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ANALYSIS
CONTENTS
5. How exactly does policy analysis fit into the wider system
rgy
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22 April 2002
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1. POLICY ANALYSIS – A BRIEF HISTORY
As part of the new spirit of openness and optimism in the 1960s, this process came under fire –
for basically three reasons -
Policy-making, it was argued, was too incestuous – often subject as a result to
“groupthink”
The challenge of modernisation facing most countries in this period required a new
approach1
New techniques were being developed – with which neither senior civil servants nor
politicians were familiar2.
The initial response was for Ministries to recruit the new breed of social scientists starting to be
produced by universities – either as individual advisors or as specialist officials; and to
commission research. Their task was to use more diagnostic and analytical work in order to -
Ensure that the particular problem was clearly defined
Identify all alternatives
Assess all alternatives – particularly with cost-benefit analysis
Select the optimal alternative
Optimism was very high in the 1960s and 1970s in America3 that the new technology would
allow a lot of data to be fed into computers and give answers on complex issues of, for example,
transport, land-use policy and budgeting. Cost-benefit analysis suffered from such hype.
Zero-based budgeting, for example, was very fashionable for a time – before its impossible
analytical demands became evident. (Such belief in numbers is still evident – in, for example, the
contemporary British fashion for performance auditing4.)
But, apart from the tenuous nature of some of the new tools, the individual analyst or unit got cut
off from the rest of the organisation and produced reports whose content or style was seen as
irrelevant or threatening. Taking two critical dimensions
how closely integrated the analyst is with the organisation’s leadership
how strong the analysts links were to outside organisations,
1
These arguments are captured in the 1968 Royal Commission Report on the British Civil Service – itself an
interesting example of policy analysis (see section 7). See also Peter Hall’s book on Policy Disasters
2
US Defence systems – ZBB - Roskill Report
3
House PW and Shull RD The Practice of Policy Analysis – Forty Years of Art and technology (Compass Press
1991) - two very experienced American policy analysts give an overview of the American experience.
4
see Boyle’s The Tyranny of Numbers – why counting can’t make us happy (Harper Collins 2000) for an excellent
critique
5
see Meltsner’s classic book on The Policy Analyst in the Bureaucracy (
3
Low Openness to outside world High
A B
High
Ministerial apologist ideas broker
Closeness to Power C D
The late 1970s also saw a loss of confidence in the ability of large organisations to plan ahead.
The first oil shock may have been the most visible symbol of this – but the writing had been on
the wall for the optimism of the social scientists for some years6.
Issues which can therefore make policy-makers unsympathetic to policy analysis include the
following -
policy-makers operate in crisis management – and want quick answers in terms they
(the media and the public) will understand and find acceptable.
Often they are boxed into policy commitments by prior electoral deals
the critical approach taken by policy analysis could threaten their favoured projects
They tend to assume that an open mind will be seen as a sign of weakness
6
reflected in the books of Alvin Toffler – particularly his first - Future Shock
4
And a similar sort of change has been evident in the business of government. The life-cycle,
pragmatism and attention-span of Ministers and local government leaders predispose them to adopt
what might be called a "blunderbuss" approach to change : that is they assume that desirable
change is achieved by one (or a mix) of the following approaches -
making new appointments
passing new laws
ending previous policies and programmes and issuing new policy guidelines
creating new agencies – or abolishing old ones
giving existing programmes more money
These are the things which can be done quickly – to give the impression of being on top of a
situation. Once such appointments, laws, resources, guidelines or agencies have been set running,
politicians will move quickly on to the other issues that are queuing up for their attention.
Of course, they will wish some sort of guarantee that the actual policies and people selected will
actually enable the resources and structures used to achieve the desired state. But that is seen as a
simple implementation issue.
Increasingly, however, people have realised that large "hierarchic" organisations - such as
Ministries - have serious deficiencies which makes it difficult to develop or deliver relevant
policies eg
they are structured around historical missions (such as the provision of education, law and
order etc) whose achievement now requires different skills and inter-agency work7.
Many of them have been “captured” by the interests they are supposed to control
their multiplicity of levels seriously interfere with, indeed pervert, information and
communications flows - particularly from the consumer or client.
Their hierarchical structures discourage co-operation and initiative.
