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Leadership
2018, Vol. 14(5) 513–523
Donald Trump, perceptions ! The Author(s) 2018
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DOI: 10.1177/1742715018793741
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George R Goethals
Jepson School of Leadership Studies, University of Richmond, VA, USA
Abstract
The populism of Donald Trump and his supporters can be viewed as rooted in feelings of relative
deprivation, whereby people feel that they are getting less than they deserve in exchanges with
other groups, and perceptions of unfair procedures, whereby elites are seen to allocate out-
comes in an unethical, biased, and/or disrespectful manner. Populist leaders can boost people’s
self-esteem and hence their sense of what they deserve and how they should be treated by
establishment decision makers. Populist leaders make intergroup comparisons salient and thereby
exacerbate intergroup hostility. In the United States, populist politics has shifted from emphasiz-
ing unfair economic outcomes to exploiting racist and nativist sentiments as well as cultural
antagonisms. Donald Trump’s populism can be traced most directly to George Wallace’s racist
populist campaigns in the 1960s. Trump has also focused on unfair decisions made about political
allies. His presidency is arguably the first to ride these elements in American politics to the
White House.
Keywords
Populism, social identity, social comparison, relative deprivation, procedural justice
Donald Trump’s 2016 election as president of the United States was surprising and unusual
in a number of respects. First, it was marked by the greatest popular vote versus electoral
vote mismatch in US history. While Trump clearly won the electoral vote and thereby
became president, he equally clearly lost the popular vote. Second, he won the electoral
vote by winning a very unusual pattern of states, dominating in the south, in farm and
mountain states, and in Great Lakes “rust belt” states. He held the reliably Republican
Corresponding author:
George R Goethals, Jepson School of Leadership Studies, University of Richmond, VA, USA.
Email: ggoethal@richmond.edu
514 Leadership 14(5)
south while winning the northern states of Pennsylvania, Michigan, Wisconsin, and Iowa,
states that had generally been Democratic strongholds since 1992. His base was attracted to
Trump’s populist, nativist, nationalist, and racially charged rhetoric. None of the themes in
his campaign were new in American politics, but they had never before been combined in a
successful race for the nation’s highest office. The varied elements of his appeal had in
common the implicit or explicit claim that his base of rural white working-class
Americans were the real Americans who had made our country great. Furthermore, he
argued that they were disrespected and unfairly treated by the highly educated, urban,
suburban, and coastal elites who were overly sympathetic to immigrants and minorities,
and who distained enduring American cultural traditions. The high regard in which he held
his base, and the low regard in which his opponent, Hillary Clinton, held them, was crys-
tallized in the latter’s claim that half of Trump supporters could be put into a “basket of
deplorables.”
The populist elements that are central to Trumpism can usefully be understood in terms
of two bodies of social psychological research on perceptions of justice—the psychology of
relative deprivation and the psychology of procedural justice. Relative deprivation refers to
individuals or groups believing that their outcomes, or what they are getting in any inter-
actional system, are not what they deserve given their inputs, that is, the value of what they
bring to those interactions (Smith et al., 2012). Procedural justice refers to people’s beliefs
that authorities are or are not making decisions fairly about the distribution of outcomes
(Tyler and Lind, 1992). Relative deprivation can be felt by individuals or groups, while
perceptions of procedural justice generally concern individuals. In the case of populism,
relative deprivation and procedural justice perceptions manifest themselves in persons who
think of themselves as the “common people,” believing that they are not getting what they
fairly should be getting. They believe that one or more entrenched and powerful elites, or the
establishment, controls society’s outcomes and distributes them unfairly, using unfair pro-
cedures, relative to what they and other groups deserve. They feel deprived, not because
their outcomes are unequal, but because they are perceived as inequitable, or unfair, given
their inputs.
People’s beliefs about what they deserve, or rightfully have coming to them, are in turn
affected by the psychology of self-evaluation, particularly people’s tendency to judge their
inputs in self-enhancing ways. The average person believes himself or herself to be better
than average in many respects, including that what they bring to interactions with others
are superior. There is also a bias toward individuals perceiving that authorities often make
decisions unfairly, even when they do not feel that they have been dealt with unfairly personally.
