Exm2 PDF

Phase 3 - Troubleshoot and analyze situations raised in the evaluation of ... https://campus16.unad.edu.co/ecbti51/mod/quiz/review.php?attempt=2...
Página Principal ► Cursos ► TEORIA DE LAS DECISIONES - (212066A_611) ►

Monitoring and evaluation Environment ►
Phase 3 - Troubleshoot and analyze situations raised in the evaluation of the Unit 1 -
Presentation of the activity
Comenzado el jueves, 14 de marzo de 2019, 22:34

Estado Finalizado
Finalizado en jueves, 14 de marzo de 2019, 23:01
Tiempo empleado 27 minutos 37 segundos
Puntos 8,00/10,00
Calificación 40,00 de 50,00 (80%)
Comentario - Excellent performance. You have fully understood the theme.
1 de 11 14/03/2019, 11:13 p. m.
Pregunta 1 This type of question consists of a statement, and four options. Only one of these options to
Finalizado correctly answer the question. The student must select the response and mark it according
to the think is correct.
Puntúa 1,00 sobre
1,00 Statement:
The decision-making process is a series of eight steps that begins with the identification of
the problem, the steps to select an alternative that can solve the problem, and concludes
with the assessment of the effectiveness of the decision. Missing the six steps of the
decision-making process in your order are:
Seleccione una:
a. The identification of the criteria for decision-making and the allocation of weights to
the criteria, the development of alternatives, the analysis of alternatives, the selection of
an alternative and the implementation of the alternative.
b. The identification of the criteria for decision-making and the allocation of

considerations to the criteria, the development of alternatives, the analysis of
alternatives, the selection of an alternative and the implementation of the alternative.
c. The identification of criteria for decision making and the assignment of

considerations to the criteria, the development of alternatives, the analysis of
alternatives, the selection of an alternative and the implementation of algorithmic
methods that give zero-type errors.
d. The identification of the criteria for decision-making and the allocation of weights to
the criteria, the development of alternatives, the analysis of alternatives, the selection of
an alternative and the implementation of the alternative.
2 de 11 14/03/2019, 11:13 p. m.
Pregunta 2 These questions consist of two propositions as well: a statement and a reason, nations by
Finalizado the word why. You must examine the veracity of each proposition and the theoretical
relationship that unites them.
Puntúa 1,00 sobre
1,00 Statement:
The pilot or tactical decisions, decisions are taken by middle management and try to
efficiently allocate the resources available to meet the objectives set at the strategic level
because these decisions may not be repetitive and the degree of repetition is insufficient to
rely on precedents, as well as their consequences tend to occur in a long period of time and
are usually irreversible and errors involve very strong sanctions unless they are
accumulating.
Seleccione una:
a. The statement is false, but the reason is a proposition true.
b. The affirmation and the reason and reason are true, but the reason is not a correct
explanation of the statement.
c. The affirmation and reason are true and the reason is a correct explanation of the
statement.
d. The statement is true, but the reason is a proposition false.
3 de 11 14/03/2019, 11:13 p. m.
Puntúa 0,00 sobre
1,00 Statement:
A company dedicated to the manufacture of certain parts to assemble factory vehicles must
decide whether a new piece in its main plant, or if on the contrary you purchase from a
vendor Korean. The utilities depend on the demand for the product. The table shows the
projected profits, in millionss of pesos.
Table 1. Decision process for the marketing of the product

State of nature
Alternative decision Low Medium High

demand demand demand
Manufactured 25 30 60
Buy 35 40 50
Probability ∑= 1 0,25 0,25 0,5
At the same time, the resulting decision tree is:
According to the above information, the Expected Value Without Perfect Information
(EVwithoutPI) of the problem is:
Seleccione una:
a. 43.75 millions.
b. 45.5 millions.
c. 44.75 millions.
d. 47 millions.
4 de 11 14/03/2019, 11:13 p. m.
Puntúa 1,00 sobre
1,00 Statement:
The decision models can be classified according to several criteria, including: objective,
subjective, analytical, simulation, static, dynamic, deterministic and probabilistic. The models
are simplified representations of reality on which it operates to study the effects of the
different alternatives of action are called:
Seleccione una:
a. Analytical models.
b. Simulation models.
c. Models of emulation.
d. Simplified models.
5 de 11 14/03/2019, 11:13 p. m.
Puntúa 1,00 sobre
1,00 Statement:

State of nature

Buy 35 40 50
Probability ∑= 1 0,25 0,25 0,5
According to the above information, the Expected Value (EV) of Node 3 is:
Seleccione una:
a. 43.75 millions.
b. 47 millions.
c. 44.75 millions.
d. 45.5 millions.
6 de 11 14/03/2019, 11:13 p. m.
Pregunta 6 This question consists of two propositions as well: a statement and a reason, nations by the
Finalizado word why. You must examine the veracity of each proposition and the theoretical relationship
that unites them.
Puntúa 1,00 sobre
1,00 Statement:
When the decision-maker has some knowledge about the states of nature you can assign to
the occurrence of each state some objective estimation of probability because the decision-
maker can assign subjective probabilities to the occurrence of the states of nature to
evaluate different alternatives before taking any decision.
Seleccione una:
a. The statement is false, but the reason is a proposition true.
b. The affirmation and reason are true, but the reason is not a correct explanation of
the statement.
c. The statement is true, but the reason is a false proposition.
d. The affirmation and reason are true and the reason is a correct explanation of the
statement.
7 de 11 14/03/2019, 11:13 p. m.
Puntúa 0,00 sobre
1,00 Statement:

State of nature

Buy 25 35 40
Probability ∑= 1 0,3 0,3 0,4
According to the above information, the Expected Value (EV) of Node 2 is:
Seleccione una:
a. 35 millions.
b. 30.5 millions.
c. 38.5 millions.
d. 36.5 millions.
8 de 11 14/03/2019, 11:13 p. m.
Pregunta 8 These questions consist of two propositions as well: a statement and a reason, nations by
Finalizado the word why. You must examine the veracity of each proposition and the theoretical
relationship that unites them.
Puntúa 1,00 sobre
1,00
Statement:
The deterministic models of decision, are known with certainty all the data of the reality that
represent because if one or more data are referred to only in terms of probability, the model
is called, probabilistic, random or stochastic.
Seleccione una:
a. The statement is true, but the reason is a false proposition.
b. The affirmation and reason are true and the reason is a correct explanation of the
statement.
c. The statement is false, but the reason is a proposition true.
d. The affirmation and the reason and reason are true, but the reason is not a correct
explanation of the statement.
9 de 11 14/03/2019, 11:13 p. m.
Puntúa 1,00 sobre
1,00 Statement:

State of nature

Buy 35 40 50
Probability ∑= 1 0,25 0,25 0,5
According to the above information, the Expected Value Perfect Information (EVPI) of the
problem is:
Seleccione una:
a. 5 millions.
b. 6 millions.
c. 3 millions.
d. 5.5 millions.
10 de 11 14/03/2019, 11:13 p. m.
Puntúa 1,00 sobre
1,00 Statement:
For Huber, there will be a problem when there is a difference between the actual situation
and the desired situation. The solution to the problem may be to modify one or the other
situation, therefore, can be defined as the conscious process to reduce the difference
between the two situations. A decision is made up of the following five basic elements:
Seleccione una:
a. Strategies, states of nature, links or results, predictions of probability and decision
criterion.
b. Strategies, states of nature, outcomes or results, contradictions of probability and

dicersion criterion.
c. Strategies, states of nature, outcomes or results, predictions of probability and

decision criterion.
d. Strategies, states of nature, outcomes or results, contradictions of probability and

decision criterion.
11 de 11 14/03/2019, 11:13 p. m.

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Phase 3 - Troubleshoot and analyze situations raised in the evaluation of ... https://campus16.unad.edu.co/ecbti51/mod/quiz/review.php?attempt=2...

Página Principal ► Cursos ► TEORIA DE LAS DECISIONES - (212066A_611) ►

Comenzado el jueves, 14 de marzo de 2019, 22:34

b. The identification of the criteria for decision-making and the allocation of

c. The identification of criteria for decision making and the assignment of

d. The statement is true, but the reason is a proposition false.

Table 1. Decision process for the marketing of the product

Alternative decision Low Medium High

At the same time, the resulting decision tree is:

Table 1. Decision process for the marketing of the product

Alternative decision Low Medium High

At the same time, the resulting decision tree is:

c. The statement is true, but the reason is a false proposition.

Table 1. Decision process for the marketing of the product

Alternative decision Low Medium High

At the same time, the resulting decision tree is:

c. The statement is false, but the reason is a proposition true.

Table 1. Decision process for the marketing of the product

Alternative decision Low Medium High

At the same time, the resulting decision tree is:

b. Strategies, states of nature, outcomes or results, contradictions of probability and

c. Strategies, states of nature, outcomes or results, predictions of probability and

d. Strategies, states of nature, outcomes or results, contradictions of probability and

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