A. The stock market allows nearly anyone to participate in the risks
and opportunities of corporate America. Real returns for the past two centuries have averaged 7 percent per year.
B. How the Stock Market Works for Savers and Investors
1. Savers invest in the stock market as a strategy to build
wealth.
2. Investors can buy a diverse portfolio of shares and hold
them over long periods of time, substantially reducing risk.
3. Small investors can purchase stock in an equity mutual fund,
a corporation that buys and holds shares of stock in many firms.
4. Equity mutual funds have reduced the risk of stock ownership
and attracted large amounts of funds into the market, helping to push stock prices upward.
C. How the Stock Market Works for Corporations
1. To raise money, a corporation can a) use retained earnings,
b) borrow money, or c) sell stock. Buyers can, if they wish, later resell shares on the stock market.
2. Each share of the stock is a fractional share in the firm�s
future net revenues.
3. People buy the stock of a corporation to get future
dividends paid from corporate earnings and gains derived from increases in share prices.
4. The decisions of a firm�s executives influence the firm�s
stock price. When investors (and their advisors and fund managers) believe that the decisions of corporate managers will increase the firm�s future income, they will buy more of the stock, driving its price up. When investors believe that bad decisions are being made, the reverse happens and the stock�s price falls.
5. Corporate board members are usually stockholders, and top
managers are often given stock options. The value of the stock options will rise sharply as the firm�s stock price increases. This helps bring the interest of corporate decision makers into harmony with other stockholders.
D. How the Stock Market Works for the Economy
1. The stock market benefits stockholders, helps discipline
corporate decision makers to be more efficient, and to undertake productive projects.
2. The price of a corporation�s shares constantly sends signals
to the listed corporation�s board of directors and managers. Changing stock prices reward good decisions and penalize bad ones.
3. To increase the firm's value, the firm must undertake
productive projects.
II. Stock Prices
A. Underlying the price of a firm�s stock is the present value of the firm�s expected future net earnings, or profit.
B. The value of a share depends on (1) the expected size of future
net earnings, (2) when these earnings will be achieved, and (3) the interest rate by which the investor discounts the future income.
C. The PE (price/earnings) ratio of a firm is a general measure of the
price of the stock compared to the actual asset value of the company. A PE below the sector average represents an 'undervalued' stock; a PE ration above the sector represents an 'overvalued' stock.
D. The PEG (PE/Growth) ratio is a general measure of the price of the
stock versus it's future expected earnings. The closer to 1 the PEG ratio is, the more the stock price represents actual predicted future value.
III. Stock Analysis
A. Stockholder who purchase stock for long term gain from dividends and capital gains are investors; stockholder who purchase stock for short term gain from capital gains are speculators.
B. Speculators are primarily concerned with the value and volatility
of the stock itself; investors are more concerned with the health and growth of the company the stock represents.
C. Speculators use Technical analysis of the quantitative aspects of
the stock's price over time to go long or sell short.
D. Investors use Fundamental analysis of both the historical
quantitative and qualitative aspects of a company to buy shares in a company.
1. Quantitative analysis looks at the historical trends of
the company's stock in terms of prices and dividends