Important to appreciating perceptions of relative deprivation and procedural justice is
understanding how people’s beliefs about what they deserve, that is, about what they are
getting relative to others, and their beliefs about how decisions about the distribution of
such outcomes are actually made by those in power, can be influenced by what they are told
by other people, particularly leaders. Populist leaders can persuade their followers that they
deserve more and that the elites making decisions about what they and other groups are
getting are using unfair procedures. Donald Trump generated support in his political base in
large part by declaring that they were being given the short end by elites. He conveyed a
message that fit nicely with their self-enhancing self-evaluations, which were in turn influ-
enced by him.
We will develop these ideas as follows. First, we will review some basic principles of
relative deprivation and closely related research on procedural justice. These phenomena are
Goethals 515
rooted in social comparison, on an individual level and on a group level. We consider how
social comparison figures into both self-evaluation and perceptions of justice. Included in
this discussion will be a consideration of the ways perceptions of both ingroups and out-
groups can enhance self-evaluation. Third, considering James MacGregor Burns’s assertion
that leaders “arouse, engage and satisfy” the needs of followers, we will focus on the ways
leaders address followers’ needs for self-esteem (Burns, 1978: 19). Finally, we will consider
highlights of past versions of populism in the United States, and then Donald Trump’s
rendition of same in leading significant segments of the population to see themselves as
not only unfairly deprived but also unfairly distained or disrespected.
can feel treated unfairly both because they perceive that they are getting less than they
deserve relative to other individuals or groups, and because authorities, in many cases
elites, use unfair procedures in making decisions about their outcomes.
we might compare ourselves with electricians or the wealthy people whose boats we main-
tain. Similarly, when my identity as a Democrat is salient, I might compare myself with
Republicans, or with some segment of my party that does not include me.
All of these ideas have their origins in very early discussions of the self by William James
(1890, 1892). James wrote that we have “many different social selves,” each one dependent
on others whose opinion we care about (James, 1892: 179.) Furthermore, we can decide, at
least to some degree, which of our many selves or identities to focus on in making an overall
self-evaluation, and more or less suppress others. James notes that this “is as strong an
example as there is of . . . selective industry of the mind” (186). From a leadership perspec-
tive, James may be overstating here the control we have over our own self-evaluations, and
understating the way that the comparisons and self-evaluations we make are influenced both
by circumstance and social influence. Relevant here is the fact that Donald Trump made
particular comparison groups salient to his base, leading them to feel relative deprivation.
These notions have found their way into modern social identity theory in the ideas that
different categorizations of ourselves and others are salient in different situations, and that
we make the categorizations that “evaluate self relatively favorably” (Hogg, 2001: 188).
The theory also holds that leadership consists, among other things, of defining identity.
Leaders can influence identity in a number of ways, including making different categoriza-
tions and comparisons salient.
the presidency as leader of the Progressive Party in 1912. In that same election, Eugene Debs
ran as a socialist advocating populist policies and garnered 6% of the vote. The Progressive
Party made its largest mark in presidential elections in 1924 when liberal Republican Robert
La Follette ran as a populist and captured 17% of the national popular vote and won his
home state of Wisconsin. Later, Franklin Roosevelt at times struck populist chords by
repeating his cousin Theodore’s “malefactors . . .” phrase and referring to “money changers”
in the temple in his first inaugural address.
In 1968, George Wallace focused US populism more on racial and cultural conflict.
