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Investments
Introduction
In the U.S. alone, there are approximately 8,000 mutual funds, 8,000 hedge funds, 4,000
funds of funds, plus numerous other types of investment accounts. Regarding mutual funds,
there are approximately 8,500 publicly traded companies in the U.S., many of which are not
widely traded due to company size or their presence in the OTC market. To develop my own
actively managed “fund”, there are numerous facets of investing and portfolio management that
must be researched. This paper will review the development and management of an investment
Investment Research
To determine what I would want in my portfolio, I needed to conduct research into the
different asset classes that comprise investment portfolios, such as equities, fixed income, real
Asset Classes
Before you develop an investment portfolio, you have to determine what kind of assets
that you want in it. The average American is familiar with the “stock” market through the wide
adoption of 401k retirement plan accounts and self-managed individual retirement accounts. The
primary asset classes that investors deal in are equities, fixed income, real estate, commodities,
etc.
Equities. Equities is another name for stock, which is more commonly used by the non-
investing public. Equity represents ownership of some portion of an asset. It is tied directly to
the assets of a company or venture. While the average return on equities is higher than that of
bonds, they are much more volatile, which explains why there are nearly as many equity mutual
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funds as there are quality publicly traded companies. People and companies that invest in equity
are usually looking to capital appreciation for profit and dividends for income.
Fixed Income. Investments in fixed income instruments are not designed to provide capital
appreciation (although opportunities occur). Bonds, certificates of deposit, money market funds
and investment trusts are the more common forms of fixed income investments. Bondholders
receive a fixed income payment based on the amount of money invested with a company and the
interest rate of the debt instrument, plus it has a higher claim on the assets of a company in the
event of liquidation or reorganization than shareholders have. The more common types of bonds
are U.S. Treasuries, municipal tax exempt, municipal revenue, mortgage-backed securities and
corporate. The higher the risk, the higher the return, in general.
Real Estate. When the stock markets are especially volatile or uncertain, many investors retreat
to U.S. Treasuries to preserve principal and for those who seek higher returns, they turn to real
estate, which is what occurred after the technology stock bubble burst in 2001. Real estate is
often held in partnerships. Other forms are in equity companies that specialize in real estate and
Commodities. There are so many items that qualify as commodities. Some of the more common
commodities that are invested in are oil, natural gas, gold, silver, wheat and corn. The
investments are made directly and through derivative contracts called futures. This type of
investment is for the savvier investor and also includes a lot of volatility.
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Investment Sectors
Investments can also be classified by the types of businesses conducted by various companies.
The common sector groups are utilities (communications, water, electrical natural gas), energy
(oil and natural gas services), financials (banks, insurance, investments, real estate), industrial
consumer durables (auto, housewares, conglomerates, rubber, shoes) , consumer staples (food,
cosmetics, grooming, tobacco), services (transportation, hotels, restaurant, business and personal
services), retail (apparel, department stores, food stores, miscellaneous shops), health
The sectors can then also be broken into industries. It would seem that most investment
managers that are involved in industry or sector funds have some specific industry expertise that
Portfolio Construction
Before you can put a portfolio together, you have to set investment goals, risk tolerance,
and portfolio type. Next, you have to select your stocks and determine what indices are
Currently, I am a single mother with a daughter who works for the federal government.
10%. To have the chance of producing that range of returns with diversification, I need to have a
higher tolerance for risk. Therefore, I would expect to invest in some stocks that have betas of
3
Selecting a Portfolio Type
In my research, I decided that the best way for me to push for my return is to take an income-
equity approach. Overall, stocks that pay dividends produce higher returns in the long run. This
would also involve be a slightly speculative approach to managing the portfolio based on
behavioral finance, which will be discussed in more detail later in the paper. I basically plan on
having an initial portfolio that consists of roughly half high income producing stocks and growth
stocks. My portfolio will be created with $25,000 in capital and will use margin purchasing,
To select stocks for my portfolio, I reviewed MSN’s and Yahoo!Finance’s stock screens. I
decided to use MSN because it more user friendly than the Yahoo!Finance version, which needs
to open a separate Java-run window with nothing in it that you can’t close. I also didn’t find it
much more useful, although it looks better aesthetically. The screens run for income and growth
stocks are presented below (the screen results are provided in Appendix A).