But how do you move against such problems? Critical policy analysis and administrative reform
challenge the powerful interests of bureaucracy itself - on which political leaders depend for
advice and implementation. Change therefore seems to require an eccentric mixture of –
policy conviction,
single-mindedness
political security
which few leaders possess. Whatever the appearance of unity and coherence at election time, a
Government is a collection of individually ambitious politicians whose career path demands
making friends and clients rather than the upsetting of established interests which reform generally
requires.
The machinery of government consists of a powerful set of "baronies" (Ministries/ Departments),
each with their own (and client) interests to protect or favour. And Governments can - and do -
always blame other people for "failure": and distract the public with new games - and faces.
What one might call the "constituency of reform" seemed, therefore, simply too small for major
reforms even to be worth attempting. For politicians, the name of the game is reputation and
survival.
Increasingly in the last two decades leaders have known that something was wrong - although the
nature of the problem and solution eluded them. The problem was, between the 1960s and 1980s,
variously diagnosed as
poor quality advice
lack of management skills
lack of inter-Ministerial co-operation
over-centralisation
7
See JQ Wilson’s classic Bureaucracy - what Government Agencies do and why they do it (Basic
Books 1989)
5
institutional “capture”
A variety of reforms got underway from the late 1960s8; and were accelerated when it was clear
later in the 1970s that no new resources were available for government spending and, indeed, that
there would have to be significant cutbacks. Encouraged by the examples set by countries such as
Britain, New Zealand, Australia and Finland, government reform has become all the rage
throughout the world in the past ten years9. Initially this involved governments selling off
industries such as Steel, Gas and Telecommunications. The reform of government has, however,
now spread deep into the thinking about how the basic system of government and of social services
should be managed – and whether policies give value for money.
For the last decade the talk has been of the "ENABLING" state - of government no longer trying
itself to produce things and to run services but rather focussing on strategic purposes and trying
to achieve them by giving independent public agencies - national and local - budgets and
guidelines10. Then relying on a mixture of audit regulation, citizen voice, quasi-market forces and
arm-twisting to keep them on target.
But this can be done only if central government has -
taken the trouble properly to map out the dimensions and causes of the problem
developed a realistic strategy
selected appropriate tools
This is the task which policy analysts have increasingly been called in to do in recent years
8
Pollitt
9
although economic and organisational rather than PA. SIGMA
10
Beating the Bureaucracy
11
see Travis on first; Wolmar on second
12
eg New Zealand PAR
6
History is littered with examples of reform efforts that fell into one of the following pitfalls
did not take the trouble clearly to identify the key problems
didn’t put enough staff onto the task of developing a strategy
did not properly explore all the possible options
failed to involve the people who would later be responsible for making the system work
underestimated the scale of resistance
did not allocate clear resources
failed to draw up an action plan – with clear responsibilities
failed to communicate
Generally all this leads to lost reputations and votes. Good policy analysis can help avoid that
An Audit of good practice identified a few cases which stood out as being exemplary. One
distinguishing feature of these cases was the fact that they were run on project management
lines– ie
the need to plan systematically and identify outcomes and outputs gives greater clarity
about the purpose of the work.
Stakeholder analysis helps policy makers to ensure that they have identified and thought
about the role of all those with an interest in the policy.
Having a project board and steering group provides a mechanism for bringing in a range
of views and cooperating across institutional boundaries
Techniques such as risk assessment and management helps provide a less risk averse
environment in which innovative and creative ideas can come to the fore
Having to specify precise outcomes, products and milestones early on helps policy
makers to build evaluation into the policy making process from the outset
Having in-built mechanisms for monitoring the progress of work helps to keep the policy
process on track”
2.3 But how is it possible to reconcile the “rational” approach required by policy analysis
with the messy, stressful world managers occupy?
One of the wisest books on the subject14 compared the first two models in the following rather
provocative way -
13
as part of the 1997 Modernising Government commitment of the new Blair Government
14
Policy Paradox – the art of political decision-making by Deborah Stone (Norton 1997)
7
Decision Strategies
Rational-analytical model Political model
1. State goals/objectives explicitly and precisely State goals ambiguously, and possibly keep some
goals secret or hidden
2. Adhere to the same goal throughout the Be prepared to shift goals and redefine goals as
analysis and decision-making process the political situation dictates
3. Try to imagine and consider as many Keep undesirable alternatives off the agenda by
alternatives as possible not mentioning them.
