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a) Inventory T.O. ratio = COGS/Avg. Inventory (higher the better; this figure is used for
calculating DIO)
Avg. Inventory = Opening inventory (previous year’s closing stock) plus closing inventory of the
current year divided by two
COGS can be direct production cost (Investopedia, 2007) or the total cost except interest and taxes
(ICFAI, 2005)
b) Credit T.O. ratio or A/C receivables T.O. ratio = Net Credit Sales (total credit sales- cost
of goods returned) / Avg. A/c Receivables (higher the better; this figure is used for
calculating DSO)
c) Cash T.O. ratio or A/C receivables T.O. ratio = Net Cash Sales (total cash sales- cost of
goods returned) / Avg. A/c Receivables (higher the better; this figure is used for calculating
DSO)
d) Net Credit Sales / Net Cash Sales
e) A/c payables T.O. ratio = Net Debit Sales / Avg. A/c Payables
Net Debit Sales = Net Cash Sales (total cash sales – cogr) –Net Credit Sales
*Working Capital falls on the credit side of the balance sheet under ‘Application of Funds’ in contrast
to the ‘Sources of Funds’ on the debit side; W.C. constitutes CA + CL + Provisions
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B) LIQUIDITY MEASUREMENT RATIOS (reference:
Investopedia, 2007)
a)
Current assets= cash and equivalents+ Short-term investments+ A/C receivables + Deferred and
Advanced Payments+ Current Inventories (raw materials+ stock/work in progress+ finished items)
Investopedia, 2007
Another variant:
Current assets: cash and bank balances+ loans, advances and deposits +sundry debtors (A/c
receivables from the buyers incl. those who have the credit for than six months -- prov. for doubtful
debts) + deferred and advanced payments+ inventories (raw materials+ stock/work in progress+
finished items) (ICFAI, 2005)
Current Liabilities = Short term debt+ current portion of the long term debt+ operation liabilities such
as tax payment, electricity bill payment , A/c payables to the suppliers.
b)
Another variant:
Quick ratio=Quick assets /Quick liabilities
Quick liabilities= CL-- Bank overdrafts -- income received in advance
c)
Bank Finance to working capital gap ratio = short term bank borrowings / working capital gap
d)
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e)
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C) PROFITABILITY or EFFICIENCY INDICATOR RATIOS
PROFIT MARGIN ANALYSIS RATIOS
a)
Gross Profit= Net Sales (Sales T.O. – COGR & Excise Duty) – COGS (direct production cost = labor
+ materials + operational heads related to marketing); first level profit
b)
Operating Profit = Gross profit— (operating expenses = S& GA+ R&D+ Dep. + Amort.); second
level profit also called EBIT
c)
Pretax Profit is same as PBT or EBT = EBIT or Operating Profit – Interest (payments on fixed
instruments and community interest); third level profit
d)
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Net Income or Net Profit is PAT
PAT = EBIT—Taxes
Further appropriations are made from Net Income (to general reserves, provisions for dividends and
debenture redemption reserves); interest to preference shareholders is also paid from PAT only but
before dividends to equity shareholders.
e)
Effective Tax Rates:
Profit margin analysis ratios are calculated on the basis of net sales, while rate of return ratios are
calculated on the basis of assets and capital. For overall profitability (efficiency) analysis of a firm
both set of ratios must be collated and mutually assayed. as a firm might do well on the latter but may
not do equally better on the former.
f)
Net Income
Return on Assets = --------------------
Average Total Assets
Variants: Returns are also calculated sometimes on Sales T.O. , Net Sales, EBIT or Total income than
PAT
Net Sales /Avg. Total Assets is called the Avg. Asset T.O. ratio , while EBIT/Avg. Total Assets is
supposed to be an important measure of the ‘Earning Power’ or ‘Operating
Profitability/Efficiency’ of a firm free of the effects of interest and tax rates
Average total assets = Opening stock of assets (previous year’s closing stock of assets) plus closing
stock of assets of the current year divided by two.
