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Bloomberg News
Published June 21, 2005
NEW YORK -- The index of leading economic indicators fell in May for the fourth time in the last five
months, pulled down by a drop in bond yields that in the past has signaled a softening economy.
The Conference Board said Monday that its index of leading indicators fell 0.5 percent, more than
the 0.2 percent drop analysts had expected. The decline follows a revised unchanged level in April
and a 0.6 percent decline in March.
Nine of the 10 indicators that make up the index fell in May, led by a narrower gap between short-
and long-term bond yields.
Some economists said the report signals a softening economy. Others see less significance than
they used to in the shift in bond yields.
"This thing's flashing a pretty clear signal about much slower economic growth ahead," said Joshua
Shapiro, chief U.S. economist at Maria Fiorini Ramirez in New York. "There is a tendency for some
economists to explain this away. I'm a little leery of doing that."
"We have found that the shape of the yield curve has become less significant as a predictor of
recession in recent years," said Drew Matus of Lehman Brothers Inc. in New York.
The Conference Board said it would use a new method starting in July to calculate the contribution
of the yield spread.
June 21, 2005 -- The index of leading economic indicators -- a gauge of economic activity in the coming six to nine
months, fell 0.5% in May, the Conference Board said Monday. This is the fifth straight month without an increase in
the leading index of the business research group. In April, the index was revised to show no change compared with
the initial estimate of a 0.2% decline. The report was weaker than the 0.3% drop expected on Wall Street.
Two other indexes in the report were higher. The coincident index, indicative of current conditions, rose 0.2%, while
the lagging index rose 0.3%. The leading index has now declined at a 2.2% annual rate over the last six months. It
has declined by 1.9% over the last 12 months.
Conference Board economist Ken Goldstein said the U.S. is following a global cooling trend that may be linked to
surging oil prices. "The leading economic indicators are suggesting slower growth setting in during the third quarter,"
he said. "This is not just a domestic phenomenon. Declines or slower increases appear in at least six of the eight
countries for which the Conference Board calculates leading indexes. Energy prices are one factor driving this global
trend. Of more concern is the level of confidence of both consumers and chief executives, which has been choppy."
Daniel R. DiMicco
Vice Chairman, President and Chief Executive Officer
Nucor Corporation
Speech: Monday Keynote: The Crisis in American Manufacturing
Examine The Crisis in American Manufacturing with Daniel R. DiMicco as he explains how the deck
is stacked against U.S. manufacturers and outlines an action plan that necessitates industrial
business leaders getting more involved in setting public policy.
Nucor earned the #1 spot on The BusinessWeek 50, a prestigious list which ranks companies
on their 2004 performance.
Daniel R. DiMicco is president and chief executive officer of Nucor Corporation. He is also
vice chairman of Nucor's board of directors.
DiMicco joined Nucor Corporation in November 1982 as plant metallurgist and manager of
quality control for Nucor Steel in Plymouth, Utah and in January 1988, he became melting
and casting manager at the Utah division. In March 1991, DiMicco became general manager of the
Nucor-Yamato joint venture in Blytheville, Arkansas and became vice president in January 1992. He
became executive vice president in September 1999. He was elected president and chief executive
officer in September, 2000 and vice chairman of the board of directors in June 2001.
Prior to joining Nucor Corporation, DiMicco was with Republic Steel Corporation in Cleveland, Ohio
as Research Metallurgist and Project Leader. He was with Republic Steel from March 1975 until he
joined Nucor in November 1982.
DiMicco earned a bachelor's in engineering, metallurgy and materials science from Brown
University in Providence, Rhode Island in 1972. He earned a master's of science in metallurgy and
materials science from the University of Pennsylvania in Philadelphia, Pennsylvania in 1975.
Nucor and affiliates are manufacturers of steel products, with operating facilities in fifteen states.
Products produced are: carbon and alloy steel -- in bars, beams, sheet and plate; steel joists and
joist girders; steel deck; cold finished steel; steel fasteners; metal building systems; and light gauge
steel framing. Nucor is the nation's largest recycler.
Larry Kingsley
President and CEO
IDEX Corporation
Speech: Wednesday Keynote: The IDEX Story: Creating Sustainable Competitive Advantage
Down The Street And Around The Globe
IDEX Corporation is a $1 billion highly diversified manufacturing company with 4,000 employees
and close to 60 manufacturing and sales facilities on six continents. Through a simple, yet powerful,
business strategy, IDEX has been designing and applying advanced management and continuous
improvement tools to build an integrated management model. IDEX President and Chief Executive
Officer Larry Kingsley is actively building on his company's track record of margin expansion and
global organic growth. Kingsley will share his company's story, as well as his vision and some
practical advice for establishing a management system that enables both creativity and discipline.
Learn how value is driven from the factory floor and, ultimately, how sustainable competitive
advantage is created in today's complex global market, as well as the global manufacturing and
supply chain environment.
Leading businesses around the world have embraced the principles of lean production to squeeze
inefficiency out of manufacturing processes. Now, these innovative businesses are streamlining the
processes of consuming. Lean Consumption opens up new opportunities that will dramatically
reshape manufacturing and services while transforming supply chains in the next decade. Drawing
on his forthcoming book, Lean Solutions, with Daniel T. Jones, and their recent lead article in the
Harvard Business Review, James P. Womack, co-author of The Machine That Changed the World
and Lean Thinking, will outline the practical steps being taken now to leverage lean
consumption in a wide range of sectors. This session offers practical guidance to make the
next leap in serving customers profitably.
James P. Womack is the founder and president of the Lean Enterprise Institute a non-profit
educational and research organization chartered in 1997 to advance a set of ideas known as
lean production and lean thinking. The Institute is conducting a series of research activities to create
a tool kit of methods for implementing lean thinking in a wide range of industries. The Institute also
sponsors a series of educational meetings through the year and helps people to apply lean thinking
in entirely new applications such as health care, construction, and distribution.
The intellectual basis for the Institute is described in a series of volumes and articles co-authored by
Dr. Womack over the past twenty years. The most widely known of these are The Machine That
Changed the World (Macmillan/Rawson Associates, 1990), Lean Thinking (Simon & Schuster,
1996), "From Lean Production to the Lean Enterprise", Harvard Business Review, March-April,
1994, and "Beyond Toyota: How to Root Out Waste and Pursue Perfection", Harvard Business
Review, September-October, 1996.Dr. Womack received a bachelor's in political science from the
University of Chicago in 1970, a master's in transportation systems from Harvard in 1975, and a
doctorate in political science from MIT in 1982 (for a dissertation on comparative industrial policy in
the U.S., Germany, and Japan). During the period 1975-1991, Dr. Womack was a full-time research
scientist at MIT directing a series of comparative studies of world manufacturing practices.
Featured Speakers
John Friel
CEO
Medrad
Speech: Tuesday Featured Speech: The Leadership Formula
What made it possible for medical device manufacturer MEDRAD, Inc. to double revenues every
five years, earn the coveted Malcolm Baldrige National Quality Award and consistently achieve
industry-leading customer satisfaction ratings of over 98%? The answer is leadership, but not in the
traditional sense. MEDRAD President and CEO John Friel shares why a CEO's primary role is to
create the environment for employees to be successful, then get out of the way so they can get the
job done.
Peter McIlroy
CEO
Robroy Industries
Speech: Wednesday Featured Speech: Robroy Industries Lessons Learned During 100 Years
Of One-Family Ownership
Robroy Industries was founded in 1905 by a Scottish immigrant, Peter McIlroy. In 1980, Peter
McIlroy II was named President of Robroy Industries, Inc. McIlroy is the grandson of Peter McIlroy,
the founder of the company. McIlroy was named Chief Executive Officer in 1988 and Chairman,
President and CEO in 1993. Peter McIlroy continues as CEO. The fourth generation of the
McIlroy family is also now active in the company.
Workshop Speakers
Bill Donohue
Vice President
VPMEP
Workshop: Interactive Lean/Six Sigma For Executives
Prior to joining VPMEP, he was site manager for Intertape Polymer Group
in Danville, VA, where he led a $20 million dollar expansion of packaging
film and pressure sensitive tape capacity, the implementation of a fully integrated MRP system, and
ISO 9001 certification.
Donohue completed a difficult turnaround of a flexible packaging business for Union Camp in
Arkansas, now part of International Paper. Through the use of activity based accounting, a new
business strategy was defined, applying lean and theory of constraints principles. His business went
from dead last to best in safety performance in the corporation in one year. The strategic shift
resulted in 200 jobs being saved.
In Spartanburg, South Carolina, he led the startup of a high performance green field electronic films
plant for Rexam, PLC. This $40 million business was a model for South Carolina firms, including
BMW, in how to develop a winning team based organization.
Donohue's career began with GE Plastics. Bill was responsible for a $120 million dollar global
investment program. He successfully transferred lean manufacturing methods from Toshiba
Silicones in Japan to GE Silicones worldwide. This included plant retooling, streamlined
engineering, and developing technology for high speed, small lot production, all to address pull of
the customer manufacturing.
Donohue is a graduate of the University of Rochester and the GE chemical management program.
He is a member of AME, AICHE, SPE, and is a vice chairman of the Danville VA Utilities
Department, the largest municipally owned utility in VA.
