Beruflich Dokumente
Kultur Dokumente
Wheat
DISTRICT Rain Area Production
(in mm) (in Hectares) (in Tonnes)
JABALPUR 1,312 92,300 171,500
KATNI 1,161 65,400 74,300
BALAGHAT 1,623 15,100 12,300
CHHINDWARA 1,146 82,800 175,200 SUMMARY OUTPUT
SEONI 1,420 103,100 90,100
MANDLA 1,577 29,400 26,600 Regression Statistics
NARSINGHPUR 1,301 62,300 189,700 Multiple R 0.8312066992
SAGAR 1,231 150,100 188,200 R Square 0.6909045768
DAMOH 1,247 67,000 131,800 Adjusted R Square 0.6761857472
PANNA 1,177 60,700 88,300 Standard Error 59055.384685
TIKAMGARH 1,000 107,400 209,200 Observations 45
CHHATARPUR 1,075 128,100 195,800
REWA 1,236 155,700 165,300 ANOVA
SIDHI 1,232 54,000 47,000 df
SINGROLI 1,375 32,200 28,900 Regression 2
SATANA 1,100 137,900 147,800 Residual 42
INDORE 969 57,900 134,400 Total 44
DHAR 833 141,200 298,800
JHABUA 885 18,800 33,600 Coefficients
KHARGONE 890 42,400 98,500 Intercept
Rain 60995.195689
BARWANI 773 25,300 62,100 (in
Areamm) -57.85126794
KHANDWA 900 65,300 115,600 (in Hectares) 1.8525042988
BURHANPUR 824 10,600 20,200
UJJAIN 892 98,800 184,300
MANDSAUR 827 50,000 126,600
NEEMUCH 834 32,200 74,900 Interpretation
RATLAM 939 63,200 196,400
DEWAS 1,083 101,300 211,000 As per the regression analysis production of whea
SHAJAPUR 977 66,000 134,800 tonnes with 1mm change in rainfall. However it is no
MORENA 707 80,400 184,800
SHEOPURKALA 822 40,200 94,300
BHIND 668 84,100 177,900
GWALIOR 764 89,300 229,100
SHIVPURI 816 114,800 224,000
GUNA 1,166 84,500 143,400
ASHOKNAGAR 885 105,300 148,000
DATIA 743 117,600 229,400
BHOPAL 1,154 67,400 126,700
SEHORE 1,261 153,100 226,900
RAISEN 1,328 168,400 266,900
VIDISHA 1,134 172,700 259,600
RAJGARH 1,100 56,100 85,800
HOSHANGABAD 1,312 219,000 607,400
BETUL 1,084 105,400 168,000
HARDA 1,262 117,000 369,600
It suggest that rain & area effect the production only upto 69% as we have not considered other factors.
SS MS F Significance F
327411395781 163705697890 46.94018425 1.9585924E-11 F value shows that the model is significant as it is
146476615330 3487538460.2 much below 5%
473888011111
Standard Error t Stat P-value Lower 95% Upper 95% Lower 95.0% Upper 95.0%
43089.87032984 1.4155344452 0.164284769 -25963.682168 147954.0735 -25963.68217 147954.07355
38.6051878676 -1.498536107 0.141473197 -135.75969029 20.0571544 -135.7596903 20.057154402
0.1912096876 9.6883391304 2.862642E-12 1.4666275314 2.238381066 1.4666275314 2.2383810662
analysis production of wheat is 1.85 tonnes effected with 1 hectare change in area & is negatively impacted by 57.85
e in rainfall. However it is not practically possible that rainfall negatively impact the production but it is so just to nullify
the autonomous production i.e.. beta-0.
other factors.
