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Occupations requiring
higher levels of ...
Social skills 83
Analytical skills 77
Physical skills 18
All 30
Financial activities
23
http://www.pewsocialtrends.org/2016/10/06/the-state-of-american-jobs/
October 10, 2017 4
warehousing
Other services 32
% change in industry employment, 1990-2015
All 30
Financial activities 23
Construction 22
Government 20
Retail trade 19
Wholesale trade 12
Information 2
Utilities -25
Manufacturing -30
October 10, 2017
http://www.pewsocialtrends.org/2016/10/06/the-state-of-american-jobs/
3) Automation, robots, artificial intelligence are taking over
workers’ traditional tasks
47% 50%
Oxford researchers calculate McKinsey analysts estimate
this is the percentage of this is the share of activities
American employment that workers are paid to do now that
is at risk because of the could be automated using
expected impacts of currently available technologies
computerization in the – accounting for $15 trillion in
foreseeable future wages
http://www.oxfordmartin.ox.ac.uk/downloads/academic/The_Future_of_Employment.pdf https://www.mckinsey.com/global-themes/digital-disruption/harnessing-automation-for-a-future-that-works
45 years
The timeframe estimated by artificial intelligence experts
when “high level machine intelligence” – unaided machines
that can accomplish any given task better and more
cheaply than humans – will be developed
- 2024: outperform language translators
- 2027: drive a truck
- 2031 : work in retail
- 2049: write best selling book
- 2053: work as a surgeon
https://arxiv.org/pdf/1705.08807.pdf
64
54 53 51
38
32
Individuals themselves 72 22 3 1
Employers 49 39 8 3
State governments 40 35 15 9
Federal government 35 34 18 11
70% “yes”
30% “no
http://www.pewinternet.org/2017/05/03/the-future-of-jobs-and-jobs-training/
Theme 1) The training ecosystem will evolve, with a mix of
innovation in all education formats
Theme 2) Learners must cultivate 21st-century skills,
capabilities and attributes: Tough-to-teach intangibles
such as emotional intelligence, curiosity, creativity,
adaptability, resilience and critical thinking will be most
highly valued
Theme 3) New credentialing systems will arise as self-
directed learning expands
http://www.pewinternet.org/2017/05/03/the-future-of-jobs-and-jobs-training/
Thank you!
Email: lrainie@pewresearch.org
Twitter: @lrainie
@pewinternet
@pewresearch