Tim Williams
Senior Consultant
George Group
Workshop: Interactive Lean/Six Sigma For Executives
Tim Williams is a senior consultant and program manager experienced in applying Lean Six Sigma
to drive bottom-line results. He has helped plan and deploy corporate-wide Lean Six Sigma
initiatives for a number of Fortune 1000 companies. Williams is experienced at building client
capability and has mentored hundreds of executives and project leaders in a variety of disciplines
including Lean, Six Sigma, scorecard development, business review practices and process
improvement strategies.
Williams has a master's in business administration from the Krannert Graduate School of
Management, Purdue University and a bachelor's of science in organizational leadership, also
from Purdue University. He has been a speaker at conferences for the Banking Administrative
Institute and the Institute of Business Forecasting. He is a contributor to the book Lean Six
Sigma for Service by Michael George and has written several articles for iSixSigma
(www.isixsigma.com).
Session Speakers
Michael Stone
President
Stone & Associates
Session: SMART Globalization: Successful Strategies for Competing
in a Low-Cost Manufacturing World
Stone's consulting experience involves Fortune 1000 manufacturing companies, and government
and non-profit organizations serving manufacturing markets. His corporate consulting experience
has involved strategic market analysis, competitive cost assessment and strategy, procurement
strategy/supply chain management, and cost and profitability modeling. His assignments have
required an understanding of markets and competitors in North America, Europe and Asia.
His public sector work includes a series of ground-breaking projects for the National Institute of
Standards and Technology's Manufacturing Extension Partnership (MEP), a national network that
provides assistance to small manufacturing firms in adopting advanced manufacturing technologies
and leading management practices.
Stone also worked with The William Jefferson Clinton Foundation to forge a landmark agreement
with leading generic pharmaceutical companies in India and South Africa. The result was a major
reduction in the price of HIV/AIDS drugs for millions of people in Africa and the Caribbean.
Linda Taylor
Industry Marketing Manager
FedEx
Session: SMART Globalization: Anticipating The Unexpected In A Global Supply Chain
An expert in the electrical manufacturing industry, Linda Taylor is responsible for developing
strategic initiatives for FedEx's services in this sector. She serves as a liaison between FedEx and
electrical manufacturers and brings insight to innovative uses of transportation products. FedEx is a
major player in this industry with a customer base of over 100,000 and a half billion in revenues.
Prior to joining FedEx, Taylor had over 15 years experience at Butler Manufacturing and The
Wiremold Company, where she held leadership roles in marketing, product development, and
manufacturing.
U.S. business and public policy leaders face a defining moment in shaping the terms of future trade agreements.
By Patricia Panchak
We know the results of previous agreements, and the losers have become better organized and more vocal.
Industry groups (such as the United States Business and Industry Council,American Manufacturing Trade
Action Coalition and Save American Manufacturing) made up of (mostly small) companies in industries hurt
most by existing free trade agreements have formed to highlight the negatives. Their message is getting
through to legislators.
See Also...
Perceived broken promises. Supporters of current trade policy claim freer See Also...
trade will lift millions of people in developing countries out of poverty while
creating many more jobs in the U.S. Further, they say that those new jobs
will be the higher-paying, higher value-added jobs. Unfortunately, the Cyberstates 2005™
growing numbers of citizens willing to risk dying in the desert for a series A State-By-State Overview of
of low-paying, back-breaking day jobs is a constant and visible reminder the High-Technology Industry
that free trade has hardly made a dent in Mexico's cycle of poverty. by the American Electronic
Meanwhile, in the U.S., the era of freer trade has coincided with a period Association
in which inflation-adjusted wages have fallen for U.S. workers, and those
high-technology jobs, once the information-technology bubble burst, have been coming too slowly to quell
dissent.
Unless we can address these challenges, future trade agreements will face increasing resistance and delays. The
standard rebuttals that supporters of the current free-trade policy will make to counter these concerns are not
working. We need to come up with something better.
Let me have your suggestions. But more important, let President Bush, Commerce Secretary Carlos Gutierrez, U.S.
Trade Representative Rob Portman, and your representatives and senators have them.
Patricia Panchak is IW's editor-in-chief. She is based in Cleveland.
By . Agence France-Presse
NEW YORK (MarketWatch) - Shares of Ford Motor Co. dipped in early trading
Wednesday after the automaker, faced with high costs and slumping sales,
slashed its full-year profit target.
Ford's stock (F: news, chart, profile) was lower by about 2.8% to $10.86
in early Wednesday trade.
Ford also said it would cut about 1,750 of its North American white-collar
jobs, which amount to about 5% of its 35,000 salaried workers in North
America. The cuts would take effect by Oct. 1.
At the same time, Ford indicated that it would eliminate bonuses for
management worldwide and suspend its matching payments to salaried
workers' 401(k) retirement plans, effective July 1.
As for the second quarter, which ends June 30, the company doubled its
profit range to between 30 cents and 35 cents a share from its earlier
target of 15 cents a share.
Ford cited a lower tax rate and unexpectedly strong results from its
financial unit for the improvement.
The second half of the year will be significantly weaker, with the last two
quarters generating just 7 cents a share, rather than 47 cents a share,
according to Credit Suisse First Boston. Analysts there also expect Ford
to raise its incentive program in July, in response to the success of
General Motors' widening of its employee discount program to all
buyers.
Ford has had a rough year. Its stock hit a 52-week low of $9.07 on May 2,
down from $16.48 a year earlier. On May 5, Standard & Poor's cut the
venerable motor company's credit rating to junk, reclassifying $161
billion worth of Ford debt as non-investment grade.
Tuesday's warning also follows a steady decline in market share and
soaring employee health-care costs.
Earlier this month, GM (GM: news, chart, profile) , which has struggled
with many of the same problems facing Ford, said it would cut at least
25,000 jobs in the U.S. by 2008 to generate $2.5 billion in annual
savings. See full story.
Mercury News
Jack Kilby, the Nobel Prize-winning inventor of the microchip, died Monday in Dallas after a battle with cancer.
He was 81.
The former Texas Instruments engineer who stood 6-foot-6 was also a towering figure in the modern
technology age because his ``integrated circuit'' became the heart of everything electronic. Kilby's invention in
1958 spawned the $214 billion chip business and the $1 trillion electronics industry.
``Without it, there could be no personal computer, no mobile phone, no space program, no Internet, no
pacemakers or PlayStations,'' Washington Post writer T.R. Reid wrote of Kilby's idea in 2000. ``The integrated
circuit has changed the daily life of the world as fundamentally as did the light bulb, the telephone and the
horseless carriage.''
On Tuesday, Texas Instruments Chief Executive Richard Templeton said, ``Given the accomplishment he
achieved, it is time to really remember him as one of the handful of people who have had a tremendous impact
in the world.''
``The integrated circuit has changed the lives of all of us,'' added Templeton in an interview. ``Despite the
magnitude of that, Jack was so humble.''
Templeton recalled that Kilby appeared in front of Texas Instruments employees when he won the Nobel Prize
for physics in 2000. When someone asked him what he did when he heard about the prestigious award, Kilby
replied, ``I made coffee.''
Kilby and Texas Instruments were often rivals of Intel and other Silicon Valley companies. On Tuesday, Intel
officials expressed their condolences to Kilby's family.
``Jack Kilby was always an engineer's engineer,'' Gordon Moore, Intel's co-founder and chairman emeritus said
in a statement. ``He remained true to his technical roots, loyal to the principles of science, and was always a
gentleman to those who had the pleasure to meet him. He will be missed.''
Kilby's big idea for the microchip came in the summer of 1958 when he was working alone in a lab at Dallas-
based Texas Instruments while everyone else was on vacation, according to Reid's book, ``The Chip: How Two
Americans Invented the Microchip and Launched a Revolution.'' Kilby had been on the job only a short time,
having just relocated from Milwaukee with his wife, Barbara, and two children to work in the lab of electronics
pioneer Willis Adcock.
At that time, electronic devices were cumbersome because they were made up of discrete components, such
as resistors, capacitors and transistors. All of these things took up space and were expensive, relatively
unreliable and had to be wired together.
Kilby figured he could put all the components of an electronic circuit together on a single semiconductor device
-- a thin sliver that came to be known as a chip.
The chip would be a semiconductor that could provide the electrical connections, dispensing with wires
between the components. His first chip was an ungainly device, about half the size of a paper clip, with wires
soldered to a sliver of germanium on a glass slide. Kilby demonstrated it to his bosses on Sept. 12, 1958.
Robert Noyce, co-founder of Fairchild Semiconductor, followed up six months later with his own integrated
circuit fashioned out of another material, silicon.
It was Noyce's work that made chip production into more of a science, enabling chips to be manufactured on
disks known as wafers by the millions. As a result, they could be improved periodically so that the components
on the chips could be made smaller, cheaper and faster -- a phenomenon known as Moore's Law, after the
Intel co-founder.
Kilby became a well-known figure in Silicon Valley because his company tangled with Fairchild Semiconductor.
The two companies battled each other for more than a decade for the right to claim invention of the integrated
circuit. Kilby's handwritten lab notes, where he noted he could let a chip be the prime connector in an
electronic circuit, was a principal exhibit in the legal proceedings. They reached a settlement and a kind of
detente. Kilby was recognized as the inventor of the chip, while Noyce was recognized as the pioneer who
made it practicable.
Kilby's original device contained just one transistor, the on-off switch that controls the flow of electricity in a
chip, as well as three resistors and one capacitor. Intel plans to launch a microprocessor this year with 1.7
billion transistors.
