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VICTORIA JUNIOR COLLEGE

JC 2 PRELIMINARY EXAMINATION 2017

H2 MATHEMATICS 9758/01

Paper 1 3 hours
Additional Materials: Answer Paper

Graph Paper

List of Formulae (MF26)

READ THESE INSTRUCTIONS FIRST

Write your name and CT group on the work you hand in.
Write in dark blue or black pen on both sides of the paper.
You may use an HB pencil for any diagrams or graphs.
Do not use staples, paper clips, glue or correction fluid.

Answer all the questions.


Give non-exact numerical answers correct to 3 significant figures, or 1 decimal place in
the case of angles in degrees, unless a different level of accuracy is specified in the
question.
You are expected to use an approved graphing calculator.
Unsupported answers from a graphing calculator are allowed unless a question
specifically states otherwise.
Where unsupported answers from a graphing calculator are not allowed in a question,
you are required to present the mathematical steps using mathematical notations and
not calculator commands.
You are reminded of the need for clear presentation in your answers.

At the end of the examination, fasten all your work securely together.
The number of marks is given in brackets [ ] at the end of each question or part question.

This document consists of 6 printed pages

[Turn over

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809
6 x  13
1. Without using a calculator, solve the inequality .1. [4]
x2  4

2. The Singapore Utility Board charges the residential users based on the usage for
electricity, water and gas. Electricity and gas are charged by kilowatt hour (kWh) used
while water usage is charged by cubic meters (CuM). Below are the monthly utility
statements for Mr Pandy from May to August 2017.
SP Utility Bill (May 2017) SP Utility Bill (June 2017)

Mr Pandy Mr Pandy
Blk 20 Marine … Blk 20 Marine …

Current month charges Current month charges


Electricity 514 kWh ***.** Electricity 309 kWh ***.**
Water 18.8 CuM **.** Water 11.3 CuM **.**
Gas 134 kWh **.** Gas 89 kWh **.**
Total $155.54 Total $ 94.99

SP Utility Bill (July 2017) SP Utility Bill (August 2017)

Mr Pandy Mr Pandy
Blk 20 Marine … Blk 20 Marine …

Current month charges Current month charges


Electricity 639 kWh ***.** Electricity 555 kWh ***.**
Water 21.7 CuM **.** Water ??? CuM **.**
Gas 108 kWh **.** Gas 128 kWh **.**
Total $ 208.40 Total $ 184.84

It is known that the unit costs for electricity, water and gas remain unchanged for May
and June. The unit cost for electricity was increased by 20% with effect from July 2017,
while the unit cost for gas and water remain unchanged.
(i) Calculate the unit cost for electricity, water and gas for June 2017, giving your
answers correct to the nearest 4 decimal places. [3]
(ii) The water usage for August 2017 was not clearly printed on the bill. Using your
answers in part (i), calculate the water usage for August 2017 to the nearest CuM.
[2]

3. It is given that
­( x  2) 2  1, for 0  x - 3,
f ( x) ®
¯ x  3, for 3  x - 6,
and that f x f x  6 for all real values of x.
(i) Sketch the graph of y f x for 0  x - 10. [3]
§1 ·
(ii) On a separate diagram, sketch the graph of y 1  f ¨ x ¸ for 0  x - 10. [2]
©2 ¹

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The curve C has equation y  4  x  3
2 2
4. 4 . Sketch C, giving the coordinates of
any turning points and the equations of any asymptotes. [3]

Hence find the set of values of m such that the straight line with gradient m that passes
through the point 3, 4 intersects C at least once. [2]

5. A

x km
N P B
2 km

Alvin is at the point A on a floating platform in the sea. He wants to reach point B located
on a straight stretch of beach. N is the point on the beach nearest to A and NB = 2 km.
Alvin swims at a constant speed in a straight line from A to P and then runs at a constant
speed from P to B, where P is a point on the straight stretch of beach from N to B.
NP x km and T minutes is the time taken for Alvin to complete the journey.
T and x satisfy the differential equation
dT 5 5x
5 .
dx x2  4

(i) Solve the differential equation. [3]


(ii) Given that the minimum time taken for Alvin to complete this journey is 30
minutes, find T in terms of x. [3]
(iii) Using your answer in part (ii), find the longest time taken by Alvin to complete
the journey. [2]

6. The function h is defined by


h : x 6 e x  2  1, for x  \.

(i) Find h 1 ( x) and state the domain of h 1. [3]

(ii) Sketch, on the same diagram, the graphs of y = h ( x) and y = h 1 ( x) , giving the
equations of any asymptotes and the exact coordinates of any points where the
curves cross the x- and y-axes. [3]
(iii) Find the set of values of x such that h 1 ( x) ! h( x). [2]

3 [Turn Over

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7. The diagram below shows the curve with equation y f x . The curve crosses the x-
§ 8·
and y-axes at the points 2k , 0 , k , 0 and ¨ 0,  ¸ where k ! 0 . The curve has an
© 3¹
oblique asymptote y x  1 and vertical asymptote x 3 .
y

y=x–1

x
(k, 0)

1
(i) am sketch the
On separate diagram, t graph of y , including the coordinates
f x
of the points where the graph crosses the axes and the equations of any
asymptotes. [3]

x 2  ax  b
(ii) It is further known that f x where a, b and c are constants. Find
xc
the values of a, b and c. [4]

n
r2 3 n 2  3n  3
8. It is given that ¦ 3r  .
r 1 2 2 3n
r 2  1
f r
(i) Find ¦ 3r
. [3]
r 1
n
r  2 2 p an 2  an  a
(ii) Show that ¦  , where a, p and q are integers to be
r 4 3r 2 q
2 3n 2
determined. [5]

a
9. (a) Given that ³
0
x sin x dx = 0.5 , where 0  a  2 , find an equation that is satisfied
by a and use it to find the value of a. [5]

(b) Write down a definite integral that represents the area of the region bounded by
x
the curve with equation y , the two axes and the line x = 4.
3 x
Use the substitution u 3  x to find the exact value of the area. [6]

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10. It is given that z1 , z2 and z3 are the roots of the equation
2 z 3  pz 2  qz  4 0
such that arg z1  arg z2  arg z3 and z1 1  i 3 . Find the values of the real numbers p
and q. [3]

(i) Without using the calculator, find z2 and z3 . [3]

In an Argand diagram, points P, Q and R represent the complex numbers z1 ,


w 2  i 2 and z1  w respectively and O is the origin.

(ii) Express each of z1 and w in the form r ei T , where r ! 0 and S  T - S .


Give r and T in exact form. [2]
(iii) Indicate P, Q and R on the Argand diagram and identify the type of the
quadrilateral OPRQ . [3]

(iv) Find the exact value of arg z14 w * . [3]

11. Physicists are investigating the reflective property of a particular reflective surface. The
diagram below shows the set-up of a particular experiment, where a laser emitting
device was placed at the point with coordinates (1, 2, 3). A laser beam was emitted in
the direction parallel to i  k . The path of the emitted laser beam and its reflected path
make the same angle T with the reflective surface. The plane containing these two paths
is perpendicular to the reflective surface.
Write down the vector equation of the path of the emitted laser beam. [1]

reflective surface
T T

Device

It is known that the reflective surface has equation x  y  z 4.

(i) Find T . [3]


(ii) Show that the laser beam meets the reflective surface at the point
0, 2, 2 . [3]
(iii) Find the vector equation of the path of the reflected laser beam. [5]

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12. A curve C has equation y ln( x 2 ), x z 0.
(i) Sketch C. [2]
k
(ii) The part of C from the point A (e 1 , 2) to the point B(e , k ) , k > 4, and the line
2

y 2 is rotated about the y-axis to form the curved surface and the circular
base of an open vase. Find the volume of the vase, giving your answer in terms
of S and k, in exact form. [2]

(iii) Water flows into the vase at a constant rate of 2 cm3 per second. By first

showing that the volume of water in the vase is given by V S x 2  e 2 when
the radius of the water surface is x cm, find the rate at which x is increasing,
giving your answer in terms of x. [4]

(iv) An insect lands on the inner surface of the vase at the point (e, 2) just as the in-
coming water reaches the depth of 2 cm. It immediately starts to crawl along
C such that the x-coordinate of its location increases by a constant value of 0.03
cm per second. Find the coordinates of the point on C at which the insect will
first come into contact with water. [5]

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814
VICTORIA JUNIOR COLLEGE

JC 2 PRELIMINARY EXAMINATION 2017

H2 MATHEMATICS 9758/02

Paper 2 3 hours
Additional Materials: Answer Paper

Graph Paper

List of Formulae (MF26)

READ THESE INSTRUCTIONS FIRST

Write your name and CT group on the work you hand in.
Write in dark blue or black pen on both sides of the paper.
You may use an HB pencil for any diagrams or graphs.
Do not use staples, paper clips, glue or correction fluid.

Answer all the questions.


Give non-exact numerical answers correct to 3 significant figures, or 1 decimal place in
the case of angles in degrees, unless a different level of accuracy is specified in the
question.
You are expected to use an approved graphing calculator.
Unsupported answers from a graphing calculator are allowed unless a question
specifically states otherwise.
Where unsupported answers from a graphing calculator are not allowed in a question, you
are required to present the mathematical steps using mathematical notations and not
calculator commands.
You are reminded of the need for clear presentation in your answers.

At the end of the examination, fasten all your work securely together.
The number of marks is given in brackets [ ] at the end of each question or part question.

