses pertaining to natural
phenomena. The process of measurement is central to quantitative research
because it provides the fundamental connection between empirical observation
and mathematical expression of quantitative relationships. The sample of subjects
is drawn to reflect the population (Newnam and Benz, 1998).
2. Sampling Design
It should be noted that the IPOs included in this study sample can only be
the largest and the most economically significant companies, and those operating
in important fields. In addition, sample originating from both Securities Trading
Centrals will be included. Therefore, although this sample is small (55
companies), it represents of Vietnamese listed companies.
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Because Vietnam is a very young market, the age for companies to be
studied is under seven years old. The total sample population will be 252
companies listed before 2007. Over half population will be chosen as the sample
for this study. 152 companies.
3. Data Collection
On the way to gather the data for this empirical study, first, it will be
necessary to determine which kind of data or information would be useful and
helpful. This study will collect data by choosing Vietnamese enterprises that have
offered IPOs, listed on the Vietnamese stock exchanges by the end of December
2008. These firms should have at least one year pre-and post-IPO financial and
accounting data as presented bellow;
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3.2. Post-IPO Data
The post-IPO financial and accounting data are rather easy to collect for
the reason that they are all published on the Vietnamese stock exchange every
quarter of the fiscal year. Alternatively, the data can be obtained, by downloading
it from company-owned websites, large banks’ websites on the internet, and
secondary data sources. This data and relevant information are also easily
available to be obtained. The companies have to, by regulatory law, disclose all
their financial and accounting information in annual reports to investors and
publicize their annual reports.
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Descriptive Statistics
Descriptive Statistics
N Percentiles
25th 50th (Median) 75th
Aprofit1 55 3366.5000 7613.0000 20457.5000
Aprofit2 55 14923.0000 37200.0000 114687.0000
Aprofit2 - Aprofit1
Z -6.192(a)
Asymp. Sig. (2-tailed) .000
a Based on negative ranks.
b Wilcoxon Signed Ranks Test
The result from table 4 reveals that there is a significant increase in the mean of
profitability before IPO and after IPO with the Asymp.sig. (2-tailed) = 0.000.
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We accept the Hypothesis1: There is a positive impact between the pre- and post-
IPO’ firm profitability in Vietnam
3,500,000.00
3,000,000.00
2,500,000.00
Bililion VND
2,000,000.00
Billion VND
1,500,000.00
1,000,000.00
500,000.00
-
-2 -1 0 1 2
Figure 3: Total profitability over five years
Y ear
In addition to collect the data from many sources we conduct the surveys. The
questionnaire was sent to the director of Human resource department of listed
companies. In the surveys we got the answer from 59 listed companies. Some
descriptive statistics of the sample are presented in the following section.
Table 5 Communalities
Initial Extraction
Item 1 Recruiting 1.000 .715
Item 2 Compensation 1.000 .795
Item 3 Training 1.000 .739
Item4 Employee program 1.000 .870
Item 5 Recruiting - effort 1.000 .844
Item 6 Employee development 1.000 .797
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Item 7 Evaluate employee 1.000 .726
Item 8 The gaps in the
1.000 .825
knowledge
Item 9 Use multiple sources 1.000 .868
Item 10 Higher starting salaries 1.000 .818
Item 11 Extensive interviews 1.000 .801
Item 12 Multiple screening 1.000 .847
Item 13 Open positions-
1.000 .797
individuals
Item 14 Selection process- many
1.000 .689
employees
Item 15 Right person 1.000 .771
Item 16 Salaries for core
1.000 .854
positions
Item 17 Extensive specialized
1.000 .908
training
Item 18 Staff scheduling 1.000 .788
Item 19 Customer services 1.000 .796
Item 20 Productivity 1.000 .874
Item 21 Cost reduction 1.000 .742
Item 22 Investment 1.000 .832
Item 23 Sales revenue per
1.000 .826
employee
Item 24 Revenue growth 1.000 .824
Item 25 Average net profit 1.000 .884
Item 26 Well Financially 1.000 .873
Item 27 Capital investment 1.000 .826
Item 28 Brand name 1.000 .824
Item 29 Marketing activities 1.000 .872
Item 30 Larger volume of sales 1.000 .873
Item 31 Innovatory activities 1.000 .749
Item 32 Procurement 1.000 .768
Human resource 1.000 .993
Operation management 1.000 .981
Firm perform 1.000 .989
Extraction Method: Principal Component Analysis.
For the factor analysis all the extraction are bigger than 0.6 so all 32 questions are
Model fit, we didn’t eliminate any factor.
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Figure 4. The result for Operation Management
Mean 1= 3.5557 and mean 2= 3.625 that means 71% and 72% participant
agree that Human resource management and operation management will be better
after IPO.
Based on the result of the survey, we strongly conclude that Human resource
management and operation management are improved after IPO.
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Figure 5. The result for Human Resource Management
Throughout the data analysis, research result and finding, the impact of IPO
on the firm profitability has been demonstrated. In conclusion, positive results
have been founded in the firm profitability after IPO. In addition, human resource
management and operation management have shown better performance after
IPO. Significantly, companies have used the IPO image to create positive effects
and boosted their growth performance. Those organizations have cashed to
finance internal growth and invest more capitals for the future such as facility,
human resource management therefore, their companies will be better in the
future. After two years of IPO, their profit may not increase immediately but in
the long term their performance will be improved.
It is obvious that IPO have a positive impact on firm performance in
Vietnam, however until now there is only small number of listed companies
(account for only 1% of the total companies in Vietnam). Vietnamese
Government should promote/ launches more policies to encourage enterprise go
to public. Some policies are suggested/ recommended as follows:
- Priority/ Incentive income tax for the new IPO companies.
- Encourage enterprise listing in the international market such as Hong
Kong, Taiwan…
Although the research has broadened the readers’ understanding of the
process of IPO/ IPO process, especially the impact of IPO on firm performance, it
still has some limitations which should be addressed in further research.
The first weakness of this study concerns with only the profitability to
measure the firm performance. Further researcher can deeply take into account of
this interesting topic by analyzing other factors such as revenue, efficiencies...
Finally, Vietnamese stock market is very young so that the number of
companies used to have adequate data is very small that leads to small population
as well as small sample.
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Desire the rather long list of limitations might suggest otherwise, the
author still think that the positive results concerning the impact of IPO on firm
performance are robust enough to justify a policy recommendation to the
government of Vietnam to continue to encourage enterprise go to IPO
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