s significant as it is
%
mpacted by 57.85
t is so just to nullify
X1 X2 Y
Wheat
DISTRICT Rain Area Production
(in mm) (in Hectares) (in Tonnes) Log Y
JABALPUR 1,312 92,300 171,500 5.2343
KATNI 1,161 65,400 74,300 4.8710
BALAGHAT 1,623 15,100 12,300 4.0899
CHHINDWARA 1,146 82,800 175,200 5.2435 SUMMARY OUTPUT
SEONI 1,420 103,100 90,100 4.9547
MANDLA 1,577 29,400 26,600 4.4249 Regression Statistics
NARSINGHPUR 1,301 62,300 189,700 5.2781 Multiple R
SAGAR 1,231 150,100 188,200 5.2746 R Square
DAMOH 1,247 67,000 131,800 5.1199 Adjusted R Square
PANNA 1,177 60,700 88,300 4.9460 Standard Error
TIKAMGARH 1,000 107,400 209,200 5.3206 Observations
CHHATARPUR 1,075 128,100 195,800 5.2918
REWA 1,236 155,700 165,300 5.2183 ANOVA
SIDHI 1,232 54,000 47,000 4.6721
SINGROLI 1,375 32,200 28,900 4.4609 Regression
SATANA 1,100 137,900 147,800 5.1697 Residual
INDORE 969 57,900 134,400 5.1284 Total
DHAR 833 141,200 298,800 5.4754
JHABUA 885 18,800 33,600 4.5263
KHARGONE 890 42,400 98,500 4.9934 Intercept
Rain
BARWANI 773 25,300 62,100 4.7931 (in
Areamm)
KHANDWA 900 65,300 115,600 5.0630 (in Hectares)
BURHANPUR 824 10,600 20,200 4.3054
UJJAIN 892 98,800 184,300 5.2655
MANDSAUR 827 50,000 126,600 5.1024
NEEMUCH 834 32,200 74,900 4.8745 Interpretation
RATLAM 939 63,200 196,400 5.2931
DEWAS 1,083 101,300 211,000 5.3243 As per the regression analysis production o
SHAJAPUR 977 66,000 134,800 5.1297 However it is not practically possible that r
MORENA 707 80,400 184,800 5.2667
SHEOPURKALA 822 40,200 94,300 4.9745
BHIND 668 84,100 177,900 5.2502
GWALIOR 764 89,300 229,100 5.3600
SHIVPURI 816 114,800 224,000 5.3502
GUNA 1,166 84,500 143,400 5.1565
ASHOKNAGAR 885 105,300 148,000 5.1703
DATIA 743 117,600 229,400 5.3606
BHOPAL 1,154 67,400 126,700 5.1028
SEHORE 1,261 153,100 226,900 5.3558
RAISEN 1,328 168,400 266,900 5.4263
VIDISHA 1,134 172,700 259,600 5.4143
RAJGARH 1,100 56,100 85,800 4.9335
HOSHANGABAD 1,312 219,000 607,400 5.7835
BETUL 1,084 105,400 168,000 5.2253
HARDA 1,262 117,000 369,600 5.5677
egression Statistics
0.8606115686
0.740652272 It suggest that rain & area effect the production only upto 74% as we have not considered other facto
0.7283023801
0.1760416709
45
df SS MS F Significance F
2 3.7171677953 1.858583898 59.97236925 4.9150892E-13 F value shows that the model is significant as
42 1.3016081351 0.03099067 below 5%
44 5.0187759304
Coefficients Standard Error t Stat P-value Lower 95% Upper 95% Lower 95.0%
5.0861869362 0.1284491298 39.59689681 6.895795E-35 4.8269661008 5.3454077717 4.8269661008
-0.000476647 0.0001150805 -4.14186216 0.000162691 -0.0007088893 -0.000244406 -0.000708889
6.054854E-06 0.00000057 10.62277122 1.791977E-13 4.9045716E-06 7.205137E-06 4.904572E-06
he regression analysis production of wheat is 0.000061% effected with the area & is negatively impacted by 0.0048% with the
r it is not practically possible that rainfall negatively impact the production but it is so just to nullify the autonomous producti
beta-0.
not considered other factors.
Upper 95.0%
5.3454077717
-0.000244406
7.205137E-06
df SS MS F Significance F
2 271627373480 135813686740 28.20210057 1.7177053E-08 F value shows that the model is significant as
42 202260637631 4815729467.4 below 5%
44 473888011111
Coefficients Standard Error t Stat P-value Lower 95% Upper 95% Lower 95.0%
-939067.2604 359708.6399048 -2.610633041 0.01247547 -1664988.6763 -213145.8445 -1664988.676
-76185.56044 109861.1771367 -0.693471183 0.491831449 -297894.38924 145523.26836 -297894.3892
273397.92646 36404.8805567 7.5099251056 2.734938E-09 199929.903986 346865.94893 199929.90399
he regression analysis production of wheat is 273397.93 tonnes effected with 1% change in area & is negatively impacted by
tonnes with the 1% change in rainfall.
not considered other factors.
Upper 95.0%
-213145.8445
145523.26836
346865.94893
Regression Statistics
Multiple R 0.9252447855
R Square 0.8560779131 It suggest that rain & area effect the production only upto 86% as we have not c
Adjusted R Square 0.8492244804
Standard Error 0.1311408463
Observations 45
ANOVA
df SS MS F Significance F
Regression 2 4.2964632247 2.1482316124 124.9122811 2.0925527E-18
Residual 42 0.7223127056 0.0171979216
Total 44 5.0187759304
CAGR 47,068
Interpretation
As per the regression analysis production of wheat is 1.07% effected with 1% change in area & is negatively impac
in rainfall.
tion only upto 86% as we have not considered other factors.