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The initial stocks selected are presented in the table below. The one exception to the stock
screens was the initial purchase of Avon stock because I am an Avon Sales Representative. The
stock was sold within a couple of days. The income stocks/funds were initially selected based on
their dividend yield. However, I reviewed each stock/fund in depth more to make sure that I was
comfortable with the selection. Therefore, the initial income selections do not represent the five
highest yields. The same approach was taken for growth stocks.
basket of assets. The RiskGrades reports in Appendix D compare my portfolio to the S&P 500
as a benchmark. While that may be an appropriate benchmark for overall performance against
one of the market indices (the Dow Jones Industrial Average and NASDAQ also being popular),
it is not an apples to apples comparison. To do that, I had to identify the kind of portfolio that I
had assembled. I first identified other equity-income funds and found that my portfolio was
closest to a Large Cap Value fund. Therefore, I compared my portfolio against two large cap
value asset class benchmarks – Russell 1000 Value Index and the MSCI Large Cap Value Index,
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Portfolio Management
decisions for investing – market timing, security selection and asset allocation. Market timing is
difficult (practitioners of technical analysis may disagree) because you are attempting to predict
the future price AND movement of stocks. For security selection, the overall record of active
managers is spotty and mixed, at best. There are some managers who consistently do above
average, such as Peter Lynch from Fidelity. However, the careful screening of mutual funds will
show that most perform subpar over long periods of time due to the risk-return relationship in
their investments. For my portfolio, the holdings will change based on the condition of the
companies in the portfolio and on short-term opportunities due to behavioral finance driven
investment opportunities.
Behavioral finance is the growing theory that’s taking the considerable evidence that
casts a challenge against the concept of market efficiency. While the efficient market theory
looks for a rational mathematical model to explain fluctuations in asset prices behavioral finance
looks t psychology to explain asset valuation and why prices rise and fall (Ritter, Jay, 2003, p.
429).
Cognitive psychology is how people think, which supports that investors’ emotions and
biases affect stock prices and markets (Jones, Charles, 2010, p. 318). People make systematic
errors in the way that they think; some are overconfident, at times they put too much weight on
recent events happening (Jones, Charles, 2010, p.318). Per, Charles Jones, “Investors are
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judgment, may be able to make a profit” (2010, p.318). There are a number of biases that can
possibly affect an investor’s decision: loss aversion, overconfidence, framing, and herding effect.
The loss aversion “refers to the tendency that investors strongly prefer avoiding losses as
opposed to achieving an equivalent amount of gains” (Jones, Charles, 2010, p.319). Per Jones,
almost 50 percent investors are most likely to sell stocks when they should keep them rather than
getting rid of the useless stocks. Overconfidence is one of the biases that can affect an investors
ability that drives investors to make decisions that can detrimental to their investments.
Investors could potentially invest too little into diversification, because of tendency to invest too
much in one thing that is familiar to them or a stock that is receiving a lot of attention from other
investors. Investors tend to invest in local companies even though it may not be the best decision
The framing is the notion that how a concept is presented to individuals matters. For
example, some movie goers may prefer to save money to see a matinee movie that is earlier in
the day rather than going later in the evening that will cost them additional money to see that
exact movie. They will get more business if people are feeling that they are getting a discount at
off-peak times rather than paying additional money at peak periods. The herding effect, is
explained in our text as, “when money managers in proximity to each other, invest similarly,
The brief introduction to behavioral finance has only touched on a few points. It is very
difficult to find trading strategies that reliably make money. This does not imply that financial
markets are efficient. Behavioral finance is not a separate discipline, but instead will
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Selecting New Stocks
My use of behavioral finance concepts seeks superior return investment opportunities that
will rely upon publicly available news data. Examples of behavioral finance investment
opportunities include events such as the conviction of Martha Stewart on insider trading of IM
Clone or the conviction of the CEO of Tyco for tax evasion. Knee-jerk market reactions to news
BP is one of the stocks that were purchased under this approach. The stock had dropped
to $29 per share to rebound to $39 per share, plus the eventual reinstatement of dividends will
ultimately yield approximately 9% for investors who bought the stock during at its price before
the oil well explosion. Another stock bought under that approach was Hewlett-Packard. The
CEO had to resign due to falsifying expense reports to hide his relationship with a marketing
consultant. Other purchases included Exxon-Mobil, an ING investment fund, Apple, Ford, and a
Portfolio Performance
Reflecting its S&P Beta, the portfolio I created fared worse than the broader indices, but
not much worse. I believe the results would have been more favorable if the period were
Calculating total returns is one way to figure out exactly how much money you’ve made
or lost on your investment. To calculate this figure, you have to determine how much money
you originally invested and then factor in other components such as, interest, dividends, and
appreciation or depreciation.
