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Root Cause Analysis
A simple depiction of the symbols used in the events and The events and causal factors charting method is best used
causal charting is shown below: where a serious incident (or near miss) results from a
complex sequence of occurrences. Many collisions and
groundings are found to result from such a complex series of
preceding events. Events and causal factors charting is an
effective tool for understanding the sequence of events that
lead to an accident. However, it does not necessarily ensure
that the root causes have been identified, which necessitates
the use of an additional tool (see ‘RCA Flow Diagram’ below).
The use of events and causal factors charting can also be
seen as ‘overkill’ when analysing simple incidents.
A classic example of how an events and causal factors chart
may be used in accident investigation is the ‘Torrey Canyon’
A more comprehensive description of the above: disaster of 1967. A brief summary of the incident follows:
Events The ‘Torrey Canyon’ was loaded with 100,000 tons of crude
oil bound for a terminal in Milford Haven, on the west coast
Events are depicted as rectangles in the chart and: of Wales. The ship was trying to catch the following
• Describe a single occurrence evening’s high tide, in order to enter port on arrival. The Scilly
• Have one subject and one action Islands were expected to be sighted off the starboard bow
• Assign a time, whenever possible on the morning of 18th March 1967. In the event, the islands
• The first event is when the situation deviated from were sighted off the port bow. The master then made the
normal decision, in order to save time, to pass between the Scilly
Islands and Land’s End, the south west tip of the UK
• The last event is the incident
mainland, rather than alter course to pass west of the
• Other events should relate to any significant
Scillies, as per the original passage plan. The passage
occurrences
between the Scillies and Land’s End is divided in two parts
• The events should tell a story – a shortened version by the Seven Stones Reef and each of those parts has
of a master’s call to head office describing the further obstructions within them. The master decided to take
accident. the western channel. He was not particularly familiar with the
area, nor did he have the applicable copy of the UK
If any of the listed events had not happened – then neither
Admiralty Sailing Directions – ‘Channel Pilot’ on board. The
would the accident.
ship, still doing full speed, met some fishing boats in the
Causal Factors western channel, which delayed it making a planned course
alteration. When the master did order an alteration of course
Causal factors are ovals on the chart and describe a series of
to the helmsman he realized, too late, that the ship was still
causes that led to an event, including:
on autopilot. The ship then grounded on Seven Stones Reef,
• Direct causes – what initiated the accident? resulting in cargo tanks being ruptured and subsequent huge
• Equipment status pollution. See the following map for the positions of the
• Weather various salient points.
• Failed or missing controls
• Limitations of personnel involved
• Significant conditions at the time of the event
(course, speed, temperatures, pressures etc., as
applicable)
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Root Cause Analysis
Tree Diagrams
These are also known as Pre-defined Fault Trees, Cause-
and-Effect Diagrams, Management Oversight and Risk Tree
Analysis (MORT), Human Performance Evaluations Systems
(HPES), Ishikawa Fishbone Diagram and several other
commercial brands. The primary assertion of all the systems
is that every problem has a cause that lies within a pre-
defined set of categories. The fault tree is the logical model
of the relationship of the top category to underlying, more
basic categories. The top category of the tree is the
undesired event. This leads down through the middle of the
tree (intermediate events/categories) to the bottom, where lie
the causal events/categories. The basic events/causal
factors are reviewed and assessed to determine what the
most likely root causes are. Further information on Tree
Diagrams can be found in Volume 3 of the USCG publication
cited previously in this Loss Prevention Briefing. The fault tree
analysis tool may best be used where a serious incident (or
near miss) has resulted from a straightforward sequence of
events. Machinery or cargo damage may be areas where
fault tree analysis is best utilised. The limitations of fault tree
analysis are that it examines one specific accident of interest,
i.e. it has a narrow focus. Other issues are that fault tree
analysis has been described as an art, as well as a science
and that analysts using this tool sometimes focus on
equipment and systems, to the exclusion of human and
An events and causal factors chart of the incident might organisational factors.
resemble that shown below (our thanks to Lloyd’s Register
Marine for granting us permission to use this chart):
Why-Why Chart
The “Why-Why Chart” is the most simplistic RCA process
and is also known as the “Five-Whys” method; so called
because the process involves asking “why” at least five times
or until the question can no longer be answered. An example
might be:
Incident: An Oiler suffered a hand injury while lifting a heavy
piece of machinery with a chain block.
1. Why: The machinery swung suddenly and caught his
hand.
2. Why: The ship took unanticipated roll and oiler could not
prevent the machinery swinging.
3. Why: He was working alone.
4. Why: There had been no risk assessment or tool-box
talk carried out prior to the work being undertaken.
5. Why: Procedures were well documented, but ignored.
(The above example is hypothetical, but many Members may
have encountered similar situations).
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Root Cause Analysis
The theory behind the ‘Five-Whys’ technique is that after asking “why” five times; the root cause should be unearthed. Some
commentators feel that this method may be reasonably effective for simple, non-complex accidents and incidents, but is
insufficient for dealing with more complicated situations.
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Root Cause Analysis
RCA of an Incident External Investigation Summary
The incident described here is an approximation of an actual The external investigation conducted by representatives from
incident. The names of the ships, the geographical location, the Flag States of both vessels involved can be summarised
and the identities of the people and organisations involved as follows:
have been changed for reasons of confidentiality. The • It took several weeks to complete.
internal incident investigation conducted by the Owners’ of • It was conducted by a team of investigators who
one of the ships, ‘Magpie’ is fabricated. The depiction of the collaborated closely throughout.
external investigation, conducted by Flag State, is an • The incident was caused by several immediate and
abridged and amended version of the actual investigation. several underlying factors, not all of which originated
(A more comprehensive description of the investigations on board the ships; some of the root causes could
conducted by the Owners of ‘Magpie’ and Flag State are be traced back to shore management.
included in the Appendix to this LP Briefing).
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Root Cause Analysis
RCAs – Ensuring Most importantly, any corrective and preventative measures
that are implemented need to be continuously monitored, to
ensure that they are having the desired effect.
Effectiveness The table below provides a summary of the main steps in the
In this final section we shall provide some information on how development and implementation of an effective system of
Members can: incident investigation.
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Root Cause Analysis
Effective RCA “If this corrective action had been implemented before the
incident, would it have prevented, or reduced the chances of
To be able to gain maximum benefit from performing a root the incident occurring in the first place?”
cause analysis of any incident, we must be aware that the “Will this corrective action be reasonably certain to prevent
resultant root causes have to be: recurrence?”
• Underlying. “Is this corrective action within the Company’s control, and
• Reasonably identifiable. does it meet the Company’s goals and objectives?"
• Controllable by management. (For example, in a
”Is it possible that this corrective action could inadvertently
case where containers were lost overboard, ‘bad
trigger new and currently unforeseen problems?”
weather’ was identified as a root cause.
Management has no control over the weather and
hence is unable to implement any corrective or Once the above questions have been answered
preventative actions that can control the weather). satisfactorily, the corrective actions should be implemented.
• Allow for the generation of solutions. As stated previously: the effectiveness of the corrective
actions needs to be monitored.
The process of RCA can be summarised as follows:
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