Make your preferred alternative appear to be the
only feasible or possible One.
Focus on one part of the causal chain and ignore
others that would require politically difficult or
costly policy actions
4. Define each alternative clearly as a distinct Use rhetorical devices to blend alternatives; don’t
course of action appear to make a clear decision that could trigger
strong opposition
5. Evaluate the costs and benefits of each course Select from the infinite range of consequences
of action as accurately and completely as only those whose costs and benefits will make
possible your preferred course of action look "best."
6. Choose the course of action that will Choose the course of action that hurts powerful
maximize total welfare as defined by your constituents the least, but portray your decision
objective as creating maximum social good for a broad
public
Diagnostic tools and managerial authority are effective only when they are sensitive to the
perceptions of those whose behaviour they are trying to change. The literature on managing
change has emphasised the importance of people feeling a “sense of ownership” – and the
existence of politics in companies has slowly been recognised15.
An excellent book which looks at the literature on managing change in order to try to identify the
necessary skills of the change agent16 uses the metaphor of the theatre in arguing that the change
agent has to support the “public performance” of rationally constructed, logically phased and
apparently participative change – with “backstage” activity in the recruitment of support and
blocking of resistance.
15
Pfeffer
16
The Expertise of the Change Agent - public performance and backstage activity by Buchanan and Boddy (Prentice
Hall 1992)
8
3. GETTING THE BALANCE RIGHT - A good report – or an effective
result?17
All governments are judged by how well they deliver results – whether they leave children better
educated, trains more punctual, the population healthier and safer. The capacity to deliver is part
of the implicit contract between the state and its citizens. Many policies are successfully
implemented. But too often, policies that appear impressive on paper are poorly implemented.
Implementation tends to get insufficient attention or status.
If these conditions are in place, with the right people in the right jobs, and adequate funding,
success should be assured.
First, because central government has only limited control over many of the people and
institutions responsible for delivery. Even in executive agencies – such as the UK Prisons
Service or Benefits Agency –which are directly accountable to central government, professional
groups and staff organisations can play a critical role in helping or hindering delivery. The health
service is in some respects a vertically integrated organisation, but in other respects power is
widely distributed to health authority managers, doctors, nurses, regulators and others. In many
key areas of policy, governments wanting to improve results for the citizen depend on the
behaviour of third parties - local authorities, police, judiciary, voluntary sector or private
contractors – which may not respond in straightforward ways to legislative commands or
financial incentives. Excessively directive methods of government that appear to treat front-line
deliverers as unable to think for themselves, untrustworthy or incompetent, undermine the very
motivation and adaptability on which real-world success depends.
17
This section is reproduced from the Cabinet Office Report on Policy Delivery and Design (www.cabinet-
office.gov.uk/innovation/about/impacts)
9
Second, because few policies are implemented fully formed. The traditional model assumes
that policy-makers have complete knowledge about what will work. The ideal of policy fully
informed by an evidence-base is rarely attainable; most research gives pointers rather than
definitive answers, and in the real world it is not easy to predict how institutions and people will
respond. As a result in practice ideas are tested either in pilots – with no guarantee that the results
can be applied nationally – or prototypes and pathfinders where policies have to be rapidly
adapted in the light of early experience. The more quickly policies are adapted in the light of
experience, drawing lessons from the frontline, the more chance they have of succeeding.
Third, because decision-makers at the top of hierarchies inevitably know less about the operating
environment than those at the front line. This is why in many fields (such as the military or
business), leaders prefer to use what are sometimes called ‘loose-tight’ frameworks: a
combination of clear objectives and freedom for those with local knowledge to adapt to
circumstances: very different to the model of ‘delivering’ a centrally defined solution.
Fourth, because successful delivery depends on systems and how they develop and interact
institutions
funding
regulation
human resources and motivation
increasingly, technologies and IT systems
Unless account is taken of each of these elements in the policy design phase, there is a high risk
of delivery problems.
Fifth, because many of the top priorities of modern governments (particularly in crime,
education, health, the environment and welfare) depend on changing behaviour and cultures as
well as improving services: for example changing motivations to learn; attitudes to health and
diet; attitudes to welfare and work.