This document consists of 6 printed pages

[Turn over

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815
Section A: Pure Mathematics [40 marks]

1. A curve C is defined by the parametric equations


t t2
x , y ,
1 t 1 t
where t takes all real values except 1 .

dy
Find , leaving your answer in terms of t. [3]
dx
§ p p2 ·
(i) Show that the equation of the tangent to C at the point ¨ , ¸ is
© 1 p 1 p ¹
y p p  2 x  p2. [2]

(ii) Find the acute angle between the two tangents to C which pass through the
point 2,5 . [3]


o 
o
2. Referred to the origin O, the points A, B and D are such that OA a , OB b and

o

OD d . The point C is such that OACB is a parallelogram and angle OAC is
3
radians.

o
(i) Given that a is a unit vector and b 4 , find the length of projection of OC onto

o
OA . [3]
(ii) Given that O a  P b  d = 0 and O  P  1 0 , show that A, B and D are collinear.
[3]

If P 4 , find the area of triangle OBD, leaving your answer in the form k a u b ,
where k is a constant to be determined. [3]

3. A geometric series has common ratio r, and an arithmetic series has first term a and
common difference d, where a and d are non-zero and a ! 0 . The first three terms of the
geometric series are equal to the first, eighth and thirteenth terms respectively of the
arithmetic series.
(i) Show that 7r 2  12r  5 0 . [2]
(ii) Deduce that the geometric series is convergent. [2]
(iii) The sum of the first n terms of the geometric series is denoted by Sn . Find the
smallest value of n for Sn to be within 0.1% of the sum to infinity of the geometric
series. [4]
(iv) Find exactly the sum of the first 2017 terms of the arithmetic series, leaving your
answer in terms of a . [3]

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dy
4. (a) It is given that y f x is such that my 2  y3 e x sin x and that the
dx
1
Maclaurin series for f x is given by 1  x  nx 2 ! , where m and n are some
3
real constants.
(i) State the values of f 0 and f ' 0 . [2]

(ii) Find the values of m and n. [3]

S S
(b) In the triangle ABC, AC 1 , angle BAC radians and angle ABC radians.
2 6
D is a point on BC produced such that angle CAD T radians (see diagram).

3
(i) Show that AD . [4]
3 cos T  sin T

(ii) Given that T is a sufficiently small angle, show that

AD | 1  aT  bT 2 ,

for constants a and b to be determined exactly. [3]

Section B: Statistics [60 marks]

5. John and Peter play a game of chess. It is equally likely for either player to make the first
move. If John makes the first move, the probability of him winning the game is 0.3 while
the probability of Peter winning the game is 0.2. If Peter makes the first move, the
probability of him winning the game is 0.5 while the probability of John winning the
game is 0.4. If there is no winner, then the game ends in a draw.

(i) Find the probability that Peter made the first move given that he won the
game. [3]

(ii) John and Peter played a total of three games. Assuming that the results of the
three games are independent, find the probability that John wins exactly one
game. [3]

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6. An experiment to determine the effect of a fertilizer on crop yield was carried out. A field
was divided into eight plots of equal area and eight different amounts of fertilizer, one
for each plot, were used. The table below shows the amount of fertilizer, x grams, and the
crop yield, y grams, for each plot.

Amount of fertilizer
15 22 37 55 62 69 78 90
(x)
Yield (y) 101 123 137 150 150 154 158 160

(i) Draw the scatter diagram for these values, labelling the axes. [1]

It is thought that the yield of a crop, y grams, can be modelled by one of the formulae
y a  bx or y c  d ln x
where a, b, c and d are constants.
(ii) Find the value of the product moment correlation coefficient between
(a) x and y ,
(b) ln x and y . [2]

(iii) Use your answers to parts (i) and (ii) to explain which of y a  bx
or y c  d ln x is the better model. [2]

(iv) For a plot of land, the yield of the crop was 144 grams. Using a suitable regression
line estimate the amount of fertilizer used, giving your answer to the nearest gram.
[2]

(v) Comment on the reliability of the estimate when the model in part (iv) is used to
estimate the value of y when x 110 . [1]

7. Four digits are randomly selected from the set {1,2,3,4,5,6,7,8,9} to form a four-digit
number. Repetitions are not allowed.

(i) Find the probability that none of the digits in the four-digit number are odd. [2]

The random variable X denotes the number of odd digits in the four-digit number formed.

10
(ii) Show that P X 1 , and find the rest of the probability distribution of X,
63
giving each probability as a fraction in its lowest terms. [3]

(iii) Find the expectation and variance of X. [3]

(iv) Two independent observations of X are denoted by X 1 and X 2 .


Find P X 1  X 2  3 . [4]

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8. In this question, you should state clearly the values of the parameters of any normal
distribution you use.

A supermarket sells two types of durians, D25 and Musang Queen. The durians are sold
by weight. The masses, in kilograms, of D25 and Musang Queen are modelled as having
normal distributions. The means and standard deviations of these distributions, and the
selling prices, in $ per kilogram, are shown in the following table.

Mean Standard deviation Selling price


(kg) (kg) ($ per kg)
D25 1.5 0.02 9
Musang Queen 1.8 0.035 18

(i) A customer buys 3 D25 durians and 2 Musang Queen durians. Find the probability
that the total cost of his purchase is more than $107. [5]

(ii) State an assumption needed for your calculations in part (i). [1]

(iii) The probability that the average weight of n randomly chosen D25 durians
exceeding m kg is at least 0.1. Show that n satisfies the inequality
m  1.5 n - 0.025631 .
Hence find the largest possible value of n when m 1.51 . [4]

9. Ryde, a leading private hire car company, announced JustRyde, a new service that
promises more affordable fixed fare rides and shorter waiting times. In their
advertisement, Ryde claimed that the mean waiting time, in seconds, was 240. A random
sample of 50 JustRyde customers is taken and their waiting times, x seconds, is recorded.
The data are summarised by
¦ x  240 120, ¦ x  240 11200.
2

(i) Find unbiased estimates of the population mean and variance. [2]

(ii) Test, at the 10% significance level, whether the population mean waiting time is
more than 240 seconds. [5]

(iii) State, giving a valid reason, whether any assumptions about the population are
needed in order for the test to be valid. [1]

(iv) Explain, in the context of the question, the meaning of ‘at the 10% significance
level’. [1]

(v) In another test, using the same data and also at the 10% significance level, the
hypotheses are as follows:

Ho : the population mean waiting time is equal to k seconds.


H1 : the population mean waiting time is not equal to k seconds.

Given that the null hypothesis is rejected in favour of the alternative hypothesis,
find the set of possible values of k. [3]

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10. It is a common practice for airlines to sell more plane tickets than the number of seats
available. This is to maximise their profits as it is expected that some passengers will
not turn up for the flight.

The plane used by Victoria Airline for her daily 10 am flight from Singapore to Hong
Kong has a maximum capacity of 150 seats. For this particular flight, 154 tickets are
sold every day. On average, p out of 100 customers who have purchased a plane ticket
for this flight turn up. Customers who turn up after the flight is full will be turned away.
The number of customers who turn up for the 10 am flight, on a randomly chosen day, is
denoted by X.

(i) State, in the context of this question, two assumptions needed to model X by a
binomial distribution. [2]

(ii) Explain why one of the assumptions stated in part (i) may not hold in this context.
[1]

Assume now that these assumptions do in fact hold.


(iii) It is known that there is a 0.05 probability that at least 153 customers will turn up
for the 10 am flight. Write down an equation for the value of p, and find this value
numerically. [3]

It is given instead that p 94 .


(iv) Find the probability that, on a randomly chosen day,
(a) there are at least 141 but not more than 148 customers who turn up for the
10 am flight, [2]
(b) every customer who turns up gets a seat on the 10 am flight. [1]

(v) Find the probability that every customer who turns up gets a seat on the 10 am
flight on more than 5 days in a week. [3]

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VJC H2 Maths Preliminary Examination P1 2017 Solutions

Q Solution Comments
1 6 x  13
.1
x2  4
6 x  13  x 2  4
.0
x2  4
x  3
2

-0
x  2 x  2
+ - + +
2 2 3

? 2  x  2 or x 3
2i Let $E , $W and $G be the unit cost of electricity,
water and gas, respectively.
514E + 18.8W + 134G = 155.54
309 E  11.3W  89G 94.99
639(1.2) E  21.7W  108G 208.40
Using G.C,
E 0.2137, W 1.1749, G 0.1761.
2ii Let w be the water usage for August 2017
(0.2137)(1.2)(555)  1.1749w  0.1761(128) 184.84
w 17
3i y

y = f(x)
(0, 3) (6,3)
(10,1)
(1,0 )
x
O (3,0 ) (7, 0) (9, 0)
((2, -1) ((8, -1)

3ii y
§1 ·
y 1 f ¨ x ¸
(0, 4) ©2 ¹
(10,3)

O (6,1 )
x
((4, 0)

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822
Q Solution Comments
4 y
y x 1
O x

(–3, –2)
(–3, –4)

(–3, –6)

y x  7

Intersect at least once: ^m  \ : m  1 or m ! 1 `


5i dT 5 5x
5
dx x2  4

³
§ 5 5x ·
T ¨¨ 2  5 ¸¸ dx
© x 4 ¹

³ ³
1
5 5
2x x2  4

2 dx  5 dx
2
1

5 5 x  4 2
2

 5x  C
2 1
2
1
5 5 x2  4 2  5x  C    1
5ii dT 5 5x
When t = 30, 0: 5 Ÿ 5x x2  4
dx x 4
2

5 x x  4 Ÿ x r1
2 2

Since x ! 0, x 1
Substitute x 1 and T 30 into equation (1)
1
30 5 5 1  4  5  C Ÿ C 10
2

1
T 5 5 x 2  4 2  5 x  10
5iii
Ty

When x =0, T 32.361 . When x =2, T 31.623


Longest time taken by Alvin is 32.4 mins.

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823
Q Solution Comments
6i y = e x2  1
x ln ( y  1)  2
h 1 ( x) ln ( x  1)  2
Domain of h 1 range of h (  1 , f)
6ii
x 1

6iii Using G.C, y h 1 ( x) and y h( x) intersects at


x 0.94753 and x 3.50524
Set of values of x = ^ x  \ :  0.948  x  3.51` .
7i

ii Since x 3 is the vertical asymptote, c 3


Given that y x  1 is an oblique q asymptote,
y p ,
A
f x x 1
x3
x  1 x  3  A x 2  2 x  3  A
x3 x3
x 2  ax  b
By comparing coefficient of x with : a 2
x3

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824
Q Solution Comments
0  2 0  b  8
2
§ 8·
Since ¨ 0,  ¸ is on the curve,
© 3¹ 0  3 3
b 8
8i f
r 2  1
r
f
r2 f § 1 ·
r

¦
r 1 3r
¦
r 1 3
r
 ¦¨  ¸
r 1© 3¹

3

1 3
2 1  1
3
5
4
8ii r  2
2
r 2 n
n
r2
¦r 4 3r  2
¦
r 2 43
r
(replace r with r  2)
n2
r2
¦
r 2 3
r

r 2 1
2
n2

¦
r 1 3
r
 1
3
3 n  2  3 n  2  3 1
2

 
2 2 3n  2 3
7 n 2  4n  4  3n  6  3

6 2 3n  2
7 n2  n  1

6 2 3n  2
? p 7, q 6, a 1
9a a
³0
x sin xdx = 0.5

>  x cos x @0  ³0 cos xdx


a a
0.5

> a cos a  0@  >sin x @0


a
0.5
a cos a  sin a 0.5 --- (1)

y 0.5

y sin a  a cos a

Using GC, a = 1.20249 =1.20 (3 s.f.)