Economic issues didn’t go away, but the rhetoric shifted. In many ways, as we shall see,
the dynamics of his campaign rallies created a playbook for Donald Trump. During his run
for the presidency that year on the American Party ticket, the Alabama governor criticized
“pointy-headed intellectuals” who couldn’t park a bicycle straight. He railed against hippies
protesting the war in Vietnam. Although attacks on intellectual and cultural elites were a
central element in Wallace’s populism, his main targets were African Americans and the
federal government’s support for racial integration. Wallace had burst onto the national
scene when he was inaugurated as governor of Alabama in January 1963. He had first run
for governor in 1958, supported by African Americans, but losing that contest convinced
him that he had to be more anti-black and pro-segregation than competing candidates if he
was ever to win in his native state. So in 1962, he ran hard against racial integration and won
in a landslide. In his inaugural address in Montgomery, he spoke of following in the foot-
steps of Jefferson Davis, who had been inaugurated as president of the Confederate States of
America just over 100 years earlier in “this Cradle of the Confederacy, this very heart of the
great Anglo-Saxon Southland.” Most memorably he declared, “In the name of the greatest
people that have ever trod this earth, I draw the line in the dust and toss the gauntlet before
the feet of tyranny, and I say segregation now, segregation tomorrow, segregation forever.”
A few months later, he “stood in the schoolhouse door” to try to prevent African American
students from enrolling in the University of Alabama. His actions prompted then President
John F. Kennedy to go on national television, and declare that “We are confronted pri-
marily with a moral issue,” and propose strong civil rights legislation. Wallace then decided
to compete with Kennedy for the Democratic presidential nomination in 1964.
After Kennedy was assassinated and the new president, Lyndon Johnson, moved to pass
the civil rights bill in 1964, Wallace ran in several primaries in northern states, including
Wisconsin and Indiana. His opponents were stand-ins for Johnson, who won easily. Still,
Wallace reliably attracted roughly one-third of the votes cast. He appealed to working
people who did not like the Democratic Party’s support for civil rights legislation and
opposed the rapid cultural change of the early 1960s. He was encouraged enough by his
showings to run as a third-party candidate in 1968. His rhetoric that year emphasized “law
and order,” but his appeal was clearly to white supremacists and others who opposed the
civil rights and voting rights legislation that had been enacted in 1964 and 1965. He carried
five deep south states, essentially those that had been captured by Strom Thurmond running
as a States Rights Democrat in 1948, and by Republican Barry Goldwater in 1964.
Many of Wallace’s campaign appearances unleashed a crowd or mob dynamic aptly
described by Freud’s (1921) treatment of leadership. Borrowing from Gustave LeBon,
Freud described the emergence of hostility, especially directed toward members of out-
groups, that is often released when a deindividuated crowd abandons individual restraints.
People lose their sense of individual responsibility and enjoy their momentary release from
520 Leadership 14(5)
every day limits on their worst instincts. In at least one instance, Wallace was alarmed at the
anger his rhetoric had released and changed gears in order to calm the crowd.
Until recently, subsequent presidential campaigning in the United States largely steered
clear of arousing Wallace-type populism and intergroup hostility. But those did not disap-
pear entirely. Richard Nixon and Ronald Reagan ran campaigns that at times played to
white working class feelings of relative deprivation and disrespect. Their rhetoric connected
to some people’s sense that the powerful liberal elite that dominated the federal government
had given too much to undeserving minorities at the expense of whites who were unjustly
short-changed. Nixon explicitly adopted a “Southern strategy” in 1968 that competed with
Wallace for support from whites who thought that blacks had gotten too much. Similarly,
George H. W. Bush’s “Willy Horton” campaign ads in the 1988 campaign stirred racial
antagonisms. But there has been more focus on cultural resentments. For example, in a 1988
debate, Bush reflected Republicans’ increasing appeals to “average Americans” as opposed
to cultural and intellectual elites. He chided Democrat Michael Dukakis, governor of
Massachusetts, for supposedly using the word “phony, or one of those marvelous Boston
adjectives.” When people booed, Bush said, “The people of Massachusetts may not like it,
but the rest of the country will understand,” clearly defining himself and his supporters as
different from Eastern elites. (Strange, perhaps, from a man with inherited wealth, born in
Boston, and educated at Andover and Yale).
nonwhite immigrants and Muslims. Interestingly, in his later campaigns, Wallace moved
back toward his more traditional economic populist roots. Columnist Jack Newfield noted
in 1971 that Wallace was beginning to sound more like William Jennings Bryan. In contrast,
Trump’s focus has consistently been on immigrants. He rose to political prominence with
his repeated assertions that Barack Obama was not a true American, and therefore not
a legitimate US president, because he was born in Africa and/or that he had become an
Indonesian citizen during his childhood. In a masterstroke, he blew racist, anti-immigrant,
and anti-Muslim dog whistles.