The average total daily return for the portfolio was -0.926%.
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Risk and Return
The riskiness of the portfolio was tracked each day, as well as its beta vis-à-vis the S&P
500 and its diversification benefit. As the portfolio was managed, the decisions made reduced
the risk and increased the diversity benefits. However, there were a couple of stock purchases
that caused the risk (by RiskGrades Score) to rise towards the end of the portfolio period. This
problem was alleviated by the end of the period, but the charts below will display how the
145
140
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Score
130
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110
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S&P Beta Over Time
1.35
1.30
1.25
Score
1.20
1.15
1.10
1.05
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The portfolio had a mean daily return of -0.962%, a variance of 0.059% and a standard
deviation of 2.426%. This is significantly greater than the benchmarks or the S&P 500. The
Benchmark Comparisons
Cap Value funds. The chart below shows how my portfolio compared to the two asset class
1.00
Net Portfolio Value
0.95
Russell 1000 Value
0.90 Index
MSCI Large Cap
0.85 Value Index
S&P 500
0.80
7/ 010
7/ 010
8/ 10
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0
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Date
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Conclusion
Although the portfolio did not do well over the three-week period, it is designed to
generate income while hunting for growth opportunities. If the resulting portfolio on the last day
of tracking (August 13, 2010) had been the portfolio from the beginning, then the portfolio
would have been very similar to the benchmarks and the S&P 500. Understanding behavioral
finance concepts can allow investors to periodically seek superior returns without significantly
increasing the risk of their portfolios because emotional and biased framework responses to
market news are not necessarily indicative of fundamental issues with a company.
This is exemplified in the rebound of the BP stock after it stopped the oil well leak.
During the leak, no one used less oil and there were few, if any protests/boycotts of BP gas
stations. Its financial picture is sound, even with the $20 billion it will ultimately contribute to a
clean-up fund.
This research also highlighted to me how complex portfolio calculations become once
you go beyond the two-stock model. Most importantly, it has also led me to believe that there
are some investment managers who can “beat” the market, but that they are few and far between
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Appendix A
Appendix A shows the results of the stock screens used to identify portfolio stocks.
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Growth Stock Screen
Symbol Company Retail Price Market Cap Beta 5 yr Growth
LFC China Life Insurance Company Li 66.83 126.41B 1.37 213.46%
HDB HDFC Bank Limited Common Stock 152.71 23.30B 1.88 20.22%
HLF Herbalife Ltd. Common Stock 50.10 3.00B 1.95 22.05%
KB KB Financial Group Inc 43.31 14.86B 2.29 18.63%
MORN Morningstar, Inc. 45.54 2.24B 1.30 23.76%
UEPS Net 1 UEPS Technologies, Inc. 14.19 643.92M 1.38 14.37%
SHG Shinhan Financial Group Co Ltd 82.58 19.58B 2.03 11.92%
SCL Stepan Company Common Stock 71.55 716.09M 1.44 28.59%
SYX Systemax Inc. Common Stock 16.47 603.91M 1.66 25.30%
GRA W.R. Grace & Company Common Stock 25.38 1.84B 2.69 35.11%
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Appendix B
Appendix B shows the trade transactions during the three week portfolio period.