Sixth, because delivery involves at least three closely related, but different, elements:
Implementation of policy – for example the introduction of a cancer screening service or a
literacy programme
Achievement of targets – for example an objective for waiting lists or exam results
Achievement of better outcomes – for example lower mortality or better employability
In many cases these three reinforce each other, as successive stages in a single process. But
sometimes they can be in tension. Effective implementation of a flawed policy can worsen
outcomes (for example the initial introduction of the new English National Curriculum), as can
too great an emphasis on the wrong targets. Too many new policies and initiatives can wreck
delivery by diverting management time – carrying out instructions gets in the way of better
outcomes. Successful delivery therefore depends on a rounded understanding of the links
between implementation, targets and outcomes.
You need to think very carefully about the implications of these remarks for any policy
assignment you are taking up. For example -
you should pay particular attention to actors other than central Government
legislation is only the tip of the iceberg
the Action Plan is crucial
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3. IS POLICY ANALYSIS NOT A LUXURY FOR ACCESSION
COUNTRIES?
But Redford’s question remains - particularly for newly-appointed Ministers and advisers –
although it might be rephrased
what can we do with this power to make a positive difference?
How can we be confident that we can develop the right policies?
and that it will be implemented in a way that achieves positive results?
18
the section on the British experience of policy analysis indicates the scope which still remains for indpenent
policy-making.
11
5. HOW EXACTLY DOES THE POLICY ANALYST FIT INTO THE
WIDER SYSTEM?
12
managerial individual is often from a
specialist background
Professional Concern Standards of Civil Ministerial survival Standards of academic
Service conduct probity
In fact, it is probably more helpful to see the three terms as points in a spectrum.
At one end of the spectrum is the political advisor - with an emphasis on political skills
At the other end, the policy analyst – with an emphasis on analytical skills
In between is the policy advisor – who combines the two with a particular emphasis on the task
of implementation (managerial skills)
This very much relates to the discussion in para 2.3 above the balance of skills required in the effective
change agent.
Whether such roles are formally distinguished will depend on the institutional conventions of each
country. And countries such as Slovakia which have a very recent tradition of Statehood and skills of
Statecraft will naturally find themselves at a distinctive point in the spectrum – which will combine
elements of the three roles. This makes it all the more important to appreciate the choices of emphasis
– and to watch out for the deficiencies which each role is prone to!
Policy advice is given by “policy specialists” in Ministries who have been trained in particular
disciplines with a particular way of looking at the world and with certain policy inclinations and
tools.
The role of the policy analyst is to:
Produce arguments for debates about public policy
Produce evidence for decisions about public policy
Act as internal organizational consultants
Handle both technical and people aspects
If this won’t work and it becomes an issue for government, the next step is whether it warrants a
quick ad-hoc response – or more systematic treatment. Only in the latter case does it come near
the policy analyst.
If the policy analyst is interested only in a good report (and not an effective change), (s)he will
be interested in the first eight of the following stages.
The analyst who is concerned to see an outcome will be interested in all fourteen!
13
Activity Who should be Issues (Sections B and C give more
involved? detail)
1. Deciding a structure for the Key policy-maker These two decisions have a profound effect on the
work outcome. The exclusion of issues and individuals
can be deliberate - or a dangerous oversight.
If a task-force is set up, it needs to work as a team
(see Belbin)
Drafting its terms of reference Read section on objectives, criteria and measures
2. Defining the problem - Systems thinking and modelling
Understanding it analysts use of diagrams
Consultation processes
4. Developing criteria and The analyst Needs to be done explicitly and in advance –
principles otherwise unconscious biases creep in
Avoiding GroupThink
5. Searching for options Many people Consultation techniques
Brainstorming
Using search technique (websites)s
11. Implementing Change agents Major change does not implement itself – key
Managers appointments should be made and Leaders need to
“walk the talk”.
Communications needed to ensure staff understand
12. Monitoring Managers Ongoing – and corrective action taken
14
6. WHAT SKILLS ARE NEEDED?
The necessary skills of the policy analyst include –
Intellectual curiosity
Inter-personal skills
Systems thinking
good analysis skills,
good project management skills,
good relationship-building skills (team skills)
tolerance for ambiguity,
creative approach to tasks.
skills to identify problems. A good analyst sees more problems than the person who
called for his assistance may have thought of. To make sure that the work focuses on the
problem not a symptom, it is good to ask a lot of questions like: why is this a problem?
who are the stakeholders in the problem? who would like to see it solved? where is it a
problem? when is it a problem? how long has it been a problem? what would happen if
nothing is done to solve the problem?
