PREVISION DE VENTA

DELEGACION PESIMISTA MAS PROBABOPTIMISTA

1 600 800 900
2 900 1,200 1,500
3 600 700 800
4 1,000 1,600 2,000
5 900 1,000 1,100
6 500 1,000 1,500
7 1,400 1,500 1,900
8 300 800 900
9 400 600 800
10 700 900 1,200
11 600 1,300 1,400
12 300 1,000 1,100
13 200 500 600
14 1,600 1,700 2,200
15 1,300 1,400 2,000
 1) Prevision de Ventas 2) Media 3) Varianza
Delegacion
a= Pesimista c= probable b=optimista (a+4b+c)/6 [(b-a)/6]^2
1 600 800 900 783 2,500
2 900 1,200 1,500 1,200 10,000
3 600 700 800 700 1,111
4 1,000 1,600 2,000 1,567 27,778
5 900 1,000 1,100 1,000 1,111
6 500 1,000 1,500 1,000 27,778
7 1,400 1,500 1,900 1,550 6,944
8 300 800 900 733 10,000
9 400 600 800 600 4,444
10 700 900 1,200 917 6,944
11 600 1,300 1,400 1,200 17,778
12 300 1,000 1,100 900 17,778
13 200 500 600 467 4,444
14 1,600 1,700 2,200 1,767 10,000
15 1,300 1,400 2,000 1,483 13,611
15,867 162,222