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COMMENTARY

A New ‘Washington Consensus’ (MEA 2018a). However, just before the


commencement of the Shangri-La Dia-
logue, it may be noted, Washington had
‘Indo–Pacific’ and India’s Emerging Role rechristened its military command in
charge of the Asia–Pacific region from
the “Pacific Command” to the “Indo–
K M Seethi Pacific Command.”
The renaming was done in a function

T
The United States administration he geopolitical construct of “Indo– where America’s South Korean ambassa-
is fervently promoting the Pacific” has gained considerable dor, Admiral Harris, charged that China
significance in international rela- was seeking “hegemony in Asia.” He also
“Indo–Pacific” as an alternative
tions recently. Scholars, policymakers warned that Russia should be watched,
geopolitical construct to mobilise and think tanks across the world argue calling it a “spoiler.” The US Secretary of
a large number of countries in that the locale of Asia–Pacific has been Defense James Mattis was even more
the Asia–Pacific region to contain substituted more realistically by an categorical, saying that the US would
appropriate category encompassing two continue its naval activities in the South
Chinese and Russian influence.
oceanic political and strategic heritages China Sea aimed at challenging China’s
However, India under the of both the Indian Ocean and the Pacific territorial ambitions (Sputnik 2018).
Narendra Modi administration Ocean. Leaders and policymakers from Plausibly, the American strategy in the
has become a strategic Japan, Australia, the United States (US), Indo–Pacific is to contain China and
to India and Indonesia have frequently co-opt India, both economically and mil-
contraption by yielding to the
deployed “Indo–Pacific” in their speech- itarily. This strategy obviously stemmed
pressures of the Donald Trump es, statements and writings. However, from Washington’s long-term fear about
regime for a programmed the construct of the Indo–Pacific has a the “rise” of Asia and the decline of
“Indo–Pacific” ploy. In the much wider meaning and implication American power.
today against the background of the
emerging scenario, New Delhi’s Revisiting Washington Consensus
changing US strategy in the region with
rhetoric on “strategic autonomy” a view to containing China as a rising The “Washington Consensus,” as it has
has become a political liability. power, both economically and militarily. been known for more than a quarter cen-
The US President Donald Trump and tury, unfolded an array of free market
Indian Prime Minister Narendra Modi economic policies enunciated and rein-
enunciated this construct within the forced by Washington-based institutions
framework of their countries’ strategic and agencies, as popularised by John
and economic interests. While Trump Williamson. In a paper “What Washington
has been more explicit in his position on Means by Policy Reform,” Williamson
The author thanks the referee for their the potentials and challenges of the said that the Washington, as he referred
comments and suggestions. region, Modi talked about “strategic to in his paper,
K M Seethi (kmseethimgu@gmail.com) teaches autonomy” and “free, open, prosperous is both the political Washington of Congress
at the School of International Relations and and inclusive Indo–Pacific Region” at and senior members of the administration
Politics, Mahatma Gandhi University, Kerala.
the Shangri-La Dialogue in Singapore and the technocratic Washington of the

