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Abstract: Highway capacity manuals (HCM) have incorporated the effect of heavy vehicles (HVs) in the form of passenger car equivalents
(PCEs) for estimating highway traffic conditions, which include the road’s slopes, the length of the road, the geographical characteristics, and
the ratio of HVs to other types of vehicles on the road. The PCEs of HVs are critical for designing, operating, and evaluating highways. In
order to analyze the effects of HVs on highway traffic flow, the real-time automatic vehicle classification (AVC) data were collected for three
different major highways (four-lane, six-lane, and eight-lane highways, respectively) in the Seoul metropolitan area for the 2 months from
August to September 2011. The purpose of this study was to examine the effect of HVs on traffic flows using real-time AVC data and to
analyze the relationship among the average speed, the HV ratio, the flow rate, and the number of lanes. The findings revealed that the average
speed decreased when the flow rate and HV ratio increased for the six-lane and the eight-lane highways. The average speed also decreased as
the flow rate increased for the four-lane highway. However, the average speed stabilized when the HV ratio was in the range of 25–45% and
recovered when the HV ratio exceeded 45%; this result implied a need to reexamine the existing methods of deriving the HV factors for the
HCM. DOI: 10.1061/JTEPBS.0000077. © 2017 American Society of Civil Engineers.
Author keywords: Heavy vehicles (HVs); Influence; Passenger car equivalents (PCEs); Highway.
Introduction and Research Scope Recently, a massive amount of traffic data has been collected
during a 2-month period on three major highways in the Seoul met-
The larger vehicles and their proportion in the traffic flow have sig- ropolitan area in South Korea. The unique opportunity provided by
nificantly increased over the past decades (Hobbs 2016). This trend this data set is that each of the three highways has a different num-
persists as development continues. The larger vehicles such as ber of lanes, providing a venue in which the effects of the number
heavy vehicles (HVs), recreational vehicles (RVs), and buses affect of lanes on the traffic interaction dynamics of HVs and passenger
the traffic flow due to their slow speed compared with passenger car cars can be analyzed, which in turn can help in streamlining the
speed (Wegman et al. 2012). The presence of these larger vehicles performance of the traffic overall. Most importantly, this is the larg-
in the traffic flow affects the various parameters of traffic flow. The est set of national data that has been collected with an extensive
larger vehicles, which include heavy vehicles (HVs), recreational number of physical sensors embedded in the highways across
vehicles (RVs), buses, etc., affect the traffic flow due to their slow the nation. In this study, the real-time traffic data were used to ana-
speed compared to passenger cars (Al-Kaisy and Jung 2004). As a lyze the influence of HVs on the traffic when other parameters such
result of these factors, the drivers of passenger cars are forced to as the HV ratio, traffic flow rate, and number of lanes were varied.
drive around the large vehicles. Also, the larger vehicles’ power
performance may interfere with the overall traffic flow. HCM
(1965) put forward a way to solve the problem of mixed traffic Previous Research Studies on Determinant
by using passenger car equivalents (PCEs) to convert a mixed high- Factors of Traffic Flow
way traffic flow into an equivalent standard passenger car traffic
flow (Shalini and Kumar 2014). This method may cause speed The primary traffic flow is composed of three parameters: the traffic
variation and affect the traffic flow characteristics on highways density, the speed, and the volume or rate of flow (Roess et al.
(Al-Kaisy and Hall 2003; Mauch and Cassidy 2002). 2004). Traffic density is defined as a parameter that describes
the traffic flow in an intuitive manner. However, it is difficult to
measure the traffic density directly by collecting data; therefore,
1
Senior Researcher, Highway and Transportation Research Division, as sometimes the values of a parameter are used to interpret the
Korea Institute of Civil Engineering and Building Technology, Goyang values of similar parameters, the traffic density is measured in that
411-712, Republic of Korea. E-mail: rohcg@kict.re.kr way (Haberman 1997). Traffic speed is used to analyze the road-
2 way design, and the demand and operation analyses are used as
Senior Researcher, Highway and Transportation Research Division,
Korea Institute of Civil Engineering and Building Technology, Goyang fundamental measurements of the uninterrupted traffic flow
411-712, Republic of Korea (corresponding author). E-mail: park_bumjin@ (Dey et al. 2006). The traffic speed is also used to determine
kict.re.kr the level of service (LOS) of the traffic flow and is applied in
3
Assistant Professor, College of Engineering, Architecture and Technol- the passenger car unit (PCU) (HCM 1965). The traffic volume
ogy, Oklahoma State Univ., Stillwater, OK 74078. E-mail: jongkim@
is another determinant factor for predicting the roadway condition;
okstate.edu
Note. This manuscript was submitted on August 11, 2016; approved on it explains the trends of the highways (Roess et al. 2004). It is also
April 17, 2017; published online on July 13, 2017. Discussion period used as a final decision-making tool.