Action
Execution Date Description Quantity Description Price Commission Reg Fees Total Cost
8/12/2010 14:53 Buy 300 IGD - ING GLOBAL EQUITY DIVIDEND AND $10.70 $9.95 $0.00 ($3,219.95)
PREMIUM OPPORTUNITY FUND
8/12/2010 14:44 Sell 100 FRO - FRONTLINE LTD $29.44 $9.95 $0.05 $2,934.00
8/12/2010 14:43 Sell 147 SYX - SYSTEMAX INC $13.17 $9.95 $0.04 $1,926.00
8/11/2010 12:26 Buy 300 F - FORD MOTOR COMPANY $12.50 $9.95 $0.00 ($3,759.95)
8/11/2010 12:26 Sell 30 LFC - CHINA LIFE INSURANCE COMPANY $64.93 $9.95 $0.04 $1,937.91
LIMITED
8/10/2010 10:11 Buy 100 HPQ - HEWLETT PACKARD CO $42.74 $9.95 $0.00 ($4,283.95)
8/10/2010 10:10 Sell 495 CIM - CHIMERA INVESTMENT $3.89 $9.95 $0.04 $1,915.56
CORPORATION
8/9/2010 14:20 Buy 100 GRA - W R GRACE AND CO $27.26 $9.95 $0.00 ($2,735.95)
8/9/2010 14:20 Buy 21 SCL - STEPAN COMPANY $64.14 $9.95 $0.00 ($1,356.89)
8/9/2010 14:19 Buy 389 PHK - PIMCO HIGH INCOME FUND $13.60 $9.95 $0.00 ($5,300.35)
8/9/2010 14:19 Buy 46 FRO - FRONTLINE LTD $31.50 $9.95 $0.00 ($1,458.95)
8/9/2010 14:19 Buy 127 BP - BP PLC $41.33 $9.95 $0.00 ($5,258.86)
8/9/2010 14:18 Buy 7 AAPL - APPLE INC $261.02 $9.95 $0.00 ($1,837.09)
8/6/2010 9:30 Buy 105 POM - PEPCO HOLDINGS INC $17.19 $9.95 $0.00 ($1,814.90)
8/6/2010 9:30 Sell 118 MTA - MAGYAR TELEKOM $15.80 $9.95 $0.04 $1,854.41
TELECOMMUNICATIONS PLC
8/5/2010 9:30 Buy 3 AAPL - APPLE INC $261.44 $9.95 $0.00 ($794.27)
8/5/2010 9:30 Sell 32 PVX - PROVIDENT ENERGY TRUST $6.78 $9.95 $0.01 $207.00
8/4/2010 9:30 Buy 122 UTF - COHEN AND STEERS $14.84 $9.95 $0.00 ($1,820.43)
INFRASTRUCTURE FUND INC
8/4/2010 9:30 Sell 300 PVX - PROVIDENT ENERGY TRUST $6.75 $9.95 $0.04 $2,015.01
8/3/2010 0:00
8/2/2010 9:57 Buy 23 BP - BP PLC $39.24 $9.95 $0.00 ($912.47)
7/30/2010 10:19 Buy 30 XOM - EXXON MOBIL CORP $60.19 $9.95 $0.00 ($1,815.65)
7/30/2010 10:13 Sell 150 AVP - AVON PRODUCTS INC $30.15 $9.95 $0.08 $4,512.47
7/30/2010 9:30 Sell 58 GRA - W R GRACE AND CO $24.63 $9.95 $0.03 $1,418.56
7/28/2010 11:04 Sell 50 AVP - AVON PRODUCTS INC $29.93 $9.95 $0.03 $1,486.52
7/27/2010 9:30 Buy 158 GRA - W R GRACE AND CO $26.46 $9.95 $0.00 ($4,190.63)
7/27/2010 9:30 Buy 54 FRO - FRONTLINE LTD $33.91 $9.95 $0.00 ($1,841.09)
7/27/2010 9:30 Buy 147 SYX - SYSTEMAX INC $17.15 $9.95 $0.00 ($2,531.00)
7/27/2010 9:30 Buy 29 SCL - STEPAN COMPANY $71.43 $9.95 $0.00 ($2,081.42)
7/27/2010 9:30 Buy 161 PHK - PIMCO HIGH INCOME FUND $12.75 $9.95 $0.00 ($2,062.70)
7/27/2010 9:30 Buy 332 PVX - PROVIDENT ENERGY TRUST $6.85 $9.95 $0.00 ($2,284.15)
7/27/2010 9:30 Buy 495 CIM - CHIMERA INVESTMENT $3.92 $9.95 $0.00 ($1,950.35)
CORPORATION
7/27/2010 9:30 Buy 118 MTA - MAGYAR TELEKOM $15.69 $9.95 $0.00 ($1,861.37)
TELECOMMUNICATIONS PLC
7/27/2010 9:30 Buy 44 MORN - MORNINGSTAR INC $46.02 $9.95 $0.00 ($2,034.83)