20 FEBRUARY 23, 2019 vol lIV no 8 EPW Economic & Political Weekly
COMMENTARY
international financial institutions, the eco- Moreover, there were apprehensions in political and economic center of gravity”
nomic agencies of the US government, the place with regards to the decline of the (White House 2015).
Federal Reserve Board, and the think tanks.
US power and the rise of China. For ins- With the change of administration in
(Williamson 2004, 1990)
tance, Kevin Brown (2008) argued that the White House, the US strategy in the
He brought out a set of reforms that the US entered the 21st century with its region has undergone profound chang-
dealt with a broad agenda of fiscal disci- losing of hegemony in international rela- es. The Trump administration now has a
pline, reordering public expenditure tions. He also pointed out that the “US different orientation of issues in the
priorities, tax reform, liberalising inter- power on the world stage as a whole has region and it has been trying to coalesce
est rates, a competitive exchange rate, been challenged due to the rise of other economic and strategic issues with a
trade liberalisation, liberalisation of in- powers namely China and India” (Brown view to containing China in a broader
ward foreign direct investment, privati- 2008; Seethi 2014: 69–70). framework of flexible engagements with
sation, deregulation, and property rights. The scenario, thus, called for revisit- countries like India. The “new” Washing-
Williamson, in fact, reflected on the ing the Washington Consensus based on ton Consensus, thus, entails a carrot-
emerging Washington Consensus on what certain strategic calculations of the emer- and-stick policy enunciated by the Trump
the global South countries “should do” ging challenges from China. This obvi- administration through the involvement
(Williamson 2004). ously called for a new strategic eng- of the Pentagon, US Treasury and the
Furthermore, he argued that “lagging agement with countries across the Asia– Bretton Woods institutions.
countries should catch up with the policy Pacific region by making them “aware”
reforms on my list,” pointing to the fact of the threat from China. The new Wash- ‘Peaceful Rise’ of Asia?
that the East Asian countries “had broadly ington Consensus inevitably involves the Almost a decade ago, when I joined the
followed those policies,” and that it role of Pentagon (US Department of De- deliberations of the Mahatma Gandhi–
would be “more natural to attribute the fense) alongside the other agencies of Daisaku Ikeda Peace Research Confer-
fast growth of the East Asian newly the “consensus” that John Williamson ence at the National University of Singa-
industrialised countries to what they (1990) had mentioned in his seminal pore (NUS), Kishore Mahbubani had
had in common, such as fiscal prudence, paper in 1989. already shot into fame with his seminal
high savings rates, work ethic, competi- This was what the US President Obama thesis on the “rise” of Asia. A former
tive exchange rates” (Williamson 2004). began to emphasise in his speeches and diplomat of Singapore and Dean of the
The term “Washington Consensus” be- statements on the Asia–Pacific region Lee Kuan Yew School of Public Policy at
came popular after 1991 even as the during his tenure, and what his successor, the NUS, Mahbubani’s (2008) book The
world system moved broadly towards an Trump, tried to reorient (semantically as New Asian Hemisphere: The Irresistible
intensive market-driven order of inter- Indo–Pacific) in the emerging national Shift of Global Power to the East became
national exchanges, especially after the security strategy. President Obama ear- a sensation then. Many scholars at the
formation of the World Trade Organiza- lier said that the US would “have new op- Gandhi–Ikeda Conference picked up
tion (WTO) in 1995. Ever since the forma- portunities to train with other allies and Mahbubani’s arguments across the table,
tion of the WTO, the countries in the partners, from the Pacific to the Indian both formally and informally, to ponder
global South were compelled to follow Ocean.” Underlining “America’s en- over the “rise of China and India,” altho-
the Washington Consensus on reforms hanced presence across Southeast Asia,” ugh I was sceptical about India’s potential
and restructuring, and thereby accom- Obama pointed out that the US would for several reasons (Seethi 2009).
modated themselves within a neo-liberal have partnership with a large number of Calling 21st century as the “Asian cen-
economic framework. countries in the region, including India, tury,” Mahbubani had put the thesis
However, over the years, critics have which “looks east” and “plays a larger across that the centre of gravity of power
pointed out that this “consensus” only role as an Asian power.” He declared in international relations was shifting
put on ruthless conditions on the global that in “the Asia Pacific in the 21st cen- from the “West” (consisting of North
South countries. The East Asian crisis in tury, the United States of America is all America, Australia, New Zealand and the
the late 1990s and the global recession of in” (White House 2011). European Union) to the “East” (includ-
2008–09 were further reminders that A White House fact sheet on Obama’s ing China, India, Japan, the Islamic World,
increased deregulation would only re- policy later on underlined the rising en- and the Association of Southeast Asian
sult in financial instability that would gagements of the administration which Nations [ASEAN). Marshalling facts and
spell disaster for both global North and reflected “the growing importance of figures, he said that the West’s domina-
global South economies. Meanwhile, what the region to US national interests” and tion of the world system was declining
agitated the minds of the Washington its commitment to advancing a “broader and that the East was undergoing a great
Consensus experts was obviously the regional strategy, known as the Rebal- transformation, with India and China
“peaceful rise” of China notwithstan- ance.” The region, having “nearly half of poised to become powerful economies.
ding the setbacks in the world economy. the earth’s population, one-third of global Mahbubani pointed out that Asia was set
Containing China, economically, could GDP, and some of the world’s most capable to restore its domination in the world
hardly be a feasible project for them. militaries, [is] increasingly the world’s which it lost about 200 years ago. He
Economic & Political Weekly EPW FEBRUARY 23, 2019 vol lIV no 8 21
COMMENTARY

