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Futile No? No
Is it futile?
What does futility mean?
QUANTITATIVE FUTILITY
• Physiologically futile: (doesn’t works)
• Ex: brain transplant
• Works < 5% of the time
• Ex: some bone marrow transplants
QUALITATIVE FUTILITY
• Not beneficial to the patient (it is not worth it)
• Ex: CPR on a 90 y old with metastatic cancer
• This is a value judgement
23 week baby:
beneficial, “grey zone” or futile?
What is the survival in the US?
23 weeks: Between 0 and 70%
• Kaempf et al: recommends comfort care at 23
weeks = 29% intervention and 0% survival
• Batton et al: 100% resuscitation = 40% survival
• Bell; Iowa: 70% survival with good outcomes
22 weeks (NEJM, Rysavy MA et al, May 2015):
intervention: 0-100%; survival between 0 and
40%
• Parents are not aware of these differences
What is their quality of life?
• Health related QOL: worse than
individuals born term
• Subjective quality of life: similar to
« controls » born term
– Having friends, going to school, particiating in
activities
– Living independantly, having a family, an
education
23 week baby:
Difficult decisions
Solution?
Simple rules for complicated decisions
(GESTATIONAL AGE BASED MANTRA)
Some variation of:
• Futile: 22 weeks
• Grey zone: 23 and 24 weeks
• Beneficial: 25 weeks and above
Interventions are not always futile at 22 wks
Interventions at > 25 weeks are
not always beneficial
Gestational Age
Not accurately known!
• Apart from IVF, best estimates of GA are
• +/- 5 days (95% of the time) if ultrasound
between 9 and 12 weeks
• +/- 10 days if ultrasound between 16-20 wk
• Estimated fetal weight +/- 15% (80% of the
time)
• Inaccurate GA changes at midnight
Huge practice variations
2019. 4. 9. 22
If we treated older patients like
preemies: profound disability
(Stephen Hawking)
2019. 4. 9. 23
Disproportionate care?
(Chantal Petitclerc)
2019. 4. 9. 24
Burdensome treatment
(pain and suffering)
(Christopher Reeves)
2019. 4. 9. 25
Prolonging life or prolonging death?
(Terry Fox)
2019. 4. 9. 26
What about the parents?
• More optimistic than physicians
• More tolerant of disability
• They do not seen QOL the same way
physicians do: higher estimates
• Children also judge their QOL higher
(than rated by providers)
Practical recommendations
The standardized prenatal
monologue
23 weeks Intervention,
About 15%-76% survive
(local stats)
Comfort care:
Baby dies IF survival
1 in 3 have a
BUT, she might still 1 in 2 are « minor »
die in the NICU « normal » disability:
1 in 4 have major disability -Hyperactivity
-CP (8-10%) -Dyslexia
-deafness (3%) -Behavior
-blindness (2%) - Learning
-developmental delay difficulty
- Bla bla bla
Speaking about life and death
Contrast between medical view and parental view
PARENTS
Personalization, individualization, relationship
What parents want to know
(not in policy statements and decision aids)
Our child is not just a gestational age. A first-hand account of what parents
want and need to know before premature birth
Katharina Staub (katharina.staub@cpbf-fbpc.org), Jason Baardsnes, Nina Hebert, Michael Hebert, Stephanie Newell, Rebecca Pearce
Canadian Premature Babies Foundation-Fondation pour Beb es Prematur es Canadiens, Sherwood Park, AB, Canada
« We did not have a hundred babies. We had two but 50%
had died. One was left. What did that mean for Maren? »
Who decides?
The medical team decides
“It was clear for us we did not want to decide the
day our daughter would die. We trusted the
doctors and nurses for that, to tell us when it was
time. They gave us some time with her and we
will be forever grateful for that”
God decides
• Listen to families
• Don’t be afraid to speak about uncomfortable
things
• Stand by families
Questions?
Ethical analysis:
The best interest principle
Decision making for incompetent patients
• If an intervention is in an incompetent
patient’s best interest -and serious harm
would follow non-intervention
• Than non-intervention is generally not
acceptable
Estimations of best interests for
incompetent patients
• Anonymous questionnaire to physicians in 8
culturally different countries
• “You are a physician working in an ER in a
tertiary care center…”