7/27/2010 9:30 Buy 30 LFC - CHINA LIFE INSURANCE COMPANY $67.69 $9.95 $0.00 ($2,040.65)
LIMITED
7/26/2010 0:00 Buy 200 AVP - AVON PRODUCTS INC $29.65 $9.95 $0.00 ($5,930.00)
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Appendix C
Appendix C provides the portfolio calculations on the last day of the portfolio as well as
Covariance – The covariance of the portfolio was calculated using the excel data
analysis toolpak. The matrix was created by taking the covariance table and copying
a transposed version over the excel output. This allows for portfolio mean, variance
Portfolio Mean Return – The mean was calculated by using the excel MMULT
Variance and Standard Deviation – The variance was calculated by using a nested
MMULT excel formula to use the covariance matrix and the portfolio weights to
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The table below presents the covariance matrix created and the resulting statistical analysis.
Covariance Matrix
AAPL BP F GRA HPQ IGD MORN PHK POM SCL UTF XOM
AAPL 0.000174 0.000054 0.000159 0.000134 0.000201 0.000070 0.000146 0.000123 0.000132 0.000067 0.000112 0.000112
BP 0.000054 0.000357 0.000109 0.000091 -0.000001 0.000062 0.000167 0.000073 0.000029 0.000120 0.000142 0.000069
F 0.000159 0.000109 0.000261 0.000219 0.000134 0.000090 0.000195 0.000127 0.000131 0.000148 0.000125 0.000118
GRA 0.000134 0.000091 0.000219 0.000326 0.000118 0.000074 0.000230 0.000108 0.000079 0.000284 0.000107 0.000075
HPQ 0.000201 -0.000001 0.000134 0.000118 0.000882 0.000103 0.000226 0.000061 0.000160 0.000112 0.000153 0.000240
IGD 0.000070 0.000062 0.000090 0.000074 0.000103 0.000056 0.000092 0.000042 0.000056 0.000072 0.000072 0.000052
MORN 0.000146 0.000167 0.000195 0.000230 0.000226 0.000092 0.000253 0.000099 0.000101 0.000263 0.000137 0.000126
PHK 0.000123 0.000073 0.000127 0.000108 0.000061 0.000042 0.000099 0.000146 0.000103 0.000075 0.000084 0.000048
POM 0.000132 0.000029 0.000131 0.000079 0.000160 0.000056 0.000101 0.000103 0.000163 -0.000003 0.000093 0.000081
SCL 0.000067 0.000120 0.000148 0.000284 0.000112 0.000072 0.000263 0.000075 -0.000003 0.000573 0.000060 0.000101
UTF 0.000112 0.000142 0.000125 0.000107 0.000153 0.000072 0.000137 0.000084 0.000093 0.000060 0.000125 0.000078
XOM 0.000112 0.000069 0.000118 0.000075 0.000240 0.000052 0.000126 0.000048 0.000081 0.000101 0.000078 0.000161
mean -0.1602%
variance 0.0127%
std. dev 1.1262%
Total Return – Daily (Last Day Portfolio)
Date AAPL BP F GRA HPQ IGD MORN PHK POM SCL UTF XOM S&P 500
7/26/2010 259.28 38.65 12.94 25.84 46.57 10.73 46.02 12.56 17.07 70.00 14.40 59.96 1,115.01
7/27/2010 264.08 38.00 13.03 25.76 47.57 10.81 45.75 12.63 17.42 65.82 14.51 60.38 1,079.25
7/28/2010 260.96 37.71 12.91 25.16 47.13 10.81 44.86 12.68 17.33 65.40 14.34 60.48 1,083.61