also posed a major question as to whether in South East Asia). It is this “richness” the media after signing. During his
the West would be willing to accommo- of East Asia—with China emerging to election campaign, Trump said, “The
date itself to this reality of Asia “emer- overtake the global players—that wor- Trans-Pacific Partnership is another dis-
ging” with its fast-growing economies. ries Trump and his colleagues. More- aster done and pushed by special inter-
Mahbubani was apparently sceptical over, China’s Belt and Road Initiative ests who want to rape our country, just a
about it precisely because of the West’s across the South, Central and South East continuing rape of our country” (Popken
reluctance to give up its global hege- Asian terrain, alongside its South China 2017). He also reminded everyone that
mony (Mahbubani 2008). Sea policy, became a major challenge to he had decided to pull out from the TPP
However, about a decade before Mah- the Trump administration. Under these with a view to creating “an incentive for
bubani had talked about this phenomenon, circumstances, it was natural that Trump our trading partners to diversify, to look
Immanuel Wallerstein (1991) had writ- was not willing to undertake any addi- for their own way, to have conversations
ten about this “shift” of global economy tional responsibility in the Asia–Pacific and negotiations in which we will not be
extensively. In his keynote address at a by perpetuating the US’s deficit-driven participants” (Solís 2017).
symposium held in Meiji Gakuin Univer- trade and its domestic impact. After Trump withdrew from the deal,
sity, Tokyo, in January 1997, Wallerstein the other members of TPP moved ahead,
tried to explain the rise of East Asia within American Spin on Trade Policy without the US, and brought forth a new
the “fundamental contradictions of the It may be noted that President Trump pact named the Comprehensive and Pro-
capitalist system” expressed through the withdrew the US from the Trans-Pacific gressive Agreement for TPP (CPTPP) on
“systemic process by a series of cyclical Partnership (TPP) on his first day in 8 March 2018 in Santiago, Chile (DFAT
rhythms” (Kondratieff cycles). He argued office. This obviously reflected a major 2018). However, after a year, President
that the “cyclical rhythms resulted in spin for the US on trade policy which he Trump said in a social media post that he
regular slow-moving but significant geo- said sought “to create fair and economi- was open to returning to the TPP, but
graphical shifts in the loci of accumula- cally beneficial trade deals that serve only if he could get a “substantially bet-
tion and power.” Within this matrix, their interests.” Trump further said that ter” deal than done by his predecessor.
Wallerstein sought to analyse the rise of “it is the intention of my administration Many observers criticised him for the
East Asia which occurred during a Kon- to deal directly with individual coun- withdrawal from the TPP which would
dratieff B-phase, a period that was also tries on a one-on-one (or bilateral) basis have become the world’s largest free
the beginning of the decline (or B-phase) in negotiating future trade deals” (White trade zone by joining the Pacific Rim
of US hegemony.” The “immediate impact House 2017a). “Great thing for the Amer- countries that collectively would generate
of the Kondratieff B-phase was felt most ican worker, what we just did,” he told nearly 40% of global economic output.
sharply in the most defenseless areas,”
but “one zone that substantially escaped N
SIO EPWRF India Time Series
from the negative impact was East Asia.”
AN
He pointed out that there were two EXP (www.epwrfits.in)
possible scenarios for the future. The
world system might continue more or State-wise Agricultural Statistics
less as before and enter into another set
of cyclical changes. Or the world system The Economic and Political Weekly Research Foundation (EPWRF) has added State-wise
would have “reached a point of crisis” data to the Agricultural Statistics module of its online database, India Time Series (ITS).
and therefore would “see drastic struc- State-wise time series starts from 1960–61, depending upon data availability, and covers:
tural change, an explosion or an implo- ● Area, Production and Yield (APY): Foodgrains, Oil seeds, Fibre crops, Spices,
sion” (Wallerstein 1997; Hopkins et al Horticulture crops, Plantation crops and Other crops
1995). Wallerstein had argued elsewhere ● Land-by-Use and Area under Irrigation (source-wise and crop-wise)
that a new cyclical phase would begin, ● Production and Use of Agricultural Inputs: Fertilisers and Electricity
sooner or later, and there would be an ● Procurement of Foodgrains
acute competition between the US and ● Livestock Statistics: Production and Per Capita Availability of Milk, Eggs, Fish,
Meat and Wool
other leading capitalist countries
(Wallerstein 1991). ● Livestock Population: Rural and Urban areas
The forewarning of Wallerstein had ● Value of Output from Agriculture and Allied Activities, with different base years
come true with the global financial crisis Following statistics have been added to the All-India data series:
of 2008 and its pervasive effect on dif- ● Minimum Support Prices (MSP) of Crops
ferent regions across the world, includ- ● Livestock Population: Rural and Urban areas
ing the European Union. Perhaps, the The EPWRF ITS has 17 modules covering a range of macroeconomic, financial and
only region that has not been hit hard social sector indicators on the Indian economy.
with the global meltdown is East Asia For more details, visit www.epwrfits.in or e-mail to: its@epwrf.in
(including China and some of the countries
22 FEBRUARY 23, 2019 vol lIV no 8 EPW Economic & Political Weekly
COMMENTARY