Kilby retired from Texas Instruments in 1983, but he maintained a long working relationship with the company.
Services are pending for Jack. St. Clair Kilby, who was born in Jefferson City, Mo., on Nov. 8, 1923.
Texas Instruments employees posted their remembrances at www.ti.com/kilby. His daughter, Janet Kilby
Cameron, said in a statement: ``Although his engineering accomplishments were profound, his personal
accomplishment of living life with a thoughtful presence, generous spirit and eternal optimism always inspired
me the most.''
By MICHAEL J. MARTINEZ
AP Business Writer
TODAY'S HEADLINES
Housing Bubble -- or Bunk?
• More Headlines
JUN. 22 9:51 A.M. ET Wall Street firm Bear Stearns Cos. Inc. could face
fines and other sanctions from the Securities and Exchange Commission
over the company's role in improper mutual fund trading, the company
reported in a regulatory filing Wednesday.
In an update filed with the SEC, Bear Stearns said it has been the subject
of an SEC investigation into mutual fund trading activity. A number of
Wall Street firms and mutual fund companies have been heavily
penalized in recent years by the SEC for improperly trading mutual funds
after the markets close.
Bear Stearns has been in talks with the SEC on resolving the matter, but
said in its filing that SEC investors have been authorized to bring an
official action against the company. That action could lead to fines,
disgorgement of past profits allegedly obtained through improper fund
trading and remedial actions the company may be forced to undertake.
ADVERTISEMENT
"The company believes it has strong defenses to the potential claims, and intends to
continue to engage in discussions with the (SEC) regarding a possible resolution of this
matter," Bear Stearns said in its filing.
The SEC has been investigating a division of Bear Stearns Securities Inc.,
a clearinghouse for stock and fund transactions.
In recent years, the entire mutual fund industry has been buffeted by
market-timing scandals, in which funds allowed after-hours trading. By
trading after the close of the markets, but before the day's results were
updated in the mutual funds' share values, market-timers could
minimize losses or maximize profits.
Previous Bear Stearns filings with the SEC and the National Association
of Securities Dealers Inc. showed that the investigation of the company
was focused on market-timing issues.
A spokeswoman for Bear Stearns was not immediately available for
comment
By CALVIN WOODWARD
Associated Press Writer
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JUN. 21 3:59 P.M. ET Janet Dob found a better way to boil a bagel,
quite by mistake.
Her accidental invention gave rise to a business, entangled her in red
tape, left her morose in her pajamas, exposed her to the helping hands
and hurdles of government and finally became her life's work.
So it goes for those who create a small business in America.
ADVERTISEMENT
Perils exist at every turn. Many startups rapidly fail, and only about half survive as long as
five years, says the National Federation of Independent Business.
Dob, 52, has yet to get rich, but she's plenty busy, and her business
making Bake'mmm bagels is, finally, growing, now posting $750,000 in
sales in a year. The business operates in the Blue Ridge Mountain town
of Verona -- population 3,638.
When she ran a bakery in Fort Collins, Colo., customers demanded lunch
food along with her sweets and she began getting up at 2 a.m. to make
bagels. She did it the usual way -- simmering them to make the outside
chewy and the inside moist, then baking them in the oven to finish the
cooking and brown them. She hated getting up so early.
Distracted during one simmering session in the late 1980s, she left a few
bubbling in her crock pot too long and discovered when she extracted
them that they did not collapse or look distressed, but rather inviting.
These unintended prototypes got thrown out, but "I just started playing
with it."
Her goal: classically chewy bagels that didn't keep her up most of the
night. From that came the idea for boiled bagels that people could bake
at home, out of their freezer, in a hurry.
Some frozen bagels in the store are not boiled before baking. Some are
parboiled, then frozen, but take a long time from freezer to table.
Dob had discovered that by boiling the bagels until fully cooked, they
could be baked in minutes, even when frozen. Much experimentation
followed until she got it right.
"The initial mistake really was the founding mother of this invention,"
she said. "All by necessity. The necessity to sleep in."
Her retail business was born. Dob said she had seven people hand-
making 1,000 bagels a day through the mid-1990s, freezing them and
sending them to more than 60 stores. They cost 80 cents apiece to
make. She was getting 30 cents a bagel. "We were bleeding."
A venture capitalist signed on in September 1995, and took control of
the company. "I was desperate," she said. "I didn't ask all the right
venture capitalist questions."
The financier soon went bankrupt, taking the company down with him.
"For 15 days I was in my pajamas most of the time," she recalled.
The company was gone, but the idea was still alive. Pointing to her head,
she said, "Everything I created was still mine."
She moved east, to Charlottesville, Va., and took a job with a micro-
lending firm, helping to start new businesses in needy communities of
the Blue Ridge Mountains.
She still wanted to make something of her bagel idea and tried to
interest big concerns in licensing her process. That was tricky. She could
tell them she had a better way to make a bagel but she couldn't say
exactly what it was. She filed for a patent.
It took more than four years. The patent examiner is like a detective. He
must make sure no one has cornered this method before. This one was
fussy, Dob said.
Ah-hah! He discovered a similar method in an early edition of "Joy of
Cooking." No dice, he said.
No, no, Dob insisted. The cookbook did not call for boiling the bagels
until completely cooked. She set up demonstrations, proved her point. It
worked.
She'd failed to license the process to others, failed to have a major
contract baker produce them for her. But now she owned the idea and
decided to make them herself. And this time, from all organic
ingredients.
In October 2002, more than a dozen years after her "eureka" moment
with a crock pot and with the aid of a Small Business Administration
loan, Dob and her partners had their grand opening in an "incubator"
building in Verona.
Her company, Agnes' Very Very, employs eight people in the mixing and
making of 2,000 bagels a day, from a modest production line where
dough is mixed, formed into shape and cooked. The bagels come
steaming out of the vat for packaging, freezing and shipment.
Regional stores in the Whole Foods organic and natural foods chain
signed up out of the gate, and smaller outfits came on board. Lacking a
distributor, Dob and her minimalist team delivered the goods themselves
in an ever-widening arc.
She says her company is close to breaking even and she's getting to
sleep in until 6:30 a.m.
So will she jealously guard her homegrown business if the big brands --
Kraft, Paul Newman -- come calling, wanting to buy her out?
Heck no. She'll sell out in a minute.
"Oh, it will be so joyful," she said. "I want them to have it. This has been
my 401(k) all along."
Banks Scramble To
Contain Damage
From CardSystems
Hacking Incident
June 22, 2005
Washington Mutual cancels 1,400 credit
cards used to commit fraud, and others
could follow suit.
By Steven Marlin
InformationWeek
Banks that issue credit and debit cards are moving rapidly to contain
the damage caused by the potentially massive theft of card information
from a transaction-processing company that was disclosed last week.
By Steven Marlin
Courtesy of InformationWeek
junio 20, 2005
Visa USA has developed technology that not only analyzes individual credit-card
transactions for possible fraud but can detect patterns of fraud across its transaction-
processing network. The technology, Advanced Authorization, will prevent an estimated
$164 million in fraud losses over the next five years, Visa estimates.
How big an impact might the new system have? Jean Bruesewitz, senior
VP of processing and emerging products at Visa USA, is hopeful it could
cut the fraud rate by more than half--to 2 cents per $100 of transactions
Retailing
BY JENNIFER POPOVEC
Retail sales this year might not be as impressive as they were in 2004, but retailers are expanding
more aggressively than they have since the late 1990s. “We haven't seen any slowdown in retailer
expansion across the nation,” says Clay Smith, president of Staubach Retail, the national retail arm of
The Staubach Co. “In general, across all segments, retailers have a stronger appetite than last year.”
While the National Retail Federation (NRF) says that retail sales this year will increase only 4.8 percent
compared with the 7 percent increase last year, new store openings in the United States are expected
to exceed 2004's by more than 20 percent, according to Steve Sakwa, a first vice president with
Merrill Lynch
Merrill Lynch, which surveyed 35 retail tenants regarding projected new store openings, says demand
for new stores in 2005 should increase nearly 23 percent to 3,149 versus 2,570 new store openings in
2004. The forecasted expansion represents the highest number of new stores added since 1999 when
these 35 retailers added more than 4,200 stores, Sakwa notes.
“The reality is that there's no slowdown in the retail expansion because the big boxes are still trying to
get sites and the smaller users are always redefining themselves and coming up with new concepts,”
Smith says.
Dressing Up
Apparel and home improvement retailers and discounters are leading the growth, according to
industry experts. These retailers are driven by an attractive combination of population and housing
growth and changing demographics.
“With the increase in housing, retailers are expanding because they want to be closer to where their
customers are; they want to be strategically based,” says Richard Hollander, president of Buxton Co.,
a Fort Worth, Texas-based retail research firm.
Such aggressive expansion is good news for retail developers and landlords including those who focus
on open-air centers, as well as regional malls. Demand from open-air tenants such as Dollar General,
T.J. Maxx and Lowe's remains robust, while mall-based specialty stores are continuing to grow. More
than 2,535 new open-air stores are planned this year, up from 1,995 stores in 2004, according to
Merrill Lynch.
Similarly, 588 new mall-based specialty stores will likely open in 2005 versus 505 in 2004. “This is the
second year in a row that mall-based specialty tenants increased their new store openings versus a
decline over the prior four years,” Sakwa says.