SS MS F Significance F
21594478101.47 10797239051 1.002632156 0.3755240767 F value shows that the model is not significant as it is
452293533010 10768893643 higher than 5%
473888011111
Standard Error t Stat P-value Lower 95% Upper 95% Lower 95.0% Upper 95.0%
303882.0406175 -0.830465909 0.410971419 -865622.45374 360895.1037 -865622.4537 360895.10367
564.8649358216 1.3954830388 0.170205083 -351.68414086 1928.203015 -351.6841409 1928.2030152
0.2547508475 -1.414190876 0.164676378 -0.8743743422 0.153841694 -0.874374342 0.1538416939
n analysis production of wheat is 788.26 tonnes effected with 1mm change in rainfall & is negatively impacted by 0.36
tonnes with 1 unit change in quadratic function of rainfall.
ot considered other
not significant as it is
%
impacted by 0.36
X2 Y e IeI
Wheat
DISTRICT Area Production Absolute Value Rank |e| Rank X2
(in Hectares) (in Tonnes) Residuals of residuals R1 R2 d=R1-R2
JABALPUR 92,300 171,500 1,518 1,518 1 27 -26
KATNI 65,400 74,300 -46,941 46,941 33 18 15
BALAGHAT 15,100 12,300 -17,800 17,800 15 2 13
CHHINDWARA 82,800 175,200 22,432 22,432 19 23 -4
SEONI 103,100 90,100 -99,451 99,451 41 30 11
MANDLA 29,400 26,600 -29,411 29,411 25 5 20
NARSINGHPUR 62,300 189,700 74,076 74,076 38 15 23
SAGAR 150,100 188,200 -86,512 86,512 40 40 -
DAMOH 67,000 131,800 7,660 7,660 7 20 -13
PANNA 60,700 88,300 -24,425 24,425 21 14 7
TIKAMGARH 107,400 209,200 11,858 11,858 8 33 -25
CHHATARPUR 128,100 195,800 -39,049 39,049 29 37 -8
REWA 155,700 165,300 -119,559 119,559 43 42 1
SIDHI 54,000 47,000 -53,585 53,585 35 11 24
SINGROLI 32,200 28,900 -32,184 32,184 26 6 20
SATANA 137,900 147,800 -104,806 104,806 42 38 4
INDORE 57,900 134,400 26,749 26,749 24 13 11
DHAR 141,200 298,800 40,214 40,214 30 39 -9
JHABUA 18,800 33,600 -3,204 3,204 5 3 2
KHARGONE 42,400 98,500 18,934 18,934 18 9 9
BARWANI 25,300 62,100 13,518 13,518 12 4 8
KHANDWA 65,300 115,600 -5,459 5,459 6 17 -11
BURHANPUR 10,600 20,200 -1,746 1,746 2 1 1
UJJAIN 98,800 184,300 2,541 2,541 4 28 -24
MANDSAUR 50,000 126,600 33,263 33,263 27 10 17
NEEMUCH 32,200 74,900 13,816 13,816 14 6 8
RATLAM 63,200 196,400 79,146 79,146 39 16 23
DEWAS 101,300 211,000 24,711 24,711 22 29 -7
SHAJAPUR 66,000 134,800 12,472 12,472 10 19 -9
MORENA 80,400 184,800 36,380 36,380 28 22 6
SHEOPURKALA 40,200 94,300 18,720 18,720 17 8 9
BHIND 84,100 177,900 22,776 22,776 20 24 -4
GWALIOR 89,300 229,100 64,554 64,554 37 26 11
SHIVPURI 114,800 224,000 13,249 13,249 11 34 -23
GUNA 84,500 143,400 -12,449 12,449 9 25 -16
ASHOKNAGAR 105,300 148,000 -45,537 45,537 32 31 1
DATIA 117,600 229,400 13,576 13,576 13 36 -23
BHOPAL 67,400 126,700 1,835 1,835 3 21 -18
SEHORE 153,100 226,900 -53,248 53,248 34 41 -7
RAISEN 168,400 266,900 -40,971 40,971 31 43 -12
VIDISHA 172,700 259,600 -56,062 56,062 36 44 -8
RAJGARH 56,100 85,800 -18,590 18,590 16 12 4
HOSHANGABAD 219,000 607,400 207,845 207,845 45 45 -
BETUL 105,400 168,000 -25,718 25,718 23 32 -9
HARDA 117,000 369,600 154,863 154,863 44 35 9
Sum -
Count -
6* Sum d^2
Spearman's Rank Correlation = 1-
n^3-n
6*8425
= 1-
45^3 - 45
50,550
= 1-
91,080
= 1-
0.5550
r=
0.44
r * (N-2)^0.5
t=
(1-r^2)^0.5
2.9180169454
t=
0.576993704
t= 5.0572769257
Interpretation= Since the calculated value of t is greater than the table value, the model is heteroskedastic
d^2
676
225
169
16
121
400
529
-
169
49
625
64
1
576
400
16
121
81
4
81
64
121
1
576
289
64
529
49
81
36
81
16
121
529
256
1
529
324
49
144
64
16
-
81
81
8,425
45
heteroskedastic