open until December 13, 2017; separate discussions must be submitted Because the traffic volume explains the trends of the highway, it
for individual papers. This paper is part of the Journal of Transportation is the most useful determinant factor for the prediction and diagnosis
Engineering, Part A: Systems, © ASCE, ISSN 2473-2907. of the traffic flow condition with the speed (Roess et al. 2004).
Table 4. Effective Range of Data Screen Table 6. Number of Observations per Vehicle Ratio
Data Effective range % of heavy vehicles Observations
Volume Under 20 veh=30 s= ln (2,400 veh=h= ln) 0 6,003
Speed 0–200 km=h 5 17,497
Occupancy 0–100% 10 11,361
15 6,423
20 3,806
25 1,694
Table 5. Data Characteristics (in Free Flow Condition) Based on Vehicle 30 699
Classification 35 551
Classification PCU (small) Middle Large 40 379
45 181
Average speed (km=h) 105.4 97.2 95.1 50 504
Standard deviation (km=h) 14.5 9.9 12.5 55 27
Variance 211.7 98.9 157.3 60 135
Maximum (km=h) 200 199.0 200.0 65 23
70 199
75 122
complex. The highway section is exposed to a relatively stable HV 80 38
85 23
ratio compared to other sections. The data set was collected during
90 10
the month of October 2011 with the help of the AVC detectors in- 95 —
stalled along the six-lane section of the Pyeongtaek–Jecheon Ex- 100 349
pressway. Analyses of the data were done using 15-min-interval Total 50,024
traffic data.
of the average speed reduction across all traffic flows opens the more HVs are mixed into the traffic, the interference between
door to research opportunities for analyzing such relationships HVs and passenger cars does not seem to become much worse
under varying traffic flows. Even when the percentage of HVs ex- compared with the case of a single HV leading a platoon of pas-
ceeds 35%, the curve fluctuates and even falls at times. The error in senger cars. In other words, as the percentage of HVs increases, the
the speed reduction amount per heavy vehicle ratio was confirmed chance increases that the leading vehicle of a platoon is an HV,
by the root mean square error (RMSE), as shown in Fig. 5. The whereas adding additional HVs to the following vehicles in that
average RMSE was 0.84, with a maximum of 3.78 and a minimum platoon does not reduce the performance of the platoon as much.
of 0.01. Eq. (1) contains a level of error that can explain the effect of When the percentage of HVs increases beyond 80%, the dom-
the increase in the vehicle rate on the speed reduction inant mode of transportation in the traffic is clearly the HV, which
results in a reduction of interference between HVs and passenger
Speed reduction ½km=h cars, forcing the drivers of passenger cars to obey and follow the
HVs, which leads to slight improvements in the traffic speeds. As
2.682lnðxÞþ3.7751ðR2 ¼ 0.767Þ; whenthe%of HVsis < 35% shown in Fig. 7, for traffic flow rates of 200–300 veh=h= ln, a
¼
14.03; whenthe%of HVsis > 35% speed stabilization zone exists in about 20 to 45% HVs. In the case
ð1Þ of larger traffic flow rates of 400–1,100 veh=h= ln, as seen in
Figs. 8–11, the improving trends above a certain threshold percent-
Figs. 6–11 show the relationship between the traffic speeds and age of HVs clearly prevail while the threshold value decreases. This
the percentage of HVs as the traffic flow varies. The purpose of this result is contrary to the common belief that a higher percentage of
approach is to analyze how different traffic flows affect the degree HVs will always lead to a reduction in the speed of the traffic. This
Fig. 6. Traffic speed versus percentage of HVs as traffic flow is 0 veh=h= ln ∼100 veh=h= ln
Fig. 7. Traffic speed versus percentage of HVs as traffic flow is 200 veh=h= ln ∼300 veh=h= ln
Fig. 8. Traffic speed versus percentage of HVs as traffic flow is 400 veh=h= ln ∼500 veh=h= ln
suggests that the PCE-related and HV-related factors must be attempting to switch lanes, which would worsen the traffic
carefully reexamined to capture this trend, which exists most no- conditions.