In addition to assimilating some of the rhetorical populism of George Wallace, Trump’s
concoction of populism has emphasized issues of procedural justice, and how unfair deci-
sions by authorities have created relative deprivation for Americans. He has attacked
NAFTA, the Iran Nuclear agreement, the Trans-Pacific Partnership trade agreement, and
the Paris Climate Accord as rip-offs for the United States. In every instance, American
elites, especially President Obama and his administration, have been outmaneuvered by
foreigners. The villains in these portrayals are both liberals and people from other countries
who have used unfair procedures to disadvantage the United States. Similarly, countries in
the NATO alliance are routinely accused of “ripping off” the United States by not paying
their fair share of their own defense.
Issues of procedural justice are even more prominent in some of Trump’s treatment of
groups within the United States. The terms “unfair” or “unfairly” loom large. In May 2017,
Trump spoke to New York City policemen and told them that they had been treated
unfairly by the Black Lives Matter movement and its liberal supporters. In August
of that year, he pardoned Arizona sheriff Joe Arpaio, implying that the justice system
had treated him disrespectfully. In April 2018, he pardoned Scooter Libby, former Vice
President Dick Cheney’s chief of staff, saying that while he didn’t know Libby, “for years,
I have heard that he has been treated unfairly.” The next month Trump pardoned the
conservative activist Dinesh D’Souza, and considered extending clemency to former
Illinois Governor Rod Blagojevich, and lifestyle author and commentator Martha
Stewart. Trump said that D’Souza “was very unfairly treated,” that Blagojevich’s conviction
was “really unfair,” and that Martha Stewart was “harshly and unfairly treated”
(Baker, 2018). And Trump and his supporters repeatedly assert that Trump himself is
treated unfairly by the non-Fox News media.
The populism of George Wallace, some elements of the late twentieth century Republican
Party (not to be confused with the earlier Republican Party of Thomas Jefferson, or the quite
different Republican Party of Abraham Lincoln and Theodore Roosevelt), and the politics of
Donald Trump have shifted the discourse from a largely economic one to predominantly
nativist, racial, and cultural themes. Accordingly, added to Jeffersonian–Jacksonian rhetoric
of economic domination and exploitation, is a narrative of unfairly made decisions that favor
various minorities. Similar to the way Jeffersonians felt that they better represented the “spirit
of 76,” and were thus in some ways truer Americans, the Wallace-Trump slogans of “Stand
Up for America” and “Make America Great Again” imply that their supporters embody the
best of American exceptionalism. Their populism makes a certain kind of ingroup identity
salient. Their rhetoric validates that ingroup identity and its associated beliefs. Democratic
Party rhetoric that characterizes Trump supporters as half composed of a basket of deplor-
ables makes that rhetorical validation powerful and likely enduring.
Funding
The author(s) received no financial support for the research, authorship, and/or publication of
this article.
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Goethals 523
Author biography
George R Goethals holds the E. Claiborne Robins Distinguished Professorship in
Leadership Studies at the University of Richmond. Previously at Williams College he
served as chair of the Department of Psychology, Acting Dean of the Faculty, Provost,
and with the encouragement and guidance of his long-time colleague and mentor, James
MacGregor Burns, founding chair of the Program in Leadership Studies. With Georgia
Sorenson and Burns, he edited the Encyclopedia of Leadership (2004). Goethals’ recent
scholarship includes Heroic Leadership: An Influence Taxonomy of 100 Exceptional
Individuals (2013, with Scott T. Allison), Presidential Leadership and African Americans:
“An American Dilemma” from Slavery to the White House (2015), and Realignment,
Region and Race: Presidential Leadership and Social Identity (2018).