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825
Q Solution Comments
9b 4

³
x
Area = dx
0 3 x

Let u 3  x
du 1 dx
 Ÿ 2 3  u
dx 2 x du

When x 0, u 3
When x 4, u 1
4 1

³ ³
x § 3u ·
dx ¨ ¸ ª¬ 2 3  u º¼ du
0 3 x 3 © u ¹
2 3  u
3

³
2

du
1
u
3

³
9  6u  u 2
= 2 du
1
u
3

³
§9 ·
2 ¨  6  u ¸ du
1 ©u ¹
3
ª u2 º
2 «9 ln u  6u  »
¬ 2 ¼1
§ 9· § 1·
2 ¨ 9 ln 3  18  ¸  2 ¨ 6  ¸
© 2¹ © 2¹
18ln 3  16
10 Since 1  3i is a root,

3 2
2 1 i 3  p 1 i 3  q 1 i 3  4 0


2 8  p 2  2 3i  q 1  i 3  4 0
20  2 p  q  2 3 p  3q i 0
Compare real and imaginary parts:
2 p  q 20    1
2 3 p  3q 0    2
? p 5, q 10
10i Since 1  3i is a root, and all coefficients are real
Ÿ 1  3i is also a root.
2 z 3  5 z 2  10 z  4 z  1  3i z  1  3i 2 z  a
z 2
 2z  4 2z  a
By observation: a 1

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826
Q Solution Comments
1
? z2 , z3 1  3i
2

10ii z1 1 3 2 w 22 2
arg z1 arg 1  3i
§ 3·
arg w arg 2 i 2
 tan 1 ¨¨ ¸¸ S
© 1 ¹
4
S

3
S S
 i i
? z1 2e 3
, w 2e 4
10iii

Quadrilateral OPRQ is a rhombus


10iv 4 arg z1  arg w * 4 arg z1  arg w
4S S
 
3 4
19S

12
19S
arg z14 w *   2S
12
5S
12
11 §1· §1·
¨ ¸ ¨ ¸
r
 ¨ 2¸  O ¨0¸, O \
¨ 3¸ ¨1¸
© ¹ © ¹
11i § 1 · §1·
¨ ¸¨ ¸
¨ 0 ¸ . ¨1¸
¨ 1 ¸ ¨1¸
cos D © ¹ © ¹
2 3
D 35.3 o

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827
Q Solution Comments
T 90q  35.3q
54.7q

11ii Intersection of light beam with reflective surface:


ª§ 1 · § 1 · º §1·
«¨ ¸ ¨ ¸» ¨ ¸
«¨ 2 ¸  O ¨ 0 ¸ » . ¨ 1 ¸ 4
«¬¨© 3 ¸¹ ¨ 1 ¸ » ¨1¸
© ¹¼ © ¹
6  2O 4
O 1
Coordinates of point of intersection = 0, 2, 2 .

11iii Let F be the foot of perpendicular from device to normal


line and A be the point 1, 2, 3 :

B 0, 2, 2

A'
A 1, 2, 3 F


o § o ·
BF ¨ BA ˜ nˆ ¸ nˆ
© ¹
ª § 1  0 · §1· º §1·
«¨ ¸ ¨ ¸» ¨ ¸
« ¨ 2  2 ¸ . ¨1¸ » ¨1¸
« ¨© 3  2 ¸¹ ¨©1¸¹ » ¨©1¸¹
« »
« 3 » 3
« »
« »
¬« ¼»
§ 1·
2¨ ¸
1
3 ¨¨ ¸¸
© 1¹
Using Ratio Theorem,

o 
o

o BA  BA '
BF
2
§ 1· § 1 · §1·

o 4¨ ¸ ¨ ¸ 1¨ ¸
BA ' 1  0 4
3 ¨¨ ¸¸ ¨¨ ¸¸ 3 ¨¨ ¸¸
© 1¹ © 1 ¹ ©1¹
Equation of reflected light path:

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828
Q Solution Comments
§0· §1·
¨ ¸ ¨ ¸
r ¨ 2¸ D ¨ 4¸, D \
¨ 2¸ ¨1¸
© ¹ © ¹

12i

O
1, 0 1, 0

x 0
ii k
Volume of the vase = S ³ x 2 dy
2
k
S ³ e y dy
2
k
S ª¬e y º¼ 2
S ª¬e k  e 2 º¼

iii S ³ e y dy
y
Volume of water , V
2

S ª¬e y  e 2 º¼
S ª¬eln x  e 2 º¼
2

S ª¬ x 2  e 2 º¼
dV
Given 2,
dt
dx dV dx
u
dt dt dV
1
2u
2S x
1
=
Sx

Hence the rate at which the radius of the water surface is


1
increasing is cm per second.
Sx
iv dx
For the insect, 0.03 .
dt
t seconds later, the location of the insect is at
x 0.03t  e

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829
Q Solution Comments
For the movement of the water,
dx 1
dt S x
³ S x dx ³ 1 d t
S x2
t C
2

When t = 0, x = 1
S
C
2
Sx 2
S
t
2 2

When the insect first comes into contact with water,


S 0.03t  e
2
S
t 
2 2
S 0.03t  e  S 2t
2

2t  S
0.03t  e
2

2t  S
y = 0.03t  e
2
y=
S

Using GC, t = 13.858


x 0.03 13.858  e = 3.1340
ln 3.1340
2
y 2.28

Hence coordinates oint = 3.13, 2.28


es of the ppoint

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830
VJC H2 Maths Prelim P2 2017 Solutions/Mark Scheme

Q Solution
Section A: Pure Mathematics [40 marks]
1 dy dy dx
y
dx dt dt
1  t 2t  t 2 y 1  t 1  t
1  t 1  t
2 2

t 2  2t

1i § p p2 ·
At point ¨ , ¸, t p
© 1 p 1 p ¹
§ p p2 ·
Equation of tangent at point ¨ , ¸,
© 1 p 1 p ¹
p2 § p ·
y
1 p
p2  2 p ¨ x  ¸
© 1 p ¹
p2 p3 2 p2
y p p  2 x   
1 p 1 p 1 p
p 2 p  1
y p p  2 x 
1 p
y p p  2 x  p2
1ii Tangents pass through 2,5
Ÿ5 p p  2 2  p 2 2,5
p2  4 p  5 0
p 5 or p 1

Equations of tangents are


y 3x  1 and y 15 x  25
Required acute angle between the 2 tangents
tan 1 15  tan 1 3
0.255 rad or 14.6q
2 
o
OC ab
 

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831
Q Solution
2i 
o 
o
Length of projection of OC onto OA
a  b ˜ aˆ
  
a ˜ aˆ  b ˜ aˆ a ˜ a  b ˜ a ' a aˆ
         
2 § 2S ·
a  b a cos ¨ S  ¸
   © 3 ¹
§1·
1 4¨ ¸
©2¹
3
2ii O a  Pb  d 0    1
   
O  P 1 0    2
Sub (2) into (1): 1  P a  P b  d 0
   
P b  a a  d
   

o 
o
P AB DA
Since AB // DA and A is a common point,
A , B and D are collinear

Given P 4 , d 5a  4b
  
Area of triangle OBD
1
bud
2  
1
b u 5a  4b
2   
1
5b u a  4b u b
2    
5
bua ' b u b 0
2     
5
aub
2  
5
?k
2
3i ar  a
ar a  (8  1)d Ÿ d
7
a 2 a
ar
ar 2 a  (13  1)d Ÿ d
12
ar  a ar  a 2

7 12
12r  12 7 r 2  7
7r 2  12r  5 0

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832
Q Solution
3ii 5
From the GC, r or r 1 .
7
Since d z 0 , the terms of the geometric series are distinct
5
we conclude that r z 1 . Hence, r .
7
5
As r  1 , the geometric series is convergent.
7
3iii Sf  S n  0.001Sf
§ § 5 ·n ·
a ¨1  ¨ ¸ ¸ § ·
¨ ©7¹ ¸ ¨ ¸
 © ¹  0.001
a a
5 5 ¨ 5¸
1 1 ¨ 1 ¸
7 7 © 7¹

§ ·
a § § 5 ·n · ¨ a ¸
1  ¨1  ¨ ¸ ¸  0.001¨ ¸
5 ¨ ©7¹ ¸
1 © ¹ ¨ 1 5 ¸
7 © 7¹
n
§5·
¨ ¸  0.001 ' a ! 0
©7¹
§5·
n ln ¨ ¸  ln 0.001
©7¹
ln 0.001
n!
5
ln
7
n ! 20.53
Smallest value of n is 21.
3iv §5·
a¨ ¸  a
ar  a ©7¹ 2
d  a
7 7 49

The sum of the first 2017 terms of the arithmetic series


2017 ª § 2 ·º
« 2a  (2017  1) ¨  a ¸ »
2 ¬ © 4499 ¹ ¼
566777
 a
7
4ai 1
f x 1  x  nx 2 !
3
Comparing with
f '' 0 2
f x f 0  f ' 0 x  x !
2!
Ÿ f 0 1

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833
Q Solution
1
Ÿ f ' 0
3

4aii dy
Given my 2  y3 e x sin x    2
dx
When x 0,
2§1·
m 1 ¨ ¸  1
3
e0 sin 0
©3¹
1
m 1
3
m 3

Differentiate (2) w.r.t. x:


2 2
2 d y § dy · dy
3y 2
 6 ¨ ¸  3y2 e x sin x  e x cos x
dx © dx ¹ dx
When x 0,
2
§1· 2§1·
3 1 2n  6 ¨ ¸  3 1 ¨ ¸
2
1
©3¹ ©3¹
2
6n 
9
1
n 
9