From a demographic standpoint, Baby Boomers and their offspring, often referred to as Generation Y
or Echo Boomers, are the most important segments of the shopping population, according to Will
Ander, a senior partner with McMillan|Doolittle LLP, a Chicago-based retail consulting firm. “We've
seen a lot of retailers targeting their expansions based on generations,” he says.
Baby Boomers, currently between the ages of 45 and 60, account for 28 percent of the nation's
population, according to the U.S. Census Bureau. That means there are roughly 79 million Boomers
looking for products and services to make them look and feel better.
The Gen Y segment is almost as large as the Baby Boomer population with 72.7 million people
between 11 and 25 years old. And, since this group is bankrolled by mommy and daddy, it has plenty
of discretionary income.
Last year, Boomers and their children spent a lot of their money on apparel. In 2004, apparel sales
totaled $173 billion, a 4 percent increase from $166 billion in 2003, according to Port Washington,
N.Y.-based research firm NPD Group. “For a while there, apparel wasn't growing at all,” Hollander
says. “Over the past 12 to 18 months, there's almost been a move from electronics to clothing.
Americans are dressing up more.”
Since June 2004, Boomer women have spent $30.8 billion on apparel, according to NPD. And retailers
are following the money. Currently, women over 35 only have 0.7-square-feet per capita of stores
focused on their needs, but spend more per person than teenagers, who have 3.6-square-feet of retail
per capita, according to Retail Forward. “The mature Boomer woman has been so lucrative that a lot
of retailers are expanding their offerings to this group,” Ander says.
San Francisco-based Gap Inc. announced in April that it plans to open more than 30 new stores
targeted to women 35 years old and up by 2007. The new concept, dubbed Forth & Towne, launches
in four test stores in the Chicago market and one in New York this fall. More than five stores are
planned in 2006 and 20-plus stores will be rolled out in 2007, according to the chain. Forth & Towne's
first stores are in regional malls, but Gap hasn't ruled out lifestyle centers.
Similarly, American Eagle Outfitters is betting on the Boomer population. It recently hired two
executives from Abercrombie & Fitch to launch a new concept focused on older apparel shoppers. The
Warrendale, Pa.-based chain is keeping the name of the concept under wraps and has yet to
announce its exact expansion plans, but analysts are forecasting 300 to 400 stores will be opened in
malls over the next five years.
Forth & Towne and American Eagle's new chain for women will compete head-to-head with
Abercrombie & Fitch's just-launched Ruehl concept. The New Albany, Ohio-based retailer has already
rolled out four stores in New Jersey, Illinois, Florida and Michigan and will open five to eight more
stores next year.
The most aggressive apparel retailer targeting female Boomers is Fort Myers, Fla.-based Chico's FAS.
Recognized in the industry for its appeal to mature women, the upscale chain plans to add between
110 and 120 new stores this year. Last year, it added 100 new stores — a 23 percent increase in
square footage — and broke into the intimate apparel market with its new brand, Soma by Chico's.
Currently, there are 10 Soma stores in six states, and the retailer will open another six Soma stores
this year.
“We're going to see a lot of Chico's copies,” Ander says, adding that targeting Baby Boomers can be
tricky, almost as tricky as marketing to teens and young adults, who aren't burdened by a great
amount of brand loyalty.
“Overall, retailers are responding to basic demographics,” says Annette McEvoy, president of A.
McEvoy & Associates, a New York-based consulting firm that specializes in softlines. “The teen and
young adult segment is a very vibrant segment since they are such dedicated shoppers.”
Ander adds: “We've seen a lot of the teen retailers expanding and even rolling out new concepts as
this group gets ready to move into new adulthood.” Pacific Sunwear, for example, is one such apparel
retailer that is aggressively expanding.
PacSun, which has stores in malls and lifestyle centers, plans to open 120 new stores this year.
Additionally, the chain will expand or relocate 35 stores to larger locations, increasing its square
footage by about 15 percent. Last year, it opened 113 new stores — a 15 percent increase in square
footage.
Abercrombie & Fitch and Gap aren't too far behind. According to Merrill Lynch, both chains plan to
open more than 100 stores. However, Gap's growth vehicle isn't its namesake brand; instead,
discount apparel chain, Old Navy is taking the lead.
Gap expects to open 175 new stores this year, more than 40 percent of which will be Old Navy stores.
Moreover, most of Old Navy's existing locations will boast new products such as Old Navy Maternity,
which will be in more than 300 stores, and Old Navy Plus Size, which will be in 177. The chain will
close 135 stores, primarily Gap units.
Fewer Home-Runs
Since 2001, home improvement and home decor retailers have been riding a wave of strong sales and
impressive expansion. “The fastest-growing segment has been the home improvement sector with 11
percent to 12 percent increases in the number of stores annually,” says Craig Johnson, president of
Customer Growth Partners.
Lowe's and Bed Bath and Beyond continue to grow, but some are not expanding as aggressively.
“Home was very hot two years ago, and home retailers had outstanding performance,” McEvoy notes.
“Housing is still strong, but there's not quite the frenzy there was.” The NRF has warned that home
furnishings stores could suffer as the housing market suffers.
And, according to research firm Global Insight, home improvement sales will increase only 3.5 percent
this year, compared with 12.1 percent last year, reaching $280.9 billion. Next year's forecast is even
less positive, with the firm predicting only 2.6 percent growth to $288.1 billion.
Regardless, Lowe's is moving ahead with its plans. The Mooresville, N.C.-based retailer will open 170
stores this year, a new record if it succeeds. Last year, the retailer opened the most stores in its
history — 140 — and now operates in 48 states. The chain currently operates 1,087 stores across the
nation totaling 123.7 million square feet — roughly 14 percent more than it had last year.
Lowe's isn't the only home retailer unfazed by the warnings. TJX Cos., operating the HomeGoods
brand, is on a fast-growth trajectory. The retailer plans to boost the number of HomeGoods stores this
year by 19 percent, adding 40 stores to the existing portfolio of 216. HomeGoods could grow to more
than 500 stores, according to TJX.
Home decor retailer Kirkland's Inc. also isn't cutting back on expansion plans. This year, the chain
expects to open 55 to 60 new stores and to close 14 non-performers, most of them in malls. The new
stores, representing an 11 percent increase in square footage, will be situated in sites including
lifestyle centers, power centers, freestanding strip centers and outlet centers.
Other home decor retailers such as the Bombay Co. Inc. and Pier I Imports Inc. are struggling to
overcome poor earnings. To that end, both chains have put most of the expansion plans on hold.
Bombay, for example, saw its comp-store sales tank 12 percent in 2004 compared with 2003,
prompting the chain to open 45 to 50 new stores and shutter 42.
Fort Worth, Texas-based Pier I is in much the same boat, as poor earnings have forced the chain to
scale back its expansion plans by more than 20 percent. This year, Pier I is set to open 85 new stores
and close 25; last year, it opened 104 stores and closed 37.
Along with the home improvement and furnishings sector, the NRF says discounters could be hit the
hardest by the lack of sales growth. Such dire warning hasn't had an impact on discount retailers,
though.
Discount giant Wal-Mart Corp. will hit the ground with 455 new stores in 2005, up from 439 last year,
according to Merrill Lynch. No. 1 competitor, Target Corp., is less than half the size of Wal-Mart and is
expected to double its store base from roughly 1,400 over 10 years. Industry experts have forecast an
annual square footage growth of 8 percent to 10 percent.
And, landlords can't overlook the dollar stores, which are hoping to take a chunk out of Wal-Mart's
sales. Currently, more than two-thirds of all American households shop at such dollar stores as Dollar
General and Family Dollar. Both of these chains hope to grow their market share by adding more
stores and being closer and more convenient to customers.
Goodlettsville, Tenn.-based Dollar General will open 730 new stores this year, including at least 30
Dollar General Markets. Family Dollar plans to open 500 to 560 stores, and close 60 to 70. Both chains
are striving to break records with their expansions.
“Most retailers are smart and strategic about their store openings, but as long as there's residential
growth and job growth, retail expansion will not stop,” Smith says.
And, although the robust number of openings this year may not impact the retail segment for several
years, Sakwa suspects that overbuilding may become a problem. “Longer-term, we are concerned
about the high levels of new store
At an annual shareholder meeting in Tokyo, managers acknowledged there had been strategic
mistakes.
But new chief executive Sir Howard Stringer also said the firm had spread itself too thinly, and
needed to focus on core strengths.
The firm's shares have halved in value over the past five years.
We cannot fight a battle on every front
Sir Howard Stringer, Sony chief executive
The new chief executive told shareholders that he was aware of his responsibility as the
company's first foreign chief.
Born in the UK but with dual US-UK citizenship, and knighted in 1999, the 63-year old former TV
boss said Sony would reveal how it planned to fight back by September.
Sony is two years into a three-year, 330bn yen ($3bn; £1.7bn) cost-cutting plan focused mainly
on slimming down its workforce.
Growth in its media arm - driven by blockbuster films such as Spider-Man 2 - offset its weak
electronics showing last year to give it a 15% rise in profits.
Iconic shift
In the 1980s and 1990s the firm became increasingly involved with the media industry, buying
up Columbia's film studio and music business.
But tensions between the dictates of the technology and media markets have hindered Sony's
formerly sure footing.
More than two decades after Sony created the personal music market with the Walkman, Apple
has now come to define the portable music player with its iPod.
Cheap competition from other Asian firms such as Creative has also sapped Sony's
competitiveness.
