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Choose any timeframe and instrument – in the example below I have chosen the 15 minute USD/JPY.
Mark as many supply and demand zones as you can find (tested and untested). Use a different colour to mark the zones that failed or were engulfed to the
zones that worked. Drill down to a lower timeframe and note where price bounced and whether entry could have been more accurate.
Calculate your potential win/loss rate and average risk/reward ratio across all trades.
Exercise 2: Supply and Demand Patterns
On your trading chart, find and mark examples of each of the following:
On the following page, there is a 1 minute chart of gold with two demand zones:
Smaller Demand A.
Larger Demand B that encompasses Demand A.
Decide which of the two zones would be your optimum entry level. Zoom in and view the chart at maximum size to see what is going on.
Find examples of compression and mark them on a chart. Hint: you will often find compression inside a bull or bear flag.
Find examples of engulfs and mark them on a chart. Also mark the opposite zone that caused the engulf and whether that zone worked or failed.
Find examples of Break and Retests. Mark them on a chart and then find the demand or supply zone at or preceding the break.
Find examples of Bull and Bear traps. Mark the support or resistance level that is “faked out” and the Supply or Demand zone that it spikes into.
Example:
Answer to exercise 3
The preferred zone is (B). Price retraced and created a wick (indicated by the left-hand circled area). At the point where the wick ended, the fast move
started, and that is the boundary of our zone. Indeed… on the retest (second circle), this is where price bounced.
However from a risk/reward point of view, there is no problem with marking your zone as per (A) where the candle bodies were breached. As we know,
trading is not a science and it’s always possible that the market can test deeper inside a zone. Having a pending order at the boundary of zone A would have
given you better risk/reward but with the possibility of missing the trade (as in this case).