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For calculating total assets consider all the constituents of the ‘application of funds’ on the credit side
of the balance sheet and do not subtract current liabilities and provisions from the current assets. The
CL and provisions otherwise stand deducted from current assets in the usual format (ICFAI, 2005)
DU PONT ANALYSIS:
Net Income/ Net Sales
Return on Assets = --------------------------------------
Average Total Assets /Net Sales
Note: A further ‘common size analysis’ can provide deeper clues to managing each component.
g)
Net Income
Return on Equity = -----------------------
Avg. Shareholder’s Equity
Avg. Shareholder’s Equity = Total Shareholders’ Fund (share capital + total reserves) of the current
and the preceding year as reported in the balance sheet / 2
DU PONT ANALYSIS:
Net Income
Return on Equity = --------------------
Avg. Shareholder’s Equity
ROE = Net Profit / Net Sales * Net Sales / Avg. Assets * Avg. Assets / Avg. Shareholder’s Equity
Avg. Assets / Avg. Equity = Equity multiplier
Avg.Assets 1 1
= -------------------------------- = ------------------------------------------- = -----------------------------
Avg. Assets – Avg. Debt 1 ---- ( Avg. Debt / Avg. Assets) 1—(Debt to Asset Ratio)
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h)
Return on Net Worth (RONW) = Net Income / Net Worth
Net worth = paid up capital or paid equity capital + reserves + surplus
i)
Average Debt Liabilities = Avg. short term and long-term borrowings of two consecutive years
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D) OPERATING PERFORMANCE RATIOS
Variations:
Avg. earnings per employee ratio could also be calculated using net income (as opposed to net sales)
in the numerator.
c)
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E) KEY DEBT/ LEVERAGE RATIOS
(to judge long term solvency; further divided into ‘capital structure’ and ‘coverage’ ratios)
(Reference: Investopedia, 2007)
a) Debt Ratio = Total Liabilities (operational and external liabilities*) / Total Assets
Total Liabilities= All debts and loans from the debit side of the balance sheet + the current liabilities and
provisions shown on the credit side (there are low, moderate and conservative versions of total liabilities).
It indicates how much % of the total assets is financed through debt.
b) Debt-Equity Ratio = Total Liabilities /Shareholders’ equity shares*
Commentary:
Both a) and b) can be higher for a high leverage company. It’s definitely indicative of the financial prowess of a
company. However, increasing debt component in the long run affects long- term earnings and net income. The
two also measure the financial risk; the risk of a company to attract further external and internal funds.
c) Capitalization Ratio = Long term debt / Long term debt + Shareholders’ equity shares
Commentary:
It can be higher for a high leverage company. It is also indicative of the debt churning capacity of a company.
COVERAGE RATIOS:
d) Interest Coverage Ratio in % terms = Earnings before interest and taxes (EBIT)*/ interest paid *100
* The amt. of depreciation is already factored in EBIT
Commentary:
A higher interest coverage ratio shows off a consistently better debt servicing quality on part of a company.
Hence, the company is likely to attract more debt subsequently, resulting into a high leverage organization.
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Companies like IBM and Intel attract more debt than many medium sized firms on account of their better
interest coverage ratio.
Commentary:
A higher debt to cash ratio percentage indicates an ample capacity of a company to borrow a
significant amount of money, if it chooses to do so.
b)
c)
d)
e)
f)
g)
Commentary:
The operating cash flow figure is the foremost source of a company's cash generation (which is
internally generated by its operating activities). The greater the amount of operating cash flow, the
better. There is no standard guideline for the operating cash flow/sales ratio, but obviously, the ability
to generate consistent and/or improving percentage comparisons are positive investment qualities.
Note: Instead of Dividend pay-put ratio, ‘Dividend Coverage Ratio’ is in vogue in the U.K. This is
equal to EPS/Dividend per common share.
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N.B. A further ‘Comparative Analysis’ can be conducted using ratio analysis data such as-
1-Cross sectional analysis
2- Time series analysis
a- Y2Y change
b-Index analysis
3-Common-size analysis: Set total assets and total liabilities each at 100 and express every item on the
balance sheet in % terms on the given base. Similarly, Net Sales can be set at 100 in the income
statement.