Nobuyuki Idei, the previous chief executive, told shareholders that he knew he had failed to
keep Sony current.
"I was not able to read the changes" in the consumer market, he said.
The firm still makes two-thirds of turnover from electronics, but has a
huge catalogue of films and music which it hopes will help revitalise its
performance.
Profits at its film division rose to 63.9bn yen from 35bn yen a
year earlier, boosted by the box office success of the film
Spider-Man 2.
Apple challenge
Welsh-born leader
The firm said it was "evaluating options" for cuts to staff costs
elsewhere in the world.
Net profits at Ford fell almost 40% to $1.2bn in the first three
months of 2005.
It comes after Harris Tweed designed by weaver Donald John MacKay was chosen for a run of
limited edition trainers.
Mr Mackay, from Luskintyre, Harris, said the firm had now inquired about ordering more cloth,
possibly for hooded tops.
Industry leaders said the exposure had already boosted the profile of tweed amongst younger
people.
Nike had been looking for a way to update a trainer called The
Terminator, a basketball shoe from the 1980s, when they originally
approached Mr MacKay.
They are back in touch with us and still have more plans for Harris
Tweed
Donald John MacKay
Weaver
After seeing test swatches, Nike ordered nearly 10,000 metres of cloth.
Weavers throughout the Outer Hebrides were called into action to meet the demand, because Mr
MacKay could only produce so much in the loom shed behind his house.
He told BBC Radio's Good Morning Scotland programme: "Nike were overwhelmed by the
success of the shoes, bearing in mind they were a limited edition, they were selling out as fast
as they were hitting the shelves.
"So much so that they have extended the range, the same design, but they are doing more of
them.
"They are back in touch with us and still have more plans for Harris Tweed. What they are we do
not know, but they're asking about the availability and deadlines.
"Along with the shoes, they were sampling for ladies hooded tops, we haven't heard much, but
they're certainly expressing a great interest."
Derick Murray, the owner of the two key mills which produce most of the tweed exported from
the Outer Hebrides, said the whole industry was benefiting.
He said: "We have had interest from at least two well-known high street names who have
bought Harris Tweed this season.
"It gets the cloth into a much younger consumer and that's what we've been trying to do for
years because Harris Tweed has been known to be bought by the older person.
"We didn't have the money to market it and get a younger customer to buy it, but Nike have
done this for us."
Despite the success Mr MacKay revealed that he was not really a trainer
wearer. He said he had given away his pair of Nike Terminators.
Rising incomes
"You can see growth in the market for all luxury goods items
worldwide because more and more people have the means to
afford such products."
Chinese threat
Kerri Evans was a very successful executive who chose to take control of her career and future by buying a
franchise. Today, she owns the local territory a booming pet services franchise. Her story is below.
Bay Area, California -- After a successful eighteen years in Corporate America, it was time to take a
different career path and do something for herself. Kerri Evans had worked as both a buyer for major
corporations and most recently as a high-tech recruiter and senior staffing manager. Her career was stable
and strong, but Kerri was ready for a change.
“My career had been great. I really enjoyed the corporate world and I learned a lot but I wanted to build
equity in myself and have some autonomy in my career,” explained Evans. Looking back, she realized she
enjoyed her jobs most during their growth stages. Evans continued, “I’m just not a ‘go to meetings, work
eight hours, and leave’ kind of a person. I love challenges…”
She searched for businesses to buy, but didn’t have any idea of what she wanted or how to go about
effectively searching for the right business. She said, “I had spotted some businesses that looked promising
but thankfully, I have a wonderful accountant who really looked out for me and after analyzing the
businesses, he told me I could do better.”
Evans searched and learned a little about franchises. “I knew the marketing and branding aspects of building
a business could be so time-consuming, and I didn’t want to wait a year or more to start enjoying my
business. Franchises have the distinct advantage of coming as a complete package. Everything is tested and
proven for you. I thought this would be a great starting point into owning my first business,” said Evans.
Evans used an online search engine to do some of her research. She found listings for franchise consultants
and amongst her choices was FranchiseBuyer, a national network of the industry’s most seasoned franchise
experts and brokers who offer free franchise consulting services to qualified individuals
(http://www.franchisebuyer.com). Evans clicked on the FranchiseBuyer link and she was impressed with the
site from the beginning. “I read about the company and their pre-qualification system. As a recruiter, myself,
I knew what to look for and their system impressed me, so I filled out the pre-qual form. I quickly received a
call from a consultant and we connected immediately,” she recalled.
“I didn’t understand franchising – where to start, how to search. I was working full-time and didn’t have the
time to do the research on my own. After one phone conversation, Bill understood a lot about me and
preferences, and knew which businesses would be right and which would be wrong for me. I had some
businesses in mind when we first met, and he told me right away that they were not businesses with the
right customers for me. I feel so lucky to have hooked up with Bill and FranchiseBuyer. He was just terrific
throughout the whole process,” stated Evans.
Bill’s experience and knowledge allowed him to quickly narrow down Kerri’s choices from thousands of
opportunities in hundreds of industries to a handful, making her decision much less confusing. Evans recalls,
“Bill suggested one of FranchiseBuyer’s franchise opportunities that seemed appropriate for me. The
company was new, innovative, and immediately caught my attention. If the numbers worked, this was the
right business for me.”
“This was a significant investment of about a quarter million dollars and I wanted to make sure it was a
strong investment. Bill really did the opposite of pressuring me: He encouraged me to do my research and
due diligence. I researched the market and called local grooming shops. My accountant also went above and
beyond what he had to do to help me research the opportunity. I gave him the UFOC and models that I had
compiled and he carefully went through the numbers for me,” said Evans. “The key factors I looked for when
choosing a business were; is this business a long-term investment that will be profitable, and do I respect
the franchisees and the franchisor? I called current franchisees and worked directly with Ian Moses, the
company’s CEO and founder, during my due diligence process. I also did a lot of market research before
Discovery Day. My expectations were far exceeded at Discovery Day when I met Ian, and learned of his
vision. I was able to sign the franchise contract that day.”
“People love using my pet service! My customers tell me that my groomers are always on time, and that we
provide a great service. I’ve doubled the calls I’ve received from customers since I started my business. I’m
so glad I connected with my consultant and FranchiseBuyer. I highly recommend buying a franchise and
using FranchiseBuyer’s services to others who want to take control of their career and future,” concludes
Evans.
Database Ace
Victoria Murphy Victoria Murphy,
It wasn't a real job. I knew I wasn't going to build my career there. It was not very fast moving.
Embassies are full of bureaucracy. But I got to understand the difficulties French companies have
when they try to sell into the U.S. market.
It is keeping balance in life. Thanks to the support of my wife, we've been able to build a great
family. We have five children. And I still have very loyal friends from years before starting the
company. I try to be at home on weekends. That sounds simple, but it is tough. Business Objects is
a very international, decentralized company. I have offices in London, Paris and California. My free
time is with my family. I don't go play golf on the weekends.
Starting Business Objects in France and turning it into a billion dollar, international organization. We
had a lot of skeptics. People told me I was too young, and I am French.
When we took the company public in New York, I really felt we had done something. I remember the
day of the opening on the trading floor of Goldman Sachs (nyse: GS - news - people ). We were
priced at $17.50. The first trade took a while; pressure mounted. Then, 45 minutes later the stock
sold at $27.50. It was a big symbol. We had made it from a small, French private company into a
publicly recognized entity.
Getting married to my wife, Susan. She has been extremely supportive in helping me find balance.
She is American. If I had married someone else who didn't have perspective on both countries and
an understanding of the business world, I wouldn't be here today. She is very strong, organized and
disciplined.
When I was younger, I was a little shy and not necessarily very comfortable with people I didn't
know. She made me more mature in that way. Now I am much more of an extrovert.
A lunch in Paris at a sandwich shop called Le Poivrier. It was the fall of 1989. A colleague from
Oracle, who eventually co-founded Business Objects with me, discussed the idea of starting a new
firm. We both came to that lunch with the goal of convincing the other to co-found a company. I
thought of a consulting company. He thought of a product company. I'm glad we went with his idea.
What was the greatest challenge you faced in your personal life?
The loss of my father several years ago. For the first time, I felt deeply sad. There was nothing
extraordinary about it. Everyone is touched by the loss of a parent. I was close with him, but he was
not the kind of person who says much. I have been very lucky overall. I haven't had a tough life so
far.
What was the greatest challenge you faced in your professional life?
In 1996 our products were buggy. We had high employee turnover in the U.S. Our stock price
dropped 77% in one year. The co-founder left. A lot of people were saying they knew it would
happen--these young French guys don't know what they're doing.
I did not want to leave when things were going poorly. I was convinced we were strong. Companies
go through tough times. At our end of the year sales meeting I wanted to create a bit of emotion, so
as a metaphor I used the voyage of Christopher Columbus. In the beginning there were awful
storms, not enough water or food. Some boats turned back. But the ones who stuck it out found this
new world. On a journey you always have tough times. Two years later we were one of the top ten
tech stocks on Wall Street for two years in a row.
I am very competitive. I like to win. It's OK to lose, but I want to keep score. I like the thrill of the
game. The better the guys are on the opposite side, the more fun it is. We're one of the top 25
software companies in the world, so to succeed we have to bring out our best game.