4bi Method 1
S S 2S
(ACD  ext angle of a triangle
2 6 3
Using Sine Rule in + ACD
AD AC
2S § 2S ·
sin sin ¨ S  T ¸
3 © 3 ¹
3
AD 2
§S ·
sin ¨  T ¸
©3 ¹

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Q Solution
3
2
S S
sin cos T  cos sin T
3 3
3
2
§ 3 · cos T  1 sin T
¨ 2¸
© ¹ 2
3
3 cos T  sin T

Method 2
1
In right-angled + ABC , AB 3 .
S
tan
6
S
§S · S
(ADB S   ¨ T ¸ T angle sum of a triangle
6 ©2 ¹ 3
Using Sine Rule in + ABD
AD AB
S §S ·
sin sin ¨  T ¸
6 © 3 ¹
S
3 sin
AD 6
§S ·
sin ¨  T ¸
©3 ¹
3
2
S S
sin cos T  cos sin T
3 3
3
2
§ 3 · cos T  1 sin T
¨ 2¸
© ¹ 2
3
3 cos T  sin T
4bii When T is a sufficiently
ly
y sm
small
mal
all aan
angle,
ngl
gle,
e,
e,

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835
Q Solution
3
AD |
§ T2 ·
3 ¨1  ¸  T
© 2 ¹
1
§ 3 2·
3 ¨¨ 3  T  T ¸¸
© 2 ¹
1
ª § T T 2 ·º
«1  ¨   ¸»
¬ © 3 2 ¹¼
§ T T 2 · 1 2 § T T 2 ·
2

| 1 ¨   ¸ ¨  ¸
© 3 2 ¹ 2! © 3 2 ¹
T T2 T2
| 1  
3 2 3
1 5
1 T  T2
3 6
1 5
?a , b
3 6

Section B: Statistics [60 marks]


5 1st Move John

Peter
John
0.5
Draw

John
0.5
Peter Peter

Draw
5i P Peter made first move | Peter won the game
P Peter made first move and Peter won the game
P Peterr w
won
on tthe ame
he ggame
0.5 u 0.5
0.5 u 0.2  0.5 u 0.5
5
7
5ii P John wins 0.5 u 0.3  0.5 u 0.4 0.35

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836
Q Solution
P John wins in exactly 1 game
3!
0.35 0.65 0.65 u
2!
3549
0.443625 or
8000
0.444 to 3 s.f.
Alternative
Let X be the number of games won by John out of 3 games.
X ~ B(3, 0.35)
P John wins in exactly 1 game
P X 1
3549
0.443625 or
8000
0.444 to 3 s.f.

6i
170
0
160
150
140
130
120
110
100
90
0 20 40 60 80 100

6iia From GC, r = 0.93639 = 0.936 (3 s.f)

6iib From GC, r = 0.98775 = 0.988 (3 s.f)


6iii Since
1) the points on the scatter diagram seem to lie close to
an increasing curve with decreasing gradient (or
close to a curvee in
in which
w ich y in
wh in
increases by dec cre
r a
decreasing
crrea
ease
a es)), an
amounts as x increases), aandd
ment
me
2) the product moment ent
n ccorrelation
oorrre
reela
laati
tion
on coefficient
coeff ffic
icie
ient
nt between
bet
9888 iiss closer
ln x and y of 0.988 clo
lose
ser to to 1 tthan
h n th
ha thee pproduct
rodu
moment correlation coefficient between x and y of
0.936,

hence y c  d ln x is the better model.


6iv From (iii), we should use the regression line of y on ln x.
From GC, the equation of the regression line of y on ln x is

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837
Q Solution
y 20.8496  31.539 ln x
y 20.8  31.5ln x (3 s.f)
When y = 144, 144 20.8496  31.539 ln x
? x 49.635 50 (nearest gram)
6v Since x = 110 is outside the range of data values
( 15 d x d 90 ), hence the estimated value of y may not
be reliable.
7i P(no odd digits) P(all even digits)
C4 § 4 4
P4 ·
9 ¨ or 9 ¸
C4 © P4 ¹
1
126
7ii 5 4
C1 C3 10
P X 1 9
C4 63

x 0 1 2 3 4
P X x 1 10 10 20 5
126 63 21 63 126
7iii
¦
4

E X xP X x
x 0

§ 10 · § 10 · § 20 · § 5 ·
1¨ ¸  2 ¨ ¸  3 ¨ ¸  4 ¨ ¸
© 63 ¹ © 21 ¹ © 63 ¹ © 126 ¹
20
9
Var X E X 2  ª¬ E X º¼
2

¦
4 2
§ 20 ·
x2P X x  ¨ ¸
x 0
© 9 ¹
2
§ 10 · § 10 · § 20 · § 5 · § 20 ·
1¨ ¸  4 ¨ ¸  9 ¨ ¸  16 ¨ ¸¨ ¸
© 63 ¹ © 21 ¹ © 63 ¹ © 126 ¹ © 9 ¹
50
81

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838
Q Solution
7iv P X 1  X 2  3 P 3  X 1  X 2  3
1  2P X 1 0 & X2 4
2P X 1 0 & X2 3
2P X 1 1 & X2 4
§ 1 · § 5 · § 1 · § 20 ·
1 2¨ ¸¨ ¸  2¨ ¸¨ ¸
© 126 ¹ © 126 ¹ © 126 ¹ © 63 ¹
§ 10 · § 5 ·
2 ¨ ¸ ¨ ¸
© 63 ¹ © 126 ¹
7793
or 0.982
7938
8 Let X kg and Y kg be the mass of a randomly chosen D25
durian and Musang Queen durian respectively.
X  N(1.5, 0.022 ), Y  N(1.8, 0.0352 )
8ii Let T 9 X 1  X 2  X 3  18 Y1  Y2
E T E ª¬9 X 1  X 2  X 3  18 Y1  Y2 º¼
9 3 1.5  18 2 1.8
105.3
Var T Var ª¬9 X 1  X 2  X 3  18 Y1  Y2 º¼

9 3 0.02  18 2 0.035
2 2 2 2

0.891
T  N 105.3, 0.891
P T ! 107 0.035852
0.0359 (3 s.f)
8ii The masses of all the durians are independent of each other.

8iii X1  X 2  !  X n
Let X
n
§ 0.02 ·
2
X  N ¨1.5, ¸
© n ¹


Given P X ! m .0.1
§ ·
¨ m  1.5 ¸
P¨ Z !
0.02 ¸.0.1
¨ ¸
© n¹
§ ·
¨ m  1.5 ¸
Ÿ P¨ Z  ¸ -0.9
¨ 0.02 ¸
© n¹

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Q Solution
From the GC, P Z  1.28155 0.9
m  1.5
? - 1.28155
0.02
n
Ÿ m  1.5 n - 0.025631

when m 1.51
Ÿ 1.51  1.5 n - 0.025631
Ÿ n - 6.5695
Largest value of n is 6

9i Let y x  240
unbiased estimate of population mean
x
y  240
¦y
 240
n
120
 240
50
242.4

Unbiased estimate of population variance


s2
1 § ¦ y ·
2

¨¦ y 
2
¸
n  1 ¨© n ¸¹

1 § 1202 ·
¨ 11200  ¸
49 © 50 ¹
222.69 223 (3 s.f)

9ii Let P be the population mean of X.


H 0 : P 240
H1 : P ! 240
Level of significance: 10
10%
0%
Test Statistic : since n = 50 iiss suffi
sufficiently
cien
ci
ie tly large
large,
By Central Limit Theorem,
X is approximately normal.
When H 0 is true,
X  240
Z  N(0,1) approximately
S
50

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840
Q Solution
Computation :
x 242.4
s 222.69 14.923
p  value 0.128 (3 s.f)

Conclusion : Since p-value = 0.128 > 0.10, H 0 is not rejected


at the 10% significance level. So there is insufficient
evidence that the population mean waiting time is more than
240 seconds.
9iii No assumption is needed. Since the sample size is large, by
Central Limit Theorem, the distribution of the sample mean
( X ) is approximately normal.

9iv There is a probability of 0.10 that the test will conclude the
population mean waiting time is more than 240 seconds
when it is actually 240 seconds.

9v H0 : P k
H1 : P z k
Level of significance: 10%
For H 0 to be rejected,

z d 1.6449 or z t 1.6449
x k x k
d 1.6449 or t 1.6449
s s
50 50
242.4  k 242.4  k
d 1.6449 or t 1.6449
14.923 14.923
50 50
242.4  k d 3.4714 or 242.4  k t 3.4714
k t 245.87 or k d 238.93
^k  \ : k d 239
399 (3
(3 s.
ss.f)
f)) oorr k t 246
22446 (3 .f))`
( s.f)
s.f
10i The assumptions are
(1) The probability thatt a ccustomer
usto
us t m
tomeer turn
t rn
tu n up
up for
for th
thee flig
flight is
p
for all the 154 customers.
100
(2) Customers turn up independently of each other.

10ii Customers may be travelling in a group or as a family.


Therefore, customers may not turn up independently of the
others in their group.

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841
Q Solution
10iii § p ·
X  B ¨154, ¸
© 100 ¹
Given P X .153 0.05
P X 153  P X 154 0.05
153 154
§154 · § p · § p · §154 · § p ·
¨ ¸¨ ¸ ¨1  ¸¨ ¸¨ ¸ 0.05
© 153 ¹ © 100 ¹ © 100 ¹ ©154 ¹ © 100 ¹
153 154
§ p · § p · § p ·
154 ¨ ¸ ¨1  ¸¨ ¸ 0.05
© 100 ¹ © 100 ¹ © 100 ¹

From the GC, p 96.9568 97.0 to 3 s.f.


10iv X  B 154, 0.94
a
P 141 - X - 148 P X - 148  P X - 140
0.825
10iv P X - 150 0.98443 0.984 to 3 s.f.
b
10v Let Y be the number of days (out of 7) in which every
customer who turns up gets a seat on the flight
Y  B 7, 0.98443
P Y ! 5 1  P Y - 5
0.995

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843
-&+0DWK3UHOLP<-&

H2 Mathematics 2017 Preliminary Exam Paper 1 Question (9758)


Answer all questions [100 marks]

1
y
y = f (2x)  1
C(3, 3)
A(0, 2)
x
O B(2, 0)

x=1
The diagram shows the curve y f (2 x)  1 with a maximum point at C(3, 3). The curve
crosses the axes at the points A(0, 2) and B(2, 0). The line x = 1 and the x-axis are the
asymptotes of the curve.