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a) EPS = PAT / Number of Equity Shares Outstanding
Variants: Basic EPS and Diluted EPS
Under diluted EPS the hybrid shares are also considered such as fully or partially convertible
warrants, notes, preference shares and debentures into equity shares; it’s a more conservative and
pessimistic assessment
PAT can also vary as it may be based upon past twelve months data (trailing P/E) or next twelve
months data (estimated P/E) or both (value line research, S&P, Moody research)
Expected EPS = Expected PAT-- Preference Dividend / Number of Equity Shares Outstanding
Note: Since EPS is the basis for deciding the dividend payout ratio hence, for a healthy EPS, there
must be a proportionate increase in net income with the increase in no. of shareholders; dividend is
paid as a percentage of EPS
b) P/E ratio = Market price of stock (share price) / EPS (Fundamental Analysis tools)
Intrinsic value of a share = Expected EPS * Appropriate P/E ratio; P/E ratio determines the expected
market value of a stock. For the same EPS of two firms, a higher P/E ratio means higher intrinsic and
expected value.
P/E itself is based on many parameters:
Growth rate (historical or expected earnings) of a firm resulting in the ‘ Growth Rate of Dividends’,
Stability and predictability of earnings and other projections, Dividend pay-out ratio (historical and
potential), Size of a firm, and the Quality of management (EBIT/Avg.Total Assets, CCC or Operating
Cycle ratio). The higher are these parameters, the higher is the P/E ratio.
Impact of Growth on Price (P0), Dividend Yield, Cap. Gain and P/E ratio
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Yield (rate of P1—P0 / P0 EPS =
return) Rs. 5
D1 / P0*100
Case 1 4/25 = 16 % 0% 5
No growth firm; zero growth rate in dividends Or
(Neutral growth stocks/Firms with a stable rate of
return /Constant dividends @ zero %)
P0 = D1 / r (req. rate of return in %) – g (growth rate
%)
4 / .16-- zero = Rs 25
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Yield gain EPS = (Capitalization Dividend
D1 / P0*100 yield Rs. 5 rate/Earning payout ratio
P1--P0 / yield/ required
P0 rate of return
%)
Case 1 4/25 = 16 % 0% 5 5/25 =20% 4/5 = 80%
No growth firm;
zero growth rate
P0 = D1 / r (req. rate
of return in % terms)
– g (growth rate in
% terms)
4 / .16-- zero = Rs
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Increase in the dividend amount and/or dividend growth rate → increase in share price → increase in
P/E ratio and subsequent decrease in capitalization rate (the reciprocal of P/E ratio). An increasing P/E
ratio means that an investor ends up investing more dollars per share for earning every dollar amount
per share (EPS) and the resulting capitalization rate means that the firm is therefore required or
expected to earn as much percent on the common stock value.
A lower Cap. rate implies a high price security which could fetch though a low ‘Dividend Yield’ but a
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*P0 = D1 / r (req. rate of return in % terms) – g (growth rate in % terms)
Growth Value model for ascertaining share price; derived from the PV/Div. Cap. model
d) Value Earning Ratio = Present value Per Share / EPS (Fundamental Analysis tool)
D1 (Cash Dividend) 1
= ----------------------------------- * --------------------------------
r (discount rate) -- g (growth rate) EPS
Risk metrics:
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The given Cap. Rate/rate of return would serve as an objective ‘discount rate’ to
determine the present value of an instrument provided there are no # ‘systematic
(FILMI) or diversifiable (business) risks’ affecting the share price and the rate
of return.
# Risk metrics:
1-S.D = √ Variance (k); Variance = ∑ Ps (Rs – mean Rs) 2
2- Single-Index or Market Model: Rs = αs + Вs Rm + es
Where Вs = Slope reflecting change in Rs (return on security or portfolio) with a
change in Rm (return on market portfolio)
Bs = Cov (Rs Rm) / Var (Rm) = ∑ Ps (Rs – mean Rs) (Rm – mean Rm) / ∑ P (Rm –
mean Rm) 2
αs = mean Rs – Вs (mean Rm)
3- CAPM: Rs = R f + Вs (Rm – R f)
Rs = Expected or required return on security / portfolio
Rf = Risk free return
Вs (Rm – R f) = Risk premium
e-
f-
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g-
h-
Peg indicates a value of 1; if PEG ratio is more than 1 the scrip is overvalued/overpriced. If PEG is
less than 1 the scrip is undervalued/under-priced.
i-
j-
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