But Trump moved against the agree- including nuclear systems that remain the development of a strong defense network
ment, making it a major challenge for his most significant existential threat to the with our allies and partners” (White
United States. (White House 2017d: 25)
“America First” doctrine. Although Aus- House 2017d).
tralia, Japan and New Zealand welcomed According to the USNSS, 2017,
Trump’s interest for renegotiated TPP, Important Implications
China is using economic inducements and
senior policymakers of these countries penalties, influence operations, and implied Thus, Washington’s aim to promote “Indo–
warned that they would resist any rene- military threats to persuade other states to Pacific” as a new geopolitical construct
gotiation of the deal. The guarded res- heed its political and security agenda. China’s has obvious strategic implications. India
infrastructure investments and trade strate-
ponse from allies in Asia indicated that it is undeniably a key factor in this emerg-
gies reinforce its geopolitical aspirations. Its
would be a challenge to narrow down efforts to build and militarize outposts in the
ing schematic reordering of the region.
the differences between the members of South China Sea endanger the free flow of Months before Trump’s visit to the re-
the TPP and the US (Financial Times 2018). trade, threaten the sovereignty of other na- gion, Prime Minister Modi had indicated
Even as Trump has been settled to tions, and undermine regional stability. China this prospective strategic alliance. For
has mounted a rapid military modernization
continue his TPP policy, the US state example, during his visit to the US in
campaign designed to limit US access to the
apparatuses seemed to be determined to region and provide China a freer hand there.
June 2017, he said that both India and
recast Washington’s strategic interests in China presents its ambitions as mutually ben- the US “are committed to such a bilateral
the Pacific Rim by reformulating the geo- eficial, but Chinese dominance risks dimin- architecture that will take our strategic
political layout inherited from the Obama ishing the sovereignty of many states in the partnership to new heights.” According to
Indo–Pacific. States throughout the region
administration (the construct of “rebal- Modi, “maintaining peace, stability and
are calling for sustained US leadership in a
ancing”). The “rebalance”—initially descri- collective response that upholds a regional
happiness in the Indo–Pacific region is
bed as a “pivot”—was expected to mean order respectful of sovereignty and independ- the primary objective of our strategic
that Washington would play an activist ence. (White House 2017d) cooperation.” Modi said that India “will
role in the “Asia–Pacific” region in the fu- The USNSS, 2017 stated that the Amer- continue to work with the US in this re-
ture, strengthening diplomatic ties, pro- ican allies “are critical to responding to gion. Our growing cooperation in the
moting a regional free trade agreement, mutual threats … preserving our mutual area of defence and security is extremely
and bolstering military and strategic re- interests in the Indo–Pacific region.” Its important in the context of security
lations with many Asian clients (White alliance and friendship with South challenges” (MEA 2017a).
House 2014). However, during the his- Korea remains “stronger than ever.” It Three months after the USNSS, 2017
toric trip by President Trump to the region supports “the strong leadership role of came out, the Trump administration fur-
in November 2017, he introduced the our critical ally, Japan.” Australia “con- ther underlined the role of India in the
strategic concept of the “free and open tinues to reinforce economic and security emerging US strategy in the Indo–Pacific.
Indo–Pacific” (White House 2017b), a arrangements” that support the US’s shared In a special briefing on 2 April 2018, Alex
cleverly enunciated concept to offset the interests across the region. New Zealand N Wong, the Deputy Assistant Secre-
Obama formulation. Its politico-securi- will remain “a key US partner.” The US tary, Bureau of East Asian and Pacific
ty implications have been further docu- also acknowledged “India’s emergence Affairs said that the term
mented by the Trump administration. as a leading global power and stronger Indo–Pacific acknowledges the historical re-
Washington’s apprehensions about the strategic and defense partner.” It says, ality and the current-day reality that South
Asia, and in particular India, plays a key role
key players in the region were clearly We will expand our defense and security co- in the Pacific and in East Asia and in South-
enunciated in the document “National operation with India, a Major Defense Part- east Asia. That’s been true for thousands of
Security Strategy of the United States, ner of the United States, and support India’s years and it’s true today.
December 2017” (USNSS, 2017). The USNSS growing relationships throughout the region. It is “in our interest, the US interest, as
The US also sought “to increase quadrilateral
2017 is more explicit in its reference to well as the interests of the region, that
cooperation with Japan, Australia, and India.
Indo–Pacific: India play an increasingly weighty role
China and Russia want to shape a world anti-
The USNSS, 2017 also underlined that in the region. India is a nation that is in-
thetical to US values and interests. China “the Association of Southeast Asian Na- vested in a free and open order. It is a
seeks to displace the United States in the tions (ASEAN) and Asia–Pacific Economic democracy. It is a nation that can bookend
Indo–Pacific region, expand the reaches of Cooperation (APEC) remain centerpieces and anchor the free and open order in
its state-driven economic model, and reor-
of the Indo –Pacific’s regional architec- the Indo–Pacific region, and it’s our poli-
der the region in its favor. Russia seeks to re-
store its great power status and establish
ture and platforms for promoting an cy to ensure that India does play that
spheres of influence near its borders … Con- order based on freedom” (White House role, does become over time a more in-
trary to our hopes, China expanded its pow- 2017d: 45–46). It further warned that the fluential player in the region.”
er at the expense of the sovereignty of others US “will maintain a forward military pres- “India for sure has the capability and
... It is building the most capable and well-
ence capable of deterring and, if neces- potential to play a more weighty role.
funded military in the world … Russia aims
to weaken US influence in the world and di-
sary, defeating any adversary.” Moreover, But the role is on all fronts, whether
vide us from our allies and partners … (and it would strengthen its “long-standing it’s security, economic and diplomatic”
it) is investing in new military capabilities, military relationships and encourage the (DoS 2018).
Economic & Political Weekly EPW FEBRUARY 23, 2019 vol lIV no 8 23
COMMENTARY