7/29/2010 258.11 38.47 12.97 25.47 46.41 10.84 45.02 12.69 17.04 65.34 14.38 59.91 1,089.47
7/30/2010 257.25 38.47 12.77 25.67 46.04 10.94 45.10 12.70 16.91 66.01 14.46 59.26 1,121.06
8/2/2010 261.85 39.42 13.16 26.23 47.56 11.01 46.50 12.83 17.18 67.47 14.73 61.50 1,127.79
8/3/2010 261.93 40.00 12.91 25.82 47.36 11.00 45.87 12.91 17.17 65.90 14.82 62.27 1,121.64
8/4/2010 262.98 39.39 13.11 26.74 46.77 10.99 45.74 13.14 17.28 65.89 14.80 62.27 1,125.81
8/5/2010 261.70 40.68 12.98 26.74 46.35 10.95 45.66 13.22 17.23 64.12 14.90 62.26 1,127.24
8/6/2010 260.09 41.33 13.04 26.78 41.85 10.96 45.25 13.35 17.33 63.09 14.89 61.53 1,120.46
8/9/2010 261.75 40.86 13.05 27.39 42.60 11.00 45.92 13.47 17.56 64.88 14.91 62.01 1,125.86
8/10/2010 259.41 40.11 12.92 26.77 42.33 10.98 44.71 13.42 17.70 61.71 14.90 61.49 1,101.60
8/11/2010 250.19 38.79 12.41 26.07 40.77 10.79 43.11 12.96 17.22 59.76 14.43 60.39 1,101.53
8/12/2010 251.79 38.38 12.27 25.88 40.14 10.70 42.81 13.22 17.26 59.06 14.31 60.23 1,106.13
8/13/2010 249.10 38.93 12.15 25.71 40.45 10.71 42.77 13.25 17.52 57.84 14.37 59.91 1,113.84
Dividends
7/26/2010
7/27/2010
7/28/2010
7/29/2010
7/30/2010
8/2/2010 0.100
8/3/2010
8/4/2010
8/5/2010
8/6/2010
8/9/2010
8/10/2010 0.122
8/11/2010 0.440
8/12/2010
8/13/2010
Average -0.277% 0.069% -0.436% -0.020% -0.955% 0.054% -0.509% 0.455% 0.194% -1.325% -0.009% 0.054% 0.002%
Variance 0.019% 0.038% 0.028% 0.035% 0.095% 0.006% 0.027% 0.016% 0.018% 0.062% 0.013% 0.017% 0.020%
Std. Dev. 1.370% 1.960% 1.678% 1.875% 3.083% 0.779% 1.652% 1.254% 1.324% 2.484% 1.161% 1.318% 1.410%
Weight 5.955% 13.961% 8.714% 12.294% 9.671% 7.682% 4.499% 17.423% 4.398% 6.914% 4.191% 4.297%
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Benchmark Comparisons (Actual Portfolio)
MSCI Large
Net Portfolio Russell 1000 Cap Value
Date Value Value Index Index S&P 500
7/26/2010 24,996.05 572.73 1,382.55 1,115.01
7/27/2010 24,272.56 572.58 1,384.58 1,079.25
7/28/2010 23,984.76 568.00 1,375.49 1,083.61
7/29/2010 24,172.93 566.21 1,371.98 1,089.47
7/30/2010 24,092.09 566.35 1,371.39 1,121.06
8/2/2010 24,606.85 579.19 1,402.74 1,127.79
8/3/2010 24,424.73 575.71 1,397.12 1,121.64
8/4/2010 24,507.12 578.65 1,404.13 1,125.81
8/5/2010 24,449.45 577.92 1,403.94 1,127.24
8/6/2010 24,397.36 575.68 1,397.60 1,120.46
8/9/2010 24,550.78 578.84 1,404.67 1,125.86
8/10/2010 23,896.93 575.17 1,397.95 1,101.60
8/11/2010 21,971.65 558.29 1,360.01 1,101.53
8/12/2010 21,858.15 556.59 1,357.01 1,106.13
8/13/2010 21,856.51 554.90 1,352.48 1,113.84
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Cumulative Wealth Index Data
MSCI Large
Net Portfolio Russell 1000 Cap Value
Date Value Value Index Index S&P 500
7/27/2010 0.971 1.000 1.001 0.968
7/28/2010 0.960 0.992 0.995 0.972