tably on the four-lane highway (two lanes in each direction) in the
Seoul metropolitan area. In summary, the two-lane highway limits
the opportunities for passenger cars and HVs to gain speed by Six-Lane Highway
switching lanes compared with highways with more lanes and, On the six-lane highway, no samples of a flow rate over
surprisingly, improves the speed beyond certain ratios of HVs 800 veh=h= ln level were observed. As shown in Fig. 12, in gen-
by forcing all vehicles to move at the pace of HVs without eral, as the percentage of HVs increases, the speed decreases across
Fig. 9. Traffic speed versus percentage of HVs as traffic flow is 600 veh=h= ln ∼700 veh=h= ln
Fig. 10. Traffic speed versus percentage of HVs as traffic flow is 800 veh=h= ln ∼900 veh=h= ln
Fig. 11. Traffic speed versus percentage of HVs as traffic flow is 1,000 veh=h= ln ∼
all traffic flow rates. Other than the flow rate of 100 veh=h= ln, the change lanes whenever possible to become trapped by the slower
flow rates showed a stabilization region. vehicles ahead, which may positively affect speed reductions.
Fig. 13 illustrates the speed versus flow-rate graph for each per-
centage of HVs. Speed reductions did not occur with higher traffic
volumes. Changes in speed showed a cup-shaped distribution as the Eight-Lane Highway
flow rate increased for all HV percentages. The greater number of This section analyzes the results for the eight-lane highway. Fig. 14
lanes seemed to provide additional opportunities for vehicles that shows that a higher percentage of HVs resulted in decreasing speed
values when the flow rate was lower than 500 veh=h= ln. However, speed recovered. The speed-reduction effect of an HV as the lead-
at the higher flow rates, even though not all values of the percent- ing vehicle of a sporadically distributed platoon seemed to disap-
ages of HVs were available, it seemed that a speed reduction did not pear when the flow rate exceeded a certain threshold value, in this
clearly exist in the available data range. In some cases, in fact, the case 500 veh=h= ln.
Fig. 14 shows the relationship between the speed and the flow follow the pace of the HVs. There was also a higher chance that
rate across all percentages of HVs. The speed decreased steadily as an HV was the leading vehicle of a platoon on the highway. The
the flow rate increased. magnitude of the speed reduction became larger as the percentage
As seen in Figs. 12 and 15, the average speed of the traffic de- of HVs increased, following an exponential distribution.
creased as the HV ratio increased in the cases of the six-lane and Fig. 17 shows that the average speed converges to about
eight-lane highways. However, in the case of the four-lane high- 60 km=h, regardless of the percentage of HVs, when the flow rate
way, as shown in Figs. 6–11, the average speed increased when is 1,500 veh=h= ln or higher. As the flow rate of an oversaturated
the HV ratio exceeded a certain threshold value. traffic flow continues to rise and approaches near-traffic-jam den-
sity, causing instability in the overall traffic by shrinking the head-
ways to a minimum, the average speed tends to converge to a
Effect of HVs during Congestion on a Four-Lane certain level because all drivers try their best to keep moving by
Highway making lane changes, a more likely behavior on an eight-lane
During traffic congestion, reductions in speed occurred as the per- highway.
centage of HVs increased. Fig. 16 shows an exponential distribu- Vehicles travel in platoons on highways. The characteristics of
tion of the data for the traffic flows under congested flow the motion of a vehicle are largely determined by the type of the
conditions, while the HV ratios of 45% or less are excluded due vehicle. The maneuvering characteristics of HVs are not signifi-
to the insufficient number of valid samples. cantly affected by other vehicles. However, passenger vehicles, es-
Interestingly, under congested flow conditions, the speed in- pecially on four-lane highways (two lanes in each direction), are
creased when the percentage of HVs was 85% or higher. As the significantly impacted by higher ratios of HVs, because there
percentage of HVs approached 100%, similarly behaving HVs do- are fewer opportunities for switching lanes and the passenger ve-
minated the movement of the traffic; this reduced the interaction hicles are forced to move in the platoons of HVs. When the ratio of
between passenger cars and HVs, forcing the passenger cars to HVs exceed a certain threshold level, the passenger vehicle has
Fig. 17. Relationship between flow rate and speed (congestion flow)
difficulty while changing lanes. HVs are also less influential on the the sections where the speed changes occur are identified after
speed reduction due to the HVs’ characteristics, which run on the screening for clusters with similar changes in speed. Figs. 18(a–c)
designated lane, and less number of changing lanes by the passen- show the method of grouping the results into five groups.