Skills to analyse the stakeholders – and the way in which decision-making occurs
within the organization. Understanding the possibilities open to the organization and
devising ways in which those possibilities can be exploited is only the first half of the
consultant’s responsibilities. If the analyst is to offer real value then he or she must also
help the organization make those possibilities a reality. Usually an analyst must convince
the client that what he or she is suggesting is a real opportunity. To do this an effective
analyst understand decision making in the organization, and use this knowledge to frame
recommendations that fit the organization
skills to identify what information about the problem is available - the more
information that is taken into account the more confidence there can be in the advice
made. A good analyst is active in auditing the information that is available to be used in a
providing advice to the client.
15
questioning and consultation skills to locate information resources and get information.
Questioning skills are a critical communication skill. Questioning is not only a way to get
information (though this is important). It is also a way to build rapport and to control the
direction of discussions.
Problem-solving skills; this will require an understanding not only of various techniques
but also of how a team works – the various roles needed for an effective team (shaper;
coordinator; team worker; completer; implementer; resource investigator; innovator;
monitor). You also need an understanding of the role you generally play in a team. Often
people don’t know about this – see the Belbin questionnaire (in a separate pdf file).
Skills to process and draw meaning from information. Information on its own is not
much use. It must be processed in order to identify the important relationships within it.
Skills to convince through verbal, written and visual mediums (briefing). Having
knowledge, expertise, and good ideas is not enough. The conviction comes from the form
of the communication as well as its content. Conviction results if ideas are communicated
in a manner, which is appropriate to the audience; for example if the communication uses
the right language, is of the right length and adopts a proper style. This applies to
communication in any situation and whether the medium is verbal, visual or written.
Governments vary in the coherence of their approach to this issue – with the European
“consensual” or “rational” States (Scandinavia and France) having very clear and long-
standing systems of policy development – and others being more dependent on the whim of
specific leaders.
This note gives an overview of the British experience of the past 35 years – which has seen
probably most possible models used at one time or another!
It focuses on the processes used to develop coherent responses to new challenges – rather than
the way Departments attempt to ensure managerial coherence in their use of resources for
normal service delivery.
The formal apparatus of Cabinet, Departments, inter-Ministerial committees are those which
receive the support of public servants and experts. That system focussed on narrow sectoral
concerns – rather than wider societal issues (eg poverty) and had difficulties, until recent times,
recognising that Ministers were also political animals with legitimate political concerns.
Policy development by Ministries was heavily criticised in the 1960s as being too cautious – and
tied to the producer interests associated with the Ministry20. For recent development see 10.2
20
See The Fulton Royal Commission report of 1966
16
A diagram would be useful here to show the various points in the system of government – and
outside it – where policy work is done.
These reports (and the evidence they received) were public; and led eventually to legislative
changes – although generally some 5-10 years from the issue first arising.
This very much represents the consensual approach to policy development, with politicians
being willing to take time and to listen to independent advice from a variety of social partners.
Political timescales are less patient these days!
As a “conviction” politician who took her advice on policy change from several right-wing
Foundations23, Margaret Thatcher did away with the consensual approach – appointing no
Royal Commissions and abolishing the CPRS (in 1983). She needed advisers only to tell her
21
see Inside The Think-Tank - Advising the Cabinet 1971-1983 (Mandarin 1990) for an insider’s view. For a brief
overview see pages 227-236 of S. James book
22
for an assessment see pages 221-227 of S James’ book on British Cabinet Government.
23
see Cockett’s book Thinking the Unthinkable for a very useful analysis
17
how to implement her own radical commitments. Thus various business-men were brought in
to help her initiate and carry out the radical reforms of the civil service and health systems24.
The penalties of inadequate and overly ideological policy development were revealed in the
early 1990s by a series of policy fiascos – such as the introduction and repeal of the new poll
tax for local government ; and of railway privatisation25.
5. Cabinet Office
A longstanding criticism of the Cabinet Office was that it lacked a strategic capacity. This has
been rectified with a vengeance by the new Labour Government which, very quickly in 1997,
set up, within the Cabinet Office, the under-noted units.