7/29/2010 0.967 0.989 0.992 0.977
7/30/2010 0.964 0.989 0.992 1.005
8/2/2010 0.984 1.011 1.015 1.011
8/3/2010 0.977 1.005 1.011 1.006
8/4/2010 0.980 1.010 1.016 1.010
8/5/2010 0.978 1.009 1.015 1.011
8/6/2010 0.976 1.005 1.011 1.005
8/9/2010 0.982 1.011 1.016 1.010
8/10/2010 0.956 1.004 1.011 0.988
8/11/2010 0.879 0.975 0.984 0.988
8/12/2010 0.874 0.972 0.982 0.992
8/13/2010 0.874 0.969 0.978 0.999
18
Appendix D
Appendix D shows the RiskGrades.com reports for each day of the portfolio, showing
July 27th
19
Risk Risk Market
XLoss™
Grade™ Impact™ Value
Asset Class July 27
RiskGrade
Select statistic to view:
20
RiskGrade
Select statistic to view:
Results
RiskRanking Chart
Minimum RiskGrade in the group: 66. Maximum RiskGrade in the group: 861.
Average RiskGrade: 168.
21
July 28
22
Risk Risk Market
XLoss™
Grade™ Impact™ Value
Asset Class July 28
RiskGrade
Select statistic to view:
RiskGrade
Select statistic to view:
23
This portfolio's RiskGrade™ of 140 suggests
Speculative Plan investment strategy.
Diversification benefits have lowered this portfolio's
risk by 23%.
This portfolio is 1.32 times as volatile as the S&P -
S&P 500 Index.
24
GRA 227 21% $215 $4,062
PHK 112 4% $84 $2,133
PVX 147 6% $97 $2,112
LFC 113 5% $73 $1,928
CIM 139 5% $100 $1,916
SYX 370 15% $125 $1,890
MORN 112 5% $50 $1,882
MTA 194 7% $103 $1,765
SCL 226 7% $95 $1,677
FRO 240 8% $94 $1,571
RiskGrade
Select statistic to view:
Results
RiskRanking Chart
Minimum RiskGrade in the group: 66. Maximum RiskGrade in the group: 861.
Average RiskGrade: 168.
25
July 30
26
Risk Risk Market
XLoss™
Grade™ Impact™ Value
Asset Class July 30
RiskGrade
Select statistic to view:
RiskGrade
Select statistic to view:
27
Comparison of Portfolio(July 30) against the stocks in S&P 500.
RiskRanking Chart
Minimum RiskGrade in the group: 66. Maximum RiskGrade in the group: 861.
Average RiskGrade: 168.
28
August 2
29
Risk Risk Market
XLoss™
Grade™ Impact™ Value
Asset Class August 2
RiskGrade
Select statistic to view:
RiskGrade
Select statistic to view:
30
Comparison of Portfolio(August 2) against the stocks in S&P 500.
RiskRanking Chart
Minimum RiskGrade in the group: 66. Maximum RiskGrade in the group: 861.
Average RiskGrade: 168.
August 4
31
This portfolio's RiskGrade™ of 133 suggests
Speculative Plan investment strategy.
Diversification benefits have lowered this portfolio's
risk by 26%.
This portfolio is 1.25 times as volatile as the S&P -
S&P 500 Index.
32
RiskGrade
Select statistic to view:
RiskGrade
Select statistic to view:
33
Results
RiskRanking Chart
August 5
34
This portfolio's RiskGrade™ of 132 suggests
Speculative Plan investment strategy.
Diversification benefits have lowered this portfolio's
risk by 26%.
This portfolio is 1.24 times as volatile as the S&P -
S&P 500 Index.