ger vehicles. For these reasons, the phenomenon of improved traffic
speed resulted.
These results were observed in the four-lane highways, as Indicator Analysis
shown in Figs. 6–17. The cause of this phenomenon should be an- A separate indicator analysis is conducted in order to statistically
alyzed for future study. However, it is possible to make a first verify the inflection point where a change in the speed gradient
judgment based on the difference in geometry. It is considered that occurs. Kim (2002) performed this form of analysis, in which
as the space that allows avoidance of the heavy vehicles increases the effect of HVs on traffic flows can be computed using a
(as the number of lanes increases), the decrease in the speed reduc- speed-change parameter. The method is useful for focusing on
tion is due to the lessened influence of the heavy vehicles with rel- the low-frequency components; it gives results that are free from
atively low driving speed. the influences of random fluctuation and measuring variations in
volatile properties such as speed. While Kim (2002) applied a dif-
Identification of Inflection Point of Speed Change ferential value between 5 units of integrated data at a point in time
and the previous 5 units of integrated data divided by the sum of
The inflection points for the speed change caused by an HV were
those 10 units, in this research, 3 units of integrated data were di-
identified using two different methods: cluster analysis and indica-
vided by the sum of 6 units. The applied v-indicator is shown
tor analysis. These analyses offer scientific approaches for group-
ing the results into a few categories. If two independent methods Pn P
i¼n−3 vi − i¼n−4
i¼n−6 vi
result in similar groupings, it means that those identified groups do vindicator ¼ P n ð3Þ
v
i¼n−6 i
exist and are significantly different from each other.
where n = order of speed values; vi = average traffic speed value for
Cluster Analysis step i; and vindicator is a variable between −1 and 1. This method
Cluster analysis is a form of multivariate data analysis that assigns makes it possible to measure the changes in speed and to identify
objects having similar properties into groups or clusters. After the the inflection point where the speed gradient shifts. The point in
distance connectivity between the objects is computed using the time when the value of vindicator is highest or lowest is when the
squared Euclidean distance (SED), as shown in Eq. (2), all objects maximum change in speed occurs. The highest point of vindicator
are clustered using the centroid linkage method. The SED is com- is when the speed increases the most, while its lowest point is when
puted using the equation the speed decreases the most. In addition, the vindicator analysis
shows that when the gradient changes, vindicator is 0. Therefore,
X
n
when vindicator ¼ 0, the corresponding HV percentage value be-
DistanceðO1 ; O2 Þ ¼ ðx1;j − x2;j Þ2 ð2Þ
comes the inflection point of the speed changes for each traf-
j¼1
fic flow.
where O1 and O2 are groups 1 and 2 in a data set; x1;j ¼ jth In this paper, data are analyzed using a unit value of 3 with the
member of group 1; and x2;j ¼ jth member of group 2. purpose of finding the exact HV percentage value at the inflection
The centroid linkage method uses the distance between different point when the slope of the speed distribution shifts and
cluster centers and the SED to determine the distance connectivity. vindicator ¼ 0. The results are shown in Fig. 19 and Table 7. Each
It is a useful method of analysis for data sets containing singular graph represents a different flow rate, and the vertical lines re-
objects because influences from outliers can be minimized. The present the HV percentage values at the inflection points where
number of clusters is determined based on the coefficient value vindicator ¼ 0 was identified. Both the indicator analysis and the
of the agglomeration schedule, and each result is verified using cluster analysis show a shift in the slope of the speed distribution
a speed distribution map and a dendrogram. Using this method, curve when the HV percentage is within the range of 25–45%.