On separate diagrams, sketch the graphs of

(i) y = f (x), [2]


(ii) y = f '(x), [2]
stating clearly the equations of the asymptotes and the coordinates of the points
corresponding to A, B and C where appropriate.

x
2 (i) Without using a calculator, solve the inequality d 0 , giving your answer
x 5
2

in exact form. [2]

x
(ii) Hence, find the set of values of x for which d 0. [2]
x 5

o o
3 Referred to the origin O, the points A and B are such that OA a and OB b . The point
P on OA is such that OP : PA 2 : 3 , and the point Q on OB is such that OQ : QB 1: 2 .
Given that M is the mid-point of PQ, state the position vector of M in terms of a and b.[1]
Show that the area of triangle OMP can be written as k a u b , where k is a constant to be
determined. [4]

4 Find
(a) ³ cos(ln x) dx , [3]
´ 1  2 x dx .
(b) µ 2 [3]
¶ 2x 1

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5 It is given that z 3  i and w 1  i .
z2
(i) Without using a calculator, find an exact expression for * . Give your answer in
w
iT
the form re , where r > 0 and S  T d S . [4]

§ q· S
(ii) Find the exact value of the real number q such that arg ¨1  ¸ . [3]
© z ¹ 12

6 It is given that y ln 3  e x .
2
d 2 y § dy · dy
(i) Show that ¨ ¸ . [3]
dx 2 © dx ¹ dx

(ii) By differentiating the above result, find the first four non-zero terms of the
Maclaurin series for y. Give the coefficients in exact form. [3]

e 2 x
(iii) Hence find the Maclaurin series for , up to and including the term in x 2 .
3  e 2 x
[2]

ax 2  bx  8
7 The curve C has equation y , where a and b are constants. It is given that C
x2
has asymptote y = 3  2x.

(i) Find the value of a and show that b = 7. [3]

(ii) Sketch C, stating clearly the equations of any asymptotes and the coordinates of
any stationary points and any points of intersection with the axes. [3]

(iii) By drawing another suitable curve on the same diagram, deduce the number of
real roots of the equation 2 x 2  7 x  8  25 x  2
2 3
0. [3]

8 Emily has 1016 toy bricks.

(i) Emily wishes to build a brick structure with one brick in the first row, two bricks
in the second row, three bricks in the third row and so on. What is the maximum
number of rows that she can build and how many bricks will be left
unused? [4]

(ii) Emily keeps all her 1016 bricks in 2k  1 bags of different sizes. She packs m
bricks into the smallest bag. For each subsequent bag, she packs double the
number of bricks she packs in the previous bag. Given that she has 64 bricks in
the kth bag, find the value of m and the number of bags. [5]

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845
6
´ 3x  1
9 (a) By using the substitution x 3sec T , evaluate µ dx exactly. [5]
¶3 2 x2  9

(b)

x 2 ( y  2) 2
The diagram shows an ellipse with equation  1.
16 4

(i) Find the area of the shaded region, giving your answer correct to 3 decimal
places. [2]

(ii) Find the exact volume of the solid generated when the shaded region is
rotated 180° about the y-axis. [4]

dy x  y 1
10 (a) By using the substitution z x  y , solve the differential equation .
dx x  y 1
Find the particular solution for which y 1 when x 1 . [4]

(b) A sky diver jumped out of an aeroplane over a certain mountainous valley with
zero speed and t seconds later, the speed of his descent was v metres per second.
He experienced gravitational force and air resistance which affect v. Gravity would
increase his speed by a constant 10 metres per second2 and the air resistance would
decrease his speed at a rate proportional to the square of his speed. It is given that
when his speed reaches 50 metres per second, the rate of change of his speed is
7.5 metres per second2.

By setting up and solving a differential equation, show that


100 1  e  mt
v , where m is a constant to be found. [7]
1  e  mt

Describe briefly what his speed would be after he had descended for a long time
and just before he deployed his parachute. [1]

11

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846
y cm
r cm

15 cm

3r cm

A plastic water dumbbell consists of a cylinder as a handle and two cylinders as the
weights. The handle has a radius r cm and height 15 cm. Each weight has radius 3r cm
and height y cm. The dumbbell is made of plastic of negligible thickness and the volume
of the dumbbell is a fixed value k cm3.

(i) Given that r r1 is the value of r which gives the minimum external surface area,
show that r1 satisfies the equation 102S r 3  30S r 2  k 0 . [6]

(ii) Find the value of r1 if k 450 . [1]

(iii) It is given instead that r 2 and y = 7. Water is pumped into an empty dumbbell
through an opening from the top at a rate of 15 cm3s-1. Find the exact rate at
which the depth of the water is increasing after 1 minute. [5]

[Question 12 is printed on the next page.]

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12 Laser (Light Amplification by Stimulated Emission of Radiation) has many applications
including medicine, data storage, military and industrial uses. It has the property of spatial
coherence, which allows the laser beam to stay narrow over long distances. When a laser
beam is projected onto a mirror at an angle, it reflects off the mirror at the same angle.

An engineer is designing a device that does industrial cutting using a laser beam. To make
the device compact, the device has a mirror to reflect the beam before it leaves the device.
The laser beam source is located at the origin O. It projects an incident beam with direction
vector i  2 j  k . The beam hits the mirror at the point P with angle T. The mirror has an
equation  x  2 y  3 z 12 .

O
Incident Reflected
am
beam beam

T T
P mirror

O'

(i) Find the acute angle T that the beam makes with the mirror. [2]

(ii) By finding O', the image of O in the mirror, find a vector equation of the line
that the reflected beam is on. [7]

(iii) The engineer plans to install a sensor at (3, 1, 0) to monitor the heat produced by
the laser. For the sensor to work properly, the sensor must be less than 2 units
away from either the incident or the reflected beam. Determine if the sensor will
work properly. [4]

~ ~ End of paper ~ ~

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849
H2 Mathematics 2017 Preliminary Exam Paper 2 Question (9758)
Answer all questions [100 marks]

Section A: Pure Mathematics [40 marks]

1 (i) Show that if ar Tr  Tr 1 for r = 1, 2, 3, …, and T0 0 , then


n

¦a
r 1
r Tn . [1]
n
(ii) Deduce that ¦ S ª¬ 1  S r
r 1
r 2
 2S r  S º¼ n 2S  n . [3]
20
(iii) Hence, find the exact value of ¦ S ª¬ 1  S r
r 4
r 2
 2S r  S º¼ . [2]

2 Functions g and h are defined by


g : x 6 x 2  6 x  8, x  \, x d D ,
h : x 6 e x , x  \, x ! 2.
(i) Given that the function g1 exists, write down the largest value of D and define
g 1 in similar form. State a transformation which will transform the curve
y = g(x) onto the curve y = g1(x). [5]

(ii) Given instead that D 2 , explain why the composite function hg exists and
find the exact range of hg. [2]

3 Do not use a calculator in answering this question.


Given that z 1  i is a root of the equation 2 z 4  az 3  7 z 2  bz  2 0 , find the values
of the real numbers a and b and the other roots. [5]

Deduce the roots of the equation 2 z 4  bz 3  7 z 2  az  2 0 . [2]

4 A curve C has parametric equations


x t2 , y t  t , t d 0 .
3

(i) The point P on the curve has parameter p. Show that the equation of the tangent
at P is 2 py x 1  3 p 2  p 2  p 4 . [3]

(ii) If the tangent at P passes through the point (6, 5), find the possible coordinates
of P. [3]

(iii) Find the area of the region bounded by C and the x-axis. [3]

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850
5 The planes p1 and p2 have equations x  4 y  8 z 4 and mx  ny  2 z 1 respectively,
where m and n are constants.

(i) If p1 and p2 meet at a line that has equation r 2i  0.5 j  O ( 4i  j  k ), where
O  \ , find the values of m and n. [3]

It is given instead that m = 1 and n = 2.


(ii) Find the acute angle between p1 and p2 . [2]
(iii) The point (1, b, 5) is equidistant from p1 and p2 . Calculate the possible value(s)
of b. [6]

Section B: Statistics [60 marks]

6 (a) Find the number of ways to arrange the letters of the word TOTORO such that

(i) all the ‘O’s are together, [1]


(ii) all the ‘O’s are separated, [2]
(iii) the last letter is a consonant. [3]

(b) Tontoro soft toys are sold in four different colours, of which each varies in three
sizes, small, medium and large. Each set of Tontoro soft toys consists of a small,
a medium and a large sized soft toy and exactly two are of the same colour. Find
the number of different possible sets of Tontoro soft toys.
[2]

7 A game is played with a set of 4 cards, each distinctly numbered 1, 2, 3 and 4. A player
randomly picks a pair of cards without replacement. If the sum of the cards’ numbers is
an odd number, the sum is the player’s score. If the sum of the two cards’ number is an
even number, the player randomly picks a third card from the remaining cards. The square
of the third card’s number is the player’s score.

(i) Find the probability that a player obtains a score of 4. [2]

(ii) Find the probability distribution of a player’s score, S. Hence, find the expected
score of a player. [4]

(iii) Find the probability that a player obtains a score lower than 5, given that he draws
three cards. [3]

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8 An archaeologist examines rocks to look for fossils. On average, 10% of the rocks selected
from a particular area with a large number of rocks contain fossils. The archaeologist
selects a random sample of 25 rocks from this area. The number of rocks that contain
fossils is denoted by X.