RiskGrade
Select statistic to view:
35
PHK 112 5% $84 $2,133
LFC 113 6% $73 $1,928
CIM 139 6% $100 $1,916
SYX 370 18% $125 $1,890
MORN 112 6% $50 $1,882
XOM 108 5% $50 $1,797
MTA 194 9% $103 $1,765
UTF 117 6% $63 $1,753
SCL 226 9% $95 $1,677
FRO 240 11% $94 $1,571
GRA 227 10% $79 $1,491
BP 297 3% $66 $895
AAPL 135 2% $29 $747
RiskGrade
Select statistic to view:
August 6
36
This portfolio's RiskGrade™ of 126 suggests
Speculative Plan investment strategy.
Diversification benefits have lowered this portfolio's
risk by 26%.
This portfolio is 1.19 times as volatile as the S&P -
S&P 500 Index.
37
Asset Class August 6
RiskGrade
Select statistic to view:
RiskGrade
Select statistic to view:
38
Comparison of Portfolio(August 6) against the stocks in S&P 500.
RiskRanking Chart
Minimum RiskGrade in the group: 66. Maximum RiskGrade in the group: 861.
Average RiskGrade: 168.
August 9
39
This portfolio's RiskGrade™ of 125 suggests Speculative
Plan investment strategy.
Diversification benefits have lowered this portfolio's risk by
31%.
This portfolio is 1.18 times as volatile as the S&P - S&P 500
Index.
RiskGrade
Select statistic to view:
40
Risk Risk Market
XLoss™
Grade™ Impact™ Value
Instrument August 9
RiskGrade
Select statistic to view:
Results
Minimum RiskGrade in the group: 66. Maximum RiskGrade in the group: 861.
Average RiskGrade: 168.
41
August 10
42
Risk Risk Market
XLoss™
Grade™ Impact™ Value
Asset Class August 10
RiskGrade
Select statistic to view:
RiskGrade
Select statistic to view:
43
This portfolio's RiskGrade™ of 131 suggests
Speculative Plan investment strategy.
Diversification benefits have lowered this portfolio's
risk by 29%.
This portfolio is 1.24 times as volatile as the S&P -
S&P 500 Index.
RiskGrade
Select statistic to view:
44
Risk Risk Market
XLoss™
Grade™ Impact™ Value
Instrument August 10
RiskGrade
Select statistic to view:
45
Results
Minimum RiskGrade in the group: 66. Maximum RiskGrade in the group: 861.
Average RiskGrade: 168.
August 11
46
Risk Risk Market
XLoss™
Grade™ Impact™ Value
Asset Class August 11
RiskGrade
Select statistic to view:
47
POM 113 3% $56 $1,840
XOM 108 3% $50 $1,797
UTF 117 4% $63 $1,753
AAPL 135 3% $67 $1,744
FRO 240 5% $80 $1,338
SCL 226 3% $68 $1,215
RiskGrade
Select statistic to view:
Results
RiskRanking Chart
Minimum RiskGrade in the group: 66. Maximum RiskGrade in the group: 861.
Average RiskGrade: 168.
August 12
48
This portfolio's RiskGrade™ of 123 suggests
Speculative Plan investment strategy.
Diversification benefits have lowered this portfolio's
risk by 28%.
This portfolio is 1.16 times as volatile as the S&P -
S&P 500 Index.
49
Grade™ Impact™ Value
Asset Class August 12
RiskGrade
Select statistic to view:
RiskGrade
Select statistic to view:
50
Results
RiskRanking Chart
References
http://www.icifactbook.org/
Jones, Charles P., 2010. Investments, Analysis and Management, John Wiley & Sons, Inc.
'http://www.mscibarra.com/products/indices/domestic_equity_indices/us/performance.
html
Ritter, Jay R, 2003. "Behavorial Finance", Pacific-Basin Finance Journal, Vol. 11, No.4
http://finance.yahoo.com/q/hp?s=%5ERLV+Historical+Prices
51
Soe, A., and Dash, S. (2008). Dividend Investing, Standard & Poor's, October. Retrieved from
http://www2.standardandpoors.com/spf/pdf/index/Dividend_Investing.pdf
http://finance.yahoo.com/q/hp?s=%5EGSPC&a=06&b=26&c=2010&d=07&e=13&f=20
10&g=d
52