Modernising Government Unit
Performance and Innovation Unit
Regulatory Impact Unit
Social Exclusion Unit
18
public service: to value public service, not denigrate it. (Cm 4310 1999: 6 and 13)2
In 1999 the Unit published an interesting report on “Professional Policy-making in the Twenty
First Century” which reviewed the policy-making capacity of the government27. One of its
observations was that “one distinguishing feature of these few cases which stood out as being
exemplary was the fact that they were run on project management lines– ie
the need to plan systematically and identify outcomes and outputs gives greater clarity
about the purpose of the work.
Stakeholder analysis helps policy makers to ensure that they have identified and thought
about the role of all those with an interest in the policy.
Having a project board and steering group provides a mechanism for bringing in a range
of views and cooperating across institutional boundaries
Techniques such as risk assessment and management helps provide a less risk averse
environment in which innovative and creative ideas can come to the fore
Having to specify precise outcomes, products and milestones early on helps policy
makers to build evaluation into the policy making process from the outset
Having in-built mechanisms for monitoring the progress of work helps to keep the policy
process on track”
Late in 2001 the National Audit Office published a detailed review of the British policy-making
process based on the huge volume of audits that body has done of good and bad practice in
public policies. Its exhortations for the various stages of the policy cycle to be take more
seriously have therefore particular power and practicality.
19
Renewable energy
Workforce development
Strategic challenges which UK Government likely to encounter in the next 10-20 years29
Sport
Childcare
Waste management
5.5 In June 2001 a number of new units were established as part of the Cabinet Office to
improve policy-making and service delivery –
The Forward Strategy Unit will undertake (with PIU) “blue sky policy thinking”
The Delivery Unit will help departments (particularly health, education, law and order
and transport) deliver their key objectives and ensure that there are real tangible results
on the ground
The Office of Public Services Reform will advise on implementation of the reform –
and cover both national and local government. They will look fundamentally at
structures, systems, incentives and skills.
6. Task-Forces
When the new Labour Government came into power in May 1997, it had been out of office for
18 years and a major revolution had taken place both in the structure of the Civil service and in
the management of public services. The party had used its period in opposition (and the new
Foundations referred to above) to develop its own new approaches, one of which was a stress
on “inclusiveness” – both in policy-making and in citizenship.
As part of its move away from the Thatcher agenda, an amazing one-off exercise in policy
development was embarked upon - which is detailed and assessed in a book by Barker 33 No
29
A preliminary report can be downloaded from www.cabinet-office.gov.uk/innovation/2001/futures/challenges
30
www.cabinet-office.gov.uk/regulation/2000/risguide
31
32
33
Barker A; Ruling by Task Force (Politico 1999) which can be downloaded from
20
less than 500 “task-forces”34 (various types of internal and external reviews - involving 2500
outsiders) were set up on the issues which concerned the government – such as
Education for citizenship
Adult learning
The family
Careers service
Cleaner vehicles
Integrated transport
Fire safety
Company law revision
Competitiveness
Roads review
European structural funds
Film policy
Future of social housing
Review of the banking sector
Fuel poverty
literacy
Apart from the Ministerial or Departmental Reviews, the task-forces were groups of a dozen or so
individual, mainly practitioners from local authorities, community groups, NGOs, Foundations,
business and academia and, unusually, sometimes led by a politician.
One of the very serious criticisms is that, as a result, the business sector has become too
powerful – particularly in such fields as biologically-modified foods 35
7. Parliamentary Scrutiny
As part of the initial modernising phase of British society in the 1960s, a system of Select
Committees was established in the House of Commons. These gave MPs the authority to call
for papers and witnesses to carry out a critical examination of the workings of particular
policies and policy systems. For the first time “backbench” members of parliament were able
to develop a policy (as distinct from legal) expertise. The committees have external advisers
selected by the Committee. Although the atmosphere in such committees is bipartisan – and
reports critical – the Chairmen of the Committees are appointed by the Government of the day
(although that now looks to be changing). Governments do take the reports seriously – to the
extent of issuing their own subsequent reports which go through each of the Select
Committee’s recommendations. General opinion, however, is that the work does not have an
immediate impact. Clearly, however, the system is a good training ground for aspiring
Ministers!