(i) Find the probability that more than 4 but at most 10 rocks contain fossils. [2]

P X k  1 25  k
(ii) Show that , for k = 0, 1, 2, 3, …, 24. Hence, by
P X k 9 k  1
considering P X k  1 ! P X k , find the most probable value of X. [4]

The archaeologist explores a new area. On average, p% (p > 10) of the rocks in the new
area contain fossils. A random sample of 20 rocks from the new area is selected. Given
that the probability that there are two rocks that contain fossils is 0.17, find the value of
p, giving your answer correct to 2 decimal places. [3]

9 A researcher investigates the relationship between the population of a particular species


of bacteria in millions (b) and the surrounding temperature in °C (t). The researcher keeps
records so that she can estimate the population of the bacteria at a certain temperature.
Observations at different temperatures give the data as shown in the following table.

t 26.5 27.5 28.5 29.5 30.5 31.5 32.5


b 1.31 2.10 3.65 5.80 D 19.56 31.20

(i) Given that the regression line of b on t is b  129.368 4.75214t , show that
D 12.12 , correct to 2 decimal places. [2]

(ii) Sketch a scatter diagram for the data. [1]

(iii) Explain which of b ct  d or b kt 3  l is the more appropriate model for the


relationship between b and t and find the equation of a suitable regression line
for this model. [2]

(iv) Use the model you chose in part (iii) to estimate the population of the bacteria
when the temperature is 33°C. Comment on the reliability of the estimate
obtained. [2]

(v) It is given that the temperature T, in °F, is related to the temperature t, in °C, by
the equation T 1.8t  32 . Rewrite your equation from part (iii) so that it can be
used to estimate the population of bacteria when the temperature is given in
°F. [2]

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852
10 In a factory, the average time taken by a machine to assemble a smartphone is 53 minutes.
A new assembly process is trialled and the time taken to assemble a smartphone, x
minutes, is recorded for a random sample of 60 smartphones. The total time taken was
found to be 3129 minutes and the variance of the time was 18.35 minutes2.

The engineer wants to test whether the average time taken by a machine to assemble a
smartphone has decreased, by carrying out a hypothesis test.

(i) Explain why the engineer is able to carry out a hypothesis test without assuming
anything about the distribution of the times taken to assemble a smartphone. [1]

(ii) Find unbiased estimates of the population mean and variance and carry out the
test at the 10% level of significance. [6]

(iii) Explain, in the context of the question, the meaning of ‘at 10% level of
significance’. [1]

After several trials, the engineer claims that the average time taken by a machine to
assemble a smartphone is 45 minutes using the new assembly process. The internal control
manager wishes to test whether the engineer’s claim is valid. The population variance of
the time taken to assemble a smartphone using the new assembly process may be assumed
to be 9 minutes2. A random sample of 50 smartphones is taken.

(iv) Find the range of values of the mean time of this sample for which the engineer’s
claim would be rejected at the 10% significance level. [4]

[Question 11 is printed on the next page.]

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11 In the manufacture of child car seats, a resin made up of three ingredients is used. The
ingredients are polymer A, polymer B and an impact modifier. The resin is prepared in
batches and each ingredient is supplied by a separate feeder. The masses, in kg, of polymer
A, polymer B and the impact modifier in each batch of resin are assumed to be normally
distributed with means and standard deviations as shown in the table. The three feeders
are also assumed to operate independently of each other.
Mean Standard deviation
Polymer A 2030 44.8
Polymer B 1563 22.7
Impact modifier P V

It is known that 3% of the batches of resin have less than 1350 kg of impact modifier and
30% of the batches of resin have more than 1414 kg of impact modifier.

(i) Show that P §DQG V § [3]

(ii) Given that polymer A costs $2.20 per kg, polymer B costs $2.80 per kg and the
impact modifier costs $1.50 per kg, find the probability that the total cost of 2
batches of resin exceeds $22,000. [4]

(iii) A random sample of n batches of resin is chosen. If the probability that at most 6
batches of resin has more than 1414 kg of impact modifier is less than 0.001, find
the least value of n. [3]

(iv) Each batch of resin is used to make a large number of car seats. It is found that the
tensile strength (N/m2) of resin for a car seat has mean 125 and standard deviation
17. A random sample of 50 car seats is selected. Find the probability that the
average tensile strength of resin for these 50 car seats is less than 130 N/m2. [3]

~ ~ End of Paper ~ ~

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854
H2 Mathematics 2017 Preliminary Exam Paper 1 Solution (9758)

1 (i)
y

(6,4)

(0,3)

y=1
(4, 1)
O x

x=2
(ii) y

(6, 0)
x
O

x=2

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2 x
(i) d0
x 5
2

x 
d0  + +
x 5 x 5 ξ5 0 ξ5

? x   5 or 0 d x  5

x
(ii) d0
x 5
x
d0
x
2
5

Replace x by x in the result from (i),

x  5 or 0 d x  5
(Reject ' x t 0) or 0 d x  5

Required set = ^ x   : 0 d x  5`

3 JJJG 2 JJJG 1
OP a OQ b
5 3
JJJJG 1 § 2 1 ·
OM ¨ a  b¸
2©5 3 ¹
Area of triangle OMP
1 §1§2 1 ·· 2
¨ ¨ a  b¸¸u a
2 ©2©5 3 ¹¹ 5
1 §§ 1 1 ·· 2
¨ ¨ a  b¸¸u a
2 ©© 5 6 ¹¹ 5
1 2 1
aua  bua
2 25 15
1 1
bua
2 15
1
a u b
30
1
aub
30

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4 1
(a) ³ cos(ln x) dx x cos(ln x)  ´µ  x sin(ln x). dx
¶ x
x cos(ln x)  ³ sin(ln x) dx
x cos(ln x)  x sin(ln x)  ³ cos(ln x) dx

2 ³ cos(ln x) dx x cos(ln x)  x sin(ln x)  constant


1
³ cos(ln x) dx x > cos(ln x)  sin(ln x) @  C
2

(b) ´ 1  2 x dx
µ 2
¶ 2x 1
1´ 1 1 4x
µ dx  ´ µ 2 dx
2 µ x2  1 2 ¶ 2x 1

2
2 1
tan 1 2 x  ln 2 x 2  1  c
2 2

5 (i) z 3 i 3 1 2,
w 1  i 11 2
arg( z )arg( 3  i)
1 S
tan 1
3 6
arg( w) arg(1  i)
3S
S  tan 1 1
4
2
§ i S6 ·
¨ 2e ¸
z2 © ¹
§ 3S ·
w* i¨  ¸
2e © 4 ¹

3 13S
i
=2 e 2 12

3 11S
i
=2 e 2 12

(ii)
§ q· § zq·
arg ¨1  ¸ arg ¨ ¸
© z¹ © z ¹
S
arg z  q  arg z
12
S S S
arg z  q 
12 6 4
arg 3 q i S
4
3q 1 Ÿ q 3 1

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6 (i) y ln(3  e x )
dy ex
dx 3  ex

3  ex
dy
dx
ex

d2 y
dx 2
3  ex  ex
dy
dx
ex
2
d y e x
dy ex

dx 2
3  e x dx
3  ex
2
d 2 y § dy · dy
¨ ¸ (proved)
dx 2 © dx ¹ dx

d3 y 2
§ dy · d y d y
2
(ii)  2 ¨ ¸ 2
dx3 © dx ¹ dx dx 2
dy 1 d 2 y 3 d 3 y 3
When x 0, y ln 4, , ,
dx 4 dx 2 16 dx3 32
2 3
§1· x § 3 · x § 3 ·
y ln 4  x ¨ ¸  ¨ ¸  ¨ ¸  ...
© 4 ¹ 2! © 16 ¹ 3! © 32 ¹
1 3 1
ln 4  x  x 2  x3  ...
4 32 64

ex 1 3 3 2
(iii)  x x !
3 e x
4 16 64
e 2 x 1 3 3
2 x
 (2 x)  (2 x) 2  !
3 e 4 16 64
1 3 3
=  x  x2  !
4 8 16

7 (i) a=2

2b  16
By long division, y = (b  4) 2x + .
x2

b  4 = 3 Ÿ b = 7 (shown)

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2 x 2  7 x  8
(ii) The equation is y
x2
y

(0, 4)

(1,3)

x
O

í
y = 3  2x

x=2

(iii) (í2x2 + 7x í 8)2 í x  2)3 = 0


(í2x2 + 7x í 8)2 = 25(x  2)3
2
§ 2 x 2  7 x  8 ·
¨ ¸ 25( x  2)
© x2 ¹

Add graph of y2 = 25(x  2)

y2 = 25(x  2)

(0, 4)

(1,3)

x
(2,0)
O

í
y = 3  2x

x=2

From the graphs, the number of real roots is 2.

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8 (i) This is an AP with a = 1, d =1.

For S n ”1016
n
1  n d 1016
2
n 2  n  2032 d 0

From GC, 45.58 ”n ”

She can complete a maximum of 44 rows.

44
S 44 = 1  44 = 990
2
Number of bricks left = 1016  990 = 26

(ii) The sequence is a GP with common ratio 2


S 2k 1 = 1016
m ª¬ 22 k 1  1º¼
1016
2 1
m ª¬ 22 k 1  1º¼ 1016    (1)

T k = 64 Ÿ m2k  1 = 64 ---- (2)

(1) y (2):
22 k 1  1 1016
2k 1 64
From GC, k =4
Sub. into (2): m241 64
Ÿm 8

No. of bags = 2(4)  1 = 7

9 dx
(a) 3sec T tan T
dT
6
´ 3x  1
µ dx
¶3 2 x2  9
S
´ 3 9sec T  1
µS 3sec T tan T dT
¶ 9sec 2 T  9
4
S
´ 3 9sec T  1 3sec T tan T dT
µS
¶ 3 tan T
4
S

³S 9sec T  sec T dT
3 2

4
S

¬ª9 tan T  ln sec T  tan T ¼º S


3

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860
S S S § S S S ·
9 tan  ln sec  tan  ¨ 9 tan  ln sec  tan ¸
3 3 3 © 4 4 4 ¹
9 3  ln 2  3  9  ln 2 1
2 3
9 3  9  ln
2 1

x2
(b)(i) Consider y 2 r 2 1
16
3
´ x2
Required area µ 2  2 1  dx  2(6)
¶3 16
10.753 (3 dp)

Alternative
x2 y2 x2
Consider  1Ÿ y r2 1 
16 4 16
3 3
´ x2 ´ x2
Required area µ 2 1  d x or 4µ 1  dx
¶3 16 ¶0 16
10.753 (3 dp)

