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Period 2012 forecast forecast error

1 16,185
2 13,489 16,185 2696 MAD= 3,030
3 15,892 13,489 2403 MSE= 14954508.417
4 11,287 15,892 4605
5 13,109 11,287 1822
6 12,646 13,109 463
7 15,802 12,646 3156
8 20,015 15,802 4213
9 29,468 20,015 9453
10 27,348 29,468 2120
11 27,310 27,348 38
12 26,288 27,310 1022
13 30,654 26,288 4366

Period 2013
1 24,234 30,654 6420 MAD= 2,946
2 24,793 24,234 559 MSE= 13113811.077
3 21,778 24,793 3015
4 18,681 21,778 3097
5 17,260 18,681 1421
6 16,673 17,260 587
7 23,514 16,673 6841
8 24,422 23,514 908
9 27,075 24,422 2653
10 26,793 27,075 282
11 30,279 26,793 3486
12 26,118 30,279 4161
13 30,986 26,118 4868

Period 2014
1 31,768 30,986 782 MAD= 4,539
2 24,894 31,768 6874 38130632.077
3 27,336 24,894 2442
4 18,070 27,336 9266
5 21,138 18,070 3068
6 19,750 21,138 1388
7 32,474 19,750 12724
8 32,053 32,474 421
9 35,923 32,053 3870
10 35,248 35,923 675
11 23,315 35,248 11933
12 28,252 23,315 4937
13 28,879 28,252 627

Period 2015
1 30,117 28,879 1238 MAD= 3,046
2 26,885 30,117 3232 13844159.231
3 21,498 26,885 5387
4 19,686 21,498 1812
5 15,607 19,686 4079
6 16,795 15,607 1188
7 25,172 16,795 8377
8 27,731 25,172 2559
9 27,951 27,731 220
10 23,729 27,951 4222
11 28,034 23,729 4305
12 26,363 28,034 1671
13 27,675 26,363 1312

Period 2016
1 28,228 27,675 553 MAD= 3,587
2 28,833 28,228 605 22788442.077
3 28,921 28,833 88
4 23,912 28,921 5009
5 21,049 23,912 2863
6 21,672 21,049 623
7 30,813 21,672 9141
8 39,929 30,813 9116
9 42,256 39,929 2327
10 47,097 42,256 4841
11 39,530 47,097 7567
12 38,465 39,530 1065
13 41,292 38,465 2827

Period 2017
1 34,197 41,292 7095 MAD= 5,387
2 39,507 34,197 5310 50114530.231
3 37,268 39,507 2239
4 27,065 37,268 10203
5 31,818 27,065 4753
6 32,201 31,818 383
7 38,027 32,201 5826
8 36,585 38,027 1442
9 52,881 36,585 16296
10 41,933 52,881 10948
11 41,701 41,933 232
12 46,017 41,701 4316
13 45,027 46,017 990
AVERAGE MAD 3,756

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