Wong further noted that Indo–Pacific countries to become pro- setting the rules of the road of free trade
gressively more free—free in terms of for trade agreements—if you’re working on
It’s not just India that is pursuing greater eng- a bilateral basis to lower trade barriers and
agement with East Asia and Southeast Asia. good governance, in terms of funda-
working through organisations like APEC to
There are a number of crisscrossing strate- mental rights, in terms of transparency reform economies in the region so that they
gies throughout the region. So if you look at and anti-corruption.” By “open, we [mean- are more open to trade and investment. So
India’s Act East Policy, if you look at South ing the US administration] first and fore- you have to set the rules of the road. But
Korea’s New Southern Policy, if you look at number two, you have to enforce the rules
most mean open sea lines of communica-
Japan’s own Free and Open Indo–Pacific of free trade. You have to ensure that nations
Strategy, if you look at Australia’s Foreign
tion and open airways.” These open sea
cannot abuse the rules, cannot force tech-
Policy White Paper, if you look at Taiwan’s lines of communication are “the life- nology transfer, cannot prize their national
new Southbound Policy, these partners in blood of the region.” champions, can’t steal intellectual property.
the region are all seeking to increase politi- If you don’t do this, if you don’t enforce the
And if you look at world trade, with 50 per-
cal, security, and economic ties, particularly rules of free trade, what ends up happening
cent of trade going through the Indo–Pacific
with the ASEAN states. And that’s in our in- is that over time, the free, fair, and recipro-
along the sea routes, particularly through
terest. If we can have these crosscutting re- cal trading regime is weakened, and that’s to
the South China Sea, open sea lanes and
lationships that form a very strong fabric de- the detriment not just of the United States’s
open airways in the Indo–Pacific are inc-
voted to a rules-based free and open order, prosperity but to the prosperity of the region
reasingly vital and important to the world.
that can only strengthen the prosperity of and the world as a whole. (DoS 2018)
(DoS 2018)
the region, strengthen the fabric of stability At the Shangri-La Dialogue, what Modi
in the region, and that’s something that we Wong also brought to light the said was nothing but a reiteration of a
support. (DoS 2018)
economic objectives of the US’s Indo– new Washington Consensus on the Indo–
The strategic dimension of the “free Pacific strategy: Pacific region. Modi’s support for a “free,
and open Indo–Pacific Strategy” has also The United States for decades has supported
open, prosperous and inclusive Indo –
been highlighted by Wong. He said that free, fair, and reciprocal trade. … And if you Pacific Region” and “common commit-
at the international level, it implies that look specifically at the Indo–Pacific, the two- ment, based on shared values and princi-
“the nations of the Indo–Pacific to be free way trade every year with the region is $1.4 ples, to promote a rules-based order in the
trillion. US foreign direct investment in the
from coercion, that they can pursue in a Indo –Pacific” (MEA 2018a) are all repli-
region is $860 billion a year. And both those
sovereign manner the paths they choose numbers are going up. But when you talk
cations of the White House–Pentagon-
in the region.” At the national level, the about free, fair, and reciprocal trade, there State Department “briefs” on the matter.
US “wants the societies of the various are two parts to that. Number one, there is Washington’s renaming of its “Pacific