9 1
(ii) When x 3, y 2  2 1 2 7
16 2
When x 0, y 4
4
7 ´ § ( y  2) 2 ·
Required Volume S (32 )  S µ 16 ¨ 1  dy
2 ¶2 1 7 © 4 ¸¹
2
4
9 7 ( y  2) 2
S  16S ´
µ 1 1  dy
2 ¶2 7 4
2
4
9 7 ª ( y  2)3 º
S  16S « y 
2 ¬ 12 »¼ 2 1 7
2

9 7 ª§ 2· § 7 7 7 ·º
S 16
 1166S «¨ 4  ¸  ¨¨ 2   ¸»
2 «¬© 3¹ © 2 96 ¸¹ »¼
96
1
3
64  7 7 S
Alternative
9 1
When x 3, y 2 1 7
16 2
When x 0, y 2

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861
2
7 ´ § y2 ·
Required Volume S (32 )  S µ 16 ¨ 1  ¸ dy
2 ¶1 7 © 4 ¹
2
2
9 7 ´ y2
S  16S µ 1  dy
2 ¶1 7 4
2
2
9 7 ª y3 º
S  16S « y  »
2 ¬ 12 ¼ 1 7
2

9 7 1
S  ª¬128  41 7 º¼ S
2 6
1
3
64  7 7 S
10 dz dy
(a) z x y Ÿ 1
dx dx
dy dz
Ÿ 1
dx dx

dy x  y 1
.
dx x  y 1
dz z  1
Ÿ 1
dx z  1
dz z 1
Ÿ 1
dx z 1
dz 2
Ÿ
dx z  1
³ ( z  1) dz ³ 2 dx
z2
z 2x  C
2
x  y
2

 x  y 2 x  C where C is a constant
2
x  y  x  y C
2

2
When x 1 , y 1 ,
Ÿ C 2
x  y
2

Therefore x y 2
2

dv
(b) 10  kv 2 , where k ! 0
dt

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862
dv
When v 50, 7.5
dt
7.5 10  k (50) 2
Ÿ k 0.001
dv
? 10  0.001v 2
dt

´ 1
µ dv ³ 1 dt
¶ 10  0.001v 2
1 ´ 1
µ dv ³ 1 dt
0.001 ¶ 10000  v 2
1
1000´
µ dv ³ 1 dt
¶ 100  v 2
2

1000 100  v
ln t C
200 100  v
100  v 1 1
ln t C
100  v 5 5
1 1
100  v t C
e5 5
100  v
1 1
100  v t C
re 5 5
100  v
100  v
Ae0.2t where A re0.2C
100  v

When t 0 , v 0 then A 1
100  v 100  v
e0.2t Ÿ e 0.2t
100  v 100  v
e 0.2t (100  v) 100  v
v 1  e 0.2t 100 1  e 0.2t
100 1  e 0.2t
v
1  e 0.2t

As t o f , e 0.2t o 0 and v o 100


The sky diver’s speed would d increase to a limit of 100 m/
m/s
/s long after he has descended and
ch
hut
ute.
before he deployed his parachute.

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11 2 ªS 3r y º  S r 2 u15
2
(i) V
¬ ¼
k 18S yr  15S r 2
2

1
2
y k  15S r 2
18S r
A 4 ªS 3r º  2S r 2  15(2S r )  2 y ª¬ 2S 3r º¼
2
¬ ¼
ª 1 º
2
34S r 2  30S r  2 « k  15S r 2 » ª¬ 2S 3r º¼
¬18S r ¼
2
34S r 2  30S r  k  15S r 2
3r
2k
34S r 2  20S r 
3r
dA 2k
68S r  20S  2
dr 3r
dA
At minimum area, 0
dr
2k
68S r  20S  2 0
3r
204S r  60S r  2k 0
3 2

102S r 3  30S r 2  k 0 (shown)

(ii) 102S r 3  30S r 2  450 0


From GC, r 1.03 (3 s.f.)

(iii) Volume of water pumped after 1 min = 15 (60)


= 900 cm3
Volume of a weight = S 3 u 2 u 7 791.68 cm3
2

Volume of the handle = S 2 u15 188.50 cm3


2

Since 900  791.68  188.50 980.18 , the water level is at the handle at 1 min.

Let W = volume of water in the handle and


h = depth of water from the base of the handle
S 2 h 4S h
2
W
dW
4S
dh
dh dW dh
u
dt dt dW
1
15 u
4S
15
Thus the depth of the water is increasing at a rate of cm s 1 .
4S

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12 (i) Let T be the acute angle between the plane and the incident beam.
§ 1 · § 1·
¨ ¸¨ ¸
¨ 2 ¸<¨ 2 ¸
¨1¸ ¨ 3 ¸
© ¹© ¹
sin T
1 4 1 1 4  9
6
84
Therefore T 40.9q

(ii) Let F be the foot of the perpendicular from O to the plane.


§ 1·
JJJG ¨ ¸
OF O ¨ 2 ¸ , for some O  \
¨3¸
© ¹
§ 1·
JJJG ¨ ¸
F is on plane Ÿ OF <¨ 2 ¸ 12
¨3¸
© ¹
§ 1· § 1·
¨ ¸¨ ¸
Ÿ O ¨ 2 ¸<¨ 2 ¸ 12
¨3¸¨3¸
© ¹© ¹
14O 12
6
O
7
§ 1·
JJJJG 12 ¨ ¸
OO ' 2
7 ¨¨ ¸¸
©3¹
§1·
JJJG ¨ ¸
OP P ¨ 2 ¸ , for some P  \
¨1¸
© ¹
§ 1·
JJJG ¨ ¸
P is on plane Ÿ OP<¨ 2 ¸ 12
¨3¸
© ¹
§ 1 · § 1·
¨ ¸¨ ¸
Ÿ P ¨ 2 ¸<¨ 2 ¸ 12
¨1¸ ¨ 3 ¸
© ¹© ¹
6 P 12
P 2
§ 2·
JJJG ¨ ¸
OP ¨ 4 ¸
¨ 2¸
© ¹

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§ 13 ·
JJJJG 2¨ ¸
O 'P ¨ 2 ¸
7¨ ¸
© 11¹
§ 2· § 13 ·
¨ ¸ ¨ ¸
Hence l : r ¨ 4 ¸  J ¨ 2 ¸ , J  \
¨ 2¸ ¨ 11¸
© ¹ © ¹

(iii) Let B { 3, 1, 0 .
Shortest distance of B from incident beam
§ 3· § 1· § 1 ·
¨ ¸ ¨ ¸ ¨ ¸
¨ 1 ¸ u ¨ 2 ¸ ¨ 3 ¸
¨0¸ ¨1¸ ¨ 5 ¸
© ¹ © ¹ © ¹ 35
!2
1 4 1 6 6

§ 3· § 2· §1·
JJJG ¨ ¸ ¨ ¸ ¨ ¸
PB ¨ 1 ¸  ¨ 4 ¸ ¨ 3 ¸
¨0¸ ¨ 2¸ ¨ 2 ¸
© ¹ © ¹ © ¹

Shortest distance of B from reflected beam


§ 1 · § 13 · § 37 ·
¨ ¸ ¨ ¸ ¨ ¸
¨ 3 ¸ u ¨ 2 ¸ ¨ 15 ¸
¨ 2 ¸ ¨ 11¸ ¨ 41 ¸
© ¹ © ¹ © ¹ 3275
!2
169  4  121 294 294

Hence sensor will not work properly

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H2 Mathematics 2017 Preliminary Exam Paper 2 Solution (9758)
:
1 (i)
n n

¦ ar
r 1
¦ T
r 1
r  Tr 1

T1  T0
 T2  T1
 T3  T2
#
 Tn 1  Tn  2
 Tn  Tn 1
Tn  T0
Tn

(ii)
Let T r = r 2S  r
Note T 0 = 0
Tr  Tr 1 r 2S  r  r  1 S  r 1
2

S  r ª¬ r 2  (r 2  2r  1)S º¼
=S  r ª¬ 1  S r 2  2S r  S º¼
ar

? From (i),
n n

¦ S  r ª¬ 1  S r 2  2S r  S º¼
r 1
¦a
r 1
r

Tn n 2S  n

(iii)

20

¦ S ª¬ 1  S r
r 4
r 2
 2S r  S º¼
20 3

¦ S  r ª¬ 1  S r 2  2S r  S ¼º  ¦ S  r ¬ª 1  S r 2  2S r  S º¼
r 1 r 1

400S 20
 9S 3

2 (i) Largest D = 3

Let y = g(x) = x2 + 6x + 8
= (x + 3)2  1

(x + 3)2 = y + 1
x +3 = r y  1

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x = 3 r y  1
Since x ”3, x = 3  y  1

g1 : x 6 3  x  1 , x  [1, f)

A reflection about the line y = x will transform the curve y = g(x) onto the curve y = g1(x).

(ii) Since R g [1, f ) Ž (2, f) D h , the composite function hg exists.


§ 1º
R hg ¨ f,  »
© e¼

3 By Conjugate Root Theorem, z 1  i is also a root.


ª¬ z  1  i º¼ ª¬ z  1  i º¼ ª¬ z  1  i º¼ ª¬ z  1  i º¼

z  1
2
 i2
z2  2z  2
z 2  2 z  2 Az 2  Bz  C 2 z 4  az 3  7 z 2  bz  2
By observation, A 2 , C 1 .
i.e. z 2  2 z  2 2 z 2  Bz  1 2 z 4  az 3  7 z 2  bz  2
Coeff. of z 2 : 1  2 B  4 7 Ÿ B 1
Coeff. of z 3 : B  4 a Ÿ a 5
Coeff. of z : 2  2 B b Ÿ b 4

2z2  z 1 0
1 r 1  4 2
z
2 2
1 r 7i
z
4
1 r 7i
Hence other roots are 1  i , .
4

2 z 4  bz 3  7 z 2  az  2 0
1 1 1 1
2b 7 2 a 3 2 4 0
z z z z
Hence
1 1 4 4
z , , ,
1 i 1  i 1  7i 1  7i
1 i 1 i 1  7i 1  7i
z , , ,
2 2 2 2

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4 (i)
dx dy
2t , 1  3t 2
dt dt
dy dy dx 1  3t 2
y
dx dt d t 2t
dy 1  3 p2
At P, x 2
p , y p p , 3

dt 2p
Equation of tangent at P,
y  (p  p 3 ) 1  3 p 2
x  p2 2p
Ÿ 2 py  2 p (p  p 3 ) x  p 1  3 p
2 2

Ÿ 2 py  2 p 2  2 p 4 x 1  3 p  p  3 p
2 2 4

Ÿ 2 py x 1  3 p 2  p 2  p 4 (shown) -------(1)

(ii) At A, substitute x 6, y 5 into eqn (1)


2 p (5) 6 1  3 p 2
 p 2
p 4

10 p 6  18 p 2  p 2  p 4
p 4  17 p 2  10 p  6 0
From GC, p 4.35 (rejected) or p 3.7261 or p 1 or p 0.370 (rejected)
Hence coordinates of P: (1,0) and (13.9, 48.0)

1
(iii) Required area =  ³ y dx
0

t  t 2t dt
1
³ 3
0

0.267 unit 2

5 (i) If p1 and p2 meet at l , then m is perpendicular to n 2 .


