ARITHMETIC INCREASE METHOD DEMOGRAPHY

Population @ 2001 53343 POPULATION PROJECTION VADILATION

Population @ 2011 61811
YEAR POPULATION INCREMENT Population @ 2019 68332
1971 26172 Population @ 2029 76165 POPULATION PROJECTION VALIDATION INFERENCE:
300000
1981 35523 9351 Population @ 2039 253309
1991 44521 8998 250000 • Existing Master Plan –
9174.5
EXPONENTIAL METHOD Adopted the not suitable
200000

Population @ 2001 53696 YEAR POPULATION GROWTH RATE

projection method
150000
Population @ 2011 62870
1971 26172
Population @ 2019 70210
1981 35523 0.357290234 100000 PROPOSAL:
Population @ 2029 80302
Population @ 2039 88559 1991 44521 0.253300678
50000 • Average of arithmetic
0.305295456

GEOMETRIC INCREASE METHOD 0

increase method, Geometric
2001 2011 2019 2029 2039
Population @ 2001 60416.4239 Projection Method,
GEOMETRIC
YEAR POPULATION INCREMENT INCREASE RATE
Population @ 2011 81987.0237 Incremental increase
OF GROWTH ARITHMATIC INCREASE METHOD
Population @ 2019 104668.7904
1971 26172 GEOMETRIC INCREASE METHOD Method and Exponential
1981 35523 9351 0.357290234 Population @ 2029 142038.9034
1991 44521 8998 0.253300678 Population @ 2039 192751.3445 INCREMENTAL INCREASE METHOD Method will give the
9174.5 EXPONENTIAL METHOD
accurate Projection value.
AVERAGE OF THESE METHOD AVERAGE
IG = 0.3008
Linear (AVERAGE)
INCREMENTAL
YEAR ARITHMETIC GEOMETRIC EXPONENTIAL AVERAGE
Population @ 2001 57915 INCREASE
2001 53696 57915 53343 60417 56343
Population @ 2011 75338 POPULATION PROJECTION VALIDATION
2011 62870 75338 61811 81988 70502
Population @ 2019 92980 2019 70210 92980 68332 104669 84048 200000
2029 80302 120952 76165 142039 104865 180000
Population @ 2029 120952
2039 88559 157338 253309 192752 172990 160000
Population @ 2039 157338 140000
120000
100000
INCREMENTAL INCREASE METHOD 80000
60000
• Existing Master Plan 40000
INCREMENTAL
YEAR POPULATION INCREMENT 20000
INCREASE • Exponential Projection Method
0
1971 26172
1981 35523 9351
• Not Suitable Method 2001 2011 2019 2029 2039 SHEET NO. 9
PROJECTED POPULATION ACTUAL POPULATION
1991 44521 8998 -353
9174.5 NOT TO
SCALE

S.VIDHYA (2017803016),
CRITICAL APPRAISAL OF GUMMIDIPOONDI LOCAL PLANNING M.PLAN, 2ND SEM,
SAP CAMPUS,
AREA MASTER PLAN ANNA UNIVERSITY - 25