What I don't like to do is sit around and do nothing. I like to organize trips with family and friends. A
couple years ago we organized a big weekend with 40 friends and 100 kids in Brittany, where we
have a vacation home. We had all sorts of games and competitions, like father and son tennis, a
golf competition, a little show that the kids put together.
I am not a big indulger. It doesn't bring me a lot of satisfaction to indulge in something. I get a thrill
in doing a bike ride, hike or skiing in Chamonix.
I love reading. It takes me to places and times that I would otherwise not experience. I buy eight
books a month. I don't always finish them. The last one that I really liked was The Kite Runner by
Khaled Hosseini.
I just saw Ray. I thought it was great. The story of his life is fascinating. The acting was great, and I
love the music.
I like sculpture. I like Rodin quite a bit. "The Kiss" is my favorite. It is very classic. There is nothing
controversial about it. My school growing up was next to the Rodin Museum in Paris, so I often had
to climb into the sculpture garden to fetch our soccer ball. That may be why I like it.
Playing tennis. It requires strategy and execution. There is a good parallel between a good tennis
match and running a business. You have to be quick, but you also have to pace yourself. And you
have to really understand your competition--their strengths and weaknesses. I was a ball boy at the
French Open when I was 15. I also like soccer, skiing and wind surfing.
I would go to Brittany to our cottage. I would go fishing in the morning and sailing in the afternoon.
I went to Brittany as a kid. It is much more rugged and real than the south of France. And you're
near the real sea. It is rougher, but more genuine.
What is the best thing about being a CEO?
Being given the opportunity to build something out of the ordinary. When you're CEO, you can
create not just a business, but a great company; a place with a vision and a unique culture. I
obviously have a big emotional attachment to this company. You can't set out to create great
culture--you have to lead by example. People will follow your steps.
I work too much, travel too much. I am not at home enough. I am on planes all the time. I have a
strong family. I see them every weekend, but during the week I don't see them much.
I am not ready to be remembered for something. I am 42, and I hope most of my life is still ahead of
me. I have a lot to learn, to experience.
THE HEADHUNTER
BETH AXELROD, 42, SENIOR VP, HUMAN
RESOURCES, EBAY
If Anne M. Mulcahy ever does manage to save Xerox Corp. (XRX ), then surely June 14 will look
like a turning point. Mulcahy, president and CEO-in-waiting, flew from headquarters in Stamford,
Conn., to Rochester, N.Y., the home of Xerox' big operations, to deliver devastating news. The
company was killing its entire line of desktop inkjet printers--a one-year-old business that employed
1,500 people worldwide and had been championed by Mulcahy herself. The division would not turn
a profit for at least two years, though, and Xerox needed cash now. "In a year of tough decisions,
this one was toughest," Mulcahy says.
STORY TOOLS
Tough hardly does justice to the year. Xerox' directors suddenly
promoted Mulcahy to president in May, 2000, after ousting G. Richard
Thoman, who lasted all of 13 months, and reinstalling Chairman Paul A. Printer-Friendly
Allaire as CEO. The company was close to foundering after years of Version
weak sales and high costs; employees were as disgruntled as
customers. Then things went from bad to worse: In October, Xerox E-Mail This Story
reported its first quarterly loss in 16 years. Debt was piling up. And the
Securities & Exchange Commission began investigating whether Xerox
used accounting tricks to boost income.
Little in Mulcahy's past experience as vice-president for human Resume: Anne M. Mulcahy
resources and chief staff officer to Allaire had tested her in this kind of
crisis management. But she has impressed Xerox' directors as a • Find More Stories Like This
decisive leader. People close to Mulcahy, 48, expect she'll soon be
named CEO. "It's a huge jump from senior executive to the chief
executive slot," says Xerox director Ralph Larsen, who heads Johnson & Johnson. But, he adds,
"she has the strategic mind and toughness to serve as CEO." (On July 26, Mulcahy was named
CEO of Xerox.)
BOXED IN. No doubt this will be a closely watched handover. After all, it was Allaire's botched
succession planning that brought Xerox to the low place it is today. Not only must Mulcahy continue
to shore up morale after Thoman's disastrous sales-force reorganization, she also has to cut $1
billion from annual costs. And that's just to get Xerox to the point where she can make some real
changes. Mulcahy believes--as do most analysts--that Xerox shouldn't be content just selling
copiers, or "boxes" in company lingo. It has to focus on "solutions" that let corporations scan, store,
and print digital documents tailored to their needs. But the old guard is still resistant. To succeed,
she'll have to do away with more than the inkjet printers.
Some people don't think she's up to it. Skeptics say Mulcahy belongs to the old guard herself, a
veteran Xeroid who started 25 years ago selling copiers. They regard her as part of a past that
weighs heavily on Xerox: a culture paralyzed by politics and earlier success. Moreover, Xerox is
family to Mulcahy: Her husband is a retired sales manager, and her brother Thomas J. Dolan is
head of the Global Solutions Group. "The good news or the bad news is she has the soul of Xerox.
The risk is, maybe she's too close to it," says a consultant and Xerox adviser. Mulcahy, though,
says she's ready to shake up the culture: "There needs to be far more innovation and receptivity to
new ideas. I have very little time for endless debate and consensus."
Today, she has reestablished some sense of trust between employees and management. No one
talks about bankruptcy anymore, and Xerox' operations are mending steadily. Operating losses in
the first quarter--typically Xerox' toughest--were far narrower than expected. Second-quarter losses
contained no similar surprise, coming in as forecast. Still, the company faces enormous troubles,
even if it returns to profitability in the second half, as it promises. Its bonds are rated junk by
Moody's Investors Service, and it is still struggling to conserve cash and pay down its huge debt--a
$7 billion loan is due next year.
CHEERLEADER. Mulcahy, who spoke briefly with BusinessWeek, is a hugely popular manager
with years of experience dealing with customers. But she hasn't been involved in product
development, and she doesn't have Allaire's financial expertise. What got her the job of president--
and the chance to prove herself ready to be CEO--was her smart decision-making as head of
Xerox' $6 billion division for small office equipment. She put together one of Xerox' biggest
acquisitions, the $925 million purchase of Tektronix Inc.'s (TEK ) color-printing division, now a
source of fast-growing revenues. As important, she proved fiercely protective of Tektronix' autonomy
and even adopted some of its business practices. "The people who felt the most change were from
Xerox, who said, `Wait, I thought we acquired them,"' says Gerald K. Perkel, a Tektronix veteran
who is now a Xerox senior vice-president.
As president, Mulcahy has been chief cheerleader in a company where executives usually keep to
themselves. During her first three months, she crisscrossed the country, holding nearly two dozen
meetings with employees. She even promised to fly anywhere, anytime to help salespeople close
tough deals.
Then, when Xerox' financial situation worsened last September, the company was forced to take
drastic action. With Allaire fixated on repairing the balance sheet, Mulcahy focused on operations,
promising to slash $1 billion from Xerox' annual costs. She's more than halfway there. Some 8,600
middle managers and factory workers have been let go; she tries to make the announcements in
person. And she said she'll reduce high manufacturing costs, which have put Xerox at a decided
disadvantage to competitors such as Canon Inc. (CAJ ), by $200 million. Xerox has not disclosed
how close it is to that goal. Indeed, only three years ago it tried to cut $1 billion, but never got there.
Meanwhile, Mulcahy spreads her message with a regular memo called "Turnaround Talk," which
alternates between enthusiasm ("Together We Can Do It!") and pragmatism ("When we shut off the
bottled water, it's not because we want to be mean-spirited. It's because all these little
expenses...can spell the difference between losing money and turning a profit").
Mulcahy has raised the energy level at Xerox. A big Bruce Springsteen fan, she's also a real gym
rat. Mulcahy grew up in a Long Island (N.Y.) household with four brothers; her father was an editor
in a publishing firm, and her mother took care of the kids. Now her mom looks after her two teenage
sons when she is away, which is often, since Mulcahy is usually on the road three days a week. She
doesn't mind traveling, even to hear criticism from employees. But they better be prepared to hear
some back. "She doesn't sugarcoat it," says Perkel.
Today the company bills Mulcahy as "the future of Xerox." To her, at least, that means a Xerox that
looks more like IBM (IBM ), offering services to help businesses manage their vast cache of
documents. Paul A. Ricci, chairman of software maker ScanSoft Inc. (table ) and a former Xerox
exec, says Mulcahy's push toward an IBM model makes sense: "What Anne's doing is smart, which
is to compete in the places where Xerox is strong." That is, in large corporations.
Of course, this isn't the first time Xerox has attempted an IBM-like makeover. Thoman couldn't
manage it, despite the fact he learned from the master at IBM, Louis V. Gerstner Jr. And the
company has been trying to transform itself for two decades. So why would Mulcahy succeed? "It's
the Nixon-in-China phenomenon," says David A. Nadler, chairman of Mercer Delta Consulting. "No
one doubts her motives." Thoman, after all, was an outsider. Plus, Xerox has never been in as dire
a condition as it is now.