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CORE’s Economics Textbook Review of Environment &


Review of EDITORIALS
Q Life and Death of Public

Universities Money, 16 June Development


Urban Affairs
Q

Q
Because Caste Is a Reality
An Avoidable Health Emergency
Banking & 13 October
STRATEGIC AFFAIRS
Q India and China Can Coexist in
the Indo–Pacific
Finance
13 January COMMENTARY
Q Saba Mahmood and the Challenge
to Liberal Thought
I : SOME THEORETICAL CONSIDERATIONS
34 Some Analytics of Demonetisation
43 Monetary Economics of Fascism and a Working-class Alternative
51 Plurality in Teaching Macroeconomics

Q Investigating the Violence in 60 Mortgage Loans, Risky Lending, and Crisis: A Macroeconomic Analysis
Koregaon Bhima 69 Foreign Finance, Real Exchange Rate, and Macroeconomic
Performance in India
Q Dynamics of Land Acquisition:
A Story from Punjab
II : MONETARY POLICY
Q Rejection of Kerala’s Fifth
79 Demand-led Growth Slowdown and Inflation Targeting in India
State Finance Commission
89 The Story of Currency in Circulation
Recommendations
100 Can Central Banks Reduce Inflation? Evidence from 158 Countries
111 Long-run Determinants of Sovereign Bond Yields

Review of
BOOK REVIEWS 120 Appetite for Official Reserves
Q Presidential Discretion:

Budget 2018–19
Discretionary Powers of III : BANKING
the Indian President 129 Non-performing Assets and Neo-liberal Reform
Q The Writer, the Reader and 138 Engineering Banking Sector Recovery and Growth
the State: Literary Censorship in

Urban Affairs
144 Dynamics of Competition in the Indian Banking Sector
India—Censorship through
the Ages

03 March
IV : FINANCIAL INCLUSION
153 Deciphering Financial Literacy in India
CURRENT STATISTICS 165 Can Jan Dhan Yojana Achieve Financial Inclusion?

India’s Democracy
Money Banking 15 December
Today
& Finance
18 August
31 March

24 March
Review of 22 September
Urban Affairs 28 April Market Power &
Review of Competition Policy
Women’s Studies 29 December
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Vol LIII No 17

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Review of
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EDITORIALS
Q Death of a Judge Review of
30 June
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27 January Q

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CPI(M)—Challenging Times
STRATEGIC AFFAIRS
Indian Ocean Woes
COMMENTARY
Women's Studies
A set of seven articles examines how women cope
with the severe effects of climate change, leading to

Nation-making
Triple Talaq Judgment and After the redefinition of their lives and homes, and the

Review of Rural Affairs


Q

QThe Bru Conundrum in North East India changing nature of gender relations, roles and
QEnforced Disappearances in Pakistan
responsibilities. page 35 onwards
QRajni Tilak (1958–2018)

