It cannot be denied, that inflation, in general terms, has an impact on people’s lives and the state of an economy. Inflation is characterised by the increase in prices and services over a period of time as well as the erosion of prices of loans and bonds, however the real effects on the economy involve more than just a rise in price levels. Depending on the actual level of inflation and the state of an economy, inflation can affect many factors in the external economic and social environment, such as the growth of an economy, output levels, investment, efficiency or rate of capital accumulation. Furthermore, inflation is dependent on the time span and levels of the inflation – certain countries during certain periods of time in Latin America and namely Israel, have had higher levels of inflation for some years. This had for some time had not affected the economy negatively, however with time, this changed in some cases, for the worse. A quote that encompasses most factors under high inflation comes from J.M. Keynes who states where « … (when) the real value of the currency fluctuates wildly from month to month, all permanent relations between debtors and creditors (…) become so utterly disordered as to be almost meaningless; and the process of wealth-getting degenerates into a gamble and a lottery.»1
The topic of negative economic and social implications of high
inflation has been researched by scholars and academics alike. Empirical evidence collected by these researchers has tended to show fundamental relationships, which will be discussed: namely the ‘inflation and growth’ (M. Bruno and W. Easterly; S. Fischer); ‘inflation and social factors’ (D. Elson and N. Cagatay; W. Easterly; S. Fischer)
However, it has been often debated to these relationships. It must be
said that it is known for Historically, there have been many occurances of high inflation, in some cases catastrophic hyperinflation in the XX century, and have had damaging effects on economies and society. Yet we must state that fact that, for instance, in the 1960s during the age of the Phillips Curve, it was understood by Tobin and Sidrausky, that the higher level of inflation experienced by a country was seen to be beneficial and a positive relationship could be established between that and the growth rate in an economy, regardless of the time span and of previous historical events. At the time, there were even no IMF papers to suggest a relationship between inflation and growth2. Yet with time, as it showed after the numerous events of the 1970s, academics had come to understand that there were underlying and visible negative relationships between inflation and the economy and growth of it.
1 M Bruno, W Easterly, 1996. Inflation and Growth: In Search of a Stable Relationship. Federal Reserve Bank of St.Louis, May/June 1996. p. I 2 Ibidem p.I