So maybe it will take a Xeroid to dispose of the toxic parts of the company's culture that have made
it so resistant to change. "There's an all-out battle going on between boxes and solutions," says
James W. Lundy, a Gartner Group Inc. consultant and ex-Xeroid. Mulcahy is blunt about wanting
her salespeople to learn to sell services, too. "It's the ability to walk and chew gum," she says. "We
can't be [just] the giant copier company." Ditto that
CHART
07:29 AM EST
Anne M
Mulcahy
CEO/Chairman of
the Board/Director
at
Xerox Corporation
n/a
CONSUMER
GOODS / BUSINESS
EQUIPMENT
Officer since 1992 Track This
Director since 2000 Person
52 years old
Joined Xerox in 1976 as a sales representative and held various sales and senior management
positions. Named Vice President for Human Resources in 1992; Senior Vice President in 1998; and
Executive Vice President in 1999. Elected President and Chief Operating Officer in May 2000, Chief
Executive Officer in August 2001 and assumed the additional role of Chairman on January 1, 2002.
Fiscally Blond
Xerox CEO Anne Mulcahy is finally outshining her doppelgänger, H-P's
Carly Fiorina.
By Daniel Gross
Posted Tuesday, Feb. 11, 2003, at 1:58 PM PT
But Fiorina, the first woman to head a Dow component, has already been
the subject of two major books and countless magazine cover stories in
42 months as CEO. Fiorina starred in a flashy advertising campaign and
engineered a high-stakes merger with Compaq over the objections of
Walter Hewlett, son of company co-founder William Hewlett. But while
Carly has become—like that other exemplar of blond ambition, Madonna
—a mononym, Mulcahy has remained obscure outside the business
world.
That's partly because H-P dwarfs Xerox in both revenues ($56 billion to
$16.5 billion annually) and market capitalization ($50.8 billion to $6.3
billion) and partly because Fiorina has done a better job at cultivating a
public image. But in some ways, Mulcahy's is a more compelling story
line: Female lifer gets a shot to revive a fabled, male-dominated
company. And while Fiorina's efforts have thus far disappointed
shareholders—H-P's stock has declined about two-thirds since her arrival
—Mulcahy's triage efforts have shown better results.
Continue Article
The story of Xerox's rise and fall is well-known. The Xerox 914 copier,
introduced in 1959, transformed office work and turned Xerox into a
charter member of the Nifty 50. But since the '70s, Xerox has been
crippled by Japanese competition, its repeated failures to capitalize on
innovations at the Palo Alto Research Center, and its sloth in embracing
digital imaging.
In October 2000, Xerox notched its first quarterly loss since the early
'80s, and the Securities and Exchange Commission announced an
investigation into the way Xerox accounted for equipment leases. The
stock fell to about $7, off nearly 90 percent from its 1999 high. Burdened
by a huge debt load and unable to raise funds in the public credit
markets, Xerox appeared on the brink of bankruptcy.
Allaire didn't want to spend his golden years engaged in what would be a
long-term turnaround. Enter Anne Mulcahy, who had joined Xerox as a
sales representative in 1976 and rose through successively higher posts
in human resources and operations. In May 2000, when Thoman left, she
was named president and designated heir apparent.
But with Mulcahy increasingly taking the lead—she was named CEO in
July 2001—Xerox slimmed down. The company sold its China and Hong
Kong operations and raised $1.3 billion in March 2001 by selling half its
stake in a joint venture with Fuji.
Mulcahy also proved willing to make tough decisions. In June 2001, she
went to Rochester, N.Y., to shut down the unit that made desktop inkjet
printers—a business she had supported. Soon after taking the reins, she
eliminated the dividend and announced that Xerox would seek to spin off
PARC as a separate company.
Xerox's financial problems—and the SEC accounting investigation—
stemmed in large part from the way it accounted for customer leases on
copiers. (The then-revolutionary tactic of leasing rather than selling
copiers is what enabled Xerox to grow so rapidly in the '60s.) Mulcahy
moved to sell off chunks of payments expected from existing leases and
struck agreements to have other institutions finance new leases for
customers in Latin America and Europe. Last April, she cut a deal with
the SEC, paying a $10 million fine and restating results from 1997
through 2001.
These efforts created breathing space. Xerox is profitable again, but it's
by no means safe. The company's fortunes are still tied to the future of
information technology spending, which shows few signs of recovery.
With growth elusive, Mulcahy last fall cut 2,400 jobs.
Fiorina got into trouble by making promises early in her tenure that the
company couldn't keep. By contrast, Mulcahy has set out modest goals.
Last fall, she said that by focusing on its core office and services
businesses, Xerox could see revenue grow at a 5 percent annual clip for
the next three years.
Mulcahy may not be getting much recognition for her efforts in the
publishing world. But the market is taking notice. Because she hadn't
worked in finance, Mulcahy wasn't tarnished by the accounting
problems. Xerox's stock is a few percentage points higher than where it
was when she came in, and it has nearly doubled since October 2002.
That such a performance is worthy of note may be a sign of how the
standards for CEO excellence have declined. But there are plenty of
other CEOs—male and female, probably including Fiorina—who would
gladly swap their own recent stock charts for Xerox's.
Twenty-six years ago, Anne Mulcahy Another key factor in Anne's rise at Xerox was the role
joined Xerox Corporation as one of others played—specifically, her bosses, co-workers, and
the company's first women sales staff. She likens it to building a band of allies. "I think
reps. Pushing boundaries from the the most fabulous thing…can be when you develop…
first, she's now chairman and CEO of relationships over time, and you really do begin to build
Xerox, a $17 billion enterprise that a constituency," she says. "The people who have worked
leads the global document for you, the people who have worked with you, as well as
management and technology the people you've worked for can become a very
markets. powerful set of voices that support you."
Anne credits her upbringing for her And as Anne reflects, such networks will help transform
success. Growing up in a family with the presence of high-ranking women from novelty to
four brothers and forward-thinking norm. "I am one of six women CEOs in the Fortune 500,"
parents, her gender neither defined she points out, "and I certainly live for the day where
nor limited. She developed confidence those numbers are much higher, and it's not quite an
during nightly after-dinner event."
discussions, which taught her to
speak her mind about even the most
contentious topics. "You never got to
sit back and be a passenger," she
recalls. "You had to be a driver."
Anne
Mul
cah
y
Anne Mulcahy was born in October 1952 in New York and grew up in a
Long Island household with four brothers. Joining Xerox in 1976 as a
Sales Representative, Anne held several sales and senior management
positions prior to her promotion to Chairman and Chief Executive. While
this promotion was quite obviously a feather in her cap, it was accepted
with mixed emotions, coming at a time when revenue and profits were
declining, customers were irate, employees were disillusioned and
shareholders were watching the value of their stock slide.
Despite this, over just a few years, Anne has managed to turn the fate of Xerox around
making it again one of the industry's major competitors. Quite some achievement, but
just how did Anne make this transition?
A three pronged plan was put in place, focusing on cash generation, the reduction of
cost base and strengthening of the core business. This meant however that Anne was
forced to kill an entire line she championed, a difficult but necessary decision. With
both her strategy and implementation plans in place, Anne then focused on her people,
needing the support and commitment of the team in order to succeed. Aware that she
was dealing with a disillusioned workforce, Anne's direct and honest approach stood
her in good stead, instilling loyalty and enthusiasm.
Anne has been described as a tough, strategic and decisive leader. She has succeeded
in providing an optimistic future for Xerox, but her story is far from over. It will be
interesting to see what fate holds in store for Anne and how she will tackle it.
John joined ICI in 1959 and began his swift ascent up the corporate
ladder, with one management position following another. Against all
odds, he made history in 1982 by becoming the first non-chemist
Chairman of the company. It has been said that this marked the shift of
emphasis in the United Kingdom from the importance of industry
experience to the importance of management experience.
John's leadership style was always one of visibility and informality, strongly believing
that employees need an identifiable figure at the head of an organisation with whom
they can take inspiration and values. Quick to rate the ability to motivate and
encourage others as 'top of the lot' in terms of qualities for a good leader, he maintains
that there are no 'bad troops', only 'bad leaders'.
John's skills and experience are now in great demand and are shared through his
writing. He has also made his mark on TV by fronting a series of business programs
called 'Troubleshooter', helping business management to become a popular discussion
subject.
John is the winner of many awards including 'Motivator of the Year', 'Award of
Excellence in Communication' and he is three times winner of 'Industrialist of the Year'.
He is a true captain of British industry and an inspiration to business leaders around the
globe.
Sir John Harvey-Jones
'Tell Me
About
Yourself'
Doesn't
Mean
'Tell It
All'
By Arlene S. Hirsch
When an interviewer asked a systems engineer to "tell me about yourself," he felt well-prepared to
answer. After all, he'd been a professional for more than two decades and could recite the ups and downs
of his career in great detail.
Perhaps too much detail.
The engineer was only halfway through a chronological explanation of his work history when the
interviewer interrupted him to ask another question. The engineer was upset that he hadn't described
several important accomplishments. Reflecting back, he realizes he could have been more succinct. He
also should have grabbed the interviewer's attention at the beginning by saying something more
memorable than where he grew up and why he majored in engineering.
If an interviewer gives you the stage in this way, understand that responding is trickier than you think.
The following tips can help you provide a memorable and effective description.
1. Start with the end in sight.
Despite the deceptive phrasing, the directive, "Tell me about yourself," isn't a polite request for your life
story. What the interviewer wants to know is, "Why should I hire you?" Knowing this, your goal is to
craft a convincing statement that will make the interviewer want to know more about you and what you
can do for the company.
To prepare, you must develop a response tailored to the specific employer and addressing its interests,
goals, and needs. You should revise, refine and rehearse your script until you can deliver it flawlessly --
with energy, enthusiasm and confidence.
