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7.51
n= number of trustworthy people
x = # trustworthy people that fail the polygraph test.
p = P( a trustworthy person fails the polygraph test) (=)
It is given in the description that such a p = .15 (=)
Here x is a binomial variable with n=10 and p=.15
a. P( all ten pass) = P( none one fails) = P( x=0) = .1968744 ( a TI calculator gives
this value)
b. P(more than 2 fail) = P( x>2) = P(x =3 or x=3 or…..or x=10)
= 1- P(x<=2) = 1- P(x=0 or x=1 or x=2)
= 1 – (.1968744+.347425+.27589)
= 1 - .820196
= .17980
d. On a given day they tested 500 people and found that 25 or less failed the test. Yes
this is a surprising result because on the average 75 people fail the test and “25” is
more than 3 *s. d. away from the mean. This situation very less likely.
7.52
n = 20 parts
x = # defectives found among the 20 tested.
A lot will be rejected if x >1
A lot will be accepted if x ≤1
a. Given that whole population contains 5% defective parts
It is given that p = P( a randomly selected part being defective ) = .05
To compute P(the lot being accepted) = P(x ≤1) = P(x=0) +P(x=1)
From table = .358+.377
= -------------
b. Given that whole population contains 10% defective parts
It is given that p = P( a randomly selected part being defective ) = .1
To compute P(the lot being accepted) = P(x ≤1) = P(x=0) +P(x=1)
From table = .122+.058
= ------------
c. Given that whole population contains 20% defective parts
It is given that p = P( a randomly selected part being defective ) = .2
To compute P(the lot being accepted) = P(x ≤1) = P(x=0) +P(x=1)
From table = .012+.058
= ---------------
7.55
From the whole population of automobiles, 30% fail emission test.
That is P( a randomly selected automobile fails the test) = p =.30
X = # cars that fail the inspection out of chosen n cars.
= ___+___+___+___+___+___
(look up from the table the find the answer)
c. n =25 and p = P( a car passes the inspection) = 1-.30 = .70
= n*p = 25*.70 = 17.5
Interpretation : if we repeatedly test the samples of size 25 then on the average we will
find 17.5 cars/25 cars pass the test.
Standard deviation = σ = n*p*(1-p) = 2.29128 cars/25cars.
d. n =25
p = .70 ( that car passes the test)
within 1-sd of the mean value means x lies between -σ and +σ
P (-σ≤ x≤ +σ) = P((5.6930≤ x≤ 10.2756) = P(x =6 or ….or x=10)