8. FOUNDATIONS
An interesting feature of the last decade has been the growth of politically-oriented but
independent policy Foundations. Shaped by the profound influence exerted over a 25-year
period by the libertarian Institute for Economic Affairs, these now supply a large number of
both policy ideas and personnel for government policy development.
Independent agencies (academia; policy institutes; professional associations and NGOs) also
make an important contribution to the debate about the effectiveness of policies – and the
alternatives. Consumers are often surveyed as part of this work
34
for a comprehensive list see pp172-176 of ibid
35
George Monbiot; The Captive State (2001)
21
9. LINK WITH THE BUDGETARY PROCESS
The introduction since 1999 of Annual Public Service Agreements36 by every UK Ministry
indicates the impact it has had on the budgetary process.
37
Apart from the increased use of polls and complaint systems, quasi-market systems have been
widely introduced. And comparative league tables on the performance of schools and hospitals
gives the citizen the power to vote with his/her feet
36
see Cmnd ??
37
SIGMA Budgeting and Policy-Making
22
11. STRATEGIC PARTNERSHIPS for LOCAL development
Between 1945 and 1985 the British welfare system was a delicate balance between three
powerful sets of players –
central government,
local government
the professional systems (eg education, health) delivering the services.
Although these look decentralised systems (with their local structures being managed by local
partnerships of business and professional people), they are in fact accountable to the centre
with appointments made by central government and centrally-allocated budgets.
38
in a Cabinet Office Review of central government’s role in local development published in 1999
39
see the book by Joan Higgins for details – and also the comprehensive government review in the mid 1990s
23
12. ANALYSES of COMMISSIONS OF INQUIRY
In particularly serious cases – where an individual failure seems to go beyond the particular case
and suggest a failure of policy or management system - the Government will set up an independent
Tribunal to examine the facts surrounding a case - and to assess the implications for practice and
management.
There have been many such reviews in Britain involving the decisions and behaviour of care-staff
in Child Care.Two recent examples of medical practice in Britain have horrified the nation and led
to a critical reappraisal of review systems40.
A family doctor (Dr Shipley) was found to have systematically murdered about 20 of his
older patients over a long period41.
A recent Tribunal report was very critical of the management systems which had allowed
an incompetent surgeon to maim many women over a period of more than a decade. The status
of surgeons discouraged people form complaining - and the culture of professional self-defence
meant that his colleagues did not articulate their own anxieties. Strong recommendations were
made for an independent Institute for Clinical Standards42.
But the most serious issue which has shocked countries throughout Europe and forced
reassessments of government systems has been the BSE outbreak which has killed about one
hundred people – and affected another 100,000 in Britain.
An Independent Inquiry into BSE (or Mad Cow) crisis was set up by the British Government in
December 1997. It was chaired by a High Court Judge and produced on October 26 2000 a
report of 16 volumes and 4,000 pages – at a cost of $20 million (the cost to the economy of the
BSE outbreak has been put at almost 9 billion dollars!43)
The report looked at the history of scientific advice and ministerial responses over a ten year
period and identified a range of professional, bureaucratic and political errors
Amongst the features identified as contributing to the failure to take appropriate action in time
were –
Culture of secrecy in the senior civil service – the failure to share information
The ability of the system to deliver well-drafted reports but inability to recognise a crisis
and the need to take urgent action (that is the continued lack of emphasis in the senior civil
service given to implementation44)
Political concern to avoid panic
The inclination to set up advisory committees (which delayed action and confused
responsibility)
Overlap of departmental responsibilities (Agriculture and Health)
Poor communications between departments
Rail Accidents
A spate of railway accidents in Britain in the late 1990s (caused in general by investment
starvation of the state railways in Britain during the 1980s led to a major and long Public
Inquiry (The Cullen Inquiry) which produced a voluminous and detailed analysis of the
structure of the railway system and the role of that complex structure in the accidents. 45
40
see "Doctors' errors cost NHS £2billion a year" in Guardian 14 June 2000 - and "Blair gets tough with doctors -
"consultant is king " culture must end" in Guardian 5 June 2000
41
investigations in late 2000 have put the figure at more than 200
42
43
almost half of this from the ban on use of cattle over a 3 year period; 3 billion in lost exports
44
see the project
45
The Ladbroke Grove Rail Inquiry (The Cullen Report HMSO 2001)
24
ISSUES AND IMPLICATION FOR SLOVAKIA
After this quick tour, certain questions raise their head for further exploration eg -
What impact has this work had on government agendas.