2. Take the time to establish rapport.
When interviewers invite you to tell them about yourself, they're asking you to step into the spotlight, a
place where extroverts and natural performers shine but where introverts can become anxious, tongue-
tied and self-conscious.
If you don't feel comfortable in the limelight, look at the situation in a different way. Rather than
delivering an oratorical performance, focus on establishing an emotional bond with your interviewer.
Here's where body language can make a difference: Smile, make eye contact, lean toward and talk to and
not at your listener.
3. Sketch the big picture.
Experienced candidates should focus on the big picture first so that interviewers will place later
information in the proper context. Start by providing an overview that allows them to see your career in
total. Example: "Why don't I start with the big picture? As you can see from my resume, I have more
than 15 years of experience in sales, marketing and general management, primarily in consumer
products. The majority of that time was in the food-and-beverage industry. Thanks to my experiences at
________ and _________, I have an in-depth knowledge of the domestic and international marketplace
for the food and beverage industries."
4. Focus.
After you sketch the big picture, talk about specific experiences that are most relevant and interesting to
an interviewer. Your research can pay off here. Learning as much as you can about the industry,
employer and job (via the job description) allows you to zero in on your most relevant qualifications and
experiences.
A senior communications manager experienced in marketing, public relations and event management
knew that a prospective employer, a nonprofit, was well known in the Latino community for a successful
annual conference. In previous years, major politicians and government officials had been keynote
speakers.
While preparing her tell-me-about-yourself statement, the communications manager decided to focus on
three major experiences:
her success in marketing and promoting high-visibility events;
her high-profile experience working on political campaigns; and
her experience with the Latino community.
However, she didn't use a chronological approach since these experiences happened at different points in
her career.
5. Showcase your communication skills.
Most interviewers observe how you organize and present information about yourself. If your recent
experience is most relevant, detail your accomplishments in reverse chronological order, giving less
emphasis to your first few jobs. Conversely, if your most relevant experiences happened in the middle of
your career, you may want to start your description at that point.
Assume, for example, that your first love is training, but recently you've spent more time working as a
general human-resource manager. When interviewing for a training position, your tell-me-about-yourself
statement might start: "Since training is my first love and one of my core strengths, I'll start by telling
you about my training experience and accomplishments. While I was working at _________, I put
together a very successful management-training program that received rave reviews from participants..."
6. Highlight the benefits you'll bring to the employer.
A job search is a self-marketing campaign. Experienced marketing experts say to stress a product's
benefits to the customer rather than its features, which could well be nifty but the customer might not
need them. In a job search, you're the product. Toward that end, orient any discussion of your skills and
experiences toward showing how they can benefit your future employer.
Example: "From the job description, it sounds to me like you're looking for someone who has strong
project-management skills. My greatest accomplishment as a project manager was at _____________."
From there you can describe the goals of the project, what you did to attain them and the subsequent
results.
7. Spotlight the positive.
Never say anything negative about yourself or previous employers. If you decide to highlight earlier
experiences instead of a more recent role, be sure to present all your jobs in a positive light. To do that,
emphasize how and why your later experiences enhanced your abilities and scope.
For instance, after describing her training accomplishments, the HR executive might follow up by
discussing how her success as a manager has given her a better understanding of organizational needs
and naturally enhanced her credibility and performance as a trainer.
8. Provide details.
Don't expect interviewers to take your story on faith alone. Have specific examples ready to illustrate
your skills. For example, to emphasize your problem-solving ability, describe a problem you faced in a
past job, what actions you took to resolve it and the result of those actions. Whenever possible, choose a
problem that's similar to those the prospective employer might face. To determine the type of challenge
you might be asked to correct, refer to the job description or, lacking that, ask the employer to describe
the position so that you can focus your presentation effectively.
9. Disclose personal information cautiously.
When it comes to disclosing personal information, there's no right answer. It depends on two factors:
whether you feel comfortable using personal details and what you plan to accomplish by doing so. While
disclosing personal information can be a good icebreaker and rapport-builder, it also can backfire. You
never know how an employer will process that information. Will a hiring manager be glad to know
you're a family man or worry that you won't be free to travel or work long hours?
Keep the purpose of the conversation in mind. Whenever possible, mention personal information
strategically. For example, an executive who's interviewing for a job with a toy manufacturer might
share anecdotal information about his children's experience with the manufacturer's toys. An executive
who knows that a job requires extensive international travel could share about his or her personal travel
experiences.
10. Finish strong.
When should you return the floor to the interviewer? Use nonverbal signs as your cue. If an interviewer
seems restless and bored, ask for feedback about your presentation: "Is this what you want to hear? Or is
there something else that you'd like me to focus on?" This allows the interviewer to change the flow of
communication and establishes a two-way dialogue.
If the interviewer remains attentive, you'll have more leeway in how you
wrap up. The best way to end your statement is to put the
conversational ball in the interviewer's court by saying why you're
interested in the company and position and asking for more information
about current needs. Listen attentively to the response to determine
what parts of your experience and accomplishments to mention as the
interview progresses.
Parents
Don't
Always
Know
Best
About
Jobs
By Erin White
By Erin White
Making the best impression when dressing in business casual clothing is a must for all businesses today. Dressing t
employers and employees will benefit tremendously from clearly defined and established guidelines.
Professional Skill Builders is in the business of helping companies establish business casual dress polices that are a
environment and industry.
Dress Code Consulting Services
We can help you define the difference between business casual and casual dress. We’ll walk you through creating o
company’s professional environment. Our goal in this effort is to help you:
• creating a name or acronym for the dress code program
Business Dinners
- Chapter Excerpt - the entire article -
It is traditional in Germany to eat the main meal of the day at lunchtime,
between 11:30 AM and 1:30 PM.
Let's Do Lunch
Cultural Nuances of Business Lunches Abroad
by Nina Segal
Monster Contributing Writer
"Let's do lunch" is a phrase that we have all heard and used many times. It is quite
common for business to be done at the dining table, whether it's a sales call, a negotiation,
or a meal to check in and maintain an important client relationship. Business lunches and
dinners are common around the globe, though they are handled differently in each country.
It is important to understand cultural etiquette around dining in order to avoid embarrassment
and maximize your chances of business success.
Keep in mind that whenever cultural differences and similarities are discussed, a great deal of
generalization is being made. Obviously, each individual has his or her own particular style, and
it is important to be aware, listen carefully, and take your cues from your host. That said, there
are some generalities that might be helpful when approaching a business meal.
In the United States, individuals generally have a reputation for getting right down to business.
Meals are a means to an end -- to close the deal, for example. And many Americans have taken
this attitude, and turned off many a client.
Mexico/Latin America
In Latin America, for example, it is customary to be more social over lunch before turning to
business at hand. You might be asked about your family, how you are enjoying the country, and
should reciprocate the pleasantries. You may be considered rude and too overbearing if you
jump right into a negotiation. Andrew Goldberg, president of Andrew Goldberg and Associates, a
consulting firm providing technology information for Latin America, notes that, "The biggest
differences I have observed between business lunches in Mexico and the US are the length and
content. Business lunches in Mexico typically last two or more hours and begin in the mid-
afternoon. The topics of conversation can range widely from family to current affairs."
Brazil
Lunch and dinner tend to be eaten later in the day in Brazil because Brazilians like to start their
day a little later than Americans or Europeans, and business dinners are generally preferred over
lunches. Brazilians love to invite visitors to savor the traditional drink of "Caipirinha," a highly
potent mixture of Cachaca (sugar cane spirit) lime and sugar. It's deceptively refreshing and
highly intoxicating, so go easy, advises Gina Teague, a cross-cultural counselor, "or you might
lose the competitive advantage!"
The UK
In Britain, a business lunch might occur at a pub, a restaurant or a gentlemen's club. There is
less discussion of family or personal life. The British culture tends to be a bit more formal, so
you might want to keep things on a business, economic or (appropriate) political note. The
British are quite polite as a rule, and will tend to be put off by loud, backslapping sort of
behavior. Teague reminds clients that "table manners in Europe and the UK in particular are
extremely important, particularly at more formal luncheons with senior management. This
means keeping both knife and fork in your hands throughout the meal -- not using the knife
initially then laying it down on the plate, as is usually done in the US."
A senior business professional in the UK with whom I spoke also explained the ritual of
"gentlemen's clubs," which date back to the pre-Victorian era. If you are invited to one of these
clubs for a meal, it is very rude to discuss business, and taking out a briefcase or a cell phone
could not only result in you being asked to leave, but could also cost your host his membership.
Japan
"Lunch is traditionally the main meal of the day, and even today, in busy cities, it can still be an
elaborate affair with several courses, " writes Dean Foster in his book, The Global Etiquette
Guide to Asia. Catherine Tansey of International Business Training Inc. goes on to advise, "Try
to avoid having noodles if you have a more informal business lunch. Many Japanese enjoy
slurping their noodles in order to make them cooler to eat. They are always a bit shocked when
they see that Westerners simply can't slurp their noodles."
Business dinners can last for several hours until late in the evening, though business breakfasts
are not a favorite for the Japanese, who think it is a somewhat strange ritual. Finally, guests will
never see the host paying the bill. Tansey notes that it is always done discretely beforehand or
after the lunch.
These are just a few examples of the role that meals play in conducting international business.
What all of these instances have in common is the lesson that it is important to take time and
learn the customs and unspoken norms of other countries in order to build relationships and be
an effective businessperson.