Fig. 18. (a) Dendrogram plot (flow rate of 0–100 veh=h= ln); (b) speed transition into five cluster groups; (c) result of cluster analysis
Research Summary • The traffic flow shows a platoon pattern, where its characteris-
tics are determined by the specific types of vehicles.
Traffic Flow Pattern in Undersaturated Flow of • The traffic patterns in heavy vehicles are not as greatly affected
Four-Lane Highway by the travel patterns of the other vehicle types.
• On a four-lane highway, the possibility for a passenger car,
Four-lane and four-lane-or-under highways account for 70.9 and which shows patterns sensitive to the increase in traffic flow rate
74.9%, respectively, of the total highway length in Korea. The and the percentage of heavy vehicles, to be able to change lanes
analysis of heavy vehicles’ effect on traffic flows on four-lane high- and pass heavy vehicles in front of it diminishes, resulting in a
ways showed different results from the commonly recognized ap- traffic pattern in which passenger cars adapt to and follow the
proach to highway traffic analysis, which is based on the premise travel patterns of the heavy vehicles.
that in an undersaturated flow, the level of service and the average
speed decrease with a higher percentage of heavy vehicles in
the mix. Traffic Flow Pattern in Oversaturated Flow of
When heavy vehicles accounted for less than 25% of the traffic, Four-Lane Highway
the average speed decreased, a result in line with past research re- In the case of the oversaturated flow, the average speed tended to
sults. However, when the percentage of heavy vehicles was in the drop as the reduction rate went up with a higher percentage of
range of 25–45%, the drop in average speed nearly stopped with a heavy vehicles. The average speeds in traffic flows with the same
shift in the speed’s gradient. With the percentage of heavy vehicles proportion of heavy vehicles dropped with increasing flow rates,
at 45% and over and the flow rate at 300–900 veh=h= ln, the aver- showing a distribution in which the average speed approached
age speed went up as the percentage of heavy vehicles increased. 60 km=h when the flow rate exceeded 1,500 veh=h= ln. That is,
The causes of the increase in average speed in an undersaturated the headways in the oversaturated flows shrank as the traffic vol-
traffic stream on a four-lane highway, despite a higher percent of ume approached the highway capacity, which reduced the possibil-
heavy vehicles, are as follows: ity of an effect from outside factors such as lane changing; thus, a
heavy vehicles is high. A passenger car driver can find ways to sults obtained here were different from those reflected in the current
minimize obstruction by heavy vehicles in front, such as lane passenger car equivalents. The results suggest a need to recalibrate
changing. Hence, the speed reduction patterns on six-lane and the current heavy-vehicle adjustment factors. The widely used
eight-lane highways are different from those on four-lane method applies the same PCU to all phases of highway design
highways. and management, regardless of case-specific flow rates and the
percentage of heavy vehicles.
Speed Reduction of Heavy Vehicles’ Count Variance The analyses conducted in this research show that the traffic
pattern on four-lane highways is different from that on six-lane
It was found that when traffic flow rate was 600 veh=h= ln or under, or eight-lane highways and suggests a possibility of error in apply-
an average speed reduction of 1 km=h occurred for every additional ing the existing PCU to highway design and management proc-
12 units of a heavy vehicle or every single unit increase on a esses. The research results could lead to the formulation of a
30-second-raw-data basis, independent of the percentage of heavy new set of passenger car equivalents by the percentage of heavy
vehicles. Over the 600 veh=h= ln flow rate, the average speed vehicles and flow rates, and if carried out, the new equivalents
tended to rise when the percentage of specific types of the vehicle could be applied and could contribute to more efficient highway
was high, a phenomenon that could be attributed to the fact that design and management.
those types of vehicles determined the characteristics of the traffic The characteristics of the traffic flow can vary depending on
flow. The amplitude of the speed variation in the traffic flows that various unknown factors (e.g., country, region, roadway condition,
included large-sized heavy vehicles was found to be small when the and measured time), and therefore it is difficult to generalize the
variation rates of the lowest of all cases were analyzed. Those re- analysis results. However, it is expected that the effect of the heavy
sults can be explained by the results that showed that large-sized vehicle on the traffic flow can be analyzed in more detail than that
heavy vehicles maintained their traveling patterns regardless of the in the model presented in this study if a large amount of high-
traffic conditions (e.g., the speed). quality traffic flow data is obtained.
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