What evidence is there of these structures and processes producing “superior” products
– and how, anyway, does one measure that?
How systematically have such questions been explored – and what conclusions
(however tentative) are emerging?
What are the implications for a country (like Slovakia) which is setting the sytem up
from scratch?
There is little doubt but that public organisations now recognise they need strategies. No self-
respecting public body would be seen without a mission statement and a coherent strategy
which explicitly tries to use the whole variety of “Tools of Government”46.
It is not for this paper to try to assess current British thinking on these issues – rather to explore
their possible relevance for Slovakia. Some of the issues which seem to me worth discussion
are -
Develop a demand
Unless the political leadership is persuaded of the need for a rigorous approach to policy
development, very little can happen. Transition countries suffer from overload – and the
leadership is often cynical or unpersuaded of the benefits to it of activities whose payoff will
often be longer than their time horizons. A modest, selective and pragmatic approach will
normally be needed – with some “quick and dirty” analyses.
Political structures should be established which increase the demand for this strategic
approach.
Ensure implementability
A lot of strategy work can be “pie in the sky”. It needs to be rooted in practice – with the
involvement of practitioners – and linked to the budget process.
Minimise “capture”
The involvement of practitioners, of course, runs the risk of producer “capture”. This can be
minimised not only by careful selection of policy groups – but by the sort of institutionalised
system of Devil’s Advocacy outlined in the attached paper for the Romanians.
46
see an excellent paper on this by Peri 6 in Mulgan G. Life After Politics - New Thinking for the 21st Century
(Demos Foundation - Fontana 1997)
47
particulary Y Dror!
25
A very interesting workbook on Learning from Policies in other countries has just been put on
the website of what used to be the Civil Service College (policyhub@cmps.gov.uk)
The Corporate Development and Training Directorate of the Cabinet Office provide training for
the 3,500 senior civil servants in the public sector. Since 1999 there have been some 2,220
participants at seminars, conferences and training events organised by the Directorate. The Civil
Service College as part of the Centre for Management and Policy Studies also provide a number
of training courses to develop policy-making skills. The courses are mainly attended by civil
servants early in their career (usually when they are grade 7 and below). Generally, however, the
departments we examined considered policy-making a "black box" process, something which is
somewhat intuitive and happens as a matter of course rather than a separate discipline with its
own technical skills and professionalism. There is a substantial amount of guidance on policy-
making developed centrally by the Treasury and the Cabinet Office and departments such as the
Regulatory Impact Unit guidance on Good Policy-Making, and some departments have made
guidance available electronically to civil servants. Some of this guidance is becoming an integral
part of policy-making such as the need for better stakeholder consultation and the guidance on
the preparation of regulatory impact assessments where policies are likely to impose costs on
businesses, Charities or voluntary organisations.
The departments we examined said that guidance on policy-making was not well used for a
number of reasons:
The volume of the guidance makes it difficult for policy-makers to consult it quickly;
The different pieces of guidance do not fit together very well;
The guidance tends to be inaccessible;
Policy-makers are often too busy to refer to guidance; and
Guidance reduces policy-making to a structured, logical, methodical process that does not
reflect reality. This reluctance to take advantage of existing guidance may have an impact
on policy-making with the consequence that policy decisions are not made on the most
robust analyses or make best use of analytical approaches.
Examples of departments' use of electronic networks for sharing guidance and information
Department for Education and Skills has established an electronic network which
disseminates to their staff information and guidance on policy-making.
Department of Trade and Industry is developing guidance which will be accessible through
desktop computers to allow staff to identify and draw down information and guidance on policy-
making.
26
Department for Transport, Local Government and the Regions has set up on their intranet a
customised version of the Cabinet Office's Policy-Maker's Rapid Checklist.
The Cabinet Office has established a good practice website on service delivery.
(www.goodpractice.org.uk)
48
see bibliography?
49
Plowden
50
Bryson J and Crosby’s Leadership for the Common Good – tackling public problems in a shared-power world (Jossey
Bass 1992).
27