BOOK REVIEWS
To Be Cared For: The Power of Conversion and

in Partitioned India
Q

Foreignness of Belonging in an Indian Slum No Longer Silent Pawns


Q Mapping Human Rights and Subalterns in The centre’s bill criminalising triple talaq has led to
Modern India
attempts by supporters and opponents to push their
PERSPECTIVES narrow interests, but Muslim women are clear about
Q Crisis in Indian Agriculture: Can It be Overcome? their own convictions. page 12
REVIEW OF WOMEN'S STUDIES
Floods in the Gandak River Basin

1 December
Q

QMale Migrants and Women Farmers

in Gorakhpur Index of Industrial Production


QWomen in Indian Bengal Delta The ensemble empirical mode decomposition approach
QHousehold Drought Coping, Food Insecurity is found to be simple to use and is shown to yield
and Women in Odisha

Review ofWomen’s Studies


accurate results. page 97
And more…
SPECIAL ARTICLES
QIndex of Industrial Production:
Coincident Indicators and Forecasting Surveillance and Punishment
QScrutinising the Hindu Method of Forced disappearances are a common practice by the
Tribal Absorption state in Pakistan to prevent civil society and human
CURRENT STATISTICS rights activists from expressing dissent. page 19

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24 FEBRUARY 23, 2019 vol lIV no 8 EPW Economic & Political Weekly
COMMENTARY

Command” into “Indo –Pacific Com- India also faces challenges from China autonomy has no more and no less of an
mand” suggests Pentagon’s strategic in its South China policy, particularly in agenda. For the US, however, this new
hankering for hegemony in the Indian engaging Vietnam. China sees India’s geostrategic space of East Asia has a
Ocean. According to Tetsuo Kotani Vietnam policy as an attempt to offset long-term “investment potential” also. It
(2018), a major aim of Japan’s strategy is Beijing’s influence in the region. A has, thus, something to do with the long-
“a quad among Japan, India, Australia Chinese scholar wrote that held view that East Asia is the only
and the US, or the democratic security Vietnam is a springboard for Indian naval region in the world system that has rela-
diamond.” Kotani noted that Shinzo Abe forces to expand influence from the Indian tively escaped the ill-effects of the global
and Modi had agreed “to seek interac- Ocean to the West Pacific. India has also financial meltdown, and China (along-
helped Vietnam build military capabilities.
tion between Japan’s Indo–Pacific strat- New Delhi is hosting the biennial, eight-day side India) is likely to overtake the US
egy and India’s Act East policy. This ass- exercise codenamed ‘Milan’ on the Anda- and other Western powers. Thus, Wash-
umes considerable strategic importance man and Nicobar Islands in the eastern In- ington has also a double mission: first, to
dian Ocean ... where Vietnam is one of 23
given New Delhi’s apprehensions about restructure the geopolitics of the “East”
participating nations. Containing China in
the Belt and Road Initiative, the China– strategy and security is the driving force of to suit the American strategic interests
Pakistan economic corridor project and India–Vietnam ties. Economic cooperation and second, to help facilitate the “eco-
China’s port development in countries like between the two states also carries strategic nomic containment” of China and other
motives. In 2013, India’s ONGC Videsh signed
Sri Lanka, Bangladesh, and Myanmar. potential powers from being the front-
an agreement with Petro Vietnam to explore
According to Kotani, the Malabar naval and develop oil and natural gas fields in runners of the global economy, as pro-
exercise among India, the US and Japan the disputed areas in the South China Sea. jected by many. Thus, the geopolitics of
in the Bay of Bengal in July 2017 showed (Zongyi 2018) the Indo–Pacific has much to do with the
“the participants’ resolve to defend the In another context, China indicated US’s long-term strategy to contain the
free and open Indo –Pacific” (Kotani that if New Delhi “treats its enhance- potential/emerging powers of Asia and
2018). The American Council on Foreign ment of military relations with Vietnam thereby seeking to ensure American
Relations expert Alyssa Ayres says that as a strategic arrangement or even hegemony in the world system.
the Trump administration has recast the revenge against Beijing, it will only cre-
term “Indo–Pacific” to represent “its ate disturbances in the region and Bei- References
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and Prime Minister Narendra Modi, that India enjoys and is seeking to sus- dia Sells Missiles to Vietnam: Media,” 12 July,
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times.indiatimes.com/news/defence/china-not-
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Economic & Political Weekly EPW FEBRUARY 23, 2019 vol lIV no 8 25
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