§ 4 · § m ·
¨ ¸¨ ¸
m<n 2 0 Ÿ ¨ 1 ¸<¨ n ¸ 0
¨ 1 ¸ ¨2¸
© ¹© ¹
4m  n 2

Since 2,  0.5, 0 lies on p2 ,


2m  0.5n 1
m=0
n = í2

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(ii) Let T be the acute angle between p1 and p2 .
§ 1 · §1·
¨ ¸¨ ¸
¨ 4 ¸<¨ 2 ¸
¨ 8 ¸ ¨ 2¸
© ¹© ¹
cos T
1  16  64 1  4  4
1
3
Therefore T 70.5q

(iii) Let B { 1, b, 5 .
Observe A1 4, 0, 0 lies on p1
§1· § 4· § 3 ·
JJJG ¨ ¸ ¨ ¸ ¨ ¸
A1 B ¨ b ¸  ¨ 0 ¸ ¨b¸
¨5¸ ¨ 0¸ ¨5¸
© ¹ © ¹ © ¹
§ 3 · § 1 ·
¨ ¸ ¨ ¸
¨ b ¸ x ¨ 4 ¸
¨5¸ ¨8¸ 37  4b
© ¹ © ¹
Shortest distance of B from p1
1  16  64 9

Observe A2 1, 0, 0 lies on p2
§1· §1· §0·
JJJJG ¨ ¸ ¨ ¸ ¨ ¸
A2 B ¨ b ¸  ¨ 0 ¸ ¨b¸
¨5¸ ¨0¸ ¨5¸
© ¹ © ¹ © ¹
§0· §1·
¨ ¸ ¨ ¸
¨b¸ x¨ 2¸
¨5¸ ¨ 2¸ 10  2b
© ¹ © ¹
Shortest distance of B from p1
1 4  4 3
37  4b 2b  10 37  4b 2b  10
or 
9 3 9 3
7 67
b b 
10 2

6 4!
(a)(i) No. of ways = 122
2!

3! u4 C3
(ii) No. of ways = 12
2!

(iii) Case 1: Ending with “T”


5!
No. of ways 20
3!
Case 2: Ending with “R”

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5!
No. of ways 10
3!2!

Total no. of ways 20  10 30

(b) Choose the two sizes that have the same colour: 3 C2 3
Choose colour that is same for two sizes: 4 C1 4
Choose colour of remaining size: 3 C1 3

No. of ways = 3 C2 u4 C1 u3 C1 36

7 (i) P(score of 4)
P(obtain 1 and 3 for the first 2 cards, and obtain 2 for the third card)
§1 1 · 1 1
¨ u u 2¸u
© 4 3 ¹ 2 12

(ii)
s 1 3 4 5 7 9 16
P(S = s) 1 1 1 4 1 1 1
12 6 12 12 6 12 12
§ 1 · §1· § 1 · § 4 · §1· § 1 · §1·
Expected score = 1¨ ¸  3 ¨ ¸  4 ¨ ¸  5 ¨ ¸  7 ¨ ¸  9 ¨ ¸  16 ¨ ¸
© 12 ¹ © 6 ¹ © 12 ¹ © 12 ¹ © 6 ¹ © 12 ¹ © 12 ¹
35
=
6

(iii) P(score < 5 | draws three cards)


P(score <5 and draws three cards)
P(draws three cards)
P(score 4 and 3 cards)+P(score 1 and 3 cards)
P(obtain 1,3 or 2,4 for first two cards)
1 1

12 12
§1 1 ·
¨ u u 2¸u 2
©4 3 ¹
1
2

8 (i) Let X be the random vva


variable
ari
riab
ab
blee ‘‘number
nuumb
ber of
of ro
rock
rocks
ckss that
t at contain fossils out of 25 rocks’
th
X ~ B(25, 0.1)
P(4  X d 10) = P X d 10  P X d 4
§
§ VLJILJ 

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(ii)
P X k  1
P X k
25
Ck 1 (0.1) k 1 (0.9) 25 k 1
25
Ck (0.1) k (0.9) 25 k
25!
(0.1) k 1 (0.9) 25 k 1
(k  1)!(25  k  1)!
25!
(0.1) k (0.9) 25 k
k !(25  k )!
(25  k )(0.1)
(k  1)(0.9)
25  k
for k = 0, 1,2 …, 24
9(k  1)
(shown)

P X k  1 ! P X k
P X k  1 25  k
>1
P X k 9 k  1
25  k ! 9k  9
10k  16
k < 1.6
Ÿ k = 0 or 1 for P X k  1 ! P X k
Since P X 2 ! P X 1 ! P( X 0) , most probable value of X = 2

Let Y be the ‘number of rocks that contain fossils out of 20 rocks in the new area’
p
Y ~ B(20, )
100
P(Y 2) 0.17
Using g.c.
p p
0.045473 or 0.1815827
100 100
Since p >10, p = 18.16 (2 d.p)

9 (i) b  129.368 4.75214


5 t
5214
From GC, t  29.5

b  129.368 4.75214t
b  129.368 4.75214 29.5

 10.82013

1.31 2.1 3.65 5.8 D 19.56 31.2


 10.82013
7
D  12.121  12.12 (2 dp)

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(ii)

b (32.5, 31.2)

(26.5, 1.31)

(iii) From (ii), the scatter diagram shows that as t increases, b increases at an increasing
rate which would not be the case if the data follows a linear model. Hence the model
b kt 3  l is a better model.
b 37.370  0.0018516t 3
37.4  0.00185t 3 3s.f.

(iv) When t 33 ,
37.370  0.0018516 33
3
b
29.171
29.2 3s.f.
The population of the bacteria is 29.2 millions.
Since the estimate is obtained via extrapolation, the estimate is not reliable.

(v)
3
§ T  32 ·
b 37.370  0.0018516 ¨ ¸
© 1.8 ¹
37.370  3.1749 u104 T  32
3

37.4  3.17 u104 T  32 3 s.f.


3

10 (i) Since sample size is lar


large,
aarrge,
ge by
ge b C
Central
entr
en
ntral
trral
al L
Limit
im
mit T
Theorem,
heorem the sample mean time for 60
he
smartphones is approximately normal. Hence the assumption that the time taken by a
machine to assembly a smartphone is not necessary.

(ii) Unbiased estimate for population mean P is x


3129
52.15
60

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Unbiased estimate for population variance V 2 is s 2
60
18.35
59
18.661
18.7 (3sf)

H0 : P 53
H1 : P  53
X P
Under H 0 , the test statistic Z ~ N(0,1) approx. by CLT, where
S/ n
P 53, s 18.661, x 52.15, n 60 .

By GC, p-value 0.0637 3 s.f. .

Since p-value < 0.1, we reject H 0 and conclude at 10% level that there is sufficient
evidence that average time taken by a machine to assembly a smartphone has reduced.

(iii) There is a probability of 0.1 of concluding that the average time taken by a
machine to assembly a smartphone has decreased when the average time taken by a
machine to assembly a smartphone is 53 minutes.

H0 : P 45
(iv)
H1 : P z 45
X P
Under H 0 , the test statistic Z ~ N(0,1) approx. by CLT, where
V/ n
P 45, V 9, n 50 .

0.05

1.6449

Since H 0 is rejected,

x  45 x  45
 1.6449 or ! 1.6449
9 / 50 9 / 50
x  44.3021 x ! 45.698
x  44.3 3 s.f. x ! 45.7 3 s.f.
Range of values of x : x  44.3 3 s.f. or x ! 45.7 3 s.f.

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11 (i) Let X be the random variable ‘amount (in kg) of impact modifier in a batch of
resin’
X ~ N (P ,V 2 )
P( X  1350) 0.03
1350  P
P( Z  ) 0.03
V
1350  P
1.88079361
V
P  1.88079361V 1350  (1)
P( X ! 1414) 0.3
1414  P
P( Z  ) 0.7
V
1414  P
0.5244005101
V
P  0.5244005101V 1414    (2)
Solve (1) and (2),
P 1400.046 =1400 (shown)
V = 26.609 = 26.6 (shown)

(ii) Let Y be the random variable ‘amount (in kg) of Polymer A in a batch of resin’
Let W be the random variable ‘amount (in kg) of Polymer B in a batch of resin’
Y ~ N (2030, 44.82 ) , W ~ N (1563, 22.7 2 )
Total cost of a batch,
T 2.20Y  2.80W  1.50 X ~ N (10942.4,15345.9572)
Total cost of 2 batches,
T1  T2 ~ N (21884.8,30715.9144)
P(T1  T2 ! 22000) 0.255 (3.s.f.)

(iii) Let H be the r.v.’ number of batches of resin with more than 1414 kg of impact
modifier out of n batches.’
H ~ B n, 0.3
P( H d 6)  0.001
Using GC.
When n = 53,
P( H d 6) 0.00120 ! 0.001
When n = 54,
P( H d 6) 9.44 u104  0.001
011
Therefore, least n = 54

(iv) Let S be the r.v.’ tensile strength (in N/m2) of resin in a car seat’
E(S) = 125, Var(S) =172

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S1  S 2  ...  S50
S
50
§ 17 2 ·
S ~ N ¨125, ¸ approx by Central Limit Thm
© 50 ¹
P( S  130) 0.981 (3 s.f.)

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